{ "forecast_id": "eq_fcst_20260920_2000", "hazard": "earthquake", "issued_at": "2026-09-20T20:00:00Z", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "forecast_horizon_days": 30, "target_magnitude_min": 6.0, "feature_history_days": 400, "recent_activity_days": 30, "min_events_per_active_cell": 5, "forecast_domain": { "name": "global_2deg_grid", "lat_min": -60.0, "lat_max": 70.0, "lon_min": -180.0, "lon_max": 180.0, "dlat": 2.0, "dlon": 2.0, "n_lat": 65, "n_lon": 180, "default_probability": 0.0 }, "source_catalog": { "provider": "USGS FDSNWS", "min_magnitude": 2.5, "window_start": "2025-08-16T20:00:00Z", "window_end": "2026-09-20T20:00:00Z", "n_events": 31172, "n_recent_events": 1978 }, "n_active_cells": 80, "top_probability": 0.0603, "active_cells": [ { "row": 26, "col": 167, "lat": -7.0, "lon": 155.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.0603, "prob_30d_local": 0.7937, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.5836, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.291, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 77.3, "ell_trend": -6.88, "rate_acceleration": 1.8, "delta_aic_iet": 84.66, "S_over_Gamma": 14.848, "days_to_criticality": 2094.6, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.0441, "grad_tau_local": 0.6157, "depth_trend": -9.88, "spatial_concentration": 76.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9893, "confidence_lo": 0.06, "confidence_hi": 0.0604, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d0f1a184e68ceb8266d2bdd32ffd0df906d91c79d52d49f8da68951f20f5d088", "input_sha256": "4a21cb24e33ab8d0d4024727ffe1d747d03cd9f1d81614c920ebf5abdbb587f5", "issued_at": "2026-09-20T20:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9893, "probability": 0.060334, "confidence_lo": 0.059951, "confidence_hi": 0.060359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "d209bedc30b4f663af04edb1a1cee5571904e4de8fbad2687213b4848c98496a", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "a2791467f0d3f60884d308e49cb2fcfe376ef1a178e24f3c86fda0e851367280f755e57841ab6c71cc19fa2304f39494f801914d0cb6ba5af21a60fd500ab408" } }, "receipt_sha256": "d209bedc30b4f663af04edb1a1cee5571904e4de8fbad2687213b4848c98496a" }, { "row": 26, "col": 153, "lat": -7.0, "lon": 127.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 6.0, "probability": 0.0603, "prob_30d_local": 0.7573, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.3093, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.241, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 57.6, "ell_trend": 1.18, "rate_acceleration": 0.9, "delta_aic_iet": 162.4, "S_over_Gamma": 15.527, "days_to_criticality": 67.4, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.9926, "grad_tau_local": 1.0205, "depth_trend": -24.53, "spatial_concentration": 79.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9864, "confidence_lo": 0.06, "confidence_hi": 0.0604, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d0f1a184e68ceb8266d2bdd32ffd0df906d91c79d52d49f8da68951f20f5d088", "input_sha256": "b15b37edc7936b3affe9968a8d8b6e965684065d5880fb76b4fe7af489e72382", "issued_at": "2026-09-20T20:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9864, "probability": 0.060334, "confidence_lo": 0.059951, "confidence_hi": 0.060359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "90d6cc72a0921adc5112cab18950dc1eae0a18f1383645edcb763521c86c0fe0", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "b14544858aeb6f803566239ea0fcddb0c1d23ae1048ce3406808ac0de21f8508496a7b90efe5060cc471f72322e540e6115ead2963424c7616b67ce16a700305" } }, "receipt_sha256": "90d6cc72a0921adc5112cab18950dc1eae0a18f1383645edcb763521c86c0fe0" }, { "row": 19, "col": 1, "lat": -21.0, "lon": -177.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 4.9, "probability": 0.0603, "prob_30d_local": 0.7539, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.4783, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.419, "b_trend": -0.095, "ell_km": 75.5, "ell_trend": -3.4, "rate_acceleration": 0.98, "delta_aic_iet": 285.99, "S_over_Gamma": 15.756, "days_to_criticality": 2099.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.7655, "grad_tau_local": 1.6752, "depth_trend": -18.78, "spatial_concentration": 90.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9855, "confidence_lo": 0.06, "confidence_hi": 0.0604, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d0f1a184e68ceb8266d2bdd32ffd0df906d91c79d52d49f8da68951f20f5d088", "input_sha256": "d8ed6dcf6971b4b7bc7a2aafb9dd7f2916a102f020ac9f935ae614033412abb1", "issued_at": "2026-09-20T20:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9855, "probability": 0.060334, "confidence_lo": 0.059951, "confidence_hi": 0.060359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "2a43573f667ee7d9ca167a40d08d4adc6dc090a3aea5f1cae62d0bebc49c3fe0", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "7d36e224fc45c640067fdc9a2f39d59258a4e4f39bc6692b52a419e62c9cb43dcaa3cf98d12f5ef9e904c5a98ee5d7577485b997a6f193a4d71c1cc989c9fd0a" } }, "receipt_sha256": "2a43573f667ee7d9ca167a40d08d4adc6dc090a3aea5f1cae62d0bebc49c3fe0" }, { "row": 19, "col": 174, "lat": -21.0, "lon": 169.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 5.4, "probability": 0.0603, "prob_30d_local": 0.7732, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.6191, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 75.3, "ell_trend": -1.27, "rate_acceleration": 1.84, "delta_aic_iet": 182.78, "S_over_Gamma": 15.858, "days_to_criticality": 2094.4, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.3908, "grad_tau_local": 0.683, "depth_trend": -25.53, "spatial_concentration": 73.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9833, "confidence_lo": 0.06, "confidence_hi": 0.0604, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d0f1a184e68ceb8266d2bdd32ffd0df906d91c79d52d49f8da68951f20f5d088", "input_sha256": "3fd2994e6c0051335b6c3211e72ed4010b6b2ae1ad17165ba4351c2666fff0ee", "issued_at": "2026-09-20T20:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9833, "probability": 0.060334, "confidence_lo": 0.059951, "confidence_hi": 0.060359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "9c667850fcb3b251484e05e0dc56f997594e893f7c27f9b807e4c295c100a6f7", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "f24a5fabfa6d132ef2d08e66e71a468f943a12dc185c195c7ed51f46aa5943b518e737e3507731ecefb8b9e25417b74446fbb1433e0e24c602b5563b88020902" } }, "receipt_sha256": "9c667850fcb3b251484e05e0dc56f997594e893f7c27f9b807e4c295c100a6f7" }, { "row": 32, "col": 51, "lat": 5.0, "lon": -77.0, "n_events": 25, "max_mag": 4.9, "probability": 0.0603, "prob_30d_local": 0.9803, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.3527, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 9.3, "ell_trend": -20.62, "rate_acceleration": 9.5, "delta_aic_iet": 38.23, "S_over_Gamma": 13.118, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.7539, "grad_tau_local": 0.1892, "depth_trend": -11.56, "spatial_concentration": 74.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.983, "confidence_lo": 0.06, "confidence_hi": 0.0604, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d0f1a184e68ceb8266d2bdd32ffd0df906d91c79d52d49f8da68951f20f5d088", "input_sha256": "f98abd5bcc08d17af3d3fec16803eeab0b3a1717d6c471515ed3a6ee415e8593", "issued_at": "2026-09-20T20:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.983, "probability": 0.060334, "confidence_lo": 0.059951, "confidence_hi": 0.060359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "43616e19063e1e27e94e7a880556296a8d4b5f46e19c7c59e6d9440716580f81", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "4363bce136e346435b0d64ef000b3defde7d2cbbaca90e24038c9b00a75473aeedb2f9b39c2341339450346415f3bcc5d933a445d8b6f585a76fb37e78fbda03" } }, "receipt_sha256": "43616e19063e1e27e94e7a880556296a8d4b5f46e19c7c59e6d9440716580f81" }, { "row": 19, "col": 55, "lat": -21.0, "lon": -69.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.0603, "prob_30d_local": 0.6917, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.6756, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.13, "b_trend": 0.041, "ell_km": 67.7, "ell_trend": -4.04, "rate_acceleration": 0.87, "delta_aic_iet": 223.75, "S_over_Gamma": 15.383, "days_to_criticality": 2097.1, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.6199, "grad_tau_local": 0.4059, "depth_trend": 2.57, "spatial_concentration": 84.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9822, "confidence_lo": 0.06, "confidence_hi": 0.0604, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d0f1a184e68ceb8266d2bdd32ffd0df906d91c79d52d49f8da68951f20f5d088", "input_sha256": "87488db93a23b147bcbdbc03aaf29abac6d6eb7b397d4728d1ab2dec0b47e0c7", "issued_at": "2026-09-20T20:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9822, "probability": 0.060334, "confidence_lo": 0.059951, "confidence_hi": 0.060359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "67a90c3ecfcacb2b8b196fe7370f6595f698e59081f76efb70f1a6f94cd83ce9", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "886efbe99f9e63a7cd0b59e6d37ab7c7801859424b0ab13a723a653a480fc12f3cf721b7b6be20df52fa285c8b236e11842b655fd671ea008b278bcb1664610c" } }, "receipt_sha256": "67a90c3ecfcacb2b8b196fe7370f6595f698e59081f76efb70f1a6f94cd83ce9" }, { "row": 20, "col": 174, "lat": -19.0, "lon": 169.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.2, "probability": 0.0603, "prob_30d_local": 0.7537, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.6545, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.219, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 90.4, "ell_trend": -6.8, "rate_acceleration": 1.46, "delta_aic_iet": 174.87, "S_over_Gamma": 15.46, "days_to_criticality": 1793.0, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.8094, "grad_tau_local": 0.2188, "depth_trend": -34.35, "spatial_concentration": 64.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9802, "confidence_lo": 0.06, "confidence_hi": 0.0604, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d0f1a184e68ceb8266d2bdd32ffd0df906d91c79d52d49f8da68951f20f5d088", "input_sha256": "d8a2c9d8be119bd9c41537b7976d4c0d75dcf43454b00af5eaa4a0b18787668c", "issued_at": "2026-09-20T20:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9802, "probability": 0.060334, "confidence_lo": 0.059951, "confidence_hi": 0.060359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "a92d48ca6adb107df22dc7f831a848ba550c79cb9073b91254ef58692595e47a", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "7891a77da97bdb179a0899b253d0831351764ea96993de2e396a1cea78e70f961c637701bdfb11527a57a400a6bbe876249182ada0769622e2241c391dadf607" } }, "receipt_sha256": "a92d48ca6adb107df22dc7f831a848ba550c79cb9073b91254ef58692595e47a" }, { "row": 18, "col": 55, "lat": -23.0, "lon": -69.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 4.8, "probability": 0.0603, "prob_30d_local": 0.7748, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.5602, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": null, "b_trend": 0.2953, "ell_km": 41.8, "ell_trend": -0.34, "rate_acceleration": 0.94, "delta_aic_iet": 299.43, "S_over_Gamma": 15.241, "days_to_criticality": 2097.1, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.4589, "grad_tau_local": 0.5663, "depth_trend": 10.18, "spatial_concentration": 64.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9709, "confidence_lo": 0.06, "confidence_hi": 0.0604, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d0f1a184e68ceb8266d2bdd32ffd0df906d91c79d52d49f8da68951f20f5d088", "input_sha256": "d87c467693229c9613691e96d0626ffea26117f0b95df1f3e9d6021ba0c4ea81", "issued_at": "2026-09-20T20:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9709, "probability": 0.060334, "confidence_lo": 0.059951, "confidence_hi": 0.060359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "83b5d13226a04d3bf71b0f3b8bd88e36fd9abc93ae782f940ce955763f4078aa", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "dea5f855c1f8c8c241a100fc7f30586c8ee97e95a3d00bd7f435f00f55b4d0d12f01be541147f2e4859ac27f07d9bf9977d04018f5bd580caa2680ee8899c401" } }, "receipt_sha256": "83b5d13226a04d3bf71b0f3b8bd88e36fd9abc93ae782f940ce955763f4078aa" }, { "row": 27, "col": 166, "lat": -5.0, "lon": 153.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.5, "probability": 0.0603, "prob_30d_local": 0.7702, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.2119, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.316, "b_trend": 0.073, "ell_km": 98.2, "ell_trend": -11.57, "rate_acceleration": 1.0, "delta_aic_iet": 195.15, "S_over_Gamma": 15.428, "days_to_criticality": 2096.0, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.123, "grad_tau_local": 0.5974, "depth_trend": -2.68, "spatial_concentration": 61.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9613, "confidence_lo": 0.06, "confidence_hi": 0.0604, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d0f1a184e68ceb8266d2bdd32ffd0df906d91c79d52d49f8da68951f20f5d088", "input_sha256": "959d11151a436b7ce97100d26452a64564b2554982e62a19776cf2aa2e661a65", "issued_at": "2026-09-20T20:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9613, "probability": 0.060334, "confidence_lo": 0.059951, "confidence_hi": 0.060359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "432a1a16ff506a2d799e00e086b9caca9806e5fb5fb79c807d6db67048f15503", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "27bca83f6195a4f9247065a1768432a89a6509eb7743bd49f83bf1fc894a09a64fbf1f2bbc29354693d43736b586be0bca836bd7d8627569fcd091c84b491f09" } }, "receipt_sha256": "432a1a16ff506a2d799e00e086b9caca9806e5fb5fb79c807d6db67048f15503" }, { "row": 48, "col": 160, "lat": 37.0, "lon": 141.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.0603, "prob_30d_local": 0.7627, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.667, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 64.5, "ell_trend": 12.14, "rate_acceleration": 0.7, "delta_aic_iet": 193.61, "S_over_Gamma": 15.216, "days_to_criticality": 25.1, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.1331, "grad_tau_local": 0.8431, "depth_trend": 11.48, "spatial_concentration": 78.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.96, "confidence_lo": 0.06, "confidence_hi": 0.0604, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d0f1a184e68ceb8266d2bdd32ffd0df906d91c79d52d49f8da68951f20f5d088", "input_sha256": "143e6b482b168879078af4ffa7b070de3f1dcbf33dbabe9af51aa22a2c92473b", "issued_at": "2026-09-20T20:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.96, "probability": 0.060334, "confidence_lo": 0.059951, "confidence_hi": 0.060359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "e1c0e651e1dbd8abb4292c0061178fe1cf67ef65b0b265b534ccfe65bb762879", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "34b03736f1e3a163f6e72abbfeb9fb5cdc4ab3dc0df7a02ce6e468cf361a4282f7c848dc8def559653191d5f453a19dc90e7d11db64a56239d8e21020342c309" } }, "receipt_sha256": "e1c0e651e1dbd8abb4292c0061178fe1cf67ef65b0b265b534ccfe65bb762879" }, { "row": 1, "col": 76, "lat": -57.0, "lon": -27.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 6.2, "probability": 0.0603, "prob_30d_local": 0.7501, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.4744, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.183, "b_trend": 0.1597, "ell_km": 73.4, "ell_trend": -1.38, "rate_acceleration": 0.98, "delta_aic_iet": 214.41, "S_over_Gamma": 16.169, "days_to_criticality": 19.6, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 1.2081, "grad_tau_local": 0.8004, "depth_trend": 8.45, "spatial_concentration": 64.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9584, "confidence_lo": 0.06, "confidence_hi": 0.0604, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d0f1a184e68ceb8266d2bdd32ffd0df906d91c79d52d49f8da68951f20f5d088", "input_sha256": "5140c0f0ccd2bef92fd04e3c89a08ab514a8caf4afa1434263a9472adb4758f7", "issued_at": "2026-09-20T20:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9584, "probability": 0.060334, "confidence_lo": 0.059951, "confidence_hi": 0.060359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "9cc26edd2cca62b44399054bbccfc8305eecb1b865e4a4df8e95e3f1b5216b10", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "d8967e5efeac63a6763ce51255c94419cfcde0ec611b36a65728ef11191d639411256668cde269bd08e1ec405fdbbf6579003c26394d73f811688c3214316e07" } }, "receipt_sha256": "9cc26edd2cca62b44399054bbccfc8305eecb1b865e4a4df8e95e3f1b5216b10" }, { "row": 18, "col": 0, "lat": -23.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.5, "probability": 0.0603, "prob_30d_local": 0.7711, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.3759, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.535, "b_trend": -0.0763, "ell_km": 56.2, "ell_trend": -1.66, "rate_acceleration": 0.91, "delta_aic_iet": 296.83, "S_over_Gamma": 14.859, "days_to_criticality": 2097.4, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 2.0006, "depth_trend": 1.4, "spatial_concentration": 86.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9572, "confidence_lo": 0.06, "confidence_hi": 0.0604, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d0f1a184e68ceb8266d2bdd32ffd0df906d91c79d52d49f8da68951f20f5d088", "input_sha256": "cfa2f0a06b0ab278ee64a3a1990a64515711a48b4aead666337b5bebe9783e4f", "issued_at": "2026-09-20T20:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9572, "probability": 0.060334, "confidence_lo": 0.059951, "confidence_hi": 0.060359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "584de3c4aab1027ec5df6c1c4bcd955ee788caf8e9189686e78f47260d7bd324", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "6cac31067fbdec32b3804ab203a27c94e34056af21ca648321f3e0f4b060bf0aa365a9c4ee52b1895c00c6fd09fc5f4717e315c30c4bf55381ff8b452bc0ca08" } }, "receipt_sha256": "584de3c4aab1027ec5df6c1c4bcd955ee788caf8e9189686e78f47260d7bd324" }, { "row": 48, "col": 125, "lat": 37.0, "lon": 71.0, "n_events": 15, "max_mag": 4.5, "probability": 0.0603, "prob_30d_local": 0.7209, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.6571, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.228, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 54.6, "ell_trend": 1.33, "rate_acceleration": 1.16, "delta_aic_iet": 197.21, "S_over_Gamma": 15.361, "days_to_criticality": 20.2, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.0591, "grad_tau_local": 0.2466, "depth_trend": 29.93, "spatial_concentration": 80.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9447, "confidence_lo": 0.06, "confidence_hi": 0.0604, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d0f1a184e68ceb8266d2bdd32ffd0df906d91c79d52d49f8da68951f20f5d088", "input_sha256": "a4c16172bd4b77100cb9fc600642d1748cf0dca3524b072f6dab9a5a3149162d", "issued_at": "2026-09-20T20:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9447, "probability": 0.060334, "confidence_lo": 0.059951, "confidence_hi": 0.060359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "0a80a5c5ab555b1649ba718d5cc625c825af7c9e07fe24ba049167230db2db70", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "96f9fb637001eea905ddba9b3a1f4c95bd3db41aa2b975f4d7612ae633332c782f9fd9f1be1dd8c08c30fe5ecfe587aa843b04562c287a4e06a07dd5a1648602" } }, "receipt_sha256": "0a80a5c5ab555b1649ba718d5cc625c825af7c9e07fe24ba049167230db2db70" }, { "row": 32, "col": 152, "lat": 5.0, "lon": 125.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 5.2, "probability": 0.0603, "prob_30d_local": 0.0229, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.5834, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.152, "b_trend": -0.0954, "ell_km": 41.2, "ell_trend": 5.1, "rate_acceleration": 1.36, "delta_aic_iet": 401.2, "S_over_Gamma": 15.132, "days_to_criticality": 7.2, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 10.5141, "grad_tau_local": 0.8935, "depth_trend": -17.83, "spatial_concentration": 85.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9427, "confidence_lo": 0.06, "confidence_hi": 0.0604, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d0f1a184e68ceb8266d2bdd32ffd0df906d91c79d52d49f8da68951f20f5d088", "input_sha256": "faddcd7c99fc49e1f1f998ac4e20ced5f21890c5b6b948ca1001149242f27f3b", "issued_at": "2026-09-20T20:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9427, "probability": 0.060334, "confidence_lo": 0.059951, "confidence_hi": 0.060359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "d0bda36a3f063808182c20bae028f83fc829f28a72a6bc0a573ce1ce7a5e7e38", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "2469d813ff08466734f31a253623d2f49b019bfd39e31713b72142e4f8f4e123178e2ae2d4f882ff4c6e58cf6b71e720b88629f6ed64c38a76d6486e0c7aca06" } }, "receipt_sha256": "d0bda36a3f063808182c20bae028f83fc829f28a72a6bc0a573ce1ce7a5e7e38" }, { "row": 17, "col": 56, "lat": -25.0, "lon": -67.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.3, "probability": 0.0603, "prob_30d_local": 0.7654, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.6645, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.671, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 31.3, "ell_trend": 0.22, "rate_acceleration": 1.22, "delta_aic_iet": 142.32, "S_over_Gamma": 15.655, "days_to_criticality": 21.7, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.94, "grad_tau_local": 0.7802, "depth_trend": -17.47, "spatial_concentration": 75.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9414, "confidence_lo": 0.06, "confidence_hi": 0.0604, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d0f1a184e68ceb8266d2bdd32ffd0df906d91c79d52d49f8da68951f20f5d088", "input_sha256": "ba327d94722b5ddca225786b689c4b216c5434ce3e9652e965f4ef73448d7450", "issued_at": "2026-09-20T20:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9414, "probability": 0.060334, "confidence_lo": 0.059951, "confidence_hi": 0.060359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "9e7fa704a57fd66b3926cc64b36b50bbdc9cca053e693885484f69a1194fec85", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "27c04b1707de6632e7a0c8b7a72aa551bdd02f3cd342b3a9508c8c91b3549395bddac559c3e948ba939c8783e5794e73e2f2052f0c7200f353b28a1ac7414501" } }, "receipt_sha256": "9e7fa704a57fd66b3926cc64b36b50bbdc9cca053e693885484f69a1194fec85" }, { "row": 26, "col": 155, "lat": -7.0, "lon": 131.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.8, "probability": 0.0603, "prob_30d_local": 0.7542, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.6479, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.252, "b_trend": 0.1342, "ell_km": 88.2, "ell_trend": 0.6, "rate_acceleration": 0.67, "delta_aic_iet": 186.36, "S_over_Gamma": 15.739, "days_to_criticality": 89.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.4571, "grad_tau_local": 1.5131, "depth_trend": 11.53, "spatial_concentration": 66.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9393, "confidence_lo": 0.06, "confidence_hi": 0.0604, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d0f1a184e68ceb8266d2bdd32ffd0df906d91c79d52d49f8da68951f20f5d088", "input_sha256": "fab0f9cf59cacb4e3289cbb8007eb33b1970f8dbccdb7e3a5b8f4c2ff3ea2b1d", "issued_at": "2026-09-20T20:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9393, "probability": 0.060334, "confidence_lo": 0.059951, "confidence_hi": 0.060359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "791c4db99acf4639609239fe368c7b8aebffd940971e739463ea9e60410d9407", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "14c1499df601bd0c233f0a8f2013456c852f8bfe170d8adf8ad6505f566977dc05523a88f2d0a4cf7bd445aa6f4a785067ff7589e280df12556cb3b02747a70c" } }, "receipt_sha256": "791c4db99acf4639609239fe368c7b8aebffd940971e739463ea9e60410d9407" }, { "row": 30, "col": 153, "lat": 1.0, "lon": 127.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.2, "probability": 0.0603, "prob_30d_local": 0.653, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.4484, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.306, "b_trend": -0.1586, "ell_km": 35.1, "ell_trend": -11.88, "rate_acceleration": 0.47, "delta_aic_iet": 581.07, "S_over_Gamma": 15.216, "days_to_criticality": 2096.4, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 10.3988, "grad_tau_local": 0.6933, "depth_trend": 2.65, "spatial_concentration": 77.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9359, "confidence_lo": 0.06, "confidence_hi": 0.0604, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d0f1a184e68ceb8266d2bdd32ffd0df906d91c79d52d49f8da68951f20f5d088", "input_sha256": "5c90ee8fade828f630aee096340d9fcff5efe1a287bec3c69b58368f52066dbd", "issued_at": "2026-09-20T20:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9359, "probability": 0.060334, "confidence_lo": 0.059951, "confidence_hi": 0.060359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "2aa0f6de7052c241e5aa4f492d5ae2a5de5b70e8dd50a343909d9f345146c2ba", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "5ae47eececc4debcaefd0da49287fe7d3168a5f356e8e694ff3b4cde6e215b40abbdefce02a0ed2635b4e1cdab3009f5fe71b57f9aa6cbe4b80682f67ad8f50e" } }, "receipt_sha256": "2aa0f6de7052c241e5aa4f492d5ae2a5de5b70e8dd50a343909d9f345146c2ba" }, { "row": 19, "col": 0, "lat": -21.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.0603, "prob_30d_local": 0.3632, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.6111, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.483, "b_trend": -0.1014, "ell_km": 64.9, "ell_trend": -3.09, "rate_acceleration": 0.88, "delta_aic_iet": 288.38, "S_over_Gamma": 15.637, "days_to_criticality": 2099.8, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 2.7655, "depth_trend": -2.53, "spatial_concentration": 97.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.9273, "confidence_lo": 0.06, "confidence_hi": 0.0604, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d0f1a184e68ceb8266d2bdd32ffd0df906d91c79d52d49f8da68951f20f5d088", "input_sha256": "fb83c772abdd0d6dc360d56ee1b908c084a7c381e5e9e14c5a2b5444bcd317c0", "issued_at": "2026-09-20T20:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.9273, "probability": 0.060334, "confidence_lo": 0.059951, "confidence_hi": 0.060359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "cc0faf724e89886e2aedd2a4be9e5a24ceb7552a01dd7c6ff14d1b34b17e3bc6", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "6ae452eaeb15d384812e1f13956bfe62c028b83a299751c42939a531c2415e2e46459b0e649923ce3ad9d47e7aea9bc5f05dee874322294ede5be650c65c0209" } }, "receipt_sha256": "cc0faf724e89886e2aedd2a4be9e5a24ceb7552a01dd7c6ff14d1b34b17e3bc6" }, { "row": 50, "col": 161, "lat": 41.0, "lon": 143.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 6.0, "probability": 0.0603, "prob_30d_local": 0.0449, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.4757, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.94, "b_trend": 0.0955, "ell_km": 37.0, "ell_trend": 2.24, "rate_acceleration": 0.59, "delta_aic_iet": 511.71, "S_over_Gamma": 15.113, "days_to_criticality": 73.4, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.7786, "grad_tau_local": 1.0098, "depth_trend": 7.55, "spatial_concentration": 67.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.8967, "confidence_lo": 0.06, "confidence_hi": 0.0604, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d0f1a184e68ceb8266d2bdd32ffd0df906d91c79d52d49f8da68951f20f5d088", "input_sha256": "5eab575098651583e701c2d0ad1dcec033bcc4576da089742369fda4d8c21c8e", "issued_at": "2026-09-20T20:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.8967, "probability": 0.060334, "confidence_lo": 0.059951, "confidence_hi": 0.060359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "6f9036937c668e696157d35c0f5f5fad7b0d042dcdfe68e6c9d34f98e0209bf1", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "7f8832dcf6fa707e3d1bbf377b2581caa9d5ff6c4ab349cba2a2f4a9e1bd932aad3d17e6e067e140f051e5b1e909654e75a4379e66f279b2e5a81d4da7669f0b" } }, "receipt_sha256": "6f9036937c668e696157d35c0f5f5fad7b0d042dcdfe68e6c9d34f98e0209bf1" }, { "row": 21, "col": 0, "lat": -17.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.6, "probability": 0.0603, "prob_30d_local": 0.8066, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.1509, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.56, "b_trend": -0.1973, "ell_km": 43.3, "ell_trend": -0.3, "rate_acceleration": 0.7, "delta_aic_iet": 211.72, "S_over_Gamma": 15.273, "days_to_criticality": 22.0, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 2.2805, "depth_trend": -39.18, "spatial_concentration": 83.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.8933, "confidence_lo": 0.06, "confidence_hi": 0.0604, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d0f1a184e68ceb8266d2bdd32ffd0df906d91c79d52d49f8da68951f20f5d088", "input_sha256": "8a16088487b4079c20b1489ac9ecd787f8585012e90f214f3a7297eaf4b140ca", "issued_at": "2026-09-20T20:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.8933, "probability": 0.060334, "confidence_lo": 0.059951, "confidence_hi": 0.060359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "562e0d94335a2e3b83502b6d72b981f6515bbbba73abbef7a60737668392c53f", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "0e85432fdfbbd0aa2650728419e181b3a02a56f803d3e6b68fc4ec903085148ea7b30a9f8ff179ec5ec6fbfa6d38f0340967e4510c6ac3efb6a19fa758fad308" } }, "receipt_sha256": "562e0d94335a2e3b83502b6d72b981f6515bbbba73abbef7a60737668392c53f" }, { "row": 33, "col": 153, "lat": 7.0, "lon": 127.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.0603, "prob_30d_local": 0.0384, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.6486, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.108, "b_trend": -0.1837, "ell_km": 44.0, "ell_trend": -4.59, "rate_acceleration": 0.94, "delta_aic_iet": 452.5, "S_over_Gamma": 14.968, "days_to_criticality": 2095.7, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 9.1573, "grad_tau_local": 1.6042, "depth_trend": -3.26, "spatial_concentration": 56.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.8691, "confidence_lo": 0.06, "confidence_hi": 0.0604, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d0f1a184e68ceb8266d2bdd32ffd0df906d91c79d52d49f8da68951f20f5d088", "input_sha256": "a6cd9b988f90b37a4a555ed87486208f2ada785b1456b4f2346956385d16bb7e", "issued_at": "2026-09-20T20:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.8691, "probability": 0.060334, "confidence_lo": 0.059951, "confidence_hi": 0.060359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "5dc37ef2aabfe6a9005e230d8b5a498259446fd2fecda2d21a9ec7504d7e5e5a", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "3c2b8420306e68b3127da8a57a9760866983eec3e2c44369bec0c1a0af0db884ee0db4c401c9dc7a3cf00e935481301c6f4f4fbcb4ce9cbd1babd5ed2ecac303" } }, "receipt_sha256": "5dc37ef2aabfe6a9005e230d8b5a498259446fd2fecda2d21a9ec7504d7e5e5a" }, { "row": 56, "col": 4, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -171.0, "n_events": 12, "max_mag": 6.5, "probability": 0.0603, "prob_30d_local": 0.3284, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.6977, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.631, "b_trend": 0.0348, "ell_km": 16.8, "ell_trend": -2.89, "rate_acceleration": 2.31, "delta_aic_iet": 1045.45, "S_over_Gamma": 12.575, "days_to_criticality": 21.2, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.5305, "grad_tau_local": 1.6802, "depth_trend": 1.64, "spatial_concentration": 84.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.8651, "confidence_lo": 0.06, "confidence_hi": 0.0604, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d0f1a184e68ceb8266d2bdd32ffd0df906d91c79d52d49f8da68951f20f5d088", "input_sha256": "478023bbb771b8a0f53ea9b185971027ed4c657f4804bef782585f5e6a4b2351", "issued_at": "2026-09-20T20:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.8651, "probability": 0.060334, "confidence_lo": 0.059951, "confidence_hi": 0.060359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "abae5256fe3c6d5e1fb6a48bee93f0c7edc8bb1d4465cee5a8ef9f19f3045930", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "074a6de9d158bbc0b8eb41381f5ac9e6462577abe7e53b8e6911b46d3dee9b71ef1c49ba285d55178d9ce29b1c300a679647dfce8d49085ec2be051d6b9f2706" } }, "receipt_sha256": "abae5256fe3c6d5e1fb6a48bee93f0c7edc8bb1d4465cee5a8ef9f19f3045930" }, { "row": 20, "col": 175, "lat": -19.0, "lon": 171.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.6, "probability": 0.0603, "prob_30d_local": null, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.0849, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 53.2, "ell_trend": -8.31, "rate_acceleration": 1.86, "delta_aic_iet": 133.12, "S_over_Gamma": 11.318, "days_to_criticality": 1793.0, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 2.9689, "grad_tau_local": 0.8515, "depth_trend": -40.14, "spatial_concentration": 76.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.8614, "confidence_lo": 0.06, "confidence_hi": 0.0604, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d0f1a184e68ceb8266d2bdd32ffd0df906d91c79d52d49f8da68951f20f5d088", "input_sha256": "fd9762145282d814c0b9459d6826b971daa24e70643ef1cd4724b464fa718ae3", "issued_at": "2026-09-20T20:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.8614, "probability": 0.060334, "confidence_lo": 0.059951, "confidence_hi": 0.060359, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "1527c69c0e950e2a23b29933e544c073eba886fea169191c2dbb0cc6d954cf86", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "0d746bd21f2b942c39bfa8db88c1dcd3d9fba05aac106edca36735ff2bba7f705f4cad4b60759ea00ea30b85b32f0415b35d46e3615b0ebfd3b605877d09bb09" } }, "receipt_sha256": "1527c69c0e950e2a23b29933e544c073eba886fea169191c2dbb0cc6d954cf86" }, { "row": 55, "col": 169, "lat": 51.0, "lon": 159.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 4.6, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.6216, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.4499, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.211, "b_trend": -0.0426, "ell_km": 56.2, "ell_trend": -5.94, "rate_acceleration": 0.36, "delta_aic_iet": 897.98, "S_over_Gamma": 15.604, "days_to_criticality": 2096.7, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 9.2382, "grad_tau_local": 0.621, "depth_trend": -1.86, "spatial_concentration": 88.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.8322, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d0f1a184e68ceb8266d2bdd32ffd0df906d91c79d52d49f8da68951f20f5d088", "input_sha256": "9266cee7786f07c5248fba9473e7539b8eb58b355be5b2650e179768b8040ba4", "issued_at": "2026-09-20T20:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.8322, "probability": 0.032389, "confidence_lo": 0.032368, "confidence_hi": 0.03239, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "cdb696f9faeea5ac23959af5a5296dc3fce8ab4a5e89b4991a0094b537b3df71", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "5270bc58848bd51fb520d5ef8bcce801f8cec4f592faa3dbac8d1440f021a66e3d7627f887a8ba7850a4e98d74f76f93c344e5e105ef585cefe76f1ffe764d0f" } }, "receipt_sha256": "cdb696f9faeea5ac23959af5a5296dc3fce8ab4a5e89b4991a0094b537b3df71" }, { "row": 37, "col": 43, "lat": 15.0, "lon": -93.0, "n_events": 20, "max_mag": 5.6, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.1095, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.6516, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.883, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 40.7, "ell_trend": -7.46, "rate_acceleration": 7.88, "delta_aic_iet": 182.73, "S_over_Gamma": 15.707, "days_to_criticality": 2097.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.8684, "grad_tau_local": 0.4184, "depth_trend": -21.02, "spatial_concentration": 82.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.8098, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d0f1a184e68ceb8266d2bdd32ffd0df906d91c79d52d49f8da68951f20f5d088", "input_sha256": "b8c0f4552f9ccdccf4ec794f4a2be5179c755b04ccbd0ef7aa1fda2e020d8081", "issued_at": "2026-09-20T20:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.8098, "probability": 0.032389, "confidence_lo": 0.032368, "confidence_hi": 0.03239, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "0780c83d7721f4c6feb8f088cc0bc5d37c860f89672e25ea1aa1906c2c34f892", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "fa91b15db7ac2d7950a53b76849163d036a2b7ab7389867f0ed219a5cd61487d4db58797d039622aed436ccaa6c5d199f55c9500c1ecbfda7ec288cab5676e09" } }, "receipt_sha256": "0780c83d7721f4c6feb8f088cc0bc5d37c860f89672e25ea1aa1906c2c34f892" }, { "row": 25, "col": 150, "lat": -9.0, "lon": 121.0, "n_events": 50, "max_mag": 5.5, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.7854, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.4122, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.167, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 43.2, "ell_trend": -27.1, "rate_acceleration": 19.5, "delta_aic_iet": -897.17, "S_over_Gamma": 15.723, "days_to_criticality": 2098.7, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.265, "grad_tau_local": 1.4089, "depth_trend": -40.38, "spatial_concentration": 71.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.8094, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d0f1a184e68ceb8266d2bdd32ffd0df906d91c79d52d49f8da68951f20f5d088", "input_sha256": "70b951b4ded4f5248519e4019e6e3058877f1a8768720797b372e8e797d991a7", "issued_at": "2026-09-20T20:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.8094, "probability": 0.032389, "confidence_lo": 0.032368, "confidence_hi": 0.03239, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "09ff27c342a0a5a56e0a6ad6b539224715d96e29d5c2d17be26ae0875fc0e816", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "7384ab94a55d72b4eae4af6621fb55c20d14a87d3504c02502785b3f96b6988f4476120228220a6e8144f408f395c90caa43e40a745ed778d3b7a1890d96ae03" } }, "receipt_sha256": "09ff27c342a0a5a56e0a6ad6b539224715d96e29d5c2d17be26ae0875fc0e816" }, { "row": 41, "col": 150, "lat": 23.0, "lon": 121.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 5.5, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.1522, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.5536, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.251, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 62.2, "ell_trend": 3.92, "rate_acceleration": 0.63, "delta_aic_iet": 99.82, "S_over_Gamma": 15.905, "days_to_criticality": -6.4, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.6252, "grad_tau_local": 0.618, "depth_trend": 10.7, "spatial_concentration": 76.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7866, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d0f1a184e68ceb8266d2bdd32ffd0df906d91c79d52d49f8da68951f20f5d088", "input_sha256": "769fdf6a7435a5facb1d7793a6bec7566395099f4b6fbc8d4be071df1f4d356e", "issued_at": "2026-09-20T20:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7866, "probability": 0.032389, "confidence_lo": 0.032368, "confidence_hi": 0.03239, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "79036d7c9d5a46b220621651c5d9488aa7fbca035efddd98a20142b8c9f6f878", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "dd91539569af2e9c16e9c0aec4dc9f32b85849c7cf36eb90903e40760dbd3089085b1b9cc8373736e65807f36b6ec83e1c731d90fae3ed946e7afbb39b314700" } }, "receipt_sha256": "79036d7c9d5a46b220621651c5d9488aa7fbca035efddd98a20142b8c9f6f878" }, { "row": 51, "col": 161, "lat": 43.0, "lon": 143.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 4.6, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.1409, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.2309, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.955, "b_trend": 0.2029, "ell_km": 50.9, "ell_trend": 4.61, "rate_acceleration": 0.66, "delta_aic_iet": 274.49, "S_over_Gamma": 14.552, "days_to_criticality": 29.8, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.0153, "grad_tau_local": 1.5891, "depth_trend": 9.94, "spatial_concentration": 88.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7502, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d0f1a184e68ceb8266d2bdd32ffd0df906d91c79d52d49f8da68951f20f5d088", "input_sha256": "f2d246c42ae65361a44dbe49035db068cd3dc51f5950f08d4f85d51d3ad11464", "issued_at": "2026-09-20T20:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7502, "probability": 0.032389, "confidence_lo": 0.032368, "confidence_hi": 0.03239, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "0b2b9fc3844d7a82cd220ee30d3e1ad1cc5da5ca4bb72b3fb23ee2dea561e7fc", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "935470b0929a744b734e46c7d4a55c11ba9d19b2b3eea107052dc7b519eb318536d35fbf0b0ae8c300b6b45b8286753a772f98e058aaaaa222a898158c318b0a" } }, "receipt_sha256": "0b2b9fc3844d7a82cd220ee30d3e1ad1cc5da5ca4bb72b3fb23ee2dea561e7fc" }, { "row": 36, "col": 115, "lat": 13.0, "lon": 51.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.9, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.662, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.3154, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 54.0, "ell_trend": 1.02, "rate_acceleration": 1.24, "delta_aic_iet": 35.66, "S_over_Gamma": 14.916, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.6969, "grad_tau_local": 0.106, "depth_trend": 0.0, "spatial_concentration": 44.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.7045, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d0f1a184e68ceb8266d2bdd32ffd0df906d91c79d52d49f8da68951f20f5d088", "input_sha256": "c173414afb844038fd89668fc3ee3796046f494b55962b4fbe7e76d5bfff7cf4", "issued_at": "2026-09-20T20:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.7045, "probability": 0.032389, "confidence_lo": 0.032368, "confidence_hi": 0.03239, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "85acd6b2982eaf530904e9e356812c614e83687274227b52931377136e570fab", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "c0af67b50598953dad71b8fc0d4b02bcfba2f41b6cf5f2e9a60cd3899e0c8932aa74d0bef47ed1307a63cee3146fdb33f9158dc6b06fea2c838e96c1f0314302" } }, "receipt_sha256": "85acd6b2982eaf530904e9e356812c614e83687274227b52931377136e570fab" }, { "row": 26, "col": 150, "lat": -7.0, "lon": 121.0, "n_events": 23, "max_mag": 5.2, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.8177, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.2297, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.186, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 43.1, "ell_trend": -16.18, "rate_acceleration": 29.38, "delta_aic_iet": -1164.01, "S_over_Gamma": 14.503, "days_to_criticality": 2098.7, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.0758, "grad_tau_local": 0.766, "depth_trend": -38.75, "spatial_concentration": 51.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6418, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d0f1a184e68ceb8266d2bdd32ffd0df906d91c79d52d49f8da68951f20f5d088", "input_sha256": "f808748950ff4daa02dd3d6e11eebb36998baadb49f7b91f84458b896340bfdb", "issued_at": "2026-09-20T20:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6418, "probability": 0.032389, "confidence_lo": 0.032368, "confidence_hi": 0.03239, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "126dca79ead5c7e2c9da16e13ea664aab57fd71f26bb52a9c35e95a4d26b0a04", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "0af031618c81f0a18c8b3459b19b7e7efda84d572a7a74b8b549fb0216c7aa139024932eb230217f0a4f9450fbb3bb1d91ce1d98d57054c426e0e5837502db0b" } }, "receipt_sha256": "126dca79ead5c7e2c9da16e13ea664aab57fd71f26bb52a9c35e95a4d26b0a04" }, { "row": 31, "col": 154, "lat": 3.0, "lon": 129.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.6, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.7211, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.5518, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.428, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 91.3, "ell_trend": -3.68, "rate_acceleration": 0.94, "delta_aic_iet": 242.45, "S_over_Gamma": 15.065, "days_to_criticality": 2093.6, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.2436, "grad_tau_local": 1.8089, "depth_trend": 22.01, "spatial_concentration": 43.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.6376, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d0f1a184e68ceb8266d2bdd32ffd0df906d91c79d52d49f8da68951f20f5d088", "input_sha256": "e47dbfa865e1752da28b9be1ed2e17c4a47bcb5da79bcb1056eaa766e113c066", "issued_at": "2026-09-20T20:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.6376, "probability": 0.032389, "confidence_lo": 0.032368, "confidence_hi": 0.03239, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "66b30904f15ae61c881672ee6fe9b89102bdbc1a3b90e5a9462a84a053731ee5", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "5bf240088aea4859baa922afe095eae94bfa013331b61fd2e5a52635e3ed2a6da35dae48a7a4a4e5804a0ce43bc5a51041b718e2f3f13d2481ae9cd1387d9f00" } }, "receipt_sha256": "66b30904f15ae61c881672ee6fe9b89102bdbc1a3b90e5a9462a84a053731ee5" }, { "row": 56, "col": 5, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -169.0, "n_events": 225, "max_mag": 6.3, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.5748, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.6752, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.638, "b_trend": 0.0292, "ell_km": 15.8, "ell_trend": -3.75, "rate_acceleration": 1.71, "delta_aic_iet": 1115.98, "S_over_Gamma": 13.635, "days_to_criticality": 2099.7, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 9.3639, "grad_tau_local": 0.6872, "depth_trend": 0.36, "spatial_concentration": 77.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5305, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d0f1a184e68ceb8266d2bdd32ffd0df906d91c79d52d49f8da68951f20f5d088", "input_sha256": "3ad8c954e495b2d66203fed7f77d8c9f1d4101836b2589fe6d0abb3a2c202503", "issued_at": "2026-09-20T20:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5305, "probability": 0.032389, "confidence_lo": 0.032368, "confidence_hi": 0.03239, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "d17e22a5ebceecb97e07eb32c022f03dc4bdd8c33bec980c6e122353fdf799b1", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "8f6aeca702cccc12cfc78ed6e05f902338c0f016914d216c5a8e5a45a57c11800950be8329911dad021d58ac405509bab757cc27ebe695ecac881de1cdded203" } }, "receipt_sha256": "d17e22a5ebceecb97e07eb32c022f03dc4bdd8c33bec980c6e122353fdf799b1" }, { "row": 23, "col": 82, "lat": -13.0, "lon": -15.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 5.3, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.5068, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.0314, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 33.5, "ell_trend": null, "rate_acceleration": 10.67, "delta_aic_iet": -81.35, "S_over_Gamma": 11.891, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": true, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.5923, "grad_tau_local": 0.1637, "depth_trend": 0.0, "spatial_concentration": 41.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5304, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d0f1a184e68ceb8266d2bdd32ffd0df906d91c79d52d49f8da68951f20f5d088", "input_sha256": "e7e3c772823ba93c1b714252a670ae976a65de1c0b5721e899760d715c482d47", "issued_at": "2026-09-20T20:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5304, "probability": 0.032389, "confidence_lo": 0.032368, "confidence_hi": 0.03239, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ee3a50a4e34644fbe15d755144fcc7608531b2cd80a1a06572156767e9e63a5d", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "c440da04fbeb0be261d2377efcf07871872dbd7161e2bf43b9ec0551c3ecf92d161e2fdbe071845b02d7d4122efad52b98c0ec66b49c55914c855c538e47b60e" } }, "receipt_sha256": "ee3a50a4e34644fbe15d755144fcc7608531b2cd80a1a06572156767e9e63a5d" }, { "row": 55, "col": 3, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -173.0, "n_events": 14, "max_mag": 3.7, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.5049, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.2629, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.63, "b_trend": 0.0543, "ell_km": 16.4, "ell_trend": -1.89, "rate_acceleration": 2.19, "delta_aic_iet": 1258.22, "S_over_Gamma": 13.426, "days_to_criticality": 2099.7, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.1015, "grad_tau_local": 0.8551, "depth_trend": -0.66, "spatial_concentration": 71.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5298, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d0f1a184e68ceb8266d2bdd32ffd0df906d91c79d52d49f8da68951f20f5d088", "input_sha256": "61ffb976b922168d61dbd1f3ed49127456ff93c2039c485c0561a49ea05430fe", "issued_at": "2026-09-20T20:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5298, "probability": 0.032389, "confidence_lo": 0.032368, "confidence_hi": 0.03239, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "4b37036e035d922af1a15901378681e343e9fb435339fe324c55a4ae491291a5", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "c31f8cba46a91d8aacf48dbf5c829d79f4193ecc701f1c8f37d459d0171a5a39b9ba009d0393d9fb88cfcae5942509d1381b2b1363f90c903a2081950ce0930e" } }, "receipt_sha256": "4b37036e035d922af1a15901378681e343e9fb435339fe324c55a4ae491291a5" }, { "row": 39, "col": 56, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -67.0, "n_events": 44, "max_mag": 4.0, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.5914, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.7149, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.296, "b_trend": -0.0926, "ell_km": 33.0, "ell_trend": -0.02, "rate_acceleration": 1.11, "delta_aic_iet": 1404.61, "S_over_Gamma": 13.638, "days_to_criticality": 2099.9, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.6481, "grad_tau_local": 1.4911, "depth_trend": -5.01, "spatial_concentration": 61.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5137, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d0f1a184e68ceb8266d2bdd32ffd0df906d91c79d52d49f8da68951f20f5d088", "input_sha256": "b6c95a237122cb67e30467c91602f7075d7dafed16477ea4b285f778ec58e287", "issued_at": "2026-09-20T20:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5137, "probability": 0.032389, "confidence_lo": 0.032368, "confidence_hi": 0.03239, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "d73b27599470a716d0483d2fc793da7e7c51abdda8f5859ce9cb6d3feb41f12c", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "9c734ca6b60c6539cf9b7092c0f62a3481df47b391276764888bf10dcbdb34e8d2294c95193ab7236c5f8c9dcefa88574fb6e1c12d1f39f3b745c87b3011f500" } }, "receipt_sha256": "d73b27599470a716d0483d2fc793da7e7c51abdda8f5859ce9cb6d3feb41f12c" }, { "row": 56, "col": 6, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -167.0, "n_events": 25, "max_mag": 4.0, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.6647, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.3757, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.645, "b_trend": 0.0338, "ell_km": 16.7, "ell_trend": -4.55, "rate_acceleration": 1.71, "delta_aic_iet": 1242.72, "S_over_Gamma": 12.92, "days_to_criticality": 22.9, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.408, "grad_tau_local": 0.5068, "depth_trend": 0.34, "spatial_concentration": 70.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5124, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d0f1a184e68ceb8266d2bdd32ffd0df906d91c79d52d49f8da68951f20f5d088", "input_sha256": "4fe07f4ac3f6a441efe8db907ed155786640e67545c49340b7934ff3cb5a6c32", "issued_at": "2026-09-20T20:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5124, "probability": 0.032389, "confidence_lo": 0.032368, "confidence_hi": 0.03239, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ef5c5f5c4c3c7716d78267400d7b68bbafac7c4ee571899df9238db5afdaa669", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "314be78707402c0cca7d099a008435a24f579547adb0b66883e94d4ac8fcf5e3d7389686c42a142516abb36ae8fde9f273a5d8bfb203914af35226b45e376808" } }, "receipt_sha256": "ef5c5f5c4c3c7716d78267400d7b68bbafac7c4ee571899df9238db5afdaa669" }, { "row": 23, "col": 123, "lat": -13.0, "lon": 67.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.8378, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.1768, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 25.2, "ell_trend": null, "rate_acceleration": 2.18, "delta_aic_iet": null, "S_over_Gamma": 8.177, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.3528, "grad_tau_local": 0.0952, "depth_trend": 0.0, "spatial_concentration": 56.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5049, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d0f1a184e68ceb8266d2bdd32ffd0df906d91c79d52d49f8da68951f20f5d088", "input_sha256": "7ba4d419847b52d51309244a3c67e1b355e7613528a1c71a764cdf96211a4162", "issued_at": "2026-09-20T20:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5049, "probability": 0.032389, "confidence_lo": 0.032368, "confidence_hi": 0.03239, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "da29733199f4f09bc8a613b502c9ea1556a61205e73cb5f5b62b4c5ffc3fa1f0", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "6543c3503e3990b7e7efa0154d895c8e30385070b85182d4e5e4ad3ff9bb262f9c115eb5fb36af985ac61a3f72468c87f0227e12f4be36d90b5865006f07460a" } }, "receipt_sha256": "da29733199f4f09bc8a613b502c9ea1556a61205e73cb5f5b62b4c5ffc3fa1f0" }, { "row": 55, "col": 5, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -169.0, "n_events": 38, "max_mag": 3.9, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.5995, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.2636, "risk_band": "critical", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.621, "b_trend": 0.0263, "ell_km": 16.0, "ell_trend": -2.35, "rate_acceleration": 1.95, "delta_aic_iet": 908.73, "S_over_Gamma": 12.201, "days_to_criticality": 22.6, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.2651, "grad_tau_local": 2.2271, "depth_trend": 2.33, "spatial_concentration": 75.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.5047, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d0f1a184e68ceb8266d2bdd32ffd0df906d91c79d52d49f8da68951f20f5d088", "input_sha256": "a5690d241487b4534456197aac9b2ae4b1d341ce69dd5afabd97bc46357be01c", "issued_at": "2026-09-20T20:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.5047, "probability": 0.032389, "confidence_lo": 0.032368, "confidence_hi": 0.03239, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "70592e2d67f868dcfa30311c4f3545a09fa2c751db202bd0826b1429a2ff9dca", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "71fadec48126999ae25a5bdccc6020e01c5141ed0aaf85a5b1f5d5c9908d7f0a96216447c96c11e216d173accb00e0ca76a49d9335d32d622d8406b5262e1101" } }, "receipt_sha256": "70592e2d67f868dcfa30311c4f3545a09fa2c751db202bd0826b1429a2ff9dca" }, { "row": 0, "col": 66, "lat": -59.0, "lon": -47.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 6.2, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": null, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.068, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 8.1, "ell_trend": null, "rate_acceleration": 7.0, "delta_aic_iet": null, "S_over_Gamma": 16.694, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 0.014, "depth_trend": 0.0, "spatial_concentration": 50.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4835, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d0f1a184e68ceb8266d2bdd32ffd0df906d91c79d52d49f8da68951f20f5d088", "input_sha256": "91253c4a52dbb4a3a784a8a5d4a6625ab88292710c3e8c699052867723e494ba", "issued_at": "2026-09-20T20:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4835, "probability": 0.032389, "confidence_lo": 0.032368, "confidence_hi": 0.03239, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "02a6be36b74a1c725e3624308a532841bf5dbae78d843b33f1c447b77a7d0fa3", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "1693e8929043aae4fe04206740c412ed6c665614a486b9c976750c48c33e4d31d58a7c3bdc907187ae69bf10232b43d61ceaef50f691643071e626b7518ca50f" } }, "receipt_sha256": "02a6be36b74a1c725e3624308a532841bf5dbae78d843b33f1c447b77a7d0fa3" }, { "row": 38, "col": 56, "lat": 17.0, "lon": -67.0, "n_events": 33, "max_mag": 4.8, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.5937, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.1671, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.236, "b_trend": -0.0488, "ell_km": 15.4, "ell_trend": -1.76, "rate_acceleration": 1.33, "delta_aic_iet": 926.02, "S_over_Gamma": 13.318, "days_to_criticality": 2099.9, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.1429, "grad_tau_local": 1.9983, "depth_trend": -6.08, "spatial_concentration": 58.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4733, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d0f1a184e68ceb8266d2bdd32ffd0df906d91c79d52d49f8da68951f20f5d088", "input_sha256": "809c56f0d2ee2e956d7181c7ea139a36e59d729db518edc482fa30b777b5e5d2", "issued_at": "2026-09-20T20:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4733, "probability": 0.032389, "confidence_lo": 0.032368, "confidence_hi": 0.03239, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "2f033930e392908b710f777ac2c0b201d18e6c2a5e1ca0dd2ced257d38c4e73a", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "9f549aef8e9b7f4ef4bb3aed35428dfbbc067f9b4989727acca4c16a6e30db0cc7a8487093b6655ebfd21fb1744be4707e899ae1d4183e6d07152d2b17cea500" } }, "receipt_sha256": "2f033930e392908b710f777ac2c0b201d18e6c2a5e1ca0dd2ced257d38c4e73a" }, { "row": 58, "col": 11, "lat": 57.0, "lon": -157.0, "n_events": 11, "max_mag": 4.0, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.618, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.579, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.823, "b_trend": -0.0116, "ell_km": 97.7, "ell_trend": -19.62, "rate_acceleration": 0.96, "delta_aic_iet": 531.95, "S_over_Gamma": 13.228, "days_to_criticality": 2099.9, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.5283, "grad_tau_local": 0.6336, "depth_trend": -7.14, "spatial_concentration": 79.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4728, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d0f1a184e68ceb8266d2bdd32ffd0df906d91c79d52d49f8da68951f20f5d088", "input_sha256": "3c88384ccf2ff3a1069f7e537f46b7687db48791db53906ff74c3b8971947811", "issued_at": "2026-09-20T20:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4728, "probability": 0.032389, "confidence_lo": 0.032368, "confidence_hi": 0.03239, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "56fd1389e99d7f9a378f5cdd525cf5562cd3032d4f33c8a13584a642d043f160", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "ea981a5c9b3d66f58ccfc0124f87e82bc938be1998e6d7c25f2aabc3aa4894cbf14431c39c7e9ced7ea52e01577eed8d48512ec9ceab1199a44410677488f805" } }, "receipt_sha256": "56fd1389e99d7f9a378f5cdd525cf5562cd3032d4f33c8a13584a642d043f160" }, { "row": 39, "col": 57, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -65.0, "n_events": 43, "max_mag": 3.8, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.4985, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.7251, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.189, "b_trend": -0.0311, "ell_km": 32.1, "ell_trend": 0.27, "rate_acceleration": 1.11, "delta_aic_iet": 1317.0, "S_over_Gamma": 13.977, "days_to_criticality": 22.0, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.9092, "grad_tau_local": 1.6734, "depth_trend": -4.5, "spatial_concentration": 47.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4719, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d0f1a184e68ceb8266d2bdd32ffd0df906d91c79d52d49f8da68951f20f5d088", "input_sha256": "8fc38c5d599aba56eeb01b7d60280171359f06037806ee4f25a1375a7ee877e2", "issued_at": "2026-09-20T20:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4719, "probability": 0.032389, "confidence_lo": 0.032368, "confidence_hi": 0.03239, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "233bc008ae68288a433f0e25281f0167caab7c948fc686bbbd848a7a01b7f8b4", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "a1a429895a6f29d7a374987a77923c3d48f1eda0e26e8e9a165a2fbacc7dcc9059adf7b46e8199e21396b74befdbfad0a9533fa5b5bae355084d6632fe8a850f" } }, "receipt_sha256": "233bc008ae68288a433f0e25281f0167caab7c948fc686bbbd848a7a01b7f8b4" }, { "row": 64, "col": 17, "lat": 69.0, "lon": -145.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 4.3, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.6772, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.1996, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": null, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 6.4, "ell_trend": -0.93, "rate_acceleration": 1.78, "delta_aic_iet": 66.37, "S_over_Gamma": 13.009, "days_to_criticality": 21.2, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 1.9827, "depth_trend": -0.59, "spatial_concentration": 57.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4624, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d0f1a184e68ceb8266d2bdd32ffd0df906d91c79d52d49f8da68951f20f5d088", "input_sha256": "54732935a442a5dc4ee5ae9e1734910b3ccb96fc4af3b95f6e388b11a4bf31a9", "issued_at": "2026-09-20T20:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4624, "probability": 0.032389, "confidence_lo": 0.032368, "confidence_hi": 0.03239, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "8c42ef5a6bb51854b4e3b36f26286cadb73608a55cba854a60156f7b5881097c", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "effe663250c3d5df9890724f2c12445b090df15d7573259fd7132c258116ac865f9470a0b13cad90476ba0db2dd9a3fd710ef7c9ad9c4064b75989d6e3393f02" } }, "receipt_sha256": "8c42ef5a6bb51854b4e3b36f26286cadb73608a55cba854a60156f7b5881097c" }, { "row": 39, "col": 12, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -155.0, "n_events": 27, "max_mag": 4.1, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.5517, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.2089, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.804, "b_trend": -0.0954, "ell_km": 5.2, "ell_trend": -0.18, "rate_acceleration": 1.71, "delta_aic_iet": 270.21, "S_over_Gamma": 13.456, "days_to_criticality": 2098.3, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 3.638, "grad_tau_local": 0.2341, "depth_trend": -2.25, "spatial_concentration": 34.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4573, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d0f1a184e68ceb8266d2bdd32ffd0df906d91c79d52d49f8da68951f20f5d088", "input_sha256": "3f0b2a2730274026b0b4b9fd203e3ea711ead26b50b5dc49d4f2d361d554f72d", "issued_at": "2026-09-20T20:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4573, "probability": 0.032389, "confidence_lo": 0.032368, "confidence_hi": 0.03239, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "0eac92cff3bcfe3a882c33aa7da952caee660c0de2a578b1215ac2b5270f7eda", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "42908b0a54461292c889244a08bfb7e1f011801ce9a9d4491b5dd9af6c871201a28a0cbc578d8b0db1f567bae25b47868dd651b04426a5d2725db8406fd6d00d" } }, "receipt_sha256": "0eac92cff3bcfe3a882c33aa7da952caee660c0de2a578b1215ac2b5270f7eda" }, { "row": 64, "col": 18, "lat": 69.0, "lon": -143.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 3.6, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.6811, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.1699, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.922, "b_trend": null, "ell_km": 6.2, "ell_trend": -0.99, "rate_acceleration": 2.16, "delta_aic_iet": 82.03, "S_over_Gamma": 13.122, "days_to_criticality": 2099.0, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 1.8455, "depth_trend": 0.12, "spatial_concentration": 73.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4572, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d0f1a184e68ceb8266d2bdd32ffd0df906d91c79d52d49f8da68951f20f5d088", "input_sha256": "3737d8b2f37517d4eee4fea656555078a48bd07dbea62f2d48ea275f21a16b18", "issued_at": "2026-09-20T20:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4572, "probability": 0.032389, "confidence_lo": 0.032368, "confidence_hi": 0.03239, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "34fbc4518d6cc23fd680eea8493dab12a3f43666c46554756ce343eb2558737f", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "29201b1d5ebf769a355de8ac02dbeec03a3e83d38ae5c92904fc38d8043c3a02e60f1b3c4f1e6954a265e38d4c6b81b8a9ae4350097f5475915c4bcb40b2fe00" } }, "receipt_sha256": "34fbc4518d6cc23fd680eea8493dab12a3f43666c46554756ce343eb2558737f" }, { "row": 57, "col": 11, "lat": 55.0, "lon": -157.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 4.8, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.7734, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.4838, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.77, "b_trend": 0.0788, "ell_km": 22.6, "ell_trend": -0.52, "rate_acceleration": 0.98, "delta_aic_iet": 715.75, "S_over_Gamma": 13.565, "days_to_criticality": 20.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.2544, "grad_tau_local": 1.1115, "depth_trend": -1.23, "spatial_concentration": 74.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4552, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d0f1a184e68ceb8266d2bdd32ffd0df906d91c79d52d49f8da68951f20f5d088", "input_sha256": "39edb4dd614cde445ae17b0f27f02e7c444908b3aca26823570cada95ffc2baa", "issued_at": "2026-09-20T20:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4552, "probability": 0.032389, "confidence_lo": 0.032368, "confidence_hi": 0.03239, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "4c2d4318bdbe34e19cee167f1d833181f841aa2ff0d426a0645434078097f93e", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "7188a8ead129cae1e80e87f62d0ce48565e9fb6ac987ca692f38a1b81c290dae96a26069e7d000113155fe6efef8e43079e0aefd613a83257b5e61e4cd18e108" } }, "receipt_sha256": "4c2d4318bdbe34e19cee167f1d833181f841aa2ff0d426a0645434078097f93e" }, { "row": 60, "col": 16, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -147.0, "n_events": 9, "max_mag": 3.5, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.6188, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.4352, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.845, "b_trend": 0.046, "ell_km": 114.5, "ell_trend": 1.44, "rate_acceleration": 0.9, "delta_aic_iet": 614.77, "S_over_Gamma": 13.053, "days_to_criticality": 3.8, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.04, "grad_tau_local": 0.9109, "depth_trend": 2.74, "spatial_concentration": 74.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4488, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d0f1a184e68ceb8266d2bdd32ffd0df906d91c79d52d49f8da68951f20f5d088", "input_sha256": "dd3ac631725c826bd6a1b94f7a6a5b83512d1da09b390f28b6c3a157b63ce846", "issued_at": "2026-09-20T20:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4488, "probability": 0.032389, "confidence_lo": 0.032368, "confidence_hi": 0.03239, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "34f5c922788c53d6d2d72f7ead7398d52aa10281c65fa6ea0deea396967adc5d", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "5480a33ef2148043a3543992dc65fc1baebc4d0922515566ef6e7df5107be910e975c48ec178281a2f3ed5e68c556cecfda0b5d6b8143754832b8321ca58490e" } }, "receipt_sha256": "34f5c922788c53d6d2d72f7ead7398d52aa10281c65fa6ea0deea396967adc5d" }, { "row": 39, "col": 55, "lat": 19.0, "lon": -69.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 4.1, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.6449, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.6322, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.095, "b_trend": -0.006, "ell_km": 13.6, "ell_trend": -0.83, "rate_acceleration": 1.26, "delta_aic_iet": 720.48, "S_over_Gamma": 14.378, "days_to_criticality": 20.9, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.5598, "grad_tau_local": 2.2969, "depth_trend": -3.28, "spatial_concentration": 42.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4465, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d0f1a184e68ceb8266d2bdd32ffd0df906d91c79d52d49f8da68951f20f5d088", "input_sha256": "716d41dd901fcce6d2f73aa642b3d256619f63889333e76942c5f2d36459effe", "issued_at": "2026-09-20T20:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4465, "probability": 0.032389, "confidence_lo": 0.032368, "confidence_hi": 0.03239, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "2e217a543fe88b897c47d6843a60e98a70ab87c2965b62cac2dee8b34e02ee20", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "18a54bc7be9d8f9564f7f49c14224b258861f444a79479d3bde4fc17550ead97cc6aec7c9040aee994b9c19e264cdfc6b3132a01c011ba05b93cbef63ea6e40a" } }, "receipt_sha256": "2e217a543fe88b897c47d6843a60e98a70ab87c2965b62cac2dee8b34e02ee20" }, { "row": 60, "col": 13, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -153.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 2.8, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.6319, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.5053, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.051, "b_trend": -0.0777, "ell_km": 87.7, "ell_trend": -0.41, "rate_acceleration": 0.88, "delta_aic_iet": 799.15, "S_over_Gamma": 13.022, "days_to_criticality": 2099.6, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.9567, "grad_tau_local": 1.6071, "depth_trend": 1.82, "spatial_concentration": 69.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4384, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d0f1a184e68ceb8266d2bdd32ffd0df906d91c79d52d49f8da68951f20f5d088", "input_sha256": "fc2995a1e61a0a5c9df38773b1daa13a68f07abea142ffb6c59a1ccf01ca5913", "issued_at": "2026-09-20T20:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4384, "probability": 0.032389, "confidence_lo": 0.032368, "confidence_hi": 0.03239, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "79144666c9c2e48ce436dd1fbdbfac5b0df1e7226307857987415c24f094e41e", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "2e950c650a8333f2a5919a4f9d291f1fa9dd51ed8af7553cdf6ddaeae12391cf85aa0b7d2dcbee2c45ff72b2bb5cacd120a0894925918c646f8dc445a335da05" } }, "receipt_sha256": "79144666c9c2e48ce436dd1fbdbfac5b0df1e7226307857987415c24f094e41e" }, { "row": 60, "col": 14, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -151.0, "n_events": 21, "max_mag": 3.4, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.6169, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.6661, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.047, "b_trend": -0.1443, "ell_km": 92.3, "ell_trend": -0.15, "rate_acceleration": 0.92, "delta_aic_iet": 852.32, "S_over_Gamma": 13.163, "days_to_criticality": 2099.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.6628, "grad_tau_local": 0.4189, "depth_trend": -1.31, "spatial_concentration": 69.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4336, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d0f1a184e68ceb8266d2bdd32ffd0df906d91c79d52d49f8da68951f20f5d088", "input_sha256": "f4c187c9529dacd89360b149869a6025c8a97356ceab9d023d71dd24d4ad9bda", "issued_at": "2026-09-20T20:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4336, "probability": 0.032389, "confidence_lo": 0.032368, "confidence_hi": 0.03239, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "11bd0dd053d33834c845fcf53df3c22c8dd39f18fad9eada58d42821401f7dd2", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "0c9c9a83422240682f3f779111240798599481a18be2fecd6c0434507eb8f5b77a88497ed46c2d6ab4ff93ff03ac03a5b8678d14fa38103166f6cd2deb59f202" } }, "receipt_sha256": "11bd0dd053d33834c845fcf53df3c22c8dd39f18fad9eada58d42821401f7dd2" }, { "row": 55, "col": 2, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -175.0, "n_events": 30, "max_mag": 3.1, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.5871, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.2796, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.663, "b_trend": 0.1001, "ell_km": 59.9, "ell_trend": -2.24, "rate_acceleration": 2.3, "delta_aic_iet": 916.87, "S_over_Gamma": 13.216, "days_to_criticality": 2097.6, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.5056, "grad_tau_local": 1.121, "depth_trend": -8.12, "spatial_concentration": 73.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4295, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d0f1a184e68ceb8266d2bdd32ffd0df906d91c79d52d49f8da68951f20f5d088", "input_sha256": "68fe9254149d7c93e8ad9493c74d290764ac7ffe161c2e8353c5a6f843a908dc", "issued_at": "2026-09-20T20:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4295, "probability": 0.032389, "confidence_lo": 0.032368, "confidence_hi": 0.03239, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "7ec82f1feb2a4d7a0e7c53f68d63d47b6ad248b96a778e1f538e86e9340f3318", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "ffe8e887bd0bad0ea2b8c84b23de0841c03483a8f64fea5a0434e5c6e88a20133e45d8181ae7b9e1d830fce87df6bc388f5b16384650684ed4e6a8c6d0fba30c" } }, "receipt_sha256": "7ec82f1feb2a4d7a0e7c53f68d63d47b6ad248b96a778e1f538e86e9340f3318" }, { "row": 45, "col": 37, "lat": 31.0, "lon": -105.0, "n_events": 22, "max_mag": 3.4, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.6395, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.2325, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.165, "b_trend": -0.0638, "ell_km": 3.7, "ell_trend": 0.2, "rate_acceleration": 0.7, "delta_aic_iet": 375.94, "S_over_Gamma": 13.177, "days_to_criticality": 20.9, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.642, "grad_tau_local": 0.7643, "depth_trend": 0.22, "spatial_concentration": 37.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4268, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d0f1a184e68ceb8266d2bdd32ffd0df906d91c79d52d49f8da68951f20f5d088", "input_sha256": "3bd6ec080e57aa4f7ab40a228a220b9c0f49760a4290032b7c5608da143068b2", "issued_at": "2026-09-20T20:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4268, "probability": 0.032389, "confidence_lo": 0.032368, "confidence_hi": 0.03239, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "b996804957bd1f5c3cd490ff032a9a86db6fb8654170eccc25ad7c2f84cb6161", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "d1c26a2171c1e954ad8ae2f6287f0d7287a6e15fb8e9c83c6b40596e6d79d581842955c4d6ff9e3bf8f3bdb5c0ce4b136991887475a666216922703bc5d59205" } }, "receipt_sha256": "b996804957bd1f5c3cd490ff032a9a86db6fb8654170eccc25ad7c2f84cb6161" }, { "row": 60, "col": 15, "lat": 61.0, "lon": -149.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 3.9, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.6342, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.4243, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.06, "b_trend": -0.076, "ell_km": 88.2, "ell_trend": 0.24, "rate_acceleration": 0.9, "delta_aic_iet": 820.33, "S_over_Gamma": 13.216, "days_to_criticality": 3.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.9046, "grad_tau_local": 0.8324, "depth_trend": 0.42, "spatial_concentration": 68.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4197, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d0f1a184e68ceb8266d2bdd32ffd0df906d91c79d52d49f8da68951f20f5d088", "input_sha256": "71347ba5ab91d3433b4ff000eacf259d2b5a7290cd902783ae5dad085fd7af2c", "issued_at": "2026-09-20T20:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4197, "probability": 0.032389, "confidence_lo": 0.032368, "confidence_hi": 0.03239, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "a2c1aab05c43e8c234eb344cc379143c0d76ac19195d8280892016ef4aff4185", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "68958ee7d9078a452340411eff5f0a72be630b82fcb93f48d5e7a805b5bbb6b2bd797f317fb8a9fbd9bffd1d457cd54fc7b82d11c6be6acea07e62a09141de07" } }, "receipt_sha256": "a2c1aab05c43e8c234eb344cc379143c0d76ac19195d8280892016ef4aff4185" }, { "row": 46, "col": 38, "lat": 33.0, "lon": -103.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 2.9, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.6059, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.0165, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.993, "b_trend": -0.0714, "ell_km": 3.7, "ell_trend": 0.2, "rate_acceleration": 0.68, "delta_aic_iet": 473.4, "S_over_Gamma": 13.336, "days_to_criticality": 20.9, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.7571, "grad_tau_local": 0.6547, "depth_trend": -0.11, "spatial_concentration": 64.7, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4146, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d0f1a184e68ceb8266d2bdd32ffd0df906d91c79d52d49f8da68951f20f5d088", "input_sha256": "2e63e84f1038b22e195a39c6586cf5f42497e94f9526e9f3927a2e996641ebcb", "issued_at": "2026-09-20T20:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4146, "probability": 0.032389, "confidence_lo": 0.032368, "confidence_hi": 0.03239, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "c5d606c01c3d3376d49bf73ac6023478b6beda4bc231d93f60830a9ad32657b5", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "88c014c9e78dc6907b91ed6a5678c969e8061c25d203d5a0ebd8587807d1ff35c3985c35180d25478c5203868678ed22ad88b57d4091a251c283734e17216b0f" } }, "receipt_sha256": "c5d606c01c3d3376d49bf73ac6023478b6beda4bc231d93f60830a9ad32657b5" }, { "row": 59, "col": 13, "lat": 59.0, "lon": -153.0, "n_events": 17, "max_mag": 3.9, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.6249, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.6199, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.845, "b_trend": -0.2152, "ell_km": 86.9, "ell_trend": -0.57, "rate_acceleration": 0.8, "delta_aic_iet": 643.85, "S_over_Gamma": 13.024, "days_to_criticality": 2099.6, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.67, "grad_tau_local": 0.3379, "depth_trend": 1.28, "spatial_concentration": 82.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4093, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d0f1a184e68ceb8266d2bdd32ffd0df906d91c79d52d49f8da68951f20f5d088", "input_sha256": "6b110115db902b5d5a666dd0f8c989b3aefaeeaa228484c917591ddf9e9a7d02", "issued_at": "2026-09-20T20:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4093, "probability": 0.032389, "confidence_lo": 0.032368, "confidence_hi": 0.03239, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "804c2b9dbac9dd6729b4f982aedd57dfa8dd089460248aeb8e19a616f9ede8d6", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "7258d64bc80927b49f032537be69d375dcd4ec97f6623dcec4d7446e9093b91d25b6be914bbccafc0c16c0539341d8efbf1de21ab33260e05c73025bc9746e06" } }, "receipt_sha256": "804c2b9dbac9dd6729b4f982aedd57dfa8dd089460248aeb8e19a616f9ede8d6" }, { "row": 55, "col": 1, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -177.0, "n_events": 34, "max_mag": 3.8, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.5884, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.3055, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.675, "b_trend": 0.0952, "ell_km": 67.0, "ell_trend": -2.64, "rate_acceleration": 2.29, "delta_aic_iet": 974.45, "S_over_Gamma": 13.212, "days_to_criticality": 2097.6, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.092, "grad_tau_local": 3.2578, "depth_trend": -6.75, "spatial_concentration": 163.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4069, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d0f1a184e68ceb8266d2bdd32ffd0df906d91c79d52d49f8da68951f20f5d088", "input_sha256": "e4b568a9f6b629f18834e603c5cd72f7b959e17a151396fdc6a31d65cfe0a12d", "issued_at": "2026-09-20T20:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4069, "probability": 0.032389, "confidence_lo": 0.032368, "confidence_hi": 0.03239, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "59d4890b28aa146f9098f98575a40777ef014b019af838171b1eaed92c8b0f97", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "a43476828073e5edb7ea37054d73b4acba1413bffb8abe7b1237c8e879aa980fb17399805e50373a84b18eb4d1524deea67abe85f2ff191d452c8ddbdb2bf503" } }, "receipt_sha256": "59d4890b28aa146f9098f98575a40777ef014b019af838171b1eaed92c8b0f97" }, { "row": 59, "col": 12, "lat": 59.0, "lon": -155.0, "n_events": 5, "max_mag": 3.9, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.6577, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.5135, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.845, "b_trend": -0.2659, "ell_km": 79.3, "ell_trend": -0.79, "rate_acceleration": 0.74, "delta_aic_iet": 634.77, "S_over_Gamma": 13.363, "days_to_criticality": 2099.6, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.606, "grad_tau_local": 1.2857, "depth_trend": 3.4, "spatial_concentration": 73.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.4019, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d0f1a184e68ceb8266d2bdd32ffd0df906d91c79d52d49f8da68951f20f5d088", "input_sha256": "2448f49d4c69234ab296712a3afc857dff00e6296a7529ba078c1534f9436d0b", "issued_at": "2026-09-20T20:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.4019, "probability": 0.032389, "confidence_lo": 0.032368, "confidence_hi": 0.03239, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "2837ba6477afdfa549a595c3127c60a00884ad68582e78a2976af2a07436f43d", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "dd0be5c7dd8334c51b025291dda248ad503c45f6f0d82d21a46f7ec6c2f7885fe09ff3f2a9405f8fd797f7d0670be9ba20589b2d930bacfd327df9eeb473650f" } }, "receipt_sha256": "2837ba6477afdfa549a595c3127c60a00884ad68582e78a2976af2a07436f43d" }, { "row": 61, "col": 14, "lat": 63.0, "lon": -151.0, "n_events": 11, "max_mag": 3.6, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.6321, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.4327, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.886, "b_trend": 0.0676, "ell_km": 97.3, "ell_trend": -0.02, "rate_acceleration": 0.98, "delta_aic_iet": 617.71, "S_over_Gamma": 13.213, "days_to_criticality": 42.7, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.4144, "grad_tau_local": 1.9989, "depth_trend": 2.5, "spatial_concentration": 73.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3991, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d0f1a184e68ceb8266d2bdd32ffd0df906d91c79d52d49f8da68951f20f5d088", "input_sha256": "0f3158c0048cc325f2200bc2a17986d64fdaeca312981425a2227bc996cdab4b", "issued_at": "2026-09-20T20:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3991, "probability": 0.032389, "confidence_lo": 0.032368, "confidence_hi": 0.03239, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "7d80aac579a2150d4456f24f70ce006f7711e925a830050468af403fc2f077f0", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "903876d466a7707c63543097c625921877e8cbded7cfe13ed01b7aa5d4dee0e7a940b7a9d6f55a4431bcacbf7df2d6aa91cdb9e2a5f13ac5e2273cacbb34450a" } }, "receipt_sha256": "7d80aac579a2150d4456f24f70ce006f7711e925a830050468af403fc2f077f0" }, { "row": 55, "col": 179, "lat": 51.0, "lon": 179.0, "n_events": 27, "max_mag": 4.0, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.0191, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.181, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.577, "b_trend": 0.0735, "ell_km": 10.5, "ell_trend": -3.98, "rate_acceleration": 2.77, "delta_aic_iet": 833.45, "S_over_Gamma": 13.042, "days_to_criticality": 19.2, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 4.5492, "depth_trend": -6.19, "spatial_concentration": 123.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3982, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d0f1a184e68ceb8266d2bdd32ffd0df906d91c79d52d49f8da68951f20f5d088", "input_sha256": "89442599419404fdab4b5d0664359992779f951b4e28a1c3fb6b2db75d36dece", "issued_at": "2026-09-20T20:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3982, "probability": 0.032389, "confidence_lo": 0.032368, "confidence_hi": 0.03239, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "dd211539e4959209f70001b3e8819101e40920693d70a8692f73ca3c3579050a", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "e88cfd19b3d6ed6a2f945b1b173747573537a6b7cc8a94e0bda02a492706aebb54de2d6fa18a4251b96d3cd299ffc02c54656214d6edc026d2eff2a937fcd009" } }, "receipt_sha256": "dd211539e4959209f70001b3e8819101e40920693d70a8692f73ca3c3579050a" }, { "row": 57, "col": 10, "lat": 55.0, "lon": -159.0, "n_events": 13, "max_mag": 4.1, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.5924, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.5177, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.755, "b_trend": 0.0283, "ell_km": 23.0, "ell_trend": -0.57, "rate_acceleration": 1.07, "delta_aic_iet": 808.66, "S_over_Gamma": 13.167, "days_to_criticality": 2099.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.0131, "grad_tau_local": 0.5728, "depth_trend": -1.5, "spatial_concentration": 91.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3951, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d0f1a184e68ceb8266d2bdd32ffd0df906d91c79d52d49f8da68951f20f5d088", "input_sha256": "9e76b3343eea44fc71f060512aa07e07e2b6c11ff447d5e4adef35da957e19c6", "issued_at": "2026-09-20T20:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3951, "probability": 0.032389, "confidence_lo": 0.032368, "confidence_hi": 0.03239, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "84a56e7d8500d422b38720467b5702fbe26941a26dadb26dff35d6ab6230d182", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "f5606164e1e814a66f45aa6e52a08acbbafe741c1330827d0d76895e25e00e71fc872bb8518c50c1bc20ac1ebc11d2e9f2eaf08900e7bc376cb7a05ff2d66903" } }, "receipt_sha256": "84a56e7d8500d422b38720467b5702fbe26941a26dadb26dff35d6ab6230d182" }, { "row": 59, "col": 14, "lat": 59.0, "lon": -151.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 3.2, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.6525, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.4269, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.868, "b_trend": -0.1815, "ell_km": 83.3, "ell_trend": -0.37, "rate_acceleration": 0.82, "delta_aic_iet": 679.0, "S_over_Gamma": 13.04, "days_to_criticality": 2099.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.2505, "grad_tau_local": 0.939, "depth_trend": 2.63, "spatial_concentration": 91.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3921, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d0f1a184e68ceb8266d2bdd32ffd0df906d91c79d52d49f8da68951f20f5d088", "input_sha256": "4ae9cdf610ecccd0b34543c90468d95c6eeb27062634754a9cbd3c82d6b61a2d", "issued_at": "2026-09-20T20:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3921, "probability": 0.032389, "confidence_lo": 0.032368, "confidence_hi": 0.03239, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "3733a78d94ca59e9fcba8909186c4c469e6ea79cfa3018fda1fa23a5f6a67d8d", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "13497461ed6d41f49b11f1a87d08de1610d5a2df79e6d4208e7b1eaccac7c9453014159ad2abf86b9a62fc04871f51e0425cb2e7a811d5904f9a6faa3b646500" } }, "receipt_sha256": "3733a78d94ca59e9fcba8909186c4c469e6ea79cfa3018fda1fa23a5f6a67d8d" }, { "row": 58, "col": 12, "lat": 57.0, "lon": -155.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 3.1, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.6167, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.5455, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.842, "b_trend": -0.0109, "ell_km": 127.2, "ell_trend": 1.18, "rate_acceleration": 0.88, "delta_aic_iet": 508.3, "S_over_Gamma": 12.898, "days_to_criticality": 164.7, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.8386, "grad_tau_local": 0.4915, "depth_trend": -2.0, "spatial_concentration": 79.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.392, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d0f1a184e68ceb8266d2bdd32ffd0df906d91c79d52d49f8da68951f20f5d088", "input_sha256": "ba3bac60aefebb1a467cb970347b38c68f02e67167ca231eef2e70add45c3cab", "issued_at": "2026-09-20T20:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.392, "probability": 0.032389, "confidence_lo": 0.032368, "confidence_hi": 0.03239, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "c7b49f8120ed9a99be09022937ea499773583f20d668ee4d4cda3fffea5b4a2a", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "5d6ad9c458a6dddbc469831ae3a6c6ce32d342d28331eb82059aa97d79e2f6f9379300f9113b707b35bfd709cb635bcf6ba201e9dd336a89a3f3e5c1f753e401" } }, "receipt_sha256": "c7b49f8120ed9a99be09022937ea499773583f20d668ee4d4cda3fffea5b4a2a" }, { "row": 61, "col": 15, "lat": 63.0, "lon": -149.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 3.9, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.6271, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.5303, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.889, "b_trend": 0.0852, "ell_km": 98.1, "ell_trend": 0.08, "rate_acceleration": 0.97, "delta_aic_iet": 648.67, "S_over_Gamma": 12.905, "days_to_criticality": 7.4, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.0383, "grad_tau_local": 1.7222, "depth_trend": 3.9, "spatial_concentration": 71.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3916, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d0f1a184e68ceb8266d2bdd32ffd0df906d91c79d52d49f8da68951f20f5d088", "input_sha256": "0c3bd7e43a583026fe7ebc49e2d84a11bac4c733c09ab8a21ed83da4747aaab1", "issued_at": "2026-09-20T20:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3916, "probability": 0.032389, "confidence_lo": 0.032368, "confidence_hi": 0.03239, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "59dd187b23202cc7b309c4360ce8d33ce779753d08f85c2c9e5d0bc5735a4dbb", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "abbf8e9683eb87acc8a1b07a013230b615f8bc8987ea8e480d6290ca6d4a9546ced8daef5014f375c243687b87e7bfe11871df151ba4c1690e8f1206640fa402" } }, "receipt_sha256": "59dd187b23202cc7b309c4360ce8d33ce779753d08f85c2c9e5d0bc5735a4dbb" }, { "row": 56, "col": 7, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -165.0, "n_events": 31, "max_mag": 3.8, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.5752, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.3369, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.729, "b_trend": 0.152, "ell_km": 28.6, "ell_trend": -12.06, "rate_acceleration": 1.79, "delta_aic_iet": 904.19, "S_over_Gamma": 12.924, "days_to_criticality": 2095.8, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.3755, "grad_tau_local": 0.5022, "depth_trend": -6.88, "spatial_concentration": 86.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3886, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d0f1a184e68ceb8266d2bdd32ffd0df906d91c79d52d49f8da68951f20f5d088", "input_sha256": "69f79595d3163ff1ad5bc13196faf6601886f3fb9e0ffe4fc76cee0ffbe05b53", "issued_at": "2026-09-20T20:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3886, "probability": 0.032389, "confidence_lo": 0.032368, "confidence_hi": 0.03239, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "028ebcdcad4edd0d883da263f7377b4a4a81de809c4f8b3471de9f90771e8a73", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "60b6e466cc228e3e6fde0da04a673eaf9c34c78f2dd0aeffbdfe375da03c552a5d14e476167cba13cfb6d6d9551ac4ff1f5f0ca2442517e361fb3e6c5b60b602" } }, "receipt_sha256": "028ebcdcad4edd0d883da263f7377b4a4a81de809c4f8b3471de9f90771e8a73" }, { "row": 38, "col": 57, "lat": 17.0, "lon": -65.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 3.1, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.5527, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.0796, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.26, "b_trend": 0.022, "ell_km": 26.3, "ell_trend": 0.33, "rate_acceleration": 1.11, "delta_aic_iet": 1109.83, "S_over_Gamma": 11.632, "days_to_criticality": 45.9, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.5539, "grad_tau_local": 2.4404, "depth_trend": -3.99, "spatial_concentration": 43.0, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3833, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d0f1a184e68ceb8266d2bdd32ffd0df906d91c79d52d49f8da68951f20f5d088", "input_sha256": "5e24fcb25bf85f9ee3739bbfca9929b4db22ebdaa066e60210507cfa7967da89", "issued_at": "2026-09-20T20:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3833, "probability": 0.032389, "confidence_lo": 0.032368, "confidence_hi": 0.03239, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f5a18671d2947ee4988f2ae71405821eb6a56d1d589a7eb773e385ab8cbf37f5", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "19c261a8ff81beefe11b50eca7b637a15b8fa2ae3504ff800f66c2b90ec0fe7c182b5ae18c5b56645ed073f4623f8c4dede0ce898c9419a84cc4b65838d8090f" } }, "receipt_sha256": "f5a18671d2947ee4988f2ae71405821eb6a56d1d589a7eb773e385ab8cbf37f5" }, { "row": 49, "col": 28, "lat": 39.0, "lon": -123.0, "n_events": 11, "max_mag": 3.3, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.6239, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.0428, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.905, "b_trend": -0.0204, "ell_km": 3.3, "ell_trend": 0.62, "rate_acceleration": 0.85, "delta_aic_iet": 559.16, "S_over_Gamma": 12.354, "days_to_criticality": 19.9, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.5602, "grad_tau_local": 0.8316, "depth_trend": 0.92, "spatial_concentration": 75.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3799, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d0f1a184e68ceb8266d2bdd32ffd0df906d91c79d52d49f8da68951f20f5d088", "input_sha256": "a039bbb4008a8b5e41d8099811573b19e9e630921fa851719051e38541bb7fcd", "issued_at": "2026-09-20T20:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3799, "probability": 0.032389, "confidence_lo": 0.032368, "confidence_hi": 0.03239, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "60df792c15d6ab3bafc0044324836916d4fbe660f36e57412f189252b8d885e9", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "4783d83261d9a41213891103e2bf627079893e81440d02e8aae1e0f0b95d30071059977d36ea99d4ebaa9349fa55624701f5c175ad7b784069e58fa928161f0d" } }, "receipt_sha256": "60df792c15d6ab3bafc0044324836916d4fbe660f36e57412f189252b8d885e9" }, { "row": 50, "col": 27, "lat": 41.0, "lon": -125.0, "n_events": 15, "max_mag": 4.7, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.6089, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.2605, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.651, "b_trend": -0.0706, "ell_km": 10.1, "ell_trend": -0.81, "rate_acceleration": 1.03, "delta_aic_iet": 286.05, "S_over_Gamma": 13.103, "days_to_criticality": 20.0, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.1627, "grad_tau_local": 0.6706, "depth_trend": -0.3, "spatial_concentration": 85.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3705, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d0f1a184e68ceb8266d2bdd32ffd0df906d91c79d52d49f8da68951f20f5d088", "input_sha256": "e5725c9cbf96217b82de9db23181f1ff227ba6c009214d8f31ec42603bad8325", "issued_at": "2026-09-20T20:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3705, "probability": 0.032389, "confidence_lo": 0.032368, "confidence_hi": 0.03239, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "7e339f6b352721c78b467fa9d79e1750fcaeb106a7b37eb2ef70ea6835a61800", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "d42d8341402f611dc07c8c6e2d69de6e5de27e182d8d43c760cc2771810756b169fc1d3cfb9a2e13160f45d502bed9ab9f0596d7e427efcbf2fa49e2aed7eb0f" } }, "receipt_sha256": "7e339f6b352721c78b467fa9d79e1750fcaeb106a7b37eb2ef70ea6835a61800" }, { "row": 58, "col": 13, "lat": 57.0, "lon": -153.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 3.2, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.6198, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.3804, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.912, "b_trend": 0.0289, "ell_km": 79.1, "ell_trend": -2.92, "rate_acceleration": 0.8, "delta_aic_iet": 592.65, "S_over_Gamma": 13.188, "days_to_criticality": 2099.5, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": true, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.7533, "grad_tau_local": 1.223, "depth_trend": -3.23, "spatial_concentration": 72.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3683, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d0f1a184e68ceb8266d2bdd32ffd0df906d91c79d52d49f8da68951f20f5d088", "input_sha256": "2fc33d47e6a49388779986aac0d05d26ec7e2645f8e11a6f02a0441b2e11efe4", "issued_at": "2026-09-20T20:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3683, "probability": 0.032389, "confidence_lo": 0.032368, "confidence_hi": 0.03239, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "6ac2cafabf6ddb36c5aece710caf8847a16a4671f49262a4b772a555ea1c1346", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "43219747c977289b34f93f68532969db678ef670e13db6ac2f1cb39a7a8d6cd46c2b65aaf84dcc03819df747e675779ae2eb740c81f74e07be30be6b2b0eec00" } }, "receipt_sha256": "6ac2cafabf6ddb36c5aece710caf8847a16a4671f49262a4b772a555ea1c1346" }, { "row": 57, "col": 8, "lat": 55.0, "lon": -163.0, "n_events": 14, "max_mag": 4.5, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.6773, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.5707, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.747, "b_trend": 0.0258, "ell_km": 24.3, "ell_trend": -1.2, "rate_acceleration": 1.18, "delta_aic_iet": 1008.89, "S_over_Gamma": 11.772, "days_to_criticality": 17.2, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.5228, "grad_tau_local": 1.286, "depth_trend": -0.32, "spatial_concentration": 64.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3568, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d0f1a184e68ceb8266d2bdd32ffd0df906d91c79d52d49f8da68951f20f5d088", "input_sha256": "b786066873470e759398786671d2113922af0457cc8dcd782c930ddb365cc231", "issued_at": "2026-09-20T20:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3568, "probability": 0.032389, "confidence_lo": 0.032368, "confidence_hi": 0.03239, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "c05941157393076051f866a43bdacba68d560ba8af3bd5c15d3cb88699d35ceb", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "c4ac44d82985dab5b016a102760f83210b272824f2e3b11fb2ebe02d822179a46a3b230fcab45dd907189fa528f18694c5d63fba4216fd4d359c03382498140e" } }, "receipt_sha256": "c05941157393076051f866a43bdacba68d560ba8af3bd5c15d3cb88699d35ceb" }, { "row": 46, "col": 30, "lat": 33.0, "lon": -119.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 3.3, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.6302, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.0829, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.994, "b_trend": 0.002, "ell_km": 2.3, "ell_trend": -0.0, "rate_acceleration": 0.72, "delta_aic_iet": 278.76, "S_over_Gamma": 12.214, "days_to_criticality": 19.1, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 5.3623, "grad_tau_local": 1.5431, "depth_trend": 1.84, "spatial_concentration": 60.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3554, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d0f1a184e68ceb8266d2bdd32ffd0df906d91c79d52d49f8da68951f20f5d088", "input_sha256": "fa132d2782e7de77ed61ddc8b4799d76e9cb2eeec7d4f0a52bb4ec8c4c3e3c66", "issued_at": "2026-09-20T20:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3554, "probability": 0.032389, "confidence_lo": 0.032368, "confidence_hi": 0.03239, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "1d1bea3788fca0e23589bae0df95da1bd178c48e64926c566093a1b4c92dd72b", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "fd90db4d22369c45c5def2c0ec26326a958aa9e30451794132ba84e1f13c77942983a2aa6c4686228c37b6f1dc4e34e58b4fa44dbdff42d674a550f38ef93302" } }, "receipt_sha256": "1d1bea3788fca0e23589bae0df95da1bd178c48e64926c566093a1b4c92dd72b" }, { "row": 57, "col": 9, "lat": 55.0, "lon": -161.0, "n_events": 23, "max_mag": 4.1, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.5827, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.3558, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.753, "b_trend": 0.0482, "ell_km": 21.1, "ell_trend": -1.69, "rate_acceleration": 1.11, "delta_aic_iet": 945.34, "S_over_Gamma": 12.993, "days_to_criticality": 2099.9, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 8.3046, "grad_tau_local": 0.4203, "depth_trend": 0.6, "spatial_concentration": 77.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3458, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d0f1a184e68ceb8266d2bdd32ffd0df906d91c79d52d49f8da68951f20f5d088", "input_sha256": "bbde53521ea35347cd5673470a0e3ceaa9acf6278d5a54782a4dfd3cab2c0e39", "issued_at": "2026-09-20T20:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3458, "probability": 0.032389, "confidence_lo": 0.032368, "confidence_hi": 0.03239, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "5e9df953008c0d2d2c8743f92441de622ac88fa8e75db27d4da496802e52e7fc", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "938b282ef89e76ac03ca97ff452c8da659e56159a2dd01d3291536c38259e4848f579f7e9ca1493d3d2c1800a6f1527365cf61ea140b813605453cad23cdb804" } }, "receipt_sha256": "5e9df953008c0d2d2c8743f92441de622ac88fa8e75db27d4da496802e52e7fc" }, { "row": 48, "col": 29, "lat": 37.0, "lon": -121.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 3.4, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.6285, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.1973, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 1.01, "b_trend": 0.0824, "ell_km": 2.5, "ell_trend": 0.39, "rate_acceleration": 0.85, "delta_aic_iet": 452.8, "S_over_Gamma": 13.35, "days_to_criticality": 19.5, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.2837, "grad_tau_local": 0.9011, "depth_trend": -0.49, "spatial_concentration": 79.3, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3225, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d0f1a184e68ceb8266d2bdd32ffd0df906d91c79d52d49f8da68951f20f5d088", "input_sha256": "3321379f50dc5fa32009de7e18d158eebbefbeb19476f2c8f5072195c613cec3", "issued_at": "2026-09-20T20:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3225, "probability": 0.032389, "confidence_lo": 0.032368, "confidence_hi": 0.03239, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "aad24971dbf1483dade31e2c0baf50bce74e93f016d5500591727b329f5d70a8", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "9d562defd12cbce6256d8f9225b5e14eed55e19345c38821c67d3fd17a793516cbbf6044ab882d175bb0400fa6f9f58bf67942fbf9fddf628ee96d50936a2408" } }, "receipt_sha256": "aad24971dbf1483dade31e2c0baf50bce74e93f016d5500591727b329f5d70a8" }, { "row": 56, "col": 8, "lat": 53.0, "lon": -163.0, "n_events": 18, "max_mag": 4.8, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.6138, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.2192, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.738, "b_trend": 0.1733, "ell_km": 24.4, "ell_trend": -1.07, "rate_acceleration": 1.28, "delta_aic_iet": 1019.85, "S_over_Gamma": 12.492, "days_to_criticality": 2095.8, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.6074, "grad_tau_local": 1.1698, "depth_trend": -1.11, "spatial_concentration": 73.4, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3217, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d0f1a184e68ceb8266d2bdd32ffd0df906d91c79d52d49f8da68951f20f5d088", "input_sha256": "2d8bd4489387e9f9bf7e3b222a8cd92e158a32ff8377119069165f4abeefae2a", "issued_at": "2026-09-20T20:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3217, "probability": 0.032389, "confidence_lo": 0.032368, "confidence_hi": 0.03239, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f3029ded7d522c9983943edf4c6cd76adf0d6e62c2bdc88682fb617da275cea9", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "ebc9f2fa2e1c01a205fcf83ec640454c27de013b81932a7602352a5046885141fabbc94f7fb979209a2d9c418f456e4fdecf09a7f7debdeb1dc81c05fc9a280c" } }, "receipt_sha256": "f3029ded7d522c9983943edf4c6cd76adf0d6e62c2bdc88682fb617da275cea9" }, { "row": 48, "col": 30, "lat": 37.0, "lon": -119.0, "n_events": 7, "max_mag": 2.8, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.5642, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.041, "risk_band": "very_high", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.943, "b_trend": -0.0744, "ell_km": 2.6, "ell_trend": 0.26, "rate_acceleration": 0.63, "delta_aic_iet": 719.74, "S_over_Gamma": 12.462, "days_to_criticality": 42.9, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.2472, "grad_tau_local": 0.4879, "depth_trend": -0.72, "spatial_concentration": 58.9, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.3154, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d0f1a184e68ceb8266d2bdd32ffd0df906d91c79d52d49f8da68951f20f5d088", "input_sha256": "68cc26b827b32229d5b37712973ee70d87ae4d284f8978df2f2de2902cb876cd", "issued_at": "2026-09-20T20:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.3154, "probability": 0.032389, "confidence_lo": 0.032368, "confidence_hi": 0.03239, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ef922f67f9b6877ba038f95223bef0812220978560cb83b61bb20787d58130c2", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "56e7521f5ab55e14694cd3b73cc7743a8e43ee507a140a246f0cdc91b22950df0cb52541e9da9a83c8f26773b8d5f78dd8a36a68236d4544db1a953cfdfd5207" } }, "receipt_sha256": "ef922f67f9b6877ba038f95223bef0812220978560cb83b61bb20787d58130c2" }, { "row": 58, "col": 15, "lat": 57.0, "lon": -149.0, "n_events": 10, "max_mag": 3.7, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.616, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.022, "risk_band": "elevated", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.963, "b_trend": 0.0751, "ell_km": 28.7, "ell_trend": 2.17, "rate_acceleration": 1.19, "delta_aic_iet": 268.51, "S_over_Gamma": 12.019, "days_to_criticality": 20.4, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 6.9022, "grad_tau_local": 1.2839, "depth_trend": 2.15, "spatial_concentration": 49.6, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.2775, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d0f1a184e68ceb8266d2bdd32ffd0df906d91c79d52d49f8da68951f20f5d088", "input_sha256": "d38eafaf5ad64d941122957e824563dba20e6a1e6937a711e91552a707299f9f", "issued_at": "2026-09-20T20:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.2775, "probability": 0.032389, "confidence_lo": 0.032368, "confidence_hi": 0.03239, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "4d56446d4e99bdc356168c91ec75dea13a9c8a573518676c5c51582b7c28e668", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "7be7d2069b42d41543700955cd36d5bcb0df7bb2bf8e9342684d8c11b69832ada94d1f8fa3a7f8fff08146451719e396fedd2bd636a6e8be0d7641f2b30e1e00" } }, "receipt_sha256": "4d56446d4e99bdc356168c91ec75dea13a9c8a573518676c5c51582b7c28e668" }, { "row": 48, "col": 31, "lat": 37.0, "lon": -117.0, "n_events": 8, "max_mag": 4.0, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.5681, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.0368, "risk_band": "elevated", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.92, "b_trend": -0.0247, "ell_km": 2.0, "ell_trend": 0.22, "rate_acceleration": 0.96, "delta_aic_iet": 353.2, "S_over_Gamma": 13.289, "days_to_criticality": null, "conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": false, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 7.0138, "grad_tau_local": 0.4946, "depth_trend": -1.38, "spatial_concentration": 53.8, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.2681, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d0f1a184e68ceb8266d2bdd32ffd0df906d91c79d52d49f8da68951f20f5d088", "input_sha256": "563ce5ed863a1e5c58135a7c5523c047cef4f146a2a0e392a55777daa3963e7b", "issued_at": "2026-09-20T20:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.2681, "probability": 0.032389, "confidence_lo": 0.032368, "confidence_hi": 0.03239, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "df89bc4fe5e8db79d8feb2bcd75059d52364029ae2be3e741e2ccef9da4ca8c8", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "7667dfe362df49fb5a8703c304f7255ab2e139f260e6b686f6f27cf1eb967ee66a89afe3dbd28ba9d8d020a0a5b5f0d164fc9675a627ca950d39188d8698bb09" } }, "receipt_sha256": "df89bc4fe5e8db79d8feb2bcd75059d52364029ae2be3e741e2ccef9da4ca8c8" }, { "row": 55, "col": 178, "lat": 51.0, "lon": 177.0, "n_events": 29, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.5964, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.2708, "risk_band": "elevated", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.557, "b_trend": -0.0426, "ell_km": 9.9, "ell_trend": -5.57, "rate_acceleration": 3.09, "delta_aic_iet": 525.46, "S_over_Gamma": 11.818, "days_to_criticality": 2095.7, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.5492, "grad_tau_local": 1.892, "depth_trend": -6.68, "spatial_concentration": 125.1, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.2515, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d0f1a184e68ceb8266d2bdd32ffd0df906d91c79d52d49f8da68951f20f5d088", "input_sha256": "340ce84187ff8f6831950b7199e059272fc982db0b84798cc88025ad49c27710", "issued_at": "2026-09-20T20:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.2515, "probability": 0.032389, "confidence_lo": 0.032368, "confidence_hi": 0.03239, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "c50444f4f6539050fc023bdd4e35e1b5a1bbc5e04fc999e89688554aa58b4509", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "7ff8ded5c874e8720e57f4ca50bd3843bff6cc96d688dc9c4f0a3725da13ae2b5ef5334008506477e893b1a4f1343ff5ab2805a6d52d293a06f197131a1fa703" } }, "receipt_sha256": "c50444f4f6539050fc023bdd4e35e1b5a1bbc5e04fc999e89688554aa58b4509" }, { "row": 55, "col": 0, "lat": 51.0, "lon": -179.0, "n_events": 68, "max_mag": 5.3, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.5757, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.2434, "risk_band": "elevated", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.648, "b_trend": 0.2157, "ell_km": 70.7, "ell_trend": 0.99, "rate_acceleration": 1.9, "delta_aic_iet": 830.71, "S_over_Gamma": 13.35, "days_to_criticality": 441.7, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 0.0, "grad_tau_local": 5.092, "depth_trend": -5.91, "spatial_concentration": 119.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.2504, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d0f1a184e68ceb8266d2bdd32ffd0df906d91c79d52d49f8da68951f20f5d088", "input_sha256": "7ba7649dfe627ee211758e2a2dcf75f9bd5834df6f9c194eaeaf9653ea65d40a", "issued_at": "2026-09-20T20:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.2504, "probability": 0.032389, "confidence_lo": 0.032368, "confidence_hi": 0.03239, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "eed993cdea5b77b9968bdf01c7429eda19e7bc1c59e25e64dfa807ab564ba0ff", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "6c35965a52a25a507f58fc47adb4bc1e0be168514200d871e52119feea007679672ba4a71418a25736f6a5471a49afb9bdfb7afd4379097a80dd2a2086fac50c" } }, "receipt_sha256": "eed993cdea5b77b9968bdf01c7429eda19e7bc1c59e25e64dfa807ab564ba0ff" }, { "row": 50, "col": 26, "lat": 41.0, "lon": -127.0, "n_events": 6, "max_mag": 4.4, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.6014, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.0447, "risk_band": "elevated", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.653, "b_trend": -0.2288, "ell_km": 11.0, "ell_trend": -0.85, "rate_acceleration": 0.94, "delta_aic_iet": 254.8, "S_over_Gamma": 12.905, "days_to_criticality": 18.4, "conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": false, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.7719, "grad_tau_local": 1.5062, "depth_trend": 0.11, "spatial_concentration": 68.2, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.2365, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d0f1a184e68ceb8266d2bdd32ffd0df906d91c79d52d49f8da68951f20f5d088", "input_sha256": "f21871b08d09cc1400473ef328fff8cb9ae6691b72a10364a0d24d6fb8e3fcab", "issued_at": "2026-09-20T20:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.2365, "probability": 0.032389, "confidence_lo": 0.032368, "confidence_hi": 0.03239, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "c1e2c0c71f709731d9ec2b109a854cdf5b2b511b89c4c6e6d935d21075f2cdd8", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "17551c35f6faf16eb8b7c65226f7bdcd2fbcdffcb6966302cb2c9d74a2e916d91dd48af84c0da12ac9693f13b75f40c430a3cfa56aa02da3935ef566a6cc9009" } }, "receipt_sha256": "c1e2c0c71f709731d9ec2b109a854cdf5b2b511b89c4c6e6d935d21075f2cdd8" }, { "row": 56, "col": 178, "lat": 53.0, "lon": 177.0, "n_events": 18, "max_mag": 5.0, "probability": 0.0324, "prob_30d_local": 0.5913, "prob_op_m5_30d": 0.0938, "risk_band": "elevated", "scoring_tier": "tier1_deep", "model_id": "deep_gru_k192", "b_value": 0.545, "b_trend": -0.0851, "ell_km": 9.8, "ell_trend": -4.6, "rate_acceleration": 3.16, "delta_aic_iet": 365.88, "S_over_Gamma": 11.129, "days_to_criticality": 18.9, "conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "ell_elevated": false, "b_depressed": true, "iet_lorentzian": false, "rate_accelerating": true, "loading_exceeds_healing": true }, "tau_local": 4.0634, "grad_tau_local": 2.0306, "depth_trend": -8.1, "spatial_concentration": 102.5, "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "raw_probability": 0.1916, "confidence_lo": 0.0324, "confidence_hi": 0.0324, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "eq_coherence_v1_0", "model_sha256": "d0f1a184e68ceb8266d2bdd32ffd0df906d91c79d52d49f8da68951f20f5d088", "input_sha256": "d914f12407df631978838044f57366679d4807ba375880715b8425c80c1b34c5", "issued_at": "2026-09-20T20:00:00Z", "raw_probability": 0.1916, "probability": 0.032389, "confidence_lo": 0.032368, "confidence_hi": 0.03239, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "47705348d3cb36b7ce09db562e652100cff44ce9dcb2a9a6c27be0f9dfa85eaa", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "2f42fd305efb9af9d649ee781a20b0feee40f03814e34c70eea2561113e0d73bbc882141e727cc7d610043330cd3acd381ed47e23b4f0926ad06b71bed06cc0e" } }, "receipt_sha256": "47705348d3cb36b7ce09db562e652100cff44ce9dcb2a9a6c27be0f9dfa85eaa" } ] }