{ "forecast_id": "eq_fcst_20260725_0100", "hazard": "earthquake", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "forecast_horizon_days": 30, "target_magnitude_min": 6.0, "feature_history_days": 400, "recent_activity_days": 30, "min_events_per_active_cell": 5, "forecast_domain": { "name": "global_2deg_grid", "lat_min": -60.0, "lat_max": 70.0, "lon_min": -180.0, "lon_max": 180.0, "dlat": 2.0, "dlon": 2.0, "n_lat": 65, "n_lon": 180, "default_probability": 0.0 }, "source_catalog": { "provider": "USGS FDSNWS", "min_magnitude": 2.5, "window_start": "2025-06-20T01:00:00Z", "window_end": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "n_events": 32808, "n_recent_events": 1945 }, "n_active_cells": 85, "top_probability": 0.0368, "active_cells": [ { "row": 37, "col": 43, "lat": 15.0, "lon": -93.0, "n_events": 79, "max_mag": 7.3, "probability": 0.0368, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.858, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 40.5, "ell_trend": 1.64, "rate_acceleration": 2.9, "delta_aic_iet": 210.67, "S_over_Gamma": 15.806, "days_to_criticality": 92.6, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.4199, "grad_tau_local": 0.2844, "depth_trend": -21.37, "spatial_concentration": 94.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.8606, "confidence_lo": 0.0368, "confidence_hi": 0.0368, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2f928b3fc76bd5df10744aa8ab4fa12fd42bb7f3467526b20bbebbabc4f4add6", "input_sha256": "376ff6bbce5835a85d376a8b03ca785c222d8248dbcfe07c9bc14570b2de077e", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.8606, "probability": 0.036822, "confidence_lo": 0.036788, "confidence_hi": 0.036824, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "0dd872fc910bcce9db5a111321637782c0f4949bbcd32e149c905a858fbe853e" }, "receipt_sha256": "0dd872fc910bcce9db5a111321637782c0f4949bbcd32e149c905a858fbe853e" }, { "row": 23, "col": 82, "lat": -13.0, "lon": -15.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 5.3, "probability": 0.0368, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 13.8, "ell_trend": null, "rate_acceleration": 6.0, "delta_aic_iet": null, "S_over_Gamma": 10.655, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.3, "grad_tau_local": 0.103, "depth_trend": 0.21, "spatial_concentration": 47.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7826, "confidence_lo": 0.0368, "confidence_hi": 0.0368, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2f928b3fc76bd5df10744aa8ab4fa12fd42bb7f3467526b20bbebbabc4f4add6", "input_sha256": "d1c2b22dd358413ae7128799f6b3c4852c46b563a989ebd6c9263b1b94a80fd8", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7826, "probability": 0.036822, "confidence_lo": 0.036788, "confidence_hi": 0.036824, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "9c5be156eb315b8e26b781dc6db5cbd2cc3f09e4275ca5cd5fd3a03fd8588e41" }, "receipt_sha256": "9c5be156eb315b8e26b781dc6db5cbd2cc3f09e4275ca5cd5fd3a03fd8588e41" }, { "row": 42, "col": 35, "lat": 25.0, "lon": -109.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 6.0, "probability": 0.0368, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 19.6, "ell_trend": null, "rate_acceleration": 3.0, "delta_aic_iet": null, "S_over_Gamma": 13.294, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.1866, "grad_tau_local": 0.4113, "depth_trend": 0.0, "spatial_concentration": 72.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7612, "confidence_lo": 0.0368, "confidence_hi": 0.0368, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2f928b3fc76bd5df10744aa8ab4fa12fd42bb7f3467526b20bbebbabc4f4add6", "input_sha256": "8b6b07e267d1824ba3914e39f32bdefb041300e2938b95891a836c1018827dc4", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7612, "probability": 0.036822, "confidence_lo": 0.036788, "confidence_hi": 0.036824, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "6ddc4a30f430ff4f1176e6d88b5ff5e6c17570bbbe19c7fe9d46ba649736a264" }, "receipt_sha256": "6ddc4a30f430ff4f1176e6d88b5ff5e6c17570bbbe19c7fe9d46ba649736a264" }, { "row": 28, "col": 159, "lat": -3.0, "lon": 139.0, "n_events": 12, "max_mag": 5.4, "probability": 0.0368, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.107, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 27.3, "ell_trend": 1.25, "rate_acceleration": 0.65, "delta_aic_iet": 133.71, "S_over_Gamma": 15.447, "days_to_criticality": 111.8, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.9399, "grad_tau_local": 0.2172, "depth_trend": -2.32, "spatial_concentration": 75.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7372, "confidence_lo": 0.0368, "confidence_hi": 0.0368, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2f928b3fc76bd5df10744aa8ab4fa12fd42bb7f3467526b20bbebbabc4f4add6", "input_sha256": "4455a0c8086520d40023453587eab390d2bf1f31c19aa7545aa9bcea4910f3c1", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7372, "probability": 0.036822, "confidence_lo": 0.036788, "confidence_hi": 0.036824, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "943f15f43e0f611934abb41c292aac21c67e9a696e5fe41c36039fc52c433a17" }, "receipt_sha256": "943f15f43e0f611934abb41c292aac21c67e9a696e5fe41c36039fc52c433a17" }, { "row": 45, "col": 124, "lat": 31.0, "lon": 69.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.3, "probability": 0.0368, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 49.2, "ell_trend": null, "rate_acceleration": 1.71, "delta_aic_iet": 22.76, "S_over_Gamma": 13.962, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 1.9339, "grad_tau_local": 0.4684, "depth_trend": -2.5, "spatial_concentration": 83.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7316, "confidence_lo": 0.0368, "confidence_hi": 0.0368, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2f928b3fc76bd5df10744aa8ab4fa12fd42bb7f3467526b20bbebbabc4f4add6", "input_sha256": "328b8f81fd5ac126be31bcf5e185ea195530f1fc0ac4517ebd9550e06788a616", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7316, "probability": 0.036822, "confidence_lo": 0.036788, "confidence_hi": 0.036824, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "9502a42d4e2b309595ffcecb5b49ed831be3e7792c9dc3da57dfeb10d64d3cdc" }, "receipt_sha256": "9502a42d4e2b309595ffcecb5b49ed831be3e7792c9dc3da57dfeb10d64d3cdc" }, { "row": 55, "col": 3, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -173.0, "n_events": 21, "max_mag": 5.1, "probability": 0.0368, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.624, "b_trend": 0.1219, "ell_km": 13.6, "ell_trend": -5.73, "rate_acceleration": 1.35, "delta_aic_iet": 954.3, "S_over_Gamma": 13.933, "days_to_criticality": 2099.0, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.2501, "grad_tau_local": 0.8629, "depth_trend": -2.02, "spatial_concentration": 69.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6889, "confidence_lo": 0.0368, "confidence_hi": 0.0368, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2f928b3fc76bd5df10744aa8ab4fa12fd42bb7f3467526b20bbebbabc4f4add6", "input_sha256": "8df5bdaf095943a221e1b2a081ce9ed80b37f8023c35c45065ce1933c257e785", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6889, "probability": 0.036822, "confidence_lo": 0.036788, "confidence_hi": 0.036824, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "1971a1b72f49e53c1f6a30a49054a0f29b967a666ca1a8fcf25d04e046f44732" }, "receipt_sha256": "1971a1b72f49e53c1f6a30a49054a0f29b967a666ca1a8fcf25d04e046f44732" }, { "row": 36, "col": 43, "lat": 13.0, "lon": -93.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.9, "probability": 0.0368, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.018, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 40.8, "ell_trend": 1.2, "rate_acceleration": 3.33, "delta_aic_iet": 150.96, "S_over_Gamma": 16.149, "days_to_criticality": 288.0, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.6059, "grad_tau_local": 1.1159, "depth_trend": -8.63, "spatial_concentration": 68.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6881, "confidence_lo": 0.0368, "confidence_hi": 0.0368, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2f928b3fc76bd5df10744aa8ab4fa12fd42bb7f3467526b20bbebbabc4f4add6", "input_sha256": "ccbdb9a7a4c7952b01a186158bea61b5323b6cf33081517e1c1565fed48aaaa4", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6881, "probability": 0.036822, "confidence_lo": 0.036788, "confidence_hi": 0.036824, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "22d6e88fef70a9183959b4ac0df94b92b0c205c0a178b9094351eed1252067a7" }, "receipt_sha256": "22d6e88fef70a9183959b4ac0df94b92b0c205c0a178b9094351eed1252067a7" }, { "row": 39, "col": 56, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -67.0, "n_events": 40, "max_mag": 4.8, "probability": 0.0368, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.23, "b_trend": -0.0456, "ell_km": 34.8, "ell_trend": -2.05, "rate_acceleration": 1.14, "delta_aic_iet": 1357.13, "S_over_Gamma": 13.708, "days_to_criticality": 2100.0, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.5865, "grad_tau_local": 1.3861, "depth_trend": -5.17, "spatial_concentration": 63.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6847, "confidence_lo": 0.0368, "confidence_hi": 0.0368, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2f928b3fc76bd5df10744aa8ab4fa12fd42bb7f3467526b20bbebbabc4f4add6", "input_sha256": "b27aeea52a620f872ce1e098cbc368b748d4263d557226e4c4736f9bfe372641", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6847, "probability": 0.036822, "confidence_lo": 0.036788, "confidence_hi": 0.036824, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "d2286e0deb92c951d8232c3fc4c0c2843a3c4c1ed17dd4c356f96300187a535d" }, "receipt_sha256": "d2286e0deb92c951d8232c3fc4c0c2843a3c4c1ed17dd4c356f96300187a535d" }, { "row": 56, "col": 6, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -167.0, "n_events": 16, "max_mag": 4.5, "probability": 0.0368, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.662, "b_trend": 0.1239, "ell_km": 12.7, "ell_trend": -1.96, "rate_acceleration": 1.53, "delta_aic_iet": 939.51, "S_over_Gamma": 13.122, "days_to_criticality": 2098.7, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.085, "grad_tau_local": 0.1374, "depth_trend": 2.31, "spatial_concentration": 68.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6831, "confidence_lo": 0.0368, "confidence_hi": 0.0368, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2f928b3fc76bd5df10744aa8ab4fa12fd42bb7f3467526b20bbebbabc4f4add6", "input_sha256": "6b488f79926f76883d7ba1d13660e188f11fbb2b338383b52472994f64410a63", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6831, "probability": 0.036822, "confidence_lo": 0.036788, "confidence_hi": 0.036824, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "39f2c9334d13b6b91102444f89db9e910f95cc64258e07ed3e3b959dba91210b" }, "receipt_sha256": "39f2c9334d13b6b91102444f89db9e910f95cc64258e07ed3e3b959dba91210b" }, { "row": 13, "col": 0, "lat": -33.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 5.2, "probability": 0.0368, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.353, "b_trend": -0.0167, "ell_km": 66.7, "ell_trend": -15.55, "rate_acceleration": 0.61, "delta_aic_iet": 235.22, "S_over_Gamma": 15.611, "days_to_criticality": 2097.7, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 0.7136, "depth_trend": -15.79, "spatial_concentration": 66.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6829, "confidence_lo": 0.0368, "confidence_hi": 0.0368, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2f928b3fc76bd5df10744aa8ab4fa12fd42bb7f3467526b20bbebbabc4f4add6", "input_sha256": "954f0e789749102b039728b310d4bd1394f206429fa53917fa9d08bb4143fa32", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6829, "probability": 0.036822, "confidence_lo": 0.036788, "confidence_hi": 0.036824, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "8f67055de14ee6aa364bcce408b412dee4787f756c7f3d01aab627e6d54b25cf" }, "receipt_sha256": "8f67055de14ee6aa364bcce408b412dee4787f756c7f3d01aab627e6d54b25cf" }, { "row": 55, "col": 0, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 34, "max_mag": 4.3, "probability": 0.0368, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.612, "b_trend": 0.0829, "ell_km": 74.5, "ell_trend": -0.49, "rate_acceleration": 1.9, "delta_aic_iet": 761.09, "S_over_Gamma": 13.548, "days_to_criticality": 2099.0, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 4.9545, "depth_trend": -10.38, "spatial_concentration": 117.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6737, "confidence_lo": 0.0368, "confidence_hi": 0.0368, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2f928b3fc76bd5df10744aa8ab4fa12fd42bb7f3467526b20bbebbabc4f4add6", "input_sha256": "6b622ecf957206394e7f340e18554dd297a9ecd50eddcd88e1240376b65393b6", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6737, "probability": 0.036822, "confidence_lo": 0.036788, "confidence_hi": 0.036824, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "11ac49669e8a6d1e209b5cf4de836ab295b310b3c00b8f716b20fb1b34cd75e0" }, "receipt_sha256": "11ac49669e8a6d1e209b5cf4de836ab295b310b3c00b8f716b20fb1b34cd75e0" }, { "row": 0, "col": 76, "lat": -59.0, "lon": -27.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.4, "probability": 0.0368, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.093, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 62.3, "ell_trend": -1.69, "rate_acceleration": 0.88, "delta_aic_iet": 152.63, "S_over_Gamma": 16.334, "days_to_criticality": 2099.0, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 1.0803, "depth_trend": 1.47, "spatial_concentration": 75.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6736, "confidence_lo": 0.0368, "confidence_hi": 0.0368, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2f928b3fc76bd5df10744aa8ab4fa12fd42bb7f3467526b20bbebbabc4f4add6", "input_sha256": "b32ee6593fc61af5a70e5ef35e875a251076a0f3aa2c351643005a253fc09b74", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6736, "probability": 0.036822, "confidence_lo": 0.036788, "confidence_hi": 0.036824, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "0a3f0df6cee71306df1fb8139b2a23ccec1e8a302db088e1e27a4ab71f8bc73e" }, "receipt_sha256": "0a3f0df6cee71306df1fb8139b2a23ccec1e8a302db088e1e27a4ab71f8bc73e" }, { "row": 15, "col": 1, "lat": -29.0, "lon": -177.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 5.6, "probability": 0.0368, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.132, "b_trend": -0.1132, "ell_km": 106.4, "ell_trend": -0.79, "rate_acceleration": 0.73, "delta_aic_iet": 144.87, "S_over_Gamma": 16.289, "days_to_criticality": 19.6, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 1.3691, "grad_tau_local": 0.589, "depth_trend": 7.49, "spatial_concentration": 80.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6732, "confidence_lo": 0.0368, "confidence_hi": 0.0368, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2f928b3fc76bd5df10744aa8ab4fa12fd42bb7f3467526b20bbebbabc4f4add6", "input_sha256": "d7de382ae36004a7d2c954c3b77a973c68ad20177aa38b71545780fca5a1cc5c", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6732, "probability": 0.036822, "confidence_lo": 0.036788, "confidence_hi": 0.036824, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "6f74c1856c6d21cfe73838a3b85e1c601c8ed8b49fd7167818199e906a5bf0f5" }, "receipt_sha256": "6f74c1856c6d21cfe73838a3b85e1c601c8ed8b49fd7167818199e906a5bf0f5" }, { "row": 48, "col": 125, "lat": 37.0, "lon": 71.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 6.1, "probability": 0.0368, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.061, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 27.7, "ell_trend": 6.88, "rate_acceleration": 0.67, "delta_aic_iet": 238.27, "S_over_Gamma": 15.567, "days_to_criticality": 30.4, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.1259, "grad_tau_local": 0.3159, "depth_trend": 43.43, "spatial_concentration": 88.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6728, "confidence_lo": 0.0368, "confidence_hi": 0.0368, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2f928b3fc76bd5df10744aa8ab4fa12fd42bb7f3467526b20bbebbabc4f4add6", "input_sha256": "103ded84a1f29ee158c58503c0195c0f41f4297ca7a26845ed9e5c6d053bd9b0", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6728, "probability": 0.036822, "confidence_lo": 0.036788, "confidence_hi": 0.036824, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "3718ee2ad6a98db48451ede3647acfcc6308b506c456d7cf606c99b6297e2f1d" }, "receipt_sha256": "3718ee2ad6a98db48451ede3647acfcc6308b506c456d7cf606c99b6297e2f1d" }, { "row": 51, "col": 26, "lat": 43.0, "lon": -127.0, "n_events": 13, "max_mag": 5.5, "probability": 0.0368, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.495, "b_trend": 0.0879, "ell_km": 26.7, "ell_trend": 5.22, "rate_acceleration": 0.93, "delta_aic_iet": 202.1, "S_over_Gamma": 13.968, "days_to_criticality": 29.4, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.1811, "grad_tau_local": 0.9543, "depth_trend": 0.56, "spatial_concentration": 82.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.669, "confidence_lo": 0.0368, "confidence_hi": 0.0368, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2f928b3fc76bd5df10744aa8ab4fa12fd42bb7f3467526b20bbebbabc4f4add6", "input_sha256": "077fa7174e3be4156344ce9a83b632b363655ac5c4aa734656c757bd61043cfd", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.669, "probability": 0.036822, "confidence_lo": 0.036788, "confidence_hi": 0.036824, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "5deef8682712b4139c15dfeb1a784f645a0b0100c8274ba289c708cc4caf14c0" }, "receipt_sha256": "5deef8682712b4139c15dfeb1a784f645a0b0100c8274ba289c708cc4caf14c0" }, { "row": 39, "col": 12, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -155.0, "n_events": 25, "max_mag": 3.6, "probability": 0.0368, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.893, "b_trend": -0.029, "ell_km": 5.1, "ell_trend": 0.31, "rate_acceleration": 1.49, "delta_aic_iet": 224.17, "S_over_Gamma": 13.504, "days_to_criticality": 155.3, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.3583, "grad_tau_local": 0.2137, "depth_trend": -2.92, "spatial_concentration": 33.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6686, "confidence_lo": 0.0368, "confidence_hi": 0.0368, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2f928b3fc76bd5df10744aa8ab4fa12fd42bb7f3467526b20bbebbabc4f4add6", "input_sha256": "1f3a1c585595318bf66137ebb746805791707392f88a467d1b0eb54a2a458e96", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6686, "probability": 0.036822, "confidence_lo": 0.036788, "confidence_hi": 0.036824, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f27e3d5da70fc12386a4585891f694f37eae1b8eea90b305412869b6b9b083ed" }, "receipt_sha256": "f27e3d5da70fc12386a4585891f694f37eae1b8eea90b305412869b6b9b083ed" }, { "row": 56, "col": 4, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -171.0, "n_events": 16, "max_mag": 4.9, "probability": 0.0368, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.633, "b_trend": 0.1272, "ell_km": 12.7, "ell_trend": -9.75, "rate_acceleration": 1.34, "delta_aic_iet": 796.24, "S_over_Gamma": 13.791, "days_to_criticality": 2098.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.0756, "grad_tau_local": 1.4702, "depth_trend": 0.39, "spatial_concentration": 88.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6676, "confidence_lo": 0.0368, "confidence_hi": 0.0368, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2f928b3fc76bd5df10744aa8ab4fa12fd42bb7f3467526b20bbebbabc4f4add6", "input_sha256": "602a59303f21c5723f01973cd3cc79c3cbf9645d5346fc321ba52721ed5f15a5", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6676, "probability": 0.036822, "confidence_lo": 0.036788, "confidence_hi": 0.036824, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "4107f291a1cddfa11dfeb6736e0e8976bcb8bb4952e1b46f19d201ae89dc3c66" }, "receipt_sha256": "4107f291a1cddfa11dfeb6736e0e8976bcb8bb4952e1b46f19d201ae89dc3c66" }, { "row": 18, "col": 55, "lat": -23.0, "lon": -69.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 4.8, "probability": 0.0368, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.155, "b_trend": 0.3729, "ell_km": 39.1, "ell_trend": 1.23, "rate_acceleration": 1.09, "delta_aic_iet": 299.89, "S_over_Gamma": 15.774, "days_to_criticality": 222.6, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.4853, "grad_tau_local": 0.5795, "depth_trend": 5.86, "spatial_concentration": 62.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6656, "confidence_lo": 0.0368, "confidence_hi": 0.0368, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2f928b3fc76bd5df10744aa8ab4fa12fd42bb7f3467526b20bbebbabc4f4add6", "input_sha256": "59a5fb5f42089fe1b1374dc6304503605b513a9779d0e2f4c17380ed62be71e5", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6656, "probability": 0.036822, "confidence_lo": 0.036788, "confidence_hi": 0.036824, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "e2a39149d80d47ddbec20275f47103ae38344f98bb1f1bde7061e0e780dfc614" }, "receipt_sha256": "e2a39149d80d47ddbec20275f47103ae38344f98bb1f1bde7061e0e780dfc614" }, { "row": 38, "col": 55, "lat": 17.0, "lon": -69.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.0368, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.674, "b_trend": 0.0153, "ell_km": 14.9, "ell_trend": -0.99, "rate_acceleration": 1.16, "delta_aic_iet": 548.85, "S_over_Gamma": 14.51, "days_to_criticality": 21.0, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.5497, "grad_tau_local": 2.0421, "depth_trend": -3.73, "spatial_concentration": 37.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6651, "confidence_lo": 0.0368, "confidence_hi": 0.0368, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2f928b3fc76bd5df10744aa8ab4fa12fd42bb7f3467526b20bbebbabc4f4add6", "input_sha256": "f32412670f5c82024f59804082fea1f776cbb4280ff150a294d888f8b07e1186", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6651, "probability": 0.036822, "confidence_lo": 0.036788, "confidence_hi": 0.036824, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "67e9a5bd6e0e711c580c914f85a1e1960bcf08af380dc43fb56ea0e3c2cac1df" }, "receipt_sha256": "67e9a5bd6e0e711c580c914f85a1e1960bcf08af380dc43fb56ea0e3c2cac1df" }, { "row": 56, "col": 3, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -173.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 3.8, "probability": 0.0368, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.618, "b_trend": 0.1099, "ell_km": 13.3, "ell_trend": -7.87, "rate_acceleration": 1.35, "delta_aic_iet": 851.8, "S_over_Gamma": 13.882, "days_to_criticality": 2099.0, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.8781, "grad_tau_local": 1.5624, "depth_trend": -1.96, "spatial_concentration": 64.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6617, "confidence_lo": 0.0368, "confidence_hi": 0.0368, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2f928b3fc76bd5df10744aa8ab4fa12fd42bb7f3467526b20bbebbabc4f4add6", "input_sha256": "187aebaf2e1c511f19d34d5ecb8a47699ca1c930c5bf2629df6ebdf1790fde3c", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6617, "probability": 0.036822, "confidence_lo": 0.036788, "confidence_hi": 0.036824, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "da6c5b57c9edc7bd527aca893402134945ea2de454000de3d6fc1fd748862301" }, "receipt_sha256": "da6c5b57c9edc7bd527aca893402134945ea2de454000de3d6fc1fd748862301" }, { "row": 58, "col": 12, "lat": 57.0, "lon": -155.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 3.8, "probability": 0.0368, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.807, "b_trend": 0.0444, "ell_km": 123.4, "ell_trend": 15.73, "rate_acceleration": 0.87, "delta_aic_iet": 507.64, "S_over_Gamma": 12.91, "days_to_criticality": 35.4, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.9397, "grad_tau_local": 0.4255, "depth_trend": 1.87, "spatial_concentration": 75.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6599, "confidence_lo": 0.0368, "confidence_hi": 0.0368, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2f928b3fc76bd5df10744aa8ab4fa12fd42bb7f3467526b20bbebbabc4f4add6", "input_sha256": "3ad518f06a8eeb832d9d208ead8d03918063f4eae2a76871fc4181c9a6c09ae9", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6599, "probability": 0.036822, "confidence_lo": 0.036788, "confidence_hi": 0.036824, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "be0602d7e1a89303f7138f720a845c157efce3bfedac360190c600b6c7e50759" }, "receipt_sha256": "be0602d7e1a89303f7138f720a845c157efce3bfedac360190c600b6c7e50759" }, { "row": 39, "col": 57, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -65.0, "n_events": 56, "max_mag": 4.4, "probability": 0.0368, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.219, "b_trend": 0.1453, "ell_km": 33.2, "ell_trend": -0.02, "rate_acceleration": 1.2, "delta_aic_iet": 1230.91, "S_over_Gamma": 14.021, "days_to_criticality": -0.0, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.7542, "grad_tau_local": 1.6405, "depth_trend": -2.06, "spatial_concentration": 47.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6594, "confidence_lo": 0.0368, "confidence_hi": 0.0368, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2f928b3fc76bd5df10744aa8ab4fa12fd42bb7f3467526b20bbebbabc4f4add6", "input_sha256": "e5003643a3e46d5d407129c275f8cd48d9116fdc99bb864a3d7053d2732b638e", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6594, "probability": 0.036822, "confidence_lo": 0.036788, "confidence_hi": 0.036824, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "b802c3b244fbd2f150715a14abb108cd56dc8a15979aaa4bce6a6cb209413603" }, "receipt_sha256": "b802c3b244fbd2f150715a14abb108cd56dc8a15979aaa4bce6a6cb209413603" }, { "row": 55, "col": 179, "lat": 51.0, "lon": 179.0, "n_events": 29, "max_mag": 3.8, "probability": 0.0368, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.53, "b_trend": -0.0219, "ell_km": 13.1, "ell_trend": -9.02, "rate_acceleration": 2.25, "delta_aic_iet": 698.76, "S_over_Gamma": 13.611, "days_to_criticality": 2099.4, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 3.4482, "depth_trend": -10.78, "spatial_concentration": 100.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6592, "confidence_lo": 0.0368, "confidence_hi": 0.0368, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2f928b3fc76bd5df10744aa8ab4fa12fd42bb7f3467526b20bbebbabc4f4add6", "input_sha256": "8c7636c9b0165ec6651254fccbd37afcf767e653625e3f0a3498d9ffe35f55e0", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6592, "probability": 0.036822, "confidence_lo": 0.036788, "confidence_hi": 0.036824, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "0cfae18be9164f20f79110c955aae2a7e6ca2a3725487548959f3b47f816c1f0" }, "receipt_sha256": "0cfae18be9164f20f79110c955aae2a7e6ca2a3725487548959f3b47f816c1f0" }, { "row": 55, "col": 1, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -177.0, "n_events": 50, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.0368, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.641, "b_trend": 0.0771, "ell_km": 83.9, "ell_trend": -0.59, "rate_acceleration": 2.01, "delta_aic_iet": 797.73, "S_over_Gamma": 13.492, "days_to_criticality": 2099.0, "conditions_met": 4, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.9545, "grad_tau_local": 3.002, "depth_trend": -9.36, "spatial_concentration": 153.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6584, "confidence_lo": 0.0368, "confidence_hi": 0.0368, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2f928b3fc76bd5df10744aa8ab4fa12fd42bb7f3467526b20bbebbabc4f4add6", "input_sha256": "e19fdbf6c8b235e0b8166ea7401d4b0c809504af1ce6ca7b28653b26fe346dc7", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6584, "probability": 0.036822, "confidence_lo": 0.036788, "confidence_hi": 0.036824, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "da0794e834b9750c248e8fddea6386e77c94699e786803d09a4aef1b58efdd79" }, "receipt_sha256": "da0794e834b9750c248e8fddea6386e77c94699e786803d09a4aef1b58efdd79" }, { "row": 55, "col": 2, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -175.0, "n_events": 33, "max_mag": 4.0, "probability": 0.0368, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.641, "b_trend": 0.0694, "ell_km": 76.8, "ell_trend": -0.27, "rate_acceleration": 1.99, "delta_aic_iet": 721.68, "S_over_Gamma": 13.291, "days_to_criticality": -0.2, "conditions_met": 4, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.9893, "grad_tau_local": 0.8259, "depth_trend": -9.54, "spatial_concentration": 77.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6571, "confidence_lo": 0.0368, "confidence_hi": 0.0368, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2f928b3fc76bd5df10744aa8ab4fa12fd42bb7f3467526b20bbebbabc4f4add6", "input_sha256": "d5cc7ed12de63ed31c3ff43a11dd0cc056938b40d50d8707aad8510435b8c8e7", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6571, "probability": 0.036822, "confidence_lo": 0.036788, "confidence_hi": 0.036824, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "683a4181a29c9bcc8b1a74830c16b78d4ac4e7ac67f7b559e4ff4eb392cf24be" }, "receipt_sha256": "683a4181a29c9bcc8b1a74830c16b78d4ac4e7ac67f7b559e4ff4eb392cf24be" }, { "row": 19, "col": 174, "lat": -21.0, "lon": 169.0, "n_events": 12, "max_mag": 5.8, "probability": 0.0368, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 95.9, "ell_trend": 0.05, "rate_acceleration": 1.53, "delta_aic_iet": 159.63, "S_over_Gamma": 16.405, "days_to_criticality": -1.5, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.2237, "grad_tau_local": 0.6917, "depth_trend": -14.76, "spatial_concentration": 71.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6549, "confidence_lo": 0.0368, "confidence_hi": 0.0368, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2f928b3fc76bd5df10744aa8ab4fa12fd42bb7f3467526b20bbebbabc4f4add6", "input_sha256": "19daabe05a2d9aec9ca442eaba321e4d9294313752858ac5d8a0ae4e05cbc0bd", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6549, "probability": 0.036822, "confidence_lo": 0.036788, "confidence_hi": 0.036824, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f00fddd8229643035b1a9aabd28bdee91b4adb7ab70f279dcdbb3669994640cb" }, "receipt_sha256": "f00fddd8229643035b1a9aabd28bdee91b4adb7ab70f279dcdbb3669994640cb" }, { "row": 39, "col": 55, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -69.0, "n_events": 11, "max_mag": 4.0, "probability": 0.0368, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.091, "b_trend": 0.1185, "ell_km": 15.7, "ell_trend": -0.9, "rate_acceleration": 1.04, "delta_aic_iet": 735.18, "S_over_Gamma": 14.222, "days_to_criticality": 21.0, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.5664, "grad_tau_local": 2.2783, "depth_trend": -1.87, "spatial_concentration": 43.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6521, "confidence_lo": 0.0368, "confidence_hi": 0.0368, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2f928b3fc76bd5df10744aa8ab4fa12fd42bb7f3467526b20bbebbabc4f4add6", "input_sha256": "514cafb75db20cc61eb4f9ca696c1c2bfb56f9bda92dc8b27e643f1fd0263084", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6521, "probability": 0.036822, "confidence_lo": 0.036788, "confidence_hi": 0.036824, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "72e5b313bbeb46c2b897a43f43d7955579ae9598b35f1932dad94116d83a300a" }, "receipt_sha256": "72e5b313bbeb46c2b897a43f43d7955579ae9598b35f1932dad94116d83a300a" }, { "row": 38, "col": 56, "lat": 17.0, "lon": -67.0, "n_events": 29, "max_mag": 3.9, "probability": 0.0368, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.239, "b_trend": 0.1254, "ell_km": 18.5, "ell_trend": -1.49, "rate_acceleration": 1.25, "delta_aic_iet": 921.7, "S_over_Gamma": 13.263, "days_to_criticality": 2100.0, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.9604, "grad_tau_local": 2.087, "depth_trend": -4.27, "spatial_concentration": 57.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6469, "confidence_lo": 0.0368, "confidence_hi": 0.0368, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2f928b3fc76bd5df10744aa8ab4fa12fd42bb7f3467526b20bbebbabc4f4add6", "input_sha256": "c2508176a66554e28748db9a83dd3fc6efb0ae668ce5afb77360dae2c0ce00e3", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6469, "probability": 0.036822, "confidence_lo": 0.036788, "confidence_hi": 0.036824, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "a380049fd05856afec1d777aaf9a0b34dcc4009f8cc59d15dc8994ea0f4e2649" }, "receipt_sha256": "a380049fd05856afec1d777aaf9a0b34dcc4009f8cc59d15dc8994ea0f4e2649" }, { "row": 44, "col": 142, "lat": 29.0, "lon": 105.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 5.2, "probability": 0.0368, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 9.8, "ell_trend": -3.68, "rate_acceleration": 1.8, "delta_aic_iet": 47.74, "S_over_Gamma": 13.588, "days_to_criticality": 6.0, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 1.5712, "grad_tau_local": 0.1735, "depth_trend": 2.89, "spatial_concentration": 72.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6449, "confidence_lo": 0.0368, "confidence_hi": 0.0368, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2f928b3fc76bd5df10744aa8ab4fa12fd42bb7f3467526b20bbebbabc4f4add6", "input_sha256": "7b8abad24d3676076ec2e313288668fab1b7468f6bdf30a688d4737788fdfe51", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6449, "probability": 0.036822, "confidence_lo": 0.036788, "confidence_hi": 0.036824, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "d1d8497f2dbebf3a117e3a31c5ae4a8401e630e6dc815bbeb03b5693b6691da5" }, "receipt_sha256": "d1d8497f2dbebf3a117e3a31c5ae4a8401e630e6dc815bbeb03b5693b6691da5" }, { "row": 35, "col": 56, "lat": 11.0, "lon": -67.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 4.8, "probability": 0.0368, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 32.1, "ell_trend": null, "rate_acceleration": 24.0, "delta_aic_iet": null, "S_over_Gamma": 2.113, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.4202, "grad_tau_local": 0.6547, "depth_trend": -1.78, "spatial_concentration": 75.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6431, "confidence_lo": 0.0368, "confidence_hi": 0.0368, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2f928b3fc76bd5df10744aa8ab4fa12fd42bb7f3467526b20bbebbabc4f4add6", "input_sha256": "06ef632ee8ca69e3c604e0f68375467f68476bdd79cca2d7c0acb15ed2483a94", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6431, "probability": 0.036822, "confidence_lo": 0.036788, "confidence_hi": 0.036824, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "9c9dfd64fec4e24b395b1aa63a74e2f6f823caf2bc6e2e93d21ec6c68eac3e02" }, "receipt_sha256": "9c9dfd64fec4e24b395b1aa63a74e2f6f823caf2bc6e2e93d21ec6c68eac3e02" }, { "row": 59, "col": 13, "lat": 59.0, "lon": -153.0, "n_events": 19, "max_mag": 4.2, "probability": 0.0368, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.851, "b_trend": -0.1188, "ell_km": 84.4, "ell_trend": 0.37, "rate_acceleration": 0.81, "delta_aic_iet": 608.2, "S_over_Gamma": 13.266, "days_to_criticality": 159.4, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.6853, "grad_tau_local": 0.2522, "depth_trend": 4.65, "spatial_concentration": 81.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6422, "confidence_lo": 0.0368, "confidence_hi": 0.0368, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2f928b3fc76bd5df10744aa8ab4fa12fd42bb7f3467526b20bbebbabc4f4add6", "input_sha256": "ab3931cf6a97a5be7d44120a17fe17caef5bbdb065841eaf9c9f712e46829663", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6422, "probability": 0.036822, "confidence_lo": 0.036788, "confidence_hi": 0.036824, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "2698614002c4d207264fca3ea0782488415a8afe48215b7a5d932d0d08143100" }, "receipt_sha256": "2698614002c4d207264fca3ea0782488415a8afe48215b7a5d932d0d08143100" }, { "row": 57, "col": 11, "lat": 55.0, "lon": -157.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.0368, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.807, "b_trend": 0.147, "ell_km": 19.5, "ell_trend": 0.42, "rate_acceleration": 0.72, "delta_aic_iet": 821.3, "S_over_Gamma": 13.407, "days_to_criticality": 86.6, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.4972, "grad_tau_local": 1.2404, "depth_trend": 0.41, "spatial_concentration": 83.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6409, "confidence_lo": 0.0368, "confidence_hi": 0.0368, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2f928b3fc76bd5df10744aa8ab4fa12fd42bb7f3467526b20bbebbabc4f4add6", "input_sha256": "106e4ee29b8bc2071142397c07d75e97b2e69f2ba0729a1ac550046801dbb1e4", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6409, "probability": 0.036822, "confidence_lo": 0.036788, "confidence_hi": 0.036824, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "65057e86d425592b747ba7fb676ada04eb23c12348f779c7946f0e991814042c" }, "receipt_sha256": "65057e86d425592b747ba7fb676ada04eb23c12348f779c7946f0e991814042c" }, { "row": 56, "col": 178, "lat": 53.0, "lon": 177.0, "n_events": 54, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.0368, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.489, "b_trend": 0.1822, "ell_km": 11.4, "ell_trend": -10.15, "rate_acceleration": 2.58, "delta_aic_iet": 354.69, "S_over_Gamma": 9.729, "days_to_criticality": 2099.4, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.1516, "grad_tau_local": 1.5998, "depth_trend": -11.4, "spatial_concentration": 108.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6383, "confidence_lo": 0.0368, "confidence_hi": 0.0368, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2f928b3fc76bd5df10744aa8ab4fa12fd42bb7f3467526b20bbebbabc4f4add6", "input_sha256": "3613b1d371a5016846668c9c1a2c8dec4eeb173886e08bc348a5c3eac47f9499", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6383, "probability": 0.036822, "confidence_lo": 0.036788, "confidence_hi": 0.036824, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "dec8da91c299506bc313514afde1056b012f13f54c2051b68125dae705768461" }, "receipt_sha256": "dec8da91c299506bc313514afde1056b012f13f54c2051b68125dae705768461" }, { "row": 61, "col": 15, "lat": 63.0, "lon": -149.0, "n_events": 13, "max_mag": 2.8, "probability": 0.0368, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.89, "b_trend": 0.0577, "ell_km": 94.3, "ell_trend": -1.91, "rate_acceleration": 1.06, "delta_aic_iet": 630.45, "S_over_Gamma": 13.18, "days_to_criticality": 2098.5, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.9078, "grad_tau_local": 1.6855, "depth_trend": 4.92, "spatial_concentration": 70.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6381, "confidence_lo": 0.0368, "confidence_hi": 0.0368, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2f928b3fc76bd5df10744aa8ab4fa12fd42bb7f3467526b20bbebbabc4f4add6", "input_sha256": "d4028f1593921cc2cda432ea83b0ae67a5c00a61bd0e87295a0875bf1ef924cc", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6381, "probability": 0.036822, "confidence_lo": 0.036788, "confidence_hi": 0.036824, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "36144ed39f21d6e68d96108afebdfa6decd21fc72e8db314dc12814c45181f4c" }, "receipt_sha256": "36144ed39f21d6e68d96108afebdfa6decd21fc72e8db314dc12814c45181f4c" }, { "row": 19, "col": 55, "lat": -21.0, "lon": -69.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.3, "probability": 0.0368, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.098, "b_trend": 0.17, "ell_km": 65.7, "ell_trend": -2.42, "rate_acceleration": 1.17, "delta_aic_iet": 234.58, "S_over_Gamma": 15.529, "days_to_criticality": 2098.0, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.6306, "grad_tau_local": 0.4593, "depth_trend": -6.7, "spatial_concentration": 83.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6264, "confidence_lo": 0.0368, "confidence_hi": 0.0368, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2f928b3fc76bd5df10744aa8ab4fa12fd42bb7f3467526b20bbebbabc4f4add6", "input_sha256": "2e49a441dcf82ecf59ea5272bdec30579ef6f025ab2875e212ab92f4705a4962", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6264, "probability": 0.036822, "confidence_lo": 0.036788, "confidence_hi": 0.036824, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "d3b76ed932eaeb69cda9659f9b2b584a1a0a9d0e6256d6ddbcd26fc898313d0c" }, "receipt_sha256": "d3b76ed932eaeb69cda9659f9b2b584a1a0a9d0e6256d6ddbcd26fc898313d0c" }, { "row": 58, "col": 11, "lat": 57.0, "lon": -157.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 3.4, "probability": 0.0368, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.855, "b_trend": -0.0599, "ell_km": 108.1, "ell_trend": -8.01, "rate_acceleration": 1.01, "delta_aic_iet": 473.67, "S_over_Gamma": 12.756, "days_to_criticality": 2098.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.6817, "grad_tau_local": 0.5503, "depth_trend": -1.07, "spatial_concentration": 78.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6233, "confidence_lo": 0.0368, "confidence_hi": 0.0368, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2f928b3fc76bd5df10744aa8ab4fa12fd42bb7f3467526b20bbebbabc4f4add6", "input_sha256": "1075d839fe9d579c98888d0fe3569ab6a9bbd331f0665aedae243cec5c915320", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6233, "probability": 0.036822, "confidence_lo": 0.036788, "confidence_hi": 0.036824, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "373d3931cac4a11ffdb00210a5ffd2e0a38ffc5e56bb5712d6b58dbee3de0013" }, "receipt_sha256": "373d3931cac4a11ffdb00210a5ffd2e0a38ffc5e56bb5712d6b58dbee3de0013" }, { "row": 21, "col": 0, "lat": -17.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 4.6, "probability": 0.0368, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.665, "b_trend": 0.2034, "ell_km": 45.9, "ell_trend": 0.19, "rate_acceleration": 0.82, "delta_aic_iet": 214.66, "S_over_Gamma": 15.456, "days_to_criticality": 144.5, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 2.2618, "depth_trend": -13.56, "spatial_concentration": 81.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6172, "confidence_lo": 0.0368, "confidence_hi": 0.0368, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2f928b3fc76bd5df10744aa8ab4fa12fd42bb7f3467526b20bbebbabc4f4add6", "input_sha256": "a47217a50fcddb157bc2f1318418df5c542e2b1f52f49409518b9f20d038948c", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6172, "probability": 0.036822, "confidence_lo": 0.036788, "confidence_hi": 0.036824, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f6761808df78f1611382c2b977545c0e753903495b5c3cd4dcd1f8c392e1d494" }, "receipt_sha256": "f6761808df78f1611382c2b977545c0e753903495b5c3cd4dcd1f8c392e1d494" }, { "row": 56, "col": 7, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -165.0, "n_events": 27, "max_mag": 3.2, "probability": 0.0368, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.704, "b_trend": 0.0159, "ell_km": 31.5, "ell_trend": -3.15, "rate_acceleration": 2.32, "delta_aic_iet": 648.17, "S_over_Gamma": 13.328, "days_to_criticality": 21.9, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.2934, "grad_tau_local": 0.5141, "depth_trend": -8.28, "spatial_concentration": 84.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.613, "confidence_lo": 0.0368, "confidence_hi": 0.0368, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2f928b3fc76bd5df10744aa8ab4fa12fd42bb7f3467526b20bbebbabc4f4add6", "input_sha256": "2e8f7f6e45a1334cb23545ce4bed9e4915dd750629bbcaa4ad19de64fe5b0dfc", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.613, "probability": 0.036822, "confidence_lo": 0.036788, "confidence_hi": 0.036824, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "97cf617a8c1560ae9467f04367a5884679c5abcee20f41ed289ab76c2464eec8" }, "receipt_sha256": "97cf617a8c1560ae9467f04367a5884679c5abcee20f41ed289ab76c2464eec8" }, { "row": 59, "col": 74, "lat": 59.0, "lon": -31.0, "n_events": 14, "max_mag": 5.3, "probability": 0.0368, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 9.9, "ell_trend": -1.86, "rate_acceleration": 2.81, "delta_aic_iet": -52.68, "S_over_Gamma": 12.76, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.4463, "grad_tau_local": 0.0964, "depth_trend": 0.0, "spatial_concentration": 71.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6108, "confidence_lo": 0.0368, "confidence_hi": 0.0368, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2f928b3fc76bd5df10744aa8ab4fa12fd42bb7f3467526b20bbebbabc4f4add6", "input_sha256": "de6f83244d3f13a498be65c50de03da22bc6950c169e608711709f4d776948e0", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6108, "probability": 0.036822, "confidence_lo": 0.036788, "confidence_hi": 0.036824, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "db736b060701cc32f72054f96054556a186e99a2c04c8044594090289cf8f47e" }, "receipt_sha256": "db736b060701cc32f72054f96054556a186e99a2c04c8044594090289cf8f47e" }, { "row": 59, "col": 12, "lat": 59.0, "lon": -155.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 3.4, "probability": 0.0368, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.09, "b_trend": -0.1109, "ell_km": 77.7, "ell_trend": 0.12, "rate_acceleration": 0.79, "delta_aic_iet": 576.39, "S_over_Gamma": 12.546, "days_to_criticality": 556.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.6742, "grad_tau_local": 1.2127, "depth_trend": 4.39, "spatial_concentration": 72.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6098, "confidence_lo": 0.0368, "confidence_hi": 0.0368, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2f928b3fc76bd5df10744aa8ab4fa12fd42bb7f3467526b20bbebbabc4f4add6", "input_sha256": "d22a3fcf49c525dc3a375f722bad425352e21daaf52e4c82e2f50400118216b9", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6098, "probability": 0.036822, "confidence_lo": 0.036788, "confidence_hi": 0.036824, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "33ec412f99691583e5b3ca2b775e8a368212624e7c6abc7b2fd810f700f5feea" }, "receipt_sha256": "33ec412f99691583e5b3ca2b775e8a368212624e7c6abc7b2fd810f700f5feea" }, { "row": 58, "col": 15, "lat": 57.0, "lon": -149.0, "n_events": 13, "max_mag": 3.3, "probability": 0.0368, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.848, "b_trend": 0.198, "ell_km": 23.2, "ell_trend": 0.89, "rate_acceleration": 1.09, "delta_aic_iet": 289.33, "S_over_Gamma": 13.336, "days_to_criticality": 18.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.8679, "grad_tau_local": 1.2584, "depth_trend": -1.58, "spatial_concentration": 51.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6092, "confidence_lo": 0.0368, "confidence_hi": 0.0368, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2f928b3fc76bd5df10744aa8ab4fa12fd42bb7f3467526b20bbebbabc4f4add6", "input_sha256": "d4f6edf74dd84a854345732b96c4ea2fa87fef3903514dcdec26fe33d202807f", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6092, "probability": 0.036822, "confidence_lo": 0.036788, "confidence_hi": 0.036824, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "5546bfeab7778584076a94274054a3339fe506ad47e4c232ad8a33bb50645f2d" }, "receipt_sha256": "5546bfeab7778584076a94274054a3339fe506ad47e4c232ad8a33bb50645f2d" }, { "row": 50, "col": 27, "lat": 41.0, "lon": -125.0, "n_events": 13, "max_mag": 3.1, "probability": 0.0368, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.601, "b_trend": 0.1411, "ell_km": 10.8, "ell_trend": -0.63, "rate_acceleration": 1.17, "delta_aic_iet": 362.24, "S_over_Gamma": 13.191, "days_to_criticality": 20.0, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.4153, "grad_tau_local": 0.592, "depth_trend": 0.13, "spatial_concentration": 80.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6072, "confidence_lo": 0.0368, "confidence_hi": 0.0368, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2f928b3fc76bd5df10744aa8ab4fa12fd42bb7f3467526b20bbebbabc4f4add6", "input_sha256": "c00a721b4b88f4ce4832bf7722563dda52e2cd6382bfceb42371f0771b56648b", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6072, "probability": 0.036822, "confidence_lo": 0.036788, "confidence_hi": 0.036824, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f9adde602918f2061d2b91a82f194dc0046672d5823b911ae48146517625ca32" }, "receipt_sha256": "f9adde602918f2061d2b91a82f194dc0046672d5823b911ae48146517625ca32" }, { "row": 19, "col": 0, "lat": -21.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 12, "max_mag": 5.5, "probability": 0.0368, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.55, "b_trend": -0.4636, "ell_km": 65.7, "ell_trend": 1.97, "rate_acceleration": 1.02, "delta_aic_iet": 291.7, "S_over_Gamma": 15.198, "days_to_criticality": 259.2, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 2.6564, "depth_trend": -12.56, "spatial_concentration": 96.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6034, "confidence_lo": 0.0368, "confidence_hi": 0.0368, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2f928b3fc76bd5df10744aa8ab4fa12fd42bb7f3467526b20bbebbabc4f4add6", "input_sha256": "e05bfbfeff9eb3299233fe1f1f33e03d71e01565162cb83899a8c171784630dd", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6034, "probability": 0.036822, "confidence_lo": 0.036788, "confidence_hi": 0.036824, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "af7a37592a063571472575846eaef6873d3aeeec4d161aea98f2154946ab7259" }, "receipt_sha256": "af7a37592a063571472575846eaef6873d3aeeec4d161aea98f2154946ab7259" }, { "row": 26, "col": 154, "lat": -7.0, "lon": 129.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.0368, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.38, "b_trend": 0.0651, "ell_km": 92.5, "ell_trend": 3.22, "rate_acceleration": 0.66, "delta_aic_iet": 222.78, "S_over_Gamma": 15.68, "days_to_criticality": 19.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.0348, "grad_tau_local": 1.0585, "depth_trend": 2.71, "spatial_concentration": 71.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6004, "confidence_lo": 0.0368, "confidence_hi": 0.0368, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2f928b3fc76bd5df10744aa8ab4fa12fd42bb7f3467526b20bbebbabc4f4add6", "input_sha256": "e83c83a26a2e44d59d8ae176cd8e60410e45bceba0d8f2edf135caf0a89da8f9", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6004, "probability": 0.036822, "confidence_lo": 0.036788, "confidence_hi": 0.036824, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "3087ecaf27f9f873e8ba2ca065882ed2f55e71eb63de1091f67b4cc0a4b5195f" }, "receipt_sha256": "3087ecaf27f9f873e8ba2ca065882ed2f55e71eb63de1091f67b4cc0a4b5195f" }, { "row": 60, "col": 13, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -153.0, "n_events": 11, "max_mag": 4.0, "probability": 0.0368, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.066, "b_trend": -0.0577, "ell_km": 84.0, "ell_trend": -0.95, "rate_acceleration": 0.93, "delta_aic_iet": 747.12, "S_over_Gamma": 13.214, "days_to_criticality": 2099.3, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.9466, "grad_tau_local": 1.5855, "depth_trend": 5.18, "spatial_concentration": 68.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5979, "confidence_lo": 0.0368, "confidence_hi": 0.0368, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2f928b3fc76bd5df10744aa8ab4fa12fd42bb7f3467526b20bbebbabc4f4add6", "input_sha256": "bdfb55fdb7027d16fde342ea55f73d5cb812503a740c98f0b258f47242011346", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5979, "probability": 0.036822, "confidence_lo": 0.036788, "confidence_hi": 0.036824, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "4f2466037ccfd35f2b45d5c70285892efa2dbf88ee76346c4cae9507fc17dd56" }, "receipt_sha256": "4f2466037ccfd35f2b45d5c70285892efa2dbf88ee76346c4cae9507fc17dd56" }, { "row": 61, "col": 14, "lat": 63.0, "lon": -151.0, "n_events": 12, "max_mag": 3.6, "probability": 0.0368, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.885, "b_trend": 0.0607, "ell_km": 93.4, "ell_trend": -1.97, "rate_acceleration": 1.05, "delta_aic_iet": 587.26, "S_over_Gamma": 13.164, "days_to_criticality": 2098.5, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.2806, "grad_tau_local": 1.967, "depth_trend": 5.04, "spatial_concentration": 73.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5967, "confidence_lo": 0.0368, "confidence_hi": 0.0368, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2f928b3fc76bd5df10744aa8ab4fa12fd42bb7f3467526b20bbebbabc4f4add6", "input_sha256": "d9cea0fd5f7bcace8cf780a7bbcd4b973e2e09060eb84d298572b762a16c2524", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5967, "probability": 0.036822, "confidence_lo": 0.036788, "confidence_hi": 0.036824, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "b273e306cfdd4e031970da22b80f6882aeb497dca62645610da5b11d10213643" }, "receipt_sha256": "b273e306cfdd4e031970da22b80f6882aeb497dca62645610da5b11d10213643" }, { "row": 60, "col": 14, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -151.0, "n_events": 25, "max_mag": 4.9, "probability": 0.0368, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.849, "b_trend": -0.1098, "ell_km": 88.6, "ell_trend": -1.21, "rate_acceleration": 0.98, "delta_aic_iet": 797.87, "S_over_Gamma": 13.258, "days_to_criticality": 2099.3, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.5583, "grad_tau_local": 0.4583, "depth_trend": 3.32, "spatial_concentration": 68.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5956, "confidence_lo": 0.0368, "confidence_hi": 0.0368, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2f928b3fc76bd5df10744aa8ab4fa12fd42bb7f3467526b20bbebbabc4f4add6", "input_sha256": "ddf60aeb2e45e57f160ca9ed404ed67d705638159e75f1ef917ca9b3efcd4176", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5956, "probability": 0.036822, "confidence_lo": 0.036788, "confidence_hi": 0.036824, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "c3bcf1b339f5f41568d098ec0e693f40c35616dfea2e85a8aad34c6a64c32d44" }, "receipt_sha256": "c3bcf1b339f5f41568d098ec0e693f40c35616dfea2e85a8aad34c6a64c32d44" }, { "row": 58, "col": 13, "lat": 57.0, "lon": -153.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 4.9, "probability": 0.0368, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.869, "b_trend": 0.1275, "ell_km": 77.4, "ell_trend": 5.77, "rate_acceleration": 0.92, "delta_aic_iet": 575.79, "S_over_Gamma": 13.127, "days_to_criticality": 101.1, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.8966, "grad_tau_local": 1.177, "depth_trend": 0.34, "spatial_concentration": 71.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5872, "confidence_lo": 0.0368, "confidence_hi": 0.0368, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2f928b3fc76bd5df10744aa8ab4fa12fd42bb7f3467526b20bbebbabc4f4add6", "input_sha256": "e8a336cdbe875098f43e5b82ddd88c4f6a5f81a80e7f302819819bcf3a2daa17", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5872, "probability": 0.036822, "confidence_lo": 0.036788, "confidence_hi": 0.036824, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ac24cd73e8be750e5770601cb2bc208cefc0067929ffb77d415a19960ca65fa4" }, "receipt_sha256": "ac24cd73e8be750e5770601cb2bc208cefc0067929ffb77d415a19960ca65fa4" }, { "row": 60, "col": 16, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -147.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 3.1, "probability": 0.0368, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.826, "b_trend": 0.0757, "ell_km": 108.4, "ell_trend": -0.42, "rate_acceleration": 1.05, "delta_aic_iet": 593.3, "S_over_Gamma": 13.151, "days_to_criticality": 2098.5, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.9287, "grad_tau_local": 0.8997, "depth_trend": 5.05, "spatial_concentration": 76.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5864, "confidence_lo": 0.0368, "confidence_hi": 0.0368, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2f928b3fc76bd5df10744aa8ab4fa12fd42bb7f3467526b20bbebbabc4f4add6", "input_sha256": "fbd02a3e92bb6f94eb5910d6d0d495b67fe4799e110f52f69704c885d3236559", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5864, "probability": 0.036822, "confidence_lo": 0.036788, "confidence_hi": 0.036824, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "3822f226c6249b61ddb6d2e9005de17aaac4042cad8b7cf1ee24641854aaabb3" }, "receipt_sha256": "3822f226c6249b61ddb6d2e9005de17aaac4042cad8b7cf1ee24641854aaabb3" }, { "row": 13, "col": 54, "lat": -33.0, "lon": -71.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.1, "probability": 0.0368, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.094, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 12.8, "ell_trend": 0.15, "rate_acceleration": 1.07, "delta_aic_iet": 129.69, "S_over_Gamma": 15.734, "days_to_criticality": -1.7, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.4305, "grad_tau_local": 0.7768, "depth_trend": -17.21, "spatial_concentration": 66.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5847, "confidence_lo": 0.0368, "confidence_hi": 0.0368, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2f928b3fc76bd5df10744aa8ab4fa12fd42bb7f3467526b20bbebbabc4f4add6", "input_sha256": "0393b206b582210f4c3b83b11f7cd251d5554b6a48ae0462e376722d9dfea461", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5847, "probability": 0.036822, "confidence_lo": 0.036788, "confidence_hi": 0.036824, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "3d3d5b04be71d63b807bf8914f39313e40a83fe2b9c8c36586c6d629a4bcb634" }, "receipt_sha256": "3d3d5b04be71d63b807bf8914f39313e40a83fe2b9c8c36586c6d629a4bcb634" }, { "row": 36, "col": 151, "lat": 13.0, "lon": 123.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.4, "probability": 0.0368, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.329, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 22.8, "ell_trend": 0.18, "rate_acceleration": 0.46, "delta_aic_iet": 129.92, "S_over_Gamma": 17.473, "days_to_criticality": 355.0, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.7034, "grad_tau_local": 0.8036, "depth_trend": 27.24, "spatial_concentration": 84.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.579, "confidence_lo": 0.0368, "confidence_hi": 0.0368, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2f928b3fc76bd5df10744aa8ab4fa12fd42bb7f3467526b20bbebbabc4f4add6", "input_sha256": "8f1de761ce570b47aa38282d5f4acc22876b25a6c676595693d12711278e190e", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.579, "probability": 0.036822, "confidence_lo": 0.036788, "confidence_hi": 0.036824, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "12df672c2638ced05ad4844ec6b4a2f9aef82dabdd9a666ba7be580bb0cd2d37" }, "receipt_sha256": "12df672c2638ced05ad4844ec6b4a2f9aef82dabdd9a666ba7be580bb0cd2d37" }, { "row": 60, "col": 15, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -149.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 3.1, "probability": 0.0368, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.854, "b_trend": -0.0502, "ell_km": 84.6, "ell_trend": -1.01, "rate_acceleration": 0.97, "delta_aic_iet": 789.53, "S_over_Gamma": 12.576, "days_to_criticality": 2099.3, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.7513, "grad_tau_local": 0.8378, "depth_trend": 2.75, "spatial_concentration": 69.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5777, "confidence_lo": 0.0368, "confidence_hi": 0.0368, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2f928b3fc76bd5df10744aa8ab4fa12fd42bb7f3467526b20bbebbabc4f4add6", "input_sha256": "caa872481721614a7e5c2721ff6ab9beedfabc34b1e8dd8d902ef2eb8d0aabcc", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5777, "probability": 0.036822, "confidence_lo": 0.036788, "confidence_hi": 0.036824, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "fc73965cd9035d681abdb99f80543c6b659f6c3d136f416d32ab49bf2482a4a7" }, "receipt_sha256": "fc73965cd9035d681abdb99f80543c6b659f6c3d136f416d32ab49bf2482a4a7" }, { "row": 20, "col": 0, "lat": -19.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.8, "probability": 0.0368, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.8, "b_trend": -0.2604, "ell_km": 54.6, "ell_trend": 1.29, "rate_acceleration": 0.91, "delta_aic_iet": 366.84, "S_over_Gamma": 15.599, "days_to_criticality": 281.2, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 2.9255, "depth_trend": -12.07, "spatial_concentration": 70.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5769, "confidence_lo": 0.0368, "confidence_hi": 0.0368, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2f928b3fc76bd5df10744aa8ab4fa12fd42bb7f3467526b20bbebbabc4f4add6", "input_sha256": "c7184d137282858df8f9df4800e56bfd8a0609f7a3fb3a1daec043d8af8225e5", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5769, "probability": 0.036822, "confidence_lo": 0.036788, "confidence_hi": 0.036824, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ab04ddefd7f36c85a85f153abcdd0172678352ee3810871e742454c09fcfdb69" }, "receipt_sha256": "ab04ddefd7f36c85a85f153abcdd0172678352ee3810871e742454c09fcfdb69" }, { "row": 19, "col": 1, "lat": -21.0, "lon": -177.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 4.4, "probability": 0.0368, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.429, "b_trend": -0.2798, "ell_km": 75.9, "ell_trend": 2.32, "rate_acceleration": 1.11, "delta_aic_iet": 292.32, "S_over_Gamma": 14.356, "days_to_criticality": 272.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.6564, "grad_tau_local": 1.6347, "depth_trend": 5.12, "spatial_concentration": 91.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5584, "confidence_lo": 0.0368, "confidence_hi": 0.0368, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2f928b3fc76bd5df10744aa8ab4fa12fd42bb7f3467526b20bbebbabc4f4add6", "input_sha256": "69e1701ce3fd71beecac7fac245c32a1da8884eb6999592d39a1997db864659d", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5584, "probability": 0.036822, "confidence_lo": 0.036788, "confidence_hi": 0.036824, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "4f7e9bc4e57df16513f5c2bf67b54a39b17f46cd86725143ae2ff74e097359e6" }, "receipt_sha256": "4f7e9bc4e57df16513f5c2bf67b54a39b17f46cd86725143ae2ff74e097359e6" }, { "row": 35, "col": 55, "lat": 11.0, "lon": -69.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.5, "probability": 0.0368, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 15.5, "ell_trend": 5.0, "rate_acceleration": 2.59, "delta_aic_iet": 0.36, "S_over_Gamma": 0.761, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": false }, "tau_local": 2.2631, "grad_tau_local": 0.5624, "depth_trend": -1.58, "spatial_concentration": 59.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5572, "confidence_lo": 0.0368, "confidence_hi": 0.0368, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2f928b3fc76bd5df10744aa8ab4fa12fd42bb7f3467526b20bbebbabc4f4add6", "input_sha256": "bfa35f7d4b9e89ba53569d70f0e2282fe5ade18c81cf1b1b3e31dabda846731c", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5572, "probability": 0.036822, "confidence_lo": 0.036788, "confidence_hi": 0.036824, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "a0abd6c02a05f444194da4f26a029e7ad4fd39503e511fe3914f5dc4a3ed1c71" }, "receipt_sha256": "a0abd6c02a05f444194da4f26a029e7ad4fd39503e511fe3914f5dc4a3ed1c71" }, { "row": 55, "col": 178, "lat": 51.0, "lon": 177.0, "n_events": 67, "max_mag": 4.5, "probability": 0.0368, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.505, "b_trend": 0.1559, "ell_km": 11.7, "ell_trend": -11.77, "rate_acceleration": 2.5, "delta_aic_iet": 465.01, "S_over_Gamma": 13.864, "days_to_criticality": 2099.4, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.4482, "grad_tau_local": 1.5416, "depth_trend": -9.8, "spatial_concentration": 127.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5557, "confidence_lo": 0.0368, "confidence_hi": 0.0368, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2f928b3fc76bd5df10744aa8ab4fa12fd42bb7f3467526b20bbebbabc4f4add6", "input_sha256": "ef741e2175760d5542af8b76dead701b5aea415650f1897adbda7e30fdc7e317", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5557, "probability": 0.036822, "confidence_lo": 0.036788, "confidence_hi": 0.036824, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "b2716a9632402c300f06ac83749c5565b0995744486306a3c553f4be7704c662" }, "receipt_sha256": "b2716a9632402c300f06ac83749c5565b0995744486306a3c553f4be7704c662" }, { "row": 50, "col": 35, "lat": 41.0, "lon": -109.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.0368, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.829, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 2.4, "ell_trend": -0.21, "rate_acceleration": 1.12, "delta_aic_iet": 58.89, "S_over_Gamma": 13.423, "days_to_criticality": 2098.1, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.6321, "grad_tau_local": 0.4186, "depth_trend": -3.21, "spatial_concentration": 80.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5467, "confidence_lo": 0.0368, "confidence_hi": 0.0368, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2f928b3fc76bd5df10744aa8ab4fa12fd42bb7f3467526b20bbebbabc4f4add6", "input_sha256": "e517b9fccacfc55075c860840c825a3b22a66bdc4a95702e3674bd756e733b10", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5467, "probability": 0.036822, "confidence_lo": 0.036788, "confidence_hi": 0.036824, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "6aa64e5f1082a76fbd5bf1f07357e4fe2b8bea92517289e251766501616216e4" }, "receipt_sha256": "6aa64e5f1082a76fbd5bf1f07357e4fe2b8bea92517289e251766501616216e4" }, { "row": 32, "col": 152, "lat": 5.0, "lon": 125.0, "n_events": 47, "max_mag": 6.5, "probability": 0.0368, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.127, "b_trend": -0.1251, "ell_km": 38.0, "ell_trend": -5.6, "rate_acceleration": 3.72, "delta_aic_iet": 311.51, "S_over_Gamma": 15.33, "days_to_criticality": 2099.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 10.0208, "grad_tau_local": 0.9165, "depth_trend": -29.2, "spatial_concentration": 87.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5442, "confidence_lo": 0.0368, "confidence_hi": 0.0368, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2f928b3fc76bd5df10744aa8ab4fa12fd42bb7f3467526b20bbebbabc4f4add6", "input_sha256": "fdedd6fb0fe6a887ec85d3821110bb30693170ca87a32320e00673c1a604003b", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5442, "probability": 0.036822, "confidence_lo": 0.036788, "confidence_hi": 0.036824, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "77165dde3a3da2416ee110445bb228e81a1d061cf63d13de566de9c96f3cf8aa" }, "receipt_sha256": "77165dde3a3da2416ee110445bb228e81a1d061cf63d13de566de9c96f3cf8aa" }, { "row": 18, "col": 175, "lat": -23.0, "lon": 171.0, "n_events": 18, "max_mag": 6.3, "probability": 0.0368, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.271, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 65.6, "ell_trend": -8.72, "rate_acceleration": 1.44, "delta_aic_iet": 148.22, "S_over_Gamma": 15.224, "days_to_criticality": 1789.0, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.8381, "grad_tau_local": 0.6315, "depth_trend": -7.63, "spatial_concentration": 65.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5432, "confidence_lo": 0.0368, "confidence_hi": 0.0368, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2f928b3fc76bd5df10744aa8ab4fa12fd42bb7f3467526b20bbebbabc4f4add6", "input_sha256": "81202d16e6a77d5640f0529a9b642ba552f9f2f10a9f45cda7b29513bb018fe8", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5432, "probability": 0.036822, "confidence_lo": 0.036788, "confidence_hi": 0.036824, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "eecfe445c408046d3c5853b0abdf096c2ad8fa46de9e311121981aaa560a7d0a" }, "receipt_sha256": "eecfe445c408046d3c5853b0abdf096c2ad8fa46de9e311121981aaa560a7d0a" }, { "row": 22, "col": 173, "lat": -15.0, "lon": 167.0, "n_events": 11, "max_mag": 6.0, "probability": 0.0368, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.165, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 82.9, "ell_trend": -5.32, "rate_acceleration": 0.65, "delta_aic_iet": 177.55, "S_over_Gamma": 15.889, "days_to_criticality": 2099.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.501, "grad_tau_local": 0.1222, "depth_trend": 2.24, "spatial_concentration": 87.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5372, "confidence_lo": 0.0368, "confidence_hi": 0.0368, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2f928b3fc76bd5df10744aa8ab4fa12fd42bb7f3467526b20bbebbabc4f4add6", "input_sha256": "9ff89dd260bef66f114103c13885a702737082a22c488e8b461550988d12a087", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5372, "probability": 0.036822, "confidence_lo": 0.036788, "confidence_hi": 0.036824, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "9eb4b72e92a120f846009cfc964bece476536a1afc56dbce4e21f09db2b4e454" }, "receipt_sha256": "9eb4b72e92a120f846009cfc964bece476536a1afc56dbce4e21f09db2b4e454" }, { "row": 47, "col": 160, "lat": 35.0, "lon": 141.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 5.8, "probability": 0.0368, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 121.0, "ell_trend": 8.94, "rate_acceleration": 1.08, "delta_aic_iet": 138.82, "S_over_Gamma": 15.063, "days_to_criticality": 56.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.5906, "grad_tau_local": 0.6732, "depth_trend": 7.07, "spatial_concentration": 86.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5307, "confidence_lo": 0.0368, "confidence_hi": 0.0368, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2f928b3fc76bd5df10744aa8ab4fa12fd42bb7f3467526b20bbebbabc4f4add6", "input_sha256": "3ed12943f8c76b3387779f47fbc3d6423666a83dbddb53be1f582b130acea5d9", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5307, "probability": 0.036822, "confidence_lo": 0.036788, "confidence_hi": 0.036824, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "35a275a5d226258d042fa214e6f29ee568bd3f369538742b5702a76192e79ead" }, "receipt_sha256": "35a275a5d226258d042fa214e6f29ee568bd3f369538742b5702a76192e79ead" }, { "row": 31, "col": 153, "lat": 3.0, "lon": 127.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 5.4, "probability": 0.0368, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.139, "b_trend": -0.1788, "ell_km": 33.8, "ell_trend": -15.95, "rate_acceleration": 1.09, "delta_aic_iet": 746.17, "S_over_Gamma": 15.379, "days_to_criticality": 2099.8, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 9.627, "grad_tau_local": 0.6979, "depth_trend": -10.09, "spatial_concentration": 72.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5267, "confidence_lo": 0.0368, "confidence_hi": 0.0368, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2f928b3fc76bd5df10744aa8ab4fa12fd42bb7f3467526b20bbebbabc4f4add6", "input_sha256": "8e1e94c0f5b5feb3d9ac01182b982f2d60d1ab90120e31358a9ddd58de84aa09", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5267, "probability": 0.036822, "confidence_lo": 0.036788, "confidence_hi": 0.036824, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "35beaa0376a7f98eb0b107901af021d06004b1b19127cb4b25abd469a22257f5" }, "receipt_sha256": "35beaa0376a7f98eb0b107901af021d06004b1b19127cb4b25abd469a22257f5" }, { "row": 49, "col": 28, "lat": 39.0, "lon": -123.0, "n_events": 12, "max_mag": 4.4, "probability": 0.0368, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.929, "b_trend": 0.0042, "ell_km": 3.5, "ell_trend": -0.03, "rate_acceleration": 0.99, "delta_aic_iet": 537.65, "S_over_Gamma": 13.215, "days_to_criticality": 19.7, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.6106, "grad_tau_local": 0.8204, "depth_trend": -0.09, "spatial_concentration": 71.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.523, "confidence_lo": 0.0368, "confidence_hi": 0.0368, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2f928b3fc76bd5df10744aa8ab4fa12fd42bb7f3467526b20bbebbabc4f4add6", "input_sha256": "339af99e2f872dd607bb031078a333fe02039ff1679ec805cdd99d927aeaaf3e", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.523, "probability": 0.036822, "confidence_lo": 0.036788, "confidence_hi": 0.036824, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "af6aab73a45a5f52c0c4efb919dbbe5da61776fb029ca04f83fa1c502ede4340" }, "receipt_sha256": "af6aab73a45a5f52c0c4efb919dbbe5da61776fb029ca04f83fa1c502ede4340" }, { "row": 30, "col": 153, "lat": 1.0, "lon": 127.0, "n_events": 14, "max_mag": 6.2, "probability": 0.0368, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.223, "b_trend": -0.1373, "ell_km": 35.5, "ell_trend": -12.2, "rate_acceleration": 0.56, "delta_aic_iet": 575.05, "S_over_Gamma": 15.745, "days_to_criticality": 2098.9, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 10.2639, "grad_tau_local": 0.7749, "depth_trend": -13.49, "spatial_concentration": 76.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5209, "confidence_lo": 0.0368, "confidence_hi": 0.0368, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2f928b3fc76bd5df10744aa8ab4fa12fd42bb7f3467526b20bbebbabc4f4add6", "input_sha256": "a76b1cd7e5a489449fcbc1432b30b547b780284c39f74f52dbdb1056114610e3", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5209, "probability": 0.036822, "confidence_lo": 0.036788, "confidence_hi": 0.036824, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "a6ed2b7ea5f32f5bfd4bb2687e50a95457c5c2bc06fc67ec1222bd793bec1565" }, "receipt_sha256": "a6ed2b7ea5f32f5bfd4bb2687e50a95457c5c2bc06fc67ec1222bd793bec1565" }, { "row": 49, "col": 30, "lat": 39.0, "lon": -119.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.0368, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.881, "b_trend": -0.0805, "ell_km": 2.6, "ell_trend": 0.32, "rate_acceleration": 0.95, "delta_aic_iet": 401.87, "S_over_Gamma": 13.133, "days_to_criticality": 20.0, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.5874, "grad_tau_local": 0.5057, "depth_trend": -0.67, "spatial_concentration": 85.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5207, "confidence_lo": 0.0368, "confidence_hi": 0.0368, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2f928b3fc76bd5df10744aa8ab4fa12fd42bb7f3467526b20bbebbabc4f4add6", "input_sha256": "ae241d1fc70116c0d6555dcfd84b8cf49390a6b8f280cd7dd33f5f7f80974272", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5207, "probability": 0.036822, "confidence_lo": 0.036788, "confidence_hi": 0.036824, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "0280641612360fb0daa77d5ae4169e9a269cfa0873fd94ec391e56cded0a72a0" }, "receipt_sha256": "0280641612360fb0daa77d5ae4169e9a269cfa0873fd94ec391e56cded0a72a0" }, { "row": 54, "col": 167, "lat": 49.0, "lon": 155.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 5.9, "probability": 0.0368, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.156, "b_trend": 0.0574, "ell_km": 85.8, "ell_trend": -4.49, "rate_acceleration": 0.25, "delta_aic_iet": 475.77, "S_over_Gamma": 15.623, "days_to_criticality": 1798.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.5917, "grad_tau_local": 1.6885, "depth_trend": 20.92, "spatial_concentration": 74.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5174, "confidence_lo": 0.0368, "confidence_hi": 0.0368, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2f928b3fc76bd5df10744aa8ab4fa12fd42bb7f3467526b20bbebbabc4f4add6", "input_sha256": "c160ee940a2ff7d05b14e2efed2258002d5835160fb45d7e6a002b46ca752345", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5174, "probability": 0.036822, "confidence_lo": 0.036788, "confidence_hi": 0.036824, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "efbbbf476785b293683d6cd936f53d27b7cf5ad179cb9a8522468e437c7bb01e" }, "receipt_sha256": "efbbbf476785b293683d6cd936f53d27b7cf5ad179cb9a8522468e437c7bb01e" }, { "row": 56, "col": 2, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -175.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 3.0, "probability": 0.0368, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.643, "b_trend": 0.0796, "ell_km": 70.2, "ell_trend": 0.89, "rate_acceleration": 2.02, "delta_aic_iet": 632.6, "S_over_Gamma": 13.722, "days_to_criticality": 56.1, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.7703, "grad_tau_local": 2.0543, "depth_trend": -9.72, "spatial_concentration": 72.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5068, "confidence_lo": 0.0368, "confidence_hi": 0.0368, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2f928b3fc76bd5df10744aa8ab4fa12fd42bb7f3467526b20bbebbabc4f4add6", "input_sha256": "7f4f571437c1dc6eec1c3dcdcc1551744388c0ef72200e50704989f4ae6c1d3b", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5068, "probability": 0.036822, "confidence_lo": 0.036788, "confidence_hi": 0.036824, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "2274efaca0d803438f0cb5d6287e1df120de73e812d4b3c45de9994a23383fce" }, "receipt_sha256": "2274efaca0d803438f0cb5d6287e1df120de73e812d4b3c45de9994a23383fce" }, { "row": 48, "col": 29, "lat": 37.0, "lon": -121.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.0368, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.995, "b_trend": 0.1143, "ell_km": 2.3, "ell_trend": -0.01, "rate_acceleration": 0.67, "delta_aic_iet": 417.21, "S_over_Gamma": 13.125, "days_to_criticality": 21.7, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.269, "grad_tau_local": 0.9361, "depth_trend": -0.02, "spatial_concentration": 78.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4924, "confidence_lo": 0.0368, "confidence_hi": 0.0368, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2f928b3fc76bd5df10744aa8ab4fa12fd42bb7f3467526b20bbebbabc4f4add6", "input_sha256": "ca501ae5d38d1e956eaa0e0a691cb1e0d04f4f2d47d39f862d48794e858c4239", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4924, "probability": 0.036822, "confidence_lo": 0.036788, "confidence_hi": 0.036824, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "07ca74a758d3ae57f2840c29fa925a460184f1a0af715bfe6601c61af4791668" }, "receipt_sha256": "07ca74a758d3ae57f2840c29fa925a460184f1a0af715bfe6601c61af4791668" }, { "row": 57, "col": 9, "lat": 55.0, "lon": -161.0, "n_events": 24, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.0368, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.781, "b_trend": 0.0807, "ell_km": 18.9, "ell_trend": -0.68, "rate_acceleration": 1.23, "delta_aic_iet": 915.37, "S_over_Gamma": 13.344, "days_to_criticality": 20.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.9078, "grad_tau_local": 0.4082, "depth_trend": -0.96, "spatial_concentration": 76.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4866, "confidence_lo": 0.0368, "confidence_hi": 0.0368, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2f928b3fc76bd5df10744aa8ab4fa12fd42bb7f3467526b20bbebbabc4f4add6", "input_sha256": "daaf98a12aaef698117a3b3550fe217bce74d36bfb4b1d76d38cb3e7ef4777f5", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4866, "probability": 0.036822, "confidence_lo": 0.036788, "confidence_hi": 0.036824, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "76e6548036b8f4ecbc2f04ce0d97d7bc769afefef09858fab362d7f1f3da11cd" }, "receipt_sha256": "76e6548036b8f4ecbc2f04ce0d97d7bc769afefef09858fab362d7f1f3da11cd" }, { "row": 56, "col": 5, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -169.0, "n_events": 30, "max_mag": 4.0, "probability": 0.0368, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.644, "b_trend": 0.1212, "ell_km": 12.2, "ell_trend": -9.78, "rate_acceleration": 1.57, "delta_aic_iet": 869.36, "S_over_Gamma": 13.597, "days_to_criticality": 2098.7, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.5445, "grad_tau_local": 0.6265, "depth_trend": 0.53, "spatial_concentration": 77.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4803, "confidence_lo": 0.0368, "confidence_hi": 0.0368, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2f928b3fc76bd5df10744aa8ab4fa12fd42bb7f3467526b20bbebbabc4f4add6", "input_sha256": "221f6e6ecb72c9341b59dbe00e39637b90e0a0178d9e0838a4443abbf26dc14d", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4803, "probability": 0.036822, "confidence_lo": 0.036788, "confidence_hi": 0.036824, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "82041f3592455099775f6e173002fce7b38f379ab3d10d1d8e147461172f1dd6" }, "receipt_sha256": "82041f3592455099775f6e173002fce7b38f379ab3d10d1d8e147461172f1dd6" }, { "row": 57, "col": 10, "lat": 55.0, "lon": -159.0, "n_events": 15, "max_mag": 3.1, "probability": 0.0368, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.783, "b_trend": 0.0978, "ell_km": 19.6, "ell_trend": 0.38, "rate_acceleration": 0.86, "delta_aic_iet": 864.22, "S_over_Gamma": 13.572, "days_to_criticality": 93.1, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.6145, "grad_tau_local": 0.7506, "depth_trend": -2.57, "spatial_concentration": 93.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4774, "confidence_lo": 0.0368, "confidence_hi": 0.0368, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2f928b3fc76bd5df10744aa8ab4fa12fd42bb7f3467526b20bbebbabc4f4add6", "input_sha256": "bb1bf25dd850f39d8d8d40008a9dd43f2bd739c392b281aa9c97aefabe8738d2", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4774, "probability": 0.036822, "confidence_lo": 0.036788, "confidence_hi": 0.036824, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "45e1c4742d7fd1b57c9c0c12c8e5f256766ff2c5de6be8ae35a3504b85f01318" }, "receipt_sha256": "45e1c4742d7fd1b57c9c0c12c8e5f256766ff2c5de6be8ae35a3504b85f01318" }, { "row": 38, "col": 149, "lat": 17.0, "lon": 119.0, "n_events": 17, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.0368, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 15.3, "ell_trend": -2.47, "rate_acceleration": 5.64, "delta_aic_iet": 81.41, "S_over_Gamma": 9.127, "days_to_criticality": 20.2, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.4822, "grad_tau_local": 0.674, "depth_trend": -16.28, "spatial_concentration": 78.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4728, "confidence_lo": 0.0368, "confidence_hi": 0.0368, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2f928b3fc76bd5df10744aa8ab4fa12fd42bb7f3467526b20bbebbabc4f4add6", "input_sha256": "3c88384ccf2ff3a1069f7e537f46b7687db48791db53906ff74c3b8971947811", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4728, "probability": 0.036822, "confidence_lo": 0.036788, "confidence_hi": 0.036824, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "36a49f6af6662083674cb891fca7c5d61d42bd62b25aa2c2ec8ac1cc95a5b822" }, "receipt_sha256": "36a49f6af6662083674cb891fca7c5d61d42bd62b25aa2c2ec8ac1cc95a5b822" }, { "row": 20, "col": 1, "lat": -19.0, "lon": -177.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.0368, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.616, "b_trend": -0.3017, "ell_km": 52.4, "ell_trend": -0.17, "rate_acceleration": 0.94, "delta_aic_iet": 446.14, "S_over_Gamma": 15.121, "days_to_criticality": 2099.7, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.9255, "grad_tau_local": 1.8727, "depth_trend": -52.54, "spatial_concentration": 70.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4663, "confidence_lo": 0.0368, "confidence_hi": 0.0368, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2f928b3fc76bd5df10744aa8ab4fa12fd42bb7f3467526b20bbebbabc4f4add6", "input_sha256": "9d91850ca980267b895d5acd34f8b5a00d73bd38ec4ba4e4b45dcefbad19ff03", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4663, "probability": 0.036822, "confidence_lo": 0.036788, "confidence_hi": 0.036824, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "b03c7bdeaf2129bfbeafe7b9522d921103c388058a818b198a2259143217234c" }, "receipt_sha256": "b03c7bdeaf2129bfbeafe7b9522d921103c388058a818b198a2259143217234c" }, { "row": 56, "col": 8, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -163.0, "n_events": 15, "max_mag": 3.1, "probability": 0.0368, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.754, "b_trend": 0.0514, "ell_km": 19.7, "ell_trend": -0.2, "rate_acceleration": 1.39, "delta_aic_iet": 952.06, "S_over_Gamma": 13.231, "days_to_criticality": 2099.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.8113, "grad_tau_local": 1.2163, "depth_trend": -2.85, "spatial_concentration": 69.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4504, "confidence_lo": 0.0368, "confidence_hi": 0.0368, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2f928b3fc76bd5df10744aa8ab4fa12fd42bb7f3467526b20bbebbabc4f4add6", "input_sha256": "519f312ee4d08dac395124e731d419c5a434e370df68ba758287da608de62320", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4504, "probability": 0.036822, "confidence_lo": 0.036788, "confidence_hi": 0.036824, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ec5a23254f5a24df9e5819833d5b3fb6a141c072a8a30209a3e673277e2debf9" }, "receipt_sha256": "ec5a23254f5a24df9e5819833d5b3fb6a141c072a8a30209a3e673277e2debf9" }, { "row": 45, "col": 37, "lat": 31.0, "lon": -105.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 3.2, "probability": 0.0368, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.959, "b_trend": -0.2318, "ell_km": 3.7, "ell_trend": 0.0, "rate_acceleration": 0.69, "delta_aic_iet": 382.01, "S_over_Gamma": 13.124, "days_to_criticality": 21.7, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.5609, "grad_tau_local": 0.7721, "depth_trend": 0.0, "spatial_concentration": 39.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.44, "confidence_lo": 0.0368, "confidence_hi": 0.0368, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2f928b3fc76bd5df10744aa8ab4fa12fd42bb7f3467526b20bbebbabc4f4add6", "input_sha256": "6950a825d2c20e46d7cc0d4f2ff62bc3dbeca9dd2504094155b4eae0de0f6c81", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.44, "probability": 0.036822, "confidence_lo": 0.036788, "confidence_hi": 0.036824, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "28ec3ce7c73a684f3feae76d2d39868e4a0102ccc31334aefa3dcf8ca38a2523" }, "receipt_sha256": "28ec3ce7c73a684f3feae76d2d39868e4a0102ccc31334aefa3dcf8ca38a2523" }, { "row": 47, "col": 31, "lat": 35.0, "lon": -117.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 4.3, "probability": 0.0368, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.894, "b_trend": -0.0648, "ell_km": 2.8, "ell_trend": -0.2, "rate_acceleration": 1.64, "delta_aic_iet": 460.15, "S_over_Gamma": 12.951, "days_to_criticality": 23.3, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.0867, "grad_tau_local": 0.4921, "depth_trend": 0.42, "spatial_concentration": 78.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4357, "confidence_lo": 0.0368, "confidence_hi": 0.0368, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2f928b3fc76bd5df10744aa8ab4fa12fd42bb7f3467526b20bbebbabc4f4add6", "input_sha256": "fb0b68c53fc7d8e29174dd6a459c776fb3de249e56a1041500f24f634f16c554", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4357, "probability": 0.036822, "confidence_lo": 0.036788, "confidence_hi": 0.036824, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "5a34040a83a3e0dcbd1a8b963a5556c8b393e9d6458485b71621a8e9499801b6" }, "receipt_sha256": "5a34040a83a3e0dcbd1a8b963a5556c8b393e9d6458485b71621a8e9499801b6" }, { "row": 57, "col": 8, "lat": 55.0, "lon": -163.0, "n_events": 23, "max_mag": 5.4, "probability": 0.0368, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.762, "b_trend": 0.0621, "ell_km": 19.7, "ell_trend": -0.3, "rate_acceleration": 1.3, "delta_aic_iet": 979.0, "S_over_Gamma": 13.039, "days_to_criticality": 21.2, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.9372, "grad_tau_local": 1.2046, "depth_trend": -1.63, "spatial_concentration": 61.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4199, "confidence_lo": 0.0368, "confidence_hi": 0.0368, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2f928b3fc76bd5df10744aa8ab4fa12fd42bb7f3467526b20bbebbabc4f4add6", "input_sha256": "5ed2bdd4d1c208bc8dae8aec67e20462e0a4b9bd417396ee272b777664cad5d6", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4199, "probability": 0.036822, "confidence_lo": 0.036788, "confidence_hi": 0.036824, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "1dd1e9e8e0559b2ee33dda2ea3bb19dd4c95a5070131adfc32c41e5c29c223c0" }, "receipt_sha256": "1dd1e9e8e0559b2ee33dda2ea3bb19dd4c95a5070131adfc32c41e5c29c223c0" }, { "row": 46, "col": 32, "lat": 33.0, "lon": -115.0, "n_events": 12, "max_mag": 3.6, "probability": 0.0368, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.848, "b_trend": -0.039, "ell_km": 3.0, "ell_trend": -0.26, "rate_acceleration": 1.35, "delta_aic_iet": 375.0, "S_over_Gamma": 13.235, "days_to_criticality": 21.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.1725, "grad_tau_local": 0.9845, "depth_trend": 0.4, "spatial_concentration": 59.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4076, "confidence_lo": 0.0368, "confidence_hi": 0.0368, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2f928b3fc76bd5df10744aa8ab4fa12fd42bb7f3467526b20bbebbabc4f4add6", "input_sha256": "f80994f66db2606a15ef11c97b8ce74456118410e0f67ba316056fa71b9683bb", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4076, "probability": 0.036822, "confidence_lo": 0.036788, "confidence_hi": 0.036824, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "224ac527ccb8c3a8180cf49acb0a8fa8e29541f1827bdcb88eb2ad14d3bf0d00" }, "receipt_sha256": "224ac527ccb8c3a8180cf49acb0a8fa8e29541f1827bdcb88eb2ad14d3bf0d00" }, { "row": 60, "col": 19, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -141.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.2, "probability": 0.0368, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.802, "b_trend": 0.1417, "ell_km": 9.9, "ell_trend": -0.04, "rate_acceleration": 0.17, "delta_aic_iet": -1445.83, "S_over_Gamma": 13.004, "days_to_criticality": 18.9, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.3485, "grad_tau_local": 1.163, "depth_trend": 0.21, "spatial_concentration": 62.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4062, "confidence_lo": 0.0368, "confidence_hi": 0.0368, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2f928b3fc76bd5df10744aa8ab4fa12fd42bb7f3467526b20bbebbabc4f4add6", "input_sha256": "9a8bd8b7869f6d68ab3fb0a9e7b24b2301c989c157e7fe7599257583d8ac1cc1", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4062, "probability": 0.036822, "confidence_lo": 0.036788, "confidence_hi": 0.036824, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "dee9cdd5298ee94534b49b985bb00bf3e01407fdc78d158431291bc35d89fcf3" }, "receipt_sha256": "dee9cdd5298ee94534b49b985bb00bf3e01407fdc78d158431291bc35d89fcf3" }, { "row": 48, "col": 31, "lat": 37.0, "lon": -117.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 3.6, "probability": 0.0368, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.913, "b_trend": -0.1178, "ell_km": 1.9, "ell_trend": -0.07, "rate_acceleration": 1.18, "delta_aic_iet": 336.55, "S_over_Gamma": 12.744, "days_to_criticality": -12.2, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.1493, "grad_tau_local": 0.4202, "depth_trend": -0.83, "spatial_concentration": 54.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3892, "confidence_lo": 0.0368, "confidence_hi": 0.0368, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2f928b3fc76bd5df10744aa8ab4fa12fd42bb7f3467526b20bbebbabc4f4add6", "input_sha256": "4a7f6ad7bc62adbf203d9328f12625cac9b7b5ad864f33b35933dcc6ed1ce277", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3892, "probability": 0.036822, "confidence_lo": 0.036788, "confidence_hi": 0.036824, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "29adabdbcf17fb8956a6747fa91483ad3a5deca7dcde5fba39bbcda96ffe55c3" }, "receipt_sha256": "29adabdbcf17fb8956a6747fa91483ad3a5deca7dcde5fba39bbcda96ffe55c3" }, { "row": 55, "col": 169, "lat": 51.0, "lon": 159.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 5.3, "probability": 0.0368, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.148, "b_trend": -0.0034, "ell_km": 79.3, "ell_trend": -7.33, "rate_acceleration": 0.13, "delta_aic_iet": -998.57, "S_over_Gamma": 15.644, "days_to_criticality": 2099.6, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 12.8118, "grad_tau_local": 0.4238, "depth_trend": 7.39, "spatial_concentration": 81.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3832, "confidence_lo": 0.0368, "confidence_hi": 0.0368, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2f928b3fc76bd5df10744aa8ab4fa12fd42bb7f3467526b20bbebbabc4f4add6", "input_sha256": "e307d61ef152ac507a6f7587c01c7b8eeedc255b627f601d971aad67d4911882", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3832, "probability": 0.036822, "confidence_lo": 0.036788, "confidence_hi": 0.036824, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ffdc7aaef76889c1c91d8753605a8caf3dccb46a0d3dcfef7cef4702b745a1f1" }, "receipt_sha256": "ffdc7aaef76889c1c91d8753605a8caf3dccb46a0d3dcfef7cef4702b745a1f1" }, { "row": 50, "col": 160, "lat": 41.0, "lon": 141.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.0368, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.887, "b_trend": 0.0578, "ell_km": 34.5, "ell_trend": 2.66, "rate_acceleration": 1.44, "delta_aic_iet": 367.31, "S_over_Gamma": 15.05, "days_to_criticality": 9.6, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.1828, "grad_tau_local": 1.7264, "depth_trend": 6.46, "spatial_concentration": 55.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3331, "confidence_lo": 0.0368, "confidence_hi": 0.0368, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2f928b3fc76bd5df10744aa8ab4fa12fd42bb7f3467526b20bbebbabc4f4add6", "input_sha256": "14e50340262195f181bf0ee904ef653d16ef78890e9f1c97b590ea36aa00d844", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3331, "probability": 0.036822, "confidence_lo": 0.036788, "confidence_hi": 0.036824, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "983d4a52b32383003d4845b556959990c32f913c33968da0a3191382808ba40a" }, "receipt_sha256": "983d4a52b32383003d4845b556959990c32f913c33968da0a3191382808ba40a" }, { "row": 38, "col": 60, "lat": 17.0, "lon": -59.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 4.6, "probability": 0.0368, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 13.4, "ell_trend": -0.07, "rate_acceleration": 0.57, "delta_aic_iet": -4.45, "S_over_Gamma": 11.121, "days_to_criticality": 1118.6, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.9358, "grad_tau_local": 0.8989, "depth_trend": 2.0, "spatial_concentration": 57.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3321, "confidence_lo": 0.0368, "confidence_hi": 0.0368, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2f928b3fc76bd5df10744aa8ab4fa12fd42bb7f3467526b20bbebbabc4f4add6", "input_sha256": "f30d27eb8a385bca00ce7e6b2648bcf5637183decfb28d2b8987d9cd6ddf61c3", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3321, "probability": 0.036822, "confidence_lo": 0.036788, "confidence_hi": 0.036824, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "985bebdf584222f8cf5dd74cfae1fc055c66e96c7869e55d2f02d6fb113cbee6" }, "receipt_sha256": "985bebdf584222f8cf5dd74cfae1fc055c66e96c7869e55d2f02d6fb113cbee6" }, { "row": 33, "col": 153, "lat": 7.0, "lon": 127.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.0368, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 1.09, "b_trend": 0.0758, "ell_km": 46.5, "ell_trend": 1.24, "rate_acceleration": 2.76, "delta_aic_iet": 375.38, "S_over_Gamma": 15.171, "days_to_criticality": 177.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.9561, "grad_tau_local": 1.5027, "depth_trend": 2.82, "spatial_concentration": 55.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3018, "confidence_lo": 0.0368, "confidence_hi": 0.0368, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2f928b3fc76bd5df10744aa8ab4fa12fd42bb7f3467526b20bbebbabc4f4add6", "input_sha256": "09938113f3a15626ce56ca8c0d01d1e85c09e0265bc424f9ff0f40d408275cea", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3018, "probability": 0.036822, "confidence_lo": 0.036788, "confidence_hi": 0.036824, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "0b82f02416cac42c3087236981e672cf7bdc147d4e0b5f68058da701dadade46" }, "receipt_sha256": "0b82f02416cac42c3087236981e672cf7bdc147d4e0b5f68058da701dadade46" }, { "row": 50, "col": 161, "lat": 41.0, "lon": 143.0, "n_events": 19, "max_mag": 6.0, "probability": 0.0368, "risk_band": "elevated", "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "b_value": 0.929, "b_trend": 0.0726, "ell_km": 35.0, "ell_trend": 2.67, "rate_acceleration": 1.4, "delta_aic_iet": 468.02, "S_over_Gamma": 15.524, "days_to_criticality": 9.6, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.7493, "grad_tau_local": 1.0321, "depth_trend": 7.19, "spatial_concentration": 70.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.2967, "confidence_lo": 0.0368, "confidence_hi": 0.0368, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "2f928b3fc76bd5df10744aa8ab4fa12fd42bb7f3467526b20bbebbabc4f4add6", "input_sha256": "1414173a81cd81b580438a33af7ffbff7cafbba72a23f7fa9291528e91b69e4a", "issued_at": "2026-07-25T01:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.2967, "probability": 0.036822, "confidence_lo": 0.036788, "confidence_hi": 0.036824, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "0a708f0a584a14a7540bdd0eb42462eca9946301a0f66eb1cb25fc2fe96028b3" }, "receipt_sha256": "0a708f0a584a14a7540bdd0eb42462eca9946301a0f66eb1cb25fc2fe96028b3" } ] }