{ "forecast_id": "eq_fcst_20260722_0000", "hazard": "earthquake", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "forecast_horizon_days": 30, "target_magnitude_min": 6.0, "feature_history_days": 400, "recent_activity_days": 30, "min_events_per_active_cell": 5, "forecast_domain": { "name": "global_2deg_grid", "lat_min": -60.0, "lat_max": 70.0, "lon_min": -180.0, "lon_max": 180.0, "dlat": 2.0, "dlon": 2.0, "n_lat": 65, "n_lon": 180, "default_probability": 0.0 }, "source_catalog": { "provider": "USGS FDSNWS", "min_magnitude": 2.5, "window_start": "2025-06-17T00:00:00Z", "window_end": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "n_events": 32730, "n_recent_events": 1922 }, "n_active_cells": 88, "top_probability": 0.5093, "active_cells": [ { "row": 23, "col": 82, "lat": -13.0, "lon": -15.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 5.3, "probability": 0.5093, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 13.8, "ell_trend": null, "rate_acceleration": 6.0, "delta_aic_iet": null, "S_over_Gamma": 10.655, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.3005, "grad_tau_local": 0.1031, "depth_trend": 0.21, "spatial_concentration": 47.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.889, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "66caa0fc8e1ae0421759715ed6cee01b8067473d841e98404e052d9e2583a890", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.889, "probability": 0.50925, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "2cb68ca1e40f8a5a2a694ac34222878e84c40ec03c11cb84f11b12123fff9ba4" }, "receipt_sha256": "2cb68ca1e40f8a5a2a694ac34222878e84c40ec03c11cb84f11b12123fff9ba4" }, { "row": 37, "col": 43, "lat": 15.0, "lon": -93.0, "n_events": 75, "max_mag": 7.3, "probability": 0.5093, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.832, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 40.2, "ell_trend": 1.36, "rate_acceleration": 2.59, "delta_aic_iet": 214.49, "S_over_Gamma": 16.042, "days_to_criticality": 148.4, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.3558, "grad_tau_local": 0.2953, "depth_trend": -19.23, "spatial_concentration": 94.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.8712, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "67cedfd9cb00c50d12ade6b651e596afeeecfd6ccbcaf9d1e2fa4e914f4e8b16", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.8712, "probability": 0.50925, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "900e0922903e5412e416946f1364c2a8d2b8c3d7676d450d0050fc085ad9c3cc" }, "receipt_sha256": "900e0922903e5412e416946f1364c2a8d2b8c3d7676d450d0050fc085ad9c3cc" }, { "row": 42, "col": 35, "lat": 25.0, "lon": -109.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 6.0, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 19.6, "ell_trend": null, "rate_acceleration": 2.5, "delta_aic_iet": null, "S_over_Gamma": 13.294, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.2057, "grad_tau_local": 0.3997, "depth_trend": 0.0, "spatial_concentration": 81.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.8529, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "8108779f088db07d8b3048eab488d2375eea25cda527ff0edba696ebe18900bc", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.8529, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f67a17c34ddea0987b8c39e9d0787a6d89c12af5322f6a2a3a77802b473dd40e" }, "receipt_sha256": "f67a17c34ddea0987b8c39e9d0787a6d89c12af5322f6a2a3a77802b473dd40e" }, { "row": 45, "col": 124, "lat": 31.0, "lon": 69.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.3, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 49.2, "ell_trend": null, "rate_acceleration": 1.71, "delta_aic_iet": 22.76, "S_over_Gamma": 13.962, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 1.9329, "grad_tau_local": 0.4664, "depth_trend": -2.5, "spatial_concentration": 83.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7316, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "328b8f81fd5ac126be31bcf5e185ea195530f1fc0ac4517ebd9550e06788a616", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7316, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "267bb1fa3471d5cd2cffeafd68df188bfcddb1be8a87c6f45d1c87ca033bacdd" }, "receipt_sha256": "267bb1fa3471d5cd2cffeafd68df188bfcddb1be8a87c6f45d1c87ca033bacdd" }, { "row": 55, "col": 179, "lat": 51.0, "lon": 179.0, "n_events": 30, "max_mag": 3.8, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.525, "b_trend": -0.0261, "ell_km": 14.1, "ell_trend": -8.96, "rate_acceleration": 2.17, "delta_aic_iet": 701.94, "S_over_Gamma": 13.717, "days_to_criticality": 23.5, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 3.4453, "depth_trend": -9.87, "spatial_concentration": 98.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7229, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "ec334fc1ce74cc58d31d3bfa204b7f88e8e04dd68aa1396cffd1f0f1117f1238", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7229, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "036fd6bcf8a48248f8d81f752989d05f67ae57fd4ac8e4eebbcf51e732944ae9" }, "receipt_sha256": "036fd6bcf8a48248f8d81f752989d05f67ae57fd4ac8e4eebbcf51e732944ae9" }, { "row": 56, "col": 178, "lat": 53.0, "lon": 177.0, "n_events": 54, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.482, "b_trend": 0.1848, "ell_km": 12.0, "ell_trend": -9.71, "rate_acceleration": 2.47, "delta_aic_iet": 373.74, "S_over_Gamma": 14.674, "days_to_criticality": 2098.0, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.3396, "grad_tau_local": 1.6051, "depth_trend": -12.06, "spatial_concentration": 109.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7066, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "0a44e21f41c4576aacdaf56ddc72867dc7d55d4f67c34ea05225548504c68868", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7066, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "8d7a3db5fa2b24fdfa222412d300e2917fd61dadf3f49a93062d6e532397f3d7" }, "receipt_sha256": "8d7a3db5fa2b24fdfa222412d300e2917fd61dadf3f49a93062d6e532397f3d7" }, { "row": 25, "col": 149, "lat": -9.0, "lon": 119.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.1, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.057, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 89.9, "ell_trend": -2.06, "rate_acceleration": 1.56, "delta_aic_iet": 71.67, "S_over_Gamma": 15.113, "days_to_criticality": 2099.2, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.7569, "grad_tau_local": 0.6896, "depth_trend": -23.54, "spatial_concentration": 69.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7046, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "d37cdbd3717cc2deac0a287e8bee8400a836a5478dd441771fba38e7ecaf6422", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7046, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "1bc380bcd545795c157f8a1bd6dbe0bc38b4b1504a313b2d150a6ac12ca99c8f" }, "receipt_sha256": "1bc380bcd545795c157f8a1bd6dbe0bc38b4b1504a313b2d150a6ac12ca99c8f" }, { "row": 38, "col": 149, "lat": 17.0, "lon": 119.0, "n_events": 26, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 15.0, "ell_trend": -2.5, "rate_acceleration": 5.55, "delta_aic_iet": 88.54, "S_over_Gamma": 9.138, "days_to_criticality": 1787.6, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.4629, "grad_tau_local": 0.6875, "depth_trend": -15.86, "spatial_concentration": 78.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7016, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "bcc273fe27ae58f8ca921925da69f1c6bc63d7f7099e3c8f2a2cf751fa70a343", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7016, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "4341e6c6a9ac641f3ba3288e8056c207d07f6aa647af1e7c60bc2f71be39dcbc" }, "receipt_sha256": "4341e6c6a9ac641f3ba3288e8056c207d07f6aa647af1e7c60bc2f71be39dcbc" }, { "row": 48, "col": 125, "lat": 37.0, "lon": 71.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 6.1, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.061, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 27.6, "ell_trend": 6.76, "rate_acceleration": 0.67, "delta_aic_iet": 238.27, "S_over_Gamma": 15.567, "days_to_criticality": 35.4, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.1208, "grad_tau_local": 0.3144, "depth_trend": 43.5, "spatial_concentration": 88.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6947, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "0bb83cbd9c34aec84939705c7e4c84ce6f6278579a5fbd2da9d84deb5af0d88a", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6947, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "2204d659034218b4e411025e46f4d508ff89624948ee12dff7f8649dda50f893" }, "receipt_sha256": "2204d659034218b4e411025e46f4d508ff89624948ee12dff7f8649dda50f893" }, { "row": 55, "col": 177, "lat": 51.0, "lon": 175.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.0, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.477, "b_trend": 0.2651, "ell_km": 11.6, "ell_trend": -6.01, "rate_acceleration": 2.47, "delta_aic_iet": 257.56, "S_over_Gamma": 14.986, "days_to_criticality": 2098.0, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.5677, "grad_tau_local": 0.7894, "depth_trend": -6.33, "spatial_concentration": 54.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6946, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "143c169d7d0443fdc958a5e19b97c6ff3a5aa996ad50b23d10f90d2a1acbdc0f", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6946, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "4f0a9fe57c9396171eefb93692c13a6948acc063e963d121ba4067a016bd7d44" }, "receipt_sha256": "4f0a9fe57c9396171eefb93692c13a6948acc063e963d121ba4067a016bd7d44" }, { "row": 51, "col": 26, "lat": 43.0, "lon": -127.0, "n_events": 11, "max_mag": 5.5, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.494, "b_trend": 0.0825, "ell_km": 26.7, "ell_trend": 5.23, "rate_acceleration": 0.87, "delta_aic_iet": 201.45, "S_over_Gamma": 13.887, "days_to_criticality": 27.6, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.1384, "grad_tau_local": 0.9522, "depth_trend": 0.57, "spatial_concentration": 82.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6824, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "24f2b58d2cd76a250ef98001eb885da0c3c8580205c30071a894cffadde4180a", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6824, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "86118df38934112704f2ad16ac95581c07a87ca05636956dfbf66423151a5194" }, "receipt_sha256": "86118df38934112704f2ad16ac95581c07a87ca05636956dfbf66423151a5194" }, { "row": 38, "col": 56, "lat": 17.0, "lon": -67.0, "n_events": 24, "max_mag": 3.9, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.253, "b_trend": 0.1349, "ell_km": 18.5, "ell_trend": -1.13, "rate_acceleration": 1.29, "delta_aic_iet": 917.13, "S_over_Gamma": 13.22, "days_to_criticality": 20.2, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.9352, "grad_tau_local": 2.0638, "depth_trend": -3.41, "spatial_concentration": 57.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6821, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "0a4cbe3a8316c7b2cad07c6cd8a1f201c0ae1abe0cfa6778acf61db3b738e384", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6821, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "70206b4b8d06b52f54391e1581ee5f0b1bdf9841399255770a2e4c244c927419" }, "receipt_sha256": "70206b4b8d06b52f54391e1581ee5f0b1bdf9841399255770a2e4c244c927419" }, { "row": 39, "col": 57, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -65.0, "n_events": 56, "max_mag": 4.4, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.222, "b_trend": 0.1554, "ell_km": 33.1, "ell_trend": 0.69, "rate_acceleration": 1.22, "delta_aic_iet": 1220.88, "S_over_Gamma": 14.012, "days_to_criticality": 20.0, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.7405, "grad_tau_local": 1.6033, "depth_trend": -1.81, "spatial_concentration": 48.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6754, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "c0f4c2c681bb3f4113a59f16be0df09edbd2ec260ffebc6614d0a547011a5602", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6754, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "76517c2a4c847c5b1c0796d376bbd26b8572b36c0a9825a6d78bb30774b849d7" }, "receipt_sha256": "76517c2a4c847c5b1c0796d376bbd26b8572b36c0a9825a6d78bb30774b849d7" }, { "row": 0, "col": 76, "lat": -59.0, "lon": -27.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 5.4, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.082, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 63.8, "ell_trend": -1.12, "rate_acceleration": 0.94, "delta_aic_iet": 151.87, "S_over_Gamma": 16.311, "days_to_criticality": 2096.7, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 1.0857, "depth_trend": 4.1, "spatial_concentration": 75.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6743, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "1ad3aeca05f5b12f3f3eb04a5f4daa65f9070bf84764f586650bab3d0f2c3cdd", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6743, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f7d6d345966807b7fe4b2b4943da57caf911613c9938c4a06379b263a27cb85b" }, "receipt_sha256": "f7d6d345966807b7fe4b2b4943da57caf911613c9938c4a06379b263a27cb85b" }, { "row": 35, "col": 56, "lat": 11.0, "lon": -67.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 25.0, "ell_trend": null, "rate_acceleration": 22.5, "delta_aic_iet": null, "S_over_Gamma": 2.115, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.4374, "grad_tau_local": 0.6505, "depth_trend": -2.0, "spatial_concentration": 77.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6658, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "686f0c5ae665dbcc2609d4d61c2ad77bc53c85ba6720b7fb084e17a5c1f15903", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6658, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "c65dfcbe65f5084ef62c6731142da1ece0baf8b818e21a33b40aa4420cd35f40" }, "receipt_sha256": "c65dfcbe65f5084ef62c6731142da1ece0baf8b818e21a33b40aa4420cd35f40" }, { "row": 55, "col": 0, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 36, "max_mag": 4.3, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.618, "b_trend": 0.0693, "ell_km": 75.2, "ell_trend": -0.21, "rate_acceleration": 1.88, "delta_aic_iet": 762.56, "S_over_Gamma": 13.557, "days_to_criticality": 2098.7, "conditions_met": 4, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 4.8956, "depth_trend": -10.4, "spatial_concentration": 117.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6645, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "6ad924c845d473d96ee1a918afd7fafdd4ca058c6138c34bee3326eb0cc3d343", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6645, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "c61ad9a3ac7f8e7b2f01e63bb99d25358e9cacb9c497bdd8bda55291cc25d3a0" }, "receipt_sha256": "c61ad9a3ac7f8e7b2f01e63bb99d25358e9cacb9c497bdd8bda55291cc25d3a0" }, { "row": 39, "col": 56, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -67.0, "n_events": 44, "max_mag": 4.0, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.236, "b_trend": -0.0249, "ell_km": 34.7, "ell_trend": -1.34, "rate_acceleration": 1.17, "delta_aic_iet": 1351.29, "S_over_Gamma": 13.548, "days_to_criticality": 20.2, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.5368, "grad_tau_local": 1.3794, "depth_trend": -4.66, "spatial_concentration": 63.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6628, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "3edfd6a13bf8d9b53f053238494ceb76a5abab7516a8b644703e83c5f391f73c", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6628, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f43c43fbeeedce8256fb468527212c7a14ca9839af9a31430e9458b818ff4064" }, "receipt_sha256": "f43c43fbeeedce8256fb468527212c7a14ca9839af9a31430e9458b818ff4064" }, { "row": 56, "col": 6, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -167.0, "n_events": 15, "max_mag": 4.5, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.66, "b_trend": 0.1437, "ell_km": 12.5, "ell_trend": -4.37, "rate_acceleration": 1.53, "delta_aic_iet": 930.65, "S_over_Gamma": 13.321, "days_to_criticality": 2097.7, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.0656, "grad_tau_local": 0.1372, "depth_trend": 1.87, "spatial_concentration": 68.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6619, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "4992c5dd6b39be15192eb90c216aa297eb9e07eb8f4998dfe2b2c7975c6b8fba", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6619, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "5d72f3af9e22ed9423b789c4d1513c33c722f718a15a4be4407485844dea733c" }, "receipt_sha256": "5d72f3af9e22ed9423b789c4d1513c33c722f718a15a4be4407485844dea733c" }, { "row": 38, "col": 55, "lat": 17.0, "lon": -69.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.674, "b_trend": 0.0177, "ell_km": 14.9, "ell_trend": -0.86, "rate_acceleration": 1.18, "delta_aic_iet": 543.03, "S_over_Gamma": 14.51, "days_to_criticality": 20.2, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.5431, "grad_tau_local": 2.0312, "depth_trend": -1.34, "spatial_concentration": 37.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6614, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "3f5d4f8a5f15ebe8ac6eadb7199634e0485f13ed5da84226d37e76af61866e25", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6614, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "6f3ff5ed530bf97f1fd433442ab7657f4456e477790214de496598cde9dacdf8" }, "receipt_sha256": "6f3ff5ed530bf97f1fd433442ab7657f4456e477790214de496598cde9dacdf8" }, { "row": 58, "col": 12, "lat": 57.0, "lon": -155.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 3.8, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.822, "b_trend": 0.0853, "ell_km": 124.5, "ell_trend": 16.79, "rate_acceleration": 0.86, "delta_aic_iet": 498.73, "S_over_Gamma": 12.91, "days_to_criticality": 29.3, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.9243, "grad_tau_local": 0.4249, "depth_trend": 3.41, "spatial_concentration": 75.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6599, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "3ad518f06a8eeb832d9d208ead8d03918063f4eae2a76871fc4181c9a6c09ae9", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6599, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "51c64b6da2dc1c2f336b0ae29c49b96c663b973dbd1d2317b555d2fb21af5b9a" }, "receipt_sha256": "51c64b6da2dc1c2f336b0ae29c49b96c663b973dbd1d2317b555d2fb21af5b9a" }, { "row": 2, "col": 76, "lat": -55.0, "lon": -27.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.1, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 85.6, "ell_trend": 2.0, "rate_acceleration": 1.17, "delta_aic_iet": 121.02, "S_over_Gamma": 15.667, "days_to_criticality": 81.2, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 1.4152, "grad_tau_local": 0.1692, "depth_trend": 1.31, "spatial_concentration": 59.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.657, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "97046c16217a1473682ec9fb0e409d4f2510c69ad02dade3526a518ff853ed86", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.657, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "df8fa71fad3463a9df66fecea4303b601b716a58ac45dd66569b205fe7249a21" }, "receipt_sha256": "df8fa71fad3463a9df66fecea4303b601b716a58ac45dd66569b205fe7249a21" }, { "row": 39, "col": 55, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -69.0, "n_events": 12, "max_mag": 4.0, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.103, "b_trend": 0.16, "ell_km": 15.7, "ell_trend": -0.76, "rate_acceleration": 1.07, "delta_aic_iet": 731.5, "S_over_Gamma": 14.37, "days_to_criticality": 20.5, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.5634, "grad_tau_local": 2.2552, "depth_trend": -1.74, "spatial_concentration": 43.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6556, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "4de4da6d72bf16a1e3a0767ff16fd6e606916ac01d32d32faacc03b0a5059a63", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6556, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "1ef9d7231cba98925ec50e32ccfe4e60ff7ef59a903b8781090e443a2efd0acc" }, "receipt_sha256": "1ef9d7231cba98925ec50e32ccfe4e60ff7ef59a903b8781090e443a2efd0acc" }, { "row": 48, "col": 137, "lat": 37.0, "lon": 95.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 5.3, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 14.3, "ell_trend": null, "rate_acceleration": 33.0, "delta_aic_iet": -80.65, "S_over_Gamma": 8.307, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 1.1295, "grad_tau_local": 0.0668, "depth_trend": 0.07, "spatial_concentration": 40.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6532, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "b93c05cceefcd11b8c7930bd45dca1a5fa968c4fcc8a0b4d2a5b2c5fdc3ef1ee", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6532, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "261234189841160f175dac7d5313ad90f01b3ccd4e1b743636942b82fbfd0ee0" }, "receipt_sha256": "261234189841160f175dac7d5313ad90f01b3ccd4e1b743636942b82fbfd0ee0" }, { "row": 39, "col": 12, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -155.0, "n_events": 30, "max_mag": 3.8, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.89, "b_trend": -0.0388, "ell_km": 5.3, "ell_trend": 0.36, "rate_acceleration": 1.5, "delta_aic_iet": 224.85, "S_over_Gamma": 13.521, "days_to_criticality": 125.9, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.3494, "grad_tau_local": 0.2137, "depth_trend": -2.66, "spatial_concentration": 33.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6515, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "0db9ac71d3cc1d8d18a3ee989a2dcb467f5cba77050d429e39e0c241e4a00dc3", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6515, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "7395670b4e807a8691f0887ccc404bc770f1d2788fdc4eebaf84933e1b9a2a66" }, "receipt_sha256": "7395670b4e807a8691f0887ccc404bc770f1d2788fdc4eebaf84933e1b9a2a66" }, { "row": 44, "col": 142, "lat": 29.0, "lon": 105.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 5.2, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 9.8, "ell_trend": -3.68, "rate_acceleration": 1.8, "delta_aic_iet": 47.74, "S_over_Gamma": 13.588, "days_to_criticality": 9.1, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 1.2937, "grad_tau_local": 0.1124, "depth_trend": 2.89, "spatial_concentration": 72.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6514, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "8a0bbfac93240e3ccfc63077bc1be60c0d8956a27c7240880c39879f93284345", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6514, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "fc5863a3464301b8d94a220ade6053094ee7f98a6f3637d0511c2f339d3b3dd5" }, "receipt_sha256": "fc5863a3464301b8d94a220ade6053094ee7f98a6f3637d0511c2f339d3b3dd5" }, { "row": 26, "col": 154, "lat": -7.0, "lon": 129.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.385, "b_trend": 0.0633, "ell_km": 92.4, "ell_trend": 2.86, "rate_acceleration": 0.67, "delta_aic_iet": 220.97, "S_over_Gamma": 15.401, "days_to_criticality": 19.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.0108, "grad_tau_local": 1.0634, "depth_trend": 2.34, "spatial_concentration": 71.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6465, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "75821da19781e0e609420304a4e6ed655b850abf8c03205dfd8cef03de8bc572", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6465, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "cd2fb10faf438b4f7d3b638446b5e7ffb838cb99497f75ebbab7aa0f5a2aae9a" }, "receipt_sha256": "cd2fb10faf438b4f7d3b638446b5e7ffb838cb99497f75ebbab7aa0f5a2aae9a" }, { "row": 61, "col": 15, "lat": 63.0, "lon": -149.0, "n_events": 13, "max_mag": 2.8, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.892, "b_trend": 0.0683, "ell_km": 93.9, "ell_trend": -1.41, "rate_acceleration": 1.09, "delta_aic_iet": 630.21, "S_over_Gamma": 12.978, "days_to_criticality": 2099.2, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.913, "grad_tau_local": 1.7029, "depth_trend": 4.87, "spatial_concentration": 70.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6403, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "2666dc126955623cdb03b01188daac8829eaff94f1da9ac8bb83c0f66f1292f5", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6403, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "e88af69ff6999e98368b0ef3d348e44d81d498837671efea883f6b37c07e3b9d" }, "receipt_sha256": "e88af69ff6999e98368b0ef3d348e44d81d498837671efea883f6b37c07e3b9d" }, { "row": 35, "col": 55, "lat": 11.0, "lon": -69.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 7.5, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 14.6, "ell_trend": 3.65, "rate_acceleration": 2.45, "delta_aic_iet": 5.61, "S_over_Gamma": 0.794, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": false }, "tau_local": 2.3071, "grad_tau_local": 0.5606, "depth_trend": -1.45, "spatial_concentration": 60.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6403, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "2666dc126955623cdb03b01188daac8829eaff94f1da9ac8bb83c0f66f1292f5", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6403, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "e88af69ff6999e98368b0ef3d348e44d81d498837671efea883f6b37c07e3b9d" }, "receipt_sha256": "e88af69ff6999e98368b0ef3d348e44d81d498837671efea883f6b37c07e3b9d" }, { "row": 59, "col": 12, "lat": 59.0, "lon": -155.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 3.4, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.088, "b_trend": -0.0999, "ell_km": 79.0, "ell_trend": 0.45, "rate_acceleration": 0.81, "delta_aic_iet": 576.85, "S_over_Gamma": 12.546, "days_to_criticality": 154.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.6655, "grad_tau_local": 1.2096, "depth_trend": 4.33, "spatial_concentration": 72.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6371, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "c9ccab5951f6bcfbc9a1dbc3b6e9889e5c638c54a10fbdb5550b8780c404fc0d", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6371, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "c510cad47e61b161127f694d9d7603f9b9b3dcc7eda40757087d474f1745ee69" }, "receipt_sha256": "c510cad47e61b161127f694d9d7603f9b9b3dcc7eda40757087d474f1745ee69" }, { "row": 60, "col": 16, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -147.0, "n_events": 13, "max_mag": 3.1, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.828, "b_trend": 0.0901, "ell_km": 108.0, "ell_trend": -0.35, "rate_acceleration": 1.06, "delta_aic_iet": 596.03, "S_over_Gamma": 13.156, "days_to_criticality": 2099.2, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.9549, "grad_tau_local": 0.9074, "depth_trend": 5.5, "spatial_concentration": 77.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6351, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "8e242c14987ab994b8e6094e5671dfc914607bbe443ed1ef1ede588733412d0f", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6351, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f7b6ab63a1bc50faced8aaf78c2ec4bfe1a8e8aba713898e189281ad8598dc23" }, "receipt_sha256": "f7b6ab63a1bc50faced8aaf78c2ec4bfe1a8e8aba713898e189281ad8598dc23" }, { "row": 53, "col": 166, "lat": 47.0, "lon": 153.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.6, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.306, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 69.0, "ell_trend": 4.53, "rate_acceleration": 0.69, "delta_aic_iet": 115.23, "S_over_Gamma": 15.893, "days_to_criticality": 149.9, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.3437, "grad_tau_local": 0.8601, "depth_trend": 0.1, "spatial_concentration": 77.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6343, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "8c699f812a2c443a2bc0414d2a556cde865639c66960524de87569469374c64b", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6343, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "431fdd06c678c37503436705bcedd9f140b50f1cfdce35fc4319c76ae5697d9e" }, "receipt_sha256": "431fdd06c678c37503436705bcedd9f140b50f1cfdce35fc4319c76ae5697d9e" }, { "row": 61, "col": 14, "lat": 63.0, "lon": -151.0, "n_events": 14, "max_mag": 3.6, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.887, "b_trend": 0.07, "ell_km": 92.9, "ell_trend": -1.44, "rate_acceleration": 1.07, "delta_aic_iet": 586.94, "S_over_Gamma": 13.164, "days_to_criticality": 2099.2, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.2847, "grad_tau_local": 1.9753, "depth_trend": 5.61, "spatial_concentration": 73.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6342, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "078d6bfa61acd391cb551be373d7bdfb114a329aae51aa6ad1b11476fc7e3a71", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6342, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f5578f627027a2d922441a3ec562eeb0a803f96ed4cd8f3224567f2e38dc8408" }, "receipt_sha256": "f5578f627027a2d922441a3ec562eeb0a803f96ed4cd8f3224567f2e38dc8408" }, { "row": 56, "col": 3, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -173.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 3.8, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.623, "b_trend": 0.1267, "ell_km": 13.1, "ell_trend": -9.59, "rate_acceleration": 1.3, "delta_aic_iet": 854.12, "S_over_Gamma": 14.035, "days_to_criticality": 2098.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.8389, "grad_tau_local": 1.519, "depth_trend": -3.67, "spatial_concentration": 64.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6303, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "28959696b7480b82577aa3ac1742ac8cbf795f5780778847c60888b59dcf42f4", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6303, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "8595d9d339162e7f57924fa4659418d9a30550150ee4a8ecfa629bbadd347e8a" }, "receipt_sha256": "8595d9d339162e7f57924fa4659418d9a30550150ee4a8ecfa629bbadd347e8a" }, { "row": 56, "col": 7, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -165.0, "n_events": 24, "max_mag": 3.2, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.704, "b_trend": 0.0169, "ell_km": 29.2, "ell_trend": -3.27, "rate_acceleration": 2.33, "delta_aic_iet": 646.86, "S_over_Gamma": 13.231, "days_to_criticality": 2097.3, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.258, "grad_tau_local": 0.5184, "depth_trend": -8.45, "spatial_concentration": 84.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6298, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "1eba789a8051ac8988df9266abc69175ac9797be3da1854f54f1f834004c7113", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6298, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "e6535be67acfdd8799ca15a127e5549adc027f2db1be9720c411d51474ea541c" }, "receipt_sha256": "e6535be67acfdd8799ca15a127e5549adc027f2db1be9720c411d51474ea541c" }, { "row": 59, "col": 13, "lat": 59.0, "lon": -153.0, "n_events": 20, "max_mag": 4.2, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.854, "b_trend": -0.1083, "ell_km": 85.8, "ell_trend": 0.66, "rate_acceleration": 0.81, "delta_aic_iet": 608.24, "S_over_Gamma": 13.294, "days_to_criticality": 94.0, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.6779, "grad_tau_local": 0.2625, "depth_trend": 4.77, "spatial_concentration": 81.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6287, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "c6966d8938d12ff491981cfdb7dc4b4f07b90fa6a1ea73dbb3ffe7abbb696a55", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6287, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "27424b7040f7f1386dd1123e26407a1eea0bb8fb03457ea7a47c29db1b8d99ea" }, "receipt_sha256": "27424b7040f7f1386dd1123e26407a1eea0bb8fb03457ea7a47c29db1b8d99ea" }, { "row": 60, "col": 13, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -153.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 4.0, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.064, "b_trend": -0.1036, "ell_km": 84.7, "ell_trend": -0.63, "rate_acceleration": 0.93, "delta_aic_iet": 747.05, "S_over_Gamma": 12.829, "days_to_criticality": 2099.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.9203, "grad_tau_local": 1.5939, "depth_trend": 4.7, "spatial_concentration": 69.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6248, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "ffbeb146b6fa545aa1ee93fd1ab221758c008b6c13fedcaa93fc20b48ea971f7", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6248, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "e6287ae85d897b70ce568a2cd156004ac67c8f01c0752869661d7618406f8a0b" }, "receipt_sha256": "e6287ae85d897b70ce568a2cd156004ac67c8f01c0752869661d7618406f8a0b" }, { "row": 55, "col": 1, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -177.0, "n_events": 54, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.652, "b_trend": 0.0663, "ell_km": 83.9, "ell_trend": -0.39, "rate_acceleration": 1.96, "delta_aic_iet": 788.48, "S_over_Gamma": 13.306, "days_to_criticality": 2098.7, "conditions_met": 4, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.8956, "grad_tau_local": 2.9821, "depth_trend": -8.52, "spatial_concentration": 152.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6209, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "96db8cf54cabb00eaa0204fac5b701209536d4e03f6dbd9e8261d5f926f487bc", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6209, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "23dab70f00b4e358d12ee2a2fa0753c24f967a8e0f154519b4cff5d4e69dc91d" }, "receipt_sha256": "23dab70f00b4e358d12ee2a2fa0753c24f967a8e0f154519b4cff5d4e69dc91d" }, { "row": 58, "col": 11, "lat": 57.0, "lon": -157.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 3.1, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.869, "b_trend": -0.0469, "ell_km": 110.8, "ell_trend": -5.28, "rate_acceleration": 1.02, "delta_aic_iet": 452.24, "S_over_Gamma": 12.643, "days_to_criticality": 2099.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.6733, "grad_tau_local": 0.5421, "depth_trend": -1.32, "spatial_concentration": 78.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6195, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "9ca38bb0c288eee9058d0af3eba7be0ee7e1fa4cbbc05149e40a45638fa4706e", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6195, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "c89565e0f15f4e28abe6862dd436beb605d66724cbb4abb73edf9b1eaa881e13" }, "receipt_sha256": "c89565e0f15f4e28abe6862dd436beb605d66724cbb4abb73edf9b1eaa881e13" }, { "row": 55, "col": 3, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -173.0, "n_events": 15, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.63, "b_trend": 0.1347, "ell_km": 13.5, "ell_trend": -6.4, "rate_acceleration": 1.31, "delta_aic_iet": 951.45, "S_over_Gamma": 13.787, "days_to_criticality": 24.2, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.1556, "grad_tau_local": 0.8648, "depth_trend": -3.01, "spatial_concentration": 69.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6137, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "d10c8a54163fd6c3fbf13f8088988cf008aaa8a8aaf21a1d2096aa50c757282e", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6137, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "1b45a8711a6fb231387fa898ac739e0c3b888c18e2bf5f34c20748f659bfe3d6" }, "receipt_sha256": "1b45a8711a6fb231387fa898ac739e0c3b888c18e2bf5f34c20748f659bfe3d6" }, { "row": 60, "col": 14, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -151.0, "n_events": 24, "max_mag": 4.9, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.852, "b_trend": -0.109, "ell_km": 89.2, "ell_trend": -0.81, "rate_acceleration": 0.99, "delta_aic_iet": 797.4, "S_over_Gamma": 13.388, "days_to_criticality": 2099.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.5755, "grad_tau_local": 0.4553, "depth_trend": 2.98, "spatial_concentration": 68.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6098, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "d22a3fcf49c525dc3a375f722bad425352e21daaf52e4c82e2f50400118216b9", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6098, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "7feb4af765ee86d010e5b2ddfbb2265e27c7c324c479ca8dab06a061b7ce64c6" }, "receipt_sha256": "7feb4af765ee86d010e5b2ddfbb2265e27c7c324c479ca8dab06a061b7ce64c6" }, { "row": 18, "col": 0, "lat": -23.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.466, "b_trend": -0.1506, "ell_km": 59.1, "ell_trend": 0.15, "rate_acceleration": 0.97, "delta_aic_iet": 276.72, "S_over_Gamma": 15.632, "days_to_criticality": 267.9, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 1.8198, "depth_trend": -2.26, "spatial_concentration": 87.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6078, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "e118e1442bbe5d3d7e1d07e9662251e22339d793a7a2688b84daeeafab691ed5", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6078, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "0ee3b34472d9c0ca82fcc8169da4f03e83d14bddaf4275e5017a7dad0837656f" }, "receipt_sha256": "0ee3b34472d9c0ca82fcc8169da4f03e83d14bddaf4275e5017a7dad0837656f" }, { "row": 60, "col": 15, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -149.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 3.1, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.855, "b_trend": -0.0484, "ell_km": 85.1, "ell_trend": -0.69, "rate_acceleration": 0.98, "delta_aic_iet": 789.71, "S_over_Gamma": 13.29, "days_to_criticality": 2099.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.7993, "grad_tau_local": 0.8341, "depth_trend": 2.14, "spatial_concentration": 69.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.607, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "6c7abb047ec3fea119ba50af8d2c48cf7aabcdcdc73e0381670cddade0f80254", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.607, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "4b3148c20a2813e6bc958548053e353e64217f46c1e50ada97e344f6e275fb0f" }, "receipt_sha256": "4b3148c20a2813e6bc958548053e353e64217f46c1e50ada97e344f6e275fb0f" }, { "row": 19, "col": 174, "lat": -21.0, "lon": 169.0, "n_events": 11, "max_mag": 5.8, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 100.2, "ell_trend": 0.2, "rate_acceleration": 1.37, "delta_aic_iet": 155.8, "S_over_Gamma": 16.445, "days_to_criticality": -0.2, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.192, "grad_tau_local": 0.6886, "depth_trend": -15.38, "spatial_concentration": 71.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6051, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "7d94ead0f900d4ed634cc4ad64752ec2ad657466cb204885f64feee53bf2a8ca", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6051, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ddeb3ec8cd3b1282e0cfdde1d95927f8d55a9cc9c909c9e3a0dd6b6fb91414ab" }, "receipt_sha256": "ddeb3ec8cd3b1282e0cfdde1d95927f8d55a9cc9c909c9e3a0dd6b6fb91414ab" }, { "row": 28, "col": 159, "lat": -3.0, "lon": 139.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 5.1, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.148, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 26.3, "ell_trend": 3.35, "rate_acceleration": 0.54, "delta_aic_iet": 128.26, "S_over_Gamma": 15.289, "days_to_criticality": 15.0, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.847, "grad_tau_local": 0.2192, "depth_trend": 0.94, "spatial_concentration": 76.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.603, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "e421ca7eb91a21613dc8ca4b45f6c5315137697545096bbd3cc7331eb4f5a469", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.603, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "e62c1be327875a329aad3e2875eb15f7b358d2de45efc3c2ee050cde5265db0d" }, "receipt_sha256": "e62c1be327875a329aad3e2875eb15f7b358d2de45efc3c2ee050cde5265db0d" }, { "row": 58, "col": 15, "lat": 57.0, "lon": -149.0, "n_events": 12, "max_mag": 3.3, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.871, "b_trend": 0.2167, "ell_km": 24.0, "ell_trend": 1.15, "rate_acceleration": 1.08, "delta_aic_iet": 280.47, "S_over_Gamma": 13.011, "days_to_criticality": 18.9, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.8395, "grad_tau_local": 1.2632, "depth_trend": -1.58, "spatial_concentration": 50.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6003, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "4a611e9502db1960765d0d9fec2d0ca64ed52efe13d072d0e09799612b6c3c68", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6003, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "6d1896850841025ece8793ad497b67e8ae4fade717bac2858e9930ed553c3069" }, "receipt_sha256": "6d1896850841025ece8793ad497b67e8ae4fade717bac2858e9930ed553c3069" }, { "row": 36, "col": 151, "lat": 13.0, "lon": 123.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.4, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.329, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 22.8, "ell_trend": 0.18, "rate_acceleration": 0.46, "delta_aic_iet": 129.92, "S_over_Gamma": 17.473, "days_to_criticality": 358.0, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.7069, "grad_tau_local": 0.8055, "depth_trend": 27.24, "spatial_concentration": 84.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.595, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "c626505d5d5caf382c16ef50232444d3d00d7b4eef5ab5d2eac9ef933398712b", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.595, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f38298beee4b6c0144451581552d00434be1bef2985894f61a2a64c499771db2" }, "receipt_sha256": "f38298beee4b6c0144451581552d00434be1bef2985894f61a2a64c499771db2" }, { "row": 50, "col": 27, "lat": 41.0, "lon": -125.0, "n_events": 15, "max_mag": 3.1, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.61, "b_trend": 0.1711, "ell_km": 11.0, "ell_trend": -0.52, "rate_acceleration": 1.17, "delta_aic_iet": 365.63, "S_over_Gamma": 13.296, "days_to_criticality": 20.1, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.4095, "grad_tau_local": 0.5902, "depth_trend": -0.1, "spatial_concentration": 80.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5936, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "8ec35154c0c4cbdf85175dae24dc0622edf5dee0e1349592ad942cd885a44ffd", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5936, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "5bbe4aeade7da56d826d954ec6dd77fb5e36b394b2ea4d695dc93accb8539fc3" }, "receipt_sha256": "5bbe4aeade7da56d826d954ec6dd77fb5e36b394b2ea4d695dc93accb8539fc3" }, { "row": 55, "col": 2, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -175.0, "n_events": 34, "max_mag": 4.0, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.65, "b_trend": 0.065, "ell_km": 76.5, "ell_trend": 0.03, "rate_acceleration": 1.91, "delta_aic_iet": 707.0, "S_over_Gamma": 13.537, "days_to_criticality": -0.6, "conditions_met": 4, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.9485, "grad_tau_local": 0.8166, "depth_trend": -9.19, "spatial_concentration": 77.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5904, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "06b4a85ac1d30e6fa5efecd6657d26a644316e795ab20d7c10a4b676da10e3dc", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5904, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "469b0fbb5ee6b11874dc461bba6dcd2f7db79fc364822ebb195774088ad2f646" }, "receipt_sha256": "469b0fbb5ee6b11874dc461bba6dcd2f7db79fc364822ebb195774088ad2f646" }, { "row": 18, "col": 55, "lat": -23.0, "lon": -69.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 4.4, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.168, "b_trend": 0.3906, "ell_km": 38.7, "ell_trend": 0.96, "rate_acceleration": 1.03, "delta_aic_iet": 296.49, "S_over_Gamma": 15.527, "days_to_criticality": 68.2, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.4006, "grad_tau_local": 0.5978, "depth_trend": 5.75, "spatial_concentration": 61.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.59, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "1cb2419a2c4c2fe66b03080e04e9b244f638b90b5b37b9acb14f5239e6543caa", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.59, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "7506c8a7c343500adebb3fe69243322a7cfcc46e4b0f39768f4cd4232732e037" }, "receipt_sha256": "7506c8a7c343500adebb3fe69243322a7cfcc46e4b0f39768f4cd4232732e037" }, { "row": 59, "col": 74, "lat": 59.0, "lon": -31.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 5.3, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 9.0, "ell_trend": -1.96, "rate_acceleration": 1.83, "delta_aic_iet": -23.08, "S_over_Gamma": 12.983, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.344, "grad_tau_local": 0.0754, "depth_trend": 0.0, "spatial_concentration": 91.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5849, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "2407d3223d8627bd7f6a776f3cf1fa8f60947f8c9040e6eb0dead30fd4735e6c", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5849, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "9619345a93146215cdfdb0be1f7e82a9b18fdcc8acc998ee0276e068a5510fbe" }, "receipt_sha256": "9619345a93146215cdfdb0be1f7e82a9b18fdcc8acc998ee0276e068a5510fbe" }, { "row": 18, "col": 2, "lat": -23.0, "lon": -175.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.4, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.03, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 172.4, "ell_trend": -9.95, "rate_acceleration": 1.01, "delta_aic_iet": 86.65, "S_over_Gamma": 15.383, "days_to_criticality": 2099.0, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.3093, "grad_tau_local": 0.6331, "depth_trend": 19.28, "spatial_concentration": 66.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5843, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "f86a14ec415fb8d59c8fdbb4e8cebd11e27ee93540b2a0b897d29368c02e3add", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5843, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "eef3cb91f5ca71b14a30de718522fdc3ca7e763eaee40cc5bf1d836f7682ff6d" }, "receipt_sha256": "eef3cb91f5ca71b14a30de718522fdc3ca7e763eaee40cc5bf1d836f7682ff6d" }, { "row": 49, "col": 28, "lat": 39.0, "lon": -123.0, "n_events": 17, "max_mag": 5.6, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.931, "b_trend": 0.1199, "ell_km": 3.5, "ell_trend": -0.06, "rate_acceleration": 1.04, "delta_aic_iet": 537.62, "S_over_Gamma": 13.113, "days_to_criticality": 19.9, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.5636, "grad_tau_local": 0.8076, "depth_trend": -0.22, "spatial_concentration": 71.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5827, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "fc126aea8fd0a10751ed4db9aec04ea7bff439284b9f1a6aee0c27a229b227a0", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5827, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "62796f6a9c4108892fe4d4b2a2ceff39099fa44d2ca83c7ef39122660dab1f08" }, "receipt_sha256": "62796f6a9c4108892fe4d4b2a2ceff39099fa44d2ca83c7ef39122660dab1f08" }, { "row": 56, "col": 4, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -171.0, "n_events": 14, "max_mag": 4.9, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.634, "b_trend": 0.151, "ell_km": 12.5, "ell_trend": -11.18, "rate_acceleration": 1.28, "delta_aic_iet": 800.46, "S_over_Gamma": 13.678, "days_to_criticality": 2098.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.9994, "grad_tau_local": 1.4579, "depth_trend": -1.61, "spatial_concentration": 89.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5663, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "d49ab309780cee4da1473996df6d3e157818fced0e3c236078a6cc5632631231", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5663, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "979bc5000cef65028ffc7b62605aa6edd21d61e8bbd9ebdaed43496975669768" }, "receipt_sha256": "979bc5000cef65028ffc7b62605aa6edd21d61e8bbd9ebdaed43496975669768" }, { "row": 19, "col": 55, "lat": -21.0, "lon": -69.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 4.4, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.089, "b_trend": 0.0519, "ell_km": 64.5, "ell_trend": -2.52, "rate_acceleration": 1.12, "delta_aic_iet": 233.27, "S_over_Gamma": 15.529, "days_to_criticality": 2099.7, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.5829, "grad_tau_local": 0.4416, "depth_trend": -8.36, "spatial_concentration": 83.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5631, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "94b40c4c614c1f55fca34b61ccae1f9cba5fd50f15b1017a3295ab54a1df0938", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5631, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "e074210fd5a678caa014dfd3d6a6f312fe1ab6ecf04b093551f80858cbde281d" }, "receipt_sha256": "e074210fd5a678caa014dfd3d6a6f312fe1ab6ecf04b093551f80858cbde281d" }, { "row": 55, "col": 178, "lat": 51.0, "lon": 177.0, "n_events": 71, "max_mag": 4.5, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.498, "b_trend": 0.2329, "ell_km": 12.4, "ell_trend": -11.41, "rate_acceleration": 2.39, "delta_aic_iet": 474.66, "S_over_Gamma": 14.215, "days_to_criticality": 2098.7, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.4453, "grad_tau_local": 1.6071, "depth_trend": -10.36, "spatial_concentration": 126.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5606, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "0f6b004dc096603cf5ef2055e4550408101efccb890b81396a119c723acda60d", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5606, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "73f96f5e25c26fb037b385bf844e71dc1d22702ffdab796bd5d67fd271db65b6" }, "receipt_sha256": "73f96f5e25c26fb037b385bf844e71dc1d22702ffdab796bd5d67fd271db65b6" }, { "row": 48, "col": 29, "lat": 37.0, "lon": -121.0, "n_events": 11, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.992, "b_trend": 0.1109, "ell_km": 2.3, "ell_trend": -0.02, "rate_acceleration": 0.66, "delta_aic_iet": 412.77, "S_over_Gamma": 13.126, "days_to_criticality": 20.0, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.223, "grad_tau_local": 0.9248, "depth_trend": -0.01, "spatial_concentration": 79.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5549, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "4868d4a0da55f7d05a50f336b51f8cc38e73ee65f21a4740634a621a4816f78f", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5549, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "dafce62e6b6795ee36d054088f6d868f2f62bc5ac94261d2ec925d7ca4dc8368" }, "receipt_sha256": "dafce62e6b6795ee36d054088f6d868f2f62bc5ac94261d2ec925d7ca4dc8368" }, { "row": 32, "col": 152, "lat": 5.0, "lon": 125.0, "n_events": 46, "max_mag": 6.5, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.126, "b_trend": -0.1012, "ell_km": 38.1, "ell_trend": -5.35, "rate_acceleration": 3.62, "delta_aic_iet": 300.87, "S_over_Gamma": 15.2, "days_to_criticality": 25.4, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 9.9878, "grad_tau_local": 0.9186, "depth_trend": -25.01, "spatial_concentration": 87.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5544, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "ac36e5d5b1ef38e75b9c7763897a30300575710af454370a8b3a99dd05e4e847", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5544, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "dc98ff85764466586c07608c4fc4a8a5c5459d525212c61377a9b9d70c37f2ec" }, "receipt_sha256": "dc98ff85764466586c07608c4fc4a8a5c5459d525212c61377a9b9d70c37f2ec" }, { "row": 63, "col": 19, "lat": 67.0, "lon": -141.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.0, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 5.6, "ell_trend": -0.64, "rate_acceleration": 1.07, "delta_aic_iet": 45.39, "S_over_Gamma": 10.065, "days_to_criticality": 18.1, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 1.6739, "grad_tau_local": 1.66, "depth_trend": -1.43, "spatial_concentration": 69.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.551, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "cc6992b7022578ee2bfa17124dfaeab6b96f5438715789cb6d0870e7eefb3afb", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.551, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "b16bb2f8ed145912ca248815b6d54dd2db12a6d8744359749128bedb42f76149" }, "receipt_sha256": "b16bb2f8ed145912ca248815b6d54dd2db12a6d8744359749128bedb42f76149" }, { "row": 18, "col": 179, "lat": -23.0, "lon": 179.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.5, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.11, "b_trend": -0.1375, "ell_km": 58.9, "ell_trend": -1.35, "rate_acceleration": 1.02, "delta_aic_iet": 221.32, "S_over_Gamma": 15.513, "days_to_criticality": 2096.4, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 0.5224, "depth_trend": 0.18, "spatial_concentration": 121.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5459, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "c12eb73b7da14de1aebb22a3730c04495a22e26c39eff6eae40a9199bf583fea", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5459, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "e7a90b09aed4250e1f8b00ddbc178a8727d0f61be72b13cd5be7144142b6d60a" }, "receipt_sha256": "e7a90b09aed4250e1f8b00ddbc178a8727d0f61be72b13cd5be7144142b6d60a" }, { "row": 13, "col": 0, "lat": -33.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 5.2, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.515, "b_trend": 0.0015, "ell_km": 66.3, "ell_trend": -15.5, "rate_acceleration": 0.77, "delta_aic_iet": 224.84, "S_over_Gamma": 15.615, "days_to_criticality": 2098.9, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 0.7073, "depth_trend": -21.49, "spatial_concentration": 65.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5446, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "0ee2f0bf84346b2840f9c4a0fad9c5f7ac397218fe5890872597b79e68a6486b", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5446, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "bc2ed09ebf4667ae47075ffc908e41921254907839913e8817935da2762abe16" }, "receipt_sha256": "bc2ed09ebf4667ae47075ffc908e41921254907839913e8817935da2762abe16" }, { "row": 50, "col": 35, "lat": 41.0, "lon": -109.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.825, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 2.4, "ell_trend": -0.32, "rate_acceleration": 1.0, "delta_aic_iet": 57.23, "S_over_Gamma": 13.423, "days_to_criticality": 16.0, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.5686, "grad_tau_local": 0.3933, "depth_trend": -3.07, "spatial_concentration": 82.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5344, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "adfb43b5b370bfe10287f41f7c39a59a040a26b4383e3d2a83267feedc33a655", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5344, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "6384a4cf5c9ced74013cded6a06c39d577c7d83a4a4bc0cbcf2f0ec13b98ffcc" }, "receipt_sha256": "6384a4cf5c9ced74013cded6a06c39d577c7d83a4a4bc0cbcf2f0ec13b98ffcc" }, { "row": 18, "col": 175, "lat": -23.0, "lon": 171.0, "n_events": 15, "max_mag": 6.3, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.277, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 63.5, "ell_trend": -9.29, "rate_acceleration": 1.3, "delta_aic_iet": 144.56, "S_over_Gamma": 15.253, "days_to_criticality": 1792.1, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.7833, "grad_tau_local": 0.6271, "depth_trend": -8.34, "spatial_concentration": 65.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.534, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "c7396bc4539e21660f948fb1b42b24a40ec6f1e45224411f00fa677ae1461135", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.534, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f4473e8e426c4fcf668e7df6087db6839ff061f0227e6806dadb33da31df5947" }, "receipt_sha256": "f4473e8e426c4fcf668e7df6087db6839ff061f0227e6806dadb33da31df5947" }, { "row": 47, "col": 160, "lat": 35.0, "lon": 141.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 5.8, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 120.7, "ell_trend": 8.22, "rate_acceleration": 1.04, "delta_aic_iet": 140.33, "S_over_Gamma": 15.914, "days_to_criticality": 68.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.5469, "grad_tau_local": 0.67, "depth_trend": 7.04, "spatial_concentration": 86.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5317, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "9902e6d34f97a0423ba592375739d714bf57055b90a4c916e879a7b040c755ff", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5317, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "6e8dc0cde3eeecdb8ce32181e4f1ef80dd561ea8f4d9463581756e21a67bca4a" }, "receipt_sha256": "6e8dc0cde3eeecdb8ce32181e4f1ef80dd561ea8f4d9463581756e21a67bca4a" }, { "row": 19, "col": 0, "lat": -21.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 12, "max_mag": 5.5, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.514, "b_trend": -0.5145, "ell_km": 64.0, "ell_trend": 2.27, "rate_acceleration": 1.0, "delta_aic_iet": 289.24, "S_over_Gamma": 15.513, "days_to_criticality": 193.9, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 2.6347, "depth_trend": -10.06, "spatial_concentration": 96.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5306, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "07b882023d52712d1a3485b34c94af67204ec7107bd1f4d7f6e877f9143c4919", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5306, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "25fa30e8188605607321c38834864f9dc7496cac88169dcdeadf438525db1d93" }, "receipt_sha256": "25fa30e8188605607321c38834864f9dc7496cac88169dcdeadf438525db1d93" }, { "row": 31, "col": 153, "lat": 3.0, "lon": 127.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.4, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.143, "b_trend": -0.158, "ell_km": 33.8, "ell_trend": -16.02, "rate_acceleration": 1.08, "delta_aic_iet": 741.04, "S_over_Gamma": 15.382, "days_to_criticality": 2098.4, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 9.613, "grad_tau_local": 0.6983, "depth_trend": -10.31, "spatial_concentration": 72.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5267, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "8e1e94c0f5b5feb3d9ac01182b982f2d60d1ab90120e31358a9ddd58de84aa09", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5267, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "d294dceef94e28da1146efa5b0cf79eb2d282c00929e5c216ae263e04120b38d" }, "receipt_sha256": "d294dceef94e28da1146efa5b0cf79eb2d282c00929e5c216ae263e04120b38d" }, { "row": 60, "col": 19, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -141.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.2, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.802, "b_trend": 0.1511, "ell_km": 9.9, "ell_trend": -0.03, "rate_acceleration": 0.16, "delta_aic_iet": -1438.16, "S_over_Gamma": 13.425, "days_to_criticality": 24.6, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.4168, "grad_tau_local": 1.1488, "depth_trend": 0.19, "spatial_concentration": 62.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5257, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "c2807a745bd25852b0f457d37067e2f79455276c5edee9f1f394bd5a269b8cde", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5257, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "cc1ae3874b525a60f1f964a465a1673068221621aa2852bf63cb2d3495dd5f0d" }, "receipt_sha256": "cc1ae3874b525a60f1f964a465a1673068221621aa2852bf63cb2d3495dd5f0d" }, { "row": 19, "col": 1, "lat": -21.0, "lon": -177.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 4.4, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.43, "b_trend": -0.2773, "ell_km": 75.3, "ell_trend": 1.98, "rate_acceleration": 1.09, "delta_aic_iet": 286.51, "S_over_Gamma": 14.361, "days_to_criticality": 56.3, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.6347, "grad_tau_local": 1.6215, "depth_trend": 9.56, "spatial_concentration": 91.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.514, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "c2301e1fc683f7e0949a45c7920ae3dbc6e9044365f735ff59812e43403f941e", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.514, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "53076a0cb98cf41683378d7b65253b4ed60571d08eee2b630c4affe3665011f9" }, "receipt_sha256": "53076a0cb98cf41683378d7b65253b4ed60571d08eee2b630c4affe3665011f9" }, { "row": 30, "col": 153, "lat": 1.0, "lon": 127.0, "n_events": 13, "max_mag": 6.2, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.317, "b_trend": -0.1326, "ell_km": 35.3, "ell_trend": -12.55, "rate_acceleration": 0.56, "delta_aic_iet": 578.53, "S_over_Gamma": 15.586, "days_to_criticality": 2098.4, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 10.2365, "grad_tau_local": 0.7813, "depth_trend": -14.13, "spatial_concentration": 76.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5109, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "36e43ef66b12c23f98492f3dd2821aa5ae26f930df2d05410a1061e3e218705d", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5109, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "650b913d544553d3f9fc7c6fdc775da9dc0b909c88b0fa34719fd171e0d3575a" }, "receipt_sha256": "650b913d544553d3f9fc7c6fdc775da9dc0b909c88b0fa34719fd171e0d3575a" }, { "row": 57, "col": 10, "lat": 55.0, "lon": -159.0, "n_events": 12, "max_mag": 3.1, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.777, "b_trend": 0.0779, "ell_km": 19.6, "ell_trend": 0.54, "rate_acceleration": 0.81, "delta_aic_iet": 890.42, "S_over_Gamma": 13.239, "days_to_criticality": 40.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.6406, "grad_tau_local": 0.7943, "depth_trend": -2.37, "spatial_concentration": 93.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5004, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "340349c3eed827591be960775185bd57f0fcf6ec1212dab01ad0731f7dd42932", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5004, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "6706a55d4db0a92d5d9269016a7b62fdac5b80ae341eb7e40daafe934a3a5213" }, "receipt_sha256": "6706a55d4db0a92d5d9269016a7b62fdac5b80ae341eb7e40daafe934a3a5213" }, { "row": 57, "col": 9, "lat": 55.0, "lon": -161.0, "n_events": 20, "max_mag": 4.0, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.776, "b_trend": 0.0604, "ell_km": 18.9, "ell_trend": -0.5, "rate_acceleration": 1.19, "delta_aic_iet": 933.18, "S_over_Gamma": 13.212, "days_to_criticality": 18.2, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 9.0048, "grad_tau_local": 0.412, "depth_trend": 0.43, "spatial_concentration": 76.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4987, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "687ff2db2316f0228b9642ad062c622ff31ba0f3aa3607632a2e780524730e00", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4987, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "866ea28a759afe71d196bb6c3e4536ea17e2cdf79e9d7b9442c14a0528c966c8" }, "receipt_sha256": "866ea28a759afe71d196bb6c3e4536ea17e2cdf79e9d7b9442c14a0528c966c8" }, { "row": 54, "col": 167, "lat": 49.0, "lon": 155.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 5.9, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.156, "b_trend": 0.0521, "ell_km": 86.0, "ell_trend": -4.34, "rate_acceleration": 0.27, "delta_aic_iet": 465.27, "S_over_Gamma": 15.247, "days_to_criticality": 2098.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.5495, "grad_tau_local": 1.6918, "depth_trend": 20.77, "spatial_concentration": 74.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4916, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "b772db74b6ce82d027b3564c4765eaebc27337308b40c601d27c241d0cd4d074", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4916, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "838f0728d0b8806a15ba58e89a0b9c3e9d39602cfd77a4a223d0e5ce2d3c4fe5" }, "receipt_sha256": "838f0728d0b8806a15ba58e89a0b9c3e9d39602cfd77a4a223d0e5ce2d3c4fe5" }, { "row": 31, "col": 154, "lat": 3.0, "lon": 129.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.8, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.429, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 94.0, "ell_trend": -4.23, "rate_acceleration": 0.71, "delta_aic_iet": 238.41, "S_over_Gamma": 15.88, "days_to_criticality": 2098.4, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.0889, "grad_tau_local": 1.7968, "depth_trend": -9.65, "spatial_concentration": 45.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4877, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "208a6740f27aa7c60d3d97c70150286c3e90f28f45a090955dac33f20c28b5f7", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4877, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "dd12b2f0f80ba9ba4893fba366e979869f3f7b67332ba773e441ca1ec35972c0" }, "receipt_sha256": "dd12b2f0f80ba9ba4893fba366e979869f3f7b67332ba773e441ca1ec35972c0" }, { "row": 56, "col": 2, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -175.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 3.4, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.653, "b_trend": 0.0747, "ell_km": 70.0, "ell_trend": 1.25, "rate_acceleration": 1.95, "delta_aic_iet": 625.61, "S_over_Gamma": 13.761, "days_to_criticality": 174.6, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.7495, "grad_tau_local": 2.0371, "depth_trend": -9.41, "spatial_concentration": 72.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4856, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "6eb50bf1a5a4ab4fbfc3fdb7d8e85618014d3ba06788362649c128daf650fbbd", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4856, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "02d8d9dc0d06bd8898c4dbec6f5e0789308a19b81261a1e136431c2d80e97b1c" }, "receipt_sha256": "02d8d9dc0d06bd8898c4dbec6f5e0789308a19b81261a1e136431c2d80e97b1c" }, { "row": 22, "col": 173, "lat": -15.0, "lon": 167.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.1, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.204, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 82.7, "ell_trend": -4.85, "rate_acceleration": 0.58, "delta_aic_iet": 172.81, "S_over_Gamma": 16.029, "days_to_criticality": 2098.5, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.4279, "grad_tau_local": 0.1157, "depth_trend": 4.15, "spatial_concentration": 89.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4714, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "f438c65d0fd9741b71bcc9e660b95f06c533b764a076d8e8a6fa03e78dbd1f48", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4714, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "26a6a9440b16120a51cea405c63351bf0cbc2db359fb743a9fb11f6087eb3bef" }, "receipt_sha256": "26a6a9440b16120a51cea405c63351bf0cbc2db359fb743a9fb11f6087eb3bef" }, { "row": 57, "col": 11, "lat": 55.0, "lon": -157.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.804, "b_trend": 0.141, "ell_km": 19.5, "ell_trend": 0.57, "rate_acceleration": 0.65, "delta_aic_iet": 871.51, "S_over_Gamma": 13.407, "days_to_criticality": 71.3, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.4992, "grad_tau_local": 1.2502, "depth_trend": -0.0, "spatial_concentration": 84.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4471, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "c7c1d05a58114dfbfcc48b57f8b3fba22fa3fcca3ccd9d962103de44d4f0f171", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4471, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "35c27e8e346f4ef18dcf872f05f1c2fbbb717ad11a83f25a01f91dd256af44d6" }, "receipt_sha256": "35c27e8e346f4ef18dcf872f05f1c2fbbb717ad11a83f25a01f91dd256af44d6" }, { "row": 56, "col": 170, "lat": 53.0, "lon": 161.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 4.3, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.145, "b_trend": 0.0079, "ell_km": 67.4, "ell_trend": -5.98, "rate_acceleration": 0.12, "delta_aic_iet": -892.85, "S_over_Gamma": 15.488, "days_to_criticality": 19.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 11.9743, "grad_tau_local": 2.2457, "depth_trend": 6.43, "spatial_concentration": 48.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4274, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "c1c1df3cd5d7febbbce49db0a088e009e0077cfa16d1bd93476c6246d1e9e00d", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4274, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "b439ef08a0faafae1871385eac3196fb6cdbb0e0978846f4ccdb4c8d4005db20" }, "receipt_sha256": "b439ef08a0faafae1871385eac3196fb6cdbb0e0978846f4ccdb4c8d4005db20" }, { "row": 56, "col": 8, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -163.0, "n_events": 14, "max_mag": 2.9, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.75, "b_trend": 0.0336, "ell_km": 19.6, "ell_trend": -0.08, "rate_acceleration": 1.33, "delta_aic_iet": 979.03, "S_over_Gamma": 13.213, "days_to_criticality": 2097.0, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.8171, "grad_tau_local": 1.2123, "depth_trend": -2.29, "spatial_concentration": 69.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4263, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "d269877452d6eeba863f314a257e4bf048bf31c9901b6757c468e20dd40fc9d9", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4263, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "d3f7d0d14ada42ddbab23c6d17272fb39c3c4dc2cf9b46368cf85a8c072b196d" }, "receipt_sha256": "d3f7d0d14ada42ddbab23c6d17272fb39c3c4dc2cf9b46368cf85a8c072b196d" }, { "row": 45, "col": 37, "lat": 31.0, "lon": -105.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 3.2, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.113, "b_trend": -0.2361, "ell_km": 3.7, "ell_trend": -0.04, "rate_acceleration": 0.69, "delta_aic_iet": 379.85, "S_over_Gamma": 13.28, "days_to_criticality": 21.7, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.544, "grad_tau_local": 0.7582, "depth_trend": 0.06, "spatial_concentration": 39.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4202, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "1468eb6e7bd8d8fffbcfced1ebfab5f66245a25c19acdc102b99986be560ad06", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4202, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "160ef13e7f9fb239a388eec63cecd9c52fccf2d0307161c6a7e013f1c2fce477" }, "receipt_sha256": "160ef13e7f9fb239a388eec63cecd9c52fccf2d0307161c6a7e013f1c2fce477" }, { "row": 47, "col": 31, "lat": 35.0, "lon": -117.0, "n_events": 11, "max_mag": 4.3, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.894, "b_trend": -0.0674, "ell_km": 2.4, "ell_trend": -0.28, "rate_acceleration": 1.62, "delta_aic_iet": 454.69, "S_over_Gamma": 13.283, "days_to_criticality": 20.3, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.0339, "grad_tau_local": 0.4967, "depth_trend": 0.2, "spatial_concentration": 78.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4185, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "7a2d43641c48dc92cd6f1fa17021f4ad997c043fc929e1cb265ce770553f5efb", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4185, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "810a9d8f32a731928755679ef51160d0e6f98a7155232c2eafa71a53d53b6ffa" }, "receipt_sha256": "810a9d8f32a731928755679ef51160d0e6f98a7155232c2eafa71a53d53b6ffa" }, { "row": 46, "col": 32, "lat": 33.0, "lon": -115.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 3.0, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.841, "b_trend": -0.0516, "ell_km": 2.5, "ell_trend": -0.4, "rate_acceleration": 1.26, "delta_aic_iet": 365.55, "S_over_Gamma": 12.975, "days_to_criticality": 19.4, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.0214, "grad_tau_local": 1.0203, "depth_trend": -0.04, "spatial_concentration": 59.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4145, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "3638fd3fe95fb0310cf74197f0d83b0c5f1eaa2972e94a364632afa62536665a", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4145, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "133ce5b1dc54ce9024c7931f653c78b67eec6b7d495b15d802e9068e60e0018f" }, "receipt_sha256": "133ce5b1dc54ce9024c7931f653c78b67eec6b7d495b15d802e9068e60e0018f" }, { "row": 38, "col": 60, "lat": 17.0, "lon": -59.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.6, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 13.3, "ell_trend": -0.07, "rate_acceleration": 0.5, "delta_aic_iet": -2.21, "S_over_Gamma": 11.132, "days_to_criticality": 1121.6, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.9253, "grad_tau_local": 0.9002, "depth_trend": 1.85, "spatial_concentration": 58.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4123, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "627f3eaea9cbcfd775bee6253b56cef7cf00be084b22b1b421071a7313d71f25", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4123, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "2914ce932e25eb6be4da96f01683529e2d81d6554e4c851bcf908746394269e0" }, "receipt_sha256": "2914ce932e25eb6be4da96f01683529e2d81d6554e4c851bcf908746394269e0" }, { "row": 55, "col": 169, "lat": 51.0, "lon": 159.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 5.3, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.148, "b_trend": -0.0016, "ell_km": 77.0, "ell_trend": -7.16, "rate_acceleration": 0.13, "delta_aic_iet": -1051.29, "S_over_Gamma": 15.712, "days_to_criticality": 2098.8, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 12.8912, "grad_tau_local": 0.5547, "depth_trend": 7.5, "spatial_concentration": 81.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4006, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "667aa4cbfc5a16c6c1449359ccb9675796de529617b671cace57731c461c9fc7", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4006, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "4b78419519709b6ef95f06b434d7fac74260196b2d605b08df1a0f679b1ad263" }, "receipt_sha256": "4b78419519709b6ef95f06b434d7fac74260196b2d605b08df1a0f679b1ad263" }, { "row": 56, "col": 5, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -169.0, "n_events": 26, "max_mag": 4.0, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.642, "b_trend": 0.1485, "ell_km": 12.0, "ell_trend": -11.63, "rate_acceleration": 1.58, "delta_aic_iet": 863.4, "S_over_Gamma": 13.528, "days_to_criticality": 2097.7, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.4987, "grad_tau_local": 0.6429, "depth_trend": -0.25, "spatial_concentration": 77.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3905, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "a2b587f6b76a73a00eb3e1e9738f2d5cbfcf0dc9005fe39d30b779e58b0c0390", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3905, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ca8ab5970905a238ce9c70ab65dcc2eab8c504c8e371b1e6811899d92b085dbb" }, "receipt_sha256": "ca8ab5970905a238ce9c70ab65dcc2eab8c504c8e371b1e6811899d92b085dbb" }, { "row": 57, "col": 8, "lat": 55.0, "lon": -163.0, "n_events": 23, "max_mag": 5.4, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.757, "b_trend": 0.0464, "ell_km": 19.6, "ell_trend": -0.16, "rate_acceleration": 1.25, "delta_aic_iet": 998.67, "S_over_Gamma": 13.044, "days_to_criticality": 2097.0, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.9603, "grad_tau_local": 1.238, "depth_trend": -1.16, "spatial_concentration": 62.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.386, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "7e48b27212c7f15839f25fd3c8b0b318d221a748b00b90c6a67e21ee5a86017a", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.386, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "42a4c578f30f361de2abf5404b75313f572c553ede77f7812011c2c7509147ac" }, "receipt_sha256": "42a4c578f30f361de2abf5404b75313f572c553ede77f7812011c2c7509147ac" }, { "row": 46, "col": 39, "lat": 33.0, "lon": -101.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 3.1, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 3.1, "ell_trend": 0.01, "rate_acceleration": 0.77, "delta_aic_iet": 178.1, "S_over_Gamma": 13.131, "days_to_criticality": 21.7, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.0783, "grad_tau_local": 1.0448, "depth_trend": -0.6, "spatial_concentration": 62.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3823, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "3cd661fa83cdfcd0e02313ce2058af8afa12acd215badf38c0f98f3daab85f6d", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3823, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "c80d11f034a11260fa8c1ea70fcc1c1c6e5716471630ebd4bb807e61792d1e41" }, "receipt_sha256": "c80d11f034a11260fa8c1ea70fcc1c1c6e5716471630ebd4bb807e61792d1e41" }, { "row": 48, "col": 31, "lat": 37.0, "lon": -117.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 3.6, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.917, "b_trend": -0.1097, "ell_km": 1.9, "ell_trend": -0.05, "rate_acceleration": 1.22, "delta_aic_iet": 333.32, "S_over_Gamma": 12.744, "days_to_criticality": 19.4, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.0586, "grad_tau_local": 0.4423, "depth_trend": -0.81, "spatial_concentration": 54.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3587, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "f9d3361b41da9df026cc5ce7f58e56653d0ae1cf6c7150f211227ef77c04b977", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3587, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "e69272dd53eebc6042311d1b122092ab043fc5c2f4503b7c9c876b7f7e6454ca" }, "receipt_sha256": "e69272dd53eebc6042311d1b122092ab043fc5c2f4503b7c9c876b7f7e6454ca" }, { "row": 50, "col": 160, "lat": 41.0, "lon": 141.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.887, "b_trend": 0.0606, "ell_km": 34.4, "ell_trend": 2.34, "rate_acceleration": 1.43, "delta_aic_iet": 366.65, "S_over_Gamma": 15.05, "days_to_criticality": 44.9, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.0807, "grad_tau_local": 1.8133, "depth_trend": 6.07, "spatial_concentration": 54.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3529, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "694bfe18ce68fd5952f9809f20a6f52a45ff7870589bfe7d77c01899ffba4499", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3529, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "09c7ac291f4e4e80185238ae12dba41e1d3701b2f88e8e1f2fccfa455e268ce8" }, "receipt_sha256": "09c7ac291f4e4e80185238ae12dba41e1d3701b2f88e8e1f2fccfa455e268ce8" }, { "row": 50, "col": 161, "lat": 41.0, "lon": 143.0, "n_events": 21, "max_mag": 6.9, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.929, "b_trend": 0.0756, "ell_km": 34.9, "ell_trend": 2.34, "rate_acceleration": 1.39, "delta_aic_iet": 467.0, "S_over_Gamma": 15.523, "days_to_criticality": 45.2, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.713, "grad_tau_local": 1.047, "depth_trend": 6.83, "spatial_concentration": 70.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3091, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "08351f61fab30db7512d4a75ad1892b9d823662edbf9f6daf01f0f521ec070a7", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T00:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3091, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "75bb7239b3641c04bdd25e59a44da1a5a8e9afe3cdb020e5eb1b1169c700d3d9" }, "receipt_sha256": "75bb7239b3641c04bdd25e59a44da1a5a8e9afe3cdb020e5eb1b1169c700d3d9" } ] }