{ "forecast_id": "eq_fcst_20260720_1300", "hazard": "earthquake", "issued_at": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "forecast_horizon_days": 30, "target_magnitude_min": 6.0, "feature_history_days": 400, "recent_activity_days": 30, "min_events_per_active_cell": 5, "forecast_domain": { "name": "global_2deg_grid", "lat_min": -60.0, "lat_max": 70.0, "lon_min": -180.0, "lon_max": 180.0, "dlat": 2.0, "dlon": 2.0, "n_lat": 65, "n_lon": 180, "default_probability": 0.0 }, "source_catalog": { "provider": "USGS FDSNWS", "min_magnitude": 2.5, "window_start": "2025-06-15T13:00:00Z", "window_end": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "n_events": 32690, "n_recent_events": 1905 }, "n_active_cells": 84, "top_probability": 0.5092, "active_cells": [ { "row": 23, "col": 82, "lat": -13.0, "lon": -15.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 5.3, "probability": 0.5092, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 13.8, "ell_trend": null, "rate_acceleration": 6.0, "delta_aic_iet": null, "S_over_Gamma": 10.655, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.3, "grad_tau_local": 0.1027, "depth_trend": 0.21, "spatial_concentration": 47.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.889, "confidence_lo": 0.0361, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d035bdb331014535a1af928a8c9ccdc23658c398a779bf6ef4abf42fb534f120", "input_sha256": "66caa0fc8e1ae0421759715ed6cee01b8067473d841e98404e052d9e2583a890", "issued_at": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.889, "probability": 0.509192, "confidence_lo": 0.036105, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "870176d83163512a75e9cba8cd2ca30a40743f45dd73ad1682fca5082e608a7d" }, "receipt_sha256": "870176d83163512a75e9cba8cd2ca30a40743f45dd73ad1682fca5082e608a7d" }, { "row": 37, "col": 43, "lat": 15.0, "lon": -93.0, "n_events": 66, "max_mag": 7.3, "probability": 0.5092, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.829, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 43.5, "ell_trend": 1.51, "rate_acceleration": 2.35, "delta_aic_iet": 214.21, "S_over_Gamma": 16.02, "days_to_criticality": 158.6, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.241, "grad_tau_local": 0.3004, "depth_trend": -17.67, "spatial_concentration": 94.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.8658, "confidence_lo": 0.0361, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d035bdb331014535a1af928a8c9ccdc23658c398a779bf6ef4abf42fb534f120", "input_sha256": "7fc0ab9eaded88da07b92ac429821712681bced1f4306d02b9a9dbac2d89f044", "issued_at": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.8658, "probability": 0.509192, "confidence_lo": 0.036105, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "56f5df8c4ddcb6cfded4143ce8954d3fb3aaa4491adf6febd923b29e216fd022" }, "receipt_sha256": "56f5df8c4ddcb6cfded4143ce8954d3fb3aaa4491adf6febd923b29e216fd022" }, { "row": 42, "col": 35, "lat": 25.0, "lon": -109.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 6.0, "probability": 0.5092, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 19.6, "ell_trend": null, "rate_acceleration": 2.5, "delta_aic_iet": null, "S_over_Gamma": 13.294, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.2022, "grad_tau_local": 0.3997, "depth_trend": 0.0, "spatial_concentration": 81.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.8529, "confidence_lo": 0.0361, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d035bdb331014535a1af928a8c9ccdc23658c398a779bf6ef4abf42fb534f120", "input_sha256": "8108779f088db07d8b3048eab488d2375eea25cda527ff0edba696ebe18900bc", "issued_at": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.8529, "probability": 0.509192, "confidence_lo": 0.036105, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "14f3270dcc8dd8bf00229519ce6b31b960fa78a9083b92a6b99338e5c271aedb" }, "receipt_sha256": "14f3270dcc8dd8bf00229519ce6b31b960fa78a9083b92a6b99338e5c271aedb" }, { "row": 0, "col": 76, "lat": -59.0, "lon": -27.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 5.4, "probability": 0.0361, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.088, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 64.3, "ell_trend": -1.12, "rate_acceleration": 0.93, "delta_aic_iet": 152.77, "S_over_Gamma": 16.311, "days_to_criticality": 2098.2, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 1.0974, "depth_trend": 2.43, "spatial_concentration": 75.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7256, "confidence_lo": 0.0361, "confidence_hi": 0.0361, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d035bdb331014535a1af928a8c9ccdc23658c398a779bf6ef4abf42fb534f120", "input_sha256": "a1bfdf3e9be7bbfbd9e606c6e2067d20f18d5f7bbd6ffa08f7cddd353f54bf70", "issued_at": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7256, "probability": 0.036141, "confidence_lo": 0.036105, "confidence_hi": 0.036143, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "a52e463e7b5d0c7bd0b3bb4f1dd6795e57b1ddd5d1f5dc2e0e862e817ca2b61d" }, "receipt_sha256": "a52e463e7b5d0c7bd0b3bb4f1dd6795e57b1ddd5d1f5dc2e0e862e817ca2b61d" }, { "row": 55, "col": 179, "lat": 51.0, "lon": 179.0, "n_events": 32, "max_mag": 3.8, "probability": 0.0361, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.525, "b_trend": -0.026, "ell_km": 14.4, "ell_trend": -8.97, "rate_acceleration": 2.15, "delta_aic_iet": 704.1, "S_over_Gamma": 13.823, "days_to_criticality": 2099.4, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 3.4231, "depth_trend": -9.88, "spatial_concentration": 96.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7229, "confidence_lo": 0.0361, "confidence_hi": 0.0361, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d035bdb331014535a1af928a8c9ccdc23658c398a779bf6ef4abf42fb534f120", "input_sha256": "ec334fc1ce74cc58d31d3bfa204b7f88e8e04dd68aa1396cffd1f0f1117f1238", "issued_at": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7229, "probability": 0.036141, "confidence_lo": 0.036105, "confidence_hi": 0.036143, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "98585506961338379dfb7a1c8151f0246d0e02e1c72d70c6ccd43ee368a369eb" }, "receipt_sha256": "98585506961338379dfb7a1c8151f0246d0e02e1c72d70c6ccd43ee368a369eb" }, { "row": 45, "col": 124, "lat": 31.0, "lon": 69.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.3, "probability": 0.0361, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 48.3, "ell_trend": null, "rate_acceleration": 1.71, "delta_aic_iet": 22.76, "S_over_Gamma": 13.951, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 1.9348, "grad_tau_local": 0.4657, "depth_trend": -2.5, "spatial_concentration": 84.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.717, "confidence_lo": 0.0361, "confidence_hi": 0.0361, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d035bdb331014535a1af928a8c9ccdc23658c398a779bf6ef4abf42fb534f120", "input_sha256": "b796d94928b646d8e56f3530c60fb1cfff13cd503b2df39214034de5d8eb0da9", "issued_at": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.717, "probability": 0.036141, "confidence_lo": 0.036105, "confidence_hi": 0.036143, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "355c87262d824961707f7bcda2af3760cb0ac30f3bb3d99ae41dd0e5e0a1072c" }, "receipt_sha256": "355c87262d824961707f7bcda2af3760cb0ac30f3bb3d99ae41dd0e5e0a1072c" }, { "row": 56, "col": 178, "lat": 53.0, "lon": 177.0, "n_events": 53, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.0361, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.48, "b_trend": 0.1832, "ell_km": 12.2, "ell_trend": -9.69, "rate_acceleration": 2.38, "delta_aic_iet": 374.31, "S_over_Gamma": 14.667, "days_to_criticality": 2099.4, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.3183, "grad_tau_local": 1.5956, "depth_trend": -13.63, "spatial_concentration": 109.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7155, "confidence_lo": 0.0361, "confidence_hi": 0.0361, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d035bdb331014535a1af928a8c9ccdc23658c398a779bf6ef4abf42fb534f120", "input_sha256": "420b3f83c23f5f2403a0c183461cf217266592d827e722910a01d51e1730c521", "issued_at": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7155, "probability": 0.036141, "confidence_lo": 0.036105, "confidence_hi": 0.036143, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "700da32e15f9368034632d120ee289ebdf43c7d6d85eefe421876e1a86a0e147" }, "receipt_sha256": "700da32e15f9368034632d120ee289ebdf43c7d6d85eefe421876e1a86a0e147" }, { "row": 19, "col": 174, "lat": -21.0, "lon": 169.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 5.8, "probability": 0.0361, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 104.8, "ell_trend": -1.48, "rate_acceleration": 1.26, "delta_aic_iet": 146.73, "S_over_Gamma": 16.008, "days_to_criticality": 8.0, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.0962, "grad_tau_local": 0.6702, "depth_trend": -16.56, "spatial_concentration": 70.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7103, "confidence_lo": 0.0361, "confidence_hi": 0.0361, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d035bdb331014535a1af928a8c9ccdc23658c398a779bf6ef4abf42fb534f120", "input_sha256": "85889a6cfb2a4e47b5ca8885af5199788a36c35977be44892adc8fc14c6ebb5f", "issued_at": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7103, "probability": 0.036141, "confidence_lo": 0.036105, "confidence_hi": 0.036143, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "2d1f68c9031a26a20c4262bbcd2baeefcf1f61d21bfc6983906599eb6cfbc71a" }, "receipt_sha256": "2d1f68c9031a26a20c4262bbcd2baeefcf1f61d21bfc6983906599eb6cfbc71a" }, { "row": 35, "col": 56, "lat": 11.0, "lon": -67.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.0361, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 32.6, "ell_trend": null, "rate_acceleration": 21.0, "delta_aic_iet": null, "S_over_Gamma": 2.115, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.1667, "grad_tau_local": 0.6949, "depth_trend": -2.0, "spatial_concentration": 79.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7033, "confidence_lo": 0.0361, "confidence_hi": 0.0361, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d035bdb331014535a1af928a8c9ccdc23658c398a779bf6ef4abf42fb534f120", "input_sha256": "9247afc45151b3af78fe3977328633e716b2b23eb6798b1191bd70200db6ddfa", "issued_at": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7033, "probability": 0.036141, "confidence_lo": 0.036105, "confidence_hi": 0.036143, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "4b0c61814b797023f12c30cd2c18f6f238a6ef745743def40eda3f289595157a" }, "receipt_sha256": "4b0c61814b797023f12c30cd2c18f6f238a6ef745743def40eda3f289595157a" }, { "row": 18, "col": 175, "lat": -23.0, "lon": 171.0, "n_events": 16, "max_mag": 6.3, "probability": 0.0361, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.277, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 63.5, "ell_trend": -8.73, "rate_acceleration": 1.3, "delta_aic_iet": 144.56, "S_over_Gamma": 15.253, "days_to_criticality": 2093.5, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.7467, "grad_tau_local": 0.6083, "depth_trend": -8.34, "spatial_concentration": 65.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7007, "confidence_lo": 0.0361, "confidence_hi": 0.0361, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d035bdb331014535a1af928a8c9ccdc23658c398a779bf6ef4abf42fb534f120", "input_sha256": "191ffc0e95f0ab5707b73ac180e27e8a08aeb7e6a5c3cd907542869f92c30692", "issued_at": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7007, "probability": 0.036141, "confidence_lo": 0.036105, "confidence_hi": 0.036143, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "52ba629df913825c99532b7a51c1d6580d6d82df952b398467d613c994ae1e9c" }, "receipt_sha256": "52ba629df913825c99532b7a51c1d6580d6d82df952b398467d613c994ae1e9c" }, { "row": 38, "col": 149, "lat": 17.0, "lon": 119.0, "n_events": 25, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.0361, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 14.7, "ell_trend": -2.54, "rate_acceleration": 5.45, "delta_aic_iet": 90.46, "S_over_Gamma": 9.144, "days_to_criticality": 1789.1, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.452, "grad_tau_local": 0.6877, "depth_trend": -16.28, "spatial_concentration": 77.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6916, "confidence_lo": 0.0361, "confidence_hi": 0.0361, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d035bdb331014535a1af928a8c9ccdc23658c398a779bf6ef4abf42fb534f120", "input_sha256": "ddab5f5a30d74723a830aa02c39c604730c6cf7a69975c4316f5a4e39ac2ccd1", "issued_at": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6916, "probability": 0.036141, "confidence_lo": 0.036105, "confidence_hi": 0.036143, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "1ae226d1c7544cf284339d5ad11b2cd932f18c9ffcbd9b614e9ffae97698a18f" }, "receipt_sha256": "1ae226d1c7544cf284339d5ad11b2cd932f18c9ffcbd9b614e9ffae97698a18f" }, { "row": 48, "col": 125, "lat": 37.0, "lon": 71.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 6.1, "probability": 0.0361, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.052, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 27.7, "ell_trend": 6.56, "rate_acceleration": 0.65, "delta_aic_iet": 239.87, "S_over_Gamma": 15.68, "days_to_criticality": 37.8, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.14, "grad_tau_local": 0.3248, "depth_trend": 38.05, "spatial_concentration": 88.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6896, "confidence_lo": 0.0361, "confidence_hi": 0.0361, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d035bdb331014535a1af928a8c9ccdc23658c398a779bf6ef4abf42fb534f120", "input_sha256": "efcefd9518377bad2bcce9227d6942630a2901d2ecc885e65f5a790be2386623", "issued_at": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6896, "probability": 0.036141, "confidence_lo": 0.036105, "confidence_hi": 0.036143, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "78cd9a6b643c3d4845318a030791fe4756647b1af4ac4fca649777ce4195190a" }, "receipt_sha256": "78cd9a6b643c3d4845318a030791fe4756647b1af4ac4fca649777ce4195190a" }, { "row": 48, "col": 137, "lat": 37.0, "lon": 95.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 5.3, "probability": 0.0361, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 14.3, "ell_trend": null, "rate_acceleration": 33.0, "delta_aic_iet": -80.65, "S_over_Gamma": 8.307, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 1.1319, "grad_tau_local": 0.0666, "depth_trend": 0.07, "spatial_concentration": 40.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6845, "confidence_lo": 0.0361, "confidence_hi": 0.0361, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d035bdb331014535a1af928a8c9ccdc23658c398a779bf6ef4abf42fb534f120", "input_sha256": "a59e13fe1c6d27f66474f91a7a764d0ddc0011b462846ce2c3e8f4f9c8d7e1d1", "issued_at": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6845, "probability": 0.036141, "confidence_lo": 0.036105, "confidence_hi": 0.036143, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "1553e7eb60f4dc136fb437dcc07bcc1759ea75cf88de3fb183a60c8fc8b2c256" }, "receipt_sha256": "1553e7eb60f4dc136fb437dcc07bcc1759ea75cf88de3fb183a60c8fc8b2c256" }, { "row": 56, "col": 6, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -167.0, "n_events": 18, "max_mag": 4.5, "probability": 0.0361, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.657, "b_trend": 0.1409, "ell_km": 12.5, "ell_trend": -4.4, "rate_acceleration": 1.5, "delta_aic_iet": 925.54, "S_over_Gamma": 13.323, "days_to_criticality": 2098.9, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.0905, "grad_tau_local": 0.1414, "depth_trend": 1.48, "spatial_concentration": 68.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6841, "confidence_lo": 0.0361, "confidence_hi": 0.0361, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d035bdb331014535a1af928a8c9ccdc23658c398a779bf6ef4abf42fb534f120", "input_sha256": "0276c0e9a8fd631d24e78782e11e2477600d65faf0b8425c2baf211f09ac41c0", "issued_at": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6841, "probability": 0.036141, "confidence_lo": 0.036105, "confidence_hi": 0.036143, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "a22acf609bbd3022008e5de97a439584a97865ca7d41334b76198e3146641b67" }, "receipt_sha256": "a22acf609bbd3022008e5de97a439584a97865ca7d41334b76198e3146641b67" }, { "row": 36, "col": 44, "lat": 13.0, "lon": -91.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 4.9, "probability": 0.0361, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.79, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 38.9, "ell_trend": 8.0, "rate_acceleration": 2.28, "delta_aic_iet": 221.76, "S_over_Gamma": 14.814, "days_to_criticality": 127.3, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.891, "grad_tau_local": 0.505, "depth_trend": -6.49, "spatial_concentration": 76.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6776, "confidence_lo": 0.0361, "confidence_hi": 0.0361, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d035bdb331014535a1af928a8c9ccdc23658c398a779bf6ef4abf42fb534f120", "input_sha256": "91d176f4bdbc69fc22f947ec490f2686d5b31e56c5a9cd170bf0dd071bdbc46d", "issued_at": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6776, "probability": 0.036141, "confidence_lo": 0.036105, "confidence_hi": 0.036143, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "9bc1140612d3cb4ce59f535fbc5da91af8bde69f03ef68488232822e17ad5a53" }, "receipt_sha256": "9bc1140612d3cb4ce59f535fbc5da91af8bde69f03ef68488232822e17ad5a53" }, { "row": 56, "col": 7, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -165.0, "n_events": 22, "max_mag": 3.3, "probability": 0.0361, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.699, "b_trend": 0.0149, "ell_km": 30.2, "ell_trend": -3.26, "rate_acceleration": 2.3, "delta_aic_iet": 647.73, "S_over_Gamma": 13.329, "days_to_criticality": 2098.8, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.2865, "grad_tau_local": 0.5191, "depth_trend": -8.61, "spatial_concentration": 84.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6721, "confidence_lo": 0.0361, "confidence_hi": 0.0361, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d035bdb331014535a1af928a8c9ccdc23658c398a779bf6ef4abf42fb534f120", "input_sha256": "6ca963bbd52d0523b8d18d78cd2062b76c78a4567bc62927118b9fa865ec6622", "issued_at": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6721, "probability": 0.036141, "confidence_lo": 0.036105, "confidence_hi": 0.036143, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "bd2716fe5a7231aa0c71a766ccf9b968fcf8f92a94988b171ad8e885c29e9c34" }, "receipt_sha256": "bd2716fe5a7231aa0c71a766ccf9b968fcf8f92a94988b171ad8e885c29e9c34" }, { "row": 55, "col": 4, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -171.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.0361, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.63, "b_trend": 0.1407, "ell_km": 12.3, "ell_trend": -10.68, "rate_acceleration": 1.16, "delta_aic_iet": 765.75, "S_over_Gamma": 13.614, "days_to_criticality": 2098.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.2607, "grad_tau_local": 1.3447, "depth_trend": 0.86, "spatial_concentration": 72.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.664, "confidence_lo": 0.0361, "confidence_hi": 0.0361, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d035bdb331014535a1af928a8c9ccdc23658c398a779bf6ef4abf42fb534f120", "input_sha256": "5c011bed3e17924d563b554675164ff548e682dfcacc1695889d932503cbd726", "issued_at": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.664, "probability": 0.036141, "confidence_lo": 0.036105, "confidence_hi": 0.036143, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "e6f8bdffa64a3d557605b9b650e8dd18be7a578bec1e85bcc049dc992ad9dcfa" }, "receipt_sha256": "e6f8bdffa64a3d557605b9b650e8dd18be7a578bec1e85bcc049dc992ad9dcfa" }, { "row": 55, "col": 0, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 35, "max_mag": 4.3, "probability": 0.0361, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.618, "b_trend": 0.071, "ell_km": 75.0, "ell_trend": -0.24, "rate_acceleration": 1.82, "delta_aic_iet": 752.98, "S_over_Gamma": 13.533, "days_to_criticality": 2099.0, "conditions_met": 4, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 4.9139, "depth_trend": -10.63, "spatial_concentration": 116.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6589, "confidence_lo": 0.0361, "confidence_hi": 0.0361, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d035bdb331014535a1af928a8c9ccdc23658c398a779bf6ef4abf42fb534f120", "input_sha256": "9ce114e39406fc7c92cb131395a58d791c16e87a1b433f57a0fe27656a73985e", "issued_at": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6589, "probability": 0.036141, "confidence_lo": 0.036105, "confidence_hi": 0.036143, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "d9bd2cec531dda49e9938892b1b0112d9fc6b335ee9449e87d202218d4c23788" }, "receipt_sha256": "d9bd2cec531dda49e9938892b1b0112d9fc6b335ee9449e87d202218d4c23788" }, { "row": 58, "col": 12, "lat": 57.0, "lon": -155.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 3.8, "probability": 0.0361, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.825, "b_trend": 0.0523, "ell_km": 123.0, "ell_trend": 17.22, "rate_acceleration": 0.88, "delta_aic_iet": 498.01, "S_over_Gamma": 12.845, "days_to_criticality": 27.8, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.9339, "grad_tau_local": 0.412, "depth_trend": 4.14, "spatial_concentration": 75.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6561, "confidence_lo": 0.0361, "confidence_hi": 0.0361, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d035bdb331014535a1af928a8c9ccdc23658c398a779bf6ef4abf42fb534f120", "input_sha256": "1342ac7ce5a174669305dc6ffe67622e3f4af14f0ef0dd486358e6a23e5839e5", "issued_at": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6561, "probability": 0.036141, "confidence_lo": 0.036105, "confidence_hi": 0.036143, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "da0e83547cd461c70bd39d8e8e6dcd221081e2944b36eda0212e45819ebaa0a8" }, "receipt_sha256": "da0e83547cd461c70bd39d8e8e6dcd221081e2944b36eda0212e45819ebaa0a8" }, { "row": 44, "col": 142, "lat": 29.0, "lon": 105.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 5.2, "probability": 0.0361, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 9.4, "ell_trend": -3.73, "rate_acceleration": 1.8, "delta_aic_iet": 47.74, "S_over_Gamma": 13.588, "days_to_criticality": 10.5, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 1.2882, "grad_tau_local": 0.1171, "depth_trend": 2.89, "spatial_concentration": 72.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6554, "confidence_lo": 0.0361, "confidence_hi": 0.0361, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d035bdb331014535a1af928a8c9ccdc23658c398a779bf6ef4abf42fb534f120", "input_sha256": "a6fa8e5241c845e301fc6709549f52a29e43efa33ef434e377306f812107db55", "issued_at": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6554, "probability": 0.036141, "confidence_lo": 0.036105, "confidence_hi": 0.036143, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "eb2e2ed8ad6eb09632d611ed674a266e534c7b2fea9212bdd76de50fcf8f23ee" }, "receipt_sha256": "eb2e2ed8ad6eb09632d611ed674a266e534c7b2fea9212bdd76de50fcf8f23ee" }, { "row": 39, "col": 12, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -155.0, "n_events": 29, "max_mag": 3.8, "probability": 0.0361, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.836, "b_trend": -0.056, "ell_km": 5.5, "ell_trend": 0.41, "rate_acceleration": 1.47, "delta_aic_iet": 223.68, "S_over_Gamma": 13.464, "days_to_criticality": 45.6, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.3257, "grad_tau_local": 0.2137, "depth_trend": -3.12, "spatial_concentration": 33.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6543, "confidence_lo": 0.0361, "confidence_hi": 0.0361, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d035bdb331014535a1af928a8c9ccdc23658c398a779bf6ef4abf42fb534f120", "input_sha256": "9f5c6b2752e5e0d27d81ac2277b7c7305484013786c6032636c62382dd07e89f", "issued_at": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6543, "probability": 0.036141, "confidence_lo": 0.036105, "confidence_hi": 0.036143, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "8d672cffd3a20f0e7f4caa01abd6c15e5aa4db28e1fe540cfa2de7c74bc786c6" }, "receipt_sha256": "8d672cffd3a20f0e7f4caa01abd6c15e5aa4db28e1fe540cfa2de7c74bc786c6" }, { "row": 39, "col": 56, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -67.0, "n_events": 45, "max_mag": 4.0, "probability": 0.0361, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.232, "b_trend": 0.0447, "ell_km": 34.9, "ell_trend": -1.53, "rate_acceleration": 1.16, "delta_aic_iet": 1352.65, "S_over_Gamma": 13.584, "days_to_criticality": 20.8, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.5131, "grad_tau_local": 1.3675, "depth_trend": -4.84, "spatial_concentration": 63.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6539, "confidence_lo": 0.0361, "confidence_hi": 0.0361, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d035bdb331014535a1af928a8c9ccdc23658c398a779bf6ef4abf42fb534f120", "input_sha256": "82b6d0e85bf60d07022102145e016602c20568095774f6dadacc4dbd8af805a4", "issued_at": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6539, "probability": 0.036141, "confidence_lo": 0.036105, "confidence_hi": 0.036143, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "cbd7d1bc9081c558a4978eae178fe873475b7e74f33e4608926812c9fc1d8fe8" }, "receipt_sha256": "cbd7d1bc9081c558a4978eae178fe873475b7e74f33e4608926812c9fc1d8fe8" }, { "row": 39, "col": 57, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -65.0, "n_events": 58, "max_mag": 4.4, "probability": 0.0361, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.22, "b_trend": 0.1563, "ell_km": 33.3, "ell_trend": 0.61, "rate_acceleration": 1.21, "delta_aic_iet": 1222.13, "S_over_Gamma": 14.018, "days_to_criticality": 20.7, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.7138, "grad_tau_local": 1.5987, "depth_trend": -1.75, "spatial_concentration": 48.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6489, "confidence_lo": 0.0361, "confidence_hi": 0.0361, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d035bdb331014535a1af928a8c9ccdc23658c398a779bf6ef4abf42fb534f120", "input_sha256": "7514c645460eaedcca9d30860c7c7770fef65e1c2ac6a5c27e105b134c3ed629", "issued_at": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6489, "probability": 0.036141, "confidence_lo": 0.036105, "confidence_hi": 0.036143, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "a0ec4da2231a742a13b498ae3ea06509e32a96c1d1519f1e874e47f56e47730a" }, "receipt_sha256": "a0ec4da2231a742a13b498ae3ea06509e32a96c1d1519f1e874e47f56e47730a" }, { "row": 38, "col": 56, "lat": 17.0, "lon": -67.0, "n_events": 22, "max_mag": 3.9, "probability": 0.0361, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.25, "b_trend": 0.1506, "ell_km": 18.6, "ell_trend": -1.32, "rate_acceleration": 1.32, "delta_aic_iet": 918.49, "S_over_Gamma": 13.141, "days_to_criticality": 20.5, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.863, "grad_tau_local": 2.1179, "depth_trend": -3.03, "spatial_concentration": 57.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6485, "confidence_lo": 0.0361, "confidence_hi": 0.0361, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d035bdb331014535a1af928a8c9ccdc23658c398a779bf6ef4abf42fb534f120", "input_sha256": "3c95e16a9111471b4407f3d3f7112258ceb35af55817d3d3f4ce0f30711b34f3", "issued_at": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6485, "probability": 0.036141, "confidence_lo": 0.036105, "confidence_hi": 0.036143, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "6025a3f01ee6a0fdc71e07b0df43667f08f89769e028ddc92356d99975a86fb9" }, "receipt_sha256": "6025a3f01ee6a0fdc71e07b0df43667f08f89769e028ddc92356d99975a86fb9" }, { "row": 61, "col": 15, "lat": 63.0, "lon": -149.0, "n_events": 15, "max_mag": 2.8, "probability": 0.0361, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.89, "b_trend": 0.0619, "ell_km": 94.7, "ell_trend": -1.31, "rate_acceleration": 1.08, "delta_aic_iet": 629.72, "S_over_Gamma": 12.978, "days_to_criticality": 2099.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.9146, "grad_tau_local": 1.7029, "depth_trend": 4.8, "spatial_concentration": 70.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6475, "confidence_lo": 0.0361, "confidence_hi": 0.0361, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d035bdb331014535a1af928a8c9ccdc23658c398a779bf6ef4abf42fb534f120", "input_sha256": "3389cf49ce91dfb5eb889bcf7f5f98449f868d4398dc55930cbf2131decde114", "issued_at": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6475, "probability": 0.036141, "confidence_lo": 0.036105, "confidence_hi": 0.036143, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "087b7cd6c5b19ed93b358366c7b53345e7ddb9aeef46f1599b56c24e52bccc76" }, "receipt_sha256": "087b7cd6c5b19ed93b358366c7b53345e7ddb9aeef46f1599b56c24e52bccc76" }, { "row": 39, "col": 55, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -69.0, "n_events": 12, "max_mag": 4.0, "probability": 0.0361, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.1, "b_trend": 0.1732, "ell_km": 15.7, "ell_trend": -0.92, "rate_acceleration": 1.09, "delta_aic_iet": 733.88, "S_over_Gamma": 14.419, "days_to_criticality": 20.5, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.5275, "grad_tau_local": 2.2594, "depth_trend": -1.7, "spatial_concentration": 43.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6462, "confidence_lo": 0.0361, "confidence_hi": 0.0361, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d035bdb331014535a1af928a8c9ccdc23658c398a779bf6ef4abf42fb534f120", "input_sha256": "1d9dfa013aef7b39c2c05fd138723b226e47aec1ac66e17efe23ea5ba08736e2", "issued_at": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6462, "probability": 0.036141, "confidence_lo": 0.036105, "confidence_hi": 0.036143, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "64a5d2af6d8a1563445df146cd386d56230cb200bce7e1755654dbfa9c043fc9" }, "receipt_sha256": "64a5d2af6d8a1563445df146cd386d56230cb200bce7e1755654dbfa9c043fc9" }, { "row": 58, "col": 11, "lat": 57.0, "lon": -157.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 3.1, "probability": 0.0361, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.873, "b_trend": -0.0521, "ell_km": 108.3, "ell_trend": -6.24, "rate_acceleration": 1.05, "delta_aic_iet": 456.05, "S_over_Gamma": 12.573, "days_to_criticality": 2099.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.7167, "grad_tau_local": 0.53, "depth_trend": -0.74, "spatial_concentration": 78.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6448, "confidence_lo": 0.0361, "confidence_hi": 0.0361, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d035bdb331014535a1af928a8c9ccdc23658c398a779bf6ef4abf42fb534f120", "input_sha256": "049225615fd9158e705768bc723f698767694922b1ff36a00aa114dfd26863c0", "issued_at": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6448, "probability": 0.036141, "confidence_lo": 0.036105, "confidence_hi": 0.036143, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "3dabcbc5c44755883961eb9d90fb67f710b08ace01eb9e3b4694a4d1685ae9fd" }, "receipt_sha256": "3dabcbc5c44755883961eb9d90fb67f710b08ace01eb9e3b4694a4d1685ae9fd" }, { "row": 51, "col": 26, "lat": 43.0, "lon": -127.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 5.5, "probability": 0.0361, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.494, "b_trend": 0.0778, "ell_km": 27.2, "ell_trend": 7.18, "rate_acceleration": 0.8, "delta_aic_iet": 193.71, "S_over_Gamma": 13.767, "days_to_criticality": 10.6, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.0838, "grad_tau_local": 0.951, "depth_trend": 0.51, "spatial_concentration": 83.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6356, "confidence_lo": 0.0361, "confidence_hi": 0.0361, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d035bdb331014535a1af928a8c9ccdc23658c398a779bf6ef4abf42fb534f120", "input_sha256": "8ce556457f4250558224753807f5e3cb0249bc8f1111b6cd6b43930186d487f8", "issued_at": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6356, "probability": 0.036141, "confidence_lo": 0.036105, "confidence_hi": 0.036143, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ce4131064c4e5fab8ea71be2af932203af41870c6577b6d442feaaaff8a5f2ee" }, "receipt_sha256": "ce4131064c4e5fab8ea71be2af932203af41870c6577b6d442feaaaff8a5f2ee" }, { "row": 59, "col": 12, "lat": 59.0, "lon": -155.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 3.4, "probability": 0.0361, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.089, "b_trend": -0.0991, "ell_km": 79.5, "ell_trend": 0.91, "rate_acceleration": 0.82, "delta_aic_iet": 572.83, "S_over_Gamma": 12.546, "days_to_criticality": 68.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.6763, "grad_tau_local": 1.19, "depth_trend": 4.68, "spatial_concentration": 73.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6347, "confidence_lo": 0.0361, "confidence_hi": 0.0361, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d035bdb331014535a1af928a8c9ccdc23658c398a779bf6ef4abf42fb534f120", "input_sha256": "540f38295f1e0d619d9846e9269ad45b5f8dfb23809f89cc48d29f64e5ec869b", "issued_at": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6347, "probability": 0.036141, "confidence_lo": 0.036105, "confidence_hi": 0.036143, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "6b1e24e48cbd69cc0808de94ed947d802d97f0405652419b7f3cd90f67c5577a" }, "receipt_sha256": "6b1e24e48cbd69cc0808de94ed947d802d97f0405652419b7f3cd90f67c5577a" }, { "row": 59, "col": 13, "lat": 59.0, "lon": -153.0, "n_events": 20, "max_mag": 4.2, "probability": 0.0361, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.85, "b_trend": -0.1102, "ell_km": 86.4, "ell_trend": 1.25, "rate_acceleration": 0.82, "delta_aic_iet": 603.7, "S_over_Gamma": 13.143, "days_to_criticality": 73.3, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.6658, "grad_tau_local": 0.2548, "depth_trend": 4.98, "spatial_concentration": 81.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6309, "confidence_lo": 0.0361, "confidence_hi": 0.0361, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d035bdb331014535a1af928a8c9ccdc23658c398a779bf6ef4abf42fb534f120", "input_sha256": "2fa901afc22a388a968855b842105e75a3c4bc0c494e35b8b239742044cda992", "issued_at": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6309, "probability": 0.036141, "confidence_lo": 0.036105, "confidence_hi": 0.036143, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "8f1038e9c218250cf8f0d78b6c2bcf453f8a1f9fb9e2f1e4a82add84f30b2e0a" }, "receipt_sha256": "8f1038e9c218250cf8f0d78b6c2bcf453f8a1f9fb9e2f1e4a82add84f30b2e0a" }, { "row": 60, "col": 16, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -147.0, "n_events": 14, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.0361, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.825, "b_trend": 0.0907, "ell_km": 108.5, "ell_trend": -0.02, "rate_acceleration": 1.05, "delta_aic_iet": 596.16, "S_over_Gamma": 13.16, "days_to_criticality": 2099.8, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.9514, "grad_tau_local": 0.9082, "depth_trend": 5.3, "spatial_concentration": 77.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6255, "confidence_lo": 0.0361, "confidence_hi": 0.0361, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d035bdb331014535a1af928a8c9ccdc23658c398a779bf6ef4abf42fb534f120", "input_sha256": "c6b2b0d9b581bf0c754d71f094fc5bb483b597a6b8090c931ee3a386820087a5", "issued_at": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6255, "probability": 0.036141, "confidence_lo": 0.036105, "confidence_hi": 0.036143, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "2fe0fef1866bca67069ad5d32cef405619bbffeb14b54f7b0a3c9ada24e4f2e7" }, "receipt_sha256": "2fe0fef1866bca67069ad5d32cef405619bbffeb14b54f7b0a3c9ada24e4f2e7" }, { "row": 59, "col": 74, "lat": 59.0, "lon": -31.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 5.3, "probability": 0.0361, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 9.8, "ell_trend": -1.96, "rate_acceleration": 1.65, "delta_aic_iet": -25.16, "S_over_Gamma": 12.983, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.37, "grad_tau_local": 0.0819, "depth_trend": 0.0, "spatial_concentration": 101.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6252, "confidence_lo": 0.0361, "confidence_hi": 0.0361, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d035bdb331014535a1af928a8c9ccdc23658c398a779bf6ef4abf42fb534f120", "input_sha256": "3f4f7bc241248b32caf5e2d3d50fdeeda27f0bed866cedab91dacc448b33ba02", "issued_at": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6252, "probability": 0.036141, "confidence_lo": 0.036105, "confidence_hi": 0.036143, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "38b31f6b1643c2d4e342b0f9c907105e3c0d0bd1bbe824095d21faeafd4fc790" }, "receipt_sha256": "38b31f6b1643c2d4e342b0f9c907105e3c0d0bd1bbe824095d21faeafd4fc790" }, { "row": 56, "col": 3, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -173.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 3.8, "probability": 0.0361, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.623, "b_trend": 0.1256, "ell_km": 13.1, "ell_trend": -9.64, "rate_acceleration": 1.25, "delta_aic_iet": 850.41, "S_over_Gamma": 14.059, "days_to_criticality": 2098.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.8365, "grad_tau_local": 1.5248, "depth_trend": -4.13, "spatial_concentration": 64.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6211, "confidence_lo": 0.0361, "confidence_hi": 0.0361, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d035bdb331014535a1af928a8c9ccdc23658c398a779bf6ef4abf42fb534f120", "input_sha256": "a33fe78e16f33487bfd2f198665d7ce9bdf7dd52e416877b43fa10603e48702c", "issued_at": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6211, "probability": 0.036141, "confidence_lo": 0.036105, "confidence_hi": 0.036143, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "19beb4891f01b2b2dfeaa4a790237890d66076df2d9c8831fcb61e9d606effbf" }, "receipt_sha256": "19beb4891f01b2b2dfeaa4a790237890d66076df2d9c8831fcb61e9d606effbf" }, { "row": 18, "col": 0, "lat": -23.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.0361, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.465, "b_trend": -0.0939, "ell_km": 59.0, "ell_trend": 0.16, "rate_acceleration": 0.97, "delta_aic_iet": 275.34, "S_over_Gamma": 15.632, "days_to_criticality": 276.5, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 1.7935, "depth_trend": -0.71, "spatial_concentration": 86.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6205, "confidence_lo": 0.0361, "confidence_hi": 0.0361, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d035bdb331014535a1af928a8c9ccdc23658c398a779bf6ef4abf42fb534f120", "input_sha256": "5bbb8d9e54b8a8acd6ca9ab8f45a4b063e03e56bf4509f1be5466549fdffe8b6", "issued_at": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6205, "probability": 0.036141, "confidence_lo": 0.036105, "confidence_hi": 0.036143, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "d6a2aba06124fa2cc4fe4753d6fbb4cb1ae101539b23ee2b576b7114fc551ed6" }, "receipt_sha256": "d6a2aba06124fa2cc4fe4753d6fbb4cb1ae101539b23ee2b576b7114fc551ed6" }, { "row": 60, "col": 15, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -149.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 3.1, "probability": 0.0361, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.852, "b_trend": -0.0483, "ell_km": 85.7, "ell_trend": -0.29, "rate_acceleration": 0.97, "delta_aic_iet": 786.74, "S_over_Gamma": 13.29, "days_to_criticality": 2099.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.7962, "grad_tau_local": 0.8323, "depth_trend": 2.0, "spatial_concentration": 69.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6166, "confidence_lo": 0.0361, "confidence_hi": 0.0361, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d035bdb331014535a1af928a8c9ccdc23658c398a779bf6ef4abf42fb534f120", "input_sha256": "055131230f9867982ef609a7b40a28ddeb9f09079b1c0a5f93b2f6b5d0d04b56", "issued_at": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6166, "probability": 0.036141, "confidence_lo": 0.036105, "confidence_hi": 0.036143, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "51c6a376e5cfefba758b0c21bb5e42896351e746068438bcca6adce21a1a0457" }, "receipt_sha256": "51c6a376e5cfefba758b0c21bb5e42896351e746068438bcca6adce21a1a0457" }, { "row": 60, "col": 14, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -151.0, "n_events": 22, "max_mag": 4.9, "probability": 0.0361, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.849, "b_trend": -0.1078, "ell_km": 89.9, "ell_trend": -0.41, "rate_acceleration": 0.99, "delta_aic_iet": 794.44, "S_over_Gamma": 13.35, "days_to_criticality": 2099.9, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.5703, "grad_tau_local": 0.4484, "depth_trend": 2.84, "spatial_concentration": 68.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6163, "confidence_lo": 0.0361, "confidence_hi": 0.0361, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d035bdb331014535a1af928a8c9ccdc23658c398a779bf6ef4abf42fb534f120", "input_sha256": "a8111bbfb198d650ee49113eef2ca1402815244c6e0e2fc4468c7bc4514d3a96", "issued_at": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6163, "probability": 0.036141, "confidence_lo": 0.036105, "confidence_hi": 0.036143, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "d354a412ee94350a7b5e751ce145c83808166b863ce5cc294ad849522f1b149b" }, "receipt_sha256": "d354a412ee94350a7b5e751ce145c83808166b863ce5cc294ad849522f1b149b" }, { "row": 60, "col": 13, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -153.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 4.0, "probability": 0.0361, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.062, "b_trend": -0.0569, "ell_km": 85.3, "ell_trend": -0.28, "rate_acceleration": 0.93, "delta_aic_iet": 744.71, "S_over_Gamma": 13.109, "days_to_criticality": 2099.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.9393, "grad_tau_local": 1.5777, "depth_trend": 4.48, "spatial_concentration": 69.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6148, "confidence_lo": 0.0361, "confidence_hi": 0.0361, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d035bdb331014535a1af928a8c9ccdc23658c398a779bf6ef4abf42fb534f120", "input_sha256": "9cb69cb05457cfece2a55d299d5f71abafeefa9de7c958533d869bf668b89948", "issued_at": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6148, "probability": 0.036141, "confidence_lo": 0.036105, "confidence_hi": 0.036143, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "2f48c223e5900f22e718bc1679c7b9c1a885a4a2b160545e547876218c8f2339" }, "receipt_sha256": "2f48c223e5900f22e718bc1679c7b9c1a885a4a2b160545e547876218c8f2339" }, { "row": 61, "col": 14, "lat": 63.0, "lon": -151.0, "n_events": 12, "max_mag": 3.6, "probability": 0.0361, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.885, "b_trend": 0.0633, "ell_km": 93.7, "ell_trend": -1.33, "rate_acceleration": 1.06, "delta_aic_iet": 587.03, "S_over_Gamma": 13.347, "days_to_criticality": 2099.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.2945, "grad_tau_local": 1.9692, "depth_trend": 5.32, "spatial_concentration": 73.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6113, "confidence_lo": 0.0361, "confidence_hi": 0.0361, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d035bdb331014535a1af928a8c9ccdc23658c398a779bf6ef4abf42fb534f120", "input_sha256": "2b7659eb2db6a7e718548113ad4832ecc96862f966298dcf442595aa7f29c193", "issued_at": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6113, "probability": 0.036141, "confidence_lo": 0.036105, "confidence_hi": 0.036143, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f2b21e81c07b0b0ac339973ed345d7f600b48dc4282c3aba31c3e13d38cd9f63" }, "receipt_sha256": "f2b21e81c07b0b0ac339973ed345d7f600b48dc4282c3aba31c3e13d38cd9f63" }, { "row": 55, "col": 1, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -177.0, "n_events": 53, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.0361, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.652, "b_trend": 0.0677, "ell_km": 83.5, "ell_trend": -0.48, "rate_acceleration": 1.9, "delta_aic_iet": 776.47, "S_over_Gamma": 13.421, "days_to_criticality": 2098.9, "conditions_met": 4, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.9139, "grad_tau_local": 2.9676, "depth_trend": -8.82, "spatial_concentration": 152.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.605, "confidence_lo": 0.0361, "confidence_hi": 0.0361, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d035bdb331014535a1af928a8c9ccdc23658c398a779bf6ef4abf42fb534f120", "input_sha256": "7179824df5d5ba911e138933cb546e98906c10efcee40eef4f7097e83ced98a9", "issued_at": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.605, "probability": 0.036141, "confidence_lo": 0.036105, "confidence_hi": 0.036143, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "8751b335cf219a485efbe44605958bfdc24e6cb71359951fee44890dced76780" }, "receipt_sha256": "8751b335cf219a485efbe44605958bfdc24e6cb71359951fee44890dced76780" }, { "row": 55, "col": 3, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -173.0, "n_events": 13, "max_mag": 3.2, "probability": 0.0361, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.629, "b_trend": 0.1337, "ell_km": 13.4, "ell_trend": -6.6, "rate_acceleration": 1.27, "delta_aic_iet": 946.42, "S_over_Gamma": 13.932, "days_to_criticality": 2098.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.1538, "grad_tau_local": 0.8671, "depth_trend": -3.58, "spatial_concentration": 69.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6024, "confidence_lo": 0.0361, "confidence_hi": 0.0361, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d035bdb331014535a1af928a8c9ccdc23658c398a779bf6ef4abf42fb534f120", "input_sha256": "a5cb28254726a7c515ceea5990b44d83b4d62045d5882c3551023a8e8dfb7fdb", "issued_at": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6024, "probability": 0.036141, "confidence_lo": 0.036105, "confidence_hi": 0.036143, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "fb8e35a21398c383ae6866a04d3a6817e4317cf5708096676ce9c1a18ca7b385" }, "receipt_sha256": "fb8e35a21398c383ae6866a04d3a6817e4317cf5708096676ce9c1a18ca7b385" }, { "row": 58, "col": 15, "lat": 57.0, "lon": -149.0, "n_events": 11, "max_mag": 3.3, "probability": 0.0361, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.867, "b_trend": 0.2141, "ell_km": 23.4, "ell_trend": 0.96, "rate_acceleration": 1.07, "delta_aic_iet": 278.89, "S_over_Gamma": 13.016, "days_to_criticality": 18.8, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.8308, "grad_tau_local": 1.2609, "depth_trend": -1.24, "spatial_concentration": 50.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6004, "confidence_lo": 0.0361, "confidence_hi": 0.0361, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d035bdb331014535a1af928a8c9ccdc23658c398a779bf6ef4abf42fb534f120", "input_sha256": "e83c83a26a2e44d59d8ae176cd8e60410e45bceba0d8f2edf135caf0a89da8f9", "issued_at": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6004, "probability": 0.036141, "confidence_lo": 0.036105, "confidence_hi": 0.036143, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "da77b1e9f8c3c2c500495ef2cc4ed37ccde34c3b64734e6f3f0abe813a96ffdd" }, "receipt_sha256": "da77b1e9f8c3c2c500495ef2cc4ed37ccde34c3b64734e6f3f0abe813a96ffdd" }, { "row": 32, "col": 152, "lat": 5.0, "lon": 125.0, "n_events": 45, "max_mag": 6.5, "probability": 0.0361, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.126, "b_trend": -0.0795, "ell_km": 38.1, "ell_trend": -12.12, "rate_acceleration": 3.61, "delta_aic_iet": 299.76, "S_over_Gamma": 15.04, "days_to_criticality": 2097.6, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 9.9434, "grad_tau_local": 0.9186, "depth_trend": -25.47, "spatial_concentration": 87.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5879, "confidence_lo": 0.0361, "confidence_hi": 0.0361, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d035bdb331014535a1af928a8c9ccdc23658c398a779bf6ef4abf42fb534f120", "input_sha256": "5c8334505d1f2d626de10f0a393c3888d89296bcd78b4c93dd37dfff315e006f", "issued_at": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5879, "probability": 0.036141, "confidence_lo": 0.036105, "confidence_hi": 0.036143, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "830223487e9ebb80d2f23cf82c40c57e5198e55ffc1d578f94c15e163142d2b9" }, "receipt_sha256": "830223487e9ebb80d2f23cf82c40c57e5198e55ffc1d578f94c15e163142d2b9" }, { "row": 18, "col": 2, "lat": -23.0, "lon": -175.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.4, "probability": 0.0361, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.015, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 162.0, "ell_trend": -8.72, "rate_acceleration": 0.95, "delta_aic_iet": 81.6, "S_over_Gamma": 15.383, "days_to_criticality": 2093.0, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.2828, "grad_tau_local": 0.6212, "depth_trend": 11.84, "spatial_concentration": 66.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5858, "confidence_lo": 0.0361, "confidence_hi": 0.0361, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d035bdb331014535a1af928a8c9ccdc23658c398a779bf6ef4abf42fb534f120", "input_sha256": "ed0d3d14698e8e03ca65482a2fe19819294c81ebfbf002e61537a697a32e60fa", "issued_at": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5858, "probability": 0.036141, "confidence_lo": 0.036105, "confidence_hi": 0.036143, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f2455b9ba866e712bd44493581936d50b00220e5692080b287277101398d1b88" }, "receipt_sha256": "f2455b9ba866e712bd44493581936d50b00220e5692080b287277101398d1b88" }, { "row": 55, "col": 2, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -175.0, "n_events": 30, "max_mag": 3.7, "probability": 0.0361, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.651, "b_trend": 0.0643, "ell_km": 75.9, "ell_trend": -0.1, "rate_acceleration": 1.86, "delta_aic_iet": 698.81, "S_over_Gamma": 13.412, "days_to_criticality": 2.4, "conditions_met": 4, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.9194, "grad_tau_local": 0.8085, "depth_trend": -9.66, "spatial_concentration": 77.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5842, "confidence_lo": 0.0361, "confidence_hi": 0.0361, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d035bdb331014535a1af928a8c9ccdc23658c398a779bf6ef4abf42fb534f120", "input_sha256": "0d0dd9c02b5695b382e7c1e143e24b66805f5b59e9263ad69aeabdc92c6df89a", "issued_at": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5842, "probability": 0.036141, "confidence_lo": 0.036105, "confidence_hi": 0.036143, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "1dede85ed952c916017d2290dc5c7dfb8beb5a6b906ba88374fbc2a13699940e" }, "receipt_sha256": "1dede85ed952c916017d2290dc5c7dfb8beb5a6b906ba88374fbc2a13699940e" }, { "row": 18, "col": 55, "lat": -23.0, "lon": -69.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 4.4, "probability": 0.0361, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.172, "b_trend": 0.4023, "ell_km": 38.9, "ell_trend": 1.06, "rate_acceleration": 1.01, "delta_aic_iet": 296.96, "S_over_Gamma": 15.645, "days_to_criticality": 66.7, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.4463, "grad_tau_local": 0.5942, "depth_trend": 6.05, "spatial_concentration": 61.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5818, "confidence_lo": 0.0361, "confidence_hi": 0.0361, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d035bdb331014535a1af928a8c9ccdc23658c398a779bf6ef4abf42fb534f120", "input_sha256": "b39a3fe02cde6005a902fecb65679ee59d9ca9244738390fea6794a1d71127b5", "issued_at": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5818, "probability": 0.036141, "confidence_lo": 0.036105, "confidence_hi": 0.036143, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "78d40aa1b40056e3a9350363691e2ca129f6e35626659e701f56f76e0bceebec" }, "receipt_sha256": "78d40aa1b40056e3a9350363691e2ca129f6e35626659e701f56f76e0bceebec" }, { "row": 49, "col": 28, "lat": 39.0, "lon": -123.0, "n_events": 18, "max_mag": 5.6, "probability": 0.0361, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.937, "b_trend": 0.1211, "ell_km": 3.5, "ell_trend": -0.06, "rate_acceleration": 1.04, "delta_aic_iet": 539.21, "S_over_Gamma": 13.114, "days_to_criticality": 21.3, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.5488, "grad_tau_local": 0.8026, "depth_trend": -0.23, "spatial_concentration": 71.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5804, "confidence_lo": 0.0361, "confidence_hi": 0.0361, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d035bdb331014535a1af928a8c9ccdc23658c398a779bf6ef4abf42fb534f120", "input_sha256": "34ff50925c5c15b70fe8d8d7122e77126ff3e9dd04ab190c97424a9e3257649e", "issued_at": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5804, "probability": 0.036141, "confidence_lo": 0.036105, "confidence_hi": 0.036143, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "c6d68c981b2a9414b6b5e31aa9e64124c2eeccc6eb2098f2efdc6913970e8087" }, "receipt_sha256": "c6d68c981b2a9414b6b5e31aa9e64124c2eeccc6eb2098f2efdc6913970e8087" }, { "row": 26, "col": 154, "lat": -7.0, "lon": 129.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.0361, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.388, "b_trend": 0.039, "ell_km": 93.0, "ell_trend": 2.5, "rate_acceleration": 0.67, "delta_aic_iet": 221.15, "S_over_Gamma": 15.402, "days_to_criticality": 18.0, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.9953, "grad_tau_local": 1.0599, "depth_trend": 9.16, "spatial_concentration": 71.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5788, "confidence_lo": 0.0361, "confidence_hi": 0.0361, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d035bdb331014535a1af928a8c9ccdc23658c398a779bf6ef4abf42fb534f120", "input_sha256": "42f034d23143a1a4c7f13dd52efdb730a1916c63d165171612c3df7eef7f31a1", "issued_at": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5788, "probability": 0.036141, "confidence_lo": 0.036105, "confidence_hi": 0.036143, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "fa711b3665c9dea264d4bf421bbdfb400ddcce06a7a24eb5fe5f9c23bad462e3" }, "receipt_sha256": "fa711b3665c9dea264d4bf421bbdfb400ddcce06a7a24eb5fe5f9c23bad462e3" }, { "row": 19, "col": 55, "lat": -21.0, "lon": -69.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 4.4, "probability": 0.0361, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.099, "b_trend": 0.1236, "ell_km": 66.0, "ell_trend": -1.91, "rate_acceleration": 1.08, "delta_aic_iet": 236.75, "S_over_Gamma": 15.448, "days_to_criticality": 18.5, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.6165, "grad_tau_local": 0.4395, "depth_trend": -6.95, "spatial_concentration": 83.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5785, "confidence_lo": 0.0361, "confidence_hi": 0.0361, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d035bdb331014535a1af928a8c9ccdc23658c398a779bf6ef4abf42fb534f120", "input_sha256": "569822a3756fcf11c84ac535f0bde78f6651bf5079a3bcd656e5d444ddb6c62a", "issued_at": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5785, "probability": 0.036141, "confidence_lo": 0.036105, "confidence_hi": 0.036143, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "95a299f04f257c12043dc7ce06d1dea88d61a9a528d3040a6d3a6726f186b1c3" }, "receipt_sha256": "95a299f04f257c12043dc7ce06d1dea88d61a9a528d3040a6d3a6726f186b1c3" }, { "row": 48, "col": 29, "lat": 37.0, "lon": -121.0, "n_events": 13, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.0361, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.995, "b_trend": 0.1128, "ell_km": 2.3, "ell_trend": -0.02, "rate_acceleration": 0.66, "delta_aic_iet": 412.77, "S_over_Gamma": 13.126, "days_to_criticality": 21.4, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.208, "grad_tau_local": 0.9174, "depth_trend": -0.01, "spatial_concentration": 79.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5727, "confidence_lo": 0.0361, "confidence_hi": 0.0361, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d035bdb331014535a1af928a8c9ccdc23658c398a779bf6ef4abf42fb534f120", "input_sha256": "660ed060158431e5aee9ccbba3a63aeed909a47af5db8c072e147a8178a7a386", "issued_at": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5727, "probability": 0.036141, "confidence_lo": 0.036105, "confidence_hi": 0.036143, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "1637ebabf57d968fb7aa6a6c4965a226943e5d8e2124f09ca91dcf015b6ed03f" }, "receipt_sha256": "1637ebabf57d968fb7aa6a6c4965a226943e5d8e2124f09ca91dcf015b6ed03f" }, { "row": 50, "col": 27, "lat": 41.0, "lon": -125.0, "n_events": 16, "max_mag": 3.1, "probability": 0.0361, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.608, "b_trend": 0.1695, "ell_km": 10.9, "ell_trend": -0.53, "rate_acceleration": 1.23, "delta_aic_iet": 367.51, "S_over_Gamma": 13.352, "days_to_criticality": 19.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.4011, "grad_tau_local": 0.6026, "depth_trend": -0.01, "spatial_concentration": 80.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5718, "confidence_lo": 0.0361, "confidence_hi": 0.0361, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d035bdb331014535a1af928a8c9ccdc23658c398a779bf6ef4abf42fb534f120", "input_sha256": "0e2d58c4116f5c41aa1d206022ec924c2083b803170ff550f2cd6aa27bd051ed", "issued_at": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5718, "probability": 0.036141, "confidence_lo": 0.036105, "confidence_hi": 0.036143, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "8963dff8562972a3d0e70c7c4725fddd2cb1763dddcc9f0534b509430a623033" }, "receipt_sha256": "8963dff8562972a3d0e70c7c4725fddd2cb1763dddcc9f0534b509430a623033" }, { "row": 56, "col": 4, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -171.0, "n_events": 13, "max_mag": 4.9, "probability": 0.0361, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.635, "b_trend": 0.1492, "ell_km": 12.5, "ell_trend": -11.49, "rate_acceleration": 1.25, "delta_aic_iet": 800.55, "S_over_Gamma": 13.714, "days_to_criticality": 2098.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.0132, "grad_tau_local": 1.4792, "depth_trend": -2.24, "spatial_concentration": 89.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5663, "confidence_lo": 0.0361, "confidence_hi": 0.0361, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d035bdb331014535a1af928a8c9ccdc23658c398a779bf6ef4abf42fb534f120", "input_sha256": "d49ab309780cee4da1473996df6d3e157818fced0e3c236078a6cc5632631231", "issued_at": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5663, "probability": 0.036141, "confidence_lo": 0.036105, "confidence_hi": 0.036143, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "7532c07080059f2498503d60d62a03cfb7ff82f7e0045f009f1bfd2623537b48" }, "receipt_sha256": "7532c07080059f2498503d60d62a03cfb7ff82f7e0045f009f1bfd2623537b48" }, { "row": 55, "col": 178, "lat": 51.0, "lon": 177.0, "n_events": 71, "max_mag": 4.5, "probability": 0.0361, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.497, "b_trend": 0.2231, "ell_km": 12.6, "ell_trend": -11.36, "rate_acceleration": 2.33, "delta_aic_iet": 473.73, "S_over_Gamma": 14.226, "days_to_criticality": 2099.4, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.4231, "grad_tau_local": 1.5952, "depth_trend": -11.71, "spatial_concentration": 126.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5606, "confidence_lo": 0.0361, "confidence_hi": 0.0361, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d035bdb331014535a1af928a8c9ccdc23658c398a779bf6ef4abf42fb534f120", "input_sha256": "0f6b004dc096603cf5ef2055e4550408101efccb890b81396a119c723acda60d", "issued_at": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5606, "probability": 0.036141, "confidence_lo": 0.036105, "confidence_hi": 0.036143, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "41cf9e65c2dd4813ab475b18fb3fb830d4012445abf18157db97c9a6bb3dc318" }, "receipt_sha256": "41cf9e65c2dd4813ab475b18fb3fb830d4012445abf18157db97c9a6bb3dc318" }, { "row": 63, "col": 19, "lat": 67.0, "lon": -141.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.0, "probability": 0.0361, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 5.6, "ell_trend": -0.64, "rate_acceleration": 1.07, "delta_aic_iet": 45.39, "S_over_Gamma": 10.065, "days_to_criticality": 19.6, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 1.672, "grad_tau_local": 1.6578, "depth_trend": -1.43, "spatial_concentration": 69.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.551, "confidence_lo": 0.0361, "confidence_hi": 0.0361, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d035bdb331014535a1af928a8c9ccdc23658c398a779bf6ef4abf42fb534f120", "input_sha256": "cc6992b7022578ee2bfa17124dfaeab6b96f5438715789cb6d0870e7eefb3afb", "issued_at": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.551, "probability": 0.036141, "confidence_lo": 0.036105, "confidence_hi": 0.036143, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "c6b5647f504a32dc24ca6fff72951278e57b286694539f381eb752800548d0f2" }, "receipt_sha256": "c6b5647f504a32dc24ca6fff72951278e57b286694539f381eb752800548d0f2" }, { "row": 50, "col": 35, "lat": 41.0, "lon": -109.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.0361, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.825, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 2.4, "ell_trend": -0.32, "rate_acceleration": 0.98, "delta_aic_iet": 57.64, "S_over_Gamma": 13.423, "days_to_criticality": 17.4, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.5777, "grad_tau_local": 0.3855, "depth_trend": -3.14, "spatial_concentration": 84.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5472, "confidence_lo": 0.0361, "confidence_hi": 0.0361, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d035bdb331014535a1af928a8c9ccdc23658c398a779bf6ef4abf42fb534f120", "input_sha256": "afaeea30073b7ad9b13f97d22a5c828163807a870566599204d57bbbfad0b29f", "issued_at": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5472, "probability": 0.036141, "confidence_lo": 0.036105, "confidence_hi": 0.036143, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "64cce9c5310d79a012bbf384eb1b7b28c3b7883e3294c48816c7f2f277124262" }, "receipt_sha256": "64cce9c5310d79a012bbf384eb1b7b28c3b7883e3294c48816c7f2f277124262" }, { "row": 18, "col": 179, "lat": -23.0, "lon": 179.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.5, "probability": 0.0361, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.11, "b_trend": -0.1375, "ell_km": 58.9, "ell_trend": -1.35, "rate_acceleration": 1.02, "delta_aic_iet": 221.32, "S_over_Gamma": 15.513, "days_to_criticality": 2097.8, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 0.5144, "depth_trend": 0.18, "spatial_concentration": 121.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5435, "confidence_lo": 0.0361, "confidence_hi": 0.0361, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d035bdb331014535a1af928a8c9ccdc23658c398a779bf6ef4abf42fb534f120", "input_sha256": "afdabd690f6420d8005fe05202acc91b8d187f89c7bbd95bb9918fb3ed468ae9", "issued_at": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5435, "probability": 0.036141, "confidence_lo": 0.036105, "confidence_hi": 0.036143, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "26bea39c270c2d7b5bdcde3bc43f9969913321d728a84a725d745626a229aa59" }, "receipt_sha256": "26bea39c270c2d7b5bdcde3bc43f9969913321d728a84a725d745626a229aa59" }, { "row": 31, "col": 153, "lat": 3.0, "lon": 127.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.4, "probability": 0.0361, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.143, "b_trend": -0.158, "ell_km": 33.8, "ell_trend": -16.02, "rate_acceleration": 1.08, "delta_aic_iet": 741.04, "S_over_Gamma": 15.382, "days_to_criticality": 2099.9, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 9.6, "grad_tau_local": 0.6981, "depth_trend": -10.29, "spatial_concentration": 72.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5411, "confidence_lo": 0.0361, "confidence_hi": 0.0361, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d035bdb331014535a1af928a8c9ccdc23658c398a779bf6ef4abf42fb534f120", "input_sha256": "d074d7afe6bfbdfe93352a9b740aa2bae9637f41be5a19157aaf9d4f710de400", "issued_at": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5411, "probability": 0.036141, "confidence_lo": 0.036105, "confidence_hi": 0.036143, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "2fc556db3d6fbe1a8dffa217b3d658d67ad05d5950860a2a3db881a6abe54c58" }, "receipt_sha256": "2fc556db3d6fbe1a8dffa217b3d658d67ad05d5950860a2a3db881a6abe54c58" }, { "row": 35, "col": 55, "lat": 11.0, "lon": -69.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 7.5, "probability": 0.0361, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 14.5, "ell_trend": 6.49, "rate_acceleration": 2.32, "delta_aic_iet": -2.44, "S_over_Gamma": 0.208, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": false }, "tau_local": 1.7285, "grad_tau_local": 0.5515, "depth_trend": -1.67, "spatial_concentration": 61.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5384, "confidence_lo": 0.0361, "confidence_hi": 0.0361, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d035bdb331014535a1af928a8c9ccdc23658c398a779bf6ef4abf42fb534f120", "input_sha256": "6cbcd4e7199a76373ac04688aec22bdd5526f591f4f3447c48e77b2251d77785", "issued_at": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5384, "probability": 0.036141, "confidence_lo": 0.036105, "confidence_hi": 0.036143, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "2b8ced2be24d9bbe0712147604644c74e8efdba065700b18fd7e93318210e758" }, "receipt_sha256": "2b8ced2be24d9bbe0712147604644c74e8efdba065700b18fd7e93318210e758" }, { "row": 47, "col": 160, "lat": 35.0, "lon": 141.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 5.8, "probability": 0.0361, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 121.4, "ell_trend": 8.47, "rate_acceleration": 1.02, "delta_aic_iet": 137.9, "S_over_Gamma": 15.933, "days_to_criticality": 65.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.5266, "grad_tau_local": 0.6715, "depth_trend": 6.82, "spatial_concentration": 86.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5346, "confidence_lo": 0.0361, "confidence_hi": 0.0361, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d035bdb331014535a1af928a8c9ccdc23658c398a779bf6ef4abf42fb534f120", "input_sha256": "54c603530822a6bf22d7db3de39fee68feb6ca2401e1287e55dc73ec0542a086", "issued_at": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5346, "probability": 0.036141, "confidence_lo": 0.036105, "confidence_hi": 0.036143, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "66248abed215ab8ffc8aaf7c210408bb9d79fb829e1843e5774dfb541918de9c" }, "receipt_sha256": "66248abed215ab8ffc8aaf7c210408bb9d79fb829e1843e5774dfb541918de9c" }, { "row": 57, "col": 10, "lat": 55.0, "lon": -159.0, "n_events": 11, "max_mag": 3.1, "probability": 0.0361, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.775, "b_trend": 0.0676, "ell_km": 19.4, "ell_trend": 0.58, "rate_acceleration": 0.77, "delta_aic_iet": 918.44, "S_over_Gamma": 13.303, "days_to_criticality": 72.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.7644, "grad_tau_local": 0.8307, "depth_trend": -2.3, "spatial_concentration": 92.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5311, "confidence_lo": 0.0361, "confidence_hi": 0.0361, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d035bdb331014535a1af928a8c9ccdc23658c398a779bf6ef4abf42fb534f120", "input_sha256": "4d696946ef089a585792d4e9ec50631f13fd88537f26ff8b9eb5c13f360409b3", "issued_at": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5311, "probability": 0.036141, "confidence_lo": 0.036105, "confidence_hi": 0.036143, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "5fb581bab7ca681d3519283a01f11f35cb887f6fd407ee12d6bd824996af89df" }, "receipt_sha256": "5fb581bab7ca681d3519283a01f11f35cb887f6fd407ee12d6bd824996af89df" }, { "row": 30, "col": 153, "lat": 1.0, "lon": 127.0, "n_events": 13, "max_mag": 6.2, "probability": 0.0361, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.317, "b_trend": -0.1326, "ell_km": 35.3, "ell_trend": -12.55, "rate_acceleration": 0.56, "delta_aic_iet": 578.53, "S_over_Gamma": 15.586, "days_to_criticality": 2099.9, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 10.2283, "grad_tau_local": 0.7807, "depth_trend": -14.13, "spatial_concentration": 76.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5278, "confidence_lo": 0.0361, "confidence_hi": 0.0361, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d035bdb331014535a1af928a8c9ccdc23658c398a779bf6ef4abf42fb534f120", "input_sha256": "4b59ec7f3b57e9d3223fb1dea2d1077deecdb26503297fa538c113490472ceec", "issued_at": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5278, "probability": 0.036141, "confidence_lo": 0.036105, "confidence_hi": 0.036143, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "e8a6f5f17c2b527d8ca18ca62e9660ff628c2e57d2cf9427bb6e8ba88090e5c3" }, "receipt_sha256": "e8a6f5f17c2b527d8ca18ca62e9660ff628c2e57d2cf9427bb6e8ba88090e5c3" }, { "row": 19, "col": 0, "lat": -21.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 12, "max_mag": 5.5, "probability": 0.0361, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.514, "b_trend": -0.5145, "ell_km": 64.0, "ell_trend": 2.28, "rate_acceleration": 1.01, "delta_aic_iet": 290.42, "S_over_Gamma": 15.513, "days_to_criticality": 194.3, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 2.6181, "depth_trend": -11.77, "spatial_concentration": 96.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5252, "confidence_lo": 0.0361, "confidence_hi": 0.0361, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d035bdb331014535a1af928a8c9ccdc23658c398a779bf6ef4abf42fb534f120", "input_sha256": "e7baa78128cb89c82dcd93064b0d29cad240c383d98762912e91635edfc0fc62", "issued_at": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5252, "probability": 0.036141, "confidence_lo": 0.036105, "confidence_hi": 0.036143, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "4a81faa55550b121f84d7937f487ee5d4e2913691dfa90d64e8c2d3718ba5270" }, "receipt_sha256": "4a81faa55550b121f84d7937f487ee5d4e2913691dfa90d64e8c2d3718ba5270" }, { "row": 57, "col": 9, "lat": 55.0, "lon": -161.0, "n_events": 22, "max_mag": 4.0, "probability": 0.0361, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.772, "b_trend": 0.0589, "ell_km": 18.9, "ell_trend": -0.49, "rate_acceleration": 1.11, "delta_aic_iet": 964.55, "S_over_Gamma": 13.264, "days_to_criticality": 19.6, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 9.1413, "grad_tau_local": 0.4404, "depth_trend": 0.74, "spatial_concentration": 77.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5248, "confidence_lo": 0.0361, "confidence_hi": 0.0361, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d035bdb331014535a1af928a8c9ccdc23658c398a779bf6ef4abf42fb534f120", "input_sha256": "ff59938d22a305a68942200cd0408641cd7e064654eabd45b4f7be3e431c3981", "issued_at": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5248, "probability": 0.036141, "confidence_lo": 0.036105, "confidence_hi": 0.036143, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "42101707fb2bc04fee29059be2aaac4b29c3f38a3adae75308c9dd588a627f38" }, "receipt_sha256": "42101707fb2bc04fee29059be2aaac4b29c3f38a3adae75308c9dd588a627f38" }, { "row": 31, "col": 154, "lat": 3.0, "lon": 129.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.8, "probability": 0.0361, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.429, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 94.0, "ell_trend": -4.23, "rate_acceleration": 0.71, "delta_aic_iet": 238.41, "S_over_Gamma": 15.88, "days_to_criticality": 2099.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.078, "grad_tau_local": 1.7955, "depth_trend": -9.65, "spatial_concentration": 45.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.517, "confidence_lo": 0.0361, "confidence_hi": 0.0361, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d035bdb331014535a1af928a8c9ccdc23658c398a779bf6ef4abf42fb534f120", "input_sha256": "35d69d63737522b6198093b76de7f2cd7678c416f3c94632c3b07c469da9a986", "issued_at": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.517, "probability": 0.036141, "confidence_lo": 0.036105, "confidence_hi": 0.036143, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "bca03b9cc5e6ae4cf69e9d3ccc7664db8416c205e004de367bbb18fa5f4838bf" }, "receipt_sha256": "bca03b9cc5e6ae4cf69e9d3ccc7664db8416c205e004de367bbb18fa5f4838bf" }, { "row": 19, "col": 1, "lat": -21.0, "lon": -177.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 4.4, "probability": 0.0361, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.431, "b_trend": -0.2539, "ell_km": 74.3, "ell_trend": 2.58, "rate_acceleration": 1.05, "delta_aic_iet": 287.09, "S_over_Gamma": 14.361, "days_to_criticality": 17.8, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.6181, "grad_tau_local": 1.6056, "depth_trend": 8.08, "spatial_concentration": 91.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5089, "confidence_lo": 0.0361, "confidence_hi": 0.0361, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d035bdb331014535a1af928a8c9ccdc23658c398a779bf6ef4abf42fb534f120", "input_sha256": "dd86be8c47fee4ceded2bb3ec406a83ced8c4b276b532198a6d4e34574dfde53", "issued_at": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5089, "probability": 0.036141, "confidence_lo": 0.036105, "confidence_hi": 0.036143, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "a44e7dc0c44677eb16af0fa9952c3e308214d80a5b68d27d14f03fed2d7e86ad" }, "receipt_sha256": "a44e7dc0c44677eb16af0fa9952c3e308214d80a5b68d27d14f03fed2d7e86ad" }, { "row": 56, "col": 2, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -175.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 3.4, "probability": 0.0361, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.654, "b_trend": 0.0748, "ell_km": 69.2, "ell_trend": 1.06, "rate_acceleration": 1.88, "delta_aic_iet": 619.27, "S_over_Gamma": 13.761, "days_to_criticality": 173.0, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.7426, "grad_tau_local": 2.0249, "depth_trend": -10.1, "spatial_concentration": 72.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4959, "confidence_lo": 0.0361, "confidence_hi": 0.0361, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d035bdb331014535a1af928a8c9ccdc23658c398a779bf6ef4abf42fb534f120", "input_sha256": "ccbe29bd908faea0e33c1bab6d6634214ab9dd2c24de8f5f080abdf4377e52f7", "issued_at": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4959, "probability": 0.036141, "confidence_lo": 0.036105, "confidence_hi": 0.036143, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "5d768ef1c37ef290a6451c42a2528c6e9ce2ffd3b74ac51f887fd19b80a63c10" }, "receipt_sha256": "5d768ef1c37ef290a6451c42a2528c6e9ce2ffd3b74ac51f887fd19b80a63c10" }, { "row": 56, "col": 8, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -163.0, "n_events": 16, "max_mag": 2.9, "probability": 0.0361, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.745, "b_trend": 0.0317, "ell_km": 19.4, "ell_trend": -0.08, "rate_acceleration": 1.25, "delta_aic_iet": 992.54, "S_over_Gamma": 13.213, "days_to_criticality": 19.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.8593, "grad_tau_local": 1.2123, "depth_trend": -0.92, "spatial_concentration": 69.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4911, "confidence_lo": 0.0361, "confidence_hi": 0.0361, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d035bdb331014535a1af928a8c9ccdc23658c398a779bf6ef4abf42fb534f120", "input_sha256": "342043396339f60454b54b34c71dcd75865f02e623a1fe19642a61f6cecf1ec6", "issued_at": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4911, "probability": 0.036141, "confidence_lo": 0.036105, "confidence_hi": 0.036143, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "4fc3e6a645c8546bd59b984d9a74ea944ba3411a37044919d5061b9e98d8f965" }, "receipt_sha256": "4fc3e6a645c8546bd59b984d9a74ea944ba3411a37044919d5061b9e98d8f965" }, { "row": 57, "col": 11, "lat": 55.0, "lon": -157.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.0361, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.801, "b_trend": 0.1195, "ell_km": 19.3, "ell_trend": 0.59, "rate_acceleration": 0.63, "delta_aic_iet": 904.9, "S_over_Gamma": 13.76, "days_to_criticality": 68.0, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.5655, "grad_tau_local": 1.2831, "depth_trend": 0.49, "spatial_concentration": 85.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.487, "confidence_lo": 0.0361, "confidence_hi": 0.0361, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d035bdb331014535a1af928a8c9ccdc23658c398a779bf6ef4abf42fb534f120", "input_sha256": "be4348ad0f9a6cddf2e4b860f45b9fa75e60636b658eab16243717c7bec5216a", "issued_at": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.487, "probability": 0.036141, "confidence_lo": 0.036105, "confidence_hi": 0.036143, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "9015d02ed60e34f19fcdb852ec82fb47778f36ab088ae2a8096819ddb54fcf90" }, "receipt_sha256": "9015d02ed60e34f19fcdb852ec82fb47778f36ab088ae2a8096819ddb54fcf90" }, { "row": 21, "col": 2, "lat": -17.0, "lon": -175.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.6, "probability": 0.0361, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.948, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 64.6, "ell_trend": -14.2, "rate_acceleration": 1.12, "delta_aic_iet": 296.86, "S_over_Gamma": 15.278, "days_to_criticality": 2098.9, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.4793, "grad_tau_local": 0.7521, "depth_trend": 2.65, "spatial_concentration": 70.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4716, "confidence_lo": 0.0361, "confidence_hi": 0.0361, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d035bdb331014535a1af928a8c9ccdc23658c398a779bf6ef4abf42fb534f120", "input_sha256": "085db3ede5a972d503579e24d7de400eaead8e01b031d1ddc9a02aaafeced925", "issued_at": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4716, "probability": 0.036141, "confidence_lo": 0.036105, "confidence_hi": 0.036143, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "df9b3908c8f9655c6d65ca0b04c2116eab1b62684357143b9cb273107d75d190" }, "receipt_sha256": "df9b3908c8f9655c6d65ca0b04c2116eab1b62684357143b9cb273107d75d190" }, { "row": 27, "col": 166, "lat": -5.0, "lon": 153.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.5, "probability": 0.0361, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.348, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 103.4, "ell_trend": -12.29, "rate_acceleration": 1.26, "delta_aic_iet": 182.38, "S_over_Gamma": 15.898, "days_to_criticality": 2097.1, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.069, "grad_tau_local": 0.6728, "depth_trend": 17.86, "spatial_concentration": 60.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.466, "confidence_lo": 0.0361, "confidence_hi": 0.0361, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d035bdb331014535a1af928a8c9ccdc23658c398a779bf6ef4abf42fb534f120", "input_sha256": "988414778d9ed8911898f7e561978a421a8accfa35c3d80b0df3b439d7184419", "issued_at": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.466, "probability": 0.036141, "confidence_lo": 0.036105, "confidence_hi": 0.036143, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "819d4626532d5099e62fde723830d875ad042f8426441f67152bf84a63fe961c" }, "receipt_sha256": "819d4626532d5099e62fde723830d875ad042f8426441f67152bf84a63fe961c" }, { "row": 22, "col": 173, "lat": -15.0, "lon": 167.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.1, "probability": 0.0361, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.204, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 82.7, "ell_trend": -4.85, "rate_acceleration": 0.58, "delta_aic_iet": 172.81, "S_over_Gamma": 16.029, "days_to_criticality": 2100.0, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.3982, "grad_tau_local": 0.1177, "depth_trend": 4.15, "spatial_concentration": 89.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4532, "confidence_lo": 0.0361, "confidence_hi": 0.0361, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d035bdb331014535a1af928a8c9ccdc23658c398a779bf6ef4abf42fb534f120", "input_sha256": "40a04bfafd7024db4d1e01f21327c26d8dfa3ac8df5b49e80eb7a8f49e73d925", "issued_at": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4532, "probability": 0.036141, "confidence_lo": 0.036105, "confidence_hi": 0.036143, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "0d2830bd96608f05a5f25384dec79eb53cc5df9c7ae7cdbd01daa29ae958068b" }, "receipt_sha256": "0d2830bd96608f05a5f25384dec79eb53cc5df9c7ae7cdbd01daa29ae958068b" }, { "row": 54, "col": 167, "lat": 49.0, "lon": 155.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 5.9, "probability": 0.0361, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.156, "b_trend": 0.0433, "ell_km": 86.0, "ell_trend": -4.14, "rate_acceleration": 0.26, "delta_aic_iet": 449.22, "S_over_Gamma": 15.247, "days_to_criticality": 2098.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.4975, "grad_tau_local": 1.6579, "depth_trend": 20.67, "spatial_concentration": 73.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4437, "confidence_lo": 0.0361, "confidence_hi": 0.0361, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d035bdb331014535a1af928a8c9ccdc23658c398a779bf6ef4abf42fb534f120", "input_sha256": "676f36f551d7f1e3e15a278b27c2c8adeb3cd491270df4b35f4ab5c107139e00", "issued_at": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4437, "probability": 0.036141, "confidence_lo": 0.036105, "confidence_hi": 0.036143, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "dd6a366ff9f1f41841addc0d3a762a42752b607195355ea5d61d7bbcddd5cccf" }, "receipt_sha256": "dd6a366ff9f1f41841addc0d3a762a42752b607195355ea5d61d7bbcddd5cccf" }, { "row": 47, "col": 31, "lat": 35.0, "lon": -117.0, "n_events": 11, "max_mag": 4.3, "probability": 0.0361, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.893, "b_trend": -0.0678, "ell_km": 2.4, "ell_trend": -0.28, "rate_acceleration": 1.62, "delta_aic_iet": 454.69, "S_over_Gamma": 13.283, "days_to_criticality": 21.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.025, "grad_tau_local": 0.492, "depth_trend": 0.2, "spatial_concentration": 78.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4363, "confidence_lo": 0.0361, "confidence_hi": 0.0361, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d035bdb331014535a1af928a8c9ccdc23658c398a779bf6ef4abf42fb534f120", "input_sha256": "6b1ee880cf5ce857e7b2ead5e3f8000ce69fc4c783c4a8bf4b6534a8f1f03d07", "issued_at": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4363, "probability": 0.036141, "confidence_lo": 0.036105, "confidence_hi": 0.036143, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "491deadb8665f1db6d4c1331267714d68ef39c111ee74b4b2414a1f998d19b3b" }, "receipt_sha256": "491deadb8665f1db6d4c1331267714d68ef39c111ee74b4b2414a1f998d19b3b" }, { "row": 57, "col": 8, "lat": 55.0, "lon": -163.0, "n_events": 22, "max_mag": 5.4, "probability": 0.0361, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.753, "b_trend": 0.0446, "ell_km": 19.4, "ell_trend": -0.15, "rate_acceleration": 1.17, "delta_aic_iet": 1025.52, "S_over_Gamma": 13.047, "days_to_criticality": 2098.5, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.011, "grad_tau_local": 1.2737, "depth_trend": 0.41, "spatial_concentration": 63.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4286, "confidence_lo": 0.0361, "confidence_hi": 0.0361, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d035bdb331014535a1af928a8c9ccdc23658c398a779bf6ef4abf42fb534f120", "input_sha256": "fd4a7be7e7ba9302776270149d5d1c0c30856bce9a8067bd29bfcc9049b05230", "issued_at": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4286, "probability": 0.036141, "confidence_lo": 0.036105, "confidence_hi": 0.036143, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "25a94cb7fb1c0e97962e4dbfca8b491426566940c86a63b61abba2eae6036259" }, "receipt_sha256": "25a94cb7fb1c0e97962e4dbfca8b491426566940c86a63b61abba2eae6036259" }, { "row": 56, "col": 170, "lat": 53.0, "lon": 161.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 4.5, "probability": 0.0361, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.147, "b_trend": 0.0079, "ell_km": 65.5, "ell_trend": -6.01, "rate_acceleration": 0.12, "delta_aic_iet": -1256.27, "S_over_Gamma": 15.534, "days_to_criticality": 21.3, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 12.2629, "grad_tau_local": 2.2327, "depth_trend": 7.26, "spatial_concentration": 48.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4278, "confidence_lo": 0.0361, "confidence_hi": 0.0361, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d035bdb331014535a1af928a8c9ccdc23658c398a779bf6ef4abf42fb534f120", "input_sha256": "34e09e5908c9dd61c7083ea1d8889ab0cdcd1498e97be67d2594a10130ea8a37", "issued_at": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4278, "probability": 0.036141, "confidence_lo": 0.036105, "confidence_hi": 0.036143, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "1ec0140d39dc7a172d2b0c02788c58ee8c2ed160ab45e45f718b8eb142d169d5" }, "receipt_sha256": "1ec0140d39dc7a172d2b0c02788c58ee8c2ed160ab45e45f718b8eb142d169d5" }, { "row": 45, "col": 37, "lat": 31.0, "lon": -105.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 3.2, "probability": 0.0361, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.113, "b_trend": -0.2361, "ell_km": 3.7, "ell_trend": -0.04, "rate_acceleration": 0.68, "delta_aic_iet": 378.15, "S_over_Gamma": 13.28, "days_to_criticality": 23.1, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.5381, "grad_tau_local": 0.7561, "depth_trend": 0.04, "spatial_concentration": 39.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4202, "confidence_lo": 0.0361, "confidence_hi": 0.0361, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d035bdb331014535a1af928a8c9ccdc23658c398a779bf6ef4abf42fb534f120", "input_sha256": "1468eb6e7bd8d8fffbcfced1ebfab5f66245a25c19acdc102b99986be560ad06", "issued_at": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4202, "probability": 0.036141, "confidence_lo": 0.036105, "confidence_hi": 0.036143, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "898070e26ac87bb4724ede984b23ba39a008ecae4a19f407b93a5eab4dd65628" }, "receipt_sha256": "898070e26ac87bb4724ede984b23ba39a008ecae4a19f407b93a5eab4dd65628" }, { "row": 56, "col": 5, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -169.0, "n_events": 26, "max_mag": 4.0, "probability": 0.0361, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.641, "b_trend": 0.1466, "ell_km": 12.1, "ell_trend": -11.68, "rate_acceleration": 1.57, "delta_aic_iet": 860.65, "S_over_Gamma": 13.641, "days_to_criticality": 2098.9, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.5387, "grad_tau_local": 0.6537, "depth_trend": -0.54, "spatial_concentration": 77.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.419, "confidence_lo": 0.0361, "confidence_hi": 0.0361, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d035bdb331014535a1af928a8c9ccdc23658c398a779bf6ef4abf42fb534f120", "input_sha256": "691d0d1ce25a10219b18ff763027fdbc24fd18be8bc8a850a5eab1be09e5b542", "issued_at": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.419, "probability": 0.036141, "confidence_lo": 0.036105, "confidence_hi": 0.036143, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "3ac41633df93c92b784ef7855ae8048ea7dd7cc7e4ca5c9fb7964b6dea797e99" }, "receipt_sha256": "3ac41633df93c92b784ef7855ae8048ea7dd7cc7e4ca5c9fb7964b6dea797e99" }, { "row": 46, "col": 32, "lat": 33.0, "lon": -115.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 3.0, "probability": 0.0361, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.841, "b_trend": -0.0516, "ell_km": 2.5, "ell_trend": -0.4, "rate_acceleration": 1.26, "delta_aic_iet": 365.55, "S_over_Gamma": 12.975, "days_to_criticality": 20.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.0167, "grad_tau_local": 1.0185, "depth_trend": -0.04, "spatial_concentration": 59.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4181, "confidence_lo": 0.0361, "confidence_hi": 0.0361, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d035bdb331014535a1af928a8c9ccdc23658c398a779bf6ef4abf42fb534f120", "input_sha256": "8021fa0489c9435581dbbd5caf98f515ee9a27d65e607aeaf2e213b63971d02c", "issued_at": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4181, "probability": 0.036141, "confidence_lo": 0.036105, "confidence_hi": 0.036143, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "310a69f68e0df0c0754ecdce8fe98354a93296b3ebfd9ab0c4291645029bc0f2" }, "receipt_sha256": "310a69f68e0df0c0754ecdce8fe98354a93296b3ebfd9ab0c4291645029bc0f2" }, { "row": 38, "col": 60, "lat": 17.0, "lon": -59.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.6, "probability": 0.0361, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 13.3, "ell_trend": -0.07, "rate_acceleration": 0.5, "delta_aic_iet": -2.21, "S_over_Gamma": 11.132, "days_to_criticality": 1123.1, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.8989, "grad_tau_local": 0.8916, "depth_trend": 1.85, "spatial_concentration": 58.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4123, "confidence_lo": 0.0361, "confidence_hi": 0.0361, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d035bdb331014535a1af928a8c9ccdc23658c398a779bf6ef4abf42fb534f120", "input_sha256": "627f3eaea9cbcfd775bee6253b56cef7cf00be084b22b1b421071a7313d71f25", "issued_at": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4123, "probability": 0.036141, "confidence_lo": 0.036105, "confidence_hi": 0.036143, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "8c49de8d419d40746572fc7dfeaba87c02511ba00ca8382c3415cd3f2ba02857" }, "receipt_sha256": "8c49de8d419d40746572fc7dfeaba87c02511ba00ca8382c3415cd3f2ba02857" }, { "row": 55, "col": 169, "lat": 51.0, "lon": 159.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 5.3, "probability": 0.0361, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.15, "b_trend": -0.0015, "ell_km": 73.6, "ell_trend": -7.19, "rate_acceleration": 0.12, "delta_aic_iet": -1385.96, "S_over_Gamma": 15.832, "days_to_criticality": 2099.5, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 12.9569, "grad_tau_local": 0.6665, "depth_trend": 8.17, "spatial_concentration": 81.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3998, "confidence_lo": 0.0361, "confidence_hi": 0.0361, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d035bdb331014535a1af928a8c9ccdc23658c398a779bf6ef4abf42fb534f120", "input_sha256": "5c7df85d289406a4c77be172b79d7b8c287f1bde1d2697f1759708f11f6e4aeb", "issued_at": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3998, "probability": 0.036141, "confidence_lo": 0.036105, "confidence_hi": 0.036143, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f2e76ab5667656fa53891069f2887bb1354bbbfc8cd737570390c6f60ef25c8c" }, "receipt_sha256": "f2e76ab5667656fa53891069f2887bb1354bbbfc8cd737570390c6f60ef25c8c" }, { "row": 50, "col": 160, "lat": 41.0, "lon": 141.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.0361, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.887, "b_trend": 0.0606, "ell_km": 34.3, "ell_trend": 2.32, "rate_acceleration": 1.41, "delta_aic_iet": 372.81, "S_over_Gamma": 15.05, "days_to_criticality": 47.4, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.0561, "grad_tau_local": 1.8171, "depth_trend": 5.98, "spatial_concentration": 55.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3944, "confidence_lo": 0.0361, "confidence_hi": 0.0361, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d035bdb331014535a1af928a8c9ccdc23658c398a779bf6ef4abf42fb534f120", "input_sha256": "597bf4830c2fbd57c5efebfefb03c6495d3cb9b56ac4eb0e9f7258f9cc5d25ae", "issued_at": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3944, "probability": 0.036141, "confidence_lo": 0.036105, "confidence_hi": 0.036143, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "3d1cb5da9831da39ab86e177d31c520f16d36147e28c796c4b96e0786a15edb5" }, "receipt_sha256": "3d1cb5da9831da39ab86e177d31c520f16d36147e28c796c4b96e0786a15edb5" }, { "row": 46, "col": 39, "lat": 33.0, "lon": -101.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 3.1, "probability": 0.0361, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 3.1, "ell_trend": 0.01, "rate_acceleration": 0.74, "delta_aic_iet": 178.16, "S_over_Gamma": 13.131, "days_to_criticality": 22.2, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.0699, "grad_tau_local": 1.0367, "depth_trend": -0.62, "spatial_concentration": 62.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3774, "confidence_lo": 0.0361, "confidence_hi": 0.0361, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d035bdb331014535a1af928a8c9ccdc23658c398a779bf6ef4abf42fb534f120", "input_sha256": "5c11370f303a457133b9cea04958161ecea03ec2f495808fff24373fa8225418", "issued_at": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3774, "probability": 0.036141, "confidence_lo": 0.036105, "confidence_hi": 0.036143, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ba1c383ab2d620ddada88cf80c5ad468281334d3bffb8b4f6f5113547e1c9eda" }, "receipt_sha256": "ba1c383ab2d620ddada88cf80c5ad468281334d3bffb8b4f6f5113547e1c9eda" }, { "row": 48, "col": 31, "lat": 37.0, "lon": -117.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 3.6, "probability": 0.0361, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.916, "b_trend": -0.1102, "ell_km": 1.9, "ell_trend": -0.05, "rate_acceleration": 1.22, "delta_aic_iet": 333.32, "S_over_Gamma": 12.75, "days_to_criticality": 20.9, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.0444, "grad_tau_local": 0.4358, "depth_trend": -0.81, "spatial_concentration": 54.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.37, "confidence_lo": 0.0361, "confidence_hi": 0.0361, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d035bdb331014535a1af928a8c9ccdc23658c398a779bf6ef4abf42fb534f120", "input_sha256": "a64721f252c5e374ef452662b31a1b6d95f600f9bb01f8d871d6899383819a1c", "issued_at": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.37, "probability": 0.036141, "confidence_lo": 0.036105, "confidence_hi": 0.036143, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "0650f51639c35e9a23b4e801ca5270b12c1f11e0ac27a417968d81c31bd690c2" }, "receipt_sha256": "0650f51639c35e9a23b4e801ca5270b12c1f11e0ac27a417968d81c31bd690c2" }, { "row": 50, "col": 161, "lat": 41.0, "lon": 143.0, "n_events": 21, "max_mag": 6.9, "probability": 0.0361, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.929, "b_trend": 0.0756, "ell_km": 34.8, "ell_trend": 2.32, "rate_acceleration": 1.37, "delta_aic_iet": 472.1, "S_over_Gamma": 15.525, "days_to_criticality": 47.8, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.6821, "grad_tau_local": 1.0692, "depth_trend": 6.93, "spatial_concentration": 70.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3524, "confidence_lo": 0.0361, "confidence_hi": 0.0361, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d035bdb331014535a1af928a8c9ccdc23658c398a779bf6ef4abf42fb534f120", "input_sha256": "959c6dc0c67487e5012c6e4968fa3ef379905bac0cb3d6d0f889f85d7c00d253", "issued_at": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3524, "probability": 0.036141, "confidence_lo": 0.036105, "confidence_hi": 0.036143, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "bf094efcf6ecad14a0d965889ee3196ffbbecdccc0f75fe1a5fc46bfa6483a39" }, "receipt_sha256": "bf094efcf6ecad14a0d965889ee3196ffbbecdccc0f75fe1a5fc46bfa6483a39" }, { "row": 48, "col": 37, "lat": 37.0, "lon": -105.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 3.8, "probability": 0.0361, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 4.0, "ell_trend": -0.24, "rate_acceleration": 2.12, "delta_aic_iet": 32.95, "S_over_Gamma": 11.269, "days_to_criticality": 4.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.2501, "grad_tau_local": 0.5316, "depth_trend": 0.99, "spatial_concentration": 77.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3111, "confidence_lo": 0.0361, "confidence_hi": 0.0361, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d035bdb331014535a1af928a8c9ccdc23658c398a779bf6ef4abf42fb534f120", "input_sha256": "0f26d2e48286cbe66ce6fa2902cc87ee03636e0c020da9f999669ea2eab992af", "issued_at": "2026-07-20T13:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3111, "probability": 0.036141, "confidence_lo": 0.036105, "confidence_hi": 0.036143, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "22827a4a105a054425837d5f559ca0b6cc835259d372a34a39c8b7d299f5a924" }, "receipt_sha256": "22827a4a105a054425837d5f559ca0b6cc835259d372a34a39c8b7d299f5a924" } ] }