{ "forecast_id": "eq_fcst_20260719_0700", "hazard": "earthquake", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "forecast_horizon_days": 30, "target_magnitude_min": 6.0, "feature_history_days": 400, "recent_activity_days": 30, "min_events_per_active_cell": 5, "forecast_domain": { "name": "global_2deg_grid", "lat_min": -60.0, "lat_max": 70.0, "lon_min": -180.0, "lon_max": 180.0, "dlat": 2.0, "dlon": 2.0, "n_lat": 65, "n_lon": 180, "default_probability": 0.0 }, "source_catalog": { "provider": "USGS FDSNWS", "min_magnitude": 2.5, "window_start": "2025-06-14T07:00:00Z", "window_end": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "n_events": 32668, "n_recent_events": 1929 }, "n_active_cells": 88, "top_probability": 0.5091, "active_cells": [ { "row": 23, "col": 82, "lat": -13.0, "lon": -15.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 5.3, "probability": 0.5091, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 13.8, "ell_trend": null, "rate_acceleration": 6.0, "delta_aic_iet": null, "S_over_Gamma": 10.655, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.3, "grad_tau_local": 0.1027, "depth_trend": 0.21, "spatial_concentration": 47.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.889, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "66caa0fc8e1ae0421759715ed6cee01b8067473d841e98404e052d9e2583a890", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.889, "probability": 0.509126, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "a40d2e0143f0dbb0c79e0ca064a080234d50e7c98c1d403a128ebec7851ac080" }, "receipt_sha256": "a40d2e0143f0dbb0c79e0ca064a080234d50e7c98c1d403a128ebec7851ac080" }, { "row": 37, "col": 43, "lat": 15.0, "lon": -93.0, "n_events": 55, "max_mag": 7.3, "probability": 0.5091, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.833, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 42.1, "ell_trend": 1.52, "rate_acceleration": 2.06, "delta_aic_iet": 205.35, "S_over_Gamma": 16.079, "days_to_criticality": 207.9, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.1274, "grad_tau_local": 0.3003, "depth_trend": -5.88, "spatial_concentration": 94.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.8615, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "f1b6ba9f20de8960e6ab7c059d91477ab158d4240665ce06b0241207785a4a0d", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.8615, "probability": 0.509126, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "8e8374367e93aa19374db19227e26ec2367c375563e29a546a8cd616b8302e35" }, "receipt_sha256": "8e8374367e93aa19374db19227e26ec2367c375563e29a546a8cd616b8302e35" }, { "row": 42, "col": 35, "lat": 25.0, "lon": -109.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 6.0, "probability": 0.5091, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 19.6, "ell_trend": null, "rate_acceleration": 2.5, "delta_aic_iet": null, "S_over_Gamma": 13.294, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.2017, "grad_tau_local": 0.3984, "depth_trend": 0.0, "spatial_concentration": 81.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.8529, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "8108779f088db07d8b3048eab488d2375eea25cda527ff0edba696ebe18900bc", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.8529, "probability": 0.509126, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "79feac24118f13f00415e4320e9783d5afdceccf6638fec259b865e89cb3f0d2" }, "receipt_sha256": "79feac24118f13f00415e4320e9783d5afdceccf6638fec259b865e89cb3f0d2" }, { "row": 36, "col": 45, "lat": 13.0, "lon": -89.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.0359, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 67.8, "ell_trend": 15.38, "rate_acceleration": 0.92, "delta_aic_iet": 158.23, "S_over_Gamma": 15.433, "days_to_criticality": 42.0, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.887, "grad_tau_local": 0.2981, "depth_trend": -2.45, "spatial_concentration": 75.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.767, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 0.0359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "cc83ec2382bef4e55fbe3f5fab602b2c4f82a0d4f559c7539dbf3e1e44a8d5ed", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.767, "probability": 0.035886, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 0.035888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "541c594fa23c19dea7bdc3069ad4fdd5a4eb8110bab4151a6456a8e4436bd175" }, "receipt_sha256": "541c594fa23c19dea7bdc3069ad4fdd5a4eb8110bab4151a6456a8e4436bd175" }, { "row": 0, "col": 76, "lat": -59.0, "lon": -27.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 5.4, "probability": 0.0359, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.088, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 64.3, "ell_trend": -1.12, "rate_acceleration": 0.93, "delta_aic_iet": 152.77, "S_over_Gamma": 16.311, "days_to_criticality": 2099.4, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 1.0974, "depth_trend": 2.43, "spatial_concentration": 75.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7309, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 0.0359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "8d61ab34f28660d99aa7b1f3e54a0600bd98af440b61bbace447bc97596d9b3d", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7309, "probability": 0.035886, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 0.035888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "d50fbcfa74857c649e6613e3efd79b0c52b90aac14d19041f2cd4116d650bf75" }, "receipt_sha256": "d50fbcfa74857c649e6613e3efd79b0c52b90aac14d19041f2cd4116d650bf75" }, { "row": 18, "col": 0, "lat": -23.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.0359, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.46, "b_trend": -0.0962, "ell_km": 59.1, "ell_trend": 0.19, "rate_acceleration": 0.96, "delta_aic_iet": 276.7, "S_over_Gamma": 15.632, "days_to_criticality": 334.8, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 1.8015, "depth_trend": -0.75, "spatial_concentration": 86.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7105, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 0.0359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "fd7346aadfa2caaf36137411b1c9141ac412060c2c0599a02559bcb10f2be565", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7105, "probability": 0.035886, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 0.035888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "2e88670b60ccd399fa9bd1e157e82cd0f2089e48b16675eee06f66b95c208d14" }, "receipt_sha256": "2e88670b60ccd399fa9bd1e157e82cd0f2089e48b16675eee06f66b95c208d14" }, { "row": 18, "col": 175, "lat": -23.0, "lon": 171.0, "n_events": 14, "max_mag": 6.3, "probability": 0.0359, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 63.2, "ell_trend": -9.09, "rate_acceleration": 1.21, "delta_aic_iet": 141.21, "S_over_Gamma": 15.269, "days_to_criticality": 2094.8, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.7239, "grad_tau_local": 0.6125, "depth_trend": -8.11, "spatial_concentration": 65.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7071, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 0.0359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "a835b495c1c7a01d0a6bca57ad9d4cd0903174c3942b6d95db1f1beb4d0cb7fa", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7071, "probability": 0.035886, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 0.035888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "06454012ddfab25f841793df9f636c90abfaecc58b35ba0e71a7296603e80cab" }, "receipt_sha256": "06454012ddfab25f841793df9f636c90abfaecc58b35ba0e71a7296603e80cab" }, { "row": 56, "col": 6, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -167.0, "n_events": 19, "max_mag": 4.5, "probability": 0.0359, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.658, "b_trend": 0.137, "ell_km": 12.5, "ell_trend": -4.2, "rate_acceleration": 1.5, "delta_aic_iet": 926.27, "S_over_Gamma": 13.325, "days_to_criticality": 2098.4, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.106, "grad_tau_local": 0.1304, "depth_trend": 0.91, "spatial_concentration": 68.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7069, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 0.0359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "4e6df81651604226ad35f4b6303b24db40fa82c65dd52ae40aab829a2dafa806", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7069, "probability": 0.035886, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 0.035888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "21477da39ee97663bffe814c981590998111ea8da88663dd9da3684b7e8bafe3" }, "receipt_sha256": "21477da39ee97663bffe814c981590998111ea8da88663dd9da3684b7e8bafe3" }, { "row": 35, "col": 56, "lat": 11.0, "lon": -67.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.0359, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 32.6, "ell_trend": null, "rate_acceleration": 21.0, "delta_aic_iet": null, "S_over_Gamma": 2.115, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.1564, "grad_tau_local": 0.6937, "depth_trend": -2.0, "spatial_concentration": 79.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7033, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 0.0359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "9247afc45151b3af78fe3977328633e716b2b23eb6798b1191bd70200db6ddfa", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7033, "probability": 0.035886, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 0.035888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "7bed664beec785a45924985d5ff6625d20de6a5f184f23b29be52dd7197cc9fa" }, "receipt_sha256": "7bed664beec785a45924985d5ff6625d20de6a5f184f23b29be52dd7197cc9fa" }, { "row": 44, "col": 142, "lat": 29.0, "lon": 105.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 5.2, "probability": 0.0359, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 9.0, "ell_trend": -7.01, "rate_acceleration": 1.7, "delta_aic_iet": 46.65, "S_over_Gamma": 13.612, "days_to_criticality": 2093.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 1.2709, "grad_tau_local": 0.1169, "depth_trend": 2.89, "spatial_concentration": 72.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7025, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 0.0359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "f8466fceda97fcc0bda227c1455b32e710d15bd2a11bb7b55b28e86d1393e0f9", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7025, "probability": 0.035886, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 0.035888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "70c02bc108ad2d47641760917841d850605d2693d655d1bb39bfc8b9e3bfb96b" }, "receipt_sha256": "70c02bc108ad2d47641760917841d850605d2693d655d1bb39bfc8b9e3bfb96b" }, { "row": 38, "col": 149, "lat": 17.0, "lon": 119.0, "n_events": 25, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.0359, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 14.7, "ell_trend": -2.54, "rate_acceleration": 5.45, "delta_aic_iet": 90.46, "S_over_Gamma": 9.144, "days_to_criticality": 1790.3, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.4749, "grad_tau_local": 0.6939, "depth_trend": -16.28, "spatial_concentration": 77.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7022, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 0.0359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "15695e060f275b8601b6ed0b6088837e176208c890f297230061ee4d25dbde59", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7022, "probability": 0.035886, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 0.035888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "9222711a808d448a4263c0a5cf64e3e37827cf7ed7c2f32f5fa7bc7172d79549" }, "receipt_sha256": "9222711a808d448a4263c0a5cf64e3e37827cf7ed7c2f32f5fa7bc7172d79549" }, { "row": 19, "col": 174, "lat": -21.0, "lon": 169.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 5.8, "probability": 0.0359, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 105.6, "ell_trend": -1.89, "rate_acceleration": 1.29, "delta_aic_iet": 147.1, "S_over_Gamma": 16.008, "days_to_criticality": 12.3, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.0959, "grad_tau_local": 0.6637, "depth_trend": -13.64, "spatial_concentration": 69.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6991, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 0.0359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "d9211f2e00e33ac8cc05305ad958fea21f9efc6929ece37f97b85a1b9fe01dc9", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6991, "probability": 0.035886, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 0.035888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "73134ba880f7d848960314abb679877e1c8e9c6eed1ab9e1d6b589facd838ced" }, "receipt_sha256": "73134ba880f7d848960314abb679877e1c8e9c6eed1ab9e1d6b589facd838ced" }, { "row": 55, "col": 179, "lat": 51.0, "lon": 179.0, "n_events": 33, "max_mag": 3.8, "probability": 0.0359, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.525, "b_trend": -0.0286, "ell_km": 14.6, "ell_trend": -9.5, "rate_acceleration": 2.17, "delta_aic_iet": 704.66, "S_over_Gamma": 13.739, "days_to_criticality": 23.5, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 3.4022, "depth_trend": -10.28, "spatial_concentration": 96.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6948, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 0.0359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "824c610bc60759bccde6f1689f6db34ab712f008e436c15e51fc2d13008bc9a5", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6948, "probability": 0.035886, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 0.035888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "0e38f0d6809fccc61441e71093daa1ff6d2799c69280e544ee854850d620f4eb" }, "receipt_sha256": "0e38f0d6809fccc61441e71093daa1ff6d2799c69280e544ee854850d620f4eb" }, { "row": 48, "col": 137, "lat": 37.0, "lon": 95.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 5.3, "probability": 0.0359, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 14.3, "ell_trend": null, "rate_acceleration": 33.0, "delta_aic_iet": -80.65, "S_over_Gamma": 8.307, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 1.1348, "grad_tau_local": 0.0683, "depth_trend": 0.07, "spatial_concentration": 40.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.693, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 0.0359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "3bb7f19cbb2dcf5580cd93c5ef5be4e9b4399a9f5de68c6d4f8ab91667bea123", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.693, "probability": 0.035886, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 0.035888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "2588b872c3a4fb7f345fc074d34dd13092d4d88bcff8cee375dad64863151c63" }, "receipt_sha256": "2588b872c3a4fb7f345fc074d34dd13092d4d88bcff8cee375dad64863151c63" }, { "row": 56, "col": 178, "lat": 53.0, "lon": 177.0, "n_events": 53, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.0359, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.481, "b_trend": 0.1785, "ell_km": 12.3, "ell_trend": -9.66, "rate_acceleration": 2.44, "delta_aic_iet": 373.21, "S_over_Gamma": 14.751, "days_to_criticality": 23.6, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.3092, "grad_tau_local": 1.5877, "depth_trend": -14.19, "spatial_concentration": 109.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6834, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 0.0359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "e14bbe1260b9c49cdca4a8c7b41bfca01c2cc3401ba1f789ea94c547d7db352c", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6834, "probability": 0.035886, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 0.035888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "93a90c2f8777279ed3f309a8746011340bbf6d653d94caa38a9bf7a4d0fd3b8f" }, "receipt_sha256": "93a90c2f8777279ed3f309a8746011340bbf6d653d94caa38a9bf7a4d0fd3b8f" }, { "row": 45, "col": 124, "lat": 31.0, "lon": 69.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.3, "probability": 0.0359, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 47.2, "ell_trend": null, "rate_acceleration": 1.5, "delta_aic_iet": 22.6, "S_over_Gamma": 13.951, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 1.9125, "grad_tau_local": 0.4678, "depth_trend": -2.75, "spatial_concentration": 86.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6803, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 0.0359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "caedb1ae9b1dcbada251c15f5f6333c78871789a0361bc12d9072037115a5e00", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6803, "probability": 0.035886, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 0.035888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "575e1106db3f9f2f3b8114aa7481e5a7e4ed611fb328f2414530ba331993b085" }, "receipt_sha256": "575e1106db3f9f2f3b8114aa7481e5a7e4ed611fb328f2414530ba331993b085" }, { "row": 55, "col": 0, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 35, "max_mag": 4.3, "probability": 0.0359, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.618, "b_trend": 0.0692, "ell_km": 75.0, "ell_trend": -0.74, "rate_acceleration": 1.84, "delta_aic_iet": 752.32, "S_over_Gamma": 13.566, "days_to_criticality": 2098.7, "conditions_met": 4, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 4.9165, "depth_trend": -10.93, "spatial_concentration": 116.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6794, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 0.0359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "e623d8926a9f65db4a32d0dbce354f80e04c0b9038d60d91f679e4afaa0cb47e", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6794, "probability": 0.035886, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 0.035888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "87c094e2ec8c88780475f6b120d5c0820532cdf3af7deac642239eb2eae08c17" }, "receipt_sha256": "87c094e2ec8c88780475f6b120d5c0820532cdf3af7deac642239eb2eae08c17" }, { "row": 56, "col": 7, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -165.0, "n_events": 25, "max_mag": 3.3, "probability": 0.0359, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.701, "b_trend": 0.0055, "ell_km": 30.1, "ell_trend": -3.06, "rate_acceleration": 2.31, "delta_aic_iet": 647.04, "S_over_Gamma": 13.284, "days_to_criticality": 2098.6, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.3158, "grad_tau_local": 0.528, "depth_trend": -9.0, "spatial_concentration": 84.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6789, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 0.0359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "3f9fe233c52e535608cf48afa6ef569c7d9d40ef32b97896f2deea862f16b935", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6789, "probability": 0.035886, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 0.035888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "4967a2f66d3d8aba13329610a67df50505b789718fa760da68caca697b2565a9" }, "receipt_sha256": "4967a2f66d3d8aba13329610a67df50505b789718fa760da68caca697b2565a9" }, { "row": 25, "col": 149, "lat": -9.0, "lon": 119.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.1, "probability": 0.0359, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.044, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 85.0, "ell_trend": -1.39, "rate_acceleration": 1.5, "delta_aic_iet": 71.39, "S_over_Gamma": 14.825, "days_to_criticality": 2098.3, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.7401, "grad_tau_local": 0.6896, "depth_trend": -23.09, "spatial_concentration": 68.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6782, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 0.0359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "490fd194048cceca5df62599f79912b9859df10a7ab19d00f581f0fe41ba4af0", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6782, "probability": 0.035886, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 0.035888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "dd298e971cfec032c8ab025002b699fd2dd7b703dde8795eaac00c3a4f1da2bf" }, "receipt_sha256": "dd298e971cfec032c8ab025002b699fd2dd7b703dde8795eaac00c3a4f1da2bf" }, { "row": 36, "col": 44, "lat": 13.0, "lon": -91.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 4.9, "probability": 0.0359, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.785, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 36.9, "ell_trend": 7.43, "rate_acceleration": 2.03, "delta_aic_iet": 215.32, "S_over_Gamma": 14.836, "days_to_criticality": 141.6, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.8808, "grad_tau_local": 0.4946, "depth_trend": -1.29, "spatial_concentration": 76.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6776, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 0.0359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "91d176f4bdbc69fc22f947ec490f2686d5b31e56c5a9cd170bf0dd071bdbc46d", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6776, "probability": 0.035886, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 0.035888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "6cd6879776dc3d515833ee713a6ec52267b546185e801c8d39df4bb722a225fe" }, "receipt_sha256": "6cd6879776dc3d515833ee713a6ec52267b546185e801c8d39df4bb722a225fe" }, { "row": 48, "col": 125, "lat": 37.0, "lon": 71.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 6.1, "probability": 0.0359, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.045, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 27.7, "ell_trend": 6.58, "rate_acceleration": 0.65, "delta_aic_iet": 239.69, "S_over_Gamma": 15.654, "days_to_criticality": 36.6, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.1235, "grad_tau_local": 0.3238, "depth_trend": 38.42, "spatial_concentration": 88.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6646, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 0.0359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "ec3933bb3ff41c0474489c839c20a5b11ddd6968bf4be86a14903c8dadcd5b00", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6646, "probability": 0.035886, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 0.035888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "3b3d0fcd4997b4dddf547b6a13a35bbdaa824e8454348044bbf2a9c92676f953" }, "receipt_sha256": "3b3d0fcd4997b4dddf547b6a13a35bbdaa824e8454348044bbf2a9c92676f953" }, { "row": 39, "col": 57, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -65.0, "n_events": 57, "max_mag": 4.4, "probability": 0.0359, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.218, "b_trend": 0.028, "ell_km": 33.0, "ell_trend": 0.25, "rate_acceleration": 1.24, "delta_aic_iet": 1218.91, "S_over_Gamma": 14.006, "days_to_criticality": -0.3, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.6952, "grad_tau_local": 1.6007, "depth_trend": -1.76, "spatial_concentration": 47.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6594, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 0.0359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "e5003643a3e46d5d407129c275f8cd48d9116fdc99bb864a3d7053d2732b638e", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6594, "probability": 0.035886, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 0.035888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "d893e1a138982517fa55a26e746bbf6fd4d85a93a79d527dd08fb0401669d4ec" }, "receipt_sha256": "d893e1a138982517fa55a26e746bbf6fd4d85a93a79d527dd08fb0401669d4ec" }, { "row": 61, "col": 15, "lat": 63.0, "lon": -149.0, "n_events": 15, "max_mag": 2.8, "probability": 0.0359, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.885, "b_trend": 0.0642, "ell_km": 94.6, "ell_trend": -1.15, "rate_acceleration": 1.08, "delta_aic_iet": 629.02, "S_over_Gamma": 12.978, "days_to_criticality": 2098.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.909, "grad_tau_local": 1.6966, "depth_trend": 5.12, "spatial_concentration": 70.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.659, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 0.0359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "ecb7329caaef9c199001ddc5cabdbcd4d77cb54bbaaa06f22d90cecbc765545f", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.659, "probability": 0.035886, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 0.035888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "769a97b57adf08dc6ed9e18cde5d37c2d734c0067a5f9de2efc968090a00a361" }, "receipt_sha256": "769a97b57adf08dc6ed9e18cde5d37c2d734c0067a5f9de2efc968090a00a361" }, { "row": 51, "col": 26, "lat": 43.0, "lon": -127.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 5.5, "probability": 0.0359, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.497, "b_trend": 0.0778, "ell_km": 27.3, "ell_trend": 7.18, "rate_acceleration": 0.85, "delta_aic_iet": 195.18, "S_over_Gamma": 13.767, "days_to_criticality": 11.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.1368, "grad_tau_local": 0.9393, "depth_trend": 0.51, "spatial_concentration": 83.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6577, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 0.0359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "907beb1acf191fce0bb06b33e7a38dd216d5f1d461c9a1d5b1fc6c1fb4c26cba", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6577, "probability": 0.035886, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 0.035888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "6f3a6998e271ffe80b2feb9bfceec925c13dda6a68053ea1ade50bf2742a61c1" }, "receipt_sha256": "6f3a6998e271ffe80b2feb9bfceec925c13dda6a68053ea1ade50bf2742a61c1" }, { "row": 39, "col": 56, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -67.0, "n_events": 46, "max_mag": 4.0, "probability": 0.0359, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.228, "b_trend": 0.0275, "ell_km": 34.6, "ell_trend": -2.24, "rate_acceleration": 1.18, "delta_aic_iet": 1348.97, "S_over_Gamma": 13.584, "days_to_criticality": 2099.7, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.5062, "grad_tau_local": 1.3672, "depth_trend": -4.99, "spatial_concentration": 63.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6539, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 0.0359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "82b6d0e85bf60d07022102145e016602c20568095774f6dadacc4dbd8af805a4", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6539, "probability": 0.035886, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 0.035888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "69b5fdd4fcb4d7e58a1f4c9107bdafeee59e7fc58bc3ed02f5c9f06db7039c45" }, "receipt_sha256": "69b5fdd4fcb4d7e58a1f4c9107bdafeee59e7fc58bc3ed02f5c9f06db7039c45" }, { "row": 55, "col": 4, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -171.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.0359, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.63, "b_trend": 0.1386, "ell_km": 12.3, "ell_trend": -10.2, "rate_acceleration": 1.14, "delta_aic_iet": 769.81, "S_over_Gamma": 13.602, "days_to_criticality": 2098.0, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.2576, "grad_tau_local": 1.3455, "depth_trend": 0.48, "spatial_concentration": 72.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6499, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 0.0359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "c904688adf0966cc74f2eed8b717ee2473c2f0613e61bb418980e3f0e67bed67", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6499, "probability": 0.035886, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 0.035888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "1210cbd0fc4c1266cb580f2c5ad76bd56637aa71d10e4e83a14f5b30e36158d9" }, "receipt_sha256": "1210cbd0fc4c1266cb580f2c5ad76bd56637aa71d10e4e83a14f5b30e36158d9" }, { "row": 18, "col": 2, "lat": -23.0, "lon": -175.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.4, "probability": 0.0359, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.015, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 156.2, "ell_trend": -8.72, "rate_acceleration": 0.99, "delta_aic_iet": 83.07, "S_over_Gamma": 15.383, "days_to_criticality": 2094.2, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.293, "grad_tau_local": 0.6253, "depth_trend": 26.11, "spatial_concentration": 66.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6496, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 0.0359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "09f061286932f040a0615807741e1c58828f7c43bd2bae50aa684638c7aa94f6", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6496, "probability": 0.035886, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 0.035888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "375ef1a19cca57095af7baec88d860011fc81478fa13cb0a271262d3957713d3" }, "receipt_sha256": "375ef1a19cca57095af7baec88d860011fc81478fa13cb0a271262d3957713d3" }, { "row": 38, "col": 55, "lat": 17.0, "lon": -69.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.0359, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.674, "b_trend": 0.0463, "ell_km": 14.9, "ell_trend": -1.11, "rate_acceleration": 1.2, "delta_aic_iet": 546.22, "S_over_Gamma": 14.278, "days_to_criticality": 20.4, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.4448, "grad_tau_local": 2.0749, "depth_trend": -2.34, "spatial_concentration": 37.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6492, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 0.0359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "ebe4a2453310f617a8b98d69a0bd0f9cc684e6bd3477cc5cbb30b25c84cd250f", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6492, "probability": 0.035886, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 0.035888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "d36b66238f4249b9a3f9815a5082e3474ff77f9aefb3fc34cba4cd300921c0c2" }, "receipt_sha256": "d36b66238f4249b9a3f9815a5082e3474ff77f9aefb3fc34cba4cd300921c0c2" }, { "row": 38, "col": 56, "lat": 17.0, "lon": -67.0, "n_events": 22, "max_mag": 3.9, "probability": 0.0359, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.248, "b_trend": 0.1604, "ell_km": 18.4, "ell_trend": -2.28, "rate_acceleration": 1.31, "delta_aic_iet": 917.77, "S_over_Gamma": 13.2, "days_to_criticality": 2099.4, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.8637, "grad_tau_local": 2.1171, "depth_trend": -3.51, "spatial_concentration": 57.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6445, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 0.0359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "dc457f30c3e0aa00029de7d75709f31dc954e304df8d6434e096ffd7b83f902e", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6445, "probability": 0.035886, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 0.035888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "9fdf49714412c6d3b21a1c974c42332838aad976ce5228f28abd83bc54c29f98" }, "receipt_sha256": "9fdf49714412c6d3b21a1c974c42332838aad976ce5228f28abd83bc54c29f98" }, { "row": 13, "col": 54, "lat": -33.0, "lon": -71.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.1, "probability": 0.0359, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.096, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 12.8, "ell_trend": 0.25, "rate_acceleration": 1.11, "delta_aic_iet": 128.85, "S_over_Gamma": 15.654, "days_to_criticality": 16.8, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.3838, "grad_tau_local": 0.771, "depth_trend": -17.59, "spatial_concentration": 64.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6393, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 0.0359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "f2e821e0341dfcb1de6816e6cf36d770a49dc9e88b3e97adfb43600ac30b799c", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6393, "probability": 0.035886, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 0.035888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "715808ac187cfd76945c2546d3e6bc0953f93b37464fe0a6642e398840304443" }, "receipt_sha256": "715808ac187cfd76945c2546d3e6bc0953f93b37464fe0a6642e398840304443" }, { "row": 39, "col": 55, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -69.0, "n_events": 12, "max_mag": 4.1, "probability": 0.0359, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.095, "b_trend": 0.1745, "ell_km": 15.7, "ell_trend": -1.71, "rate_acceleration": 1.09, "delta_aic_iet": 735.05, "S_over_Gamma": 14.289, "days_to_criticality": 22.6, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.5156, "grad_tau_local": 2.2597, "depth_trend": -2.07, "spatial_concentration": 43.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6387, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 0.0359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "12e7043bbf7df466b1ea38f1b37f05456a2246615f97f1f45335faadc79464ac", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6387, "probability": 0.035886, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 0.035888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "fb0b495dccd2cba60aa10253e4741d4fee8ff6216082c948509454af79c9763c" }, "receipt_sha256": "fb0b495dccd2cba60aa10253e4741d4fee8ff6216082c948509454af79c9763c" }, { "row": 58, "col": 11, "lat": 57.0, "lon": -157.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 3.1, "probability": 0.0359, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.87, "b_trend": -0.0615, "ell_km": 107.4, "ell_trend": -6.72, "rate_acceleration": 1.02, "delta_aic_iet": 454.48, "S_over_Gamma": 12.483, "days_to_criticality": 2099.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.7636, "grad_tau_local": 0.5245, "depth_trend": -0.63, "spatial_concentration": 78.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6328, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 0.0359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "4081473eaffd76996dc84d5936537891444d155c85f395ac3ea08cf90332af9b", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6328, "probability": 0.035886, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 0.035888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "9c2fe886fed21178cd468c5cc829d6c44bede66272b81e4af7aee0814b2ce223" }, "receipt_sha256": "9c2fe886fed21178cd468c5cc829d6c44bede66272b81e4af7aee0814b2ce223" }, { "row": 60, "col": 16, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -147.0, "n_events": 11, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.0359, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.82, "b_trend": 0.0919, "ell_km": 108.6, "ell_trend": -0.05, "rate_acceleration": 1.05, "delta_aic_iet": 594.73, "S_over_Gamma": 13.358, "days_to_criticality": 2098.6, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.9468, "grad_tau_local": 0.9018, "depth_trend": 5.62, "spatial_concentration": 77.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6319, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 0.0359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "aa41de9fc94c5c9f830145decbc4d88762a56eb0dad30757aab55740f4a4fb5d", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6319, "probability": 0.035886, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 0.035888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "001b059c04f1efcbad1f7a35d0325248995722bb16f575e37a7dd5aca1e74207" }, "receipt_sha256": "001b059c04f1efcbad1f7a35d0325248995722bb16f575e37a7dd5aca1e74207" }, { "row": 39, "col": 12, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -155.0, "n_events": 27, "max_mag": 3.8, "probability": 0.0359, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.887, "b_trend": -0.0427, "ell_km": 5.4, "ell_trend": 0.4, "rate_acceleration": 1.51, "delta_aic_iet": 219.63, "S_over_Gamma": 13.365, "days_to_criticality": 86.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.2991, "grad_tau_local": 0.2137, "depth_trend": -3.75, "spatial_concentration": 33.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6295, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 0.0359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "2bb04fec17c0df5c36390701f8142e8172c3d85a0caa758f2c3db283049520d1", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6295, "probability": 0.035886, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 0.035888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "e4e117d832f95dc3635e862aebacd717f41cb1bc1fb99eabfe0439243b8716b3" }, "receipt_sha256": "e4e117d832f95dc3635e862aebacd717f41cb1bc1fb99eabfe0439243b8716b3" }, { "row": 59, "col": 74, "lat": 59.0, "lon": -31.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 5.3, "probability": 0.0359, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 9.8, "ell_trend": -1.96, "rate_acceleration": 1.65, "delta_aic_iet": -25.16, "S_over_Gamma": 12.983, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.37, "grad_tau_local": 0.0819, "depth_trend": 0.0, "spatial_concentration": 101.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6252, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 0.0359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "3f4f7bc241248b32caf5e2d3d50fdeeda27f0bed866cedab91dacc448b33ba02", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6252, "probability": 0.035886, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 0.035888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "1805fc3f0f8eb2d84cb55b1fda15335c5d948d297fd9e06f21b4be246316d3e8" }, "receipt_sha256": "1805fc3f0f8eb2d84cb55b1fda15335c5d948d297fd9e06f21b4be246316d3e8" }, { "row": 59, "col": 12, "lat": 59.0, "lon": -155.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 3.4, "probability": 0.0359, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.088, "b_trend": -0.098, "ell_km": 79.5, "ell_trend": 0.79, "rate_acceleration": 0.81, "delta_aic_iet": 574.69, "S_over_Gamma": 12.537, "days_to_criticality": 69.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.6917, "grad_tau_local": 1.1824, "depth_trend": 5.01, "spatial_concentration": 73.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6229, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 0.0359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "0cd6d93fcb94905bfd06f34b78dd0965da0c91cccd053dad656c2aaa21a2b162", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6229, "probability": 0.035886, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 0.035888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "c4728dcb8a95bbe8433466df68d5ee5f0083b61f9863891a61ba559a69274d68" }, "receipt_sha256": "c4728dcb8a95bbe8433466df68d5ee5f0083b61f9863891a61ba559a69274d68" }, { "row": 18, "col": 55, "lat": -23.0, "lon": -69.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 4.4, "probability": 0.0359, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.175, "b_trend": 0.3843, "ell_km": 39.3, "ell_trend": 1.31, "rate_acceleration": 0.99, "delta_aic_iet": 294.97, "S_over_Gamma": 15.67, "days_to_criticality": 202.5, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.452, "grad_tau_local": 0.595, "depth_trend": 5.79, "spatial_concentration": 62.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6199, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 0.0359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "8e53546b1c6f6adf9ead91017686dcc7f4c90c9bc1b688ec3dde8747cba371b8", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6199, "probability": 0.035886, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 0.035888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "a890df20228abf06998900623101cbbafa72c287341e0fd0cf8af0d34f5f1f3b" }, "receipt_sha256": "a890df20228abf06998900623101cbbafa72c287341e0fd0cf8af0d34f5f1f3b" }, { "row": 55, "col": 1, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -177.0, "n_events": 53, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.0359, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.652, "b_trend": 0.0642, "ell_km": 83.4, "ell_trend": -0.98, "rate_acceleration": 1.92, "delta_aic_iet": 778.07, "S_over_Gamma": 13.422, "days_to_criticality": 2098.7, "conditions_met": 4, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.9165, "grad_tau_local": 2.972, "depth_trend": -8.79, "spatial_concentration": 152.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6171, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 0.0359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "24f7fc1a49e7e02c493abb84ca8f6ab2f0786f9938be913df8cd074b383f59b8", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6171, "probability": 0.035886, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 0.035888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "42244e235a8ef7e5093199408e24ab21fbe59be8ffb75d6818f8606390d457d9" }, "receipt_sha256": "42244e235a8ef7e5093199408e24ab21fbe59be8ffb75d6818f8606390d457d9" }, { "row": 60, "col": 13, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -153.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 4.0, "probability": 0.0359, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.062, "b_trend": -0.0576, "ell_km": 85.4, "ell_trend": -0.24, "rate_acceleration": 0.93, "delta_aic_iet": 746.3, "S_over_Gamma": 13.109, "days_to_criticality": 2098.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.9449, "grad_tau_local": 1.5753, "depth_trend": 4.65, "spatial_concentration": 69.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6155, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 0.0359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "86d8ef02df3b4fe7d587dc159d3008423f5d1442f0eaab8a8a88a6315b48e838", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6155, "probability": 0.035886, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 0.035888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "34ddc2b046f0f10a4397bde9520c88a741994e48eb781b51451f56ec793552ee" }, "receipt_sha256": "34ddc2b046f0f10a4397bde9520c88a741994e48eb781b51451f56ec793552ee" }, { "row": 56, "col": 3, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -173.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 4.3, "probability": 0.0359, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.623, "b_trend": 0.1243, "ell_km": 13.1, "ell_trend": -9.77, "rate_acceleration": 1.25, "delta_aic_iet": 851.03, "S_over_Gamma": 13.991, "days_to_criticality": 2098.2, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.8328, "grad_tau_local": 1.5185, "depth_trend": -4.77, "spatial_concentration": 64.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6128, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 0.0359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "af304c9218ca807ce3499ddb0a3c54e31a191d2280b226da2ba04489f1ae858a", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6128, "probability": 0.035886, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 0.035888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "cf1294ef0b21325a797aab7923a25033cd02d46fa75cccb835ea6f590901d664" }, "receipt_sha256": "cf1294ef0b21325a797aab7923a25033cd02d46fa75cccb835ea6f590901d664" }, { "row": 59, "col": 13, "lat": 59.0, "lon": -153.0, "n_events": 20, "max_mag": 4.2, "probability": 0.0359, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.848, "b_trend": -0.0625, "ell_km": 86.4, "ell_trend": 1.12, "rate_acceleration": 0.82, "delta_aic_iet": 603.28, "S_over_Gamma": 13.217, "days_to_criticality": 110.7, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.6849, "grad_tau_local": 0.2501, "depth_trend": 5.43, "spatial_concentration": 81.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6105, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 0.0359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "21892b5a20373922f60dadc7d778e91846cc56a71762b12a5c8a8a9899868a7b", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6105, "probability": 0.035886, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 0.035888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "a5a515bbc4b67a364b3a96201a77ea791731a418a5d1d1cdf43eec75b3fd200a" }, "receipt_sha256": "a5a515bbc4b67a364b3a96201a77ea791731a418a5d1d1cdf43eec75b3fd200a" }, { "row": 61, "col": 14, "lat": 63.0, "lon": -151.0, "n_events": 12, "max_mag": 3.6, "probability": 0.0359, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.885, "b_trend": 0.0657, "ell_km": 93.8, "ell_trend": -1.15, "rate_acceleration": 1.08, "delta_aic_iet": 585.7, "S_over_Gamma": 13.347, "days_to_criticality": 2098.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.2911, "grad_tau_local": 1.9626, "depth_trend": 5.82, "spatial_concentration": 73.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6092, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 0.0359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "d4f6edf74dd84a854345732b96c4ea2fa87fef3903514dcdec26fe33d202807f", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6092, "probability": 0.035886, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 0.035888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "aed29a0daaecd4453167f8ea9bb95fb63a642bea5450ce88ef4363accf3814ae" }, "receipt_sha256": "aed29a0daaecd4453167f8ea9bb95fb63a642bea5450ce88ef4363accf3814ae" }, { "row": 19, "col": 55, "lat": -21.0, "lon": -69.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.0359, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.103, "b_trend": 0.1236, "ell_km": 66.5, "ell_trend": -1.91, "rate_acceleration": 1.08, "delta_aic_iet": 238.19, "S_over_Gamma": 15.448, "days_to_criticality": 19.7, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.6176, "grad_tau_local": 0.4422, "depth_trend": -6.66, "spatial_concentration": 83.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.603, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 0.0359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "e421ca7eb91a21613dc8ca4b45f6c5315137697545096bbd3cc7331eb4f5a469", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.603, "probability": 0.035886, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 0.035888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "2b4cc37af0610a1ae5543d0cb1b0b01ec68e7b1010e052c8abd39e485568656d" }, "receipt_sha256": "2b4cc37af0610a1ae5543d0cb1b0b01ec68e7b1010e052c8abd39e485568656d" }, { "row": 55, "col": 3, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -173.0, "n_events": 14, "max_mag": 3.2, "probability": 0.0359, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.63, "b_trend": 0.1324, "ell_km": 13.4, "ell_trend": -7.02, "rate_acceleration": 1.28, "delta_aic_iet": 944.45, "S_over_Gamma": 13.812, "days_to_criticality": 2098.4, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.1403, "grad_tau_local": 0.8654, "depth_trend": -3.8, "spatial_concentration": 69.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6011, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 0.0359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "7654df13887a10f322f70b4604ece658cfb90d1747bc2e23b526cd2eeef0869b", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6011, "probability": 0.035886, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 0.035888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "6bb5e4715164538b0d91b70b350e3c1117207ea12a43af4ba4872ef2b4bb30e2" }, "receipt_sha256": "6bb5e4715164538b0d91b70b350e3c1117207ea12a43af4ba4872ef2b4bb30e2" }, { "row": 60, "col": 14, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -151.0, "n_events": 21, "max_mag": 4.9, "probability": 0.0359, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.845, "b_trend": -0.1071, "ell_km": 89.7, "ell_trend": -0.4, "rate_acceleration": 1.0, "delta_aic_iet": 797.2, "S_over_Gamma": 13.257, "days_to_criticality": 2098.9, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.5578, "grad_tau_local": 0.4555, "depth_trend": 3.04, "spatial_concentration": 68.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5969, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 0.0359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "1e8f213ba018baa6f970cf863a163c76b590e330ffa90aa93841c6329b92bdd7", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5969, "probability": 0.035886, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 0.035888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "b73beed48f38de85c0312927d6e51b68bd6103d7ac1d78ca57859a9738a0bdee" }, "receipt_sha256": "b73beed48f38de85c0312927d6e51b68bd6103d7ac1d78ca57859a9738a0bdee" }, { "row": 50, "col": 27, "lat": 41.0, "lon": -125.0, "n_events": 16, "max_mag": 3.1, "probability": 0.0359, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.608, "b_trend": 0.1695, "ell_km": 10.9, "ell_trend": -0.53, "rate_acceleration": 1.22, "delta_aic_iet": 366.42, "S_over_Gamma": 13.372, "days_to_criticality": 20.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.4497, "grad_tau_local": 0.6073, "depth_trend": 0.26, "spatial_concentration": 80.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5931, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 0.0359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "bb0d3ca1589ace6311f39226d4f68ff0031d5dc7ad3177ee0524db5e606dd7d2", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5931, "probability": 0.035886, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 0.035888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "7fc7038c92a782cc79b5e305b70cf16312406ccc58d983434bf7da9a1490a22d" }, "receipt_sha256": "7fc7038c92a782cc79b5e305b70cf16312406ccc58d983434bf7da9a1490a22d" }, { "row": 55, "col": 2, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -175.0, "n_events": 31, "max_mag": 3.7, "probability": 0.0359, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.652, "b_trend": 0.0603, "ell_km": 75.9, "ell_trend": -0.56, "rate_acceleration": 1.88, "delta_aic_iet": 697.52, "S_over_Gamma": 13.522, "days_to_criticality": 2098.4, "conditions_met": 4, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.9284, "grad_tau_local": 0.8023, "depth_trend": -9.42, "spatial_concentration": 77.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5881, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 0.0359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "c1bfb3eb215e6d78688ad9aea4fbc382c31ba43721307a692ef8116baa2c9874", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5881, "probability": 0.035886, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 0.035888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "1c21321d44b48e4fa499bd083c60771bb45d60f6bd6998b3d9c0d859985235ca" }, "receipt_sha256": "1c21321d44b48e4fa499bd083c60771bb45d60f6bd6998b3d9c0d859985235ca" }, { "row": 58, "col": 15, "lat": 57.0, "lon": -149.0, "n_events": 12, "max_mag": 3.3, "probability": 0.0359, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.867, "b_trend": 0.2141, "ell_km": 23.8, "ell_trend": 0.96, "rate_acceleration": 1.06, "delta_aic_iet": 281.58, "S_over_Gamma": 13.392, "days_to_criticality": 20.1, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.861, "grad_tau_local": 1.2569, "depth_trend": -1.62, "spatial_concentration": 50.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5881, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 0.0359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "c1bfb3eb215e6d78688ad9aea4fbc382c31ba43721307a692ef8116baa2c9874", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5881, "probability": 0.035886, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 0.035888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "1c21321d44b48e4fa499bd083c60771bb45d60f6bd6998b3d9c0d859985235ca" }, "receipt_sha256": "1c21321d44b48e4fa499bd083c60771bb45d60f6bd6998b3d9c0d859985235ca" }, { "row": 49, "col": 28, "lat": 39.0, "lon": -123.0, "n_events": 17, "max_mag": 5.6, "probability": 0.0359, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.942, "b_trend": 0.1292, "ell_km": 3.5, "ell_trend": -0.07, "rate_acceleration": 1.03, "delta_aic_iet": 539.73, "S_over_Gamma": 13.691, "days_to_criticality": 21.7, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.6211, "grad_tau_local": 0.8131, "depth_trend": -0.3, "spatial_concentration": 71.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5879, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 0.0359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "5c8334505d1f2d626de10f0a393c3888d89296bcd78b4c93dd37dfff315e006f", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5879, "probability": 0.035886, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 0.035888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "41fdd7ce6e0a6acae4e55193072d7584d05f0695539cf2e70c9614fe33ee6e85" }, "receipt_sha256": "41fdd7ce6e0a6acae4e55193072d7584d05f0695539cf2e70c9614fe33ee6e85" }, { "row": 60, "col": 15, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -149.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 3.1, "probability": 0.0359, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.848, "b_trend": -0.049, "ell_km": 85.6, "ell_trend": -0.28, "rate_acceleration": 0.98, "delta_aic_iet": 789.1, "S_over_Gamma": 13.056, "days_to_criticality": 2098.9, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.7805, "grad_tau_local": 0.83, "depth_trend": 2.15, "spatial_concentration": 69.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5872, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 0.0359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "e8a336cdbe875098f43e5b82ddd88c4f6a5f81a80e7f302819819bcf3a2daa17", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5872, "probability": 0.035886, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 0.035888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "c77412a5bf2593913caa3439b435b2d8397ff272914e23cb4c1f9e904a9d84c2" }, "receipt_sha256": "c77412a5bf2593913caa3439b435b2d8397ff272914e23cb4c1f9e904a9d84c2" }, { "row": 19, "col": 0, "lat": -21.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 14, "max_mag": 5.5, "probability": 0.0359, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.514, "b_trend": -0.5145, "ell_km": 64.0, "ell_trend": 2.28, "rate_acceleration": 1.01, "delta_aic_iet": 290.42, "S_over_Gamma": 15.513, "days_to_criticality": 195.0, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 2.6249, "depth_trend": -11.68, "spatial_concentration": 96.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5852, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 0.0359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "4c74d2b1b7bfd7d36c0aeeb21f8e5e4dc2384700c82485c535aab27c89d02256", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5852, "probability": 0.035886, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 0.035888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "034a64af62aa02f580cf47d18ba1b5f54c7f1f2965189d60e45fe7aeceea8dfe" }, "receipt_sha256": "034a64af62aa02f580cf47d18ba1b5f54c7f1f2965189d60e45fe7aeceea8dfe" }, { "row": 47, "col": 102, "lat": 35.0, "lon": 25.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.2, "probability": 0.0359, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 26.0, "ell_trend": -6.32, "rate_acceleration": 2.61, "delta_aic_iet": 111.53, "S_over_Gamma": 15.483, "days_to_criticality": 2099.1, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.7011, "grad_tau_local": 0.3467, "depth_trend": -19.97, "spatial_concentration": 64.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.585, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 0.0359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "9a0352befc22e3a0cf6e372208426c82d39cdf05db3c8b9c72829400bb7bd33f", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.585, "probability": 0.035886, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 0.035888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "e65aa8507d36d62bfea9ab22e9619f9bbe1da65a5d9d2eaa2f20771c87e65936" }, "receipt_sha256": "e65aa8507d36d62bfea9ab22e9619f9bbe1da65a5d9d2eaa2f20771c87e65936" }, { "row": 19, "col": 1, "lat": -21.0, "lon": -177.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 4.4, "probability": 0.0359, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.431, "b_trend": -0.2539, "ell_km": 74.3, "ell_trend": 2.58, "rate_acceleration": 1.05, "delta_aic_iet": 287.09, "S_over_Gamma": 14.361, "days_to_criticality": 19.0, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.6249, "grad_tau_local": 1.613, "depth_trend": 8.17, "spatial_concentration": 91.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5817, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 0.0359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "5341345c0077d9b481c53194541c3f8bdb1963f52c69a823e456401dd39323ab", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5817, "probability": 0.035886, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 0.035888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "2a869025163777327bd352900f9c35e19b1fce6043c6f7f4230908f14ab71620" }, "receipt_sha256": "2a869025163777327bd352900f9c35e19b1fce6043c6f7f4230908f14ab71620" }, { "row": 32, "col": 152, "lat": 5.0, "lon": 125.0, "n_events": 49, "max_mag": 6.5, "probability": 0.0359, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.126, "b_trend": -0.0795, "ell_km": 38.0, "ell_trend": -12.13, "rate_acceleration": 3.6, "delta_aic_iet": 292.42, "S_over_Gamma": 15.042, "days_to_criticality": 2098.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 9.949, "grad_tau_local": 0.9205, "depth_trend": -25.27, "spatial_concentration": 87.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5769, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 0.0359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "c7184d137282858df8f9df4800e56bfd8a0609f7a3fb3a1daec043d8af8225e5", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5769, "probability": 0.035886, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 0.035888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "2f453b8e504079c60ad7eb04611b14287ee7681ad872d4571929af8860ce9a2a" }, "receipt_sha256": "2f453b8e504079c60ad7eb04611b14287ee7681ad872d4571929af8860ce9a2a" }, { "row": 35, "col": 55, "lat": 11.0, "lon": -69.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 7.5, "probability": 0.0359, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 14.5, "ell_trend": 6.49, "rate_acceleration": 2.32, "delta_aic_iet": -2.44, "S_over_Gamma": 0.208, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": false }, "tau_local": 1.7218, "grad_tau_local": 0.5521, "depth_trend": -1.67, "spatial_concentration": 61.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5731, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 0.0359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "5ae3835659611771c588aab437ac7908c2cf26e3683a4e4641b3671ad6b57ff3", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5731, "probability": 0.035886, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 0.035888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "a3ae6d522b308f2ffc70765759fe166a798d4ef04bc9569bb4b0b5389e5b4790" }, "receipt_sha256": "a3ae6d522b308f2ffc70765759fe166a798d4ef04bc9569bb4b0b5389e5b4790" }, { "row": 26, "col": 154, "lat": -7.0, "lon": 129.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.0359, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.388, "b_trend": 0.039, "ell_km": 93.0, "ell_trend": 2.5, "rate_acceleration": 0.67, "delta_aic_iet": 221.15, "S_over_Gamma": 15.402, "days_to_criticality": 19.2, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.9979, "grad_tau_local": 1.0601, "depth_trend": 9.16, "spatial_concentration": 71.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5621, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 0.0359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "5e7abc91a78b86ef58d28544edea62645ec49f50d889bd3cba283138cfeb84e8", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5621, "probability": 0.035886, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 0.035888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "fc38b97573af81ff82c7f7145b669e44147a03cdab62ed4af08af16fbbe019ca" }, "receipt_sha256": "fc38b97573af81ff82c7f7145b669e44147a03cdab62ed4af08af16fbbe019ca" }, { "row": 63, "col": 19, "lat": 67.0, "lon": -141.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.0, "probability": 0.0359, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 5.6, "ell_trend": -0.14, "rate_acceleration": 1.07, "delta_aic_iet": 45.39, "S_over_Gamma": 10.065, "days_to_criticality": 27.5, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 1.6722, "grad_tau_local": 1.6581, "depth_trend": -1.43, "spatial_concentration": 69.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5554, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 0.0359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "37ec0cb9e8e8a959e9e33974eb9076460b09c4172baac48c94e2aefe33610dc3", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5554, "probability": 0.035886, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 0.035888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "15bf27ed683a8963c879e15d35f39c6348d010efe7e929eb9901f7709decfc4a" }, "receipt_sha256": "15bf27ed683a8963c879e15d35f39c6348d010efe7e929eb9901f7709decfc4a" }, { "row": 56, "col": 4, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -171.0, "n_events": 17, "max_mag": 4.9, "probability": 0.0359, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.634, "b_trend": 0.1482, "ell_km": 12.5, "ell_trend": -11.23, "rate_acceleration": 1.24, "delta_aic_iet": 802.98, "S_over_Gamma": 13.714, "days_to_criticality": 2098.0, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.0118, "grad_tau_local": 1.4776, "depth_trend": -2.83, "spatial_concentration": 89.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5536, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 0.0359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "5d1e0be2b678fec31a57430f7904fdc2fb0ed1f648f481d0350975388514b2ac", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5536, "probability": 0.035886, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 0.035888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "85183a855f6bdce0ed794ed76d69fb9b2815887f900cca0606e6e8204b429cef" }, "receipt_sha256": "85183a855f6bdce0ed794ed76d69fb9b2815887f900cca0606e6e8204b429cef" }, { "row": 48, "col": 29, "lat": 37.0, "lon": -121.0, "n_events": 14, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.0359, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.998, "b_trend": 0.1155, "ell_km": 2.3, "ell_trend": -0.02, "rate_acceleration": 0.67, "delta_aic_iet": 408.83, "S_over_Gamma": 13.356, "days_to_criticality": 21.8, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.2688, "grad_tau_local": 0.9222, "depth_trend": -0.08, "spatial_concentration": 79.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5529, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 0.0359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "25c514d9a0de79230eb834b25cab1c1b0fa05e8ebd2d6a4b74708f8d0d722b14", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5529, "probability": 0.035886, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 0.035888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "8e279315ff5da139869930a89913d527794ccffec22ff8266d9f85f4d36859e7" }, "receipt_sha256": "8e279315ff5da139869930a89913d527794ccffec22ff8266d9f85f4d36859e7" }, { "row": 55, "col": 178, "lat": 51.0, "lon": 177.0, "n_events": 71, "max_mag": 4.5, "probability": 0.0359, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.498, "b_trend": 0.2278, "ell_km": 12.7, "ell_trend": -11.2, "rate_acceleration": 2.38, "delta_aic_iet": 472.58, "S_over_Gamma": 14.147, "days_to_criticality": 2098.7, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.4022, "grad_tau_local": 1.5911, "depth_trend": -12.04, "spatial_concentration": 126.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5515, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 0.0359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "ce0ca631cd79addc9b1273165962783b58d8ce3da4a70f7848daaf1c2375074d", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5515, "probability": 0.035886, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 0.035888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "81207c24331f7ab676be29becbcadf520b26fb30c75dc748b87854f1e7187e10" }, "receipt_sha256": "81207c24331f7ab676be29becbcadf520b26fb30c75dc748b87854f1e7187e10" }, { "row": 30, "col": 153, "lat": 1.0, "lon": 127.0, "n_events": 13, "max_mag": 6.2, "probability": 0.0359, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.239, "b_trend": -0.0959, "ell_km": 35.2, "ell_trend": -12.7, "rate_acceleration": 0.58, "delta_aic_iet": 581.04, "S_over_Gamma": 15.488, "days_to_criticality": 2099.8, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 10.2229, "grad_tau_local": 0.787, "depth_trend": -14.24, "spatial_concentration": 76.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5491, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 0.0359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "08632315e41f197e746034be7d62d0295ae3e7c424fbc0900861210d5872bc84", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5491, "probability": 0.035886, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 0.035888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "fca160b7d942da31e9551ba6615e37e9ca575f51bc1c5b4ed4dff186a2a1ef43" }, "receipt_sha256": "fca160b7d942da31e9551ba6615e37e9ca575f51bc1c5b4ed4dff186a2a1ef43" }, { "row": 18, "col": 179, "lat": -23.0, "lon": 179.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.5, "probability": 0.0359, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.11, "b_trend": -0.1375, "ell_km": 59.0, "ell_trend": -1.33, "rate_acceleration": 0.99, "delta_aic_iet": 219.12, "S_over_Gamma": 15.513, "days_to_criticality": 20.1, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 0.482, "depth_trend": 3.22, "spatial_concentration": 120.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.549, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 0.0359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "4b8bdd2760b2f5a0e28b981edc6e4cb6e000b5e4ee6451f8d19a8abda1b3db9a", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.549, "probability": 0.035886, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 0.035888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "368db7220f445f25c473734accc1cca46a855db7f21061545d84f83fa00c2d8b" }, "receipt_sha256": "368db7220f445f25c473734accc1cca46a855db7f21061545d84f83fa00c2d8b" }, { "row": 31, "col": 153, "lat": 3.0, "lon": 127.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 5.4, "probability": 0.0359, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.143, "b_trend": -0.118, "ell_km": 33.7, "ell_trend": -16.46, "rate_acceleration": 1.1, "delta_aic_iet": 743.21, "S_over_Gamma": 15.623, "days_to_criticality": 2099.8, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 9.6203, "grad_tau_local": 0.6924, "depth_trend": -10.31, "spatial_concentration": 73.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5399, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 0.0359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "98630350f4c57dfa383a83f9ae48a692b3d97ade954c44010461fe7e8edfbf30", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5399, "probability": 0.035886, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 0.035888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "c911a9c937ee1695f0b179d1c46ae992eefd5c75d7f6eaaf75e5e2bf5548d57f" }, "receipt_sha256": "c911a9c937ee1695f0b179d1c46ae992eefd5c75d7f6eaaf75e5e2bf5548d57f" }, { "row": 47, "col": 160, "lat": 35.0, "lon": 141.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 5.8, "probability": 0.0359, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 121.4, "ell_trend": 8.47, "rate_acceleration": 1.02, "delta_aic_iet": 137.9, "S_over_Gamma": 15.933, "days_to_criticality": 67.0, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.528, "grad_tau_local": 0.6708, "depth_trend": 6.82, "spatial_concentration": 86.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5323, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 0.0359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "a5202db61831ebeb00bef6306d47dd8a3525147fa9af53bd3df2073f37aff838", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5323, "probability": 0.035886, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 0.035888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "cb65ffa842e1abb0a7da3febf30ce9041bada24bde8a0a0356ea4e652fa6f64e" }, "receipt_sha256": "cb65ffa842e1abb0a7da3febf30ce9041bada24bde8a0a0356ea4e652fa6f64e" }, { "row": 57, "col": 10, "lat": 55.0, "lon": -159.0, "n_events": 11, "max_mag": 3.1, "probability": 0.0359, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.778, "b_trend": 0.0646, "ell_km": 19.2, "ell_trend": 0.55, "rate_acceleration": 0.72, "delta_aic_iet": 985.55, "S_over_Gamma": 13.353, "days_to_criticality": 58.4, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.955, "grad_tau_local": 0.8912, "depth_trend": -1.21, "spatial_concentration": 91.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5311, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 0.0359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "4d696946ef089a585792d4e9ec50631f13fd88537f26ff8b9eb5c13f360409b3", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5311, "probability": 0.035886, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 0.035888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "997d8652508c72a2b99ee9902a3a1e4d43f296421cb36560d727a31715da2c46" }, "receipt_sha256": "997d8652508c72a2b99ee9902a3a1e4d43f296421cb36560d727a31715da2c46" }, { "row": 60, "col": 19, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -141.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.2, "probability": 0.0359, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.802, "b_trend": 0.1304, "ell_km": 9.9, "ell_trend": -0.01, "rate_acceleration": 0.17, "delta_aic_iet": -1465.52, "S_over_Gamma": 13.313, "days_to_criticality": 18.1, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.3987, "grad_tau_local": 1.1513, "depth_trend": 0.17, "spatial_concentration": 61.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5294, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 0.0359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "b4cdb6cd34f4b68ab8cde8e3d0e345ef9bb9177f42f9f1796fc3fd5da6db0441", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5294, "probability": 0.035886, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 0.035888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "814dbf06af91e21a41be6612fed44f94648af122474155a96e7dc42ecc84000b" }, "receipt_sha256": "814dbf06af91e21a41be6612fed44f94648af122474155a96e7dc42ecc84000b" }, { "row": 50, "col": 35, "lat": 41.0, "lon": -109.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.0359, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.825, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 2.4, "ell_trend": -0.32, "rate_acceleration": 0.98, "delta_aic_iet": 57.64, "S_over_Gamma": 13.423, "days_to_criticality": 18.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.5853, "grad_tau_local": 0.3875, "depth_trend": -3.14, "spatial_concentration": 84.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5254, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 0.0359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "e305d2325d3e8011a190ef8b7e13b3b305d2e7dc59b18758025ddcbb4dd7b509", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5254, "probability": 0.035886, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 0.035888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "82621fbe5925000a6d6f847c2d964b9dc9d5ed8b1b89d7fb731f487d2aa51b4a" }, "receipt_sha256": "82621fbe5925000a6d6f847c2d964b9dc9d5ed8b1b89d7fb731f487d2aa51b4a" }, { "row": 57, "col": 9, "lat": 55.0, "lon": -161.0, "n_events": 23, "max_mag": 4.0, "probability": 0.0359, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.775, "b_trend": 0.0541, "ell_km": 18.8, "ell_trend": -0.48, "rate_acceleration": 1.04, "delta_aic_iet": 1010.61, "S_over_Gamma": 13.328, "days_to_criticality": 20.0, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 9.3541, "grad_tau_local": 0.4685, "depth_trend": 0.04, "spatial_concentration": 77.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5244, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 0.0359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "0a0f5aa5ff0ab058f7b3eeb553cd7ec6432f8581215858e4cc1aaf52cace8e6f", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5244, "probability": 0.035886, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 0.035888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "e3f1b77d9001e66e24b22d6c86eace1235fcfbde52bf670dea3865d596c1b7a3" }, "receipt_sha256": "e3f1b77d9001e66e24b22d6c86eace1235fcfbde52bf670dea3865d596c1b7a3" }, { "row": 56, "col": 8, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -163.0, "n_events": 16, "max_mag": 2.9, "probability": 0.0359, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.751, "b_trend": 0.0268, "ell_km": 19.2, "ell_trend": -0.05, "rate_acceleration": 1.17, "delta_aic_iet": 1048.08, "S_over_Gamma": 13.215, "days_to_criticality": 2098.6, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.9309, "grad_tau_local": 1.2344, "depth_trend": -1.22, "spatial_concentration": 69.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.501, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 0.0359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "0c217153a15ec5433e0f7e1836193d424d7796700b232d69b7e6142b600f12bb", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.501, "probability": 0.035886, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 0.035888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "6812b24d7a8aa8b4e4b093d9be4de5b3af379cb705a253c4c488e31046465398" }, "receipt_sha256": "6812b24d7a8aa8b4e4b093d9be4de5b3af379cb705a253c4c488e31046465398" }, { "row": 31, "col": 154, "lat": 3.0, "lon": 129.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 4.8, "probability": 0.0359, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.456, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 95.5, "ell_trend": -4.49, "rate_acceleration": 0.71, "delta_aic_iet": 239.25, "S_over_Gamma": 15.88, "days_to_criticality": 2099.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.0907, "grad_tau_local": 1.7986, "depth_trend": -10.41, "spatial_concentration": 45.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4997, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 0.0359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "87f2a7aac56e8a5f6c79b1a161689e7081bafeeb7d981f3b55e49c38e0ec5364", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4997, "probability": 0.035886, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 0.035888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "b533d7a8364b6bfde8f38d0dc9ea545774a9cdde68de56f235edaf3ab28383b1" }, "receipt_sha256": "b533d7a8364b6bfde8f38d0dc9ea545774a9cdde68de56f235edaf3ab28383b1" }, { "row": 56, "col": 2, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -175.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 3.4, "probability": 0.0359, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.654, "b_trend": 0.0736, "ell_km": 69.1, "ell_trend": 0.55, "rate_acceleration": 1.9, "delta_aic_iet": 619.32, "S_over_Gamma": 13.761, "days_to_criticality": 24.8, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.7447, "grad_tau_local": 2.0256, "depth_trend": -10.44, "spatial_concentration": 73.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4958, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 0.0359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "59ab7d99bc7e99779d378fb91869429d7117130cb7b637dfb0ef425737157966", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4958, "probability": 0.035886, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 0.035888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "d6d6a600b28b37ba5ffaf1cc834b1d28c81451f4e414ad9bf1d2521a326b77e0" }, "receipt_sha256": "d6d6a600b28b37ba5ffaf1cc834b1d28c81451f4e414ad9bf1d2521a326b77e0" }, { "row": 56, "col": 170, "lat": 53.0, "lon": 161.0, "n_events": 24, "max_mag": 5.8, "probability": 0.0359, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.129, "b_trend": 0.0328, "ell_km": 64.3, "ell_trend": -6.03, "rate_acceleration": 0.11, "delta_aic_iet": -1535.26, "S_over_Gamma": 15.554, "days_to_criticality": 2099.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 12.3721, "grad_tau_local": 2.1745, "depth_trend": 7.56, "spatial_concentration": 47.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4806, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 0.0359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "10afc77392db439f3785e164fc0e6d04e5d7b913560d291a4a6d434f2aeeb8fb", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4806, "probability": 0.035886, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 0.035888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "5c9e14f629191e3c7c2fb197c6eaab2c1c329adfed7fe9e33ba2ba552a436fd7" }, "receipt_sha256": "5c9e14f629191e3c7c2fb197c6eaab2c1c329adfed7fe9e33ba2ba552a436fd7" }, { "row": 21, "col": 2, "lat": -17.0, "lon": -175.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.7, "probability": 0.0359, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.945, "b_trend": -0.0682, "ell_km": 63.6, "ell_trend": -13.37, "rate_acceleration": 1.25, "delta_aic_iet": 296.63, "S_over_Gamma": 15.282, "days_to_criticality": 2097.3, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.4795, "grad_tau_local": 0.7477, "depth_trend": 2.65, "spatial_concentration": 70.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4765, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 0.0359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "ce3bb15936214943469b474108f6741f30c20e1016e62f42676e38a28f891f3e", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4765, "probability": 0.035886, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 0.035888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "c104cea5519eed26ff2da51cb069f39b67f6938013f17588fff9d6894ac6c945" }, "receipt_sha256": "c104cea5519eed26ff2da51cb069f39b67f6938013f17588fff9d6894ac6c945" }, { "row": 57, "col": 11, "lat": 55.0, "lon": -157.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.0359, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.803, "b_trend": 0.1148, "ell_km": 19.2, "ell_trend": 0.57, "rate_acceleration": 0.58, "delta_aic_iet": 958.02, "S_over_Gamma": 13.76, "days_to_criticality": 75.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.6487, "grad_tau_local": 1.3332, "depth_trend": -0.22, "spatial_concentration": 87.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4737, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 0.0359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "9a8befd87fd2aded75e24c28efc11ddaac44d6723144606b2fca868405046be5", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4737, "probability": 0.035886, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 0.035888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "fb5d22bf3e3de0f3ca05987280f75b415beb2eddbc6cbadd62493dac2c3efeeb" }, "receipt_sha256": "fb5d22bf3e3de0f3ca05987280f75b415beb2eddbc6cbadd62493dac2c3efeeb" }, { "row": 27, "col": 166, "lat": -5.0, "lon": 153.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 5.5, "probability": 0.0359, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.348, "b_trend": 0.1414, "ell_km": 104.2, "ell_trend": -12.14, "rate_acceleration": 1.26, "delta_aic_iet": 182.38, "S_over_Gamma": 15.898, "days_to_criticality": 2098.4, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.0691, "grad_tau_local": 0.6733, "depth_trend": 18.45, "spatial_concentration": 60.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4676, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 0.0359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "e9de9ea9b1c45b5382f87f704ff56c890d71e34d16c217da5bc160bf0478be29", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4676, "probability": 0.035886, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 0.035888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "9e08a9715803529dbb02da4beb9749b2bf8a84056a8abc0eecd98c206da00a26" }, "receipt_sha256": "9e08a9715803529dbb02da4beb9749b2bf8a84056a8abc0eecd98c206da00a26" }, { "row": 47, "col": 31, "lat": 35.0, "lon": -117.0, "n_events": 11, "max_mag": 4.3, "probability": 0.0359, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.894, "b_trend": -0.0819, "ell_km": 2.4, "ell_trend": -0.36, "rate_acceleration": 1.62, "delta_aic_iet": 454.66, "S_over_Gamma": 13.367, "days_to_criticality": 2099.0, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.0509, "grad_tau_local": 0.4962, "depth_trend": 0.26, "spatial_concentration": 78.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4564, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 0.0359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "c8116176b93a05cc1ae89aeb72cdef68eb77fba86815f3f62c4ff332113d7bba", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4564, "probability": 0.035886, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 0.035888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "7d143402d618e11065cd8298d564ac1a1855036b2dd5ebfb116b57c3022787d0" }, "receipt_sha256": "7d143402d618e11065cd8298d564ac1a1855036b2dd5ebfb116b57c3022787d0" }, { "row": 57, "col": 8, "lat": 55.0, "lon": -163.0, "n_events": 24, "max_mag": 5.4, "probability": 0.0359, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.758, "b_trend": 0.039, "ell_km": 19.3, "ell_trend": -0.12, "rate_acceleration": 1.11, "delta_aic_iet": 1078.87, "S_over_Gamma": 13.529, "days_to_criticality": 2098.6, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.1345, "grad_tau_local": 1.329, "depth_trend": 0.36, "spatial_concentration": 64.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4343, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 0.0359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "3aaba23a9effbaccf9ca7244da89d4f031cb6376c04b1134c54c23c0cde06bd5", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4343, "probability": 0.035886, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 0.035888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "7bf1584269b8c3cb42a2c4c3a481dc6bd0ded9dbbdda8e88848bd4754492dfe3" }, "receipt_sha256": "7bf1584269b8c3cb42a2c4c3a481dc6bd0ded9dbbdda8e88848bd4754492dfe3" }, { "row": 55, "col": 169, "lat": 51.0, "lon": 159.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 5.3, "probability": 0.0359, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.135, "b_trend": 0.0129, "ell_km": 71.7, "ell_trend": -7.17, "rate_acceleration": 0.12, "delta_aic_iet": -1639.69, "S_over_Gamma": 15.789, "days_to_criticality": 2099.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 12.9202, "grad_tau_local": 0.6432, "depth_trend": 8.8, "spatial_concentration": 81.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4239, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 0.0359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "0560ae406c4155537fe0553ddac083e716a4fe24e8cfa947455d5fea0da785d2", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4239, "probability": 0.035886, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 0.035888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "dc6d11f5ab69c7911447d1f902f816fb7e6b31d27fbaa9e1a96bc26d7785ba05" }, "receipt_sha256": "dc6d11f5ab69c7911447d1f902f816fb7e6b31d27fbaa9e1a96bc26d7785ba05" }, { "row": 45, "col": 37, "lat": 31.0, "lon": -105.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 3.2, "probability": 0.0359, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.11, "b_trend": -0.1986, "ell_km": 3.7, "ell_trend": -0.06, "rate_acceleration": 0.73, "delta_aic_iet": 377.69, "S_over_Gamma": 13.098, "days_to_criticality": 18.3, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.5134, "grad_tau_local": 0.7558, "depth_trend": 0.04, "spatial_concentration": 39.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4202, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 0.0359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "1468eb6e7bd8d8fffbcfced1ebfab5f66245a25c19acdc102b99986be560ad06", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4202, "probability": 0.035886, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 0.035888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "14d96968509d7080d83575495bc2a7b72b9936b107186f9d0429393e8ad300f2" }, "receipt_sha256": "14d96968509d7080d83575495bc2a7b72b9936b107186f9d0429393e8ad300f2" }, { "row": 56, "col": 5, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -169.0, "n_events": 24, "max_mag": 4.0, "probability": 0.0359, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.642, "b_trend": 0.1446, "ell_km": 12.0, "ell_trend": -11.4, "rate_acceleration": 1.56, "delta_aic_iet": 859.03, "S_over_Gamma": 13.596, "days_to_criticality": 2098.4, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.5349, "grad_tau_local": 0.6585, "depth_trend": -0.94, "spatial_concentration": 77.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4193, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 0.0359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "9db58bdf954bb73cc84e3d8b65827578130225fa004aa977b0aba67719bb3943", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4193, "probability": 0.035886, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 0.035888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "e30310c4f039130140e7279a57b5fe84fa04a3e732107ccb71877af112ae4631" }, "receipt_sha256": "e30310c4f039130140e7279a57b5fe84fa04a3e732107ccb71877af112ae4631" }, { "row": 46, "col": 32, "lat": 33.0, "lon": -115.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 3.0, "probability": 0.0359, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.842, "b_trend": -0.0514, "ell_km": 2.5, "ell_trend": -0.4, "rate_acceleration": 1.26, "delta_aic_iet": 365.55, "S_over_Gamma": 12.975, "days_to_criticality": 22.1, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.0273, "grad_tau_local": 1.0244, "depth_trend": -0.03, "spatial_concentration": 59.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4141, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 0.0359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "fcc623edd619f8b62b0382c699cb4682628f35d80d7badfe6d1aa0d77d488390", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4141, "probability": 0.035886, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 0.035888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "dc19d510e69c34658a516d307a34c8dcb1e225cfcded87e78f1ce927dd90f6fc" }, "receipt_sha256": "dc19d510e69c34658a516d307a34c8dcb1e225cfcded87e78f1ce927dd90f6fc" }, { "row": 38, "col": 60, "lat": 17.0, "lon": -59.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.6, "probability": 0.0359, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 13.3, "ell_trend": -0.07, "rate_acceleration": 0.5, "delta_aic_iet": -2.21, "S_over_Gamma": 11.132, "days_to_criticality": 1124.3, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.891, "grad_tau_local": 0.8899, "depth_trend": 1.85, "spatial_concentration": 58.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4123, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 0.0359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "627f3eaea9cbcfd775bee6253b56cef7cf00be084b22b1b421071a7313d71f25", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4123, "probability": 0.035886, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 0.035888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "fae37071f7a36cf97b9234a0687233343f6ee174a93f80040ca7ba7c5fc1fff8" }, "receipt_sha256": "fae37071f7a36cf97b9234a0687233343f6ee174a93f80040ca7ba7c5fc1fff8" }, { "row": 54, "col": 167, "lat": 49.0, "lon": 155.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 5.9, "probability": 0.0359, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.156, "b_trend": 0.0433, "ell_km": 86.0, "ell_trend": -3.97, "rate_acceleration": 0.26, "delta_aic_iet": 447.25, "S_over_Gamma": 15.251, "days_to_criticality": 2099.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.4837, "grad_tau_local": 1.6562, "depth_trend": 20.5, "spatial_concentration": 73.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 0.0359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "76ac2cde7665454a2feeeb3ff8bf3c4b85272509b98228dbc1e8f7a8c979a647", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4, "probability": 0.035886, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 0.035888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "bbd666aac9d89279648c676c409c86f412828096e0855359d09b2bbdaa4d7d43" }, "receipt_sha256": "bbd666aac9d89279648c676c409c86f412828096e0855359d09b2bbdaa4d7d43" }, { "row": 50, "col": 160, "lat": 41.0, "lon": 141.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.0359, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.887, "b_trend": 0.0606, "ell_km": 34.3, "ell_trend": 2.32, "rate_acceleration": 1.41, "delta_aic_iet": 372.81, "S_over_Gamma": 15.05, "days_to_criticality": 48.7, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.0561, "grad_tau_local": 1.8171, "depth_trend": 5.98, "spatial_concentration": 55.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3917, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 0.0359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "56f0b8767d169d16ccaa683e171e6961895e140221e20cdf51ac8bbecb9354ff", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3917, "probability": 0.035886, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 0.035888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "a7484557c3d423b319c65ba56e2fd26fb2bf7fc362675d6ce26b8a5ace767f9f" }, "receipt_sha256": "a7484557c3d423b319c65ba56e2fd26fb2bf7fc362675d6ce26b8a5ace767f9f" }, { "row": 48, "col": 31, "lat": 37.0, "lon": -117.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 3.6, "probability": 0.0359, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.917, "b_trend": -0.1093, "ell_km": 1.9, "ell_trend": -0.07, "rate_acceleration": 1.24, "delta_aic_iet": 333.43, "S_over_Gamma": 12.675, "days_to_criticality": 20.0, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.064, "grad_tau_local": 0.4455, "depth_trend": -0.73, "spatial_concentration": 54.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.379, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 0.0359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "73a37fd06f60f2bd91de594c45724a3b98248a07184843b7dabbc5b11eb7ccca", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.379, "probability": 0.035886, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 0.035888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "3d4eca85ddc8c57d0116ee6fad9746506cd0d5500630593b8a949c18e314e617" }, "receipt_sha256": "3d4eca85ddc8c57d0116ee6fad9746506cd0d5500630593b8a949c18e314e617" }, { "row": 48, "col": 37, "lat": 37.0, "lon": -105.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 3.8, "probability": 0.0359, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 4.0, "ell_trend": -0.24, "rate_acceleration": 2.12, "delta_aic_iet": 32.95, "S_over_Gamma": 11.269, "days_to_criticality": 6.0, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.2482, "grad_tau_local": 0.5313, "depth_trend": 0.99, "spatial_concentration": 77.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3627, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 0.0359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "a656bc8de8054ea68831e91e65d80e6c162a5f760e53f4556123fc7072c5c40b", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3627, "probability": 0.035886, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 0.035888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "8e3d69231347f172f54d9fa95e3fd9076457185093da7fc377ad462de0048e93" }, "receipt_sha256": "8e3d69231347f172f54d9fa95e3fd9076457185093da7fc377ad462de0048e93" }, { "row": 28, "col": 159, "lat": -3.0, "lon": 139.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.1, "probability": 0.0359, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.116, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 25.3, "ell_trend": 5.28, "rate_acceleration": 0.58, "delta_aic_iet": 127.57, "S_over_Gamma": 14.795, "days_to_criticality": 0.5, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.8168, "grad_tau_local": 0.2123, "depth_trend": 2.18, "spatial_concentration": 76.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3327, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 0.0359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "9bca5a669a2336d68d8a8ae01524e86c1e95b77de0692c8b6b2ba52e04ca6e4c", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3327, "probability": 0.035886, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 0.035888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "7cf81b8725154214dbd3715930526597fa600a15dae6336809d7652fdb604042" }, "receipt_sha256": "7cf81b8725154214dbd3715930526597fa600a15dae6336809d7652fdb604042" }, { "row": 50, "col": 161, "lat": 41.0, "lon": 143.0, "n_events": 23, "max_mag": 6.9, "probability": 0.0359, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.929, "b_trend": 0.0756, "ell_km": 34.8, "ell_trend": 2.32, "rate_acceleration": 1.37, "delta_aic_iet": 472.1, "S_over_Gamma": 15.525, "days_to_criticality": 49.1, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.6818, "grad_tau_local": 1.0696, "depth_trend": 6.93, "spatial_concentration": 70.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3205, "confidence_lo": 0.0358, "confidence_hi": 0.0359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2054b4b500eda510b98ce98575d078e58adb0b4f430679a29348576b36da8503", "input_sha256": "df353d805b537c386068372e2c0ee5d9fb91f1ef193d10361d41e80a6e5a562a", "issued_at": "2026-07-19T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3205, "probability": 0.035886, "confidence_lo": 0.035849, "confidence_hi": 0.035888, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "4cf36e0a1539c70adcb4ab26099694ccbd381d5e5cf7058f68a3145d86469f60" }, "receipt_sha256": "4cf36e0a1539c70adcb4ab26099694ccbd381d5e5cf7058f68a3145d86469f60" } ] }