{ "forecast_id": "eq_fcst_20260722_0700", "hazard": "earthquake", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "forecast_horizon_days": 30, "target_magnitude_min": 6.0, "feature_history_days": 400, "recent_activity_days": 30, "min_events_per_active_cell": 5, "forecast_domain": { "name": "global_2deg_grid", "lat_min": -60.0, "lat_max": 70.0, "lon_min": -180.0, "lon_max": 180.0, "dlat": 2.0, "dlon": 2.0, "n_lat": 65, "n_lon": 180, "default_probability": 0.0 }, "source_catalog": { "provider": "USGS FDSNWS", "min_magnitude": 2.5, "window_start": "2025-06-17T07:00:00Z", "window_end": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "n_events": 32728, "n_recent_events": 1914 }, "n_active_cells": 86, "top_probability": 0.5093, "active_cells": [ { "row": 23, "col": 82, "lat": -13.0, "lon": -15.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 5.3, "probability": 0.5093, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 13.8, "ell_trend": null, "rate_acceleration": 6.0, "delta_aic_iet": null, "S_over_Gamma": 10.655, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.3005, "grad_tau_local": 0.1031, "depth_trend": 0.21, "spatial_concentration": 47.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.889, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "66caa0fc8e1ae0421759715ed6cee01b8067473d841e98404e052d9e2583a890", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.889, "probability": 0.50925, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "056d563d6b25cc592c0146f1dc097089f0d18f0c96ab60cb338c4da4f1c83f02" }, "receipt_sha256": "056d563d6b25cc592c0146f1dc097089f0d18f0c96ab60cb338c4da4f1c83f02" }, { "row": 37, "col": 43, "lat": 15.0, "lon": -93.0, "n_events": 76, "max_mag": 7.3, "probability": 0.5093, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.832, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 39.5, "ell_trend": 1.28, "rate_acceleration": 2.63, "delta_aic_iet": 213.38, "S_over_Gamma": 15.762, "days_to_criticality": 284.7, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.3454, "grad_tau_local": 0.2953, "depth_trend": -19.29, "spatial_concentration": 94.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.8712, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "67cedfd9cb00c50d12ade6b651e596afeeecfd6ccbcaf9d1e2fa4e914f4e8b16", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.8712, "probability": 0.50925, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f45caef2de14c5187ceb9a7d032aef43a90c4d8e631083935eace06cf2d93add" }, "receipt_sha256": "f45caef2de14c5187ceb9a7d032aef43a90c4d8e631083935eace06cf2d93add" }, { "row": 42, "col": 35, "lat": 25.0, "lon": -109.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 6.0, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 19.6, "ell_trend": null, "rate_acceleration": 2.5, "delta_aic_iet": null, "S_over_Gamma": 13.294, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.2051, "grad_tau_local": 0.3997, "depth_trend": 0.0, "spatial_concentration": 81.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.8529, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "8108779f088db07d8b3048eab488d2375eea25cda527ff0edba696ebe18900bc", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.8529, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "9dbe89098cb2e6a4bba62ba3f73688ce552ca3cd9f3ead0d9942f8250ba48456" }, "receipt_sha256": "9dbe89098cb2e6a4bba62ba3f73688ce552ca3cd9f3ead0d9942f8250ba48456" }, { "row": 45, "col": 124, "lat": 31.0, "lon": 69.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.3, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 49.2, "ell_trend": null, "rate_acceleration": 1.71, "delta_aic_iet": 22.76, "S_over_Gamma": 13.962, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 1.9329, "grad_tau_local": 0.4665, "depth_trend": -2.5, "spatial_concentration": 83.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7316, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "328b8f81fd5ac126be31bcf5e185ea195530f1fc0ac4517ebd9550e06788a616", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7316, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "8e18419da76a1234c1b97a2aad67dd557a53af6ee4ea3a95c4bdd55c9a78d127" }, "receipt_sha256": "8e18419da76a1234c1b97a2aad67dd557a53af6ee4ea3a95c4bdd55c9a78d127" }, { "row": 25, "col": 149, "lat": -9.0, "lon": 119.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.1, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.057, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 89.9, "ell_trend": -2.06, "rate_acceleration": 1.56, "delta_aic_iet": 71.67, "S_over_Gamma": 15.113, "days_to_criticality": 2098.9, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.7555, "grad_tau_local": 0.6891, "depth_trend": -23.54, "spatial_concentration": 69.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7244, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "f21c04f00cd3b4f3909728115af722b4b5f83f2f7fc6d7375b3aa18f6e0c30d0", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7244, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "33d73d7274a36fe21ce9c1d98abdb0c113a19842e7462ecf280a903b1837f8a4" }, "receipt_sha256": "33d73d7274a36fe21ce9c1d98abdb0c113a19842e7462ecf280a903b1837f8a4" }, { "row": 55, "col": 179, "lat": 51.0, "lon": 179.0, "n_events": 31, "max_mag": 3.8, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.526, "b_trend": -0.0258, "ell_km": 14.0, "ell_trend": -8.97, "rate_acceleration": 2.18, "delta_aic_iet": 695.8, "S_over_Gamma": 13.714, "days_to_criticality": 23.2, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 3.4472, "depth_trend": -10.07, "spatial_concentration": 98.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7141, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "ae42e3e6c98352bdbd41ed33a05dd3fc68f39149d318ca3d84937ce5f4de77ed", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7141, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "952a3fcdf61fe4cda72809bc09b16d1d4ea65110d9a022c767db0d873baaceb8" }, "receipt_sha256": "952a3fcdf61fe4cda72809bc09b16d1d4ea65110d9a022c767db0d873baaceb8" }, { "row": 38, "col": 149, "lat": 17.0, "lon": 119.0, "n_events": 27, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 15.3, "ell_trend": -2.48, "rate_acceleration": 5.64, "delta_aic_iet": 85.22, "S_over_Gamma": 9.132, "days_to_criticality": 22.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.4728, "grad_tau_local": 0.6875, "depth_trend": -15.93, "spatial_concentration": 78.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7116, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "45e9f0eaaab7f58415f13924cee9f49cfa1629c9cf6311f6f1d1bcd3e5d1eb4f", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7116, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "38be6c81e96918f64578d5606a893871062a442d62ef1afcc58499fdaafb9240" }, "receipt_sha256": "38be6c81e96918f64578d5606a893871062a442d62ef1afcc58499fdaafb9240" }, { "row": 56, "col": 178, "lat": 53.0, "lon": 177.0, "n_events": 55, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.483, "b_trend": 0.186, "ell_km": 12.0, "ell_trend": -9.71, "rate_acceleration": 2.47, "delta_aic_iet": 367.8, "S_over_Gamma": 14.67, "days_to_criticality": 2097.7, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.3474, "grad_tau_local": 1.6058, "depth_trend": -11.99, "spatial_concentration": 109.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7064, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "669f55cd15111d49e630208500ea3bec09d9d502e09092b34728fb2d6cbcb01d", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7064, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f236349c5bd7b76934f1b81d12b49dc8b72ae252df7954e9e877c2c74361ae08" }, "receipt_sha256": "f236349c5bd7b76934f1b81d12b49dc8b72ae252df7954e9e877c2c74361ae08" }, { "row": 48, "col": 125, "lat": 37.0, "lon": 71.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 6.1, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.061, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 27.6, "ell_trend": 6.76, "rate_acceleration": 0.67, "delta_aic_iet": 238.27, "S_over_Gamma": 15.567, "days_to_criticality": 35.1, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.1208, "grad_tau_local": 0.3144, "depth_trend": 43.5, "spatial_concentration": 88.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6978, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "484b69b12b3c0a021c666576dca6864be571ebf5f8a5439edb6be18d0de4a1fd", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6978, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "9447532f242989bda4bca3215d0c3183422986557cbfa9ab95c45bcae60ebbdc" }, "receipt_sha256": "9447532f242989bda4bca3215d0c3183422986557cbfa9ab95c45bcae60ebbdc" }, { "row": 55, "col": 177, "lat": 51.0, "lon": 175.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.0, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.478, "b_trend": 0.2651, "ell_km": 11.6, "ell_trend": -6.02, "rate_acceleration": 2.49, "delta_aic_iet": 254.15, "S_over_Gamma": 14.986, "days_to_criticality": 22.1, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.5684, "grad_tau_local": 0.7914, "depth_trend": -6.0, "spatial_concentration": 54.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6901, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "6a0b50bae53aa1555167ce08594b2350d4fa22d1dad0c9d332a7f70f62b008cd", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6901, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "7459f818b11f4b7e8a690258523ebd93018e8f123cf165a49db214a1b90f6c57" }, "receipt_sha256": "7459f818b11f4b7e8a690258523ebd93018e8f123cf165a49db214a1b90f6c57" }, { "row": 51, "col": 26, "lat": 43.0, "lon": -127.0, "n_events": 11, "max_mag": 5.5, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.494, "b_trend": 0.0825, "ell_km": 26.7, "ell_trend": 5.23, "rate_acceleration": 0.87, "delta_aic_iet": 201.45, "S_over_Gamma": 13.887, "days_to_criticality": 27.4, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.1327, "grad_tau_local": 0.9493, "depth_trend": 0.57, "spatial_concentration": 82.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6812, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "3651be7b19cd8c69c42c476ba1aed07e1b6cf0fad54f8ddd424400df63270509", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6812, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "fb7570a9f589a8fefcc59ebec0aab58725951e3518421d3a850272b543082e90" }, "receipt_sha256": "fb7570a9f589a8fefcc59ebec0aab58725951e3518421d3a850272b543082e90" }, { "row": 35, "col": 56, "lat": 11.0, "lon": -67.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 25.0, "ell_trend": null, "rate_acceleration": 22.5, "delta_aic_iet": null, "S_over_Gamma": 2.115, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.4314, "grad_tau_local": 0.6482, "depth_trend": -2.0, "spatial_concentration": 77.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6658, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "686f0c5ae665dbcc2609d4d61c2ad77bc53c85ba6720b7fb084e17a5c1f15903", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6658, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "440afacc7c5f8901f892e7ef17fd70a8bbccc1747c5f41762b4ea58f7d9b11f6" }, "receipt_sha256": "440afacc7c5f8901f892e7ef17fd70a8bbccc1747c5f41762b4ea58f7d9b11f6" }, { "row": 0, "col": 76, "lat": -59.0, "lon": -27.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 5.4, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.082, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 63.8, "ell_trend": -1.12, "rate_acceleration": 0.94, "delta_aic_iet": 151.87, "S_over_Gamma": 16.311, "days_to_criticality": 2096.4, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 1.0857, "depth_trend": 4.1, "spatial_concentration": 75.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6624, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "ddee220438cf84217a66fda1ee6c88175649d0edba70a92571310b240f3eaa33", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6624, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ffdbae9179f070f37570bc7f04b8995bd345f7fbf06dd565e50673bdf1dfda37" }, "receipt_sha256": "ffdbae9179f070f37570bc7f04b8995bd345f7fbf06dd565e50673bdf1dfda37" }, { "row": 56, "col": 6, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -167.0, "n_events": 16, "max_mag": 4.5, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.66, "b_trend": 0.1437, "ell_km": 12.5, "ell_trend": -4.37, "rate_acceleration": 1.54, "delta_aic_iet": 931.83, "S_over_Gamma": 13.317, "days_to_criticality": 2097.4, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.0678, "grad_tau_local": 0.1382, "depth_trend": 1.86, "spatial_concentration": 69.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6619, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "4992c5dd6b39be15192eb90c216aa297eb9e07eb8f4998dfe2b2c7975c6b8fba", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6619, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "9b942ad71d7706de84f7bd1891238822d4d0a36d0d993200c9477b64e942b055" }, "receipt_sha256": "9b942ad71d7706de84f7bd1891238822d4d0a36d0d993200c9477b64e942b055" }, { "row": 58, "col": 12, "lat": 57.0, "lon": -155.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 3.8, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.822, "b_trend": 0.0853, "ell_km": 124.5, "ell_trend": 16.79, "rate_acceleration": 0.86, "delta_aic_iet": 498.73, "S_over_Gamma": 12.91, "days_to_criticality": 29.0, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.9259, "grad_tau_local": 0.4294, "depth_trend": 3.41, "spatial_concentration": 75.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6599, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "3ad518f06a8eeb832d9d208ead8d03918063f4eae2a76871fc4181c9a6c09ae9", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6599, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "7d7d6435a82b5ff57032e3f866d2a9636494cfbb26afa51eac5db7ce7fd4ca34" }, "receipt_sha256": "7d7d6435a82b5ff57032e3f866d2a9636494cfbb26afa51eac5db7ce7fd4ca34" }, { "row": 39, "col": 12, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -155.0, "n_events": 29, "max_mag": 3.8, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.89, "b_trend": -0.0388, "ell_km": 5.3, "ell_trend": 0.36, "rate_acceleration": 1.5, "delta_aic_iet": 224.85, "S_over_Gamma": 13.521, "days_to_criticality": 125.6, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.3494, "grad_tau_local": 0.2137, "depth_trend": -2.66, "spatial_concentration": 33.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.659, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "ecb7329caaef9c199001ddc5cabdbcd4d77cb54bbaaa06f22d90cecbc765545f", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.659, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "105fba49913c5cc40b23274913357bff5930930965902a3c22ddd0363bb2c39f" }, "receipt_sha256": "105fba49913c5cc40b23274913357bff5930930965902a3c22ddd0363bb2c39f" }, { "row": 38, "col": 55, "lat": 17.0, "lon": -69.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.674, "b_trend": 0.0177, "ell_km": 14.9, "ell_trend": -0.86, "rate_acceleration": 1.18, "delta_aic_iet": 543.03, "S_over_Gamma": 14.51, "days_to_criticality": 19.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.5334, "grad_tau_local": 2.0275, "depth_trend": -1.34, "spatial_concentration": 37.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6568, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "a0283d34b5c66b62772ae65fee64fd5fec8e933c28d207d77566491a5e3ab1de", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6568, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "076bc53f845041ef95790e0aa8d1ac60f2022a30756208f87ead457baa2bc947" }, "receipt_sha256": "076bc53f845041ef95790e0aa8d1ac60f2022a30756208f87ead457baa2bc947" }, { "row": 55, "col": 0, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 37, "max_mag": 4.3, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.619, "b_trend": 0.0936, "ell_km": 75.1, "ell_trend": -0.21, "rate_acceleration": 1.89, "delta_aic_iet": 759.57, "S_over_Gamma": 13.45, "days_to_criticality": 2098.4, "conditions_met": 4, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 4.8974, "depth_trend": -10.28, "spatial_concentration": 117.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6563, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "65a36cd852fd2de5e98e1592bcfe1b9f31e583ddbbcb18871a32f3677abbe0ce", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6563, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "e91b052e5c70b29c5ba8eee875c381897e6330aff964aab420902bc2a9d22fd9" }, "receipt_sha256": "e91b052e5c70b29c5ba8eee875c381897e6330aff964aab420902bc2a9d22fd9" }, { "row": 39, "col": 56, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -67.0, "n_events": 43, "max_mag": 4.0, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.237, "b_trend": -0.0249, "ell_km": 34.7, "ell_trend": -1.34, "rate_acceleration": 1.16, "delta_aic_iet": 1349.62, "S_over_Gamma": 13.548, "days_to_criticality": 19.9, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.5197, "grad_tau_local": 1.3642, "depth_trend": -4.62, "spatial_concentration": 63.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6557, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "cdaf619299374eee4784cab2a4580e65bcadf606122ae932039096c6c90f761e", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6557, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ed709211c6a1cbc2214debd5ce6bdd3ac8e5a93a23c5d555db9412451c8c89c3" }, "receipt_sha256": "ed709211c6a1cbc2214debd5ce6bdd3ac8e5a93a23c5d555db9412451c8c89c3" }, { "row": 39, "col": 55, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -69.0, "n_events": 12, "max_mag": 4.0, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.103, "b_trend": 0.16, "ell_km": 15.7, "ell_trend": -0.76, "rate_acceleration": 1.07, "delta_aic_iet": 731.5, "S_over_Gamma": 14.37, "days_to_criticality": 20.2, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.5536, "grad_tau_local": 2.2504, "depth_trend": -1.74, "spatial_concentration": 43.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6506, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "165fd0403e4484eccfc4184e780a4fe7043dfbe0b06362b811c23cd35afd1e91", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6506, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "879d907faec4012c0827e8e6d9175db62f0663b1c6654b5c67818995a1e4873a" }, "receipt_sha256": "879d907faec4012c0827e8e6d9175db62f0663b1c6654b5c67818995a1e4873a" }, { "row": 39, "col": 57, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -65.0, "n_events": 56, "max_mag": 4.4, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.226, "b_trend": 0.1554, "ell_km": 33.0, "ell_trend": 0.69, "rate_acceleration": 1.22, "delta_aic_iet": 1220.89, "S_over_Gamma": 13.886, "days_to_criticality": 19.7, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.6906, "grad_tau_local": 1.6232, "depth_trend": -1.66, "spatial_concentration": 47.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6478, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "c14103993671bd343e2bab0871c9de5688ea4ef60126322384aef70d9f75d53c", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6478, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "77e3af5012148bdd9020e30aa7d71aeabf7fb7bb6226445b9bb56339c611faa3" }, "receipt_sha256": "77e3af5012148bdd9020e30aa7d71aeabf7fb7bb6226445b9bb56339c611faa3" }, { "row": 38, "col": 56, "lat": 17.0, "lon": -67.0, "n_events": 24, "max_mag": 3.9, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.253, "b_trend": 0.1349, "ell_km": 18.5, "ell_trend": -1.13, "rate_acceleration": 1.29, "delta_aic_iet": 917.13, "S_over_Gamma": 13.22, "days_to_criticality": 19.9, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.9202, "grad_tau_local": 2.0595, "depth_trend": -3.41, "spatial_concentration": 57.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6445, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "dc457f30c3e0aa00029de7d75709f31dc954e304df8d6434e096ffd7b83f902e", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6445, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "d2e6572b332060388754778aee4ed7a415cb719af4444df24e5d508da6f6f93e" }, "receipt_sha256": "d2e6572b332060388754778aee4ed7a415cb719af4444df24e5d508da6f6f93e" }, { "row": 48, "col": 137, "lat": 37.0, "lon": 95.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 5.3, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 14.3, "ell_trend": null, "rate_acceleration": 33.0, "delta_aic_iet": -80.65, "S_over_Gamma": 8.307, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 1.1295, "grad_tau_local": 0.0669, "depth_trend": 0.07, "spatial_concentration": 40.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6418, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "f808748950ff4daa02dd3d6e11eebb36998baadb49f7b91f84458b896340bfdb", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6418, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "2fd3e12e292b13e0413472b205b911dcff1d3cc1d31dc4be8e17d8cc94825d98" }, "receipt_sha256": "2fd3e12e292b13e0413472b205b911dcff1d3cc1d31dc4be8e17d8cc94825d98" }, { "row": 44, "col": 142, "lat": 29.0, "lon": 105.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 5.2, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 9.8, "ell_trend": -3.68, "rate_acceleration": 1.8, "delta_aic_iet": 47.74, "S_over_Gamma": 13.588, "days_to_criticality": 8.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 1.2938, "grad_tau_local": 0.1124, "depth_trend": 2.89, "spatial_concentration": 72.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6409, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "106e4ee29b8bc2071142397c07d75e97b2e69f2ba0729a1ac550046801dbb1e4", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6409, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "0847db2b3deff4163cfce851b8fae03113138dfef96ea5782321ed7610586751" }, "receipt_sha256": "0847db2b3deff4163cfce851b8fae03113138dfef96ea5782321ed7610586751" }, { "row": 61, "col": 15, "lat": 63.0, "lon": -149.0, "n_events": 13, "max_mag": 2.8, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.892, "b_trend": 0.0683, "ell_km": 93.9, "ell_trend": -1.43, "rate_acceleration": 1.09, "delta_aic_iet": 630.21, "S_over_Gamma": 12.978, "days_to_criticality": 2098.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.9172, "grad_tau_local": 1.7048, "depth_trend": 4.83, "spatial_concentration": 70.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6403, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "2666dc126955623cdb03b01188daac8829eaff94f1da9ac8bb83c0f66f1292f5", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6403, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ada5c1347d5e101209765c52d304cab5346ab97a7461a0d21fd117eb6cd5a984" }, "receipt_sha256": "ada5c1347d5e101209765c52d304cab5346ab97a7461a0d21fd117eb6cd5a984" }, { "row": 35, "col": 55, "lat": 11.0, "lon": -69.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 7.5, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 14.6, "ell_trend": 3.65, "rate_acceleration": 2.45, "delta_aic_iet": 5.61, "S_over_Gamma": 0.794, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": false }, "tau_local": 2.3026, "grad_tau_local": 0.5589, "depth_trend": -1.45, "spatial_concentration": 60.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6403, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "2666dc126955623cdb03b01188daac8829eaff94f1da9ac8bb83c0f66f1292f5", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6403, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ada5c1347d5e101209765c52d304cab5346ab97a7461a0d21fd117eb6cd5a984" }, "receipt_sha256": "ada5c1347d5e101209765c52d304cab5346ab97a7461a0d21fd117eb6cd5a984" }, { "row": 52, "col": 164, "lat": 45.0, "lon": 149.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.6, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.294, "b_trend": -0.1541, "ell_km": 49.0, "ell_trend": 1.72, "rate_acceleration": 0.47, "delta_aic_iet": 166.97, "S_over_Gamma": 16.077, "days_to_criticality": 0.9, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.6607, "grad_tau_local": 0.056, "depth_trend": -1.53, "spatial_concentration": 79.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6384, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "678cd6a21698cb6f946f7b039b4b71d998782e975ac91426269a19f75817e9db", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6384, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "759cd2d774d6789220832b9b373dc0ad0dbfea3e0e8b3e3e0435997b956db8d8" }, "receipt_sha256": "759cd2d774d6789220832b9b373dc0ad0dbfea3e0e8b3e3e0435997b956db8d8" }, { "row": 59, "col": 12, "lat": 59.0, "lon": -155.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 3.4, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.089, "b_trend": -0.1001, "ell_km": 79.1, "ell_trend": 0.44, "rate_acceleration": 0.81, "delta_aic_iet": 577.01, "S_over_Gamma": 12.546, "days_to_criticality": 93.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.672, "grad_tau_local": 1.21, "depth_trend": 4.22, "spatial_concentration": 72.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6372, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "e6100171ede6c1d75cece400274bc5c6e4a059c2937910f1341834971bbbe696", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6372, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "16767a432ff389423de224e3ac89d68a485cf574ebf07250de79a7a4a84d3325" }, "receipt_sha256": "16767a432ff389423de224e3ac89d68a485cf574ebf07250de79a7a4a84d3325" }, { "row": 61, "col": 14, "lat": 63.0, "lon": -151.0, "n_events": 13, "max_mag": 3.6, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.887, "b_trend": 0.07, "ell_km": 92.9, "ell_trend": -1.45, "rate_acceleration": 1.07, "delta_aic_iet": 586.94, "S_over_Gamma": 13.164, "days_to_criticality": 2098.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.2923, "grad_tau_local": 1.9776, "depth_trend": 5.56, "spatial_concentration": 73.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6342, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "078d6bfa61acd391cb551be373d7bdfb114a329aae51aa6ad1b11476fc7e3a71", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6342, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f11e14a6185eecddd6d9bfc9dbd2adf7caa626fee736c6271adedf20279894b7" }, "receipt_sha256": "f11e14a6185eecddd6d9bfc9dbd2adf7caa626fee736c6271adedf20279894b7" }, { "row": 26, "col": 154, "lat": -7.0, "lon": 129.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.385, "b_trend": 0.0633, "ell_km": 92.4, "ell_trend": 2.86, "rate_acceleration": 0.67, "delta_aic_iet": 220.97, "S_over_Gamma": 15.401, "days_to_criticality": 19.6, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.0064, "grad_tau_local": 1.0608, "depth_trend": 2.34, "spatial_concentration": 71.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6326, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "29131c37dcba39fb4edb9f75e20d2abef1ded986c259d404107fb311e5a7d9b5", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6326, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ed32e9f912a2541c5f44f1ad3c451a512928f72927aee225cadd61ee51733ffe" }, "receipt_sha256": "ed32e9f912a2541c5f44f1ad3c451a512928f72927aee225cadd61ee51733ffe" }, { "row": 60, "col": 13, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -153.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 4.0, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.063, "b_trend": -0.0998, "ell_km": 84.7, "ell_trend": -0.69, "rate_acceleration": 0.94, "delta_aic_iet": 747.27, "S_over_Gamma": 13.205, "days_to_criticality": 2099.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.9526, "grad_tau_local": 1.5921, "depth_trend": 5.01, "spatial_concentration": 69.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6306, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "9290c8db0e9b2d1699869f4a3694d5cb4ece3517651972ad1c27c6bc5e4cf484", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6306, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "5364c1d48b9e9526dcf0236812136d0b2c6213d95215a5617e5301afcf944a33" }, "receipt_sha256": "5364c1d48b9e9526dcf0236812136d0b2c6213d95215a5617e5301afcf944a33" }, { "row": 56, "col": 3, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -173.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 3.8, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.623, "b_trend": 0.1267, "ell_km": 13.1, "ell_trend": -9.59, "rate_acceleration": 1.3, "delta_aic_iet": 854.75, "S_over_Gamma": 14.035, "days_to_criticality": 2098.4, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.8405, "grad_tau_local": 1.519, "depth_trend": -3.62, "spatial_concentration": 64.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6303, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "28959696b7480b82577aa3ac1742ac8cbf795f5780778847c60888b59dcf42f4", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6303, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "2c069f6352738a470b6928f5d9d938fbaa8254f524128518ebce22377f260d4f" }, "receipt_sha256": "2c069f6352738a470b6928f5d9d938fbaa8254f524128518ebce22377f260d4f" }, { "row": 59, "col": 13, "lat": 59.0, "lon": -153.0, "n_events": 20, "max_mag": 4.2, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.854, "b_trend": -0.0616, "ell_km": 85.9, "ell_trend": 0.67, "rate_acceleration": 0.82, "delta_aic_iet": 607.7, "S_over_Gamma": 13.294, "days_to_criticality": 93.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.6886, "grad_tau_local": 0.2648, "depth_trend": 4.5, "spatial_concentration": 81.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6287, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "c6966d8938d12ff491981cfdb7dc4b4f07b90fa6a1ea73dbb3ffe7abbb696a55", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6287, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "726267cc6cde82cc8c1ad6d2e78a03b909c0b0bcd281d24476075c036bac5103" }, "receipt_sha256": "726267cc6cde82cc8c1ad6d2e78a03b909c0b0bcd281d24476075c036bac5103" }, { "row": 60, "col": 16, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -147.0, "n_events": 13, "max_mag": 3.1, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.828, "b_trend": 0.0901, "ell_km": 108.0, "ell_trend": -0.36, "rate_acceleration": 1.06, "delta_aic_iet": 596.03, "S_over_Gamma": 13.156, "days_to_criticality": 2098.9, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.9574, "grad_tau_local": 0.9093, "depth_trend": 5.45, "spatial_concentration": 77.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6255, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "c6b2b0d9b581bf0c754d71f094fc5bb483b597a6b8090c931ee3a386820087a5", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6255, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "e555742aa85ad73873263385da3d98b115485f7d654ec4c2757f5299e0a6a14d" }, "receipt_sha256": "e555742aa85ad73873263385da3d98b115485f7d654ec4c2757f5299e0a6a14d" }, { "row": 2, "col": 76, "lat": -55.0, "lon": -27.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.1, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 85.6, "ell_trend": 2.0, "rate_acceleration": 1.17, "delta_aic_iet": 121.02, "S_over_Gamma": 15.667, "days_to_criticality": 80.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 1.4152, "grad_tau_local": 0.1692, "depth_trend": 1.31, "spatial_concentration": 59.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6214, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "de9ac400af81ddf3f10b587080dd655a929c8c81d7fff144c73b62a69aa5642e", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6214, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "6b7317b85efa707e8fe09038da8b2ac5627c3bdd1a7e3acda5284f3e6f69580d" }, "receipt_sha256": "6b7317b85efa707e8fe09038da8b2ac5627c3bdd1a7e3acda5284f3e6f69580d" }, { "row": 55, "col": 3, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -173.0, "n_events": 15, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.63, "b_trend": 0.1347, "ell_km": 13.5, "ell_trend": -6.4, "rate_acceleration": 1.31, "delta_aic_iet": 952.51, "S_over_Gamma": 13.787, "days_to_criticality": 23.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.1581, "grad_tau_local": 0.8643, "depth_trend": -2.97, "spatial_concentration": 69.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6211, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "a33fe78e16f33487bfd2f198665d7ce9bdf7dd52e416877b43fa10603e48702c", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6211, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "5019f1a02d4855ee94ba344463f5fb892fcbf0438072fe01bd68a0e3cc3c44a3" }, "receipt_sha256": "5019f1a02d4855ee94ba344463f5fb892fcbf0438072fe01bd68a0e3cc3c44a3" }, { "row": 56, "col": 7, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -165.0, "n_events": 24, "max_mag": 3.2, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.704, "b_trend": 0.0169, "ell_km": 29.4, "ell_trend": -3.26, "rate_acceleration": 2.34, "delta_aic_iet": 645.73, "S_over_Gamma": 13.231, "days_to_criticality": 2097.0, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.2556, "grad_tau_local": 0.5183, "depth_trend": -8.46, "spatial_concentration": 84.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6188, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "fd4d730f1e0fa416ed02980a28c38ddd061df5fb502226b9a97d7cf43648698f", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6188, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f9993fefa090cda372621cf629829fa3d7c29023323c568d079eccf5cae9f3dd" }, "receipt_sha256": "f9993fefa090cda372621cf629829fa3d7c29023323c568d079eccf5cae9f3dd" }, { "row": 58, "col": 11, "lat": 57.0, "lon": -157.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 3.1, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.869, "b_trend": -0.0469, "ell_km": 110.8, "ell_trend": -5.28, "rate_acceleration": 1.02, "delta_aic_iet": 452.24, "S_over_Gamma": 12.643, "days_to_criticality": 2099.6, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.671, "grad_tau_local": 0.5425, "depth_trend": -1.32, "spatial_concentration": 78.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6148, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "9cb69cb05457cfece2a55d299d5f71abafeefa9de7c958533d869bf668b89948", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6148, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "d10a3ac6250d0ccca145bd107658e0d19c023b9fedc2dc02a9f43fad6aee8fc1" }, "receipt_sha256": "d10a3ac6250d0ccca145bd107658e0d19c023b9fedc2dc02a9f43fad6aee8fc1" }, { "row": 60, "col": 15, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -149.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 3.1, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.855, "b_trend": -0.0476, "ell_km": 85.1, "ell_trend": -0.8, "rate_acceleration": 0.98, "delta_aic_iet": 790.15, "S_over_Gamma": 13.287, "days_to_criticality": 2099.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.8043, "grad_tau_local": 0.8383, "depth_trend": 2.22, "spatial_concentration": 69.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6118, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "9180b0451178656d1ba757ebfe180357a3a68c5d027446cb7ec9fb520ce41759", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6118, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "2cace0c9d6bc786c222b87d30ec5652bbc10c470d9cf3356ab4de5abe0996e27" }, "receipt_sha256": "2cace0c9d6bc786c222b87d30ec5652bbc10c470d9cf3356ab4de5abe0996e27" }, { "row": 60, "col": 14, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -151.0, "n_events": 24, "max_mag": 4.9, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.852, "b_trend": -0.1053, "ell_km": 89.3, "ell_trend": -0.92, "rate_acceleration": 1.0, "delta_aic_iet": 797.71, "S_over_Gamma": 13.388, "days_to_criticality": 2099.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.5867, "grad_tau_local": 0.4571, "depth_trend": 3.06, "spatial_concentration": 68.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6098, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "d22a3fcf49c525dc3a375f722bad425352e21daaf52e4c82e2f50400118216b9", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6098, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "9080071e440a6cd5999f1b14f479ba1d221094f2db9243ad5692a623454c1046" }, "receipt_sha256": "9080071e440a6cd5999f1b14f479ba1d221094f2db9243ad5692a623454c1046" }, { "row": 18, "col": 0, "lat": -23.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.466, "b_trend": -0.1506, "ell_km": 59.1, "ell_trend": 0.15, "rate_acceleration": 0.97, "delta_aic_iet": 276.72, "S_over_Gamma": 15.632, "days_to_criticality": 267.6, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 1.8198, "depth_trend": -2.26, "spatial_concentration": 87.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6078, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "e118e1442bbe5d3d7e1d07e9662251e22339d793a7a2688b84daeeafab691ed5", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6078, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "a59ec9d6f90dce61bc3228eed992ed418267b97a8bdfcdbfc2e19aec7a46f193" }, "receipt_sha256": "a59ec9d6f90dce61bc3228eed992ed418267b97a8bdfcdbfc2e19aec7a46f193" }, { "row": 19, "col": 174, "lat": -21.0, "lon": 169.0, "n_events": 11, "max_mag": 5.8, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 100.2, "ell_trend": 0.2, "rate_acceleration": 1.37, "delta_aic_iet": 155.8, "S_over_Gamma": 16.445, "days_to_criticality": -0.5, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.1899, "grad_tau_local": 0.6878, "depth_trend": -15.38, "spatial_concentration": 71.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6051, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "7d94ead0f900d4ed634cc4ad64752ec2ad657466cb204885f64feee53bf2a8ca", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6051, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "cb28b8d078757ca9afb9f50c0309a0a28ae7eea1932187040ace1441ce04d643" }, "receipt_sha256": "cb28b8d078757ca9afb9f50c0309a0a28ae7eea1932187040ace1441ce04d643" }, { "row": 28, "col": 159, "lat": -3.0, "lon": 139.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 5.1, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.148, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 26.3, "ell_trend": 3.35, "rate_acceleration": 0.54, "delta_aic_iet": 128.26, "S_over_Gamma": 15.289, "days_to_criticality": 14.7, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.8451, "grad_tau_local": 0.2185, "depth_trend": 0.94, "spatial_concentration": 76.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.603, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "e421ca7eb91a21613dc8ca4b45f6c5315137697545096bbd3cc7331eb4f5a469", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.603, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "66d1a3b50a142543ee266602ea904b4414fa457ae83985a2aba0c8f5046eeff7" }, "receipt_sha256": "66d1a3b50a142543ee266602ea904b4414fa457ae83985a2aba0c8f5046eeff7" }, { "row": 18, "col": 55, "lat": -23.0, "lon": -69.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 4.4, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.168, "b_trend": 0.3935, "ell_km": 38.7, "ell_trend": 1.18, "rate_acceleration": 1.04, "delta_aic_iet": 296.26, "S_over_Gamma": 15.527, "days_to_criticality": 238.8, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.4135, "grad_tau_local": 0.5936, "depth_trend": 5.99, "spatial_concentration": 62.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6025, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "a792bdeefe8cf64c19cb5a3b429217187e67720f671df07c4a6f48d5bafed166", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6025, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "1b78f4a8ce1edfbced1b4494cda83ec59bfa5de1bae9dc56d6e5cfedb14fc422" }, "receipt_sha256": "1b78f4a8ce1edfbced1b4494cda83ec59bfa5de1bae9dc56d6e5cfedb14fc422" }, { "row": 58, "col": 15, "lat": 57.0, "lon": -149.0, "n_events": 12, "max_mag": 3.3, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.871, "b_trend": 0.2167, "ell_km": 24.0, "ell_trend": 1.15, "rate_acceleration": 1.08, "delta_aic_iet": 280.47, "S_over_Gamma": 13.011, "days_to_criticality": 18.6, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.8421, "grad_tau_local": 1.265, "depth_trend": -1.58, "spatial_concentration": 50.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6012, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "d7fba0989a0be2f177f06b110fa750e3a44529758bac1e1722873c913b92b76d", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6012, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "e2a28c7033705f0051d2526267401bf5d277ce941068cd108266ddfb11dcf3f0" }, "receipt_sha256": "e2a28c7033705f0051d2526267401bf5d277ce941068cd108266ddfb11dcf3f0" }, { "row": 55, "col": 1, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -177.0, "n_events": 54, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.653, "b_trend": 0.0668, "ell_km": 83.9, "ell_trend": -0.39, "rate_acceleration": 1.97, "delta_aic_iet": 788.7, "S_over_Gamma": 13.306, "days_to_criticality": 2098.4, "conditions_met": 4, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.8974, "grad_tau_local": 2.9853, "depth_trend": -8.69, "spatial_concentration": 152.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6005, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "087b8787759ec7ea91c448a089b8925510f35fd6978dffb7b3c37466e9b970ba", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6005, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "009b6aeadf80916b935bb670655c8ae462b84f37dbf5a82230f04ac5ffc8dfdc" }, "receipt_sha256": "009b6aeadf80916b935bb670655c8ae462b84f37dbf5a82230f04ac5ffc8dfdc" }, { "row": 18, "col": 2, "lat": -23.0, "lon": -175.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.4, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.03, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 172.4, "ell_trend": -9.95, "rate_acceleration": 1.01, "delta_aic_iet": 86.65, "S_over_Gamma": 15.383, "days_to_criticality": 2098.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.3093, "grad_tau_local": 0.6331, "depth_trend": 19.28, "spatial_concentration": 66.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5917, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "d9e193b661ba68c4f47df27038e5e25366768a9a97818d9cc05310294b208ff8", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5917, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "cf6423a995e465d4e1860947bb0eac4df8632d4ce90d8c10a56b6b5bf39748ca" }, "receipt_sha256": "cf6423a995e465d4e1860947bb0eac4df8632d4ce90d8c10a56b6b5bf39748ca" }, { "row": 19, "col": 55, "lat": -21.0, "lon": -69.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 4.3, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.088, "b_trend": 0.0521, "ell_km": 64.8, "ell_trend": -2.38, "rate_acceleration": 1.11, "delta_aic_iet": 233.75, "S_over_Gamma": 15.529, "days_to_criticality": 21.2, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.5953, "grad_tau_local": 0.44, "depth_trend": -8.68, "spatial_concentration": 83.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.589, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "8c04e93b600ff2eb832ba2deee9685914762e654513989cebba92bd7bb216159", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.589, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "c652e3cebf8526a440467f3048000d2aadbaa09d5ba20a923a69c8ce51907313" }, "receipt_sha256": "c652e3cebf8526a440467f3048000d2aadbaa09d5ba20a923a69c8ce51907313" }, { "row": 50, "col": 27, "lat": 41.0, "lon": -125.0, "n_events": 15, "max_mag": 3.1, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.606, "b_trend": 0.1711, "ell_km": 11.1, "ell_trend": -0.52, "rate_acceleration": 1.18, "delta_aic_iet": 363.34, "S_over_Gamma": 13.264, "days_to_criticality": 19.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.3921, "grad_tau_local": 0.5903, "depth_trend": -0.02, "spatial_concentration": 80.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5857, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "a1c560a40a1854113c70d82a4675282d9b5c006ed04a9434aec5df5a294afc1a", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5857, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "43964c384b91e9de8bee636c795658302e7a3ab3420f58bd345752fa5dfd2002" }, "receipt_sha256": "43964c384b91e9de8bee636c795658302e7a3ab3420f58bd345752fa5dfd2002" }, { "row": 59, "col": 74, "lat": 59.0, "lon": -31.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 5.3, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 10.0, "ell_trend": -1.96, "rate_acceleration": 2.06, "delta_aic_iet": -23.91, "S_over_Gamma": 12.983, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.3847, "grad_tau_local": 0.0865, "depth_trend": 0.0, "spatial_concentration": 72.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5849, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "2407d3223d8627bd7f6a776f3cf1fa8f60947f8c9040e6eb0dead30fd4735e6c", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5849, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "0e7d1eb0f0a6f1fc8e7d0a531fda807a274d2b07d8965cfce160bd015cec79f8" }, "receipt_sha256": "0e7d1eb0f0a6f1fc8e7d0a531fda807a274d2b07d8965cfce160bd015cec79f8" }, { "row": 49, "col": 28, "lat": 39.0, "lon": -123.0, "n_events": 16, "max_mag": 5.6, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.928, "b_trend": 0.1199, "ell_km": 3.5, "ell_trend": -0.06, "rate_acceleration": 1.02, "delta_aic_iet": 534.77, "S_over_Gamma": 13.113, "days_to_criticality": 19.6, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.5584, "grad_tau_local": 0.8096, "depth_trend": -0.15, "spatial_concentration": 71.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5804, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "34ff50925c5c15b70fe8d8d7122e77126ff3e9dd04ab190c97424a9e3257649e", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5804, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "bad39ba8c8813cc48e1ec1218acf2adae90721dd33181ac6c9c5e10fe8225586" }, "receipt_sha256": "bad39ba8c8813cc48e1ec1218acf2adae90721dd33181ac6c9c5e10fe8225586" }, { "row": 36, "col": 151, "lat": 13.0, "lon": 123.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.4, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.329, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 22.8, "ell_trend": 0.18, "rate_acceleration": 0.46, "delta_aic_iet": 129.92, "S_over_Gamma": 17.473, "days_to_criticality": 357.8, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.7067, "grad_tau_local": 0.8042, "depth_trend": 27.24, "spatial_concentration": 84.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.579, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "8f1de761ce570b47aa38282d5f4acc22876b25a6c676595693d12711278e190e", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.579, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "d9043e00404e171fecea7cda562e6a644123933165f3c278788299b65d0fd2cd" }, "receipt_sha256": "d9043e00404e171fecea7cda562e6a644123933165f3c278788299b65d0fd2cd" }, { "row": 55, "col": 2, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -175.0, "n_events": 35, "max_mag": 4.0, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.65, "b_trend": 0.065, "ell_km": 76.5, "ell_trend": 0.02, "rate_acceleration": 1.92, "delta_aic_iet": 705.11, "S_over_Gamma": 13.536, "days_to_criticality": -0.8, "conditions_met": 4, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.9549, "grad_tau_local": 0.8168, "depth_trend": -9.16, "spatial_concentration": 77.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5768, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "b43d48421e4279763ebf435eb4a2c9112e18b6672be9cc36541af15d5f6b72e4", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5768, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "913c621544908ae10ccc68a068df4b397c3336e507c1a8358b95d7a07d75f066" }, "receipt_sha256": "913c621544908ae10ccc68a068df4b397c3336e507c1a8358b95d7a07d75f066" }, { "row": 56, "col": 4, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -171.0, "n_events": 14, "max_mag": 4.9, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.634, "b_trend": 0.151, "ell_km": 12.5, "ell_trend": -11.18, "rate_acceleration": 1.29, "delta_aic_iet": 799.75, "S_over_Gamma": 13.678, "days_to_criticality": 2098.4, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.0003, "grad_tau_local": 1.4576, "depth_trend": -1.64, "spatial_concentration": 89.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5663, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "d49ab309780cee4da1473996df6d3e157818fced0e3c236078a6cc5632631231", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5663, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ee535c14e56ea75cea1c830cb50266ce157a4a0e198b7eb4214c0b7b4d1eb2f5" }, "receipt_sha256": "ee535c14e56ea75cea1c830cb50266ce157a4a0e198b7eb4214c0b7b4d1eb2f5" }, { "row": 55, "col": 178, "lat": 51.0, "lon": 177.0, "n_events": 71, "max_mag": 4.5, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.499, "b_trend": 0.2341, "ell_km": 12.3, "ell_trend": -11.42, "rate_acceleration": 2.4, "delta_aic_iet": 468.7, "S_over_Gamma": 14.215, "days_to_criticality": 2098.4, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.4472, "grad_tau_local": 1.6096, "depth_trend": -10.08, "spatial_concentration": 126.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5604, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "f38f155f21552c1d8b2c84bbf269b69d450ef7d69766d056cdc22372bbd0678c", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5604, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "0127360029776daa96d00d5ec3e4ae2280ca3ebd2f334ae5409ac18027e6559a" }, "receipt_sha256": "0127360029776daa96d00d5ec3e4ae2280ca3ebd2f334ae5409ac18027e6559a" }, { "row": 32, "col": 152, "lat": 5.0, "lon": 125.0, "n_events": 45, "max_mag": 6.5, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.126, "b_trend": -0.1012, "ell_km": 38.1, "ell_trend": -5.35, "rate_acceleration": 3.62, "delta_aic_iet": 300.87, "S_over_Gamma": 15.2, "days_to_criticality": 25.1, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 9.9844, "grad_tau_local": 0.9176, "depth_trend": -25.01, "spatial_concentration": 87.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5544, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "ac36e5d5b1ef38e75b9c7763897a30300575710af454370a8b3a99dd05e4e847", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5544, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "5977c699689371fe5ba5f6d634c40a761b6420511991234b849942d6f12e836d" }, "receipt_sha256": "5977c699689371fe5ba5f6d634c40a761b6420511991234b849942d6f12e836d" }, { "row": 63, "col": 19, "lat": 67.0, "lon": -141.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.0, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 5.6, "ell_trend": -0.64, "rate_acceleration": 1.07, "delta_aic_iet": 45.39, "S_over_Gamma": 10.065, "days_to_criticality": 17.8, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 1.6738, "grad_tau_local": 1.6599, "depth_trend": -1.43, "spatial_concentration": 69.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.551, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "cc6992b7022578ee2bfa17124dfaeab6b96f5438715789cb6d0870e7eefb3afb", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.551, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "6f079c9bac4f4b382a7f457a0c6193ad8cecade3275b9ab3d9583a4d4480ac1b" }, "receipt_sha256": "6f079c9bac4f4b382a7f457a0c6193ad8cecade3275b9ab3d9583a4d4480ac1b" }, { "row": 19, "col": 0, "lat": -21.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 12, "max_mag": 5.5, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.514, "b_trend": -0.5145, "ell_km": 64.0, "ell_trend": 2.27, "rate_acceleration": 1.0, "delta_aic_iet": 289.24, "S_over_Gamma": 15.513, "days_to_criticality": 193.6, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 2.6347, "depth_trend": -10.06, "spatial_concentration": 96.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5472, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "afaeea30073b7ad9b13f97d22a5c828163807a870566599204d57bbbfad0b29f", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5472, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "2a9683275ec850ee565554318b980994ebd1a4e8eb57ff1339ba839f12d589fd" }, "receipt_sha256": "2a9683275ec850ee565554318b980994ebd1a4e8eb57ff1339ba839f12d589fd" }, { "row": 18, "col": 179, "lat": -23.0, "lon": 179.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.5, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.11, "b_trend": -0.1375, "ell_km": 58.9, "ell_trend": -1.35, "rate_acceleration": 1.02, "delta_aic_iet": 221.32, "S_over_Gamma": 15.513, "days_to_criticality": 2096.1, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 0.5221, "depth_trend": 0.18, "spatial_concentration": 121.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5459, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "c12eb73b7da14de1aebb22a3730c04495a22e26c39eff6eae40a9199bf583fea", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5459, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "163adc7bc84e4a20352d32659e57ee5867626bab456dc7eddc8a41c4c8d02e01" }, "receipt_sha256": "163adc7bc84e4a20352d32659e57ee5867626bab456dc7eddc8a41c4c8d02e01" }, { "row": 13, "col": 0, "lat": -33.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 5.2, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.515, "b_trend": 0.0015, "ell_km": 66.4, "ell_trend": -15.5, "rate_acceleration": 0.77, "delta_aic_iet": 224.84, "S_over_Gamma": 15.615, "days_to_criticality": 2098.6, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 0.7073, "depth_trend": -21.49, "spatial_concentration": 65.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5446, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "0ee2f0bf84346b2840f9c4a0fad9c5f7ac397218fe5890872597b79e68a6486b", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5446, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "afd7fa05c0b8421de3d8245debbbecd0efa77c551a2d372c96cf3c2bbc500414" }, "receipt_sha256": "afd7fa05c0b8421de3d8245debbbecd0efa77c551a2d372c96cf3c2bbc500414" }, { "row": 18, "col": 175, "lat": -23.0, "lon": 171.0, "n_events": 15, "max_mag": 6.3, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.277, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 63.5, "ell_trend": -9.29, "rate_acceleration": 1.3, "delta_aic_iet": 144.56, "S_over_Gamma": 15.253, "days_to_criticality": 1791.8, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.7821, "grad_tau_local": 0.6266, "depth_trend": -8.34, "spatial_concentration": 65.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.534, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "c7396bc4539e21660f948fb1b42b24a40ec6f1e45224411f00fa677ae1461135", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.534, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "de1d49918149ad68c97a9cf81a7926d2a8c0f0c8db70f0bd3b42eacf24861b16" }, "receipt_sha256": "de1d49918149ad68c97a9cf81a7926d2a8c0f0c8db70f0bd3b42eacf24861b16" }, { "row": 47, "col": 160, "lat": 35.0, "lon": 141.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 5.8, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 120.7, "ell_trend": 8.22, "rate_acceleration": 1.04, "delta_aic_iet": 140.33, "S_over_Gamma": 15.914, "days_to_criticality": 68.6, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.5475, "grad_tau_local": 0.6702, "depth_trend": 7.04, "spatial_concentration": 86.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5317, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "9902e6d34f97a0423ba592375739d714bf57055b90a4c916e879a7b040c755ff", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5317, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "8ac59fc38a7a194b7a7311b6ef65f56459850807be267f4df137716d7c7c43fe" }, "receipt_sha256": "8ac59fc38a7a194b7a7311b6ef65f56459850807be267f4df137716d7c7c43fe" }, { "row": 50, "col": 35, "lat": 41.0, "lon": -109.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.83, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 2.4, "ell_trend": -0.22, "rate_acceleration": 1.06, "delta_aic_iet": 56.53, "S_over_Gamma": 13.423, "days_to_criticality": 2100.0, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.5733, "grad_tau_local": 0.3935, "depth_trend": -3.07, "spatial_concentration": 81.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5281, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "a37de72adc7261c6e0eae5bc826161bd82cb4a961ec1123c717f638184f5621c", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5281, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "91bbf6ac7ee11e207f7cb36ca49e39a0476ced30bd1b7149b07565414d4bdd8d" }, "receipt_sha256": "91bbf6ac7ee11e207f7cb36ca49e39a0476ced30bd1b7149b07565414d4bdd8d" }, { "row": 31, "col": 153, "lat": 3.0, "lon": 127.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.4, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.143, "b_trend": -0.158, "ell_km": 33.8, "ell_trend": -16.02, "rate_acceleration": 1.09, "delta_aic_iet": 737.62, "S_over_Gamma": 15.382, "days_to_criticality": 2098.1, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 9.6053, "grad_tau_local": 0.7026, "depth_trend": -10.33, "spatial_concentration": 72.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5267, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "8e1e94c0f5b5feb3d9ac01182b982f2d60d1ab90120e31358a9ddd58de84aa09", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5267, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "adfda0be106325fb2eeedb027479bb31a494cec7cb4556a607b118811b6f402b" }, "receipt_sha256": "adfda0be106325fb2eeedb027479bb31a494cec7cb4556a607b118811b6f402b" }, { "row": 19, "col": 1, "lat": -21.0, "lon": -177.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 4.4, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.43, "b_trend": -0.2773, "ell_km": 75.3, "ell_trend": 1.98, "rate_acceleration": 1.09, "delta_aic_iet": 286.51, "S_over_Gamma": 14.361, "days_to_criticality": 56.0, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.6347, "grad_tau_local": 1.6215, "depth_trend": 9.56, "spatial_concentration": 91.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5237, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "e51b4df3407a71c1e792a5cc03af2abe48f7a41bf48ddafb8f367060be9ad866", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5237, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "b34330a78ee44c4db603629236a56b2568911972025854208bbaeef1f7ebd9fc" }, "receipt_sha256": "b34330a78ee44c4db603629236a56b2568911972025854208bbaeef1f7ebd9fc" }, { "row": 48, "col": 29, "lat": 37.0, "lon": -121.0, "n_events": 11, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.992, "b_trend": 0.1109, "ell_km": 2.3, "ell_trend": -0.02, "rate_acceleration": 0.66, "delta_aic_iet": 412.77, "S_over_Gamma": 13.126, "days_to_criticality": 19.7, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.221, "grad_tau_local": 0.9252, "depth_trend": -0.01, "spatial_concentration": 79.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5217, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "48e130e80439a813da8c6af0bc93195b52ef1a48eebe128439a976de730f1c07", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5217, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "a40f97c6ebcc59f6ae30796e5402e820e7c3454151b1dcfcb8d6515951492da8" }, "receipt_sha256": "a40f97c6ebcc59f6ae30796e5402e820e7c3454151b1dcfcb8d6515951492da8" }, { "row": 30, "col": 153, "lat": 1.0, "lon": 127.0, "n_events": 12, "max_mag": 6.2, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.314, "b_trend": -0.1326, "ell_km": 35.3, "ell_trend": -12.55, "rate_acceleration": 0.56, "delta_aic_iet": 574.76, "S_over_Gamma": 15.586, "days_to_criticality": 2098.1, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 10.2304, "grad_tau_local": 0.7829, "depth_trend": -14.16, "spatial_concentration": 76.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5211, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "3c6c3e2cfe70e04bb9357305eb9f454cdc920c35c14eb538e8e3a2afddcc7f59", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5211, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "e0e01572a46b41211ace8f1af570fc78bf61b74040c59a60e3939bc5861a06a1" }, "receipt_sha256": "e0e01572a46b41211ace8f1af570fc78bf61b74040c59a60e3939bc5861a06a1" }, { "row": 57, "col": 9, "lat": 55.0, "lon": -161.0, "n_events": 20, "max_mag": 4.0, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.776, "b_trend": 0.0604, "ell_km": 19.0, "ell_trend": -0.5, "rate_acceleration": 1.21, "delta_aic_iet": 926.31, "S_over_Gamma": 13.205, "days_to_criticality": 17.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.9764, "grad_tau_local": 0.4105, "depth_trend": 0.35, "spatial_concentration": 76.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4987, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "687ff2db2316f0228b9642ad062c622ff31ba0f3aa3607632a2e780524730e00", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4987, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f0117a4fa9f2793af022a39161243343d2785374175ee0da8819d574c2460394" }, "receipt_sha256": "f0117a4fa9f2793af022a39161243343d2785374175ee0da8819d574c2460394" }, { "row": 57, "col": 10, "lat": 55.0, "lon": -159.0, "n_events": 12, "max_mag": 3.1, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.778, "b_trend": 0.0779, "ell_km": 19.7, "ell_trend": 0.54, "rate_acceleration": 0.82, "delta_aic_iet": 884.42, "S_over_Gamma": 13.23, "days_to_criticality": 40.6, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.6262, "grad_tau_local": 0.7838, "depth_trend": -2.26, "spatial_concentration": 93.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4921, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "7142ef86ca0dfcffb69d179b22e2a6a0c4c843d9113e2aacceaad2ca386aa080", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4921, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "93c7ff783413e602f0a66a8459ce261a74a98fdcdb3cb314730dbe9d3f56086a" }, "receipt_sha256": "93c7ff783413e602f0a66a8459ce261a74a98fdcdb3cb314730dbe9d3f56086a" }, { "row": 56, "col": 2, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -175.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 3.0, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.653, "b_trend": 0.0747, "ell_km": 70.1, "ell_trend": 1.26, "rate_acceleration": 1.95, "delta_aic_iet": 625.16, "S_over_Gamma": 13.761, "days_to_criticality": 160.2, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.752, "grad_tau_local": 2.0391, "depth_trend": -9.48, "spatial_concentration": 72.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4802, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "f340095cac78d6e005d12aa700ea949f0eb9120b86b1bf0cba991c814b1ac4c6", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4802, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "39295e56d0176aa495824aff56c5cc980c5e1f9e3a9a5a281e9aab5acec0fceb" }, "receipt_sha256": "39295e56d0176aa495824aff56c5cc980c5e1f9e3a9a5a281e9aab5acec0fceb" }, { "row": 54, "col": 167, "lat": 49.0, "lon": 155.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 5.9, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.156, "b_trend": 0.0521, "ell_km": 86.0, "ell_trend": -4.37, "rate_acceleration": 0.27, "delta_aic_iet": 465.27, "S_over_Gamma": 15.247, "days_to_criticality": 2098.6, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.5479, "grad_tau_local": 1.6895, "depth_trend": 20.77, "spatial_concentration": 74.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.473, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "00c980305ac4a4cf1befeb5c0cc132da46c589f6789c11ddec4e5e67b160f2e5", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.473, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "3608105dc02b3e489e1f05d2c880e21961f8ffba79629fde56974d3c8aef7ba7" }, "receipt_sha256": "3608105dc02b3e489e1f05d2c880e21961f8ffba79629fde56974d3c8aef7ba7" }, { "row": 22, "col": 173, "lat": -15.0, "lon": 167.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.1, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.204, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 82.1, "ell_trend": -4.85, "rate_acceleration": 0.58, "delta_aic_iet": 171.98, "S_over_Gamma": 16.018, "days_to_criticality": 2098.2, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.4141, "grad_tau_local": 0.1158, "depth_trend": 4.24, "spatial_concentration": 89.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4714, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "f438c65d0fd9741b71bcc9e660b95f06c533b764a076d8e8a6fa03e78dbd1f48", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4714, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "78b95e1f795cd5f337ad86f1aab5907f42b081c47acaea8eb9bfe247c89505d2" }, "receipt_sha256": "78b95e1f795cd5f337ad86f1aab5907f42b081c47acaea8eb9bfe247c89505d2" }, { "row": 57, "col": 11, "lat": 55.0, "lon": -157.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.805, "b_trend": 0.141, "ell_km": 19.6, "ell_trend": 0.57, "rate_acceleration": 0.66, "delta_aic_iet": 859.21, "S_over_Gamma": 13.407, "days_to_criticality": 71.0, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.4936, "grad_tau_local": 1.2465, "depth_trend": -0.16, "spatial_concentration": 84.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4405, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "7dc2bef40c6152b751fd9469b06fd5d657cdf940fecb8afcf534c45ebe391c2e", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4405, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "4b43041fc82ecb7b526783461ea58700f602ebb2e332d27f764d59084c5c6e39" }, "receipt_sha256": "4b43041fc82ecb7b526783461ea58700f602ebb2e332d27f764d59084c5c6e39" }, { "row": 45, "col": 37, "lat": 31.0, "lon": -105.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 3.2, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.114, "b_trend": -0.2015, "ell_km": 3.7, "ell_trend": -0.02, "rate_acceleration": 0.69, "delta_aic_iet": 381.05, "S_over_Gamma": 13.28, "days_to_criticality": 23.0, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.5422, "grad_tau_local": 0.7573, "depth_trend": 0.03, "spatial_concentration": 39.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4365, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "960fb497600381d9bf86fc34d60218230b3fde4fd90b3218f6d61f0bbfc6900c", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4365, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "facc7a667801dc0d6884d3d2ad7de910a9f88e27a757f50e1d1d49de771aee6c" }, "receipt_sha256": "facc7a667801dc0d6884d3d2ad7de910a9f88e27a757f50e1d1d49de771aee6c" }, { "row": 47, "col": 31, "lat": 35.0, "lon": -117.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 4.3, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.894, "b_trend": -0.0674, "ell_km": 2.4, "ell_trend": -0.28, "rate_acceleration": 1.62, "delta_aic_iet": 454.69, "S_over_Gamma": 13.283, "days_to_criticality": 20.0, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.0337, "grad_tau_local": 0.4966, "depth_trend": 0.2, "spatial_concentration": 78.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4185, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "7a2d43641c48dc92cd6f1fa17021f4ad997c043fc929e1cb265ce770553f5efb", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4185, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "b8956d692a02b1d9bda3284e9c20941f7f1725fb4bf28d29bdfa6eef5c9bc8c1" }, "receipt_sha256": "b8956d692a02b1d9bda3284e9c20941f7f1725fb4bf28d29bdfa6eef5c9bc8c1" }, { "row": 38, "col": 60, "lat": 17.0, "lon": -59.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.6, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 13.3, "ell_trend": -0.07, "rate_acceleration": 0.5, "delta_aic_iet": -2.21, "S_over_Gamma": 11.132, "days_to_criticality": 1121.3, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.9104, "grad_tau_local": 0.8934, "depth_trend": 1.85, "spatial_concentration": 58.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4123, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "627f3eaea9cbcfd775bee6253b56cef7cf00be084b22b1b421071a7313d71f25", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4123, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "21d7a9cc7488272ca06518ca538543ed896fd3b16b40d3ded096b8213fbe2eca" }, "receipt_sha256": "21d7a9cc7488272ca06518ca538543ed896fd3b16b40d3ded096b8213fbe2eca" }, { "row": 56, "col": 8, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -163.0, "n_events": 14, "max_mag": 2.9, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.75, "b_trend": 0.0336, "ell_km": 19.7, "ell_trend": -0.08, "rate_acceleration": 1.35, "delta_aic_iet": 970.29, "S_over_Gamma": 13.213, "days_to_criticality": 2096.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.8101, "grad_tau_local": 1.2111, "depth_trend": -2.69, "spatial_concentration": 69.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4041, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "fc61990747515aab59b68b4427579726e52e1579d165e1a55884c3602704119d", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4041, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "d7a510e0eb43703acc208d62ae2d35f6138de58c3504113c0de704cf3a0b71a6" }, "receipt_sha256": "d7a510e0eb43703acc208d62ae2d35f6138de58c3504113c0de704cf3a0b71a6" }, { "row": 46, "col": 32, "lat": 33.0, "lon": -115.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 3.0, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.841, "b_trend": -0.0516, "ell_km": 2.5, "ell_trend": -0.4, "rate_acceleration": 1.26, "delta_aic_iet": 365.55, "S_over_Gamma": 12.975, "days_to_criticality": 19.1, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.0214, "grad_tau_local": 1.0203, "depth_trend": -0.04, "spatial_concentration": 59.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4034, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "527a9f45d46b4fae193baea746326ef38ed98b9be0ab148d57dc1429dc687189", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4034, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "63d4ce8879f1b497687adac4fa9e7559e396678a704d15ac4d9dcc8cb12b8e3c" }, "receipt_sha256": "63d4ce8879f1b497687adac4fa9e7559e396678a704d15ac4d9dcc8cb12b8e3c" }, { "row": 56, "col": 5, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -169.0, "n_events": 26, "max_mag": 4.0, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.642, "b_trend": 0.1485, "ell_km": 12.1, "ell_trend": -11.63, "rate_acceleration": 1.59, "delta_aic_iet": 863.91, "S_over_Gamma": 13.528, "days_to_criticality": 2097.4, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.4993, "grad_tau_local": 0.6436, "depth_trend": -0.26, "spatial_concentration": 77.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3905, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "a2b587f6b76a73a00eb3e1e9738f2d5cbfcf0dc9005fe39d30b779e58b0c0390", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3905, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "4ed14d2b9f06e40c27bf61b6858757b21a4a9a67c980b10541d600d891493c73" }, "receipt_sha256": "4ed14d2b9f06e40c27bf61b6858757b21a4a9a67c980b10541d600d891493c73" }, { "row": 46, "col": 39, "lat": 33.0, "lon": -101.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 3.1, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 3.2, "ell_trend": 0.01, "rate_acceleration": 0.71, "delta_aic_iet": 176.52, "S_over_Gamma": 13.131, "days_to_criticality": 32.1, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.0753, "grad_tau_local": 1.0421, "depth_trend": -0.59, "spatial_concentration": 62.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3843, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "b72640be96829519df8bbf96735ae0071a1b3992480b3a18536495fb62818c8e", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3843, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "e129ee6aeccdb45e2e159b5716011678a9475d253fcb56078d9e4553cf70d48b" }, "receipt_sha256": "e129ee6aeccdb45e2e159b5716011678a9475d253fcb56078d9e4553cf70d48b" }, { "row": 56, "col": 170, "lat": 53.0, "lon": 161.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 4.3, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.145, "b_trend": 0.0079, "ell_km": 68.1, "ell_trend": -5.98, "rate_acceleration": 0.13, "delta_aic_iet": -820.34, "S_over_Gamma": 15.479, "days_to_criticality": 19.5, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 11.9058, "grad_tau_local": 2.2477, "depth_trend": 6.25, "spatial_concentration": 48.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3726, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "dcf03503a87e75bd313560f05192d9abc2c2a6186c7899de3fc6e676fa1800f1", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3726, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "e0155f5f4933290f313768447221ffde38901c0608f29e5bd6afc9a1de9f1323" }, "receipt_sha256": "e0155f5f4933290f313768447221ffde38901c0608f29e5bd6afc9a1de9f1323" }, { "row": 48, "col": 31, "lat": 37.0, "lon": -117.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 3.6, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.917, "b_trend": -0.1097, "ell_km": 1.9, "ell_trend": -0.05, "rate_acceleration": 1.22, "delta_aic_iet": 333.32, "S_over_Gamma": 12.744, "days_to_criticality": 19.1, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.0585, "grad_tau_local": 0.4414, "depth_trend": -0.81, "spatial_concentration": 54.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3587, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "f9d3361b41da9df026cc5ce7f58e56653d0ae1cf6c7150f211227ef77c04b977", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3587, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "c699b28ed5b3e9a53511f521bcc45f3563bdfa58df5fbdd2b1e46d045d8d6387" }, "receipt_sha256": "c699b28ed5b3e9a53511f521bcc45f3563bdfa58df5fbdd2b1e46d045d8d6387" }, { "row": 50, "col": 160, "lat": 41.0, "lon": 141.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.887, "b_trend": 0.0606, "ell_km": 34.4, "ell_trend": 2.34, "rate_acceleration": 1.43, "delta_aic_iet": 366.65, "S_over_Gamma": 15.05, "days_to_criticality": 44.5, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.082, "grad_tau_local": 1.8135, "depth_trend": 6.08, "spatial_concentration": 54.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3529, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "694bfe18ce68fd5952f9809f20a6f52a45ff7870589bfe7d77c01899ffba4499", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3529, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "226bde78a7271871fc474f64f418a0b99eed62b24c40e89903b1983545b8cb2b" }, "receipt_sha256": "226bde78a7271871fc474f64f418a0b99eed62b24c40e89903b1983545b8cb2b" }, { "row": 57, "col": 8, "lat": 55.0, "lon": -163.0, "n_events": 23, "max_mag": 5.4, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.758, "b_trend": 0.0464, "ell_km": 19.7, "ell_trend": -0.16, "rate_acceleration": 1.26, "delta_aic_iet": 992.03, "S_over_Gamma": 13.044, "days_to_criticality": 2096.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.9492, "grad_tau_local": 1.2297, "depth_trend": -1.25, "spatial_concentration": 62.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.352, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "77d9c68e8afa49c5d7dee58a7195cbb36725af7736d9e37b996d0ccd7a3a898a", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.352, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "cac61d8761d419a1eee07f8ca714e6069c5a845a38b653c86acfefdef9d738de" }, "receipt_sha256": "cac61d8761d419a1eee07f8ca714e6069c5a845a38b653c86acfefdef9d738de" }, { "row": 55, "col": 169, "lat": 51.0, "lon": 159.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 5.3, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.149, "b_trend": -0.0016, "ell_km": 78.1, "ell_trend": -7.16, "rate_acceleration": 0.13, "delta_aic_iet": -983.66, "S_over_Gamma": 15.712, "days_to_criticality": 2098.5, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 12.8817, "grad_tau_local": 0.5388, "depth_trend": 7.38, "spatial_concentration": 81.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3215, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "c3dc860625f6d668b6f1b53b29f41fb753785d9bd25da4ddcca740638ced4bd5", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3215, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "3cce1f637467e241df5fb9b86ce51058bb669eb8fa8785889715787a50be1e6b" }, "receipt_sha256": "3cce1f637467e241df5fb9b86ce51058bb669eb8fa8785889715787a50be1e6b" }, { "row": 50, "col": 161, "lat": 41.0, "lon": 143.0, "n_events": 21, "max_mag": 6.9, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.929, "b_trend": 0.0756, "ell_km": 34.9, "ell_trend": 2.34, "rate_acceleration": 1.39, "delta_aic_iet": 467.0, "S_over_Gamma": 15.523, "days_to_criticality": 44.9, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.7146, "grad_tau_local": 1.0464, "depth_trend": 6.83, "spatial_concentration": 70.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3185, "confidence_lo": 0.0363, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ef369f3e43d07788dc564f92cf3291d561648ddc848eee8a6f245ffeea684771", "input_sha256": "b8d997d29c58c4e29dceb74fb3f90ac5cf082db7fc9cb505631956405282e71a", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T07:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3185, "probability": 0.036365, "confidence_lo": 0.03633, "confidence_hi": 0.036366, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "bc1cb275bd594647d4bcb20f55088b027b0082ea173ddecacda5dde70887b562" }, "receipt_sha256": "bc1cb275bd594647d4bcb20f55088b027b0082ea173ddecacda5dde70887b562" } ] }