{ "forecast_id": "eq_fcst_20260915_1100", "hazard": "earthquake", "issued_at": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "forecast_horizon_days": 30, "target_magnitude_min": 6.0, "feature_history_days": 400, "recent_activity_days": 30, "min_events_per_active_cell": 5, "forecast_domain": { "name": "global_2deg_grid", "lat_min": -60.0, "lat_max": 70.0, "lon_min": -180.0, "lon_max": 180.0, "dlat": 2.0, "dlon": 2.0, "n_lat": 65, "n_lon": 180, "default_probability": 0.0 }, "source_catalog": { "provider": "USGS FDSNWS", "min_magnitude": 2.5, "window_start": "2025-08-11T11:00:00Z", "window_end": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "n_events": 31238, "n_recent_events": 2119 }, "n_active_cells": 84, "top_probability": 0.0767, "active_cells": [ { "row": 20, "col": 2, "lat": -19.0, "lon": -175.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 5.3, "probability": 0.0767, "prob_30d_local": 0.649, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.6068, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.295, "b_trend": -0.3219, "ell_km": 55.4, "ell_trend": -13.29, "rate_acceleration": 0.65, "delta_aic_iet": 233.02, "S_over_Gamma": 15.176, "days_to_criticality": 2093.0, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.8374, "grad_tau_local": 0.1966, "depth_trend": -10.43, "spatial_concentration": 90.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9964, "confidence_lo": 0.0761, "confidence_hi": 0.0767, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ecfdcbd9e964104db6800463b74e39cbd8f416b1a1d1a2f854c3bf8a15e0bb60", "input_sha256": "1b42b7850758b2763a81c9875e7a0e03bd9fa3772cb18f4780ec497bcb554757", "issued_at": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9964, "probability": 0.076653, "confidence_lo": 0.076112, "confidence_hi": 0.076698, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "fcf89767e112902183a577b217a06d3ca8ba3c52a7c792822ebe92d511c4e320", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "ff1c09f82fc754d87e2f8ec2f2844a14c3df02ce9d4ca2344134400df8ed12b6296bb3f076a9ca52e7a793778cc7144cb92dffa9c29dc7a0912072697b63610c" } }, "receipt_sha256": "fcf89767e112902183a577b217a06d3ca8ba3c52a7c792822ebe92d511c4e320" }, { "row": 19, "col": 174, "lat": -21.0, "lon": 169.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 5.4, "probability": 0.0767, "prob_30d_local": 0.8392, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.6815, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.213, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 77.8, "ell_trend": -1.27, "rate_acceleration": 1.82, "delta_aic_iet": 182.97, "S_over_Gamma": 15.882, "days_to_criticality": 2099.7, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.3876, "grad_tau_local": 0.6897, "depth_trend": -24.97, "spatial_concentration": 73.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9927, "confidence_lo": 0.0761, "confidence_hi": 0.0767, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ecfdcbd9e964104db6800463b74e39cbd8f416b1a1d1a2f854c3bf8a15e0bb60", "input_sha256": "e57c1bf8f107e01448e7527a36de34b235f127b0d71d29fae20baad7e64a6d53", "issued_at": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9927, "probability": 0.076653, "confidence_lo": 0.076112, "confidence_hi": 0.076698, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "21ee1accb29c7ef5ee6c71a3a43b79b5834dea57301a6ed24b8de46590f86b70", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "6b693309db27985575cd5fa8d4213466f380a3c720ac0dbe7fd90d001e21f33b766bea0847555bae5ff3ec2dae1062e3d8e9e1cc7d4d91f47c1ad7a6a9aae107" } }, "receipt_sha256": "21ee1accb29c7ef5ee6c71a3a43b79b5834dea57301a6ed24b8de46590f86b70" }, { "row": 20, "col": 174, "lat": -19.0, "lon": 169.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.2, "probability": 0.0767, "prob_30d_local": 0.8436, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.7142, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.22, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 94.7, "ell_trend": -7.08, "rate_acceleration": 1.47, "delta_aic_iet": 174.32, "S_over_Gamma": 15.894, "days_to_criticality": 2098.4, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.8244, "grad_tau_local": 0.211, "depth_trend": -35.45, "spatial_concentration": 65.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9894, "confidence_lo": 0.0761, "confidence_hi": 0.0767, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ecfdcbd9e964104db6800463b74e39cbd8f416b1a1d1a2f854c3bf8a15e0bb60", "input_sha256": "f4508c787a462e4731eb65d4693ad02aca21c1887cd98726de94ce43370d7bc3", "issued_at": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9894, "probability": 0.076653, "confidence_lo": 0.076112, "confidence_hi": 0.076698, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "99a3092ebe541991dbe8de0916a3c7583b4e8b925d9b9eb109969d6660009456", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "78da31db8365dc66b2e5cd981b71e6cadb68089bc9035ca75d1cea75388fc8d3b02a6f8ac1cb046234ed338ba11b81250076580d7c2f07e719178af2b22fd401" } }, "receipt_sha256": "99a3092ebe541991dbe8de0916a3c7583b4e8b925d9b9eb109969d6660009456" }, { "row": 32, "col": 51, "lat": 5.0, "lon": -77.0, "n_events": 16, "max_mag": 4.9, "probability": 0.0767, "prob_30d_local": 0.9893, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.3578, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 15.5, "ell_trend": -18.15, "rate_acceleration": 6.5, "delta_aic_iet": 35.44, "S_over_Gamma": 13.006, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.5408, "grad_tau_local": 0.1805, "depth_trend": -2.47, "spatial_concentration": 76.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9893, "confidence_lo": 0.0761, "confidence_hi": 0.0767, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ecfdcbd9e964104db6800463b74e39cbd8f416b1a1d1a2f854c3bf8a15e0bb60", "input_sha256": "4a21cb24e33ab8d0d4024727ffe1d747d03cd9f1d81614c920ebf5abdbb587f5", "issued_at": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9893, "probability": 0.076653, "confidence_lo": 0.076112, "confidence_hi": 0.076698, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "a190eb4f8e0bbe335270ceadab016435a82a9727d17e5d13dd274353c75c9322", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "d55cb46239787962628a49f93c8cff5c0b61747e6f000f62392dcd24353b36daf9a1f837f628ead89b41cdfc3d255676cb00a0b29ffe2161e267f2334a2e860e" } }, "receipt_sha256": "a190eb4f8e0bbe335270ceadab016435a82a9727d17e5d13dd274353c75c9322" }, { "row": 22, "col": 173, "lat": -15.0, "lon": 167.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.2, "probability": 0.0767, "prob_30d_local": 0.1452, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.5105, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.102, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 78.1, "ell_trend": -3.07, "rate_acceleration": 0.78, "delta_aic_iet": 177.71, "S_over_Gamma": 15.578, "days_to_criticality": 2097.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.4993, "grad_tau_local": 0.151, "depth_trend": 20.31, "spatial_concentration": 88.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9879, "confidence_lo": 0.0761, "confidence_hi": 0.0767, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ecfdcbd9e964104db6800463b74e39cbd8f416b1a1d1a2f854c3bf8a15e0bb60", "input_sha256": "abaa68891da22e98f7dda7fd4113845baf5e3de4ba424c05293e2d0a64703cd3", "issued_at": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9879, "probability": 0.076653, "confidence_lo": 0.076112, "confidence_hi": 0.076698, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "521c7aca6ddafdb8721181b769099ed1fb92d195704ac1d2d87dbb3a88009f58", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "b8797406b81f7bf1d74d8b1203e17a69c1f3a7b91275ed311e23f3c75e928bd49a0b9e98825a5524d4c0b7981aeacc871d169afab0f8a5c398aed919abfc620a" } }, "receipt_sha256": "521c7aca6ddafdb8721181b769099ed1fb92d195704ac1d2d87dbb3a88009f58" }, { "row": 19, "col": 55, "lat": -21.0, "lon": -69.0, "n_events": 11, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.0767, "prob_30d_local": 0.7025, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.6529, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.116, "b_trend": 0.0544, "ell_km": 66.7, "ell_trend": -4.43, "rate_acceleration": 0.9, "delta_aic_iet": 229.35, "S_over_Gamma": 15.441, "days_to_criticality": 2095.8, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.6239, "grad_tau_local": 0.4216, "depth_trend": 2.6, "spatial_concentration": 84.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9858, "confidence_lo": 0.0761, "confidence_hi": 0.0767, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ecfdcbd9e964104db6800463b74e39cbd8f416b1a1d1a2f854c3bf8a15e0bb60", "input_sha256": "dd1119f09c197385e8abd03fa760aa20f10940dbe724e188463a92f3ffbffb46", "issued_at": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9858, "probability": 0.076653, "confidence_lo": 0.076112, "confidence_hi": 0.076698, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "e1d7f269b5e3366059c64046404a42d2e28c884830781629bfc2fe2a31c00d11", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "5d1491d80be7624b88970a58b68234feb2303e163c641c203808632a5cc51ea9c6ac979542fc30293cc7a3013b82d46b646078a1a23e433046d919803dbec90d" } }, "receipt_sha256": "e1d7f269b5e3366059c64046404a42d2e28c884830781629bfc2fe2a31c00d11" }, { "row": 19, "col": 1, "lat": -21.0, "lon": -177.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 4.9, "probability": 0.0767, "prob_30d_local": 0.7718, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.4031, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.412, "b_trend": -0.0605, "ell_km": 76.4, "ell_trend": -1.9, "rate_acceleration": 1.04, "delta_aic_iet": 289.55, "S_over_Gamma": 15.138, "days_to_criticality": 15.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.7497, "grad_tau_local": 1.6661, "depth_trend": -20.28, "spatial_concentration": 89.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9843, "confidence_lo": 0.0761, "confidence_hi": 0.0767, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ecfdcbd9e964104db6800463b74e39cbd8f416b1a1d1a2f854c3bf8a15e0bb60", "input_sha256": "74d61c4fdbbc7975dec44b4c914a827b6a740e44e52971f085e31f07d94130f3", "issued_at": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9843, "probability": 0.076653, "confidence_lo": 0.076112, "confidence_hi": 0.076698, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "049291890510bf766509d153a149eb826c04c03bc98a01883e3b9a16ad80dcb3", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "49a95ced62992b4ed0161be0abc581f628c9c48d88825893e51df131d57b45371e58bdd4f77458eda27245453a1abc54c2de1831d5eca1bb7793970feb55760e" } }, "receipt_sha256": "049291890510bf766509d153a149eb826c04c03bc98a01883e3b9a16ad80dcb3" }, { "row": 18, "col": 56, "lat": -23.0, "lon": -67.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.6, "probability": 0.0767, "prob_30d_local": 0.7075, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.5771, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.702, "b_trend": 0.094, "ell_km": 37.1, "ell_trend": -0.28, "rate_acceleration": 1.01, "delta_aic_iet": 268.9, "S_over_Gamma": 14.892, "days_to_criticality": 22.4, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.091, "grad_tau_local": 0.9051, "depth_trend": 6.52, "spatial_concentration": 44.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9829, "confidence_lo": 0.0761, "confidence_hi": 0.0767, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ecfdcbd9e964104db6800463b74e39cbd8f416b1a1d1a2f854c3bf8a15e0bb60", "input_sha256": "c52e0a10a9a4fee07bb48a1ef95b1f2c426ba4ea0c4bb7ee11d94d33694df65e", "issued_at": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9829, "probability": 0.076653, "confidence_lo": 0.076112, "confidence_hi": 0.076698, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "64f40b8b5bae4c637aaa1d2d20a86fe61b93aa8c3f8e12a20a610869aa572c80", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "10b77723e534d86bc807f93b5bf3d7626026eea45ad4a2de0d40f0a289aa497e06058971c46f4863d3bb0ee98858948f4b510c3820fdc8f84f9dca33ccda7401" } }, "receipt_sha256": "64f40b8b5bae4c637aaa1d2d20a86fe61b93aa8c3f8e12a20a610869aa572c80" }, { "row": 26, "col": 153, "lat": -7.0, "lon": 127.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 6.0, "probability": 0.0767, "prob_30d_local": 0.7193, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.0666, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.225, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 58.8, "ell_trend": 1.45, "rate_acceleration": 1.09, "delta_aic_iet": 158.82, "S_over_Gamma": 14.731, "days_to_criticality": 243.3, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.88, "grad_tau_local": 1.0273, "depth_trend": -19.19, "spatial_concentration": 79.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9818, "confidence_lo": 0.0761, "confidence_hi": 0.0767, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ecfdcbd9e964104db6800463b74e39cbd8f416b1a1d1a2f854c3bf8a15e0bb60", "input_sha256": "15206d591e272fd532ab335522f7e5510e97c9f099d7241fd5fc9a0821f5ef9b", "issued_at": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9818, "probability": 0.076653, "confidence_lo": 0.076112, "confidence_hi": 0.076698, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "2c796a87ed5664e787f5f0dd6d35067215bb56d7991c8fd2b5f5ffde37455817", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "4e8e5aa14664f171b4b4833cee5253a4b1de6f8ec9646670b23a4757d805dbb479ca858197fd2987216d9320945dbf90c17575307d293fca27d26e9f0c105906" } }, "receipt_sha256": "2c796a87ed5664e787f5f0dd6d35067215bb56d7991c8fd2b5f5ffde37455817" }, { "row": 18, "col": 55, "lat": -23.0, "lon": -69.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 4.8, "probability": 0.0767, "prob_30d_local": 0.8221, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.5473, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": null, "b_trend": 0.2333, "ell_km": 41.6, "ell_trend": -0.4, "rate_acceleration": 0.99, "delta_aic_iet": 303.61, "S_over_Gamma": 15.371, "days_to_criticality": 2098.8, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.4556, "grad_tau_local": 0.57, "depth_trend": 10.83, "spatial_concentration": 64.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9782, "confidence_lo": 0.0761, "confidence_hi": 0.0767, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ecfdcbd9e964104db6800463b74e39cbd8f416b1a1d1a2f854c3bf8a15e0bb60", "input_sha256": "86c9a1aa52fea21e7c79809fde1c232ab18038c2efabecc27fe3f17f5fad8d55", "issued_at": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9782, "probability": 0.076653, "confidence_lo": 0.076112, "confidence_hi": 0.076698, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "5e53d3ce45c11abc759037f85ba1b7322d513ef8ba80c178a5fe29ae325fc82b", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "da5f3fac1e1b3e83761ef8b77d327c3df2611dd9075195ebf8dabc6828b79fcdd07b1fcb46bf7c0a1eb2b6f3336db1f0272c7611e23309a65c5c7a75aee25c0a" } }, "receipt_sha256": "5e53d3ce45c11abc759037f85ba1b7322d513ef8ba80c178a5fe29ae325fc82b" }, { "row": 1, "col": 76, "lat": -57.0, "lon": -27.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 6.2, "probability": 0.0767, "prob_30d_local": 0.8157, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.6618, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.182, "b_trend": 0.1853, "ell_km": 74.2, "ell_trend": -1.13, "rate_acceleration": 1.14, "delta_aic_iet": 229.76, "S_over_Gamma": 16.366, "days_to_criticality": 2097.0, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 1.2161, "grad_tau_local": 0.7979, "depth_trend": 7.88, "spatial_concentration": 63.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9686, "confidence_lo": 0.0761, "confidence_hi": 0.0767, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ecfdcbd9e964104db6800463b74e39cbd8f416b1a1d1a2f854c3bf8a15e0bb60", "input_sha256": "635c5f4d123169a94e92061e4c6bfc0cb84f8b22cdb721fac81f523f3025db7a", "issued_at": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9686, "probability": 0.076653, "confidence_lo": 0.076112, "confidence_hi": 0.076698, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f2778f04f38601bd1f54235de72000607a1a4efad3af33dfb116e684259e1e0d", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "0ddf710157612290adbeac40d4572dbc396775de6ab5eebcb8568f15a98370208ab5f4a4ce7a0ddd558bd08201293a5f702ce99ef63274df1a17bc21b52b9f01" } }, "receipt_sha256": "f2778f04f38601bd1f54235de72000607a1a4efad3af33dfb116e684259e1e0d" }, { "row": 32, "col": 153, "lat": 5.0, "lon": 127.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.8, "probability": 0.0767, "prob_30d_local": 0.6856, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.4706, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.155, "b_trend": -0.1107, "ell_km": 48.9, "ell_trend": -2.21, "rate_acceleration": 1.33, "delta_aic_iet": 470.26, "S_over_Gamma": 15.246, "days_to_criticality": 2093.8, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 9.2187, "grad_tau_local": 2.159, "depth_trend": -7.81, "spatial_concentration": 74.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9682, "confidence_lo": 0.0761, "confidence_hi": 0.0767, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ecfdcbd9e964104db6800463b74e39cbd8f416b1a1d1a2f854c3bf8a15e0bb60", "input_sha256": "d2eb08b0bb1a9c31aac1f85e7c0e7e595fbb3873c86df4dc66e3f67eb40c0730", "issued_at": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9682, "probability": 0.076653, "confidence_lo": 0.076112, "confidence_hi": 0.076698, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "354e4642b1d8769e35337d9e0b0cc91ef9cb045d680d75dacbcb78a9b7e6e7ac", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "fda76f32cb07a26793dc369eb546398c5daf77119e98dddbaffa0dfac70c82b22723e2dd15884c9d744c72ce283d36272191f01bebb8f4a62b6edb933724ac02" } }, "receipt_sha256": "354e4642b1d8769e35337d9e0b0cc91ef9cb045d680d75dacbcb78a9b7e6e7ac" }, { "row": 48, "col": 160, "lat": 37.0, "lon": 141.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.0767, "prob_30d_local": 0.8356, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.6771, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 66.0, "ell_trend": 11.77, "rate_acceleration": 0.74, "delta_aic_iet": 190.07, "S_over_Gamma": 15.709, "days_to_criticality": 31.1, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.1528, "grad_tau_local": 0.8475, "depth_trend": 10.49, "spatial_concentration": 78.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9663, "confidence_lo": 0.0761, "confidence_hi": 0.0767, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ecfdcbd9e964104db6800463b74e39cbd8f416b1a1d1a2f854c3bf8a15e0bb60", "input_sha256": "577ebc789cae57619b52ba26a5df001f7fb29f3e9741e44e7bddaf95adf2cfe7", "issued_at": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9663, "probability": 0.076653, "confidence_lo": 0.076112, "confidence_hi": 0.076698, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "d77721850b2946c9809cf394d034c9484944a8327ef623544d370f27bb67cdfa", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "29ee1e3844c1723fc31e5dd304048904c22651876bdb7aee2ffab8119869716a8f31203651a0f4a0d6db54abcb26c896c0fae5462830f4671fa0a664db38450b" } }, "receipt_sha256": "d77721850b2946c9809cf394d034c9484944a8327ef623544d370f27bb67cdfa" }, { "row": 27, "col": 166, "lat": -5.0, "lon": 153.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 5.5, "probability": 0.0767, "prob_30d_local": 0.8336, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.3463, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.281, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 100.2, "ell_trend": -12.5, "rate_acceleration": 0.94, "delta_aic_iet": 195.36, "S_over_Gamma": 15.639, "days_to_criticality": 2097.5, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.1433, "grad_tau_local": 0.6079, "depth_trend": -3.18, "spatial_concentration": 61.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9658, "confidence_lo": 0.0761, "confidence_hi": 0.0767, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ecfdcbd9e964104db6800463b74e39cbd8f416b1a1d1a2f854c3bf8a15e0bb60", "input_sha256": "64ac7a9c672394e9d02cfcf3c099dc63f17a987b4a7d350a420b71c9eb5658cc", "issued_at": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9658, "probability": 0.076653, "confidence_lo": 0.076112, "confidence_hi": 0.076698, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "0f4f5bef6c5e54096e2e0983d2fbdf306eff8edcb619b912884cee4e7aeac5fd", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "bd84b74ac574725874996d33048f87c2f3ed171dcf9e0a5ada709ac1afe7001a9bf5106bfc71f74d97cd93e6ee42ce39da532466a2167e09b2da8e127f670207" } }, "receipt_sha256": "0f4f5bef6c5e54096e2e0983d2fbdf306eff8edcb619b912884cee4e7aeac5fd" }, { "row": 18, "col": 0, "lat": -23.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.5, "probability": 0.0767, "prob_30d_local": 0.8087, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.4291, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.537, "b_trend": -0.0788, "ell_km": 56.4, "ell_trend": -1.73, "rate_acceleration": 0.99, "delta_aic_iet": 297.25, "S_over_Gamma": 14.864, "days_to_criticality": 2098.5, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 1.9919, "depth_trend": 1.21, "spatial_concentration": 86.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9622, "confidence_lo": 0.0761, "confidence_hi": 0.0767, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ecfdcbd9e964104db6800463b74e39cbd8f416b1a1d1a2f854c3bf8a15e0bb60", "input_sha256": "71f7f06fe49492d92dec3fe511c51d92ae3d6a840da3115c36fb796728699fb0", "issued_at": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9622, "probability": 0.076653, "confidence_lo": 0.076112, "confidence_hi": 0.076698, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "2f215b47498cd2ceca8a9de611675f4b02b1c29087d3d29fbafc6221d44ce4df", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "c7d1be3b9993a8d22769b1fc207fe05527558fc5b1ee7f9cb9383fdcaf7d4f72705cc1f0b2f87fae6dd18e63608da8fea1ecb5ceb7797246b09766ebd8643d0d" } }, "receipt_sha256": "2f215b47498cd2ceca8a9de611675f4b02b1c29087d3d29fbafc6221d44ce4df" }, { "row": 26, "col": 155, "lat": -7.0, "lon": 131.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 4.8, "probability": 0.0767, "prob_30d_local": 0.8935, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.6813, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.244, "b_trend": 0.097, "ell_km": 89.4, "ell_trend": -0.55, "rate_acceleration": 0.61, "delta_aic_iet": 186.25, "S_over_Gamma": 15.984, "days_to_criticality": 21.6, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.4105, "grad_tau_local": 1.5001, "depth_trend": 14.7, "spatial_concentration": 66.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9597, "confidence_lo": 0.0761, "confidence_hi": 0.0767, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ecfdcbd9e964104db6800463b74e39cbd8f416b1a1d1a2f854c3bf8a15e0bb60", "input_sha256": "6617b422a4f75636429694001f05c8d979e22f045f04cd16a71d80d2eef403ea", "issued_at": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9597, "probability": 0.076653, "confidence_lo": 0.076112, "confidence_hi": 0.076698, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "d5aeebd1f6d7a0c163838085a542f44520a73d1abfdd02d87269492119d02e9d", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "35caa927f7f33d927eb96c5b4d58816edb18eda09d10b90e8840aa5aab1590aedc8cc3949819e2c0465367e897bd3e81dcc53b4de2a5feca0300620472d08601" } }, "receipt_sha256": "d5aeebd1f6d7a0c163838085a542f44520a73d1abfdd02d87269492119d02e9d" }, { "row": 32, "col": 152, "lat": 5.0, "lon": 125.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 5.2, "probability": 0.0767, "prob_30d_local": 0.0282, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.6498, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.153, "b_trend": -0.1023, "ell_km": 41.1, "ell_trend": 4.29, "rate_acceleration": 1.48, "delta_aic_iet": 402.09, "S_over_Gamma": 15.501, "days_to_criticality": 12.0, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 10.3993, "grad_tau_local": 0.7255, "depth_trend": -20.77, "spatial_concentration": 85.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9554, "confidence_lo": 0.0761, "confidence_hi": 0.0767, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ecfdcbd9e964104db6800463b74e39cbd8f416b1a1d1a2f854c3bf8a15e0bb60", "input_sha256": "46057ecaa0c475772023efd3cf1286fecb14caf525c16c3fb7f9f56b143721c9", "issued_at": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9554, "probability": 0.076653, "confidence_lo": 0.076112, "confidence_hi": 0.076698, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "d29f2be8e1b1605a4e23c55a775c8716b600d1ee6b8576844c50986fc1c650fe", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "e473b3c5033c9fe9234588c1cf6c463ae60f6252572ddd170d2a5fb58766c8ffc73289165d17ea05fd1a86f2f87b18610b0e1d623b73b1223543c4df57403c03" } }, "receipt_sha256": "d29f2be8e1b1605a4e23c55a775c8716b600d1ee6b8576844c50986fc1c650fe" }, { "row": 17, "col": 56, "lat": -25.0, "lon": -67.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.0767, "prob_30d_local": 0.7829, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.6406, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.729, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 31.2, "ell_trend": 0.33, "rate_acceleration": 1.23, "delta_aic_iet": 141.82, "S_over_Gamma": 15.372, "days_to_criticality": 72.5, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.8917, "grad_tau_local": 0.7885, "depth_trend": -11.76, "spatial_concentration": 73.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9445, "confidence_lo": 0.0761, "confidence_hi": 0.0767, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ecfdcbd9e964104db6800463b74e39cbd8f416b1a1d1a2f854c3bf8a15e0bb60", "input_sha256": "183fb5a8264315c31d68d0c5fd9ab0a2dd0e6cc3766db5780119a5573f30346d", "issued_at": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9445, "probability": 0.076653, "confidence_lo": 0.076112, "confidence_hi": 0.076698, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "a0e2ff9931b43da924b3e11ecd7358c772d1b0c6a3632c2ad24510fb3185156c", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "8c258a16e632c8077d8b35576ecb7fd046c0840305abc1e4beb76d30b7b094fc8cdf36ea0d3ff9a710c9cd7f8c6c822b455e94bc640bb39441af2df195223909" } }, "receipt_sha256": "a0e2ff9931b43da924b3e11ecd7358c772d1b0c6a3632c2ad24510fb3185156c" }, { "row": 19, "col": 0, "lat": -21.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 4.8, "probability": 0.0767, "prob_30d_local": 0.7272, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.5377, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.478, "b_trend": -0.2475, "ell_km": 65.8, "ell_trend": -2.17, "rate_acceleration": 0.95, "delta_aic_iet": 287.21, "S_over_Gamma": 15.265, "days_to_criticality": 19.9, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 2.7497, "depth_trend": -1.84, "spatial_concentration": 97.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9368, "confidence_lo": 0.0761, "confidence_hi": 0.0767, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ecfdcbd9e964104db6800463b74e39cbd8f416b1a1d1a2f854c3bf8a15e0bb60", "input_sha256": "85f4e92333adf59801a51a515cb88f870fc4fefeaf365f9d4fd0080e0d2f8f07", "issued_at": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9368, "probability": 0.076653, "confidence_lo": 0.076112, "confidence_hi": 0.076698, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "58f0ef05b9937d671b433cad92ec7bcf47f9c39f273a41a5359fcc338c6f039d", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "55c6c8d537db6aea47d3308e269a5c1ad9e141ee8769afa543d5842a64b6efa6deb0741b2d1552d8d9f719d1a05cc03673030f03cf8b72d01c6af1b28c89d001" } }, "receipt_sha256": "58f0ef05b9937d671b433cad92ec7bcf47f9c39f273a41a5359fcc338c6f039d" }, { "row": 48, "col": 125, "lat": 37.0, "lon": 71.0, "n_events": 11, "max_mag": 5.2, "probability": 0.0767, "prob_30d_local": 0.7111, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.5971, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.22, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 55.1, "ell_trend": 1.59, "rate_acceleration": 1.12, "delta_aic_iet": 196.39, "S_over_Gamma": 14.998, "days_to_criticality": 66.8, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.0009, "grad_tau_local": 0.2482, "depth_trend": 29.92, "spatial_concentration": 82.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9351, "confidence_lo": 0.0761, "confidence_hi": 0.0767, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ecfdcbd9e964104db6800463b74e39cbd8f416b1a1d1a2f854c3bf8a15e0bb60", "input_sha256": "db2f7d2433a0238239cfec473e5f0a053b3ea78dce500e07ff053c77f6b580bb", "issued_at": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9351, "probability": 0.076653, "confidence_lo": 0.076112, "confidence_hi": 0.076698, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "3921d953744cdb4a2cf1e89c86a5801d598cfdf1b36ec0b51a77574d657a06df", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "abef9c425824835fe7b387ef75e0e458f77e4c555ae336b6ebb7b3c9f3f6b2e07c2540ad6abde45b18240c60a1b2b7643f11042f4d5dc5f6d6051c6e47e39f0d" } }, "receipt_sha256": "3921d953744cdb4a2cf1e89c86a5801d598cfdf1b36ec0b51a77574d657a06df" }, { "row": 28, "col": 160, "lat": -3.0, "lon": 141.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.5, "probability": 0.0767, "prob_30d_local": 0.7286, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.3507, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.3, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 19.6, "ell_trend": -1.6, "rate_acceleration": 2.27, "delta_aic_iet": 167.38, "S_over_Gamma": 13.917, "days_to_criticality": 1786.5, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.5324, "grad_tau_local": 0.6257, "depth_trend": -12.09, "spatial_concentration": 86.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9344, "confidence_lo": 0.0761, "confidence_hi": 0.0767, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ecfdcbd9e964104db6800463b74e39cbd8f416b1a1d1a2f854c3bf8a15e0bb60", "input_sha256": "26e6bcd7a1325f934d04206e98842f2121c76e3225f6dcf63029e940b876900e", "issued_at": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9344, "probability": 0.076653, "confidence_lo": 0.076112, "confidence_hi": 0.076698, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "cd3599616089545bac8369aecb3829e06ffb367e4245297cb46cf5d84252cba1", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "2f24811f0502d6b9cd73672c1192fa7a1d6ae61782d31f28c3b9b688371afff974cefc1a3b929bf890623a015027edb890fa5ee7ddfbae9cc68d31ec06d46007" } }, "receipt_sha256": "cd3599616089545bac8369aecb3829e06ffb367e4245297cb46cf5d84252cba1" }, { "row": 50, "col": 161, "lat": 41.0, "lon": 143.0, "n_events": 11, "max_mag": 6.0, "probability": 0.0767, "prob_30d_local": 0.0545, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.566, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.942, "b_trend": 0.0931, "ell_km": 36.7, "ell_trend": 2.23, "rate_acceleration": 0.62, "delta_aic_iet": 509.08, "S_over_Gamma": 15.114, "days_to_criticality": 79.3, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.8047, "grad_tau_local": 1.0308, "depth_trend": 7.61, "spatial_concentration": 67.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9082, "confidence_lo": 0.0761, "confidence_hi": 0.0767, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ecfdcbd9e964104db6800463b74e39cbd8f416b1a1d1a2f854c3bf8a15e0bb60", "input_sha256": "4ba7258565905942ede59874e8e7a4f1643a8c0b73d6fef97539e0a068c4c8b4", "issued_at": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9082, "probability": 0.076653, "confidence_lo": 0.076112, "confidence_hi": 0.076698, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "8a37b3afca4598d06ec9052560c2a7d4fc3d85870507f842ff1b80f49c276a4e", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "3204ac6a620251ecc169fe8de65be3158cdd465b74a70538ffe5f2c2ba6bdfbbdb72912c6e43de9784fad3fc87c2a9f1cac1fa7f68c942d31135e5c37b651200" } }, "receipt_sha256": "8a37b3afca4598d06ec9052560c2a7d4fc3d85870507f842ff1b80f49c276a4e" }, { "row": 20, "col": 175, "lat": -19.0, "lon": 171.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.6, "probability": 0.0767, "prob_30d_local": null, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.1026, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 57.6, "ell_trend": -9.55, "rate_acceleration": 1.84, "delta_aic_iet": 133.68, "S_over_Gamma": 11.303, "days_to_criticality": 2098.4, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.9725, "grad_tau_local": 0.8587, "depth_trend": -43.09, "spatial_concentration": 76.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9058, "confidence_lo": 0.0761, "confidence_hi": 0.0767, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ecfdcbd9e964104db6800463b74e39cbd8f416b1a1d1a2f854c3bf8a15e0bb60", "input_sha256": "47172a557ff53be9391a1a2b1d2d5883011086b188bab0d961f29db6d161ef70", "issued_at": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9058, "probability": 0.076653, "confidence_lo": 0.076112, "confidence_hi": 0.076698, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f560255f3b8b17a479f5aa6431852e191ac735e5ce8bfef5501c86377c48987d", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "3aa0dd8c5436cd68ead07228ed7f14eb65885321d93abd03c840e1bbc18e11fcb647deb1f7bd4693fa4023576e26b6069196cfb9fea175f99b1c255c3b21ac0e" } }, "receipt_sha256": "f560255f3b8b17a479f5aa6431852e191ac735e5ce8bfef5501c86377c48987d" }, { "row": 41, "col": 150, "lat": 23.0, "lon": 121.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 5.5, "probability": 0.0767, "prob_30d_local": 0.1842, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.6346, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.251, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 60.6, "ell_trend": 4.01, "rate_acceleration": 0.62, "delta_aic_iet": 101.62, "S_over_Gamma": 16.027, "days_to_criticality": -1.1, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.2108, "grad_tau_local": 0.7974, "depth_trend": 11.98, "spatial_concentration": 78.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.8968, "confidence_lo": 0.0761, "confidence_hi": 0.0767, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ecfdcbd9e964104db6800463b74e39cbd8f416b1a1d1a2f854c3bf8a15e0bb60", "input_sha256": "768bcf5ab7bb907bcaeb5afd37eb59fb25b895447ddd6a9ed79547d4f3f80749", "issued_at": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.8968, "probability": 0.076653, "confidence_lo": 0.076112, "confidence_hi": 0.076698, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "a4f3c5060aecf76f1774961dd8003a9dd3455b4fbd40586d727fd342a32bbc43", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "1239e17b3c0f2e246cebed54401f8492214069fc560d9714e12709dda7885ef1f0db6de74927e349bf7a2610b99209d6c8c62d17183e58debd48c48a3996bc04" } }, "receipt_sha256": "a4f3c5060aecf76f1774961dd8003a9dd3455b4fbd40586d727fd342a32bbc43" }, { "row": 17, "col": 2, "lat": -25.0, "lon": -175.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.1, "probability": 0.0731, "prob_30d_local": 0.7401, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.071, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.498, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 47.4, "ell_trend": -3.69, "rate_acceleration": 3.94, "delta_aic_iet": 120.91, "S_over_Gamma": 14.89, "days_to_criticality": 1789.1, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.3992, "grad_tau_local": 0.3679, "depth_trend": -29.05, "spatial_concentration": 71.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.8757, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0763, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ecfdcbd9e964104db6800463b74e39cbd8f416b1a1d1a2f854c3bf8a15e0bb60", "input_sha256": "37116458b65c7b097e2343f61468688beba6cfba1657ac42acc36ede4a3c48f9", "issued_at": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.8757, "probability": 0.073091, "confidence_lo": 0.032383, "confidence_hi": 0.076301, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "b518ed1a11318baaf4822105c8d0f5f86ec5a525029e5d3cc31bcdba1e3dae50", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "a13f76b8893d29f81d89d91ab976e8978e8d6fefca1d28cafc42ee54992df19ac5883a5bae17067592c020b3e3204f93a4af7a5be2baabececdb385eeb462601" } }, "receipt_sha256": "b518ed1a11318baaf4822105c8d0f5f86ec5a525029e5d3cc31bcdba1e3dae50" }, { "row": 22, "col": 53, "lat": -15.0, "lon": -73.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 6.7, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.6702, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.2549, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 93.9, "ell_trend": 10.72, "rate_acceleration": 0.75, "delta_aic_iet": 53.77, "S_over_Gamma": 15.944, "days_to_criticality": -3.4, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.1066, "grad_tau_local": 0.3667, "depth_trend": 16.22, "spatial_concentration": 70.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.8624, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ecfdcbd9e964104db6800463b74e39cbd8f416b1a1d1a2f854c3bf8a15e0bb60", "input_sha256": "f337bb42a1dd3e49fef8ba1fbb30677e28b2afbf596aebc080bbd740d7b66557", "issued_at": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.8624, "probability": 0.032405, "confidence_lo": 0.032383, "confidence_hi": 0.032406, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "0d88a470076c9f80bc0306b742d66f11e8873dbc8ffa4aa81752c9853fe5c47f", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "870b3f07d8042e673732f16dd5818508e5c2b65078bab2aa9568f84b81901024b7fe45ae7d0d3ab43b616e4500ce02d73558672b74ed0ac6b3c4990b09f98d03" } }, "receipt_sha256": "0d88a470076c9f80bc0306b742d66f11e8873dbc8ffa4aa81752c9853fe5c47f" }, { "row": 21, "col": 0, "lat": -17.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 5.4, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.8369, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.2032, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.587, "b_trend": -0.0452, "ell_km": 44.0, "ell_trend": 0.36, "rate_acceleration": 0.65, "delta_aic_iet": 220.05, "S_over_Gamma": 15.565, "days_to_criticality": 21.0, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 2.2839, "depth_trend": -35.72, "spatial_concentration": 83.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.8549, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ecfdcbd9e964104db6800463b74e39cbd8f416b1a1d1a2f854c3bf8a15e0bb60", "input_sha256": "f4c5d8a356d015033175683d18be0faec75fecd73b5392f6ddd84eb4b7789b65", "issued_at": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.8549, "probability": 0.032405, "confidence_lo": 0.032383, "confidence_hi": 0.032406, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "cee9368c196479d8b693cfaacf4068df690ce76a7b22f995de6dce8b5097ae61", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "5f3d12e126b9c9623fe5bb6f783a5485ab39484d6a5fe253bcd4a32b45ca3f5255a0d4241874236eca4144a69c76bec53a783157049d1cd7d52feba1157b190d" } }, "receipt_sha256": "cee9368c196479d8b693cfaacf4068df690ce76a7b22f995de6dce8b5097ae61" }, { "row": 37, "col": 43, "lat": 15.0, "lon": -93.0, "n_events": 22, "max_mag": 5.8, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.1278, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.6854, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.888, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 41.9, "ell_trend": -5.81, "rate_acceleration": 7.76, "delta_aic_iet": 180.42, "S_over_Gamma": 15.75, "days_to_criticality": 2099.5, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.8204, "grad_tau_local": 0.4282, "depth_trend": -21.71, "spatial_concentration": 83.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.8461, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ecfdcbd9e964104db6800463b74e39cbd8f416b1a1d1a2f854c3bf8a15e0bb60", "input_sha256": "4aa0b4881363552341117f219aa5050a67359cb40723a3bec91219b87c866eb1", "issued_at": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.8461, "probability": 0.032405, "confidence_lo": 0.032383, "confidence_hi": 0.032406, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "c29a4afa4fabe72817d178360377cf917f2bc64d29bc075c4a523784acb44192", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "a1d5c3667cd36a74b35b93ffbabdf509ceb056c887e7cb5e93fdaf5f6af8a2313519af292a585afe19027d1209eb52d06b2447f7d865ff1d2049794b83c11a08" } }, "receipt_sha256": "c29a4afa4fabe72817d178360377cf917f2bc64d29bc075c4a523784acb44192" }, { "row": 55, "col": 169, "lat": 51.0, "lon": 159.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 4.6, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.6257, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.3619, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.167, "b_trend": -0.0227, "ell_km": 59.6, "ell_trend": -6.37, "rate_acceleration": 0.32, "delta_aic_iet": 987.87, "S_over_Gamma": 15.528, "days_to_criticality": 14.9, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 9.6187, "grad_tau_local": 0.7621, "depth_trend": 2.29, "spatial_concentration": 87.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.8281, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ecfdcbd9e964104db6800463b74e39cbd8f416b1a1d1a2f854c3bf8a15e0bb60", "input_sha256": "c251b3bc17ff4c580b36dcee4e4bd4014e276e37dd574ab3cd1c725e382beb6a", "issued_at": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.8281, "probability": 0.032405, "confidence_lo": 0.032383, "confidence_hi": 0.032406, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "2a0702484fc0bac82fb38e5608086d10b6801d6c74135f0fc2bf98e2331afbe5", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "f74c5c7fbe38b35b5fc06b3681ac2111043e4b9126b5ac3bac12449f52cf65a19a0af8d7eab4bd4ec09dc82b82a5ce961a69232eec027590218a3edf8a386209" } }, "receipt_sha256": "2a0702484fc0bac82fb38e5608086d10b6801d6c74135f0fc2bf98e2331afbe5" }, { "row": 17, "col": 179, "lat": -25.0, "lon": 179.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.5, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.8232, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.1085, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 55.1, "ell_trend": -2.3, "rate_acceleration": 0.83, "delta_aic_iet": 206.29, "S_over_Gamma": 15.296, "days_to_criticality": 19.5, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 0.4386, "depth_trend": -6.34, "spatial_concentration": 85.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.789, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ecfdcbd9e964104db6800463b74e39cbd8f416b1a1d1a2f854c3bf8a15e0bb60", "input_sha256": "279743f2b44bb8b4175b6f8b3679381c4cc173bc38bcb9cfd1811bc594c55b32", "issued_at": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.789, "probability": 0.032405, "confidence_lo": 0.032383, "confidence_hi": 0.032406, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "6c19e192354cdb2dc172227b50bf75057bb92a8bd902968974a92e2146aad98c", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "7db40150f1c7ce793f1ba3d76c2493368b3bd591858ecf018541689861ed2fad77d40a4b5d410798bdd53a200385e8ee395b2a08661380a0352e933287a88104" } }, "receipt_sha256": "6c19e192354cdb2dc172227b50bf75057bb92a8bd902968974a92e2146aad98c" }, { "row": 25, "col": 150, "lat": -9.0, "lon": 121.0, "n_events": 143, "max_mag": 5.8, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.7155, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.4461, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.184, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 43.1, "ell_trend": -29.13, "rate_acceleration": 18.61, "delta_aic_iet": -868.58, "S_over_Gamma": 15.501, "days_to_criticality": 2098.6, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.0652, "grad_tau_local": 1.372, "depth_trend": -42.65, "spatial_concentration": 71.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7857, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ecfdcbd9e964104db6800463b74e39cbd8f416b1a1d1a2f854c3bf8a15e0bb60", "input_sha256": "98fff741ece4a701a5a5ba497a57eb38b036ead055daa2f5ee95e83ece2e62cd", "issued_at": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7857, "probability": 0.032405, "confidence_lo": 0.032383, "confidence_hi": 0.032406, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "d4eace5280175afc40855e7cbc15235f70172417517cd13f551f3e7c4b4848ad", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "230934cf710591c2c674ed765e103d46a04448414b5d40e89fae6de3f531e8b28b3ff611f24b42c3ad0147e2d99e9e8fe12dfe10eca5e4d026ee4d51fcfa5703" } }, "receipt_sha256": "d4eace5280175afc40855e7cbc15235f70172417517cd13f551f3e7c4b4848ad" }, { "row": 51, "col": 161, "lat": 43.0, "lon": 143.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.6, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.1403, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.2542, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.955, "b_trend": 0.2029, "ell_km": 50.7, "ell_trend": 4.55, "rate_acceleration": 0.64, "delta_aic_iet": 270.5, "S_over_Gamma": 14.552, "days_to_criticality": 36.2, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.0327, "grad_tau_local": 1.5922, "depth_trend": 10.17, "spatial_concentration": 88.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7847, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ecfdcbd9e964104db6800463b74e39cbd8f416b1a1d1a2f854c3bf8a15e0bb60", "input_sha256": "2ebde1594d531ac89573ea072c7c0f67f3cd54a544fdada7b5513da8b8b0ea2b", "issued_at": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7847, "probability": 0.032405, "confidence_lo": 0.032383, "confidence_hi": 0.032406, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ffcb2ef05926282218eb5ce16bfb0017d1500107bc11b632b3c4599a9471ffc6", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "92c50fe6cf1290f90b7aadc67a2d4b6845cfa86f13db77516ebb0a1146f205578832bd788da9fd47caad43528f57b928333480c3aa8771fa529ecc5f29704d0a" } }, "receipt_sha256": "ffcb2ef05926282218eb5ce16bfb0017d1500107bc11b632b3c4599a9471ffc6" }, { "row": 25, "col": 149, "lat": -9.0, "lon": 119.0, "n_events": 11, "max_mag": 4.5, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.6094, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.4793, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.184, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 42.3, "ell_trend": -15.7, "rate_acceleration": 17.85, "delta_aic_iet": -836.22, "S_over_Gamma": 15.012, "days_to_criticality": 2098.6, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.5218, "grad_tau_local": 1.5968, "depth_trend": -35.09, "spatial_concentration": 77.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7812, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ecfdcbd9e964104db6800463b74e39cbd8f416b1a1d1a2f854c3bf8a15e0bb60", "input_sha256": "6a020382072334c95e22fd747d31585e94d36d34bfd586233b48509637f9f32f", "issued_at": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7812, "probability": 0.032405, "confidence_lo": 0.032383, "confidence_hi": 0.032406, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "e8ac8f5153cee860fd24730bfee3e3019296ba568382f0799b54e6d33c91f9ba", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "9c0f1130b986ecbc159dff6653673dd48c2b5d1a7eccb1c2447be8caed5a4c399259001b26796bb573619aa038e1b5b742949aed19d9881adac3aba4f46d6f04" } }, "receipt_sha256": "e8ac8f5153cee860fd24730bfee3e3019296ba568382f0799b54e6d33c91f9ba" }, { "row": 64, "col": 18, "lat": 69.0, "lon": -143.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 3.6, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.767, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.2085, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 6.2, "ell_trend": -0.01, "rate_acceleration": 1.88, "delta_aic_iet": 82.23, "S_over_Gamma": 13.122, "days_to_criticality": 22.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 1.8381, "depth_trend": 0.26, "spatial_concentration": 72.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7135, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ecfdcbd9e964104db6800463b74e39cbd8f416b1a1d1a2f854c3bf8a15e0bb60", "input_sha256": "bde72c2f031cbbbdd0caa59c86d43e1a35ec72916cb4123d6d8c6e45187c61ff", "issued_at": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7135, "probability": 0.032405, "confidence_lo": 0.032383, "confidence_hi": 0.032406, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "17c4c1cf91b78a030cf6c39e49e2d1c5397dd21426470d896a79dc905aeb3012", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "83a52e4eb8f475911175ca596fb574c6bf8b93c003400aa2514f11b81d55acc0e8f57a050cdc76fb8d133d7f10f367e4e94eec31c1870a77ff033dfba8fc8306" } }, "receipt_sha256": "17c4c1cf91b78a030cf6c39e49e2d1c5397dd21426470d896a79dc905aeb3012" }, { "row": 31, "col": 154, "lat": 3.0, "lon": 129.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.6, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.7217, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.559, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.434, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 94.2, "ell_trend": -3.88, "rate_acceleration": 0.89, "delta_aic_iet": 239.61, "S_over_Gamma": 15.079, "days_to_criticality": 2099.0, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.6234, "grad_tau_local": 2.1038, "depth_trend": 18.27, "spatial_concentration": 43.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6933, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ecfdcbd9e964104db6800463b74e39cbd8f416b1a1d1a2f854c3bf8a15e0bb60", "input_sha256": "95a063046e5323c2a1a80f334168580d8129f8c59026b5128978af33fbd86934", "issued_at": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6933, "probability": 0.032405, "confidence_lo": 0.032383, "confidence_hi": 0.032406, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "93300c35f2e784bbf2086b872924c54dac1bae8d86624aaa7d28cfcb6adc90c4", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "9c76b71f5af5cf23ef8cce30006dbf11a6dd954037c5479451d999d86f968aec8fbfd4a9b36b0fdc6eedc1dffae1abf09cf2b85ae6429a0a4fa184984cb6a905" } }, "receipt_sha256": "93300c35f2e784bbf2086b872924c54dac1bae8d86624aaa7d28cfcb6adc90c4" }, { "row": 28, "col": 159, "lat": -3.0, "lon": 139.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.3, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.6281, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.1518, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.23, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 19.5, "ell_trend": -1.42, "rate_acceleration": 2.46, "delta_aic_iet": 164.08, "S_over_Gamma": 14.944, "days_to_criticality": 1786.5, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.3494, "grad_tau_local": 0.2416, "depth_trend": -16.24, "spatial_concentration": 75.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6501, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ecfdcbd9e964104db6800463b74e39cbd8f416b1a1d1a2f854c3bf8a15e0bb60", "input_sha256": "30161d74dd9d0def63a5877202cc1fb0ec785fb210bc499341f2540defa54770", "issued_at": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6501, "probability": 0.032405, "confidence_lo": 0.032383, "confidence_hi": 0.032406, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "a8893253d88bce23b9aa0cef4f3551a3510b80a6dc6d58a79897ebc98a69a015", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "0f0924b7ceddfa61032227c508d9ec78f3731e9490835e228a410d9ac7a90d578583e9b7ce750c6d977b7d777483b56e3e93ccd094d7b561b6ca2a3707df1c0e" } }, "receipt_sha256": "a8893253d88bce23b9aa0cef4f3551a3510b80a6dc6d58a79897ebc98a69a015" }, { "row": 26, "col": 150, "lat": -7.0, "lon": 121.0, "n_events": 69, "max_mag": 5.4, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.8528, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.266, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.191, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 43.0, "ell_trend": -15.85, "rate_acceleration": 27.46, "delta_aic_iet": -1152.4, "S_over_Gamma": 14.529, "days_to_criticality": 2098.6, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.902, "grad_tau_local": 0.7287, "depth_trend": -42.32, "spatial_concentration": 51.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.65, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ecfdcbd9e964104db6800463b74e39cbd8f416b1a1d1a2f854c3bf8a15e0bb60", "input_sha256": "b396b5829704b6747f7976cbb613b952c9a7c21e2b1a476e2b3cd4cdd4ce720b", "issued_at": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.65, "probability": 0.032405, "confidence_lo": 0.032383, "confidence_hi": 0.032406, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "4153345384b03d76bebb85129de078e4b0fbddacdf42d8957e427407a992a8a4", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "6e2474670ccde2f6b36ff88a9b91c56a1a7aeacc4d02008a105c1b6c7276882510fa59b41c2e85837e4916262b2e21f09cf4e5dc08e50489aa301574a8b5b901" } }, "receipt_sha256": "4153345384b03d76bebb85129de078e4b0fbddacdf42d8957e427407a992a8a4" }, { "row": 48, "col": 137, "lat": 37.0, "lon": 95.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 5.5, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.7175, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.2602, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 12.8, "ell_trend": -0.73, "rate_acceleration": 1.09, "delta_aic_iet": -48.28, "S_over_Gamma": 10.457, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 1.1391, "grad_tau_local": 0.1238, "depth_trend": -0.12, "spatial_concentration": 39.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6463, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ecfdcbd9e964104db6800463b74e39cbd8f416b1a1d1a2f854c3bf8a15e0bb60", "input_sha256": "1cd5ec9308e657145ec6bc14c65e28abe48124f680d583512b30f89107d40c98", "issued_at": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6463, "probability": 0.032405, "confidence_lo": 0.032383, "confidence_hi": 0.032406, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "fb80df4eb00a348a7ca8499961794c55dc6403faa74993a03be8b694f563f1af", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "1f6471cbd8012d55cd4206d5825fb487705a8b56c7df3489e9978cf09df0169d8fd6003b580f1f8b186ada481a9a2406e86493c914095e5693ef97fc7c387a0b" } }, "receipt_sha256": "fb80df4eb00a348a7ca8499961794c55dc6403faa74993a03be8b694f563f1af" }, { "row": 39, "col": 57, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -65.0, "n_events": 53, "max_mag": 3.8, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.3469, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.5587, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.294, "b_trend": -0.0204, "ell_km": 38.5, "ell_trend": 1.03, "rate_acceleration": 1.07, "delta_aic_iet": 1295.79, "S_over_Gamma": 13.862, "days_to_criticality": 20.8, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.7827, "grad_tau_local": 1.7032, "depth_trend": -2.24, "spatial_concentration": 48.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.614, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ecfdcbd9e964104db6800463b74e39cbd8f416b1a1d1a2f854c3bf8a15e0bb60", "input_sha256": "6582581ea0cd818565a98388edd49551841b45c4db683f83593b7eb083342d86", "issued_at": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.614, "probability": 0.032405, "confidence_lo": 0.032383, "confidence_hi": 0.032406, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "aa8a3885b08e2de343d51c9b85775a9c698bc6fc5119184a0d9c0d7dd5407665", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "0809a777d7a2404e9382eeedb16f3e5fd5024af198681ab18b563b8a39805dccd5243472256e3ad695b8550a9d1adaa396871f17bea5813353d48a832132320e" } }, "receipt_sha256": "aa8a3885b08e2de343d51c9b85775a9c698bc6fc5119184a0d9c0d7dd5407665" }, { "row": 23, "col": 82, "lat": -13.0, "lon": -15.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 5.3, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.6719, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.0443, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 36.7, "ell_trend": null, "rate_acceleration": 9.67, "delta_aic_iet": -57.66, "S_over_Gamma": 11.952, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.5491, "grad_tau_local": 0.1539, "depth_trend": 0.0, "spatial_concentration": 41.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5644, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ecfdcbd9e964104db6800463b74e39cbd8f416b1a1d1a2f854c3bf8a15e0bb60", "input_sha256": "1759dcbdca34ed70aa09c8382c863de20122f5f9888117befc387c0488e0ffa2", "issued_at": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5644, "probability": 0.032405, "confidence_lo": 0.032383, "confidence_hi": 0.032406, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "edcc059fead95f1ca1977da2216e9273088b6e00bcc731ae1ce23ca2f1f424f2", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "6790edabee9a12aff29be5a4a1428153e21a58414a87739d3b70244d0258e3e1fbf1cdff9a60fc179e30b41ff254b1c70ad2598765ab983a39c3a20a06085a09" } }, "receipt_sha256": "edcc059fead95f1ca1977da2216e9273088b6e00bcc731ae1ce23ca2f1f424f2" }, { "row": 55, "col": 0, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 66, "max_mag": 5.3, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.6152, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.648, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.64, "b_trend": 0.2139, "ell_km": 70.9, "ell_trend": 0.96, "rate_acceleration": 1.87, "delta_aic_iet": 819.87, "S_over_Gamma": 13.442, "days_to_criticality": 450.6, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 5.0091, "depth_trend": -5.64, "spatial_concentration": 118.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5602, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ecfdcbd9e964104db6800463b74e39cbd8f416b1a1d1a2f854c3bf8a15e0bb60", "input_sha256": "79d754a7047300b1d17f762e6797e698f8d144aa4aa60458a017c4864f74725a", "issued_at": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5602, "probability": 0.032405, "confidence_lo": 0.032383, "confidence_hi": 0.032406, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "28dfe0d7e7578e91beb5553e0979006ae51f6ad929efb4346f7eb77d1641893c", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "0f3e62996d8026d6cc94032b1778706d8c9d4bda6dc7c97c2185d4a48a9d52bc480ede5c3014f0f86ca41a4a2cf62f662717ad89a36e0f5b180d27935bc13e06" } }, "receipt_sha256": "28dfe0d7e7578e91beb5553e0979006ae51f6ad929efb4346f7eb77d1641893c" }, { "row": 39, "col": 56, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -67.0, "n_events": 41, "max_mag": 4.0, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.6125, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.7001, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.296, "b_trend": -0.0108, "ell_km": 39.5, "ell_trend": 0.72, "rate_acceleration": 1.08, "delta_aic_iet": 1382.5, "S_over_Gamma": 13.607, "days_to_criticality": 20.8, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.5408, "grad_tau_local": 1.4447, "depth_trend": -3.89, "spatial_concentration": 61.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5123, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ecfdcbd9e964104db6800463b74e39cbd8f416b1a1d1a2f854c3bf8a15e0bb60", "input_sha256": "35081d1662099067435cc23148494a184b5527e6491f76eb982231a48adfebf9", "issued_at": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5123, "probability": 0.032405, "confidence_lo": 0.032383, "confidence_hi": 0.032406, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "25c8b9d0271b99a38e659f48f69854031dbbc8f2887831bcb79ec692d548a343", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "2074db3b214d652bcf0be807908cc751826d4c977f1eb047bee13ea8794bb29cae34e2e15d5ad3a3d0ed5543a72cfea7a5f8a0ec62aa4050475ff5561dcea00d" } }, "receipt_sha256": "25c8b9d0271b99a38e659f48f69854031dbbc8f2887831bcb79ec692d548a343" }, { "row": 55, "col": 179, "lat": 51.0, "lon": 179.0, "n_events": 32, "max_mag": 4.0, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.0275, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.4648, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.575, "b_trend": 0.0725, "ell_km": 10.3, "ell_trend": -4.13, "rate_acceleration": 2.85, "delta_aic_iet": 817.65, "S_over_Gamma": 13.694, "days_to_criticality": 2099.6, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 4.563, "depth_trend": -6.08, "spatial_concentration": 125.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5118, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ecfdcbd9e964104db6800463b74e39cbd8f416b1a1d1a2f854c3bf8a15e0bb60", "input_sha256": "b848ee18c3518fe1361bedddee0d1458c45ca3b5fb1d0cff76804f9e608e8e58", "issued_at": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5118, "probability": 0.032405, "confidence_lo": 0.032383, "confidence_hi": 0.032406, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "a483c1dfe0233fde200770b9c9bbe584f0cafeb3a0f2a0d362723d9d2ee309c7", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "3de94bbb8f53446772123b9f6876d7b15dfbf11a944362f9d735471bce277025b340d7c55de3f4a699772b6c9acf35462eafeb72caa06d435523369c97f46f00" } }, "receipt_sha256": "a483c1dfe0233fde200770b9c9bbe584f0cafeb3a0f2a0d362723d9d2ee309c7" }, { "row": 55, "col": 178, "lat": 51.0, "lon": 177.0, "n_events": 49, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.622, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.3444, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.556, "b_trend": -0.0416, "ell_km": 9.8, "ell_trend": -5.65, "rate_acceleration": 3.31, "delta_aic_iet": 485.23, "S_over_Gamma": 11.824, "days_to_criticality": 2099.6, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.563, "grad_tau_local": 1.8997, "depth_trend": -6.58, "spatial_concentration": 124.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4999, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ecfdcbd9e964104db6800463b74e39cbd8f416b1a1d1a2f854c3bf8a15e0bb60", "input_sha256": "d8ccb2edc79e54c9d90d499283339762e79ee6bb403dea8ebdfc880301d3ea21", "issued_at": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4999, "probability": 0.032405, "confidence_lo": 0.032383, "confidence_hi": 0.032406, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "4f84becb81d5ec79e7b403ab15b79b1d70243b8fe1b529e1d80ccd5fa3e30e3a", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "beb61294051271e2c2371456b4a12a6f71880c73f39d8dad95b0c9ed97476112d94abbf8ab7426fa1d71345495656c13f39af8af40f7d6890fba829e86e2cb00" } }, "receipt_sha256": "4f84becb81d5ec79e7b403ab15b79b1d70243b8fe1b529e1d80ccd5fa3e30e3a" }, { "row": 0, "col": 66, "lat": -59.0, "lon": -47.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 6.2, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": null, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.0704, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 7.2, "ell_trend": null, "rate_acceleration": 7.0, "delta_aic_iet": null, "S_over_Gamma": 16.694, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 0.0137, "depth_trend": 0.0, "spatial_concentration": 50.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4878, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ecfdcbd9e964104db6800463b74e39cbd8f416b1a1d1a2f854c3bf8a15e0bb60", "input_sha256": "7996a8297061a423148cf77d378ba1888ef72cb50f4949cef5e4e0a347e1a93c", "issued_at": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4878, "probability": 0.032405, "confidence_lo": 0.032383, "confidence_hi": 0.032406, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "e54d306a63b630994c543c59cd2af4c1cdb2be57f6639a110234581bf8f26f5c", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "da6a9433810ded808eb4e6043e2fbe5f1d3e9fb955ff91ebb67cc7bce83575037951a1f8755806bc5a58ae718c9906617f39d9b6686ef2308c379639d1c7a60c" } }, "receipt_sha256": "e54d306a63b630994c543c59cd2af4c1cdb2be57f6639a110234581bf8f26f5c" }, { "row": 61, "col": 15, "lat": 63.0, "lon": -149.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 3.9, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.6958, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.577, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.888, "b_trend": 0.0685, "ell_km": 97.7, "ell_trend": 0.09, "rate_acceleration": 1.01, "delta_aic_iet": 643.35, "S_over_Gamma": 12.905, "days_to_criticality": 43.6, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.0273, "grad_tau_local": 1.7146, "depth_trend": 3.73, "spatial_concentration": 71.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4717, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ecfdcbd9e964104db6800463b74e39cbd8f416b1a1d1a2f854c3bf8a15e0bb60", "input_sha256": "ddf13ad228194660773d2a29ecbe16fc0cba8fa46c943c923efbab25d623340c", "issued_at": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4717, "probability": 0.032405, "confidence_lo": 0.032383, "confidence_hi": 0.032406, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f7783dca2d5a4b80c6a404fd0b4e6735e5d959ab5f580c84ca5ce8fdb0136998", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "2faacc1d219a8d3c4b8a39cb6f7758171ed08abf62d8286de2b1eacb2ae6581ee55ddea7499a9cc936762ae211a43da818e58d8a3ae811ea98e41ccdc42ce408" } }, "receipt_sha256": "f7783dca2d5a4b80c6a404fd0b4e6735e5d959ab5f580c84ca5ce8fdb0136998" }, { "row": 45, "col": 37, "lat": 31.0, "lon": -105.0, "n_events": 18, "max_mag": 3.4, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.6163, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.2911, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.146, "b_trend": -0.061, "ell_km": 3.6, "ell_trend": 0.13, "rate_acceleration": 0.63, "delta_aic_iet": 367.88, "S_over_Gamma": 13.269, "days_to_criticality": 1.3, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.5916, "grad_tau_local": 0.756, "depth_trend": 0.21, "spatial_concentration": 37.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4521, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ecfdcbd9e964104db6800463b74e39cbd8f416b1a1d1a2f854c3bf8a15e0bb60", "input_sha256": "f143207f4de8d099ad301f052dab3a006e10a07a1c65e9d1f245a70d9d13e8f7", "issued_at": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4521, "probability": 0.032405, "confidence_lo": 0.032383, "confidence_hi": 0.032406, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ed229f4bc22f3fb03bda35b61d228e1b4026f6a493f3857a3151d2124ca3886d", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "5c8aec21f15ecb1ddc0a34facc5a9b1be8b7bb77c180026e627a51734fc8951684cc6949c6f164c42816485693673dd2611a824c651858ba5424221711ab110b" } }, "receipt_sha256": "ed229f4bc22f3fb03bda35b61d228e1b4026f6a493f3857a3151d2124ca3886d" }, { "row": 55, "col": 1, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -177.0, "n_events": 29, "max_mag": 3.8, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.601, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.5848, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.669, "b_trend": 0.088, "ell_km": 66.9, "ell_trend": -2.4, "rate_acceleration": 2.26, "delta_aic_iet": 954.33, "S_over_Gamma": 13.139, "days_to_criticality": 2099.6, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.0091, "grad_tau_local": 3.21, "depth_trend": -6.94, "spatial_concentration": 163.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4461, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ecfdcbd9e964104db6800463b74e39cbd8f416b1a1d1a2f854c3bf8a15e0bb60", "input_sha256": "7d0bed6193e2505843062bc665355c3da8e4e80b7037d0411edddf814c22d93d", "issued_at": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4461, "probability": 0.032405, "confidence_lo": 0.032383, "confidence_hi": 0.032406, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "08ff5a624bf9e2374895b5c8f51a97542d6e7f1136fe2363410924668f9013bf", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "157ac9613841d7cc7dcfa5980e17d1171268bedf841e347cd821f52069ea188dce4894c07ba131bb090366512c50c72cf13d225e6dcfb707a9d69f0efe39ed00" } }, "receipt_sha256": "08ff5a624bf9e2374895b5c8f51a97542d6e7f1136fe2363410924668f9013bf" }, { "row": 39, "col": 12, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -155.0, "n_events": 22, "max_mag": 4.1, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.5391, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.21, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.803, "b_trend": -0.0711, "ell_km": 5.1, "ell_trend": -0.04, "rate_acceleration": 1.63, "delta_aic_iet": 270.1, "S_over_Gamma": 13.496, "days_to_criticality": 2098.3, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.6389, "grad_tau_local": 0.246, "depth_trend": -1.78, "spatial_concentration": 34.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4449, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ecfdcbd9e964104db6800463b74e39cbd8f416b1a1d1a2f854c3bf8a15e0bb60", "input_sha256": "c85af8e060c151228177ded3bba1fc6b65dc3590f80fb3a23893d283eca74c3a", "issued_at": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4449, "probability": 0.032405, "confidence_lo": 0.032383, "confidence_hi": 0.032406, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ba20f33e58afccce4722092699164ac47fd858aecd60ee27d51e45eb29484a18", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "6151ab71c0135430e159fee6963426d7ac763720c75fe1a6da00120d96a89a411ce63bd5339044577b5c0e235041dc48d6962bdef4b448b82d90d2457da54901" } }, "receipt_sha256": "ba20f33e58afccce4722092699164ac47fd858aecd60ee27d51e45eb29484a18" }, { "row": 60, "col": 13, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -153.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 3.7, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.6283, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.5054, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.047, "b_trend": -0.0784, "ell_km": 87.7, "ell_trend": 0.39, "rate_acceleration": 0.88, "delta_aic_iet": 799.41, "S_over_Gamma": 13.338, "days_to_criticality": 956.1, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.9848, "grad_tau_local": 1.5976, "depth_trend": 2.13, "spatial_concentration": 69.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4415, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ecfdcbd9e964104db6800463b74e39cbd8f416b1a1d1a2f854c3bf8a15e0bb60", "input_sha256": "46ecc1ee039620781ade7cc5d99e97aa84446063afb10365e2de9311021bb497", "issued_at": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4415, "probability": 0.032405, "confidence_lo": 0.032383, "confidence_hi": 0.032406, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "14e14dcf9b530803882f1f9ca6ab29e97cf324179040d0c13e8e49272c3b9698", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "a789a6bf42cffcd27239c2fe15f0fb4e028eaca872d943c8b89cbf58b2ba7f4edf67de3aa426219428a78d3f46a981d3b829a440f4fdd548eb7efb5305aa7407" } }, "receipt_sha256": "14e14dcf9b530803882f1f9ca6ab29e97cf324179040d0c13e8e49272c3b9698" }, { "row": 50, "col": 27, "lat": 41.0, "lon": -125.0, "n_events": 18, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.6208, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.4758, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.651, "b_trend": -0.1892, "ell_km": 10.2, "ell_trend": -0.84, "rate_acceleration": 1.14, "delta_aic_iet": 285.24, "S_over_Gamma": 13.352, "days_to_criticality": 20.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.1828, "grad_tau_local": 0.6659, "depth_trend": -0.54, "spatial_concentration": 85.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4327, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ecfdcbd9e964104db6800463b74e39cbd8f416b1a1d1a2f854c3bf8a15e0bb60", "input_sha256": "cc4a239b11b2e2c0e374b3d18944c2e58f42831e9da3f9d583a0c0e5d0666821", "issued_at": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4327, "probability": 0.032405, "confidence_lo": 0.032383, "confidence_hi": 0.032406, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "09688cd7249c1f5d83e70c828fb37fcb7b2ea1e8d306ff4ddea727a43b1436f0", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "f89775e7b24f7e34b1827e8bd0ff2814a1eb565e5ca8d078367980302eeab4c4afd85e59498d91a2f003f299b8788db57e62f19dc1e4d8facf586872000dcb0b" } }, "receipt_sha256": "09688cd7249c1f5d83e70c828fb37fcb7b2ea1e8d306ff4ddea727a43b1436f0" }, { "row": 56, "col": 8, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -163.0, "n_events": 21, "max_mag": 4.8, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.6597, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.3883, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.733, "b_trend": 0.1728, "ell_km": 24.2, "ell_trend": -1.04, "rate_acceleration": 1.31, "delta_aic_iet": 1001.75, "S_over_Gamma": 12.397, "days_to_criticality": 2099.0, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.594, "grad_tau_local": 1.1327, "depth_trend": -1.38, "spatial_concentration": 73.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4303, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ecfdcbd9e964104db6800463b74e39cbd8f416b1a1d1a2f854c3bf8a15e0bb60", "input_sha256": "3813c37996f272f1ad70f242b6f4a90e8398fd574ec20ad8d1821619b6125039", "issued_at": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4303, "probability": 0.032405, "confidence_lo": 0.032383, "confidence_hi": 0.032406, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "0350eb357967d0616dcb81389ceeb78c42a2290d640e96712d96844632409ddd", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "b8f4568fc20431bf18297ad7f177367f47c89ccc07811865310dde49e13103885a58280b9cfeac2ef5bb17134c7abcb51794c4d9420495d068fa61406fc3b401" } }, "receipt_sha256": "0350eb357967d0616dcb81389ceeb78c42a2290d640e96712d96844632409ddd" }, { "row": 49, "col": 28, "lat": 39.0, "lon": -123.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 3.3, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.6586, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.0466, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.906, "b_trend": -0.0326, "ell_km": 3.3, "ell_trend": 0.59, "rate_acceleration": 0.84, "delta_aic_iet": 562.02, "S_over_Gamma": 12.265, "days_to_criticality": 20.8, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.5578, "grad_tau_local": 0.8247, "depth_trend": 0.96, "spatial_concentration": 75.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4259, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ecfdcbd9e964104db6800463b74e39cbd8f416b1a1d1a2f854c3bf8a15e0bb60", "input_sha256": "6e1aee2051f9c17c2c5627653bd452ba8690052b92bc83574b1133105f8974ef", "issued_at": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4259, "probability": 0.032405, "confidence_lo": 0.032383, "confidence_hi": 0.032406, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "98fbb7c525664468f416d8d40c37db87f4988220cfcda24463b2bd6e33f4374f", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "bbfca651e5ef1ef30f36a23e48c8730a5f9c30d8d568b798cd329cb9b88528c9e580594ad3ef990b47bd40fcf0c035b1d5f242b94dcb49091a8b58f1f333ec03" } }, "receipt_sha256": "98fbb7c525664468f416d8d40c37db87f4988220cfcda24463b2bd6e33f4374f" }, { "row": 57, "col": 8, "lat": 55.0, "lon": -163.0, "n_events": 14, "max_mag": 4.5, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.7731, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.564, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.742, "b_trend": 0.022, "ell_km": 24.0, "ell_trend": -1.18, "rate_acceleration": 1.2, "delta_aic_iet": 1000.21, "S_over_Gamma": 11.614, "days_to_criticality": 20.4, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.4878, "grad_tau_local": 1.3002, "depth_trend": -0.79, "spatial_concentration": 64.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4254, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ecfdcbd9e964104db6800463b74e39cbd8f416b1a1d1a2f854c3bf8a15e0bb60", "input_sha256": "39edbe3c6cd39b7f781ddca2e8ca65dc3e188722cbef367e0b16ddb722279844", "issued_at": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4254, "probability": 0.032405, "confidence_lo": 0.032383, "confidence_hi": 0.032406, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "a050e265c4c9b9c9709e6b358383ca1021bfb7edd7a89aaca69446e0092bc380", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "d6a810ec7d105a794adcd6640b8ea2789414d42bd9822e5245d8de2bd75d2c6ef8adee61fbe3a0cc73c969575e840614f2b008fab3caaa49cabd4e898f2d1004" } }, "receipt_sha256": "a050e265c4c9b9c9709e6b358383ca1021bfb7edd7a89aaca69446e0092bc380" }, { "row": 60, "col": 14, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -151.0, "n_events": 26, "max_mag": 3.4, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.63, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.5655, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.83, "b_trend": -0.029, "ell_km": 92.4, "ell_trend": 0.7, "rate_acceleration": 0.93, "delta_aic_iet": 856.13, "S_over_Gamma": 13.131, "days_to_criticality": 34.0, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.6613, "grad_tau_local": 0.4174, "depth_trend": -0.8, "spatial_concentration": 69.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4249, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ecfdcbd9e964104db6800463b74e39cbd8f416b1a1d1a2f854c3bf8a15e0bb60", "input_sha256": "128590c698e1281ab235bc0469358df0fcb2dbe5fe4b2daec081af5b7ff4782d", "issued_at": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4249, "probability": 0.032405, "confidence_lo": 0.032383, "confidence_hi": 0.032406, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "6553760ada193035b9ee9f22d72bab6eb7d06632c00c8729a8c584d45fbe34ee", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "babe20ba5fcb15f02be8a1994c959d081172de8ae286482a40bbf0e99f198eee2d4e59295c6597829cb79f9c0af18ed610272b0bceaa980e2bbe87d5d4bd0a01" } }, "receipt_sha256": "6553760ada193035b9ee9f22d72bab6eb7d06632c00c8729a8c584d45fbe34ee" }, { "row": 61, "col": 14, "lat": 63.0, "lon": -151.0, "n_events": 15, "max_mag": 3.6, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.6349, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.5029, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.886, "b_trend": 0.101, "ell_km": 96.9, "ell_trend": 0.02, "rate_acceleration": 1.02, "delta_aic_iet": 612.3, "S_over_Gamma": 13.151, "days_to_criticality": 111.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.4163, "grad_tau_local": 1.9936, "depth_trend": 3.16, "spatial_concentration": 73.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4241, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ecfdcbd9e964104db6800463b74e39cbd8f416b1a1d1a2f854c3bf8a15e0bb60", "input_sha256": "1536a550f9d47d64eaf3efacc1de12e0c38d1ec58f2c4d3f74ffeeda8b342713", "issued_at": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4241, "probability": 0.032405, "confidence_lo": 0.032383, "confidence_hi": 0.032406, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "7d5525819a9782459f18fab9245b3eb9f2832184a89aac73128cef9494919a71", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "fad0f64b18c29456bc75685acb3072e3e7ad32e8159329342e612dbe9dd46f35c626e3ec6736bed29cf89b826b3e6e47724ebf7c82fc2eba6cdf3c378f67fb0c" } }, "receipt_sha256": "7d5525819a9782459f18fab9245b3eb9f2832184a89aac73128cef9494919a71" }, { "row": 60, "col": 15, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -149.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 3.9, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.6434, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.422, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.057, "b_trend": -0.0169, "ell_km": 88.3, "ell_trend": 1.09, "rate_acceleration": 0.92, "delta_aic_iet": 821.66, "S_over_Gamma": 13.082, "days_to_criticality": 53.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.8761, "grad_tau_local": 0.8527, "depth_trend": 0.42, "spatial_concentration": 68.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4153, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ecfdcbd9e964104db6800463b74e39cbd8f416b1a1d1a2f854c3bf8a15e0bb60", "input_sha256": "678853d651be0d23f2f0bb8ca2df5bc9b81b3fc914a275cab64c2b2940662d19", "issued_at": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4153, "probability": 0.032405, "confidence_lo": 0.032383, "confidence_hi": 0.032406, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "08e98fdcd8fedf024d3ac78abef6bd3f35767865adf294ef492b3c0988b7738c", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "42e33d333f1a3b467b20e293ded839d5901054f6fe277d5f795db5828ac38a025fa12b654ccef6875db62f7964c1e7f116301e89547fde982db4759caa786c0a" } }, "receipt_sha256": "08e98fdcd8fedf024d3ac78abef6bd3f35767865adf294ef492b3c0988b7738c" }, { "row": 56, "col": 6, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -167.0, "n_events": 22, "max_mag": 3.6, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.5791, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.3956, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.654, "b_trend": 0.0385, "ell_km": 16.6, "ell_trend": -5.58, "rate_acceleration": 1.77, "delta_aic_iet": 1181.66, "S_over_Gamma": 12.756, "days_to_criticality": 2099.5, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.3354, "grad_tau_local": 0.4859, "depth_trend": -0.56, "spatial_concentration": 69.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4089, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ecfdcbd9e964104db6800463b74e39cbd8f416b1a1d1a2f854c3bf8a15e0bb60", "input_sha256": "d7f43a8d91dcc23faa8f61a3db5151a5d284a8738b26d54c557097c0ea1bef4f", "issued_at": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4089, "probability": 0.032405, "confidence_lo": 0.032383, "confidence_hi": 0.032406, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "fae0a17cb82c9dc995e0cedda37b4b6620c0a4a928183651fa1e371d7284ac4c", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "95bc50ea6013196fe3546e654bed175dc8f2893edf9d21c2522273620144a63eaae7735212e905d5a0829d4fb1045e8c51781dc7f3bbb49e7cf15d5144f40f05" } }, "receipt_sha256": "fae0a17cb82c9dc995e0cedda37b4b6620c0a4a928183651fa1e371d7284ac4c" }, { "row": 38, "col": 56, "lat": 17.0, "lon": -67.0, "n_events": 12, "max_mag": 3.3, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.607, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.142, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.298, "b_trend": -0.0129, "ell_km": 19.8, "ell_trend": -1.46, "rate_acceleration": 1.22, "delta_aic_iet": 902.16, "S_over_Gamma": 13.238, "days_to_criticality": 26.0, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.9595, "grad_tau_local": 2.0015, "depth_trend": -4.37, "spatial_concentration": 58.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4068, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ecfdcbd9e964104db6800463b74e39cbd8f416b1a1d1a2f854c3bf8a15e0bb60", "input_sha256": "c763a6c85731c9b2fbbc1e8c920a7e0ed988895668326c3a4106070ae3284999", "issued_at": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4068, "probability": 0.032405, "confidence_lo": 0.032383, "confidence_hi": 0.032406, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "0b4c0a0fadbb7773c03dc013828d0cb17240c52c12aaffe659af84968d8bb0c4", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "41ada280f9d9607cbb5c29bc4aef48c94aa8e257ee5da049d3bbd7871ac8af2ea1c383f5a6f8192dba0cc028af5e7581814025c7a3c89a82213b71cf96bc9208" } }, "receipt_sha256": "0b4c0a0fadbb7773c03dc013828d0cb17240c52c12aaffe659af84968d8bb0c4" }, { "row": 39, "col": 55, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -69.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 4.1, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.6687, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.6013, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.149, "b_trend": 0.1205, "ell_km": 16.8, "ell_trend": -0.56, "rate_acceleration": 1.13, "delta_aic_iet": 685.96, "S_over_Gamma": 14.3, "days_to_criticality": 21.2, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.4693, "grad_tau_local": 2.27, "depth_trend": -2.3, "spatial_concentration": 42.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4058, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ecfdcbd9e964104db6800463b74e39cbd8f416b1a1d1a2f854c3bf8a15e0bb60", "input_sha256": "2fb9365ae8a14cab497c3b1086acebdcd71fae59549f4c61358fc9c8a6b17b08", "issued_at": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4058, "probability": 0.032405, "confidence_lo": 0.032383, "confidence_hi": 0.032406, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "2834b09d9ad6e23454320ac2820cee97ae2f3c7a8458ee368fe39c09ebf256f8", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "9302d7532251c6d67ebc4d76c4d394151598327054d6a83edcf8f49a6f08957144d799ffc75a4bba9c12630fc8c75b33108423c00e00c0e8025b43a2f8f76e0c" } }, "receipt_sha256": "2834b09d9ad6e23454320ac2820cee97ae2f3c7a8458ee368fe39c09ebf256f8" }, { "row": 60, "col": 16, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -147.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.6012, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.5433, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.843, "b_trend": -0.0151, "ell_km": 113.2, "ell_trend": 1.41, "rate_acceleration": 0.93, "delta_aic_iet": 614.07, "S_over_Gamma": 12.772, "days_to_criticality": 3.9, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.9961, "grad_tau_local": 0.91, "depth_trend": 4.19, "spatial_concentration": 75.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4053, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ecfdcbd9e964104db6800463b74e39cbd8f416b1a1d1a2f854c3bf8a15e0bb60", "input_sha256": "682cc73283da7a306b016bc97c5e2e868191d4baa2580b48d26169e9d4c88765", "issued_at": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4053, "probability": 0.032405, "confidence_lo": 0.032383, "confidence_hi": 0.032406, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "4852a97736d1c6ac33e96fe4040cd3f975c7814cfd22347cd3c08037684986d2", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "151c06f286353b2c64c4245765f7d55480ed1c4a22b83c6582365ffa8d9540808ade3014fc8c4065869adfe5ce613edbf585d44482057847b5b311dc71d42a0a" } }, "receipt_sha256": "4852a97736d1c6ac33e96fe4040cd3f975c7814cfd22347cd3c08037684986d2" }, { "row": 56, "col": 7, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -165.0, "n_events": 32, "max_mag": 4.3, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.6153, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.5175, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.728, "b_trend": 0.1506, "ell_km": 27.1, "ell_trend": -12.25, "rate_acceleration": 1.88, "delta_aic_iet": 853.7, "S_over_Gamma": 12.851, "days_to_criticality": 2099.0, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.327, "grad_tau_local": 0.4724, "depth_trend": -7.47, "spatial_concentration": 86.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4021, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ecfdcbd9e964104db6800463b74e39cbd8f416b1a1d1a2f854c3bf8a15e0bb60", "input_sha256": "0ece97206556d59faed2890a1e084e59b5378165de620b1e6d1c729ce690e86a", "issued_at": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4021, "probability": 0.032405, "confidence_lo": 0.032383, "confidence_hi": 0.032406, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "56d1dbae9a54a7a346fe771949d7ed9284d75348001b32d5148e4100e44ca78c", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "2b45397b3c49ed931013274946226112c3b959310e3996f75855a3f9b58b21c8a281377b6e2190691f85aa2c0be10b6b6ec52b54c27f7c2ab91a80e1097b0c09" } }, "receipt_sha256": "56d1dbae9a54a7a346fe771949d7ed9284d75348001b32d5148e4100e44ca78c" }, { "row": 56, "col": 5, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -169.0, "n_events": 221, "max_mag": 6.3, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.5772, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.646, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.646, "b_trend": 0.0311, "ell_km": 15.6, "ell_trend": -4.91, "rate_acceleration": 1.73, "delta_aic_iet": 1042.57, "S_over_Gamma": 13.47, "days_to_criticality": 2099.5, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 9.261, "grad_tau_local": 0.737, "depth_trend": -1.23, "spatial_concentration": 77.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4014, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ecfdcbd9e964104db6800463b74e39cbd8f416b1a1d1a2f854c3bf8a15e0bb60", "input_sha256": "6ab336f16823297556c40867129784992b6a971b87a60dbe6849dd8c4773964f", "issued_at": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4014, "probability": 0.032405, "confidence_lo": 0.032383, "confidence_hi": 0.032406, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "a19ec8797a01625511abfaa8eb0782f9f908298c099b54c538c681c2c9a71596", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "8ff957c74587399e7387210c96d15f2e583d243c6af2eaee2020608d2df019dcd54672fdd4cc1cb1bd821701c5f6d476ba6e3be4d9b8470ce77e55786e88e203" } }, "receipt_sha256": "a19ec8797a01625511abfaa8eb0782f9f908298c099b54c538c681c2c9a71596" }, { "row": 58, "col": 13, "lat": 57.0, "lon": -153.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 3.2, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.6401, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.5072, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.912, "b_trend": 0.0564, "ell_km": 79.6, "ell_trend": -2.66, "rate_acceleration": 0.81, "delta_aic_iet": 588.21, "S_over_Gamma": 13.585, "days_to_criticality": 2099.0, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.8016, "grad_tau_local": 1.2217, "depth_trend": -1.83, "spatial_concentration": 72.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3995, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ecfdcbd9e964104db6800463b74e39cbd8f416b1a1d1a2f854c3bf8a15e0bb60", "input_sha256": "cc95bb12ab5624bf62c3df7456aac90b49a4fedb6529da11d51b4ff68e26dc29", "issued_at": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3995, "probability": 0.032405, "confidence_lo": 0.032383, "confidence_hi": 0.032406, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "96431ab62c7acb0efdf5a012eddc1951f75b246fb96b43970be041fb074d5662", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "a6d3da87f93b20dc5c6fe69cbf1d6f8b4fc2dd136ccfac4d3a03d2c3fe9c99f9e2423ea82842d42d5092ca682c5da638492a258a271fa3340e949b56d0f25c05" } }, "receipt_sha256": "96431ab62c7acb0efdf5a012eddc1951f75b246fb96b43970be041fb074d5662" }, { "row": 50, "col": 26, "lat": 41.0, "lon": -127.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 4.4, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.6126, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.0667, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.657, "b_trend": -0.2199, "ell_km": 11.1, "ell_trend": -0.86, "rate_acceleration": 0.99, "delta_aic_iet": 253.45, "S_over_Gamma": 12.905, "days_to_criticality": 20.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.7893, "grad_tau_local": 1.5138, "depth_trend": 0.07, "spatial_concentration": 67.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3989, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ecfdcbd9e964104db6800463b74e39cbd8f416b1a1d1a2f854c3bf8a15e0bb60", "input_sha256": "49136a1fff4a57adc285c84b20968d40e84b0d816e0372c1810226e2d4eab6ae", "issued_at": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3989, "probability": 0.032405, "confidence_lo": 0.032383, "confidence_hi": 0.032406, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f89a4124fdd71e19f8ff9d95e7dba3a32da3dee242600254fecf1855d7d65462", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "df709e6c9f7fccfe43eac9f437618e4c8eeca47c13e3c11480a56efabfbcd79cd5ac296c6959a05a30cc2a4d9f43639367fa992cd8513e157121c4606e6d050c" } }, "receipt_sha256": "f89a4124fdd71e19f8ff9d95e7dba3a32da3dee242600254fecf1855d7d65462" }, { "row": 58, "col": 12, "lat": 57.0, "lon": -155.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 4.5, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.6155, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.584, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.843, "b_trend": 0.0104, "ell_km": 129.7, "ell_trend": 2.74, "rate_acceleration": 0.88, "delta_aic_iet": 504.99, "S_over_Gamma": 13.352, "days_to_criticality": 455.6, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.8851, "grad_tau_local": 0.4964, "depth_trend": 0.45, "spatial_concentration": 78.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3969, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ecfdcbd9e964104db6800463b74e39cbd8f416b1a1d1a2f854c3bf8a15e0bb60", "input_sha256": "3a10f6dc6d2f461f50ccc3b0d399c173a3d1e4d643204b6036dc604c5232288c", "issued_at": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3969, "probability": 0.032405, "confidence_lo": 0.032383, "confidence_hi": 0.032406, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "e822febc353379d029365ff91f80a28a30ded2fec7b58e7ec2e850495367e912", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "cc799defd96fd96ad7fb0b056edf34932c504c6885ca44e936fc8959da324478e245ad29a7c2006e15eb77802d9f69e1e05539001b66cfeb7c586c930dcb8405" } }, "receipt_sha256": "e822febc353379d029365ff91f80a28a30ded2fec7b58e7ec2e850495367e912" }, { "row": 55, "col": 5, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -169.0, "n_events": 34, "max_mag": 3.9, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.6147, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.2114, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.629, "b_trend": 0.0288, "ell_km": 15.8, "ell_trend": -3.65, "rate_acceleration": 1.96, "delta_aic_iet": 850.02, "S_over_Gamma": 13.816, "days_to_criticality": 25.0, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.2523, "grad_tau_local": 2.1866, "depth_trend": 0.51, "spatial_concentration": 75.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3956, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ecfdcbd9e964104db6800463b74e39cbd8f416b1a1d1a2f854c3bf8a15e0bb60", "input_sha256": "d7abf4adc0be3a03161e02568d47881ddef6e40411f93fdaa1e3589386035f43", "issued_at": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3956, "probability": 0.032405, "confidence_lo": 0.032383, "confidence_hi": 0.032406, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "368c90f8991e579076de285179f889b6c20afab93ff7ca7c47e8b54ce4a8d3ff", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "33b246e00bbae903c58c1bdcb6d3dfade919f14d0d800cb059be11378233f36382da79af270131d09e8ea358c93444e67a715cd2e3e7fe78b9a95713a8a53a0a" } }, "receipt_sha256": "368c90f8991e579076de285179f889b6c20afab93ff7ca7c47e8b54ce4a8d3ff" }, { "row": 56, "col": 3, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -173.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 3.6, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.6726, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.4394, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.629, "b_trend": 0.0475, "ell_km": 17.0, "ell_trend": -2.56, "rate_acceleration": 2.36, "delta_aic_iet": 1089.08, "S_over_Gamma": 13.708, "days_to_criticality": 21.5, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.201, "grad_tau_local": 1.7933, "depth_trend": -3.33, "spatial_concentration": 64.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.392, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ecfdcbd9e964104db6800463b74e39cbd8f416b1a1d1a2f854c3bf8a15e0bb60", "input_sha256": "ba3bac60aefebb1a467cb970347b38c68f02e67167ca231eef2e70add45c3cab", "issued_at": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.392, "probability": 0.032405, "confidence_lo": 0.032383, "confidence_hi": 0.032406, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "39ccd6661a40be463bc814133c9c997b357a83e2782bdf05e2d1e570683cba21", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "292b29e6182a019019ba7eea28a5515dd2f2cd1675c003e9fbc5c9fe981f0d828dd70d80da20f84c4ae99928872a99fba6b695629cad5295c0a4564c91e7e10e" } }, "receipt_sha256": "39ccd6661a40be463bc814133c9c997b357a83e2782bdf05e2d1e570683cba21" }, { "row": 59, "col": 13, "lat": 59.0, "lon": -153.0, "n_events": 13, "max_mag": 3.9, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.6111, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.4836, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.834, "b_trend": -0.1995, "ell_km": 87.1, "ell_trend": 0.19, "rate_acceleration": 0.77, "delta_aic_iet": 624.54, "S_over_Gamma": 13.119, "days_to_criticality": 186.8, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.685, "grad_tau_local": 0.3239, "depth_trend": 2.35, "spatial_concentration": 81.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3885, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ecfdcbd9e964104db6800463b74e39cbd8f416b1a1d1a2f854c3bf8a15e0bb60", "input_sha256": "ea55970d03427a18828d55475538beceaff4879de37234d8594dfa2edc6cb6ad", "issued_at": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3885, "probability": 0.032405, "confidence_lo": 0.032383, "confidence_hi": 0.032406, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "959d0971bccafb9e2b553b3aac89344882f41fe695f0a7699b7b3996ded7e4c4", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "6fb168306136d0023d6649e141bb2a0950a7c4b0c008aab2f7be41de82a63e8953196ebe8730e693e444795630ac899b951a8b6558b1875f6c04ca6eba5a650f" } }, "receipt_sha256": "959d0971bccafb9e2b553b3aac89344882f41fe695f0a7699b7b3996ded7e4c4" }, { "row": 55, "col": 2, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -175.0, "n_events": 27, "max_mag": 3.1, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.6063, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.3882, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.656, "b_trend": 0.0948, "ell_km": 59.4, "ell_trend": -2.05, "rate_acceleration": 2.24, "delta_aic_iet": 903.88, "S_over_Gamma": 13.121, "days_to_criticality": 2099.6, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.4104, "grad_tau_local": 1.0993, "depth_trend": -8.69, "spatial_concentration": 73.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3872, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ecfdcbd9e964104db6800463b74e39cbd8f416b1a1d1a2f854c3bf8a15e0bb60", "input_sha256": "d597a5e7aec8092687ff590afc93e54e555ecac09d41a8b14303fdb3de10bc0d", "issued_at": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3872, "probability": 0.032405, "confidence_lo": 0.032383, "confidence_hi": 0.032406, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "64447c3b50353cef2d39e2b1c5c1f6ddb592b8d7076cc9251fee999ad70e51f6", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "163e84cfd9c2c04ba4eab9bce0f115f28cad7def127dbd5d1917e4fe12cf12dc1c0a67b1b4c0449da74e83504bdfdbd59b859de3ad4b092128105aa73a4e0a00" } }, "receipt_sha256": "64447c3b50353cef2d39e2b1c5c1f6ddb592b8d7076cc9251fee999ad70e51f6" }, { "row": 55, "col": 3, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -173.0, "n_events": 16, "max_mag": 3.7, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.569, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.4315, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.634, "b_trend": 0.0574, "ell_km": 16.2, "ell_trend": -2.03, "rate_acceleration": 2.17, "delta_aic_iet": 1203.4, "S_over_Gamma": 13.193, "days_to_criticality": 41.9, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.9848, "grad_tau_local": 0.8394, "depth_trend": -0.71, "spatial_concentration": 71.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3861, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ecfdcbd9e964104db6800463b74e39cbd8f416b1a1d1a2f854c3bf8a15e0bb60", "input_sha256": "fab896fd199e759cb037f4f4300a075d79fc4d67f22140c49de3800690cb69fc", "issued_at": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3861, "probability": 0.032405, "confidence_lo": 0.032383, "confidence_hi": 0.032406, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ef34ac4e48202f27b7e7fde457f526046d778f9856730aff6210526af8c636a9", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "dd2a22386e7cd7d201fccc2a35e2b57ac3c5997e396a13fe90557d192a15836527fdd0eec7541ed85dadcc0eedb7a839714847e0dea3a0fb3098d2f0d7e75a03" } }, "receipt_sha256": "ef34ac4e48202f27b7e7fde457f526046d778f9856730aff6210526af8c636a9" }, { "row": 57, "col": 9, "lat": 55.0, "lon": -161.0, "n_events": 26, "max_mag": 4.1, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.5813, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.5825, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.746, "b_trend": 0.0499, "ell_km": 21.0, "ell_trend": -1.58, "rate_acceleration": 1.2, "delta_aic_iet": 948.24, "S_over_Gamma": 13.046, "days_to_criticality": 2098.0, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.3142, "grad_tau_local": 0.4552, "depth_trend": 0.6, "spatial_concentration": 77.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3859, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ecfdcbd9e964104db6800463b74e39cbd8f416b1a1d1a2f854c3bf8a15e0bb60", "input_sha256": "f0f3a47bcd642562fd14ed93c3a3d209fe3d4c981f43631559b7d663bd2be5d4", "issued_at": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3859, "probability": 0.032405, "confidence_lo": 0.032383, "confidence_hi": 0.032406, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f3cb382713f0056440741a1fde82c68f65d6ee4701addecbd91ac899ee25ab05", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "37f0038031d1525a38265198accdf629e16d3c1c042bbacfcbae65ce7f2c4c7219c890c1467574305b92ce7f902ef3d55ea169c3d0f5e78df71261a9599fb40e" } }, "receipt_sha256": "f3cb382713f0056440741a1fde82c68f65d6ee4701addecbd91ac899ee25ab05" }, { "row": 56, "col": 178, "lat": 53.0, "lon": 177.0, "n_events": 31, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.6339, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.1386, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.544, "b_trend": -0.0845, "ell_km": 9.7, "ell_trend": -4.68, "rate_acceleration": 3.41, "delta_aic_iet": 333.68, "S_over_Gamma": 11.127, "days_to_criticality": 2099.4, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.0667, "grad_tau_local": 2.0404, "depth_trend": -8.28, "spatial_concentration": 102.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3777, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ecfdcbd9e964104db6800463b74e39cbd8f416b1a1d1a2f854c3bf8a15e0bb60", "input_sha256": "fdeeaa0333608ba345ef28e375d6c21c449e85785851a1f9006684a5fe0040d0", "issued_at": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3777, "probability": 0.032405, "confidence_lo": 0.032383, "confidence_hi": 0.032406, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "51e1765eda148ca3860c879e584eaffd6473afc56df5fd695baf9a5ff4288693", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "427faf656d2821d19fba2074d8b385c157c51cf25e3bb2ea11b236bc29c498db805472633394ffa990d3c94b6ae8d3da960f5f2c01c38e659c2eb3e7b22ca803" } }, "receipt_sha256": "51e1765eda148ca3860c879e584eaffd6473afc56df5fd695baf9a5ff4288693" }, { "row": 47, "col": 31, "lat": 35.0, "lon": -117.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 3.2, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.6027, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.1595, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.909, "b_trend": -0.0833, "ell_km": 2.5, "ell_trend": 0.05, "rate_acceleration": 0.83, "delta_aic_iet": 466.13, "S_over_Gamma": 13.435, "days_to_criticality": 18.7, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.9172, "grad_tau_local": 0.5203, "depth_trend": 0.86, "spatial_concentration": 75.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.374, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ecfdcbd9e964104db6800463b74e39cbd8f416b1a1d1a2f854c3bf8a15e0bb60", "input_sha256": "3cd519241bf7a2d1adca3e513aab016fd86d02ed678e213a8e13a9929232aeed", "issued_at": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.374, "probability": 0.032405, "confidence_lo": 0.032383, "confidence_hi": 0.032406, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "c7c715690de6fbf3085b27127cbb5f1a535de907e0e729a89d6aa363a9b60d76", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "f32725b387f8402db28b7b664595092e59889912baa5292a350f3e07393720da8d5cedd340db54dcc74a0c55e18391ec7095efcb3ac1c960aa54e1f1b82a8104" } }, "receipt_sha256": "c7c715690de6fbf3085b27127cbb5f1a535de907e0e729a89d6aa363a9b60d76" }, { "row": 57, "col": 10, "lat": 55.0, "lon": -159.0, "n_events": 15, "max_mag": 4.1, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.5843, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.4842, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.749, "b_trend": 0.0401, "ell_km": 22.9, "ell_trend": -0.57, "rate_acceleration": 1.12, "delta_aic_iet": 816.6, "S_over_Gamma": 13.341, "days_to_criticality": 2098.0, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.0487, "grad_tau_local": 0.5807, "depth_trend": -1.67, "spatial_concentration": 91.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3653, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ecfdcbd9e964104db6800463b74e39cbd8f416b1a1d1a2f854c3bf8a15e0bb60", "input_sha256": "4e8b39bbc33fa830f1149056f4b9cf044eef067ce07035584971eacb2de59716", "issued_at": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3653, "probability": 0.032405, "confidence_lo": 0.032383, "confidence_hi": 0.032406, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "17b13916bfb3d3c49dc7e881490195b2708f28be07df0fa740bd6341d09e182c", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "796454391df2c55659d0916479532ed9e3c5b3fc66a142f59570285272533145be80a2b2787ec9119bdd66018fe3fbf9593cd5ac2181951ba83decec11323008" } }, "receipt_sha256": "17b13916bfb3d3c49dc7e881490195b2708f28be07df0fa740bd6341d09e182c" }, { "row": 59, "col": 14, "lat": 59.0, "lon": -151.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 3.8, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.6099, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.2929, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.862, "b_trend": -0.1721, "ell_km": 83.2, "ell_trend": 0.28, "rate_acceleration": 0.79, "delta_aic_iet": 656.72, "S_over_Gamma": 12.817, "days_to_criticality": 2.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.2439, "grad_tau_local": 0.9383, "depth_trend": 3.71, "spatial_concentration": 91.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3597, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ecfdcbd9e964104db6800463b74e39cbd8f416b1a1d1a2f854c3bf8a15e0bb60", "input_sha256": "88f225a9e569861177c05366a5ea13aa3442e27b9a827643230c956776cd0820", "issued_at": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3597, "probability": 0.032405, "confidence_lo": 0.032383, "confidence_hi": 0.032406, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "e209ba811bf7b4c69628bf149fb3d9082316dc02b962585a3e8556a84b8df323", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "affc8b68e8c5d22b9bd72d908b04f093020aed736a71f4b3c36c9746d982c185a556914c6ec1060c22fe27789ec3b830c890d50f12af968cfb3a71b00e29480a" } }, "receipt_sha256": "e209ba811bf7b4c69628bf149fb3d9082316dc02b962585a3e8556a84b8df323" }, { "row": 58, "col": 15, "lat": 57.0, "lon": -149.0, "n_events": 11, "max_mag": 3.7, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.6414, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.074, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.947, "b_trend": 0.0975, "ell_km": 28.4, "ell_trend": 2.15, "rate_acceleration": 1.24, "delta_aic_iet": 266.54, "S_over_Gamma": 12.02, "days_to_criticality": 17.3, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.9032, "grad_tau_local": 1.2885, "depth_trend": 1.03, "spatial_concentration": 49.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3582, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ecfdcbd9e964104db6800463b74e39cbd8f416b1a1d1a2f854c3bf8a15e0bb60", "input_sha256": "e39e2081c4d8d401dc208a4a80feca80b9268dc9c99d82f5445f5f2ab6d95121", "issued_at": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3582, "probability": 0.032405, "confidence_lo": 0.032383, "confidence_hi": 0.032406, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "b88c3786798904a0cc94998b36f26d1cb51405ddc7a3e306f55310edd0a01986", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "c8f2fa3e7912b19084a949567643bb123871305b171ab5727c66f8a2fd9704ee52df642d2613d1e4cf4f9c26559da7f2203fd745415884fd3f54966cedcfb809" } }, "receipt_sha256": "b88c3786798904a0cc94998b36f26d1cb51405ddc7a3e306f55310edd0a01986" }, { "row": 58, "col": 11, "lat": 57.0, "lon": -157.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 3.0, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.6239, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.3648, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.829, "b_trend": 0.0391, "ell_km": 98.3, "ell_trend": -19.54, "rate_acceleration": 0.98, "delta_aic_iet": 522.43, "S_over_Gamma": 13.203, "days_to_criticality": 2099.0, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.5386, "grad_tau_local": 0.6387, "depth_trend": -7.08, "spatial_concentration": 79.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3578, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ecfdcbd9e964104db6800463b74e39cbd8f416b1a1d1a2f854c3bf8a15e0bb60", "input_sha256": "95fb65456ebf54cc2c41053197bcc8cf7f007644e1803576537ea00710055e69", "issued_at": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3578, "probability": 0.032405, "confidence_lo": 0.032383, "confidence_hi": 0.032406, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "6b421d1cd8d36d6d568c2899beb1164975c62ad2a40df9ae07008cc718901036", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "50b425895be56e200d4fd0ca65541135c28695c2bdbf757149e7976fd9917ce96c9345ec3dd50cb3b55373858e0164d8b897c867698087a20dd78bcb144a4d02" } }, "receipt_sha256": "6b421d1cd8d36d6d568c2899beb1164975c62ad2a40df9ae07008cc718901036" }, { "row": 57, "col": 11, "lat": 55.0, "lon": -157.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 4.8, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.8326, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.4656, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.769, "b_trend": 0.0973, "ell_km": 22.6, "ell_trend": -0.54, "rate_acceleration": 1.0, "delta_aic_iet": 720.22, "S_over_Gamma": 12.971, "days_to_criticality": 2099.0, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.2442, "grad_tau_local": 1.1212, "depth_trend": -1.13, "spatial_concentration": 74.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3564, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ecfdcbd9e964104db6800463b74e39cbd8f416b1a1d1a2f854c3bf8a15e0bb60", "input_sha256": "f3063c5e16d33848cfacf8439188786e6abf7ab5ba26b5dc05c957199accc3e6", "issued_at": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3564, "probability": 0.032405, "confidence_lo": 0.032383, "confidence_hi": 0.032406, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "5a1771ae87b33ca5aa15599f3c7cab1fa476c25a799631412b87fbf5c1e18d8f", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "4ed937b1434b9fac35a812bdd871b893a23d37e2c35a139588dd583891ed9febb418010a538ca2ed6aa4353f6edf4724971f03f9e4d93114d704c137eebd0909" } }, "receipt_sha256": "5a1771ae87b33ca5aa15599f3c7cab1fa476c25a799631412b87fbf5c1e18d8f" }, { "row": 49, "col": 30, "lat": 39.0, "lon": -119.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 2.7, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.3845, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.1652, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.894, "b_trend": -0.0338, "ell_km": 2.6, "ell_trend": 0.31, "rate_acceleration": 0.36, "delta_aic_iet": 435.72, "S_over_Gamma": 13.141, "days_to_criticality": 51.8, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.4834, "grad_tau_local": 0.5417, "depth_trend": -0.76, "spatial_concentration": 83.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3497, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ecfdcbd9e964104db6800463b74e39cbd8f416b1a1d1a2f854c3bf8a15e0bb60", "input_sha256": "6b03762d97752eb181480ae7537879194545473c884957ff7870d7a6b1ecdf17", "issued_at": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3497, "probability": 0.032405, "confidence_lo": 0.032383, "confidence_hi": 0.032406, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "d5d122781842d8354ec1380c8a00699753e1547282015257b8a772461e3ab866", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "eb115625122e8faada4a0136c0666659ef99d705785c940ec10c99b4d4449670467912b9d94bcdffeec3cd61790d9e9fb67a74a97757182477ab7dccce823800" } }, "receipt_sha256": "d5d122781842d8354ec1380c8a00699753e1547282015257b8a772461e3ab866" }, { "row": 60, "col": 20, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -139.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 2.9, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.5203, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.2032, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.803, "b_trend": 0.3228, "ell_km": 9.9, "ell_trend": -0.1, "rate_acceleration": 0.08, "delta_aic_iet": -1674.69, "S_over_Gamma": 12.992, "days_to_criticality": 2096.5, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.6478, "grad_tau_local": 1.3074, "depth_trend": -0.02, "spatial_concentration": 42.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3375, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ecfdcbd9e964104db6800463b74e39cbd8f416b1a1d1a2f854c3bf8a15e0bb60", "input_sha256": "bbae3104d0ec3406db04966d969421f94addc473225805054424441012fbab48", "issued_at": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3375, "probability": 0.032405, "confidence_lo": 0.032383, "confidence_hi": 0.032406, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "97bc838a13bd2d088a501483c9671f15b56f3be5591048aad61c686079e74468", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "9b886749bcd40f44d47785ee090c31c9ee0bc3eafcb349574a73fb5987e32e5c7fd8968cbf19e9f1152a25fc8f1fa970b567820201cad9b8935d1803b88f5103" } }, "receipt_sha256": "97bc838a13bd2d088a501483c9671f15b56f3be5591048aad61c686079e74468" }, { "row": 48, "col": 30, "lat": 37.0, "lon": -119.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 2.9, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.5692, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.0659, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.942, "b_trend": -0.0773, "ell_km": 2.6, "ell_trend": 0.28, "rate_acceleration": 0.64, "delta_aic_iet": 714.89, "S_over_Gamma": 12.462, "days_to_criticality": 19.3, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.2489, "grad_tau_local": 0.4988, "depth_trend": -0.8, "spatial_concentration": 58.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3362, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ecfdcbd9e964104db6800463b74e39cbd8f416b1a1d1a2f854c3bf8a15e0bb60", "input_sha256": "177564c9ab79e2b50599dca143bf0b4f868e09a016b5dca2baaabd359c24df27", "issued_at": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3362, "probability": 0.032405, "confidence_lo": 0.032383, "confidence_hi": 0.032406, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "27582302526d105686811e8aeeb39789fbcdceb04d417343a0aab75b7a55a644", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "a6e4c0d285a92f7e262c155cd23a2b135cb1f177b658ea1b77ebf62f2d5c05dae3f5e1339c86873d509c68867e2371ed73aba8d1d4005b52a037388371f1a00a" } }, "receipt_sha256": "27582302526d105686811e8aeeb39789fbcdceb04d417343a0aab75b7a55a644" }, { "row": 48, "col": 31, "lat": 37.0, "lon": -117.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 4.0, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.5796, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.0724, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.924, "b_trend": -0.0461, "ell_km": 2.0, "ell_trend": 0.08, "rate_acceleration": 0.95, "delta_aic_iet": 359.46, "S_over_Gamma": 13.431, "days_to_criticality": 17.0, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.0409, "grad_tau_local": 0.4838, "depth_trend": -1.37, "spatial_concentration": 53.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3285, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ecfdcbd9e964104db6800463b74e39cbd8f416b1a1d1a2f854c3bf8a15e0bb60", "input_sha256": "f2170f773e9c3a6639adff963a9de331d154d492506b02e7bd6065181f1089b3", "issued_at": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3285, "probability": 0.032405, "confidence_lo": 0.032383, "confidence_hi": 0.032406, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "96e44533f23fb477952ded03ec66df24f8b817ba7b6ba04dd8921645f819858d", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "a999804b56e9fc747915d1c00174e902f660b2c65c81f1270915f516971292ea4d74291fa5313b53738ae7cae8958fd9e0f04f4de0f2f44d288c9128b4b9880d" } }, "receipt_sha256": "96e44533f23fb477952ded03ec66df24f8b817ba7b6ba04dd8921645f819858d" }, { "row": 46, "col": 30, "lat": 33.0, "lon": -119.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 3.3, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.6775, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.1173, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.996, "b_trend": -0.0106, "ell_km": 2.3, "ell_trend": 0.0, "rate_acceleration": 0.74, "delta_aic_iet": 275.03, "S_over_Gamma": 12.055, "days_to_criticality": 18.7, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.3576, "grad_tau_local": 1.5388, "depth_trend": 1.8, "spatial_concentration": 60.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.321, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "ecfdcbd9e964104db6800463b74e39cbd8f416b1a1d1a2f854c3bf8a15e0bb60", "input_sha256": "f22274a9db9c291f24bf78411a47f5ea6f611717403bdc1065f7deda5bd046e2", "issued_at": "2026-09-15T11:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.321, "probability": 0.032405, "confidence_lo": 0.032383, "confidence_hi": 0.032406, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "e8124bee268310ddb5409f5b61f8b931e3864310d3acc1e3fac81b837afe0ba8", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "9df0e046a2dcf93560271f9179e522ae0c2b87b0a9176a3328285c0f5e1d07c636764d23ef37d00656934a3120a718114ab3fddb15bbcb3f9b70febfaf3c3f0c" } }, "receipt_sha256": "e8124bee268310ddb5409f5b61f8b931e3864310d3acc1e3fac81b837afe0ba8" } ] }