{ "forecast_id": "eq_fcst_20260905_1000", "hazard": "earthquake", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "forecast_horizon_days": 30, "target_magnitude_min": 6.0, "feature_history_days": 400, "recent_activity_days": 30, "min_events_per_active_cell": 5, "forecast_domain": { "name": "global_2deg_grid", "lat_min": -60.0, "lat_max": 70.0, "lon_min": -180.0, "lon_max": 180.0, "dlat": 2.0, "dlon": 2.0, "n_lat": 65, "n_lon": 180, "default_probability": 0.0 }, "source_catalog": { "provider": "USGS FDSNWS", "min_magnitude": 2.5, "window_start": "2025-08-01T10:00:00Z", "window_end": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "n_events": 31849, "n_recent_events": 2267 }, "n_active_cells": 86, "top_probability": 0.137, "active_cells": [ { "row": 19, "col": 55, "lat": -21.0, "lon": -69.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 4.6, "probability": 0.137, "prob_30d_local": 0.7213, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.7046, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.094, "b_trend": 0.1147, "ell_km": 67.6, "ell_trend": -3.27, "rate_acceleration": 0.8, "delta_aic_iet": 229.15, "S_over_Gamma": 15.583, "days_to_criticality": 2099.9, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.6498, "grad_tau_local": 0.4266, "depth_trend": 0.59, "spatial_concentration": 84.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9912, "confidence_lo": 0.133, "confidence_hi": 0.1376, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "87389708fd8db1111b24a98eeee2118ee0ed4ad84fc98678bd5a708f969d40fe", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9912, "probability": 0.136986, "confidence_lo": 0.133028, "confidence_hi": 0.137615, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f526ddbf7c4e6b5149a28a76bc7f4d2579b7d0e6d3e6bef0a4b211f9e07d3f57", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "c7b9768cb2ce5760739c7d983a3cf1d04047f4578e4625ef3beec4ab120a3d5874c34eb8f90e59930a86cbe1d41dc741b322b445207425ed6d13f79ff9caf303" } }, "receipt_sha256": "f526ddbf7c4e6b5149a28a76bc7f4d2579b7d0e6d3e6bef0a4b211f9e07d3f57" }, { "row": 19, "col": 1, "lat": -21.0, "lon": -177.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 4.9, "probability": 0.137, "prob_30d_local": 0.8465, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.5402, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.422, "b_trend": -0.1823, "ell_km": 77.1, "ell_trend": -1.9, "rate_acceleration": 1.13, "delta_aic_iet": 288.55, "S_over_Gamma": 15.137, "days_to_criticality": 19.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.7151, "grad_tau_local": 1.6428, "depth_trend": -17.7, "spatial_concentration": 90.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9909, "confidence_lo": 0.133, "confidence_hi": 0.1376, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "883f31cabf394c6e8ebab9ccafdf6bab85d9e6fb4139f20169a220f30fbe1c4c", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9909, "probability": 0.136986, "confidence_lo": 0.133028, "confidence_hi": 0.137615, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "b35f25e0d4c92285c5e3966e893a71f599f07588a57b8a61eaff9cc011810278", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "b5563c278fe5fc0943663d7ca7b83ecb8ca188ca13827efaaebb7bff4abedd6267e52ad2e76ce8860e4cad0faf56b1d479990b73d97f4f38f506cc66956b3b0f" } }, "receipt_sha256": "b35f25e0d4c92285c5e3966e893a71f599f07588a57b8a61eaff9cc011810278" }, { "row": 26, "col": 153, "lat": -7.0, "lon": 127.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 6.0, "probability": 0.137, "prob_30d_local": 0.8118, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.1831, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.316, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 60.0, "ell_trend": 1.52, "rate_acceleration": 1.22, "delta_aic_iet": 162.02, "S_over_Gamma": 15.715, "days_to_criticality": 17.2, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.808, "grad_tau_local": 1.044, "depth_trend": -8.81, "spatial_concentration": 79.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9885, "confidence_lo": 0.133, "confidence_hi": 0.1376, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "e8b8a019f46f2eea80ea6054dce7aa44c99efa507a9cd64259b92f86aca806bc", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9885, "probability": 0.136986, "confidence_lo": 0.133028, "confidence_hi": 0.137615, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "760e040c9d7f66a593e3818b50f610b9066255233fc91ab2bd4efdb119a6c801", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "518c26c68a9e6be2568b5db93d85d6e215adbb8d35dc13c612c502727f0b4229da9bcebf164d9b8e9046bc0bf08f3af4df2968ffa38ebcfcbd232ebc13f2fa0f" } }, "receipt_sha256": "760e040c9d7f66a593e3818b50f610b9066255233fc91ab2bd4efdb119a6c801" }, { "row": 26, "col": 154, "lat": -7.0, "lon": 129.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 4.6, "probability": 0.137, "prob_30d_local": 0.6977, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.6445, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.308, "b_trend": 0.0812, "ell_km": 98.1, "ell_trend": 2.78, "rate_acceleration": 0.81, "delta_aic_iet": 211.91, "S_over_Gamma": 15.117, "days_to_criticality": 31.0, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.2322, "grad_tau_local": 1.0735, "depth_trend": -1.3, "spatial_concentration": 69.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9879, "confidence_lo": 0.133, "confidence_hi": 0.1376, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "abaa68891da22e98f7dda7fd4113845baf5e3de4ba424c05293e2d0a64703cd3", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9879, "probability": 0.136986, "confidence_lo": 0.133028, "confidence_hi": 0.137615, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "9c91dce21c9ded6b48425d7690564b6366784f4cd7eb579e35724d002d6929bb", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "5850f114e4eb05342a5aa214333cedf0c2bb7e0c615098996954ae613603e6cda637c6b777c1086a76c6a8edfdc54c09b5a70521860ab8d98f25f3cdc7fcf903" } }, "receipt_sha256": "9c91dce21c9ded6b48425d7690564b6366784f4cd7eb579e35724d002d6929bb" }, { "row": 19, "col": 174, "lat": -21.0, "lon": 169.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.4, "probability": 0.137, "prob_30d_local": 0.8255, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.6599, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.16, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 86.8, "ell_trend": 1.16, "rate_acceleration": 1.59, "delta_aic_iet": 183.49, "S_over_Gamma": 15.428, "days_to_criticality": 57.2, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.2966, "grad_tau_local": 0.6754, "depth_trend": -12.18, "spatial_concentration": 74.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9874, "confidence_lo": 0.133, "confidence_hi": 0.1376, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "48d44d59356db3f8fb598456d9e582ff477f55322db4f13ea9f948c96fd48db1", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9874, "probability": 0.136986, "confidence_lo": 0.133028, "confidence_hi": 0.137615, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "a84410bd7cd7ff22d5fb055798450f62da6734e644dddaa6c6c5dabd033efbd3", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "a8af3e5fab0a55da2697d1d1e351a7736d8d21fe5e2407b48042b5391b886b2d9b88edc2c8b0a6e5728c5d0a6a1dac83fceed078b7b11b2291abd963e7747302" } }, "receipt_sha256": "a84410bd7cd7ff22d5fb055798450f62da6734e644dddaa6c6c5dabd033efbd3" }, { "row": 18, "col": 56, "lat": -23.0, "lon": -67.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 4.5, "probability": 0.137, "prob_30d_local": 0.7494, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.6144, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.688, "b_trend": 0.061, "ell_km": 35.0, "ell_trend": 0.43, "rate_acceleration": 0.97, "delta_aic_iet": 272.12, "S_over_Gamma": 15.619, "days_to_criticality": 73.6, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.1908, "grad_tau_local": 0.8926, "depth_trend": 5.52, "spatial_concentration": 42.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.986, "confidence_lo": 0.133, "confidence_hi": 0.1376, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "9eefdd0b81b4f85431411bc168520b51cd652b47a6e1758a865932f22fa1589a", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.986, "probability": 0.136986, "confidence_lo": 0.133028, "confidence_hi": 0.137615, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "c092a27bf4ac2cf366c220cd2b7d478e68460aac6bae7a2886b10205b8108d1d", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "7baa1e6aa6c1e4e532b4feb3ce2b51205a1f10fd95e0fcd8b51278a9f74426f7241dfefbc17ec6188b0565d4bfef9d3731e2378378448584caac9c7387cabd0e" } }, "receipt_sha256": "c092a27bf4ac2cf366c220cd2b7d478e68460aac6bae7a2886b10205b8108d1d" }, { "row": 18, "col": 0, "lat": -23.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 4.8, "probability": 0.137, "prob_30d_local": 0.7179, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.3357, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.535, "b_trend": -0.1092, "ell_km": 56.9, "ell_trend": -1.56, "rate_acceleration": 1.02, "delta_aic_iet": 295.78, "S_over_Gamma": 15.556, "days_to_criticality": 2094.8, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 1.9641, "depth_trend": 0.67, "spatial_concentration": 84.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9739, "confidence_lo": 0.133, "confidence_hi": 0.1376, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "a508b5c16c3e2c789c37081cf5cc4dd93e1575fb9a469526cffea3dc937bba48", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9739, "probability": 0.136986, "confidence_lo": 0.133028, "confidence_hi": 0.137615, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "4b1430e5fe1343c326cdbdfeaea7f72a63765c26de73fbe9d176db9e1075a17b", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "5a2bee8d912d0e8ef3d10bcbdd591b02f47fbfe6e599efb8398d0cd7b1fe8ca5f3c25640661f32ce31a751aa4e815f99ad648a343de3f1a626305a6c47d40f02" } }, "receipt_sha256": "4b1430e5fe1343c326cdbdfeaea7f72a63765c26de73fbe9d176db9e1075a17b" }, { "row": 15, "col": 1, "lat": -29.0, "lon": -177.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 5.6, "probability": 0.1287, "prob_30d_local": 0.8292, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.3427, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.147, "b_trend": -0.0694, "ell_km": 87.0, "ell_trend": -4.02, "rate_acceleration": 1.47, "delta_aic_iet": 205.6, "S_over_Gamma": 16.195, "days_to_criticality": 1799.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 1.8477, "grad_tau_local": 0.7374, "depth_trend": 4.29, "spatial_concentration": 75.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9688, "confidence_lo": 0.0685, "confidence_hi": 0.1376, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "0b1f1dd190e26eff0f3e41c19f6b616a209a5f2a6c3416025f47f9496d260f76", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9688, "probability": 0.128718, "confidence_lo": 0.068493, "confidence_hi": 0.137615, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "12514b896644410268b06b6fd040ec82da99a888fe181d41103539ef0fb6ccc5", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "e07480c080dd7933b4b430c8f3630dce07bc360a11b9bced3b89a94234876b14cf30a7adeb6b3a60bb6e34392adfd2231389151a5d792a8854244503114b6f0d" } }, "receipt_sha256": "12514b896644410268b06b6fd040ec82da99a888fe181d41103539ef0fb6ccc5" }, { "row": 32, "col": 152, "lat": 5.0, "lon": 125.0, "n_events": 18, "max_mag": 5.3, "probability": 0.1252, "prob_30d_local": 0.032, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.6305, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.164, "b_trend": -0.069, "ell_km": 40.8, "ell_trend": 4.05, "rate_acceleration": 4.54, "delta_aic_iet": 385.41, "S_over_Gamma": 15.703, "days_to_criticality": 11.4, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 10.4204, "grad_tau_local": 0.684, "depth_trend": -22.84, "spatial_concentration": 86.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9686, "confidence_lo": 0.0683, "confidence_hi": 0.1333, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "635c5f4d123169a94e92061e4c6bfc0cb84f8b22cdb721fac81f523f3025db7a", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9686, "probability": 0.125191, "confidence_lo": 0.068293, "confidence_hi": 0.133333, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f53f46f00f3e511e7307e08ca572a5a6b33b1256418a0cf268ba0e44b8eb727a", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "46319297bcecab9541689ce314950e35452c4b48650aebfc98523bac9d000865c196b64ec012f0a27359830c76439408a1461f7e730f1a3150fd3705f3111c0e" } }, "receipt_sha256": "f53f46f00f3e511e7307e08ca572a5a6b33b1256418a0cf268ba0e44b8eb727a" }, { "row": 52, "col": 164, "lat": 45.0, "lon": 149.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.5, "probability": 0.0727, "prob_30d_local": 0.8368, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.6572, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.314, "b_trend": -0.1524, "ell_km": 51.2, "ell_trend": 7.68, "rate_acceleration": 0.66, "delta_aic_iet": 182.33, "S_over_Gamma": 15.512, "days_to_criticality": -0.4, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.3862, "grad_tau_local": 0.1503, "depth_trend": 7.8, "spatial_concentration": 79.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9662, "confidence_lo": 0.0683, "confidence_hi": 0.0731, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "e73db9e4915b462372b70be4d9fa0a6dec9a59efa35abffde6b785fdcf82bce2", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9662, "probability": 0.072713, "confidence_lo": 0.068293, "confidence_hi": 0.073059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ddc3f787fe64c103304e74d43f61b652e9ff1d6f4d19d26a60c6a1e2490b7b41", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "0e0ae9928c9ad2e9a9e10f9109c9e95e1daf1e81f52783b480e6c7cbc0ba24ae32debd4a8a1ae467df71e0bd276cfa7b589c8a89a15bfc95967f6767c117cf04" } }, "receipt_sha256": "ddc3f787fe64c103304e74d43f61b652e9ff1d6f4d19d26a60c6a1e2490b7b41" }, { "row": 32, "col": 153, "lat": 5.0, "lon": 127.0, "n_events": 13, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.0727, "prob_30d_local": 0.6812, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.6135, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.167, "b_trend": -0.0206, "ell_km": 48.6, "ell_trend": -0.5, "rate_acceleration": 3.51, "delta_aic_iet": 452.58, "S_over_Gamma": 15.177, "days_to_criticality": 2096.1, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 9.1984, "grad_tau_local": 2.1763, "depth_trend": -7.74, "spatial_concentration": 74.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9636, "confidence_lo": 0.0683, "confidence_hi": 0.0731, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "9ecd8304732ee929fd7923a410f2d7b28bb590191a375aa8709182ea27ffef7d", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9636, "probability": 0.072713, "confidence_lo": 0.068293, "confidence_hi": 0.073059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "d38f9d5a817becee8614b55b05cdd764618d82dce6efc10c12b30ac82acbc982", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "b2af32305ea862f61dddcef7255249d39fe1843aa82ac56eab2dd4963c77e35a5986ff2307103e6d287a887fca36bd03e09950b137be4e09e7abe84e5d449003" } }, "receipt_sha256": "d38f9d5a817becee8614b55b05cdd764618d82dce6efc10c12b30ac82acbc982" }, { "row": 19, "col": 0, "lat": -21.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 4.4, "probability": 0.0727, "prob_30d_local": 0.8011, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.5688, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.472, "b_trend": -0.316, "ell_km": 66.4, "ell_trend": -1.77, "rate_acceleration": 1.0, "delta_aic_iet": 286.89, "S_over_Gamma": 15.462, "days_to_criticality": 19.7, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 2.7151, "depth_trend": -5.15, "spatial_concentration": 97.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9598, "confidence_lo": 0.0683, "confidence_hi": 0.0731, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "11a761b8a9cc02d1e13788009638a85de4ac97131b9a7fed64c403aef6f44380", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9598, "probability": 0.072713, "confidence_lo": 0.068293, "confidence_hi": 0.073059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "cff62ea1949eacabecd115248633f0aaeee57e2de82d2587328a16920a96c49f", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "f3b3089781521f4bae0daa5666852ecb3026fc61ab4c3f062750e3a8abaeab3392acc3137de0a81a76c4ad8c869fcd176efee0aabc41157368f84caa746b0a05" } }, "receipt_sha256": "cff62ea1949eacabecd115248633f0aaeee57e2de82d2587328a16920a96c49f" }, { "row": 27, "col": 163, "lat": -5.0, "lon": 147.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.5, "probability": 0.0727, "prob_30d_local": 0.7357, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.0926, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.101, "b_trend": 0.2512, "ell_km": 22.6, "ell_trend": -9.39, "rate_acceleration": 0.66, "delta_aic_iet": 272.17, "S_over_Gamma": 15.014, "days_to_criticality": 2097.4, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.0954, "grad_tau_local": 0.153, "depth_trend": -21.99, "spatial_concentration": 60.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9593, "confidence_lo": 0.0683, "confidence_hi": 0.0731, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "bacc2dc7d02df3b816be40b9c8397252b434d44338b111178d6abd2bdf010d0d", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9593, "probability": 0.072713, "confidence_lo": 0.068293, "confidence_hi": 0.073059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "760848ebdf22b5030971f8bdc3656b9d8d5bd6e8a56fbf47b909ce7604f7ddc5", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "9d963797dff4008ac61131e3af8985ffaad03f35217431f87ef249442300c9427b0275d754bacecbde01d0965bd9608621130cf91a1a3916899e6c77cd794a09" } }, "receipt_sha256": "760848ebdf22b5030971f8bdc3656b9d8d5bd6e8a56fbf47b909ce7604f7ddc5" }, { "row": 48, "col": 125, "lat": 37.0, "lon": 71.0, "n_events": 13, "max_mag": 5.2, "probability": 0.0727, "prob_30d_local": 0.7403, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.6705, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.208, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 52.1, "ell_trend": 1.78, "rate_acceleration": 1.04, "delta_aic_iet": 197.2, "S_over_Gamma": 15.557, "days_to_criticality": 58.3, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.0381, "grad_tau_local": 0.2635, "depth_trend": 30.88, "spatial_concentration": 83.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9571, "confidence_lo": 0.0683, "confidence_hi": 0.0731, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "3792b3af30fc961f9ab3ccdb43883236a599edc54a8d9dad77a8664ce2e058a4", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9571, "probability": 0.072713, "confidence_lo": 0.068293, "confidence_hi": 0.073059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "07b9c0f0dd6742ffdd6bb4796c65caaeeb1538e22a51c86f60312b5cf6331294", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "cd9ceb2747946571c390ebe0e2291695400345211504f23c493ef270df00dbcbde8e1b3c5035b9bfdb3978fd90da554cf41809806068fbbdf5acc483000bf909" } }, "receipt_sha256": "07b9c0f0dd6742ffdd6bb4796c65caaeeb1538e22a51c86f60312b5cf6331294" }, { "row": 30, "col": 153, "lat": 1.0, "lon": 127.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.0727, "prob_30d_local": 0.6275, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.3817, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.327, "b_trend": -0.0642, "ell_km": 35.4, "ell_trend": -11.09, "rate_acceleration": 0.48, "delta_aic_iet": 567.07, "S_over_Gamma": 15.653, "days_to_criticality": 2098.2, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 10.267, "grad_tau_local": 0.7052, "depth_trend": -1.76, "spatial_concentration": 77.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9544, "confidence_lo": 0.0683, "confidence_hi": 0.0731, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "330664f6ad6cd1f8d66c72f288e6d786aa88256cf4be10ad92eb3f3b04833959", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9544, "probability": 0.072713, "confidence_lo": 0.068293, "confidence_hi": 0.073059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "89fd26bb3849aafdc3c7ba82567ec8a06b85079668a4d250ed8f8b56f48c9ad8", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "e686bca0e14c9997e7ec0668395cf6c973d054e947949759a6f40e53e2f81556796ef58468c106bbc5a23b408013b6dc5f29d6310bcb8ca8440094138c2ed80b" } }, "receipt_sha256": "89fd26bb3849aafdc3c7ba82567ec8a06b85079668a4d250ed8f8b56f48c9ad8" }, { "row": 50, "col": 161, "lat": 41.0, "lon": 143.0, "n_events": 12, "max_mag": 6.0, "probability": 0.0727, "prob_30d_local": 0.0648, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.6495, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.943, "b_trend": 0.118, "ell_km": 36.5, "ell_trend": 2.56, "rate_acceleration": 0.67, "delta_aic_iet": 500.79, "S_over_Gamma": 14.821, "days_to_criticality": 63.2, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.7819, "grad_tau_local": 1.04, "depth_trend": 8.02, "spatial_concentration": 68.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9385, "confidence_lo": 0.0683, "confidence_hi": 0.0731, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "3f251579c2235a824138ac6fac9eb154757d57665cb0986b1afc6445c577d342", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9385, "probability": 0.072713, "confidence_lo": 0.068293, "confidence_hi": 0.073059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "2d2afd20e20dd622094697016906325ff81393301dc813a1df02c87aff0dbbf5", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "2156e22b1877ba1cdcdec68b991a5522578ad748e041dd8b0978c10b525867153a041a963e943f3e14545b1e9979b2bfcbd6ca020e38e1d8afa1ba52ba76e606" } }, "receipt_sha256": "2d2afd20e20dd622094697016906325ff81393301dc813a1df02c87aff0dbbf5" }, { "row": 17, "col": 56, "lat": -25.0, "lon": -67.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.0727, "prob_30d_local": 0.7174, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.1873, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.781, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 29.2, "ell_trend": 0.74, "rate_acceleration": 1.15, "delta_aic_iet": 142.61, "S_over_Gamma": 15.124, "days_to_criticality": 44.6, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.9895, "grad_tau_local": 0.8095, "depth_trend": 0.53, "spatial_concentration": 68.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9355, "confidence_lo": 0.0683, "confidence_hi": 0.0731, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "a5292b533f28071d7782509ae9ccb01a626ec56333504b0eda012490d418a15c", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9355, "probability": 0.072713, "confidence_lo": 0.068293, "confidence_hi": 0.073059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "592944fc75c83e6296641bc8016f4d61ad3d6b069e295e8bc4a68a4800e8e655", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "ea75ca4dfe78d3038321c7b4a3c7bdca4d40924be7cf2ba02ba3087b311ae2c76c0147ad83f5138bd5e4d5896f91284e1f21945109e8756f64d75e5fb699ec09" } }, "receipt_sha256": "592944fc75c83e6296641bc8016f4d61ad3d6b069e295e8bc4a68a4800e8e655" }, { "row": 48, "col": 160, "lat": 37.0, "lon": 141.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.0727, "prob_30d_local": 0.7877, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.6243, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 66.4, "ell_trend": 12.15, "rate_acceleration": 0.8, "delta_aic_iet": 201.79, "S_over_Gamma": 15.319, "days_to_criticality": 30.2, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.2107, "grad_tau_local": 0.8043, "depth_trend": 8.42, "spatial_concentration": 77.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9316, "confidence_lo": 0.0683, "confidence_hi": 0.0731, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "08a04211cc5ab0bb313b2554fba8770e2322d2e32bbb7fe9649ab652c0eba065", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9316, "probability": 0.072713, "confidence_lo": 0.068293, "confidence_hi": 0.073059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "edacf5541cb96502acdd11b92563bbeb5cb9cdbe0397a7f5cec088be76888b95", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "4759ef1528671cb68c9ca368750cd90bcf409bfa00681546ce0f0eca21d209ac3081b33a466a67ba4eba56b8ff55690f8b8f57f96cd80a052cf117808e586d0b" } }, "receipt_sha256": "edacf5541cb96502acdd11b92563bbeb5cb9cdbe0397a7f5cec088be76888b95" }, { "row": 20, "col": 55, "lat": -19.0, "lon": -69.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.0727, "prob_30d_local": 0.6352, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.5969, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.136, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 51.6, "ell_trend": -2.16, "rate_acceleration": 0.69, "delta_aic_iet": 161.25, "S_over_Gamma": 15.05, "days_to_criticality": 21.3, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.6532, "grad_tau_local": 0.9689, "depth_trend": -2.43, "spatial_concentration": 76.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9309, "confidence_lo": 0.0683, "confidence_hi": 0.0731, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "46f440eb01546eea7e5f91416e0aff46d51ca99a2d077e3027c28abcd4f97ec9", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9309, "probability": 0.072713, "confidence_lo": 0.068293, "confidence_hi": 0.073059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "39f9d4552724905bc93cf133f986f765b6d042537d5dbbcd1c57127b41022b87", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "2cb345368310c7ff52f961e7d66f7df12c8f082f05cad1371df7420aa08c771ad3866e9f151ba04a94b2d8477aeaab0087f2f71acf8bff609b62e63af264b305" } }, "receipt_sha256": "39f9d4552724905bc93cf133f986f765b6d042537d5dbbcd1c57127b41022b87" }, { "row": 49, "col": 161, "lat": 39.0, "lon": 143.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 5.6, "probability": 0.0727, "prob_30d_local": 0.2176, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.3984, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.004, "b_trend": 0.127, "ell_km": 36.2, "ell_trend": 2.68, "rate_acceleration": 0.58, "delta_aic_iet": 580.81, "S_over_Gamma": 15.28, "days_to_criticality": 60.7, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.1145, "grad_tau_local": 0.7584, "depth_trend": 8.47, "spatial_concentration": 78.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9285, "confidence_lo": 0.0683, "confidence_hi": 0.0731, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "d2bc09e6bb6fbd37865becd5c79df147bbe86ed6724a45af837214801d4543f6", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9285, "probability": 0.072713, "confidence_lo": 0.068293, "confidence_hi": 0.073059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ada2d20ebab1d2f6ed2cc51b492c286cf89614f9c81700d8d01dab967530ca1f", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "dee85117def1255c793503a2e34d2cae2f4aff487d1455e18854db2cc20643a9012db5249bc368871087f0793f2de57b7adebb8155cc378bdf91a781105ed904" } }, "receipt_sha256": "ada2d20ebab1d2f6ed2cc51b492c286cf89614f9c81700d8d01dab967530ca1f" }, { "row": 33, "col": 53, "lat": 7.0, "lon": -73.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.9, "probability": 0.0727, "prob_30d_local": 0.5207, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.2995, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 7.6, "ell_trend": 0.47, "rate_acceleration": 1.36, "delta_aic_iet": 41.81, "S_over_Gamma": 15.53, "days_to_criticality": -0.1, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.634, "grad_tau_local": 0.2348, "depth_trend": -38.72, "spatial_concentration": 74.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9186, "confidence_lo": 0.0683, "confidence_hi": 0.0731, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "ccf2804fc3538e83c93ffc331d055ac9f61ec433d9970cd50729b3bfa1cc0a11", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9186, "probability": 0.072713, "confidence_lo": 0.068293, "confidence_hi": 0.073059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "fe98dd3eb3cc331074f4605357fe563439bac04154451a07637fd950f509b8dc", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "c363e279d464c329aa7012e702b563a669e8bbf70b389a9e6b150f392f57213e4c6040ab9342b05fe2f296ad3fdf4b3e3063700e565f4ce31341049c22feae05" } }, "receipt_sha256": "fe98dd3eb3cc331074f4605357fe563439bac04154451a07637fd950f509b8dc" }, { "row": 47, "col": 160, "lat": 35.0, "lon": 141.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.8, "probability": 0.0727, "prob_30d_local": 0.6942, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.4597, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 121.3, "ell_trend": 6.42, "rate_acceleration": 1.02, "delta_aic_iet": 137.07, "S_over_Gamma": 15.727, "days_to_criticality": 141.0, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.5429, "grad_tau_local": 0.6728, "depth_trend": 8.34, "spatial_concentration": 88.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9185, "confidence_lo": 0.0683, "confidence_hi": 0.0731, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "bb27776c2c7869727e4846ebc490d10c763678823f4f10dfee40c83a2e47e880", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9185, "probability": 0.072713, "confidence_lo": 0.068293, "confidence_hi": 0.073059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "eca19698f7fbde39e0f82885dbb4e7be51f00845d4c672745b88094c7bc949a1", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "64114815a6a0e028dc3e515e9ab74758267778640cbbab89f398878d1dddd5e34a0cb4cca6e4c9a21572c76afc8c8437ec61bd1ea42552589b9329de01ab0a01" } }, "receipt_sha256": "eca19698f7fbde39e0f82885dbb4e7be51f00845d4c672745b88094c7bc949a1" }, { "row": 21, "col": 0, "lat": -17.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 5.4, "probability": 0.0727, "prob_30d_local": 0.8324, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.1607, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.586, "b_trend": -0.1056, "ell_km": 44.6, "ell_trend": 0.46, "rate_acceleration": 0.68, "delta_aic_iet": 217.93, "S_over_Gamma": 15.562, "days_to_criticality": 72.5, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 2.2588, "depth_trend": -30.26, "spatial_concentration": 83.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9034, "confidence_lo": 0.0683, "confidence_hi": 0.0731, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "77202464423a657df071205ba0dbccedb9b36f1ac885663942b40a51ad4403d4", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9034, "probability": 0.072713, "confidence_lo": 0.068293, "confidence_hi": 0.073059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "aebec427b08b5a20e29d2ae96f173cff2d18e3fa51f0178b44ba45067aa6894a", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "cc11f4b25b43f67e474af779cc3bbe05b4a1d0366655ec33a77387f5dfc8619d503deb60728e1d178bd4fd5f94b05571ad7fc1036dd44b58eefc5367f067cd0a" } }, "receipt_sha256": "aebec427b08b5a20e29d2ae96f173cff2d18e3fa51f0178b44ba45067aa6894a" }, { "row": 17, "col": 2, "lat": -25.0, "lon": -175.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.1, "probability": 0.0703, "prob_30d_local": 0.8664, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.0905, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.51, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 46.6, "ell_trend": -3.97, "rate_acceleration": 3.58, "delta_aic_iet": 123.98, "S_over_Gamma": 14.921, "days_to_criticality": 2099.2, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.3354, "grad_tau_local": 0.3794, "depth_trend": -32.09, "spatial_concentration": 72.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9014, "confidence_lo": 0.0345, "confidence_hi": 0.0731, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "9b930daedabd4f33085d98e43278f050917659b9aabac155e69e4b2abd5ac285", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9014, "probability": 0.070346, "confidence_lo": 0.034483, "confidence_hi": 0.073059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "070dd391b09b9aa9c40f76c9cc104201c57774bba538b1c762a426e2ea2bb7ca", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "7ba85b6a4737e8b9ee50755ecb0e2740c15b63fa3362f4a69d901a37418875693e007ec0bcb16ef448f8249685fee89cf8066a10e822f13d3ff8e106af721d07" } }, "receipt_sha256": "070dd391b09b9aa9c40f76c9cc104201c57774bba538b1c762a426e2ea2bb7ca" }, { "row": 32, "col": 51, "lat": 5.0, "lon": -77.0, "n_events": 11, "max_mag": 7.4, "probability": 0.0703, "prob_30d_local": 0.8433, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.2832, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 27.7, "ell_trend": -16.53, "rate_acceleration": 3.69, "delta_aic_iet": 26.78, "S_over_Gamma": 12.734, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.3509, "grad_tau_local": 0.1869, "depth_trend": 4.97, "spatial_concentration": 75.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.8965, "confidence_lo": 0.0345, "confidence_hi": 0.0731, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "d823309b3d359b285bf76f8bda5b0c9b926f5d299b031a0117b3c7411f20bcac", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.8965, "probability": 0.070346, "confidence_lo": 0.034483, "confidence_hi": 0.073059, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "20bd969b5cce7f749b0f3bdcf1da935f3807a73d2e5cad1a5c3f14d135111264", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "db6d50544d606432df6bc64083226f595c63796ed061ffbd3ea624790223b440e5ed6b3e9cc34e974cb6b52cc97894c4561954b238860eab68e444d9555e1400" } }, "receipt_sha256": "20bd969b5cce7f749b0f3bdcf1da935f3807a73d2e5cad1a5c3f14d135111264" }, { "row": 55, "col": 169, "lat": 51.0, "lon": 159.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 4.6, "probability": 0.0455, "prob_30d_local": 0.6788, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.3614, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.157, "b_trend": -0.023, "ell_km": 59.3, "ell_trend": -6.69, "rate_acceleration": 0.39, "delta_aic_iet": 1015.73, "S_over_Gamma": 15.559, "days_to_criticality": 2093.9, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 10.0149, "grad_tau_local": 0.7895, "depth_trend": 1.24, "spatial_concentration": 87.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.8857, "confidence_lo": 0.0345, "confidence_hi": 0.046, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "32ea42755a8e340c2f228fd823322a808155d088ac23242baa78bb8e60313947", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.8857, "probability": 0.045455, "confidence_lo": 0.034483, "confidence_hi": 0.045977, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "d70bea5c112304057896464138cd340289a3abb942da4266350f4f51c874df30", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "72e4eab63c84ebfc00fd283770d91a83ff8b422bdd47193502471a0b65e3f1ff8a1cd53ff3ed1e0345e42a6e349ec6fd5f348b1d1f3a67b016bddecbc2708e09" } }, "receipt_sha256": "d70bea5c112304057896464138cd340289a3abb942da4266350f4f51c874df30" }, { "row": 25, "col": 150, "lat": -9.0, "lon": 121.0, "n_events": 191, "max_mag": 7.8, "probability": 0.0334, "prob_30d_local": 0.8086, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.5776, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.149, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 38.6, "ell_trend": -25.49, "rate_acceleration": 14.85, "delta_aic_iet": -587.15, "S_over_Gamma": 15.938, "days_to_criticality": 1799.6, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.6294, "grad_tau_local": 1.2714, "depth_trend": -53.28, "spatial_concentration": 75.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.8679, "confidence_lo": 0.0334, "confidence_hi": 0.0334, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "714093fe30c7b515743f726133fa57aa4a5d338e4c65e857da18ad833e2c7c93", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.8679, "probability": 0.033449, "confidence_lo": 0.033426, "confidence_hi": 0.033449, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "5f732ed2812a4a6542b6bf1ce96785de3cbabca8258c590df775b6610d421478", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "ca0919e4ab7bd4d975c1eca3fe334d78fcb9d8a21e2402805d25e59f6cfdb28b5cbbf1b0777c353877022d9743e88d4a84f574e4733b33c98f53d929a8b28b0f" } }, "receipt_sha256": "5f732ed2812a4a6542b6bf1ce96785de3cbabca8258c590df775b6610d421478" }, { "row": 48, "col": 137, "lat": 37.0, "lon": 95.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.5, "probability": 0.0334, "prob_30d_local": 0.8251, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.4197, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 13.0, "ell_trend": -0.62, "rate_acceleration": 1.0, "delta_aic_iet": -43.49, "S_over_Gamma": 10.473, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 1.1314, "grad_tau_local": 0.1265, "depth_trend": -0.12, "spatial_concentration": 40.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.8667, "confidence_lo": 0.0334, "confidence_hi": 0.0334, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "959ccf259726bb8efeb8acbfe9550e9a9b00356445cccc7d9257949e303475d8", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.8667, "probability": 0.033449, "confidence_lo": 0.033426, "confidence_hi": 0.033449, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "d64f31cd7a9cdf3483ee766301213d7c90c35f66482e4f243bd439a8a0b8d47c", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "7a96e6f9ac9a3e963e210d8a6100d3e43ce809669cd28779c8e2fc8699823665391adaca6dca943be2f415b590f02b40418ad883d557043d30845a4c68f8f707" } }, "receipt_sha256": "d64f31cd7a9cdf3483ee766301213d7c90c35f66482e4f243bd439a8a0b8d47c" }, { "row": 55, "col": 170, "lat": 51.0, "lon": 161.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 4.6, "probability": 0.0334, "prob_30d_local": 0.604, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.3513, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.16, "b_trend": -0.0239, "ell_km": 60.0, "ell_trend": -6.85, "rate_acceleration": 0.36, "delta_aic_iet": 864.3, "S_over_Gamma": 15.428, "days_to_criticality": 2093.9, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.4393, "grad_tau_local": 2.7938, "depth_trend": -1.37, "spatial_concentration": 62.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.8589, "confidence_lo": 0.0334, "confidence_hi": 0.0334, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "362e60f72295006307712f9da83f5bc9556294b6d863983f1920795a1ad97a63", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.8589, "probability": 0.033449, "confidence_lo": 0.033426, "confidence_hi": 0.033449, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "6580bd68c3f8917e509a5736e0d78cf11b5e193bf6251615e7b71c51ac5c7818", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "12053816f36bc8b0b454707aed6eed040c104b3e00d97383df8c2c1ed09155f5911d1d5380bec12930437be36882a112585b0877b87155c560352cf245536308" } }, "receipt_sha256": "6580bd68c3f8917e509a5736e0d78cf11b5e193bf6251615e7b71c51ac5c7818" }, { "row": 25, "col": 149, "lat": -9.0, "lon": 119.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 4.6, "probability": 0.0334, "prob_30d_local": 0.6894, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.5865, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.155, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 38.1, "ell_trend": -11.68, "rate_acceleration": 15.26, "delta_aic_iet": -572.93, "S_over_Gamma": 15.714, "days_to_criticality": 2099.6, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.266, "grad_tau_local": 1.4544, "depth_trend": -42.2, "spatial_concentration": 80.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.8424, "confidence_lo": 0.0334, "confidence_hi": 0.0334, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "8fbc541a4348e3817d2b8e32c453af2e314f094748b8ceb88667635b79559c66", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.8424, "probability": 0.033449, "confidence_lo": 0.033426, "confidence_hi": 0.033449, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "19d31aebbabb8ed768d9c450d6a8f03d87edef094dcd3ba2a5c46335c179f494", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "3a6fee7cf9ffb4eaefbf86cef1ed03142fdd58351679738bf8ab0c1436e0b65bf21438533532684d7fc3650526186dd5fcb7d701e7065b28afcaebfa63f1d50b" } }, "receipt_sha256": "19d31aebbabb8ed768d9c450d6a8f03d87edef094dcd3ba2a5c46335c179f494" }, { "row": 23, "col": 174, "lat": -13.0, "lon": 169.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.8, "probability": 0.0334, "prob_30d_local": 0.5853, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.1971, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 68.3, "ell_trend": -8.75, "rate_acceleration": 1.17, "delta_aic_iet": 116.59, "S_over_Gamma": 13.252, "days_to_criticality": 2094.5, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.1605, "grad_tau_local": 0.9646, "depth_trend": 49.04, "spatial_concentration": 69.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.8349, "confidence_lo": 0.0334, "confidence_hi": 0.0334, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "1c9727f7fa45d1b7428558eab1ee893492592572ee546813ece88124014fbe04", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.8349, "probability": 0.033449, "confidence_lo": 0.033426, "confidence_hi": 0.033449, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "d99e59908ded87798f6d6f938c9d9edb45b94e63fa538fe944abe0c683187b91", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "6d26744a0c25f70aa304d8284f0c6341bd203d7438144275d513da5ed360291d9dc15c0e1ca33d694bbf0ac08f18ec4bb9a85e43e45cff6d73a6a43ddae07009" } }, "receipt_sha256": "d99e59908ded87798f6d6f938c9d9edb45b94e63fa538fe944abe0c683187b91" }, { "row": 17, "col": 179, "lat": -25.0, "lon": 179.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 4.5, "probability": 0.0334, "prob_30d_local": 0.8377, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.1332, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 55.5, "ell_trend": -2.31, "rate_acceleration": 0.89, "delta_aic_iet": 206.04, "S_over_Gamma": 15.409, "days_to_criticality": 2094.8, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 0.4298, "depth_trend": -5.33, "spatial_concentration": 88.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7955, "confidence_lo": 0.0334, "confidence_hi": 0.0334, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "4fb51f2ef74329d89c9b0c8c515cdf0285063ca54b88534e9ff7d0b96c0d7605", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7955, "probability": 0.033449, "confidence_lo": 0.033426, "confidence_hi": 0.033449, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "6816594cc0c5fdfa4b61ac494cdeda14379d3aa2250a06c5d02278b40bb37b5d", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "ebdc935dc84e4e98f8c8ed03db665add6a46b8b5b6c1d8f41333ffa625fce725db268ddbd5b3fe41a1d34eeac3fafa3a0217e06c2010d915b034b2e586a1d00f" } }, "receipt_sha256": "6816594cc0c5fdfa4b61ac494cdeda14379d3aa2250a06c5d02278b40bb37b5d" }, { "row": 55, "col": 5, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -169.0, "n_events": 20, "max_mag": 3.9, "probability": 0.0334, "prob_30d_local": 0.6225, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.4292, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.617, "b_trend": 0.0329, "ell_km": 14.7, "ell_trend": -4.17, "rate_acceleration": 1.84, "delta_aic_iet": 827.41, "S_over_Gamma": 13.702, "days_to_criticality": 2099.7, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.1806, "grad_tau_local": 2.1826, "depth_trend": 1.4, "spatial_concentration": 75.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7902, "confidence_lo": 0.0334, "confidence_hi": 0.0334, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "4b643f9daef32fb0aaf8922edd40687e01b5453c224ae0a30a638a5adc41742d", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7902, "probability": 0.033449, "confidence_lo": 0.033426, "confidence_hi": 0.033449, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "893f20b872a8e4b662ee11c3f1a47e9972894303d9c1b6cc05808c9220ba82bb", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "b776b07d8fe5b673438c7f794385ba565c8ae05a57f786a3a3d082cbcc8f89e6f2b729e93a1ffec1dcff1adf799e8b3075c54376eea5b581992b527296108a05" } }, "receipt_sha256": "893f20b872a8e4b662ee11c3f1a47e9972894303d9c1b6cc05808c9220ba82bb" }, { "row": 57, "col": 11, "lat": 55.0, "lon": -157.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 4.8, "probability": 0.0334, "prob_30d_local": 0.9926, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.4192, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.753, "b_trend": 0.1234, "ell_km": 22.6, "ell_trend": -0.4, "rate_acceleration": 1.05, "delta_aic_iet": 698.03, "S_over_Gamma": 13.73, "days_to_criticality": 2099.4, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.3308, "grad_tau_local": 1.1779, "depth_trend": -0.67, "spatial_concentration": 74.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7887, "confidence_lo": 0.0334, "confidence_hi": 0.0334, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "81cd28da0c63e212e5359ba3ec2fd274a82bfbe411a44a4d45015438a5788e6e", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7887, "probability": 0.033449, "confidence_lo": 0.033426, "confidence_hi": 0.033449, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "4b9db286b7463f3e787f3e7e7fda1090aa574223ecbbc3a1e8242f4d5e5d6e1e", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "e65080f2334a743b5208da78452cc56b469445cceaae865d0fc1f8bdb87ef1e2cb2406e0ab3aa84f57c846966cf070bafe09af402b1567c2b65085834daa6c0f" } }, "receipt_sha256": "4b9db286b7463f3e787f3e7e7fda1090aa574223ecbbc3a1e8242f4d5e5d6e1e" }, { "row": 37, "col": 162, "lat": 15.0, "lon": 145.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.6, "probability": 0.0334, "prob_30d_local": 0.757, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.1484, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 71.2, "ell_trend": 7.27, "rate_acceleration": 0.83, "delta_aic_iet": 100.91, "S_over_Gamma": 14.703, "days_to_criticality": 22.9, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.9833, "grad_tau_local": 0.0737, "depth_trend": 31.71, "spatial_concentration": 92.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7793, "confidence_lo": 0.0334, "confidence_hi": 0.0334, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "1b615c5d86a0b55f58ad4ee0e2a5c0c2ebbcb7010f203e85004bb569ef7a38e9", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7793, "probability": 0.033449, "confidence_lo": 0.033426, "confidence_hi": 0.033449, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "1d4c212c6dad6097285b82d9d734358a555172d6123ab186dd131d09b071c563", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "266911f6bb5ff0c039ffe4a6d574a3eabd3e7edf5c56de07b0ef5b567be7fc603aa2babf610fa97c10e1ba9ac7ce8969cee257b175b441ae53194bc384971b0e" } }, "receipt_sha256": "1d4c212c6dad6097285b82d9d734358a555172d6123ab186dd131d09b071c563" }, { "row": 56, "col": 5, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -169.0, "n_events": 173, "max_mag": 6.3, "probability": 0.0334, "prob_30d_local": 0.6034, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.7435, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.632, "b_trend": 0.0374, "ell_km": 14.6, "ell_trend": -5.27, "rate_acceleration": 1.68, "delta_aic_iet": 1004.32, "S_over_Gamma": 13.66, "days_to_criticality": 23.6, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 9.2273, "grad_tau_local": 0.6242, "depth_trend": -0.66, "spatial_concentration": 77.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7707, "confidence_lo": 0.0334, "confidence_hi": 0.0334, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "b90f9ff0232c6dd130eaab58e93de457b6d510e1ca6cb566b60a8cb4ec4eeeba", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7707, "probability": 0.033449, "confidence_lo": 0.033426, "confidence_hi": 0.033449, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "a38bd37cdaaed6baa77d37f433378e2847594a98ad7de29212268c25470ecb2b", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "a1ef047b1a1e199af3ada41d94fb953b582891aba63358b5818a4f435f0d4c769525541cd865c92f34f0ae4395a04079d7013b1bc16905a966e7570e2e310007" } }, "receipt_sha256": "a38bd37cdaaed6baa77d37f433378e2847594a98ad7de29212268c25470ecb2b" }, { "row": 37, "col": 43, "lat": 15.0, "lon": -93.0, "n_events": 21, "max_mag": 5.7, "probability": 0.0334, "prob_30d_local": 0.1465, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.6813, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.899, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 43.1, "ell_trend": -5.92, "rate_acceleration": 7.44, "delta_aic_iet": 157.56, "S_over_Gamma": 15.232, "days_to_criticality": 2097.4, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.6366, "grad_tau_local": 0.4039, "depth_trend": -23.44, "spatial_concentration": 84.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7616, "confidence_lo": 0.0334, "confidence_hi": 0.0334, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "e0bd76bd6965b1d3da5dc0a5af08cab722d24c9f43b86903697f83e539a95a32", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7616, "probability": 0.033449, "confidence_lo": 0.033426, "confidence_hi": 0.033449, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ce9dd9e2dc112c56165edfb03607bb1402e198b1ce76bc49f7bf7f2c495bfce1", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "901d9999032dc39017e7188d7154c3c046927ded8382d03378ac91f3515c49408cab5be583385936b66229734500bb13a6bd9eae00dbf39d0075b1c253916906" } }, "receipt_sha256": "ce9dd9e2dc112c56165edfb03607bb1402e198b1ce76bc49f7bf7f2c495bfce1" }, { "row": 44, "col": 142, "lat": 29.0, "lon": 105.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 5.1, "probability": 0.0334, "prob_30d_local": 0.7403, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.5545, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 10.4, "ell_trend": 0.7, "rate_acceleration": 1.89, "delta_aic_iet": 59.33, "S_over_Gamma": 15.472, "days_to_criticality": 36.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 1.4891, "grad_tau_local": 0.0747, "depth_trend": 1.14, "spatial_concentration": 70.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7337, "confidence_lo": 0.0334, "confidence_hi": 0.0334, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "8e51a7f9a32b74fba677e50df396d6712e60d474c68b610663f1f51a281ff7e3", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7337, "probability": 0.033449, "confidence_lo": 0.033426, "confidence_hi": 0.033449, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "191c09ccfc7efd69dd3f72deb9540e6139f7b2bc484f6400f3a7898326b56b9b", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "23ace94e0aae143814342befce814248546bf2389dd14f0fc5e8176650208c3154df85f6fee3bb860e4cbb8fc6f4215ddd54939955b22fd0853833c8c6f1bf00" } }, "receipt_sha256": "191c09ccfc7efd69dd3f72deb9540e6139f7b2bc484f6400f3a7898326b56b9b" }, { "row": 56, "col": 4, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -171.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 3.2, "probability": 0.0334, "prob_30d_local": 0.6335, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.6962, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.625, "b_trend": 0.0422, "ell_km": 15.6, "ell_trend": -4.37, "rate_acceleration": 2.29, "delta_aic_iet": 965.12, "S_over_Gamma": 13.678, "days_to_criticality": 21.9, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.4722, "grad_tau_local": 1.6709, "depth_trend": 0.43, "spatial_concentration": 84.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6706, "confidence_lo": 0.0334, "confidence_hi": 0.0334, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "150700a2850027f23943ccf9f721116e2386c5d1aea59410dd0d6e9a14fa75b1", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6706, "probability": 0.033449, "confidence_lo": 0.033426, "confidence_hi": 0.033449, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ec27266c1c52602656aa55d82ccf3fa703b9987621b8b62bb3818cc517684a09", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "928e485451782b364aa97b4a94f28c8abe4ca7b0d09429efcee29c7d1e8d8250013f055ad6ba8e93b0e199fe6257c3cb23d8f28241154b1f572f993f78862c06" } }, "receipt_sha256": "ec27266c1c52602656aa55d82ccf3fa703b9987621b8b62bb3818cc517684a09" }, { "row": 26, "col": 150, "lat": -7.0, "lon": 121.0, "n_events": 73, "max_mag": 5.5, "probability": 0.0334, "prob_30d_local": 0.8259, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.1511, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.16, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 38.4, "ell_trend": -14.78, "rate_acceleration": 22.86, "delta_aic_iet": -907.4, "S_over_Gamma": 14.229, "days_to_criticality": 1799.6, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.4797, "grad_tau_local": 0.6653, "depth_trend": -53.43, "spatial_concentration": 53.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6647, "confidence_lo": 0.0334, "confidence_hi": 0.0334, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "9ac7bb080f506397af4ac5c643bd6f73c35944edd7d17e0c41913476d99b93e3", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6647, "probability": 0.033449, "confidence_lo": 0.033426, "confidence_hi": 0.033449, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "88a7626fd1e530622001d4c85aa79c2796b7a5fb91a1a3e535ba0cddff5a08e3", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "c5426ae355aafb01a19b54802e346239e2f522a11de851a3b7fd5ba04faea8c19fbc4cf1edd01f37f05967bc36badd48d58f5a1b00dde3792447880ec8f9250a" } }, "receipt_sha256": "88a7626fd1e530622001d4c85aa79c2796b7a5fb91a1a3e535ba0cddff5a08e3" }, { "row": 55, "col": 4, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -171.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 4.2, "probability": 0.0334, "prob_30d_local": 0.6017, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.391, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.624, "b_trend": 0.0418, "ell_km": 15.6, "ell_trend": -3.82, "rate_acceleration": 2.3, "delta_aic_iet": 940.99, "S_over_Gamma": 13.518, "days_to_criticality": 2099.7, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.7977, "grad_tau_local": 1.3719, "depth_trend": 2.42, "spatial_concentration": 66.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6356, "confidence_lo": 0.0334, "confidence_hi": 0.0334, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "8ce556457f4250558224753807f5e3cb0249bc8f1111b6cd6b43930186d487f8", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6356, "probability": 0.033449, "confidence_lo": 0.033426, "confidence_hi": 0.033449, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "a39314bace40c20d678e4cb3b9ffd018abd942f54a8100341f7d9dda50e47a4d", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "a4d1afd2f84aad1ef6cc5045036c11bc76ebcc0816b0e9d495ce40b6382677b4eb2d6ee4470d514bf6b78dc6c581a4fba556ef7e8363cf95edb1cb5a5fa00d00" } }, "receipt_sha256": "a39314bace40c20d678e4cb3b9ffd018abd942f54a8100341f7d9dda50e47a4d" }, { "row": 46, "col": 155, "lat": 33.0, "lon": 131.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 4.9, "probability": 0.0334, "prob_30d_local": 0.3425, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.3342, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 17.0, "ell_trend": 2.9, "rate_acceleration": 7.17, "delta_aic_iet": 4.65, "S_over_Gamma": 12.735, "days_to_criticality": 51.4, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.2217, "grad_tau_local": 0.7822, "depth_trend": -27.16, "spatial_concentration": 45.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5603, "confidence_lo": 0.0334, "confidence_hi": 0.0334, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "e7204a2564d16b13b2b76c0df661b4244817630e21646a4ab237f18868e43796", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5603, "probability": 0.033449, "confidence_lo": 0.033426, "confidence_hi": 0.033449, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "3fd7f0a87e56616b324432e5f8e845eaec1fe54f63bb3d2c0d1acae3f949b13f", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "92f7f71b3f8dafcba795256789f381c519502ac266a2a31d1fcea7d144ff36b99a0e6257d820d36e7f55f171c8dfb005848c192b85ff8cf182ee649321359106" } }, "receipt_sha256": "3fd7f0a87e56616b324432e5f8e845eaec1fe54f63bb3d2c0d1acae3f949b13f" }, { "row": 39, "col": 56, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -67.0, "n_events": 46, "max_mag": 4.0, "probability": 0.0334, "prob_30d_local": 0.6043, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.7331, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.276, "b_trend": -0.0957, "ell_km": 37.9, "ell_trend": -0.56, "rate_acceleration": 1.12, "delta_aic_iet": 1375.84, "S_over_Gamma": 13.637, "days_to_criticality": 21.0, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.5476, "grad_tau_local": 1.4457, "depth_trend": -4.68, "spatial_concentration": 61.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5249, "confidence_lo": 0.0334, "confidence_hi": 0.0334, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "a3e785262b41d1bb502f29fcfaad170820edeab283c1298eca9f42b2a4ae0d6f", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5249, "probability": 0.033449, "confidence_lo": 0.033426, "confidence_hi": 0.033449, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "8cf98e093e6b93f1396bdd4785e05016d39c9c496b5b3b16fd8e36052061f386", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "5cbf4c4e91c4ddd5f94575d675f8dfa92a2b2189334abd281bf1b40bfa2cca993890dabe6f0d9e324796638f1ba8bb7c0e283b114932586c205a7859ff017f07" } }, "receipt_sha256": "8cf98e093e6b93f1396bdd4785e05016d39c9c496b5b3b16fd8e36052061f386" }, { "row": 56, "col": 6, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -167.0, "n_events": 24, "max_mag": 4.0, "probability": 0.0334, "prob_30d_local": 0.6139, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.7328, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.641, "b_trend": 0.0396, "ell_km": 15.5, "ell_trend": -2.85, "rate_acceleration": 1.71, "delta_aic_iet": 1125.31, "S_over_Gamma": 12.466, "days_to_criticality": 21.1, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.3247, "grad_tau_local": 0.4578, "depth_trend": -0.0, "spatial_concentration": 69.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5163, "confidence_lo": 0.0334, "confidence_hi": 0.0334, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "99cbd42f2f7897efc19e49b975478210f195d2d0f0435a5745b97448257ec4aa", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5163, "probability": 0.033449, "confidence_lo": 0.033426, "confidence_hi": 0.033449, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "59632a64517641ed2860b8aa8da713ef1552be3d576caba7cbce6840d30a6261", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "48b443c31d4d8ba1f2ba0ae858f2c5850f2a5416f8ee2f1b69cf7ff11758813375a075217caa85d8c15a5e6b4a234d36c2c0853d8d3163d0da070fa5fa1c5b01" } }, "receipt_sha256": "59632a64517641ed2860b8aa8da713ef1552be3d576caba7cbce6840d30a6261" }, { "row": 39, "col": 12, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -155.0, "n_events": 40, "max_mag": 5.2, "probability": 0.0334, "prob_30d_local": 0.6225, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.2782, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.817, "b_trend": -0.02, "ell_km": 5.3, "ell_trend": 0.05, "rate_acceleration": 1.74, "delta_aic_iet": 263.38, "S_over_Gamma": 13.424, "days_to_criticality": 22.3, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.6164, "grad_tau_local": 0.2468, "depth_trend": -0.61, "spatial_concentration": 34.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5162, "confidence_lo": 0.0334, "confidence_hi": 0.0334, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "414df53a5971e3252ce05bdf665bd3eec47079c6dba91cf9705dae97062720e4", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5162, "probability": 0.033449, "confidence_lo": 0.033426, "confidence_hi": 0.033449, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "a9e5a5eac6b52979eb325f9cde10f88efc99ad4694becc98bb8e24f9f2dd6bb2", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "9afbb5bdaf0e2e0f923b9a3a5895ebb30472d672c167fa079c67f8e27991eee5740d3ccbe64f4ea2cd80bf683c05bcf26ee142cb3292ebd6b419b02f4c5acc09" } }, "receipt_sha256": "a9e5a5eac6b52979eb325f9cde10f88efc99ad4694becc98bb8e24f9f2dd6bb2" }, { "row": 56, "col": 3, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -173.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.0334, "prob_30d_local": 0.6683, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.5542, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.615, "b_trend": 0.0484, "ell_km": 16.1, "ell_trend": -2.82, "rate_acceleration": 2.22, "delta_aic_iet": 1056.88, "S_over_Gamma": 13.324, "days_to_criticality": 21.1, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.2219, "grad_tau_local": 1.8135, "depth_trend": -1.85, "spatial_concentration": 64.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5144, "confidence_lo": 0.0334, "confidence_hi": 0.0334, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "1f6c6df9201094101efeccb93d9147325287b4ad29474a4b2f2aa7f72a1b83ac", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5144, "probability": 0.033449, "confidence_lo": 0.033426, "confidence_hi": 0.033449, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "4a52cec01457042435feb40d83c24c620f0ecfac900e684062b9cf553b923a52", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "13eca17ae749b7b9bfc2e26b75a137c6e7cd4283ac59285ef1bb0ae40d750a84afb7563e7a7ead2bc1814e3c9da98bed9f022ad615f2aab85cb514b620752208" } }, "receipt_sha256": "4a52cec01457042435feb40d83c24c620f0ecfac900e684062b9cf553b923a52" }, { "row": 64, "col": 18, "lat": 69.0, "lon": -143.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 3.6, "probability": 0.0334, "prob_30d_local": 0.6754, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.1666, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 6.3, "ell_trend": -0.03, "rate_acceleration": 1.27, "delta_aic_iet": 71.13, "S_over_Gamma": 13.105, "days_to_criticality": 18.1, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 1.6672, "depth_trend": 0.09, "spatial_concentration": 70.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.51, "confidence_lo": 0.0334, "confidence_hi": 0.0334, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "f9dab77a0429e82a3760a009c4b2ca8e6a243d3ced5db9a5af65f308f40b2fb7", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.51, "probability": 0.033449, "confidence_lo": 0.033426, "confidence_hi": 0.033449, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "67f11ec08cabecfe6788d391afefd25204741c1cea0e06c9b6fe42b4aae9c6ff", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "345d0ef9c3c98215ed89e0c16cb6acc607078ab5d8b04dd1962802ffc4c2f99eaf15b5af944198448e226d8723f3299b8df0d25236118468ea8b41d7cd715a05" } }, "receipt_sha256": "67f11ec08cabecfe6788d391afefd25204741c1cea0e06c9b6fe42b4aae9c6ff" }, { "row": 48, "col": 88, "lat": 37.0, "lon": -3.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.2, "probability": 0.0334, "prob_30d_local": 0.7155, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.24, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 5.8, "ell_trend": null, "rate_acceleration": 3.0, "delta_aic_iet": null, "S_over_Gamma": 14.146, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.2914, "grad_tau_local": 0.0198, "depth_trend": -34.03, "spatial_concentration": 46.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5064, "confidence_lo": 0.0334, "confidence_hi": 0.0334, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "3fe70348a9e32d2a43b383cab4de206405ce9f7f468ef170cef1dc4b9ced8ecb", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5064, "probability": 0.033449, "confidence_lo": 0.033426, "confidence_hi": 0.033449, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "8de8b54e49b2366d69ab7754f186015aa6b05598d686d92a944bb202c53fda97", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "89eb4dab126322093846b3f4f39944f63a78bfa165952ba505e3fb80ad18750d30237a9e1acfeeb2daa580bc17d82cf9e90f64a62047f556df8c4206c1a9eb06" } }, "receipt_sha256": "8de8b54e49b2366d69ab7754f186015aa6b05598d686d92a944bb202c53fda97" }, { "row": 55, "col": 178, "lat": 51.0, "lon": 177.0, "n_events": 122, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.0334, "prob_30d_local": 0.5985, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.1992, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.555, "b_trend": -0.1232, "ell_km": 9.8, "ell_trend": -6.29, "rate_acceleration": 3.55, "delta_aic_iet": 399.75, "S_over_Gamma": 13.987, "days_to_criticality": 2099.3, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.7792, "grad_tau_local": 1.9185, "depth_trend": -8.25, "spatial_concentration": 123.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4807, "confidence_lo": 0.0334, "confidence_hi": 0.0334, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "1aaf4b3f0a15835e2d1a8ee76114e785b2ed3d7955d022f52e2af80cc6290dc9", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4807, "probability": 0.033449, "confidence_lo": 0.033426, "confidence_hi": 0.033449, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "0da6e1cfab97d6e8369da02b85e97e2728a7f7d3c95a7c74032f0a1e43969f27", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "b9796e5cb3205b51ef3cdae6992c7c3a642b9c34a9954b030479a9b69f9b71bc4c4a310a5c5df17c7570ac28ec25ce1fc7f52f4e9711ed812f59af17c7272109" } }, "receipt_sha256": "0da6e1cfab97d6e8369da02b85e97e2728a7f7d3c95a7c74032f0a1e43969f27" }, { "row": 55, "col": 3, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -173.0, "n_events": 32, "max_mag": 3.8, "probability": 0.0334, "prob_30d_local": 0.573, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.202, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.621, "b_trend": 0.0546, "ell_km": 15.6, "ell_trend": -2.23, "rate_acceleration": 2.07, "delta_aic_iet": 1149.38, "S_over_Gamma": 13.482, "days_to_criticality": 25.3, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.9917, "grad_tau_local": 0.8755, "depth_trend": 0.09, "spatial_concentration": 72.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.48, "confidence_lo": 0.0334, "confidence_hi": 0.0334, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "570e12c7e7635a30f79f23e631830adc8e16629301165a968eeca0e46daa8270", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.48, "probability": 0.033449, "confidence_lo": 0.033426, "confidence_hi": 0.033449, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "6b40e5f3cc635babe83f97274169e7b3dd16da628c060f252b3ec56801085538", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "de75627575f82220aa751641730577bcfc61c6a63a8686f99ee4d248c766180e520cb50edbdd1637573db1a5e352f5f1c41ec249819b9878359f5a113123560a" } }, "receipt_sha256": "6b40e5f3cc635babe83f97274169e7b3dd16da628c060f252b3ec56801085538" }, { "row": 39, "col": 57, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -65.0, "n_events": 49, "max_mag": 3.8, "probability": 0.0334, "prob_30d_local": 0.5386, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.7604, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.269, "b_trend": -0.044, "ell_km": 37.1, "ell_trend": 0.4, "rate_acceleration": 1.11, "delta_aic_iet": 1287.47, "S_over_Gamma": 13.983, "days_to_criticality": 36.6, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.7862, "grad_tau_local": 1.7043, "depth_trend": -2.52, "spatial_concentration": 47.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4783, "confidence_lo": 0.0334, "confidence_hi": 0.0334, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "d60091d572cb84f172bab42f745e0dd7416b96963260a69b8d3e6f93b1bb85cb", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4783, "probability": 0.033449, "confidence_lo": 0.033426, "confidence_hi": 0.033449, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "e65dbfb028d29f0af6798a02b2a1e050f1746311558f41a3bc8a257a37a2ee9f", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "e7c525ff7a7a8232b8ad4a489fa6c7a6401b07b9b5d3b37ba45970462095bbcc97425f4a761db5cd2314027d3553d2bf7b43b04d251f3f33ed5891f1ef4a0601" } }, "receipt_sha256": "e65dbfb028d29f0af6798a02b2a1e050f1746311558f41a3bc8a257a37a2ee9f" }, { "row": 55, "col": 179, "lat": 51.0, "lon": 179.0, "n_events": 26, "max_mag": 4.0, "probability": 0.0334, "prob_30d_local": 0.0277, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.3519, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.573, "b_trend": 0.0637, "ell_km": 10.2, "ell_trend": -4.91, "rate_acceleration": 2.94, "delta_aic_iet": 717.13, "S_over_Gamma": 13.486, "days_to_criticality": 21.8, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 4.7792, "depth_trend": -5.43, "spatial_concentration": 130.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4628, "confidence_lo": 0.0334, "confidence_hi": 0.0334, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "02479b89f939e33cb339c815e840741c7da07b1ed9598850f617fb8df67aa01d", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4628, "probability": 0.033449, "confidence_lo": 0.033426, "confidence_hi": 0.033449, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f1de07bb66f36b9e75ce0e6ce63b4f33c2c9698f8f4fe01780f5bb2695cc7d23", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "a9312d27fa33034aba6beaebdd92a73b8b125993eb5b323d867ad8d56f05576e0fe8a1fc97ea0245efcea615471d7ea8184bda19de0a14de45c0d738c8fcfb09" } }, "receipt_sha256": "f1de07bb66f36b9e75ce0e6ce63b4f33c2c9698f8f4fe01780f5bb2695cc7d23" }, { "row": 55, "col": 1, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -177.0, "n_events": 25, "max_mag": 3.8, "probability": 0.0334, "prob_30d_local": 0.5826, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.4945, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.662, "b_trend": 0.0753, "ell_km": 66.9, "ell_trend": -2.25, "rate_acceleration": 2.26, "delta_aic_iet": 895.34, "S_over_Gamma": 13.396, "days_to_criticality": 2099.3, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.9537, "grad_tau_local": 3.1549, "depth_trend": -6.42, "spatial_concentration": 164.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4575, "confidence_lo": 0.0334, "confidence_hi": 0.0334, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "9bd7995778763bb406e1ad8cd756f917399b0b89f7e08a0fef5ce3aeca03835b", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4575, "probability": 0.033449, "confidence_lo": 0.033426, "confidence_hi": 0.033449, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ee2f06e5da9c17689cd3b279e4f2c2ee60ab3991dd2668eef432405fb1a99586", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "89924888f3a64ffc1aefc0c8c6e87e20c7c9507bc2364e0edf9771099ef46e11788cbbbcd27dea6b70623b5659e3ad8987141ceb9f8258a6c86f02307312660c" } }, "receipt_sha256": "ee2f06e5da9c17689cd3b279e4f2c2ee60ab3991dd2668eef432405fb1a99586" }, { "row": 57, "col": 10, "lat": 55.0, "lon": -159.0, "n_events": 17, "max_mag": 4.1, "probability": 0.0334, "prob_30d_local": 0.5995, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.6494, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.738, "b_trend": 0.0695, "ell_km": 22.8, "ell_trend": -0.41, "rate_acceleration": 1.13, "delta_aic_iet": 767.89, "S_over_Gamma": 13.502, "days_to_criticality": 23.1, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.1389, "grad_tau_local": 0.6148, "depth_trend": -2.46, "spatial_concentration": 91.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4542, "confidence_lo": 0.0334, "confidence_hi": 0.0334, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "434f2991ef92e524e701f3b71da38050dde9b87f296197692aa0fa7d4a2a5c93", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4542, "probability": 0.033449, "confidence_lo": 0.033426, "confidence_hi": 0.033449, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "273d0e8c6d74ca53694f1a896dcef2705923f16c4dab19f70db776811e11cefe", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "6d309978d683deae7c1007df9895bdc58b8ae92b471854f36d13e7a0d4695390d9cf640a60b7abd8510f5930062707bdc19d16f828e86b62261a7239e8966d0b" } }, "receipt_sha256": "273d0e8c6d74ca53694f1a896dcef2705923f16c4dab19f70db776811e11cefe" }, { "row": 58, "col": 11, "lat": 57.0, "lon": -157.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 3.9, "probability": 0.0334, "prob_30d_local": 0.6572, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.5101, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.829, "b_trend": -0.0004, "ell_km": 101.9, "ell_trend": -17.63, "rate_acceleration": 1.0, "delta_aic_iet": 512.29, "S_over_Gamma": 13.2, "days_to_criticality": 2099.4, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.6631, "grad_tau_local": 0.5494, "depth_trend": -4.56, "spatial_concentration": 79.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4284, "confidence_lo": 0.0334, "confidence_hi": 0.0334, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "abbd450c6e9f7221e82629354e2294f42bc8bda8b5215fae9221fb2e2ecc3c62", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4284, "probability": 0.033449, "confidence_lo": 0.033426, "confidence_hi": 0.033449, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "406110177db90f9925937362ed974d2d6b6ae2d6d4547677bac3cb05771863db", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "f60af86f09641a2c25b94921f8ee296d76b83e6248181371aae16e3f08289edcb85206772dbb86e012a474f2db41292959351bfb1c3fafee4bb8700e5dbd4c0e" } }, "receipt_sha256": "406110177db90f9925937362ed974d2d6b6ae2d6d4547677bac3cb05771863db" }, { "row": 57, "col": 9, "lat": 55.0, "lon": -161.0, "n_events": 31, "max_mag": 4.8, "probability": 0.0334, "prob_30d_local": 0.6012, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.6327, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.735, "b_trend": 0.0648, "ell_km": 20.7, "ell_trend": -1.38, "rate_acceleration": 1.24, "delta_aic_iet": 882.8, "S_over_Gamma": 12.875, "days_to_criticality": 20.5, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.3952, "grad_tau_local": 0.3068, "depth_trend": 0.68, "spatial_concentration": 77.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4244, "confidence_lo": 0.0334, "confidence_hi": 0.0334, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "a564895d58b062f81615e35093277cc31e89ed352dff38cf0b7830800c34ca70", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4244, "probability": 0.033449, "confidence_lo": 0.033426, "confidence_hi": 0.033449, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "155bac37ec88680e17fc29c5fb7fde92b2525b268efa4c819d4e7cd367034e00", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "655d8a13adce2d013f483a0f7b9efa3d98662261c345e3fff248f2f0261acc732f386d1c028418efcd0eef7e111687bbd9e69c92f6cb859d03fbd2054767680f" } }, "receipt_sha256": "155bac37ec88680e17fc29c5fb7fde92b2525b268efa4c819d4e7cd367034e00" }, { "row": 39, "col": 55, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -69.0, "n_events": 12, "max_mag": 4.1, "probability": 0.0334, "prob_30d_local": 0.6263, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.6125, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.097, "b_trend": 0.0488, "ell_km": 16.7, "ell_trend": -0.29, "rate_acceleration": 1.15, "delta_aic_iet": 686.71, "S_over_Gamma": 14.231, "days_to_criticality": 20.8, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.4621, "grad_tau_local": 2.2806, "depth_trend": -2.24, "spatial_concentration": 42.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4205, "confidence_lo": 0.0334, "confidence_hi": 0.0334, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "272191643a0c3e74498aed142cdea7b6246146a269e0cd958cbca7a20ca230fb", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4205, "probability": 0.033449, "confidence_lo": 0.033426, "confidence_hi": 0.033449, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ac302f09e5932c41204ee1e0e0a73f4548e613cadcacd8c43737c931dff96243", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "a89c6bc071da089830f8074d8dab636e53459ed7e691e360b9556f49786c226bc8454bafb8cc8a7fefcd574d33f6b5771d8c3087b977042fd88be8571e5ad300" } }, "receipt_sha256": "ac302f09e5932c41204ee1e0e0a73f4548e613cadcacd8c43737c931dff96243" }, { "row": 50, "col": 26, "lat": 41.0, "lon": -127.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 4.4, "probability": 0.0334, "prob_30d_local": 0.6515, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.1511, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.6, "b_trend": -0.1672, "ell_km": 11.7, "ell_trend": -0.94, "rate_acceleration": 0.95, "delta_aic_iet": 330.45, "S_over_Gamma": 12.912, "days_to_criticality": 19.3, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.0056, "grad_tau_local": 1.5838, "depth_trend": 1.29, "spatial_concentration": 55.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4198, "confidence_lo": 0.0334, "confidence_hi": 0.0334, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "53756b6d655ab5750836d0d7e6d8ee8e4546c9d9122c98f917862a354e9c2740", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4198, "probability": 0.033449, "confidence_lo": 0.033426, "confidence_hi": 0.033449, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "df17eef64c44ba402b0b5bd59c27ec1645f75a03e65685902c87b1907a53f525", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "61f1f49a2f8a1436dc9900aa694baa5ebb7452bc447445fce1b3019f5063586b81cd5eb5ff3b1f70801cc52f3356303679484eab7a5e216d0df2a62b2e8e590a" } }, "receipt_sha256": "df17eef64c44ba402b0b5bd59c27ec1645f75a03e65685902c87b1907a53f525" }, { "row": 56, "col": 7, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -165.0, "n_events": 29, "max_mag": 4.3, "probability": 0.0334, "prob_30d_local": 0.6143, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.4619, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.715, "b_trend": 0.0785, "ell_km": 30.3, "ell_trend": -9.37, "rate_acceleration": 1.92, "delta_aic_iet": 781.11, "S_over_Gamma": 12.49, "days_to_criticality": 2099.2, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.3117, "grad_tau_local": 0.5686, "depth_trend": -7.75, "spatial_concentration": 86.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4188, "confidence_lo": 0.0334, "confidence_hi": 0.0334, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "d95eb1f5cd237d147438f15bb2ea4a895ae97094d50eebdaba9765977c9c0610", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4188, "probability": 0.033449, "confidence_lo": 0.033426, "confidence_hi": 0.033449, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "93cd50a1c10c41dca9a9267a59feea23c2d9715b53c0f991ca78ba4b148ed50a", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "2beed083920125f34543dbf7c84cb57301e98977a2ace350d34c2db810e357984758ce7bdb7cf8c87a283999061b03eb54274431e5bb8add74f7b483ee39b40d" } }, "receipt_sha256": "93cd50a1c10c41dca9a9267a59feea23c2d9715b53c0f991ca78ba4b148ed50a" }, { "row": 55, "col": 0, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 43, "max_mag": 3.7, "probability": 0.0334, "prob_30d_local": 0.6, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.355, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.636, "b_trend": 0.1377, "ell_km": 71.6, "ell_trend": 1.18, "rate_acceleration": 1.85, "delta_aic_iet": 743.51, "S_over_Gamma": 13.247, "days_to_criticality": 62.8, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 4.9537, "depth_trend": -5.55, "spatial_concentration": 117.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4169, "confidence_lo": 0.0334, "confidence_hi": 0.0334, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "68602973b4e0491ad5896b099ec1e4b08275b9417886a677c0bbf4a67e8d6531", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4169, "probability": 0.033449, "confidence_lo": 0.033426, "confidence_hi": 0.033449, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "785924fed166329bb59ee32962e11caf7bb06cb1cca994769e231b325a363e54", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "27338ba4e3f4abf95d8387f794c80fc1717ced5c546a851fed206734bdc0e048756456b04a8145236c960031b3991918c09e71b92ab1176720bab9a209fb580b" } }, "receipt_sha256": "785924fed166329bb59ee32962e11caf7bb06cb1cca994769e231b325a363e54" }, { "row": 38, "col": 56, "lat": 17.0, "lon": -67.0, "n_events": 13, "max_mag": 3.6, "probability": 0.0334, "prob_30d_local": 0.5888, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.198, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.239, "b_trend": -0.0452, "ell_km": 19.6, "ell_trend": -1.09, "rate_acceleration": 1.33, "delta_aic_iet": 917.92, "S_over_Gamma": 13.25, "days_to_criticality": 21.0, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.9483, "grad_tau_local": 2.0208, "depth_trend": -4.41, "spatial_concentration": 58.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4162, "confidence_lo": 0.0334, "confidence_hi": 0.0334, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "fa6a64bd2cb1ed09ec7558c5ccf30f885ad39b8a917a09e0febd8feae076c60e", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4162, "probability": 0.033449, "confidence_lo": 0.033426, "confidence_hi": 0.033449, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "07f3633413361ef8faa8485ce4be4f1785653a6202e75b192c7d3bebc4832565", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "3a32adef87f461b02e2f5279ab51de2095db4520c86711dd3197d0db425151a87fe87b06739104d301b062633c06672ac1ce8d23c12f2082007786e828bfdb02" } }, "receipt_sha256": "07f3633413361ef8faa8485ce4be4f1785653a6202e75b192c7d3bebc4832565" }, { "row": 45, "col": 37, "lat": 31.0, "lon": -105.0, "n_events": 15, "max_mag": 3.2, "probability": 0.0334, "prob_30d_local": 0.6296, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.2752, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.15, "b_trend": -0.1011, "ell_km": 3.7, "ell_trend": 0.14, "rate_acceleration": 0.64, "delta_aic_iet": 369.68, "S_over_Gamma": 13.295, "days_to_criticality": 15.7, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.6234, "grad_tau_local": 0.7695, "depth_trend": 0.19, "spatial_concentration": 39.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4149, "confidence_lo": 0.0334, "confidence_hi": 0.0334, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "e3c18dd0bc329715eed15cc70134eaa859e379c0edb2b0410ff0a457d75f4257", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4149, "probability": 0.033449, "confidence_lo": 0.033426, "confidence_hi": 0.033449, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "8bbf74e28aefdc201b6ebce2c4f02fbe812ae48a5afc46dacd768e2fee3ff61a", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "860bfc1c32977778ed1b10a6901b12e92503486a6484cb9a420d7e0cb0522691be1073461fc9e4e1fc18452296598fd098ec649ab3a295465c5c36164bfb0d09" } }, "receipt_sha256": "8bbf74e28aefdc201b6ebce2c4f02fbe812ae48a5afc46dacd768e2fee3ff61a" }, { "row": 49, "col": 28, "lat": 39.0, "lon": -123.0, "n_events": 11, "max_mag": 3.3, "probability": 0.0334, "prob_30d_local": 0.6341, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.1186, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.92, "b_trend": -0.004, "ell_km": 3.5, "ell_trend": 0.64, "rate_acceleration": 0.84, "delta_aic_iet": 557.44, "S_over_Gamma": 13.502, "days_to_criticality": 19.2, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.7108, "grad_tau_local": 0.8226, "depth_trend": 0.68, "spatial_concentration": 74.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4144, "confidence_lo": 0.0334, "confidence_hi": 0.0334, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "9c248dacc293c7ed8664ec0d9e39525dbf52ac13869e6ca48cdb76965d74ca2e", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4144, "probability": 0.033449, "confidence_lo": 0.033426, "confidence_hi": 0.033449, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f23152d5d4f8ce86261976dba1199974741db37ee9ca09ebaa8ba46ce3d585d7", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "29bf2f1dfc095447698c28224168c9f34f4f80c5499454a64e3c45e899a2e31abc8ce30a8fe8736eea0ff086a25a1bf73e9cf2f839010d2bbc82e5c140f9a501" } }, "receipt_sha256": "f23152d5d4f8ce86261976dba1199974741db37ee9ca09ebaa8ba46ce3d585d7" }, { "row": 57, "col": 8, "lat": 55.0, "lon": -163.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 3.3, "probability": 0.0334, "prob_30d_local": 0.9145, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.591, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.726, "b_trend": 0.0356, "ell_km": 23.7, "ell_trend": -0.94, "rate_acceleration": 1.29, "delta_aic_iet": 930.65, "S_over_Gamma": 11.333, "days_to_criticality": 20.5, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.6506, "grad_tau_local": 1.0273, "depth_trend": -0.71, "spatial_concentration": 63.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4057, "confidence_lo": 0.0334, "confidence_hi": 0.0334, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "1071dc03c37f6289c6dd2e191976ad66ad025099827ecb19802b0d78adb964d9", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4057, "probability": 0.033449, "confidence_lo": 0.033426, "confidence_hi": 0.033449, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "d5c1365ecade57a12dfcf59df7abac139687301e8a2f7eb7574f93e33792462d", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "9b5f6567485c1c37992359b55cd94be7d50801ec5a407ec70e6b7db4e3d7c4e6da88cd3830290787de734ce7f743c3fe93d9f5ebcd2fad42bff696533ddcc90b" } }, "receipt_sha256": "d5c1365ecade57a12dfcf59df7abac139687301e8a2f7eb7574f93e33792462d" }, { "row": 60, "col": 14, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -151.0, "n_events": 27, "max_mag": 3.4, "probability": 0.0334, "prob_30d_local": 0.6328, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.5714, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.055, "b_trend": -0.1746, "ell_km": 90.2, "ell_trend": 0.26, "rate_acceleration": 0.94, "delta_aic_iet": 855.8, "S_over_Gamma": 13.35, "days_to_criticality": 15.4, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.675, "grad_tau_local": 0.4275, "depth_trend": -1.01, "spatial_concentration": 69.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4049, "confidence_lo": 0.0334, "confidence_hi": 0.0334, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "27ffb939b6460f259d40b3578b0885d743640dc2e1a716a1f1f5bb5549a05a2d", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4049, "probability": 0.033449, "confidence_lo": 0.033426, "confidence_hi": 0.033449, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "53251438aa6332e92e3153fd4a0709d87cffd0952fb179c599df8caf17cbfc1e", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "1d973b32a33b793f04daab27f8abbf8bc2b2e53160931583b9a2b65ac64a0f8f9a694a84742d25dc0548cbdf08142000bb500647fc930a8a440a9e0e3ecc8906" } }, "receipt_sha256": "53251438aa6332e92e3153fd4a0709d87cffd0952fb179c599df8caf17cbfc1e" }, { "row": 56, "col": 8, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -163.0, "n_events": 19, "max_mag": 4.8, "probability": 0.0334, "prob_30d_local": 0.6818, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.3064, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.716, "b_trend": 0.1075, "ell_km": 23.8, "ell_trend": -0.82, "rate_acceleration": 1.43, "delta_aic_iet": 927.45, "S_over_Gamma": 12.083, "days_to_criticality": 2099.1, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.5877, "grad_tau_local": 1.1975, "depth_trend": -1.63, "spatial_concentration": 72.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4044, "confidence_lo": 0.0334, "confidence_hi": 0.0334, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "61de4dde7e4a14cae721018fa0cbc7228c8309a7617c046c7351d496a2444ea7", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4044, "probability": 0.033449, "confidence_lo": 0.033426, "confidence_hi": 0.033449, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "a2e73083759ac71510b80b5590ab9c40e2f67bdf0fd002bf4565d4b77c57f807", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "dabf0fe89e9bb27534456a2ce226a24ec1fbb59c6f1b2e872954683dd31c305452b1533b8c2aa74cd84988fadbe1b7ec0448ce9e10c6f44c837a38ef87c06107" } }, "receipt_sha256": "a2e73083759ac71510b80b5590ab9c40e2f67bdf0fd002bf4565d4b77c57f807" }, { "row": 50, "col": 27, "lat": 41.0, "lon": -125.0, "n_events": 17, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.0334, "prob_30d_local": 0.6055, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.4497, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.593, "b_trend": -0.1295, "ell_km": 10.9, "ell_trend": -0.93, "rate_acceleration": 1.09, "delta_aic_iet": 368.25, "S_over_Gamma": 13.361, "days_to_criticality": 19.3, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.3857, "grad_tau_local": 0.6253, "depth_trend": 0.12, "spatial_concentration": 80.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3982, "confidence_lo": 0.0334, "confidence_hi": 0.0334, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "89442599419404fdab4b5d0664359992779f951b4e28a1c3fb6b2db75d36dece", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3982, "probability": 0.033449, "confidence_lo": 0.033426, "confidence_hi": 0.033449, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f25889a68853d9210e15cc5f009df000aaad9de009c1f8cc25b936766326aca7", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "82d82652f4c4cd23e39f6a97545bea7307078ed93429431e64dc542a9325a375ab5ea06564b5c3d745592495ab533c367b73a58d63b63d80cb0d329d6fe8a307" } }, "receipt_sha256": "f25889a68853d9210e15cc5f009df000aaad9de009c1f8cc25b936766326aca7" }, { "row": 60, "col": 13, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -153.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 3.9, "probability": 0.0334, "prob_30d_local": 0.6405, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.5076, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.052, "b_trend": -0.0677, "ell_km": 85.7, "ell_trend": 0.03, "rate_acceleration": 0.9, "delta_aic_iet": 798.98, "S_over_Gamma": 13.216, "days_to_criticality": 1390.0, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.0485, "grad_tau_local": 1.5537, "depth_trend": 2.2, "spatial_concentration": 68.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3972, "confidence_lo": 0.0334, "confidence_hi": 0.0334, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "ef7655147f600ba93d55fa693d229c621d355187f120cf6278855bc37ef0d2c5", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3972, "probability": 0.033449, "confidence_lo": 0.033426, "confidence_hi": 0.033449, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "4b5b85e91176f28d4aa4066c0ffde64ee5693691b3e242032d26caa4fa06094b", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "ed26381e14d47ff970ec7bc2b8a7f1879e6bca60eb2be67a2a85e085e4bf958e6debb7eb911cbc25c69e49cf61643fb43391d12840d071391e6607bdf1363d04" } }, "receipt_sha256": "4b5b85e91176f28d4aa4066c0ffde64ee5693691b3e242032d26caa4fa06094b" }, { "row": 59, "col": 13, "lat": 59.0, "lon": -153.0, "n_events": 12, "max_mag": 3.9, "probability": 0.0334, "prob_30d_local": 0.6017, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.6016, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.842, "b_trend": -0.2302, "ell_km": 86.7, "ell_trend": 0.35, "rate_acceleration": 0.77, "delta_aic_iet": 626.45, "S_over_Gamma": 13.255, "days_to_criticality": 167.2, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.7414, "grad_tau_local": 0.2704, "depth_trend": 3.51, "spatial_concentration": 81.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3949, "confidence_lo": 0.0334, "confidence_hi": 0.0334, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "930902db04661e33a859793a55ec15e7d91107618d518343f783a6f0134810d5", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3949, "probability": 0.033449, "confidence_lo": 0.033426, "confidence_hi": 0.033449, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "3136da1094936aca1b0cd217f74bfee82b7492ff67c199761fe7eeafb3355eda", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "71e51113cc3913036b09eca43cbaf936f1dd28c82a3ee7e33abbc3402d1c5930761c2b0d93d50706e1680a4173dd1c2f6b67bb5cc6f0244efab0adb33b524e02" } }, "receipt_sha256": "3136da1094936aca1b0cd217f74bfee82b7492ff67c199761fe7eeafb3355eda" }, { "row": 56, "col": 178, "lat": 53.0, "lon": 177.0, "n_events": 62, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.0334, "prob_30d_local": 0.7002, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.342, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.544, "b_trend": -0.1002, "ell_km": 9.7, "ell_trend": -5.18, "rate_acceleration": 3.71, "delta_aic_iet": 261.94, "S_over_Gamma": 11.132, "days_to_criticality": 2098.7, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.1176, "grad_tau_local": 2.1268, "depth_trend": -9.3, "spatial_concentration": 100.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3913, "confidence_lo": 0.0334, "confidence_hi": 0.0334, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "feb936c0322c2223f42bc5f9984ca586e00131be90663bf10a8f4ddd735555d5", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3913, "probability": 0.033449, "confidence_lo": 0.033426, "confidence_hi": 0.033449, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ea600bc7957c0dbced680ae9908295778fa2c45d4d689ac4eb12d185aa6ab8db", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "5a2b73fe6714f928ba6c39bf7c6cd38c6e76991876a3909668c7f286f3f32fdbcb333fd6f81f7d83206099771320b3d3025d6d09a2d0eb0d0b1f9bba1bb9a102" } }, "receipt_sha256": "ea600bc7957c0dbced680ae9908295778fa2c45d4d689ac4eb12d185aa6ab8db" }, { "row": 61, "col": 15, "lat": 63.0, "lon": -149.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 3.3, "probability": 0.0334, "prob_30d_local": 0.6372, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.4813, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.901, "b_trend": 0.0847, "ell_km": 93.9, "ell_trend": -1.23, "rate_acceleration": 1.01, "delta_aic_iet": 643.46, "S_over_Gamma": 13.273, "days_to_criticality": 2099.6, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.9385, "grad_tau_local": 1.7915, "depth_trend": 3.81, "spatial_concentration": 71.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3909, "confidence_lo": 0.0334, "confidence_hi": 0.0334, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "74b7121b9f3346f3dce19e94b4241a9f8377dd2239565773b308c38caa02af7a", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3909, "probability": 0.033449, "confidence_lo": 0.033426, "confidence_hi": 0.033449, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "b6e140cdc4a0febb38b1c58ce80bdfd0e49a2a2e2bfc0648f7d8ba38fed2afd1", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "dbea20fe5879577164d30648f57032c3cc9eef9e38de62e702f1ff5e12c5ff4a5676d02394b82a1054fa5de409d8d744d2f2efd00c866f5958e07eb55a87db0f" } }, "receipt_sha256": "b6e140cdc4a0febb38b1c58ce80bdfd0e49a2a2e2bfc0648f7d8ba38fed2afd1" }, { "row": 61, "col": 14, "lat": 63.0, "lon": -151.0, "n_events": 16, "max_mag": 3.1, "probability": 0.0334, "prob_30d_local": 0.6987, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.6095, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.898, "b_trend": 0.0772, "ell_km": 93.6, "ell_trend": -1.33, "rate_acceleration": 1.02, "delta_aic_iet": 617.84, "S_over_Gamma": 13.337, "days_to_criticality": 2099.6, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.4236, "grad_tau_local": 2.0058, "depth_trend": 3.89, "spatial_concentration": 73.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3886, "confidence_lo": 0.0334, "confidence_hi": 0.0334, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "69f79595d3163ff1ad5bc13196faf6601886f3fb9e0ffe4fc76cee0ffbe05b53", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3886, "probability": 0.033449, "confidence_lo": 0.033426, "confidence_hi": 0.033449, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f47a41df2b461683b3e57487657f428ea7b132f53abe9f862c10904bd9736b48", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "b26f31a7f9f49bc54c89ae459642dd3ba90a35249ef3d8c3fa44d46f6191182a2bba2f28e8a1c19b5a66bd35b3d0d741a759ca95d26ef7e79d5567c8de11aa06" } }, "receipt_sha256": "f47a41df2b461683b3e57487657f428ea7b132f53abe9f862c10904bd9736b48" }, { "row": 51, "col": 26, "lat": 43.0, "lon": -127.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 3.2, "probability": 0.0334, "prob_30d_local": 0.6433, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.1368, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.488, "b_trend": 0.085, "ell_km": 26.3, "ell_trend": 2.5, "rate_acceleration": 1.02, "delta_aic_iet": 223.11, "S_over_Gamma": 13.921, "days_to_criticality": 58.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.1246, "grad_tau_local": 1.0055, "depth_trend": 0.66, "spatial_concentration": 84.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.378, "confidence_lo": 0.0334, "confidence_hi": 0.0334, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "5bb3728aaaca0b897a577d1eecac6936933c48006fc96e4a5c4d1548491658a6", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.378, "probability": 0.033449, "confidence_lo": 0.033426, "confidence_hi": 0.033449, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "2765429e7f4276429c0a2b18b0f623f0bf396ce005128abd544dcce1cda19ab8", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "3779cfd790a9e223c030cf729d83ea59bffcd310becb27e9e1a7213730d1ffdf12de9acfa733c90916c0be82ba832b3546542dc00a000a06f8eaef6eb1c26b01" } }, "receipt_sha256": "2765429e7f4276429c0a2b18b0f623f0bf396ce005128abd544dcce1cda19ab8" }, { "row": 58, "col": 12, "lat": 57.0, "lon": -155.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 4.5, "probability": 0.0334, "prob_30d_local": 0.6295, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.6055, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.844, "b_trend": -0.0415, "ell_km": 130.4, "ell_trend": 2.91, "rate_acceleration": 0.9, "delta_aic_iet": 502.75, "S_over_Gamma": 13.14, "days_to_criticality": 420.5, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.9469, "grad_tau_local": 0.525, "depth_trend": 0.95, "spatial_concentration": 79.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.375, "confidence_lo": 0.0334, "confidence_hi": 0.0334, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "cde9257204ec8b35b7668295e4570a4c921e8be01d06d4d49b7d176fa30acc86", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.375, "probability": 0.033449, "confidence_lo": 0.033426, "confidence_hi": 0.033449, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "72765be39645e678a5703b4c918a428bc0f7ee98abc6520a8922a0a1ea7f2699", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "ad1c061ecb51949c612f710ce7bc5bf0ed3e972ef13a02c3d93fac85adbf34d7af6c6498cb24ef2d44966715b3973a842189cf98de4976808b7aee3f80a0920b" } }, "receipt_sha256": "72765be39645e678a5703b4c918a428bc0f7ee98abc6520a8922a0a1ea7f2699" }, { "row": 61, "col": 13, "lat": 63.0, "lon": -153.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 5.6, "probability": 0.0334, "prob_30d_local": 0.6345, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.3443, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.867, "b_trend": 0.1369, "ell_km": 86.4, "ell_trend": -0.9, "rate_acceleration": 1.08, "delta_aic_iet": 536.97, "S_over_Gamma": 12.899, "days_to_criticality": 2099.6, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.3818, "grad_tau_local": 2.1729, "depth_trend": 1.82, "spatial_concentration": 67.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3714, "confidence_lo": 0.0334, "confidence_hi": 0.0334, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "2c9ce7802ce5c0a62372c8ab4fa2f45a622475c0286844d7fbbc0320fb0c5647", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3714, "probability": 0.033449, "confidence_lo": 0.033426, "confidence_hi": 0.033449, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "fcc1aba5f7dffe618a4c7a8dddd1e77de74c8ff061ad4c64ba4b44829710fe80", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "5f09b3f6026e7140c72829ea7c801036e7c6a402dd491db4724739fe802f3000af8689aef8330c704d01bf23bb004b19ec0c79d6177c04f76d915bff918ffa07" } }, "receipt_sha256": "fcc1aba5f7dffe618a4c7a8dddd1e77de74c8ff061ad4c64ba4b44829710fe80" }, { "row": 60, "col": 15, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -149.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 3.9, "probability": 0.0334, "prob_30d_local": 0.6141, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.444, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.065, "b_trend": -0.1055, "ell_km": 86.1, "ell_trend": 0.66, "rate_acceleration": 0.93, "delta_aic_iet": 823.35, "S_over_Gamma": 12.894, "days_to_criticality": 27.4, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.7879, "grad_tau_local": 0.9516, "depth_trend": 0.35, "spatial_concentration": 68.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3584, "confidence_lo": 0.0334, "confidence_hi": 0.0334, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "93171db5948fc5d2e8e13a423e608ea196d46ca6138a008094d77fe5aacd9fd8", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3584, "probability": 0.033449, "confidence_lo": 0.033426, "confidence_hi": 0.033449, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "cb9642713856aa335b0642820c696e785c6d07ae040c31ce0c862f9a6c8442c6", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "669f54a4a9c4a78fec58c0a047e6234cb19ecbc328d4264c9d22e1532d48aef28adbce13a5ff7ba89420c0b9efd6edf937d00df6a490ec36c18b84d606ebed09" } }, "receipt_sha256": "cb9642713856aa335b0642820c696e785c6d07ae040c31ce0c862f9a6c8442c6" }, { "row": 59, "col": 14, "lat": 59.0, "lon": -151.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 3.8, "probability": 0.0334, "prob_30d_local": 0.604, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.3484, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.87, "b_trend": -0.1519, "ell_km": 82.3, "ell_trend": 0.47, "rate_acceleration": 0.79, "delta_aic_iet": 661.82, "S_over_Gamma": 12.894, "days_to_criticality": 93.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.238, "grad_tau_local": 1.0047, "depth_trend": 4.96, "spatial_concentration": 91.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3537, "confidence_lo": 0.0334, "confidence_hi": 0.0334, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "968caf6dd61382db13553ea46e02bb05f47fb1100546e908e03c0f4f3b60e754", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3537, "probability": 0.033449, "confidence_lo": 0.033426, "confidence_hi": 0.033449, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "4109e3afd47881104ad31ee23e0b42e877fd4fcc541bcadc461c9955ae8db297", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "66645ff8288ac49da1ffdecc49b54f771e37b879a4d1d366209ecd4a7b77a377cd736c5371f41527b55543b86e0310aa85f36c35b55578c35b2ccd2c1412dd0e" } }, "receipt_sha256": "4109e3afd47881104ad31ee23e0b42e877fd4fcc541bcadc461c9955ae8db297" }, { "row": 46, "col": 31, "lat": 33.0, "lon": -117.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 3.6, "probability": 0.0334, "prob_30d_local": 0.6272, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.259, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.892, "b_trend": -0.0668, "ell_km": 2.6, "ell_trend": -0.05, "rate_acceleration": 0.58, "delta_aic_iet": 446.5, "S_over_Gamma": 13.267, "days_to_criticality": 19.2, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.1708, "grad_tau_local": 1.2796, "depth_trend": 0.81, "spatial_concentration": 73.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3309, "confidence_lo": 0.0334, "confidence_hi": 0.0334, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "488641262d205ef47cd2afdc9ca5ce380064948a14670b3eef563e28c15f3167", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3309, "probability": 0.033449, "confidence_lo": 0.033426, "confidence_hi": 0.033449, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "a9e2f0f69415bbfa7d511bccdc726b258427dad8a51ea4032039e22969dda2a5", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "ec57fb08ab1adfc4adfb73c357854308a69cd482fea432a273413b5b31ebba64c7394ccd2d528af3f8d43b61746ab23c150b92f856c507d4c4bd55f55a98860e" } }, "receipt_sha256": "a9e2f0f69415bbfa7d511bccdc726b258427dad8a51ea4032039e22969dda2a5" }, { "row": 47, "col": 36, "lat": 35.0, "lon": -107.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 4.0, "probability": 0.0334, "prob_30d_local": 0.6085, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.0498, "risk_band": "elevated", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 4.7, "ell_trend": -0.5, "rate_acceleration": 4.31, "delta_aic_iet": 87.7, "S_over_Gamma": 7.96, "days_to_criticality": 9.4, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.7726, "grad_tau_local": 0.084, "depth_trend": 1.88, "spatial_concentration": 54.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.2989, "confidence_lo": 0.0334, "confidence_hi": 0.0334, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "6430363a8d5ade24659533d0d00e840c1225424d11685fd6adb793f90c082944", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.2989, "probability": 0.033449, "confidence_lo": 0.033426, "confidence_hi": 0.033449, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "d3b27d714dcf7572a75ac18477cbe3ab96f05a78d69cef84cf185889dffd66aa", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "f2b02915b82e8abcedb8ada6648eb47e4256071deb1e14c51ccceb27978aa409d54bddd9b0174524cc93cbf9205fcb690c5dcef744e2c2b3ba2f3ecd28632601" } }, "receipt_sha256": "d3b27d714dcf7572a75ac18477cbe3ab96f05a78d69cef84cf185889dffd66aa" }, { "row": 48, "col": 30, "lat": 37.0, "lon": -119.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 3.3, "probability": 0.0334, "prob_30d_local": 0.6124, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.0344, "risk_band": "elevated", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.944, "b_trend": -0.0702, "ell_km": 2.7, "ell_trend": 0.25, "rate_acceleration": 0.72, "delta_aic_iet": 737.11, "S_over_Gamma": 12.94, "days_to_criticality": 12.7, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.3347, "grad_tau_local": 0.4831, "depth_trend": -0.83, "spatial_concentration": 58.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.2897, "confidence_lo": 0.0334, "confidence_hi": 0.0334, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "b2e3e0cc30b16aa48323114f2b4933b17c9fc2b619a3d4e5721eb4febbd57bf2", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.2897, "probability": 0.033449, "confidence_lo": 0.033426, "confidence_hi": 0.033449, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "d01afee739c83c96ab488b560756b16cc0dedc243eed047000a1a070b3a74c91", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "4f41fa5c77cb1b7a211524d2c016025f9543d28ad95638ba36ec13277605af399c965b99f0c2f74d928e1d6954adf7d8df27a72740196fc5f7ba345ffc93be06" } }, "receipt_sha256": "d01afee739c83c96ab488b560756b16cc0dedc243eed047000a1a070b3a74c91" }, { "row": 55, "col": 2, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -175.0, "n_events": 24, "max_mag": 3.2, "probability": 0.0334, "prob_30d_local": 0.6064, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.3988, "risk_band": "elevated", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.65, "b_trend": 0.0888, "ell_km": 60.6, "ell_trend": -1.94, "rate_acceleration": 2.25, "delta_aic_iet": 833.79, "S_over_Gamma": 12.613, "days_to_criticality": 19.7, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.2974, "grad_tau_local": 1.1396, "depth_trend": -9.17, "spatial_concentration": 72.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.2557, "confidence_lo": 0.0334, "confidence_hi": 0.0334, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "7a4903d8a8061bfa164373dd2359814b5077278217fbed08020731a12a242f6e", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.2557, "probability": 0.033449, "confidence_lo": 0.033426, "confidence_hi": 0.033449, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "8b54684b3ca141b27441b3d4cadc19e5b93e8a5ad21bb7117ef891ed2360d6bb", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "d84e2df00f7915de72f2aaff1f465f2fb6b98fd3066e76446fa8e06a7e689403ebc405dc8d975931e3c54700cfdf4db83982017ddacbe1d52632139f45256c0d" } }, "receipt_sha256": "8b54684b3ca141b27441b3d4cadc19e5b93e8a5ad21bb7117ef891ed2360d6bb" }, { "row": 48, "col": 29, "lat": 37.0, "lon": -121.0, "n_events": 12, "max_mag": 3.9, "probability": 0.0334, "prob_30d_local": 0.5782, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.1854, "risk_band": "elevated", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.013, "b_trend": 0.1007, "ell_km": 2.4, "ell_trend": 0.41, "rate_acceleration": 0.8, "delta_aic_iet": 459.84, "S_over_Gamma": 12.623, "days_to_criticality": 19.2, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.3126, "grad_tau_local": 0.92, "depth_trend": -0.76, "spatial_concentration": 78.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.2514, "confidence_lo": 0.0334, "confidence_hi": 0.0334, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "b7404843bb60e579e2fa7f75dd9dc0ba5f79e678fcf8d04f8f60bd3e64c65c94", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.2514, "probability": 0.033449, "confidence_lo": 0.033426, "confidence_hi": 0.033449, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "8f6192f23295855b42b39fc084ad237612105b0c6ac64785e459e23fa2d32aaf", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "a6f735a38e1562907c6ece40858e2bd90c2efaabcd51b56da87bc0c1265e2afb9b150c0c949b5a09bbe019f6f4d8773f5c880fdf22386c8dfa00932352a03001" } }, "receipt_sha256": "8f6192f23295855b42b39fc084ad237612105b0c6ac64785e459e23fa2d32aaf" }, { "row": 47, "col": 29, "lat": 35.0, "lon": -121.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 2.8, "probability": 0.0334, "prob_30d_local": 0.5885, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.0228, "risk_band": "elevated", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.053, "b_trend": 0.058, "ell_km": 3.5, "ell_trend": -0.18, "rate_acceleration": 1.06, "delta_aic_iet": 253.27, "S_over_Gamma": 13.042, "days_to_criticality": 8.5, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.8995, "grad_tau_local": 1.7098, "depth_trend": 0.41, "spatial_concentration": 59.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.248, "confidence_lo": 0.0334, "confidence_hi": 0.0334, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "71add07c4b1095071c17c466fd976a9ada61cb11bc70bcfe5b1e67c494de1096", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.248, "probability": 0.033449, "confidence_lo": 0.033426, "confidence_hi": 0.033449, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "5ae42c29561c3b8c85b920f9da10ab5d902631fab8bdcfba1bc9bd50889ec91f", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "f18d237596167b8fe820e18c5ccbf2dfac37c16e9cd0df6faf4729a92ad5e7a154a838cc860e6c919259bb72142d28e8397b503e2f355c713850013dcbe5c001" } }, "receipt_sha256": "5ae42c29561c3b8c85b920f9da10ab5d902631fab8bdcfba1bc9bd50889ec91f" }, { "row": 48, "col": 31, "lat": 37.0, "lon": -117.0, "n_events": 11, "max_mag": 4.0, "probability": 0.0334, "prob_30d_local": 0.6232, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.0638, "risk_band": "elevated", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.924, "b_trend": -0.0476, "ell_km": 2.0, "ell_trend": 0.04, "rate_acceleration": 1.02, "delta_aic_iet": 369.24, "S_over_Gamma": 13.267, "days_to_criticality": 13.5, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.1185, "grad_tau_local": 0.4861, "depth_trend": -0.99, "spatial_concentration": 54.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.2286, "confidence_lo": 0.0334, "confidence_hi": 0.0334, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "8081b8e137b8455af30356fce6f985679f2fce68f02cda21799a3671e9ce418d", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.2286, "probability": 0.033449, "confidence_lo": 0.033426, "confidence_hi": 0.033449, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "aeaf41bb85933e4004baa56669f8734f055d2679cc5497aa55bd39df43a181b3", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "6e9f3e82864b5c424fe09ce83de714b7f9a783e9df755f42aa8ecc8a597b54d904392e5a30c9b9a748df291071f61a1b5ec7d8dd3403ec1d11be968c149d7205" } }, "receipt_sha256": "aeaf41bb85933e4004baa56669f8734f055d2679cc5497aa55bd39df43a181b3" }, { "row": 58, "col": 15, "lat": 57.0, "lon": -149.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 2.9, "probability": 0.0334, "prob_30d_local": 0.6031, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.0182, "risk_band": "elevated", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.95, "b_trend": 0.0961, "ell_km": 28.6, "ell_trend": 1.99, "rate_acceleration": 1.1, "delta_aic_iet": 253.89, "S_over_Gamma": 11.391, "days_to_criticality": 20.4, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.7873, "grad_tau_local": 1.2943, "depth_trend": 1.99, "spatial_concentration": 49.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.2144, "confidence_lo": 0.0334, "confidence_hi": 0.0334, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "aacfc9a61f9938cb50bb9aa1da6dac412bec297c2a529fce699eb825fcf70d5e", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.2144, "probability": 0.033449, "confidence_lo": 0.033426, "confidence_hi": 0.033449, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "383cb97eb3d59db07a84720c82fb2496d504cf1b17e7b389200b0bccaec12b85", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "46dc810f9237f1d634ac7a8f7068b8842c6fa412c71e40114f9ef8e732e7d7fd1f65ba89239fa749c5efcf8d3db077eba7f5852075e43a7f6eb0ceeeb6cc090f" } }, "receipt_sha256": "383cb97eb3d59db07a84720c82fb2496d504cf1b17e7b389200b0bccaec12b85" }, { "row": 49, "col": 31, "lat": 39.0, "lon": -117.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 3.0, "probability": 0.0334, "prob_30d_local": 0.5937, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.0034, "risk_band": "elevated", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.879, "b_trend": -0.0566, "ell_km": 3.0, "ell_trend": 0.03, "rate_acceleration": 0.52, "delta_aic_iet": 405.88, "S_over_Gamma": 11.945, "days_to_criticality": 13.7, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.013, "grad_tau_local": 0.8854, "depth_trend": -0.78, "spatial_concentration": 71.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.1785, "confidence_lo": 0.0334, "confidence_hi": 0.0334, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ca71957eb403ee02a5c15d44020a2934b66577910b6a92ead68638ecba2fb60e", "input_sha256": "13e73ac5a15aa4d5766fb311e03544235319ffb3589b9d58d7da7b22d696f56c", "issued_at": "2026-09-05T10:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.1785, "probability": 0.033449, "confidence_lo": 0.033426, "confidence_hi": 0.033449, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "98bfa3af423d14a94eeb53a66fcc40e84cecd6968e258ffddb67bb90778853ae", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "0e3bcff62fcb1aa01878452fa37cb6ff961b3e735e5c71e1e80f188dadfb68a82720e0c91be052c4533452e19c94d15b2d01da32bd77fff47ad3141a8f63890b" } }, "receipt_sha256": "98bfa3af423d14a94eeb53a66fcc40e84cecd6968e258ffddb67bb90778853ae" } ] }