{ "forecast_id": "eq_fcst_20260722_1800", "hazard": "earthquake", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "forecast_horizon_days": 30, "target_magnitude_min": 6.0, "feature_history_days": 400, "recent_activity_days": 30, "min_events_per_active_cell": 5, "forecast_domain": { "name": "global_2deg_grid", "lat_min": -60.0, "lat_max": 70.0, "lon_min": -180.0, "lon_max": 180.0, "dlat": 2.0, "dlon": 2.0, "n_lat": 65, "n_lon": 180, "default_probability": 0.0 }, "source_catalog": { "provider": "USGS FDSNWS", "min_magnitude": 2.5, "window_start": "2025-06-17T18:00:00Z", "window_end": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "n_events": 32724, "n_recent_events": 1918 }, "n_active_cells": 85, "top_probability": 0.5093, "active_cells": [ { "row": 23, "col": 82, "lat": -13.0, "lon": -15.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 5.3, "probability": 0.5093, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 13.8, "ell_trend": null, "rate_acceleration": 6.0, "delta_aic_iet": null, "S_over_Gamma": 10.655, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.3, "grad_tau_local": 0.103, "depth_trend": 0.21, "spatial_concentration": 47.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.889, "confidence_lo": 0.0364, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1aa668dd34cc88fcdc742f9ef88f3859d6ce0e6e9573d68968c13ec720b7da0c", "input_sha256": "66caa0fc8e1ae0421759715ed6cee01b8067473d841e98404e052d9e2583a890", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.889, "probability": 0.509272, "confidence_lo": 0.036411, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "6a69bd0d58332261d55fe894de20bc9d5b4de6ab7b4a70635f38a03b62908ed3" }, "receipt_sha256": "6a69bd0d58332261d55fe894de20bc9d5b4de6ab7b4a70635f38a03b62908ed3" }, { "row": 37, "col": 43, "lat": 15.0, "lon": -93.0, "n_events": 79, "max_mag": 7.3, "probability": 0.5093, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.839, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 38.9, "ell_trend": 0.78, "rate_acceleration": 2.7, "delta_aic_iet": 213.85, "S_over_Gamma": 15.773, "days_to_criticality": 67.9, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.3846, "grad_tau_local": 0.2953, "depth_trend": -18.94, "spatial_concentration": 94.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.8719, "confidence_lo": 0.0364, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1aa668dd34cc88fcdc742f9ef88f3859d6ce0e6e9573d68968c13ec720b7da0c", "input_sha256": "7a0692d1d7acdfe7792aa091ca0ac82bee2061968dccb500329278c569920342", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.8719, "probability": 0.509272, "confidence_lo": 0.036411, "confidence_hi": 1.0, "uncertainty_class": "wide", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "CAUTIOUS", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "781af6265033cf9ff57432475a664c8d1e6f2ed7ffe7cd0a3aab5f98892cbab5" }, "receipt_sha256": "781af6265033cf9ff57432475a664c8d1e6f2ed7ffe7cd0a3aab5f98892cbab5" }, { "row": 42, "col": 35, "lat": 25.0, "lon": -109.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 6.0, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 19.6, "ell_trend": null, "rate_acceleration": 2.5, "delta_aic_iet": null, "S_over_Gamma": 13.294, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.2018, "grad_tau_local": 0.3988, "depth_trend": 0.0, "spatial_concentration": 81.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.8529, "confidence_lo": 0.0364, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1aa668dd34cc88fcdc742f9ef88f3859d6ce0e6e9573d68968c13ec720b7da0c", "input_sha256": "8108779f088db07d8b3048eab488d2375eea25cda527ff0edba696ebe18900bc", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.8529, "probability": 0.036446, "confidence_lo": 0.036411, "confidence_hi": 0.036447, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f6fc6459ee5f5e3ca1dbfdad318ba400a837c94b01d130a3c39beb9d0b1e4d56" }, "receipt_sha256": "f6fc6459ee5f5e3ca1dbfdad318ba400a837c94b01d130a3c39beb9d0b1e4d56" }, { "row": 45, "col": 124, "lat": 31.0, "lon": 69.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.3, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 49.2, "ell_trend": null, "rate_acceleration": 1.71, "delta_aic_iet": 22.76, "S_over_Gamma": 13.962, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 1.9346, "grad_tau_local": 0.467, "depth_trend": -2.5, "spatial_concentration": 83.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7316, "confidence_lo": 0.0364, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1aa668dd34cc88fcdc742f9ef88f3859d6ce0e6e9573d68968c13ec720b7da0c", "input_sha256": "328b8f81fd5ac126be31bcf5e185ea195530f1fc0ac4517ebd9550e06788a616", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7316, "probability": 0.036446, "confidence_lo": 0.036411, "confidence_hi": 0.036447, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "5febcf836f1751bd80c1f2b8dd88e006b904f221385c9c4112f20830fe9d9372" }, "receipt_sha256": "5febcf836f1751bd80c1f2b8dd88e006b904f221385c9c4112f20830fe9d9372" }, { "row": 25, "col": 149, "lat": -9.0, "lon": 119.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.1, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.075, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 85.1, "ell_trend": -2.27, "rate_acceleration": 1.58, "delta_aic_iet": 70.91, "S_over_Gamma": 15.113, "days_to_criticality": 1798.5, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.7472, "grad_tau_local": 0.6831, "depth_trend": -25.99, "spatial_concentration": 69.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7179, "confidence_lo": 0.0364, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1aa668dd34cc88fcdc742f9ef88f3859d6ce0e6e9573d68968c13ec720b7da0c", "input_sha256": "e7969d778bbb605673c91008b61104623c514e6c2499e4780872b0230b77eeb5", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7179, "probability": 0.036446, "confidence_lo": 0.036411, "confidence_hi": 0.036447, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "a3064a97d8b2270a8332a9e9788e625f3a84e213fba45431c8fe74cee19b2ff8" }, "receipt_sha256": "a3064a97d8b2270a8332a9e9788e625f3a84e213fba45431c8fe74cee19b2ff8" }, { "row": 38, "col": 149, "lat": 17.0, "lon": 119.0, "n_events": 27, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 15.3, "ell_trend": -2.48, "rate_acceleration": 5.64, "delta_aic_iet": 85.22, "S_over_Gamma": 9.132, "days_to_criticality": 22.5, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.4587, "grad_tau_local": 0.6861, "depth_trend": -15.93, "spatial_concentration": 78.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7087, "confidence_lo": 0.0364, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1aa668dd34cc88fcdc742f9ef88f3859d6ce0e6e9573d68968c13ec720b7da0c", "input_sha256": "43ce633ad2ca1409ae8abeefe43de8065164a2106fa718b3862ee5a7b6eb8600", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7087, "probability": 0.036446, "confidence_lo": 0.036411, "confidence_hi": 0.036447, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "c96585dec9b367fd4ef8b4512fe02b2d237598d068c9ff347c81798db4c67b80" }, "receipt_sha256": "c96585dec9b367fd4ef8b4512fe02b2d237598d068c9ff347c81798db4c67b80" }, { "row": 48, "col": 125, "lat": 37.0, "lon": 71.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 6.1, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.061, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 27.6, "ell_trend": 6.76, "rate_acceleration": 0.67, "delta_aic_iet": 238.27, "S_over_Gamma": 15.567, "days_to_criticality": 34.7, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.1252, "grad_tau_local": 0.3152, "depth_trend": 43.5, "spatial_concentration": 88.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6978, "confidence_lo": 0.0364, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1aa668dd34cc88fcdc742f9ef88f3859d6ce0e6e9573d68968c13ec720b7da0c", "input_sha256": "484b69b12b3c0a021c666576dca6864be571ebf5f8a5439edb6be18d0de4a1fd", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6978, "probability": 0.036446, "confidence_lo": 0.036411, "confidence_hi": 0.036447, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "db65db233673d2cf4b0d6e51a74f32d50a6f2c1c53aed627995495340a951c8a" }, "receipt_sha256": "db65db233673d2cf4b0d6e51a74f32d50a6f2c1c53aed627995495340a951c8a" }, { "row": 55, "col": 179, "lat": 51.0, "lon": 179.0, "n_events": 30, "max_mag": 3.8, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.527, "b_trend": -0.0255, "ell_km": 13.9, "ell_trend": -8.97, "rate_acceleration": 2.19, "delta_aic_iet": 696.51, "S_over_Gamma": 13.716, "days_to_criticality": 22.8, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 3.4484, "depth_trend": -10.2, "spatial_concentration": 98.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6912, "confidence_lo": 0.0364, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1aa668dd34cc88fcdc742f9ef88f3859d6ce0e6e9573d68968c13ec720b7da0c", "input_sha256": "0ee2d57107c1fd8d5d424d7e78930fb734efd2b3c9424f88c2415d54809e1cb5", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6912, "probability": 0.036446, "confidence_lo": 0.036411, "confidence_hi": 0.036447, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "1a10a4f0c4fdcbf2ba9c3d35d94852e752603b2d24a59823b6638701cd250118" }, "receipt_sha256": "1a10a4f0c4fdcbf2ba9c3d35d94852e752603b2d24a59823b6638701cd250118" }, { "row": 55, "col": 177, "lat": 51.0, "lon": 175.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.0, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.479, "b_trend": 0.2651, "ell_km": 11.5, "ell_trend": -6.02, "rate_acceleration": 2.5, "delta_aic_iet": 254.61, "S_over_Gamma": 14.986, "days_to_criticality": 2097.3, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.5672, "grad_tau_local": 0.7944, "depth_trend": -6.13, "spatial_concentration": 54.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6879, "confidence_lo": 0.0364, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1aa668dd34cc88fcdc742f9ef88f3859d6ce0e6e9573d68968c13ec720b7da0c", "input_sha256": "6a95c5be30823549edefe904bbf0939e36f0a05f89cb11b003d85ac114f917bb", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6879, "probability": 0.036446, "confidence_lo": 0.036411, "confidence_hi": 0.036447, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "612e448dc17b277a25d6f7251e6bf0e074a3f3aae23c43f2378081a0607f5cc3" }, "receipt_sha256": "612e448dc17b277a25d6f7251e6bf0e074a3f3aae23c43f2378081a0607f5cc3" }, { "row": 56, "col": 178, "lat": 53.0, "lon": 177.0, "n_events": 56, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.484, "b_trend": 0.1865, "ell_km": 11.9, "ell_trend": -9.72, "rate_acceleration": 2.48, "delta_aic_iet": 368.6, "S_over_Gamma": 14.665, "days_to_criticality": 2097.3, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.3544, "grad_tau_local": 1.6059, "depth_trend": -12.07, "spatial_concentration": 109.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6716, "confidence_lo": 0.0364, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1aa668dd34cc88fcdc742f9ef88f3859d6ce0e6e9573d68968c13ec720b7da0c", "input_sha256": "587335ec29f35314a0e24c550e0625584c9932d445c7ce557ed5df8fbcd5234c", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6716, "probability": 0.036446, "confidence_lo": 0.036411, "confidence_hi": 0.036447, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "42868421f38930b7291f3d44cffb6938de6997fa985a7ff02effd3d8e228cb21" }, "receipt_sha256": "42868421f38930b7291f3d44cffb6938de6997fa985a7ff02effd3d8e228cb21" }, { "row": 35, "col": 56, "lat": 11.0, "lon": -67.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 25.0, "ell_trend": null, "rate_acceleration": 22.5, "delta_aic_iet": null, "S_over_Gamma": 2.115, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.4321, "grad_tau_local": 0.6484, "depth_trend": -2.0, "spatial_concentration": 77.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6658, "confidence_lo": 0.0364, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1aa668dd34cc88fcdc742f9ef88f3859d6ce0e6e9573d68968c13ec720b7da0c", "input_sha256": "686f0c5ae665dbcc2609d4d61c2ad77bc53c85ba6720b7fb084e17a5c1f15903", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6658, "probability": 0.036446, "confidence_lo": 0.036411, "confidence_hi": 0.036447, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "acafe83d80e25a6cbac02e15ba809a3be95a57f665bcc99fa630aceda11b3a00" }, "receipt_sha256": "acafe83d80e25a6cbac02e15ba809a3be95a57f665bcc99fa630aceda11b3a00" }, { "row": 51, "col": 26, "lat": 43.0, "lon": -127.0, "n_events": 12, "max_mag": 5.5, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.498, "b_trend": 0.0832, "ell_km": 26.6, "ell_trend": 5.2, "rate_acceleration": 0.89, "delta_aic_iet": 201.77, "S_over_Gamma": 13.899, "days_to_criticality": 26.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.1401, "grad_tau_local": 0.9488, "depth_trend": 0.57, "spatial_concentration": 82.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6637, "confidence_lo": 0.0364, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1aa668dd34cc88fcdc742f9ef88f3859d6ce0e6e9573d68968c13ec720b7da0c", "input_sha256": "191449d0448f5ac0dd320932a5643a43ac1942b86221f1d4362525fbeed4de83", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6637, "probability": 0.036446, "confidence_lo": 0.036411, "confidence_hi": 0.036447, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "d88ddde659fcadaad57faadfe0328a25a3189df332a6a836bb4006cc68fb6e95" }, "receipt_sha256": "d88ddde659fcadaad57faadfe0328a25a3189df332a6a836bb4006cc68fb6e95" }, { "row": 58, "col": 12, "lat": 57.0, "lon": -155.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 3.8, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.822, "b_trend": 0.0853, "ell_km": 124.2, "ell_trend": 16.79, "rate_acceleration": 0.86, "delta_aic_iet": 499.06, "S_over_Gamma": 12.912, "days_to_criticality": 28.5, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.9112, "grad_tau_local": 0.4296, "depth_trend": 3.43, "spatial_concentration": 75.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6558, "confidence_lo": 0.0364, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1aa668dd34cc88fcdc742f9ef88f3859d6ce0e6e9573d68968c13ec720b7da0c", "input_sha256": "ad2fdb3be2a66dab7cebbc5d113458fd90f6960e88dee1f873066999b8029dbc", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6558, "probability": 0.036446, "confidence_lo": 0.036411, "confidence_hi": 0.036447, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ec0fd6ad57af106adcb02334711d64aa95bbc9282923e93583cd3c2478d701ee" }, "receipt_sha256": "ec0fd6ad57af106adcb02334711d64aa95bbc9282923e93583cd3c2478d701ee" }, { "row": 39, "col": 12, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -155.0, "n_events": 27, "max_mag": 3.6, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.89, "b_trend": -0.0388, "ell_km": 5.3, "ell_trend": 0.36, "rate_acceleration": 1.48, "delta_aic_iet": 223.15, "S_over_Gamma": 13.38, "days_to_criticality": 125.1, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.3307, "grad_tau_local": 0.2137, "depth_trend": -2.78, "spatial_concentration": 33.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6544, "confidence_lo": 0.0364, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1aa668dd34cc88fcdc742f9ef88f3859d6ce0e6e9573d68968c13ec720b7da0c", "input_sha256": "d15655e49ad37795b5f57dd3fd8f04069b17fa56fa1f35d5d748822e6dcdab15", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6544, "probability": 0.036446, "confidence_lo": 0.036411, "confidence_hi": 0.036447, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "37bb4519117c62ca4f5af904d5c9777a0f696b7d6510f6d50e2f9ee8802863c4" }, "receipt_sha256": "37bb4519117c62ca4f5af904d5c9777a0f696b7d6510f6d50e2f9ee8802863c4" }, { "row": 39, "col": 56, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -67.0, "n_events": 43, "max_mag": 4.0, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.236, "b_trend": -0.0862, "ell_km": 34.7, "ell_trend": -1.63, "rate_acceleration": 1.13, "delta_aic_iet": 1349.46, "S_over_Gamma": 13.548, "days_to_criticality": 20.7, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.5176, "grad_tau_local": 1.3735, "depth_trend": -4.62, "spatial_concentration": 63.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6474, "confidence_lo": 0.0364, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1aa668dd34cc88fcdc742f9ef88f3859d6ce0e6e9573d68968c13ec720b7da0c", "input_sha256": "770a7ae15244e8be521f828787d63f4422c38e4a86727e7b5f335070269142fd", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6474, "probability": 0.036446, "confidence_lo": 0.036411, "confidence_hi": 0.036447, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ef7d4554ee85c8ef0b947c27303d96dcd0c4254b772c402f7cdb44c6edae665a" }, "receipt_sha256": "ef7d4554ee85c8ef0b947c27303d96dcd0c4254b772c402f7cdb44c6edae665a" }, { "row": 38, "col": 55, "lat": 17.0, "lon": -69.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.675, "b_trend": 0.0162, "ell_km": 14.9, "ell_trend": -0.98, "rate_acceleration": 1.13, "delta_aic_iet": 543.05, "S_over_Gamma": 14.51, "days_to_criticality": 20.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.5306, "grad_tau_local": 2.0266, "depth_trend": -1.8, "spatial_concentration": 37.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6417, "confidence_lo": 0.0364, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1aa668dd34cc88fcdc742f9ef88f3859d6ce0e6e9573d68968c13ec720b7da0c", "input_sha256": "96afb705b5593ffbdfb58a55f050417ba9edf3a6b2791b31144e295ce3f537f8", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6417, "probability": 0.036446, "confidence_lo": 0.036411, "confidence_hi": 0.036447, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "28bfe4294779b22637255ba1fb692dd765de1a83b0c3d3fc496c473a7bcea5ab" }, "receipt_sha256": "28bfe4294779b22637255ba1fb692dd765de1a83b0c3d3fc496c473a7bcea5ab" }, { "row": 39, "col": 55, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -69.0, "n_events": 11, "max_mag": 4.0, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.1, "b_trend": 0.1582, "ell_km": 15.7, "ell_trend": -0.83, "rate_acceleration": 1.03, "delta_aic_iet": 731.47, "S_over_Gamma": 14.222, "days_to_criticality": 21.1, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.5379, "grad_tau_local": 2.253, "depth_trend": -1.74, "spatial_concentration": 43.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.641, "confidence_lo": 0.0364, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1aa668dd34cc88fcdc742f9ef88f3859d6ce0e6e9573d68968c13ec720b7da0c", "input_sha256": "17d688f24d92c87373d6f7ce890dd6dc852a293972b0c73fcf1c867f14622247", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.641, "probability": 0.036446, "confidence_lo": 0.036411, "confidence_hi": 0.036447, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "b28cb2a5a67712f496094c108f8132e04698eaaa6c225f773bb048c4a5378b1a" }, "receipt_sha256": "b28cb2a5a67712f496094c108f8132e04698eaaa6c225f773bb048c4a5378b1a" }, { "row": 28, "col": 159, "lat": -3.0, "lon": 139.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 5.1, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.151, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 27.1, "ell_trend": 3.21, "rate_acceleration": 0.6, "delta_aic_iet": 130.13, "S_over_Gamma": 15.339, "days_to_criticality": 18.4, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.8846, "grad_tau_local": 0.2159, "depth_trend": -0.13, "spatial_concentration": 76.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6406, "confidence_lo": 0.0364, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1aa668dd34cc88fcdc742f9ef88f3859d6ce0e6e9573d68968c13ec720b7da0c", "input_sha256": "978f7a98d36544e3f2fcb317c7e58fe3fd31fe740d18ac0fbe683675def0159c", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6406, "probability": 0.036446, "confidence_lo": 0.036411, "confidence_hi": 0.036447, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "8e270bc2f9593e27c324285d116f29dd6a0e91b122759f10937358a74d1a547e" }, "receipt_sha256": "8e270bc2f9593e27c324285d116f29dd6a0e91b122759f10937358a74d1a547e" }, { "row": 35, "col": 55, "lat": 11.0, "lon": -69.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 7.5, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 14.6, "ell_trend": 3.65, "rate_acceleration": 2.45, "delta_aic_iet": 5.61, "S_over_Gamma": 0.794, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": false }, "tau_local": 2.3031, "grad_tau_local": 0.5587, "depth_trend": -1.45, "spatial_concentration": 60.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6403, "confidence_lo": 0.0364, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1aa668dd34cc88fcdc742f9ef88f3859d6ce0e6e9573d68968c13ec720b7da0c", "input_sha256": "2666dc126955623cdb03b01188daac8829eaff94f1da9ac8bb83c0f66f1292f5", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6403, "probability": 0.036446, "confidence_lo": 0.036411, "confidence_hi": 0.036447, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "347585335d00b8d9362bd930a2e8b196768e6ec702361ee7157252e5a36fe87d" }, "receipt_sha256": "347585335d00b8d9362bd930a2e8b196768e6ec702361ee7157252e5a36fe87d" }, { "row": 44, "col": 142, "lat": 29.0, "lon": 105.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 5.2, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 9.8, "ell_trend": -3.68, "rate_acceleration": 1.8, "delta_aic_iet": 47.74, "S_over_Gamma": 13.588, "days_to_criticality": 8.3, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 1.293, "grad_tau_local": 0.1127, "depth_trend": 2.89, "spatial_concentration": 72.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6394, "confidence_lo": 0.0364, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1aa668dd34cc88fcdc742f9ef88f3859d6ce0e6e9573d68968c13ec720b7da0c", "input_sha256": "c0effcb1253e9a36550e791831106d6ba1b5d20daa54aae809420db0f36a70c1", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6394, "probability": 0.036446, "confidence_lo": 0.036411, "confidence_hi": 0.036447, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "e4b3415260d0283bc881127fc24b5796fe29bdfd76072643e76529b0f95f3c7b" }, "receipt_sha256": "e4b3415260d0283bc881127fc24b5796fe29bdfd76072643e76529b0f95f3c7b" }, { "row": 48, "col": 137, "lat": 37.0, "lon": 95.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 5.3, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 14.3, "ell_trend": null, "rate_acceleration": 33.0, "delta_aic_iet": -80.65, "S_over_Gamma": 8.307, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 1.1297, "grad_tau_local": 0.067, "depth_trend": 0.07, "spatial_concentration": 40.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6386, "confidence_lo": 0.0364, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1aa668dd34cc88fcdc742f9ef88f3859d6ce0e6e9573d68968c13ec720b7da0c", "input_sha256": "595898fc1b9eb4598d47f7ed038143b4bb6bcac2d5d2b7da37aeba93cc9b1e2f", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6386, "probability": 0.036446, "confidence_lo": 0.036411, "confidence_hi": 0.036447, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "427c58aa1a82b11871e8ee42704322dadb41f84e84bf9398767463683fc117d4" }, "receipt_sha256": "427c58aa1a82b11871e8ee42704322dadb41f84e84bf9398767463683fc117d4" }, { "row": 39, "col": 57, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -65.0, "n_events": 55, "max_mag": 4.4, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.226, "b_trend": 0.1489, "ell_km": 33.1, "ell_trend": 0.44, "rate_acceleration": 1.19, "delta_aic_iet": 1221.3, "S_over_Gamma": 13.886, "days_to_criticality": 20.7, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.6905, "grad_tau_local": 1.6228, "depth_trend": -1.7, "spatial_concentration": 47.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6362, "confidence_lo": 0.0364, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1aa668dd34cc88fcdc742f9ef88f3859d6ce0e6e9573d68968c13ec720b7da0c", "input_sha256": "ba37bdddc6872ecc16cbb835c1f239a301adb232b92a128fcf77950311f89e93", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6362, "probability": 0.036446, "confidence_lo": 0.036411, "confidence_hi": 0.036447, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "fa18f47397642cbaa7b6f52c34789b9ec90cba24baaac5f3ed57d880e52944d1" }, "receipt_sha256": "fa18f47397642cbaa7b6f52c34789b9ec90cba24baaac5f3ed57d880e52944d1" }, { "row": 38, "col": 56, "lat": 17.0, "lon": -67.0, "n_events": 25, "max_mag": 3.9, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.25, "b_trend": 0.2456, "ell_km": 18.5, "ell_trend": -1.28, "rate_acceleration": 1.24, "delta_aic_iet": 917.06, "S_over_Gamma": 13.286, "days_to_criticality": 20.7, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.9277, "grad_tau_local": 2.0578, "depth_trend": -3.55, "spatial_concentration": 57.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.636, "confidence_lo": 0.0364, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1aa668dd34cc88fcdc742f9ef88f3859d6ce0e6e9573d68968c13ec720b7da0c", "input_sha256": "aabd6b2417970608dfd0d228aeb0fc3962f65a7b8ca8ed0653ee32177602f2c6", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.636, "probability": 0.036446, "confidence_lo": 0.036411, "confidence_hi": 0.036447, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "5e2cbe5e39b4ec63e43f50046ee1a38b98a4c1b356bdf957e9240b1806812f94" }, "receipt_sha256": "5e2cbe5e39b4ec63e43f50046ee1a38b98a4c1b356bdf957e9240b1806812f94" }, { "row": 55, "col": 0, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 36, "max_mag": 4.3, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.619, "b_trend": 0.0701, "ell_km": 74.9, "ell_trend": -0.22, "rate_acceleration": 1.89, "delta_aic_iet": 759.92, "S_over_Gamma": 13.45, "days_to_criticality": 2098.0, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 4.895, "depth_trend": -9.84, "spatial_concentration": 116.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6358, "confidence_lo": 0.0364, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1aa668dd34cc88fcdc742f9ef88f3859d6ce0e6e9573d68968c13ec720b7da0c", "input_sha256": "8e17ed01ee6b7f2698b63836c01e992763955bff7cbe85a57a77a185f5f2b8a4", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6358, "probability": 0.036446, "confidence_lo": 0.036411, "confidence_hi": 0.036447, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "bba7c94a8b933bdef7279b49659211eec977d2681f6c593515989ed0421f0853" }, "receipt_sha256": "bba7c94a8b933bdef7279b49659211eec977d2681f6c593515989ed0421f0853" }, { "row": 0, "col": 76, "lat": -59.0, "lon": -27.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 5.4, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.082, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 63.8, "ell_trend": -1.12, "rate_acceleration": 0.94, "delta_aic_iet": 151.87, "S_over_Gamma": 16.311, "days_to_criticality": 2096.0, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 1.0858, "depth_trend": 4.1, "spatial_concentration": 75.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6335, "confidence_lo": 0.0364, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1aa668dd34cc88fcdc742f9ef88f3859d6ce0e6e9573d68968c13ec720b7da0c", "input_sha256": "ddddd0663f7526f63506dbecc5871c5e2c04e17aa4696799aedefd961dc12ccf", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6335, "probability": 0.036446, "confidence_lo": 0.036411, "confidence_hi": 0.036447, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f028116a1eeb4e46aaa18e0b8485eb25881911548d113911db907ebc2cd74659" }, "receipt_sha256": "f028116a1eeb4e46aaa18e0b8485eb25881911548d113911db907ebc2cd74659" }, { "row": 61, "col": 15, "lat": 63.0, "lon": -149.0, "n_events": 13, "max_mag": 2.8, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.893, "b_trend": 0.0683, "ell_km": 93.8, "ell_trend": -1.43, "rate_acceleration": 1.09, "delta_aic_iet": 629.47, "S_over_Gamma": 12.978, "days_to_criticality": 2098.4, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.9062, "grad_tau_local": 1.6988, "depth_trend": 5.0, "spatial_concentration": 70.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6317, "confidence_lo": 0.0364, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1aa668dd34cc88fcdc742f9ef88f3859d6ce0e6e9573d68968c13ec720b7da0c", "input_sha256": "41fc3363fc1f2d9541b0711a2df0abb4011ab103ea8702b020bc3106ea98e488", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6317, "probability": 0.036446, "confidence_lo": 0.036411, "confidence_hi": 0.036447, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "0f9c2729bd4788ca90f66af440a27942853532669ea0fb22a70bc3679f2d9606" }, "receipt_sha256": "0f9c2729bd4788ca90f66af440a27942853532669ea0fb22a70bc3679f2d9606" }, { "row": 56, "col": 3, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -173.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 3.8, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.623, "b_trend": 0.1267, "ell_km": 13.1, "ell_trend": -9.59, "rate_acceleration": 1.31, "delta_aic_iet": 854.42, "S_over_Gamma": 13.949, "days_to_criticality": 2098.0, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.8207, "grad_tau_local": 1.519, "depth_trend": -3.32, "spatial_concentration": 64.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6303, "confidence_lo": 0.0364, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1aa668dd34cc88fcdc742f9ef88f3859d6ce0e6e9573d68968c13ec720b7da0c", "input_sha256": "28959696b7480b82577aa3ac1742ac8cbf795f5780778847c60888b59dcf42f4", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6303, "probability": 0.036446, "confidence_lo": 0.036411, "confidence_hi": 0.036447, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "57e6550b861f9efd44d861ab156b93b03687da3f1fb945485ef12dba35604dc1" }, "receipt_sha256": "57e6550b861f9efd44d861ab156b93b03687da3f1fb945485ef12dba35604dc1" }, { "row": 59, "col": 12, "lat": 59.0, "lon": -155.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 3.4, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.092, "b_trend": -0.1001, "ell_km": 78.7, "ell_trend": 0.44, "rate_acceleration": 0.82, "delta_aic_iet": 576.65, "S_over_Gamma": 12.546, "days_to_criticality": 93.4, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.6564, "grad_tau_local": 1.208, "depth_trend": 4.35, "spatial_concentration": 72.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6281, "confidence_lo": 0.0364, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1aa668dd34cc88fcdc742f9ef88f3859d6ce0e6e9573d68968c13ec720b7da0c", "input_sha256": "b60bddc67058f7b13e80c0a6874348cbe8763505e046567be99ea52dfcd2c508", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6281, "probability": 0.036446, "confidence_lo": 0.036411, "confidence_hi": 0.036447, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f670c66c52f8787a3fb0dc52d8ea541ededc05c31459cf6837fc097b0b60237a" }, "receipt_sha256": "f670c66c52f8787a3fb0dc52d8ea541ededc05c31459cf6837fc097b0b60237a" }, { "row": 60, "col": 16, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -147.0, "n_events": 13, "max_mag": 3.1, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.829, "b_trend": 0.0901, "ell_km": 107.7, "ell_trend": -0.36, "rate_acceleration": 1.06, "delta_aic_iet": 593.35, "S_over_Gamma": 13.155, "days_to_criticality": 2098.4, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.9469, "grad_tau_local": 0.9043, "depth_trend": 5.47, "spatial_concentration": 77.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6271, "confidence_lo": 0.0364, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1aa668dd34cc88fcdc742f9ef88f3859d6ce0e6e9573d68968c13ec720b7da0c", "input_sha256": "2023af77a5bee355661172c6f41bab1556a7860d217d40bab06aaf792d5f9cef", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6271, "probability": 0.036446, "confidence_lo": 0.036411, "confidence_hi": 0.036447, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "5fb58b2d6f0be63464656cd37ee92bbaebee344fd14a303d274632af0a2e4895" }, "receipt_sha256": "5fb58b2d6f0be63464656cd37ee92bbaebee344fd14a303d274632af0a2e4895" }, { "row": 36, "col": 162, "lat": 13.0, "lon": 145.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 70.6, "ell_trend": 5.04, "rate_acceleration": 0.55, "delta_aic_iet": 161.81, "S_over_Gamma": 15.669, "days_to_criticality": 63.1, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.3352, "grad_tau_local": 0.7414, "depth_trend": 9.98, "spatial_concentration": 65.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6261, "confidence_lo": 0.0364, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1aa668dd34cc88fcdc742f9ef88f3859d6ce0e6e9573d68968c13ec720b7da0c", "input_sha256": "fec84bd26bffa59976d2edfa5a491824d62149c329f7d8cfc1b45950c90cf071", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6261, "probability": 0.036446, "confidence_lo": 0.036411, "confidence_hi": 0.036447, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "0d14a2fcce3edca64b358724fa6db0f8c4455fae94ffa394f18d6c5daea371af" }, "receipt_sha256": "0d14a2fcce3edca64b358724fa6db0f8c4455fae94ffa394f18d6c5daea371af" }, { "row": 61, "col": 14, "lat": 63.0, "lon": -151.0, "n_events": 13, "max_mag": 3.6, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.888, "b_trend": 0.07, "ell_km": 92.8, "ell_trend": -1.45, "rate_acceleration": 1.07, "delta_aic_iet": 586.15, "S_over_Gamma": 13.164, "days_to_criticality": 2098.4, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.2773, "grad_tau_local": 1.9649, "depth_trend": 5.79, "spatial_concentration": 73.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6242, "confidence_lo": 0.0364, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1aa668dd34cc88fcdc742f9ef88f3859d6ce0e6e9573d68968c13ec720b7da0c", "input_sha256": "ca947c7d4897e73c16049d06313f929525f339b6bae0417df46af85f9e1978b6", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6242, "probability": 0.036446, "confidence_lo": 0.036411, "confidence_hi": 0.036447, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ac9f5027072d41a5b25f1ad7a96ca45ac62bfd3da6595de5800fbe83eb97a115" }, "receipt_sha256": "ac9f5027072d41a5b25f1ad7a96ca45ac62bfd3da6595de5800fbe83eb97a115" }, { "row": 59, "col": 13, "lat": 59.0, "lon": -153.0, "n_events": 19, "max_mag": 4.2, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.856, "b_trend": -0.0616, "ell_km": 85.4, "ell_trend": 0.67, "rate_acceleration": 0.82, "delta_aic_iet": 607.35, "S_over_Gamma": 13.28, "days_to_criticality": 93.4, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.6683, "grad_tau_local": 0.259, "depth_trend": 4.36, "spatial_concentration": 81.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6228, "confidence_lo": 0.0364, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1aa668dd34cc88fcdc742f9ef88f3859d6ce0e6e9573d68968c13ec720b7da0c", "input_sha256": "8d96ece5f5758c0748a4ea226354d8b238b93350d9db1e31cdb9c15ad0390e7a", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6228, "probability": 0.036446, "confidence_lo": 0.036411, "confidence_hi": 0.036447, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "82fb512f9d6cfac019960ed02f4ed2722ef415230ef135e222d1e97500383a5c" }, "receipt_sha256": "82fb512f9d6cfac019960ed02f4ed2722ef415230ef135e222d1e97500383a5c" }, { "row": 55, "col": 3, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -173.0, "n_events": 15, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.629, "b_trend": 0.1347, "ell_km": 13.5, "ell_trend": -6.4, "rate_acceleration": 1.32, "delta_aic_iet": 951.62, "S_over_Gamma": 13.787, "days_to_criticality": 23.5, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.1444, "grad_tau_local": 0.8597, "depth_trend": -2.59, "spatial_concentration": 69.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6211, "confidence_lo": 0.0364, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1aa668dd34cc88fcdc742f9ef88f3859d6ce0e6e9573d68968c13ec720b7da0c", "input_sha256": "a33fe78e16f33487bfd2f198665d7ce9bdf7dd52e416877b43fa10603e48702c", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6211, "probability": 0.036446, "confidence_lo": 0.036411, "confidence_hi": 0.036447, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "b2cfef5b8d881a8d6c6f35c9d76f9dddcd027ebb0e568ef175d27a7ec489fe94" }, "receipt_sha256": "b2cfef5b8d881a8d6c6f35c9d76f9dddcd027ebb0e568ef175d27a7ec489fe94" }, { "row": 56, "col": 6, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -167.0, "n_events": 16, "max_mag": 4.5, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.66, "b_trend": 0.1437, "ell_km": 12.5, "ell_trend": -4.37, "rate_acceleration": 1.54, "delta_aic_iet": 929.28, "S_over_Gamma": 13.122, "days_to_criticality": 2097.0, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.0366, "grad_tau_local": 0.1398, "depth_trend": 1.84, "spatial_concentration": 69.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6207, "confidence_lo": 0.0364, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1aa668dd34cc88fcdc742f9ef88f3859d6ce0e6e9573d68968c13ec720b7da0c", "input_sha256": "35c56c55f728312a05823e88f707f7eb17b118704c6fa52c9b3146d7b479eb89", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6207, "probability": 0.036446, "confidence_lo": 0.036411, "confidence_hi": 0.036447, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "cc5c6c1b06ee065472df43ed61ae0850adcde5add0776e47e8f9e81070f8ebbe" }, "receipt_sha256": "cc5c6c1b06ee065472df43ed61ae0850adcde5add0776e47e8f9e81070f8ebbe" }, { "row": 60, "col": 14, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -151.0, "n_events": 24, "max_mag": 4.9, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.853, "b_trend": -0.1053, "ell_km": 89.0, "ell_trend": -0.92, "rate_acceleration": 1.0, "delta_aic_iet": 797.17, "S_over_Gamma": 13.224, "days_to_criticality": 2099.4, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.5522, "grad_tau_local": 0.4511, "depth_trend": 3.05, "spatial_concentration": 68.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6151, "confidence_lo": 0.0364, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1aa668dd34cc88fcdc742f9ef88f3859d6ce0e6e9573d68968c13ec720b7da0c", "input_sha256": "d158a94d9116417dfcfe38d287f1f2510a6d879a797bc4ea8d73bffa5d262ce0", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6151, "probability": 0.036446, "confidence_lo": 0.036411, "confidence_hi": 0.036447, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "0b5c6ad54bf7c0036dd2ae6ac5d47d5702819984f8b7fd96dfcf1bdf7b420a9e" }, "receipt_sha256": "0b5c6ad54bf7c0036dd2ae6ac5d47d5702819984f8b7fd96dfcf1bdf7b420a9e" }, { "row": 58, "col": 11, "lat": 57.0, "lon": -157.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 3.1, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.869, "b_trend": -0.0469, "ell_km": 110.6, "ell_trend": -5.28, "rate_acceleration": 1.02, "delta_aic_iet": 451.04, "S_over_Gamma": 12.643, "days_to_criticality": 2099.2, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.6533, "grad_tau_local": 0.5436, "depth_trend": -1.26, "spatial_concentration": 78.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6148, "confidence_lo": 0.0364, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1aa668dd34cc88fcdc742f9ef88f3859d6ce0e6e9573d68968c13ec720b7da0c", "input_sha256": "9cb69cb05457cfece2a55d299d5f71abafeefa9de7c958533d869bf668b89948", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6148, "probability": 0.036446, "confidence_lo": 0.036411, "confidence_hi": 0.036447, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "b6fee7f179fcf5effe61f397007581c33bf7bba2cf20792ecb8536c15b3ac5b5" }, "receipt_sha256": "b6fee7f179fcf5effe61f397007581c33bf7bba2cf20792ecb8536c15b3ac5b5" }, { "row": 18, "col": 55, "lat": -23.0, "lon": -69.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 5.1, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.158, "b_trend": 0.3855, "ell_km": 38.6, "ell_trend": 1.16, "rate_acceleration": 1.06, "delta_aic_iet": 297.65, "S_over_Gamma": 15.829, "days_to_criticality": 70.2, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.4494, "grad_tau_local": 0.5875, "depth_trend": 5.98, "spatial_concentration": 62.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6144, "confidence_lo": 0.0364, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1aa668dd34cc88fcdc742f9ef88f3859d6ce0e6e9573d68968c13ec720b7da0c", "input_sha256": "10b41c8c26f9963dc70e2b819ee693db073bf95c0c82481cc552bd7f28daf8ee", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6144, "probability": 0.036446, "confidence_lo": 0.036411, "confidence_hi": 0.036447, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "6d08bd2250e16d20cc5d98a54ea55c233f01fd113b25143724d5b3f5dbbdf0d7" }, "receipt_sha256": "6d08bd2250e16d20cc5d98a54ea55c233f01fd113b25143724d5b3f5dbbdf0d7" }, { "row": 60, "col": 13, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -153.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 4.0, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.066, "b_trend": -0.0998, "ell_km": 84.3, "ell_trend": -0.69, "rate_acceleration": 0.94, "delta_aic_iet": 746.59, "S_over_Gamma": 13.205, "days_to_criticality": 2099.4, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.9335, "grad_tau_local": 1.583, "depth_trend": 5.05, "spatial_concentration": 68.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6119, "confidence_lo": 0.0364, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1aa668dd34cc88fcdc742f9ef88f3859d6ce0e6e9573d68968c13ec720b7da0c", "input_sha256": "296e930da4fed2d458b28ebb0b49ba8296f735f324e3fcb415e7b47434096488", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6119, "probability": 0.036446, "confidence_lo": 0.036411, "confidence_hi": 0.036447, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f508dbe58acf369c30dfb77c63b30e231090375ddd69cff5e2b99c523b0e050a" }, "receipt_sha256": "f508dbe58acf369c30dfb77c63b30e231090375ddd69cff5e2b99c523b0e050a" }, { "row": 19, "col": 174, "lat": -21.0, "lon": 169.0, "n_events": 11, "max_mag": 5.8, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 99.6, "ell_trend": -0.01, "rate_acceleration": 1.4, "delta_aic_iet": 158.42, "S_over_Gamma": 16.445, "days_to_criticality": -0.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.1933, "grad_tau_local": 0.6915, "depth_trend": -14.45, "spatial_concentration": 71.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6093, "confidence_lo": 0.0364, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1aa668dd34cc88fcdc742f9ef88f3859d6ce0e6e9573d68968c13ec720b7da0c", "input_sha256": "b00182d5dfe8d8fdd6b8a84e7b6a19c354621e172e22ac63f2bd545b25ae24b7", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6093, "probability": 0.036446, "confidence_lo": 0.036411, "confidence_hi": 0.036447, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "2d15a4a7b1264f47a5b07c2ca8cbbf122756eb5c469a3e689a94d8f77a5ee6f8" }, "receipt_sha256": "2d15a4a7b1264f47a5b07c2ca8cbbf122756eb5c469a3e689a94d8f77a5ee6f8" }, { "row": 13, "col": 0, "lat": -33.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 5.2, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.515, "b_trend": 0.0015, "ell_km": 66.4, "ell_trend": -15.5, "rate_acceleration": 0.77, "delta_aic_iet": 224.84, "S_over_Gamma": 15.615, "days_to_criticality": 2098.1, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 0.7112, "depth_trend": -21.49, "spatial_concentration": 65.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6026, "confidence_lo": 0.0364, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1aa668dd34cc88fcdc742f9ef88f3859d6ce0e6e9573d68968c13ec720b7da0c", "input_sha256": "edc36d37d5c0f33a9812a715f313b6bc8c3905fc95dbfda9df023e91d193e1ad", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6026, "probability": 0.036446, "confidence_lo": 0.036411, "confidence_hi": 0.036447, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "e6a7649fd489d97f226c7085d0dca82d9561fa76f15e16ad911b705fafa53c29" }, "receipt_sha256": "e6a7649fd489d97f226c7085d0dca82d9561fa76f15e16ad911b705fafa53c29" }, { "row": 26, "col": 154, "lat": -7.0, "lon": 129.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.385, "b_trend": 0.0633, "ell_km": 92.4, "ell_trend": 2.86, "rate_acceleration": 0.67, "delta_aic_iet": 220.97, "S_over_Gamma": 15.401, "days_to_criticality": 19.1, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.0107, "grad_tau_local": 1.0621, "depth_trend": 2.34, "spatial_concentration": 71.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5985, "confidence_lo": 0.0364, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1aa668dd34cc88fcdc742f9ef88f3859d6ce0e6e9573d68968c13ec720b7da0c", "input_sha256": "3ab0182555f86a1669c8ee905df1cd0311ff1e188cd010a7d1f3e6a5b488a64a", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5985, "probability": 0.036446, "confidence_lo": 0.036411, "confidence_hi": 0.036447, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ed1743bdb66273f2f94e280c401c001f991ccdb836ebd242d3ab09e7ac14e3c1" }, "receipt_sha256": "ed1743bdb66273f2f94e280c401c001f991ccdb836ebd242d3ab09e7ac14e3c1" }, { "row": 56, "col": 7, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -165.0, "n_events": 24, "max_mag": 3.2, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.703, "b_trend": 0.0169, "ell_km": 29.7, "ell_trend": -3.26, "rate_acceleration": 2.34, "delta_aic_iet": 641.53, "S_over_Gamma": 13.231, "days_to_criticality": 2096.6, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.2377, "grad_tau_local": 0.515, "depth_trend": -8.44, "spatial_concentration": 84.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5979, "confidence_lo": 0.0364, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1aa668dd34cc88fcdc742f9ef88f3859d6ce0e6e9573d68968c13ec720b7da0c", "input_sha256": "bdfb55fdb7027d16fde342ea55f73d5cb812503a740c98f0b258f47242011346", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5979, "probability": 0.036446, "confidence_lo": 0.036411, "confidence_hi": 0.036447, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "365719681023ef304fa1d30dcc3aef54961ac83b6200d6b88f20f0f632afb83d" }, "receipt_sha256": "365719681023ef304fa1d30dcc3aef54961ac83b6200d6b88f20f0f632afb83d" }, { "row": 55, "col": 1, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -177.0, "n_events": 54, "max_mag": 3.6, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.652, "b_trend": 0.0667, "ell_km": 83.7, "ell_trend": -0.39, "rate_acceleration": 1.98, "delta_aic_iet": 788.91, "S_over_Gamma": 13.305, "days_to_criticality": 2098.0, "conditions_met": 4, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.895, "grad_tau_local": 2.9757, "depth_trend": -8.36, "spatial_concentration": 152.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5927, "confidence_lo": 0.0364, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1aa668dd34cc88fcdc742f9ef88f3859d6ce0e6e9573d68968c13ec720b7da0c", "input_sha256": "f2faafffd786594b4a6c400ab6fa0d0d002b7e327e45845a1e293a495175a6d4", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5927, "probability": 0.036446, "confidence_lo": 0.036411, "confidence_hi": 0.036447, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ea6184d740ccdfb9d42ec5ab0ac8b49a38b1afcb83cffa7b71a46be671ea39a0" }, "receipt_sha256": "ea6184d740ccdfb9d42ec5ab0ac8b49a38b1afcb83cffa7b71a46be671ea39a0" }, { "row": 58, "col": 15, "lat": 57.0, "lon": -149.0, "n_events": 12, "max_mag": 3.3, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.871, "b_trend": 0.2167, "ell_km": 24.0, "ell_trend": 1.15, "rate_acceleration": 1.08, "delta_aic_iet": 280.47, "S_over_Gamma": 13.011, "days_to_criticality": 18.2, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.8296, "grad_tau_local": 1.2604, "depth_trend": -1.58, "spatial_concentration": 50.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.59, "confidence_lo": 0.0364, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1aa668dd34cc88fcdc742f9ef88f3859d6ce0e6e9573d68968c13ec720b7da0c", "input_sha256": "1cb2419a2c4c2fe66b03080e04e9b244f638b90b5b37b9acb14f5239e6543caa", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.59, "probability": 0.036446, "confidence_lo": 0.036411, "confidence_hi": 0.036447, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "421c69aef48273e9fec00249c4ac505d26295aa4b9af95d36037dc5df6b8fcff" }, "receipt_sha256": "421c69aef48273e9fec00249c4ac505d26295aa4b9af95d36037dc5df6b8fcff" }, { "row": 60, "col": 15, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -149.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 3.1, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.856, "b_trend": -0.0476, "ell_km": 84.8, "ell_trend": -0.8, "rate_acceleration": 0.98, "delta_aic_iet": 790.05, "S_over_Gamma": 13.287, "days_to_criticality": 2099.4, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.7872, "grad_tau_local": 0.826, "depth_trend": 2.29, "spatial_concentration": 69.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5867, "confidence_lo": 0.0364, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1aa668dd34cc88fcdc742f9ef88f3859d6ce0e6e9573d68968c13ec720b7da0c", "input_sha256": "9a41492efd6c9202467b9f838a75f831b7321a2ee9997365901f18dcac77bef3", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5867, "probability": 0.036446, "confidence_lo": 0.036411, "confidence_hi": 0.036447, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "87d2c5fdc1eca7f7773746181b66b4f14e612515533d8d2c7ce8aadba7bbdf69" }, "receipt_sha256": "87d2c5fdc1eca7f7773746181b66b4f14e612515533d8d2c7ce8aadba7bbdf69" }, { "row": 59, "col": 74, "lat": 59.0, "lon": -31.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 5.3, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 10.0, "ell_trend": -1.96, "rate_acceleration": 2.06, "delta_aic_iet": -23.91, "S_over_Gamma": 12.983, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.3847, "grad_tau_local": 0.0865, "depth_trend": 0.0, "spatial_concentration": 72.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5849, "confidence_lo": 0.0364, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1aa668dd34cc88fcdc742f9ef88f3859d6ce0e6e9573d68968c13ec720b7da0c", "input_sha256": "2407d3223d8627bd7f6a776f3cf1fa8f60947f8c9040e6eb0dead30fd4735e6c", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5849, "probability": 0.036446, "confidence_lo": 0.036411, "confidence_hi": 0.036447, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "5334c247b02b14ad8b85e6f58681199102c82ac67db1a9be52a543265a601110" }, "receipt_sha256": "5334c247b02b14ad8b85e6f58681199102c82ac67db1a9be52a543265a601110" }, { "row": 50, "col": 27, "lat": 41.0, "lon": -125.0, "n_events": 14, "max_mag": 3.1, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.606, "b_trend": 0.1711, "ell_km": 11.1, "ell_trend": -0.52, "rate_acceleration": 1.18, "delta_aic_iet": 363.34, "S_over_Gamma": 13.264, "days_to_criticality": 19.4, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.3915, "grad_tau_local": 0.5888, "depth_trend": -0.02, "spatial_concentration": 80.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5846, "confidence_lo": 0.0364, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1aa668dd34cc88fcdc742f9ef88f3859d6ce0e6e9573d68968c13ec720b7da0c", "input_sha256": "e0d8c1b58d4bc97c26403585b57f609ecd0fc0cf29799192879218fa23be9d10", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5846, "probability": 0.036446, "confidence_lo": 0.036411, "confidence_hi": 0.036447, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "484c077be664dd6d039acd64e2f2776add0ae62f71ce8bfb827c5c79a60ac8a6" }, "receipt_sha256": "484c077be664dd6d039acd64e2f2776add0ae62f71ce8bfb827c5c79a60ac8a6" }, { "row": 55, "col": 2, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -175.0, "n_events": 33, "max_mag": 4.0, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.649, "b_trend": 0.0648, "ell_km": 76.2, "ell_trend": 0.02, "rate_acceleration": 1.92, "delta_aic_iet": 705.59, "S_over_Gamma": 13.522, "days_to_criticality": -1.3, "conditions_met": 4, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.9363, "grad_tau_local": 0.8107, "depth_trend": -8.85, "spatial_concentration": 77.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5842, "confidence_lo": 0.0364, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1aa668dd34cc88fcdc742f9ef88f3859d6ce0e6e9573d68968c13ec720b7da0c", "input_sha256": "0d0dd9c02b5695b382e7c1e143e24b66805f5b59e9263ad69aeabdc92c6df89a", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5842, "probability": 0.036446, "confidence_lo": 0.036411, "confidence_hi": 0.036447, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "e105567fb94e636f7c34f38eb06dfb95e4ff1d0461b13fb4632ef7a92a1bcc8d" }, "receipt_sha256": "e105567fb94e636f7c34f38eb06dfb95e4ff1d0461b13fb4632ef7a92a1bcc8d" }, { "row": 49, "col": 28, "lat": 39.0, "lon": -123.0, "n_events": 16, "max_mag": 5.6, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.928, "b_trend": 0.1199, "ell_km": 3.5, "ell_trend": -0.06, "rate_acceleration": 1.02, "delta_aic_iet": 534.77, "S_over_Gamma": 13.113, "days_to_criticality": 19.1, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.5543, "grad_tau_local": 0.8104, "depth_trend": -0.15, "spatial_concentration": 71.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5804, "confidence_lo": 0.0364, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1aa668dd34cc88fcdc742f9ef88f3859d6ce0e6e9573d68968c13ec720b7da0c", "input_sha256": "34ff50925c5c15b70fe8d8d7122e77126ff3e9dd04ab190c97424a9e3257649e", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5804, "probability": 0.036446, "confidence_lo": 0.036411, "confidence_hi": 0.036447, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ac218fcf4d64eb0fc0ff50ae003192ccab48bb850af1af8953d03169601627a9" }, "receipt_sha256": "ac218fcf4d64eb0fc0ff50ae003192ccab48bb850af1af8953d03169601627a9" }, { "row": 19, "col": 55, "lat": -21.0, "lon": -69.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 4.3, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.077, "b_trend": 0.1602, "ell_km": 63.9, "ell_trend": -2.68, "rate_acceleration": 1.13, "delta_aic_iet": 232.31, "S_over_Gamma": 15.529, "days_to_criticality": 2100.0, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.6078, "grad_tau_local": 0.4555, "depth_trend": -7.8, "spatial_concentration": 83.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5799, "confidence_lo": 0.0364, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1aa668dd34cc88fcdc742f9ef88f3859d6ce0e6e9573d68968c13ec720b7da0c", "input_sha256": "f08ad5c318335c56b0340e2695dd87f138221d39ba2a57438fd9c5489dacea63", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5799, "probability": 0.036446, "confidence_lo": 0.036411, "confidence_hi": 0.036447, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "cae4ff0ff4f34a1d6e1b226938e8d8af2f82dfcc65a12f68436e57a0add9470c" }, "receipt_sha256": "cae4ff0ff4f34a1d6e1b226938e8d8af2f82dfcc65a12f68436e57a0add9470c" }, { "row": 32, "col": 152, "lat": 5.0, "lon": 125.0, "n_events": 47, "max_mag": 6.5, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.127, "b_trend": -0.0949, "ell_km": 38.2, "ell_trend": -5.2, "rate_acceleration": 3.63, "delta_aic_iet": 310.3, "S_over_Gamma": 15.227, "days_to_criticality": 23.0, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 10.0037, "grad_tau_local": 0.9183, "depth_trend": -25.24, "spatial_concentration": 87.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5682, "confidence_lo": 0.0364, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1aa668dd34cc88fcdc742f9ef88f3859d6ce0e6e9573d68968c13ec720b7da0c", "input_sha256": "80e621ad688112cfe2db7287eee5b6f0ff69102a9822a427f5b225fb50aac9b2", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5682, "probability": 0.036446, "confidence_lo": 0.036411, "confidence_hi": 0.036447, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "a43caabccae2eac93fb0786a9df6ea294706b7cdbd7581229a56df22e6c9b863" }, "receipt_sha256": "a43caabccae2eac93fb0786a9df6ea294706b7cdbd7581229a56df22e6c9b863" }, { "row": 36, "col": 151, "lat": 13.0, "lon": 123.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.4, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.329, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 22.8, "ell_trend": 0.18, "rate_acceleration": 0.46, "delta_aic_iet": 129.92, "S_over_Gamma": 17.473, "days_to_criticality": 357.3, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.7014, "grad_tau_local": 0.8079, "depth_trend": 27.24, "spatial_concentration": 84.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5675, "confidence_lo": 0.0364, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1aa668dd34cc88fcdc742f9ef88f3859d6ce0e6e9573d68968c13ec720b7da0c", "input_sha256": "f2437a6d7836677520c12a793efc31e91c48899bb673a103e04ca9bfebf0c2e3", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5675, "probability": 0.036446, "confidence_lo": 0.036411, "confidence_hi": 0.036447, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "18cf46a1f1021d6678e4e017185a4c077fd69e508ea516c13c83c7b946e170f7" }, "receipt_sha256": "18cf46a1f1021d6678e4e017185a4c077fd69e508ea516c13c83c7b946e170f7" }, { "row": 56, "col": 4, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -171.0, "n_events": 14, "max_mag": 4.9, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.634, "b_trend": 0.151, "ell_km": 12.5, "ell_trend": -11.18, "rate_acceleration": 1.29, "delta_aic_iet": 796.88, "S_over_Gamma": 13.678, "days_to_criticality": 2098.0, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.9873, "grad_tau_local": 1.4605, "depth_trend": -1.64, "spatial_concentration": 89.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5663, "confidence_lo": 0.0364, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1aa668dd34cc88fcdc742f9ef88f3859d6ce0e6e9573d68968c13ec720b7da0c", "input_sha256": "d49ab309780cee4da1473996df6d3e157818fced0e3c236078a6cc5632631231", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5663, "probability": 0.036446, "confidence_lo": 0.036411, "confidence_hi": 0.036447, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "c625ba4107e2cb159ec78141fba10d7cbb17571c0d62a76eaa6f800ccbbb34ac" }, "receipt_sha256": "c625ba4107e2cb159ec78141fba10d7cbb17571c0d62a76eaa6f800ccbbb34ac" }, { "row": 47, "col": 160, "lat": 35.0, "lon": 141.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 5.8, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 120.3, "ell_trend": 8.78, "rate_acceleration": 1.03, "delta_aic_iet": 142.26, "S_over_Gamma": 15.914, "days_to_criticality": 67.6, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.5747, "grad_tau_local": 0.6887, "depth_trend": 6.58, "spatial_concentration": 86.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5581, "confidence_lo": 0.0364, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1aa668dd34cc88fcdc742f9ef88f3859d6ce0e6e9573d68968c13ec720b7da0c", "input_sha256": "e8886f4f75b94d2df7dfed224b4911ed4b6f43068fac25342fd1d03630d2306e", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5581, "probability": 0.036446, "confidence_lo": 0.036411, "confidence_hi": 0.036447, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "4828977cfccbb4e6d1225731f7cab562552ed95a3d782e4bae78ff8fedba1c94" }, "receipt_sha256": "4828977cfccbb4e6d1225731f7cab562552ed95a3d782e4bae78ff8fedba1c94" }, { "row": 49, "col": 30, "lat": 39.0, "lon": -119.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.881, "b_trend": -0.051, "ell_km": 2.6, "ell_trend": 0.32, "rate_acceleration": 0.95, "delta_aic_iet": 399.99, "S_over_Gamma": 13.063, "days_to_criticality": 20.2, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.4959, "grad_tau_local": 0.4922, "depth_trend": -0.68, "spatial_concentration": 85.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5555, "confidence_lo": 0.0364, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1aa668dd34cc88fcdc742f9ef88f3859d6ce0e6e9573d68968c13ec720b7da0c", "input_sha256": "7262ad316078b2d3ed534f9ad9e455b07c82c6e9425579528c42f14918b136a2", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5555, "probability": 0.036446, "confidence_lo": 0.036411, "confidence_hi": 0.036447, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "7c36bac15de8600efd5132d92375d5ee79f1f54a341a2f3affcfc1aa26b7f30d" }, "receipt_sha256": "7c36bac15de8600efd5132d92375d5ee79f1f54a341a2f3affcfc1aa26b7f30d" }, { "row": 55, "col": 178, "lat": 51.0, "lon": 177.0, "n_events": 71, "max_mag": 4.5, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.5, "b_trend": 0.2345, "ell_km": 12.3, "ell_trend": -11.42, "rate_acceleration": 2.4, "delta_aic_iet": 469.52, "S_over_Gamma": 14.215, "days_to_criticality": 2097.9, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.4484, "grad_tau_local": 1.6114, "depth_trend": -10.16, "spatial_concentration": 126.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5509, "confidence_lo": 0.0364, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1aa668dd34cc88fcdc742f9ef88f3859d6ce0e6e9573d68968c13ec720b7da0c", "input_sha256": "ede9eb1a33a35265b1e3a4233fb02a765bfccef6de7eb2e02994a29cf0720f6f", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5509, "probability": 0.036446, "confidence_lo": 0.036411, "confidence_hi": 0.036447, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "49dd8c0a3c167c7133503520a8354325fe56a6c83c97325440d91ad536f2da65" }, "receipt_sha256": "49dd8c0a3c167c7133503520a8354325fe56a6c83c97325440d91ad536f2da65" }, { "row": 19, "col": 0, "lat": -21.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 11, "max_mag": 5.5, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.514, "b_trend": -0.5145, "ell_km": 64.7, "ell_trend": 2.4, "rate_acceleration": 1.03, "delta_aic_iet": 292.18, "S_over_Gamma": 15.513, "days_to_criticality": 16.6, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 2.6533, "depth_trend": -10.64, "spatial_concentration": 97.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5472, "confidence_lo": 0.0364, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1aa668dd34cc88fcdc742f9ef88f3859d6ce0e6e9573d68968c13ec720b7da0c", "input_sha256": "afaeea30073b7ad9b13f97d22a5c828163807a870566599204d57bbbfad0b29f", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5472, "probability": 0.036446, "confidence_lo": 0.036411, "confidence_hi": 0.036447, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "2440e9f48559bd4b91238943ac94a54ec75a117751428b9a8603d61dfa42d0b1" }, "receipt_sha256": "2440e9f48559bd4b91238943ac94a54ec75a117751428b9a8603d61dfa42d0b1" }, { "row": 63, "col": 19, "lat": 67.0, "lon": -141.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 3.7, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 5.5, "ell_trend": -0.65, "rate_acceleration": 1.07, "delta_aic_iet": 45.39, "S_over_Gamma": 10.018, "days_to_criticality": 17.3, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 1.6718, "grad_tau_local": 1.6584, "depth_trend": -1.35, "spatial_concentration": 69.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5466, "confidence_lo": 0.0364, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1aa668dd34cc88fcdc742f9ef88f3859d6ce0e6e9573d68968c13ec720b7da0c", "input_sha256": "95791e5050082727dce60474311e11458434e13d141ae13ba8146f31e9c3b4e3", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5466, "probability": 0.036446, "confidence_lo": 0.036411, "confidence_hi": 0.036447, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "465c55a99dd256c95bb79b4c67231967184d2e8e6f7222df37d5159643c765a8" }, "receipt_sha256": "465c55a99dd256c95bb79b4c67231967184d2e8e6f7222df37d5159643c765a8" }, { "row": 18, "col": 179, "lat": -23.0, "lon": 179.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.5, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.11, "b_trend": -0.1375, "ell_km": 58.9, "ell_trend": -1.35, "rate_acceleration": 1.02, "delta_aic_iet": 221.32, "S_over_Gamma": 15.513, "days_to_criticality": 2095.6, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 0.5224, "depth_trend": 0.18, "spatial_concentration": 121.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5459, "confidence_lo": 0.0364, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1aa668dd34cc88fcdc742f9ef88f3859d6ce0e6e9573d68968c13ec720b7da0c", "input_sha256": "c12eb73b7da14de1aebb22a3730c04495a22e26c39eff6eae40a9199bf583fea", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5459, "probability": 0.036446, "confidence_lo": 0.036411, "confidence_hi": 0.036447, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "4643ecb198e3e855af141a39c9d6faf8224f50b509c507ef761a0de76e43a539" }, "receipt_sha256": "4643ecb198e3e855af141a39c9d6faf8224f50b509c507ef761a0de76e43a539" }, { "row": 50, "col": 35, "lat": 41.0, "lon": -109.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.831, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 2.4, "ell_trend": -0.22, "rate_acceleration": 1.06, "delta_aic_iet": 56.53, "S_over_Gamma": 13.423, "days_to_criticality": 2099.5, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.5679, "grad_tau_local": 0.3926, "depth_trend": -3.07, "spatial_concentration": 81.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.538, "confidence_lo": 0.0364, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1aa668dd34cc88fcdc742f9ef88f3859d6ce0e6e9573d68968c13ec720b7da0c", "input_sha256": "7404a140296beda4f4d0dc8ea29b26909517a50e1896aca31b8e7ed56c5f6acc", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.538, "probability": 0.036446, "confidence_lo": 0.036411, "confidence_hi": 0.036447, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "108b600d7b19be35a6d7a682456f62a8be4315ed8208680a531f0d070c544c60" }, "receipt_sha256": "108b600d7b19be35a6d7a682456f62a8be4315ed8208680a531f0d070c544c60" }, { "row": 18, "col": 175, "lat": -23.0, "lon": 171.0, "n_events": 15, "max_mag": 6.3, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.277, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 63.1, "ell_trend": -9.29, "rate_acceleration": 1.3, "delta_aic_iet": 144.56, "S_over_Gamma": 15.253, "days_to_criticality": 1791.3, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.7834, "grad_tau_local": 0.6274, "depth_trend": -8.36, "spatial_concentration": 65.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.534, "confidence_lo": 0.0364, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1aa668dd34cc88fcdc742f9ef88f3859d6ce0e6e9573d68968c13ec720b7da0c", "input_sha256": "c7396bc4539e21660f948fb1b42b24a40ec6f1e45224411f00fa677ae1461135", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.534, "probability": 0.036446, "confidence_lo": 0.036411, "confidence_hi": 0.036447, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "7c298569108860064884d3395e86725a5efba9926228c785a90bf009cdfd1181" }, "receipt_sha256": "7c298569108860064884d3395e86725a5efba9926228c785a90bf009cdfd1181" }, { "row": 31, "col": 153, "lat": 3.0, "lon": 127.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.4, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.143, "b_trend": -0.158, "ell_km": 33.8, "ell_trend": -16.02, "rate_acceleration": 1.09, "delta_aic_iet": 739.33, "S_over_Gamma": 15.382, "days_to_criticality": 2097.7, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 9.6148, "grad_tau_local": 0.7019, "depth_trend": -9.9, "spatial_concentration": 72.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5326, "confidence_lo": 0.0364, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1aa668dd34cc88fcdc742f9ef88f3859d6ce0e6e9573d68968c13ec720b7da0c", "input_sha256": "f0fbedadc4e3a921adbbcb67a9310eceb2cd4ddfd74c117b7df418dafe5e56f8", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5326, "probability": 0.036446, "confidence_lo": 0.036411, "confidence_hi": 0.036447, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "771a76b4ea604fbb08ee91831bd88b3ead540469d125c801e679efe1f5930b2c" }, "receipt_sha256": "771a76b4ea604fbb08ee91831bd88b3ead540469d125c801e679efe1f5930b2c" }, { "row": 19, "col": 1, "lat": -21.0, "lon": -177.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 4.4, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.43, "b_trend": -0.2773, "ell_km": 75.9, "ell_trend": 2.13, "rate_acceleration": 1.12, "delta_aic_iet": 289.39, "S_over_Gamma": 14.356, "days_to_criticality": 19.3, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.6533, "grad_tau_local": 1.6297, "depth_trend": 10.27, "spatial_concentration": 91.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5187, "confidence_lo": 0.0364, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1aa668dd34cc88fcdc742f9ef88f3859d6ce0e6e9573d68968c13ec720b7da0c", "input_sha256": "4f5bd06466cc4cd7ec909984bc852c405d8fca2df63ac914c8bb2f5c151094cd", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5187, "probability": 0.036446, "confidence_lo": 0.036411, "confidence_hi": 0.036447, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "4ddedc61757dca173847154524f0e45bbb8dcb840cb95ca06179e3e54ad3aba2" }, "receipt_sha256": "4ddedc61757dca173847154524f0e45bbb8dcb840cb95ca06179e3e54ad3aba2" }, { "row": 48, "col": 29, "lat": 37.0, "lon": -121.0, "n_events": 11, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.988, "b_trend": 0.1168, "ell_km": 2.3, "ell_trend": -0.02, "rate_acceleration": 0.67, "delta_aic_iet": 414.39, "S_over_Gamma": 13.126, "days_to_criticality": 21.8, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.2105, "grad_tau_local": 0.928, "depth_trend": 0.02, "spatial_concentration": 79.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5169, "confidence_lo": 0.0364, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1aa668dd34cc88fcdc742f9ef88f3859d6ce0e6e9573d68968c13ec720b7da0c", "input_sha256": "836ae9694aad50dcda5b3f0c797e9e0ea49d8298740f02e23b401638199cde4b", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5169, "probability": 0.036446, "confidence_lo": 0.036411, "confidence_hi": 0.036447, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "09b2347c81812389b36710bc90288d222f0bfb3f3bfccda52632dad292d092dd" }, "receipt_sha256": "09b2347c81812389b36710bc90288d222f0bfb3f3bfccda52632dad292d092dd" }, { "row": 30, "col": 153, "lat": 1.0, "lon": 127.0, "n_events": 12, "max_mag": 6.2, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.317, "b_trend": -0.1326, "ell_km": 35.3, "ell_trend": -12.55, "rate_acceleration": 0.56, "delta_aic_iet": 575.49, "S_over_Gamma": 15.586, "days_to_criticality": 2097.7, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 10.2378, "grad_tau_local": 0.7833, "depth_trend": -13.59, "spatial_concentration": 76.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5109, "confidence_lo": 0.0364, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1aa668dd34cc88fcdc742f9ef88f3859d6ce0e6e9573d68968c13ec720b7da0c", "input_sha256": "36e43ef66b12c23f98492f3dd2821aa5ae26f930df2d05410a1061e3e218705d", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5109, "probability": 0.036446, "confidence_lo": 0.036411, "confidence_hi": 0.036447, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "c314ecc56feb52461c995f7c6417b07e034c2a7d59fc771823f03bacca9b1fba" }, "receipt_sha256": "c314ecc56feb52461c995f7c6417b07e034c2a7d59fc771823f03bacca9b1fba" }, { "row": 56, "col": 2, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -175.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 3.0, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.652, "b_trend": 0.0747, "ell_km": 69.7, "ell_trend": 1.26, "rate_acceleration": 1.96, "delta_aic_iet": 625.1, "S_over_Gamma": 13.761, "days_to_criticality": 154.1, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.7372, "grad_tau_local": 2.0335, "depth_trend": -8.9, "spatial_concentration": 72.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4863, "confidence_lo": 0.0364, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1aa668dd34cc88fcdc742f9ef88f3859d6ce0e6e9573d68968c13ec720b7da0c", "input_sha256": "7764208a9a9b588546f301ac77041dcc38b87d7e7844f04f41f15ae81ffb90f0", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4863, "probability": 0.036446, "confidence_lo": 0.036411, "confidence_hi": 0.036447, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "787617e57f7c1fe3166e179df7c82b01d7319742d8a3177bcbc32a079599217c" }, "receipt_sha256": "787617e57f7c1fe3166e179df7c82b01d7319742d8a3177bcbc32a079599217c" }, { "row": 22, "col": 173, "lat": -15.0, "lon": 167.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.1, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.204, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 81.7, "ell_trend": -4.85, "rate_acceleration": 0.58, "delta_aic_iet": 170.21, "S_over_Gamma": 15.668, "days_to_criticality": 2097.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.3931, "grad_tau_local": 0.1155, "depth_trend": 5.02, "spatial_concentration": 89.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4808, "confidence_lo": 0.0364, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1aa668dd34cc88fcdc742f9ef88f3859d6ce0e6e9573d68968c13ec720b7da0c", "input_sha256": "e132d6866e7537f684229eafd217dd47ba1b201da776e2ef8bf83c3d407a1cd2", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4808, "probability": 0.036446, "confidence_lo": 0.036411, "confidence_hi": 0.036447, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "06f76372982a28a410643d5c74d5ab4bf57961f922e754d797038d94f90ef275" }, "receipt_sha256": "06f76372982a28a410643d5c74d5ab4bf57961f922e754d797038d94f90ef275" }, { "row": 57, "col": 10, "lat": 55.0, "lon": -159.0, "n_events": 12, "max_mag": 3.1, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.778, "b_trend": 0.0779, "ell_km": 19.7, "ell_trend": 0.54, "rate_acceleration": 0.82, "delta_aic_iet": 880.01, "S_over_Gamma": 13.209, "days_to_criticality": 40.2, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.5888, "grad_tau_local": 0.7714, "depth_trend": -2.29, "spatial_concentration": 93.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4806, "confidence_lo": 0.0364, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1aa668dd34cc88fcdc742f9ef88f3859d6ce0e6e9573d68968c13ec720b7da0c", "input_sha256": "10afc77392db439f3785e164fc0e6d04e5d7b913560d291a4a6d434f2aeeb8fb", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4806, "probability": 0.036446, "confidence_lo": 0.036411, "confidence_hi": 0.036447, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f4ed1e54b3cd1a9143264c71834066c8ef2ca1beb525126aed42a57d4338fc36" }, "receipt_sha256": "f4ed1e54b3cd1a9143264c71834066c8ef2ca1beb525126aed42a57d4338fc36" }, { "row": 57, "col": 9, "lat": 55.0, "lon": -161.0, "n_events": 20, "max_mag": 4.0, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.776, "b_trend": 0.0604, "ell_km": 19.0, "ell_trend": -0.5, "rate_acceleration": 1.21, "delta_aic_iet": 918.52, "S_over_Gamma": 13.188, "days_to_criticality": 17.4, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.9289, "grad_tau_local": 0.4055, "depth_trend": -0.71, "spatial_concentration": 76.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4759, "confidence_lo": 0.0364, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1aa668dd34cc88fcdc742f9ef88f3859d6ce0e6e9573d68968c13ec720b7da0c", "input_sha256": "53b1baff1ed88862e037555f5b4330ae8d5d1ddcb15d65f585b40b34f0a51a13", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4759, "probability": 0.036446, "confidence_lo": 0.036411, "confidence_hi": 0.036447, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "993e39cac0b8813517a6fc5a3a82075b2f1c1f4d77f92cfbf709b1beb0217040" }, "receipt_sha256": "993e39cac0b8813517a6fc5a3a82075b2f1c1f4d77f92cfbf709b1beb0217040" }, { "row": 54, "col": 167, "lat": 49.0, "lon": 155.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 5.9, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.156, "b_trend": 0.0666, "ell_km": 86.0, "ell_trend": -3.88, "rate_acceleration": 0.27, "delta_aic_iet": 465.27, "S_over_Gamma": 15.247, "days_to_criticality": 1798.1, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.5402, "grad_tau_local": 1.6858, "depth_trend": 20.77, "spatial_concentration": 74.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.473, "confidence_lo": 0.0364, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1aa668dd34cc88fcdc742f9ef88f3859d6ce0e6e9573d68968c13ec720b7da0c", "input_sha256": "00c980305ac4a4cf1befeb5c0cc132da46c589f6789c11ddec4e5e67b160f2e5", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.473, "probability": 0.036446, "confidence_lo": 0.036411, "confidence_hi": 0.036447, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "2bf42d0b0aed73632d6b62309fcaa21dd938efe3f7e482aff0bbaaaf93547330" }, "receipt_sha256": "2bf42d0b0aed73632d6b62309fcaa21dd938efe3f7e482aff0bbaaaf93547330" }, { "row": 31, "col": 154, "lat": 3.0, "lon": 129.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.8, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.429, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 95.0, "ell_trend": -4.17, "rate_acceleration": 0.73, "delta_aic_iet": 237.49, "S_over_Gamma": 15.68, "days_to_criticality": 2097.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.0861, "grad_tau_local": 1.7975, "depth_trend": -7.97, "spatial_concentration": 45.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4698, "confidence_lo": 0.0364, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1aa668dd34cc88fcdc742f9ef88f3859d6ce0e6e9573d68968c13ec720b7da0c", "input_sha256": "12a2ef4f2a82827ee27273f4c872d7264a0b23fb04b4e6a58b94cc30c8952d87", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4698, "probability": 0.036446, "confidence_lo": 0.036411, "confidence_hi": 0.036447, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "b66030645fbd6c5c1da36b51c6d0c1657fbefde909da3038faf8e90e92367124" }, "receipt_sha256": "b66030645fbd6c5c1da36b51c6d0c1657fbefde909da3038faf8e90e92367124" }, { "row": 57, "col": 11, "lat": 55.0, "lon": -157.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.806, "b_trend": 0.141, "ell_km": 19.6, "ell_trend": 0.57, "rate_acceleration": 0.67, "delta_aic_iet": 845.53, "S_over_Gamma": 13.407, "days_to_criticality": 70.6, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.4723, "grad_tau_local": 1.2387, "depth_trend": -0.08, "spatial_concentration": 84.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4447, "confidence_lo": 0.0364, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1aa668dd34cc88fcdc742f9ef88f3859d6ce0e6e9573d68968c13ec720b7da0c", "input_sha256": "bf997789a561cc57f39b0e9d6c903adba6a51ca77ac1cdb31c355ab4402f2b07", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4447, "probability": 0.036446, "confidence_lo": 0.036411, "confidence_hi": 0.036447, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "a0720c90ce2df20ca2c694da0170ac59a266ba9bef5e32acf526ed2af3bd2cd5" }, "receipt_sha256": "a0720c90ce2df20ca2c694da0170ac59a266ba9bef5e32acf526ed2af3bd2cd5" }, { "row": 45, "col": 37, "lat": 31.0, "lon": -105.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 3.2, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.114, "b_trend": -0.2015, "ell_km": 3.7, "ell_trend": -0.02, "rate_acceleration": 0.69, "delta_aic_iet": 381.05, "S_over_Gamma": 13.28, "days_to_criticality": 22.5, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.5385, "grad_tau_local": 0.7562, "depth_trend": 0.03, "spatial_concentration": 39.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4202, "confidence_lo": 0.0364, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1aa668dd34cc88fcdc742f9ef88f3859d6ce0e6e9573d68968c13ec720b7da0c", "input_sha256": "1468eb6e7bd8d8fffbcfced1ebfab5f66245a25c19acdc102b99986be560ad06", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4202, "probability": 0.036446, "confidence_lo": 0.036411, "confidence_hi": 0.036447, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "68aceaa8355d6d945c8eb23a26f34957e80295d7edf848aeae1dda9c8226e4ba" }, "receipt_sha256": "68aceaa8355d6d945c8eb23a26f34957e80295d7edf848aeae1dda9c8226e4ba" }, { "row": 47, "col": 31, "lat": 35.0, "lon": -117.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 4.3, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.893, "b_trend": -0.0674, "ell_km": 2.4, "ell_trend": -0.28, "rate_acceleration": 1.63, "delta_aic_iet": 452.92, "S_over_Gamma": 12.951, "days_to_criticality": 19.5, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.9906, "grad_tau_local": 0.5011, "depth_trend": 0.2, "spatial_concentration": 78.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4185, "confidence_lo": 0.0364, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1aa668dd34cc88fcdc742f9ef88f3859d6ce0e6e9573d68968c13ec720b7da0c", "input_sha256": "7a2d43641c48dc92cd6f1fa17021f4ad997c043fc929e1cb265ce770553f5efb", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4185, "probability": 0.036446, "confidence_lo": 0.036411, "confidence_hi": 0.036447, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "4303e011399c9f9429fa5f26bec82767600211128d58f4a4d445bb6178a8274a" }, "receipt_sha256": "4303e011399c9f9429fa5f26bec82767600211128d58f4a4d445bb6178a8274a" }, { "row": 38, "col": 60, "lat": 17.0, "lon": -59.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.6, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 13.3, "ell_trend": -0.07, "rate_acceleration": 0.5, "delta_aic_iet": -2.21, "S_over_Gamma": 11.132, "days_to_criticality": 1120.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.9107, "grad_tau_local": 0.8935, "depth_trend": 1.85, "spatial_concentration": 58.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4123, "confidence_lo": 0.0364, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1aa668dd34cc88fcdc742f9ef88f3859d6ce0e6e9573d68968c13ec720b7da0c", "input_sha256": "627f3eaea9cbcfd775bee6253b56cef7cf00be084b22b1b421071a7313d71f25", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4123, "probability": 0.036446, "confidence_lo": 0.036411, "confidence_hi": 0.036447, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "3859bcc18aa48aef1518adb1941d9df885205a5fabf3dff0f1d798a755901470" }, "receipt_sha256": "3859bcc18aa48aef1518adb1941d9df885205a5fabf3dff0f1d798a755901470" }, { "row": 56, "col": 8, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -163.0, "n_events": 14, "max_mag": 2.9, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.75, "b_trend": 0.0336, "ell_km": 19.7, "ell_trend": -0.08, "rate_acceleration": 1.37, "delta_aic_iet": 960.9, "S_over_Gamma": 13.213, "days_to_criticality": 2096.3, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.7909, "grad_tau_local": 1.2084, "depth_trend": -3.08, "spatial_concentration": 69.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.41, "confidence_lo": 0.0364, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1aa668dd34cc88fcdc742f9ef88f3859d6ce0e6e9573d68968c13ec720b7da0c", "input_sha256": "bc4759e5c5ec0909aaf7186bed08bee9506eb79da72b64dc074ca5721a6539d6", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.41, "probability": 0.036446, "confidence_lo": 0.036411, "confidence_hi": 0.036447, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "179d5d5b43c358b3bf025ccffb2593ce14228c0bd052a7ba2714d902349ff838" }, "receipt_sha256": "179d5d5b43c358b3bf025ccffb2593ce14228c0bd052a7ba2714d902349ff838" }, { "row": 56, "col": 5, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -169.0, "n_events": 26, "max_mag": 4.0, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.642, "b_trend": 0.1485, "ell_km": 12.0, "ell_trend": -11.63, "rate_acceleration": 1.59, "delta_aic_iet": 859.93, "S_over_Gamma": 13.528, "days_to_criticality": 2097.0, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.4859, "grad_tau_local": 0.6363, "depth_trend": -0.23, "spatial_concentration": 77.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4048, "confidence_lo": 0.0364, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1aa668dd34cc88fcdc742f9ef88f3859d6ce0e6e9573d68968c13ec720b7da0c", "input_sha256": "63035ec16b23d69a00df10e8857696403cc840e307f18251cfb1ec832b8a1023", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4048, "probability": 0.036446, "confidence_lo": 0.036411, "confidence_hi": 0.036447, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "325f69f1dd2c0abcc9b6ecc8577d4c93d93e2d64deae4bb46e94864db442da7c" }, "receipt_sha256": "325f69f1dd2c0abcc9b6ecc8577d4c93d93e2d64deae4bb46e94864db442da7c" }, { "row": 46, "col": 32, "lat": 33.0, "lon": -115.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 3.0, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.841, "b_trend": -0.0516, "ell_km": 2.5, "ell_trend": -0.4, "rate_acceleration": 1.26, "delta_aic_iet": 365.55, "S_over_Gamma": 12.975, "days_to_criticality": 18.6, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.0014, "grad_tau_local": 1.0112, "depth_trend": -0.04, "spatial_concentration": 59.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3896, "confidence_lo": 0.0364, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1aa668dd34cc88fcdc742f9ef88f3859d6ce0e6e9573d68968c13ec720b7da0c", "input_sha256": "04f0405291acff3b697c45cb20cd989cb1115c8d1cb750965a0e33f6d1222f5f", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3896, "probability": 0.036446, "confidence_lo": 0.036411, "confidence_hi": 0.036447, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "45d0c398813f2c04e776e0c2aa34f758afaffa882ffb6a55b2db15d31b17776d" }, "receipt_sha256": "45d0c398813f2c04e776e0c2aa34f758afaffa882ffb6a55b2db15d31b17776d" }, { "row": 46, "col": 39, "lat": 33.0, "lon": -101.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 3.1, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 3.1, "ell_trend": 0.01, "rate_acceleration": 0.73, "delta_aic_iet": 177.78, "S_over_Gamma": 13.131, "days_to_criticality": 32.0, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.0663, "grad_tau_local": 1.0466, "depth_trend": -0.61, "spatial_concentration": 62.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3806, "confidence_lo": 0.0364, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1aa668dd34cc88fcdc742f9ef88f3859d6ce0e6e9573d68968c13ec720b7da0c", "input_sha256": "33fdf53dc64321a8506b5cfcda04d8dbb509d9860ddf9349c1c90673164399da", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3806, "probability": 0.036446, "confidence_lo": 0.036411, "confidence_hi": 0.036447, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ebccafe700faad4a7b02ec2e1b463ce3d0185c542ecff4942897674d6e797c94" }, "receipt_sha256": "ebccafe700faad4a7b02ec2e1b463ce3d0185c542ecff4942897674d6e797c94" }, { "row": 48, "col": 31, "lat": 37.0, "lon": -117.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 3.6, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.913, "b_trend": -0.0991, "ell_km": 1.9, "ell_trend": -0.09, "rate_acceleration": 1.18, "delta_aic_iet": 333.22, "S_over_Gamma": 12.744, "days_to_criticality": -12.0, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.0387, "grad_tau_local": 0.443, "depth_trend": -0.82, "spatial_concentration": 54.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3651, "confidence_lo": 0.0364, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1aa668dd34cc88fcdc742f9ef88f3859d6ce0e6e9573d68968c13ec720b7da0c", "input_sha256": "ceb22699449c36cbbf58e2dfd6146f0a360151f8336120cfab72a2172d0b1f58", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3651, "probability": 0.036446, "confidence_lo": 0.036411, "confidence_hi": 0.036447, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "13505de78f2071af79d84d15b920b51ff0b75116ce368c5137c6e40e2ef9f426" }, "receipt_sha256": "13505de78f2071af79d84d15b920b51ff0b75116ce368c5137c6e40e2ef9f426" }, { "row": 50, "col": 160, "lat": 41.0, "lon": 141.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.887, "b_trend": 0.0606, "ell_km": 34.4, "ell_trend": 2.36, "rate_acceleration": 1.43, "delta_aic_iet": 366.65, "S_over_Gamma": 15.05, "days_to_criticality": 43.5, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.0955, "grad_tau_local": 1.8155, "depth_trend": 6.05, "spatial_concentration": 54.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3579, "confidence_lo": 0.0364, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1aa668dd34cc88fcdc742f9ef88f3859d6ce0e6e9573d68968c13ec720b7da0c", "input_sha256": "0ce3e34bea6ed1c47da2f3f3543f28fa0e8cf552dde1a70750765960bd4b9fe2", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3579, "probability": 0.036446, "confidence_lo": 0.036411, "confidence_hi": 0.036447, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "6a6df6974475ca1230625d30b80a1ea268ecdc46bf3efa0d33a2adaae86a9f62" }, "receipt_sha256": "6a6df6974475ca1230625d30b80a1ea268ecdc46bf3efa0d33a2adaae86a9f62" }, { "row": 57, "col": 8, "lat": 55.0, "lon": -163.0, "n_events": 23, "max_mag": 5.4, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.758, "b_trend": 0.0464, "ell_km": 19.7, "ell_trend": -0.16, "rate_acceleration": 1.28, "delta_aic_iet": 980.47, "S_over_Gamma": 13.044, "days_to_criticality": 2096.3, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.9248, "grad_tau_local": 1.2198, "depth_trend": -1.25, "spatial_concentration": 61.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3573, "confidence_lo": 0.0364, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1aa668dd34cc88fcdc742f9ef88f3859d6ce0e6e9573d68968c13ec720b7da0c", "input_sha256": "1b92409200cb0618a16fa675d1e65ab122cb2258dc7081c9842c08577ed1b52b", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3573, "probability": 0.036446, "confidence_lo": 0.036411, "confidence_hi": 0.036447, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "5846fe93f8dcfbb78f71da6c6c1d57a36f82b00842c65022ff39ec0a28b0ffe5" }, "receipt_sha256": "5846fe93f8dcfbb78f71da6c6c1d57a36f82b00842c65022ff39ec0a28b0ffe5" }, { "row": 56, "col": 170, "lat": 53.0, "lon": 161.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 4.3, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.144, "b_trend": 0.0083, "ell_km": 68.4, "ell_trend": -6.04, "rate_acceleration": 0.13, "delta_aic_iet": -775.68, "S_over_Gamma": 15.462, "days_to_criticality": 2097.3, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 11.823, "grad_tau_local": 2.2199, "depth_trend": 6.23, "spatial_concentration": 48.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3364, "confidence_lo": 0.0364, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1aa668dd34cc88fcdc742f9ef88f3859d6ce0e6e9573d68968c13ec720b7da0c", "input_sha256": "9ad7e1c0480a288617bac2bccce99ab846899fd5f6fbc7ac6acaa8594e053fd1", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3364, "probability": 0.036446, "confidence_lo": 0.036411, "confidence_hi": 0.036447, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "31ca42ee16bf77ede34fc968a6d03e0fd3a8cabd1c9653b5d25ee1151f840375" }, "receipt_sha256": "31ca42ee16bf77ede34fc968a6d03e0fd3a8cabd1c9653b5d25ee1151f840375" }, { "row": 55, "col": 169, "lat": 51.0, "lon": 159.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 5.3, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.148, "b_trend": -0.0013, "ell_km": 78.6, "ell_trend": -7.22, "rate_acceleration": 0.13, "delta_aic_iet": -947.0, "S_over_Gamma": 15.712, "days_to_criticality": 2098.1, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 12.8554, "grad_tau_local": 0.4968, "depth_trend": 7.59, "spatial_concentration": 81.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3215, "confidence_lo": 0.0364, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1aa668dd34cc88fcdc742f9ef88f3859d6ce0e6e9573d68968c13ec720b7da0c", "input_sha256": "c3dc860625f6d668b6f1b53b29f41fb753785d9bd25da4ddcca740638ced4bd5", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3215, "probability": 0.036446, "confidence_lo": 0.036411, "confidence_hi": 0.036447, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "27d2eff08936e11dea905dea362b86d64a627f6c62debd589285af0b1ee014ca" }, "receipt_sha256": "27d2eff08936e11dea905dea362b86d64a627f6c62debd589285af0b1ee014ca" }, { "row": 50, "col": 161, "lat": 41.0, "lon": 143.0, "n_events": 21, "max_mag": 6.9, "probability": 0.0364, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.929, "b_trend": 0.0756, "ell_km": 34.9, "ell_trend": 2.35, "rate_acceleration": 1.39, "delta_aic_iet": 467.0, "S_over_Gamma": 15.523, "days_to_criticality": 43.8, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.724, "grad_tau_local": 1.05, "depth_trend": 6.8, "spatial_concentration": 70.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3177, "confidence_lo": 0.0364, "confidence_hi": 0.0364, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "1aa668dd34cc88fcdc742f9ef88f3859d6ce0e6e9573d68968c13ec720b7da0c", "input_sha256": "f74505b5aff806de838a7da512a4796092d6cfc686c53e25234eb2216d694c24", "issued_at": "2026-07-22T18:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3177, "probability": 0.036446, "confidence_lo": 0.036411, "confidence_hi": 0.036447, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "5b53327b2dd8f4660cf6f6b0ae81d72019675ce90b3a4403ec1aa79bd00fdca4" }, "receipt_sha256": "5b53327b2dd8f4660cf6f6b0ae81d72019675ce90b3a4403ec1aa79bd00fdca4" } ] }