{ "forecast_id": "to_fcst_20260429_1724", "hazard": "tornado", "issued_at": "2026-04-29T17:24:33Z", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "forecast_horizon_hours": 24, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "scoring_tier_label": "ML (pre-trained gradient-boosted trees)", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "n_active_storms": 46, "top_probability": 0.4907, "source_artifacts": [ "/data/live-tornadoes.json", "/data/tornado-storms.geojson" ], "storms": [ { "storm_id": "44135", "lat": 33.0929, "lon": -93.8343, "motion_east": 10.5, "motion_south": 3.8, "valid_time": "20260429_170038 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.4907, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1640.0, "ebshear": 48.0, "srh01": 92.0, "maxllaz": 0.007, "mesh": 2.06, "flash_rate": 54.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 92.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 35.0109 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 4.2713 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.4999 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.007 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.4907 }, "coherence_score": 1.4999258518218994, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.4999258518218994, "grad_tau": 0.12457336485385895, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 4.27133846282959, "S_field": 0.3930785655975342, "Gamma_field": 0.19647379219532013, "S_over_Gamma": 2.000666618347168, "Da": 11.455678939819336, "E_coh": 0.5305445194244385, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -93.77, 33.23 ], [ -93.74, 33.23 ], [ -93.71, 33.19 ], [ -93.68, 33.18 ], [ -93.67, 33.17 ], [ -93.67, 33.14 ], [ -93.7, 33.11 ], [ -93.76, 33.11 ], [ -93.77, 33.12 ], [ -93.81, 33.12 ], [ -93.85, 33.07 ], [ -93.84, 32.97 ], [ -93.89, 32.93 ], [ -93.94, 32.93 ], [ -93.96, 32.94 ], [ -94.02, 33.01 ], [ -94.03, 33.03 ], [ -94.03, 33.06 ], [ -93.99, 33.09 ], [ -93.92, 33.09 ], [ -93.77, 33.23 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "44168", "lat": 33.2233, "lon": -96.8367, "motion_east": 9.1, "motion_south": -2.0, "valid_time": "20260429_170038 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.4718, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 2132.0, "ebshear": 48.0, "srh01": 111.0, "maxllaz": 0.005, "mesh": 0.16, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 111.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 23.5109 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 3.0331 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.6145 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.005 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.4718 }, "coherence_score": 1.614485502243042, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.614485502243042, "grad_tau": 0.06878488510847092, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 3.033139228820801, "S_field": 0.2797146141529083, "Gamma_field": 0.2306404560804367, "S_over_Gamma": 1.2127734422683716, "Da": 13.49573040008545, "E_coh": 0.4026375710964203, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -96.87, 33.26 ], [ -96.82, 33.26 ], [ -96.81, 33.25 ], [ -96.79, 33.25 ], [ -96.78, 33.23 ], [ -96.78, 33.19 ], [ -96.82, 33.18 ], [ -96.83, 33.17 ], [ -96.87, 33.18 ], [ -96.9, 33.21 ], [ -96.9, 33.24 ], [ -96.87, 33.26 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "44251", "lat": 40.6973, "lon": -77.5047, "motion_east": 9.1, "motion_south": -2.0, "valid_time": "20260429_170038 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.4674, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 219.0, "ebshear": 10.0, "srh01": 112.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 112.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 27.3859 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -5.7264 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.7836 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.4674 }, "coherence_score": 1.7835631370544434, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.7835631370544434, "grad_tau": 0.1173287034034729, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -5.726447105407715, "S_field": 0.5863035321235657, "Gamma_field": 0.15730713307857513, "S_over_Gamma": 3.727126121520996, "Da": 9.431706428527832, "E_coh": 0.38708093762397766, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": false } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -77.49, 40.76 ], [ -77.44, 40.75 ], [ -77.42, 40.72 ], [ -77.42, 40.69 ], [ -77.46, 40.67 ], [ -77.48, 40.68 ], [ -77.52, 40.63 ], [ -77.55, 40.63 ], [ -77.57, 40.64 ], [ -77.57, 40.67 ], [ -77.55, 40.68 ], [ -77.55, 40.71 ], [ -77.53, 40.73 ], [ -77.53, 40.74 ], [ -77.49, 40.76 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "44210", "lat": 38.235, "lon": -78.6693, "motion_east": 9.1, "motion_south": -2.0, "valid_time": "20260429_170038 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.461, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 163.0, "ebshear": 24.0, "srh01": 84.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 84.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 30.7609 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -2.9722 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.7312 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.461 }, "coherence_score": 1.7312183380126953, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.7312183380126953, "grad_tau": 0.12474625557661057, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -2.972203016281128, "S_field": 0.5007315278053284, "Gamma_field": 0.200640469789505, "S_over_Gamma": 2.4956655502319336, "Da": 12.230981826782227, "E_coh": 0.4015617370605469, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -78.68, 38.28 ], [ -78.65, 38.28 ], [ -78.62, 38.25 ], [ -78.61, 38.23 ], [ -78.61, 38.2 ], [ -78.62, 38.19 ], [ -78.66, 38.18 ], [ -78.67, 38.19 ], [ -78.71, 38.2 ], [ -78.73, 38.22 ], [ -78.73, 38.25 ], [ -78.71, 38.27 ], [ -78.69, 38.27 ], [ -78.68, 38.28 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "44021", "lat": 33.2567, "lon": -93.5227, "motion_east": 10.5, "motion_south": 3.8, "valid_time": "20260429_170038 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.4588, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1475.0, "ebshear": 47.0, "srh01": 77.0, "maxllaz": 0.006, "mesh": 0.86, "flash_rate": 35.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 77.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 35.0109 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 4.2713 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.4999 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.006 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.4588 }, "coherence_score": 1.4999258518218994, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.4999258518218994, "grad_tau": 0.12457336485385895, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 4.27133846282959, "S_field": 0.3930785655975342, "Gamma_field": 0.19647379219532013, "S_over_Gamma": 2.000666618347168, "Da": 11.455678939819336, "E_coh": 0.5305445194244385, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 5, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -93.53, 33.31 ], [ -93.48, 33.31 ], [ -93.47, 33.3 ], [ -93.45, 33.3 ], [ -93.42, 33.27 ], [ -93.42, 33.22 ], [ -93.44, 33.2 ], [ -93.55, 33.2 ], [ -93.56, 33.19 ], [ -93.62, 33.19 ], [ -93.63, 33.2 ], [ -93.63, 33.25 ], [ -93.57, 33.3 ], [ -93.54, 33.3 ], [ -93.53, 33.31 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "44166", "lat": 32.9838, "lon": -95.4157, "motion_east": 11.5, "motion_south": 2.3, "valid_time": "20260429_170038 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.4137, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 2071.0, "ebshear": 57.0, "srh01": 88.0, "maxllaz": 0.007, "mesh": 1.24, "flash_rate": 33.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 88.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 26.1359 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -2.3204 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.5824 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.007 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.4137 }, "coherence_score": 1.5823817253112793, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.5823817253112793, "grad_tau": 0.056945640593767166, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -2.320374011993408, "S_field": 0.2251516580581665, "Gamma_field": 0.2214737981557846, "S_over_Gamma": 1.016606330871582, "Da": 12.950202941894531, "E_coh": 0.5982346534729004, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -95.36, 33.04 ], [ -95.3, 33.04 ], [ -95.27, 33.01 ], [ -95.27, 32.94 ], [ -95.31, 32.91 ], [ -95.35, 32.91 ], [ -95.37, 32.93 ], [ -95.41, 32.95 ], [ -95.44, 32.98 ], [ -95.45, 32.98 ], [ -95.48, 32.95 ], [ -95.53, 32.95 ], [ -95.54, 32.96 ], [ -95.54, 32.99 ], [ -95.53, 33.0 ], [ -95.5, 33.0 ], [ -95.49, 33.01 ], [ -95.44, 33.01 ], [ -95.42, 33.03 ], [ -95.37, 33.03 ], [ -95.36, 33.04 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "44253", "lat": 31.0333, "lon": -96.0144, "motion_east": 9.1, "motion_south": -2.0, "valid_time": "20260429_170038 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.4118, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 2997.0, "ebshear": 52.0, "srh01": 34.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 34.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 39.1359 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -7.1132 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 2.2045 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.4118 }, "coherence_score": 2.2045321464538574, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 2.2045321464538574, "grad_tau": 0.9582358002662659, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -7.113167762756348, "S_field": 0.9875816106796265, "Gamma_field": 0.7806404829025269, "S_over_Gamma": 1.2650914192199707, "Da": 45.30098342895508, "E_coh": 0.7407736778259277, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": true, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -95.97, 31.07 ], [ -95.97, 31.03 ], [ -96.0, 31.0 ], [ -96.07, 30.97 ], [ -96.07, 31.01 ], [ -96.06, 31.03 ], [ -96.03, 31.06 ], [ -95.99, 31.06 ], [ -95.97, 31.07 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "44245", "lat": 40.93, "lon": -77.074, "motion_east": 9.1, "motion_south": -2.0, "valid_time": "20260429_170038 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.4068, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 154.0, "ebshear": 8.0, "srh01": 96.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 96.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 28.1359 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -6.5644 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.6706 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.4068 }, "coherence_score": 1.6706074476242065, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.6706074476242065, "grad_tau": 0.17885935306549072, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -6.564361572265625, "S_field": 0.3049338757991791, "Gamma_field": 0.1798071265220642, "S_over_Gamma": 1.6958942413330078, "Da": 10.498401641845703, "E_coh": 0.45577123761177063, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -77.09, 40.99 ], [ -77.05, 40.97 ], [ -77.02, 40.97 ], [ -77.02, 40.95 ], [ -77.0, 40.94 ], [ -77.0, 40.92 ], [ -77.05, 40.86 ], [ -77.08, 40.86 ], [ -77.1, 40.87 ], [ -77.12, 40.89 ], [ -77.12, 40.91 ], [ -77.13, 40.92 ], [ -77.13, 40.95 ], [ -77.11, 40.96 ], [ -77.09, 40.99 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "44257", "lat": 41.2643, "lon": -77.6586, "motion_east": 9.1, "motion_south": -2.0, "valid_time": "20260429_170038 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.4068, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 161.0, "ebshear": 11.0, "srh01": 104.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 104.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 28.1359 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -6.5644 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.6706 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.4068 }, "coherence_score": 1.6706074476242065, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.6706074476242065, "grad_tau": 0.17885935306549072, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -6.564361572265625, "S_field": 0.3049338757991791, "Gamma_field": 0.1798071265220642, "S_over_Gamma": 1.6958942413330078, "Da": 10.498401641845703, "E_coh": 0.45577123761177063, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -77.67, 41.29 ], [ -77.62, 41.29 ], [ -77.62, 41.24 ], [ -77.65, 41.22 ], [ -77.69, 41.24 ], [ -77.69, 41.28 ], [ -77.67, 41.29 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "44232", "lat": 33.3536, "lon": -95.6482, "motion_east": 10.6, "motion_south": 1.5, "valid_time": "20260429_170038 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.4049, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1542.0, "ebshear": 49.0, "srh01": 106.0, "maxllaz": 0.004, "mesh": 0.17, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 106.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 26.1359 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -2.3204 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.5824 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.004 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.4049 }, "coherence_score": 1.5823817253112793, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.5823817253112793, "grad_tau": 0.056945640593767166, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -2.320374011993408, "S_field": 0.2251516580581665, "Gamma_field": 0.2214737981557846, "S_over_Gamma": 1.016606330871582, "Da": 12.950202941894531, "E_coh": 0.5982346534729004, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -95.68, 33.4 ], [ -95.64, 33.4 ], [ -95.59, 33.36 ], [ -95.6, 33.34 ], [ -95.6, 33.31 ], [ -95.64, 33.31 ], [ -95.65, 33.32 ], [ -95.67, 33.32 ], [ -95.69, 33.34 ], [ -95.69, 33.39 ], [ -95.68, 33.4 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "44194", "lat": 33.2824, "lon": -95.3247, "motion_east": 10.8, "motion_south": 2.0, "valid_time": "20260429_170038 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.3971, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1398.0, "ebshear": 48.0, "srh01": 86.0, "maxllaz": 0.006, "mesh": 0.64, "flash_rate": 23.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 86.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 26.1359 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -2.3204 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.5824 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.006 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.3971 }, "coherence_score": 1.5823817253112793, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.5823817253112793, "grad_tau": 0.056945640593767166, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -2.320374011993408, "S_field": 0.2251516580581665, "Gamma_field": 0.2214737981557846, "S_over_Gamma": 1.016606330871582, "Da": 12.950202941894531, "E_coh": 0.5982346534729004, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -95.27, 33.34 ], [ -95.22, 33.34 ], [ -95.18, 33.31 ], [ -95.18, 33.27 ], [ -95.21, 33.24 ], [ -95.34, 33.24 ], [ -95.35, 33.23 ], [ -95.38, 33.23 ], [ -95.39, 33.22 ], [ -95.42, 33.22 ], [ -95.44, 33.24 ], [ -95.44, 33.28 ], [ -95.4, 33.32 ], [ -95.38, 33.32 ], [ -95.37, 33.33 ], [ -95.28, 33.33 ], [ -95.27, 33.34 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "44247", "lat": 40.4631, "lon": -81.98, "motion_east": 8.0, "motion_south": -8.0, "valid_time": "20260429_170038 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.3971, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 15.0, "ebshear": 15.0, "srh01": 99.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 99.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 19.1359 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -1.2498 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.7013 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.3971 }, "coherence_score": 1.7012591361999512, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.7012591361999512, "grad_tau": 0.12268256396055222, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -1.2498239278793335, "S_field": 0.2773781418800354, "Gamma_field": 0.19397379457950592, "S_over_Gamma": 1.4299774169921875, "Da": 11.237349510192871, "E_coh": 0.32978782057762146, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -82.0, 40.55 ], [ -81.96, 40.55 ], [ -81.91, 40.52 ], [ -81.91, 40.47 ], [ -81.95, 40.43 ], [ -81.94, 40.41 ], [ -81.95, 40.37 ], [ -82.0, 40.37 ], [ -82.02, 40.39 ], [ -82.02, 40.43 ], [ -82.04, 40.46 ], [ -82.04, 40.52 ], [ -82.0, 40.55 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "44224", "lat": 40.3225, "lon": -81.83, "motion_east": 8.2, "motion_south": -7.0, "valid_time": "20260429_170038 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.3824, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 37.0, "ebshear": 13.0, "srh01": 92.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 92.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 19.1359 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -1.2498 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.7013 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.3824 }, "coherence_score": 1.7012591361999512, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.7012591361999512, "grad_tau": 0.12268256396055222, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -1.2498239278793335, "S_field": 0.2773781418800354, "Gamma_field": 0.19397379457950592, "S_over_Gamma": 1.4299774169921875, "Da": 11.237349510192871, "E_coh": 0.32978782057762146, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -81.87, 40.39 ], [ -81.81, 40.38 ], [ -81.79, 40.36 ], [ -81.79, 40.33 ], [ -81.78, 40.32 ], [ -81.78, 40.25 ], [ -81.79, 40.24 ], [ -81.83, 40.24 ], [ -81.87, 40.28 ], [ -81.89, 40.32 ], [ -81.89, 40.37 ], [ -81.87, 40.39 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "44233", "lat": 31.8722, "lon": -99.5944, "motion_east": 9.1, "motion_south": -2.0, "valid_time": "20260429_170038 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.3706, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1831.0, "ebshear": 53.0, "srh01": 154.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.11, "flash_rate": 1.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 154.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 22.6359 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 11.407 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.8203 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.3706 }, "coherence_score": 1.820254921913147, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.820254921913147, "grad_tau": 0.23662018775939941, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 11.407034873962402, "S_field": 0.40498507022857666, "Gamma_field": 0.2256404608488083, "S_over_Gamma": 1.7948247194290161, "Da": 13.296034812927246, "E_coh": 0.3561190366744995, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -99.61, 31.91 ], [ -99.58, 31.91 ], [ -99.55, 31.88 ], [ -99.55, 31.85 ], [ -99.57, 31.83 ], [ -99.62, 31.83 ], [ -99.63, 31.84 ], [ -99.63, 31.89 ], [ -99.61, 31.91 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "44097", "lat": 40.4123, "lon": -82.1715, "motion_east": 8.0, "motion_south": -7.0, "valid_time": "20260429_170038 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.3705, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 22.0, "ebshear": 16.0, "srh01": 82.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 82.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 19.1359 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -1.2498 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.7013 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.3705 }, "coherence_score": 1.7012591361999512, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.7012591361999512, "grad_tau": 0.12268256396055222, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -1.2498239278793335, "S_field": 0.2773781418800354, "Gamma_field": 0.19397379457950592, "S_over_Gamma": 1.4299774169921875, "Da": 11.237349510192871, "E_coh": 0.32978782057762146, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 3, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -82.16, 40.48 ], [ -82.13, 40.47 ], [ -82.11, 40.45 ], [ -82.11, 40.41 ], [ -82.13, 40.39 ], [ -82.13, 40.38 ], [ -82.14, 40.38 ], [ -82.18, 40.35 ], [ -82.24, 40.35 ], [ -82.26, 40.36 ], [ -82.26, 40.41 ], [ -82.22, 40.45 ], [ -82.16, 40.48 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "44252", "lat": 32.504, "lon": -99.483, "motion_east": 9.1, "motion_south": -2.0, "valid_time": "20260429_170038 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.3682, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 921.0, "ebshear": 46.0, "srh01": 93.0, "maxllaz": 0.0, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 93.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 21.5109 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 1.1592 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.7618 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.0 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.3682 }, "coherence_score": 1.761836290359497, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.761836290359497, "grad_tau": 0.083088219165802, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 1.15924072265625, "S_field": 0.5136488676071167, "Gamma_field": 0.23397378623485565, "S_over_Gamma": 2.195326566696167, "Da": 13.679826736450195, "E_coh": 0.5641669034957886, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -99.48, 32.54 ], [ -99.44, 32.54 ], [ -99.44, 32.48 ], [ -99.47, 32.46 ], [ -99.52, 32.46 ], [ -99.52, 32.51 ], [ -99.51, 32.5 ], [ -99.49, 32.5 ], [ -99.48, 32.51 ], [ -99.48, 32.54 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "44156", "lat": 33.2494, "lon": -94.7519, "motion_east": 11.1, "motion_south": 1.8, "valid_time": "20260429_170038 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.3659, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1685.0, "ebshear": 48.0, "srh01": 80.0, "maxllaz": 0.005, "mesh": 0.19, "flash_rate": 8.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 80.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 32.5109 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 1.8273 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.5784 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.005 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.3659 }, "coherence_score": 1.578359842300415, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.578359842300415, "grad_tau": 0.0703965574502945, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 1.8273015022277832, "S_field": 0.2549533545970917, "Gamma_field": 0.19980712234973907, "S_over_Gamma": 1.275997281074524, "Da": 11.782045364379883, "E_coh": 0.34776413440704346, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -94.84, 33.31 ], [ -94.76, 33.31 ], [ -94.75, 33.3 ], [ -94.7, 33.3 ], [ -94.66, 33.28 ], [ -94.64, 33.26 ], [ -94.64, 33.19 ], [ -94.67, 33.16 ], [ -94.69, 33.16 ], [ -94.73, 33.2 ], [ -94.77, 33.22 ], [ -94.81, 33.22 ], [ -94.83, 33.23 ], [ -94.85, 33.25 ], [ -94.85, 33.29 ], [ -94.84, 33.31 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "44209", "lat": 42.0573, "lon": -80.9555, "motion_east": 9.1, "motion_south": -2.0, "valid_time": "20260429_170038 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.3354, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 26.0, "ebshear": 13.0, "srh01": 82.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 82.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 17.7609 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -1.188 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.6343 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.3354 }, "coherence_score": 1.6342828273773193, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.6342828273773193, "grad_tau": 0.16939949989318848, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -1.1879682540893555, "S_field": 0.28973129391670227, "Gamma_field": 0.17647379636764526, "S_over_Gamma": 1.6417808532714844, "Da": 10.547501564025879, "E_coh": 0.34318214654922485, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -80.92, 42.1 ], [ -80.91, 42.09 ], [ -80.91, 42.05 ], [ -80.97, 42.0 ], [ -81.01, 42.0 ], [ -81.01, 42.02 ], [ -80.99, 42.04 ], [ -80.99, 42.05 ], [ -80.95, 42.09 ], [ -80.93, 42.09 ], [ -80.92, 42.1 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "44259", "lat": 40.357, "lon": -82.41, "motion_east": 9.1, "motion_south": -2.0, "valid_time": "20260429_170038 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.3348, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 20.0, "ebshear": 12.0, "srh01": 68.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 68.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 19.1359 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -1.2498 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.7013 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.3348 }, "coherence_score": 1.7012591361999512, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.7012591361999512, "grad_tau": 0.12268256396055222, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -1.2498239278793335, "S_field": 0.2773781418800354, "Gamma_field": 0.19397379457950592, "S_over_Gamma": 1.4299774169921875, "Da": 11.237349510192871, "E_coh": 0.32978782057762146, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -82.44, 40.39 ], [ -82.39, 40.39 ], [ -82.39, 40.38 ], [ -82.37, 40.36 ], [ -82.37, 40.32 ], [ -82.38, 40.31 ], [ -82.42, 40.31 ], [ -82.45, 40.34 ], [ -82.45, 40.38 ], [ -82.44, 40.39 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "44236", "lat": 32.5017, "lon": -90.8175, "motion_east": 9.5, "motion_south": -1.0, "valid_time": "20260429_170038 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.3304, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 2601.0, "ebshear": 44.0, "srh01": 48.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.11, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 48.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 42.6359 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -1.803 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.8644 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.3304 }, "coherence_score": 1.8643815517425537, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.8643815517425537, "grad_tau": 0.8009417057037354, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -1.8029943704605103, "S_field": 1.1473983526229858, "Gamma_field": 0.2123071253299713, "S_over_Gamma": 5.4044270515441895, "Da": 12.425821304321289, "E_coh": 0.8434193134307861, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": true, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -90.79, 32.54 ], [ -90.78, 32.53 ], [ -90.75, 32.53 ], [ -90.75, 32.48 ], [ -90.81, 32.45 ], [ -90.85, 32.45 ], [ -90.86, 32.46 ], [ -90.86, 32.49 ], [ -90.88, 32.51 ], [ -90.86, 32.52 ], [ -90.83, 32.52 ], [ -90.79, 32.54 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "44176", "lat": 42.6231, "lon": -78.9814, "motion_east": 7.6, "motion_south": -7.0, "valid_time": "20260429_170038 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.3202, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 42.0, "ebshear": 20.0, "srh01": 138.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 138.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 17.7609 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -2.7698 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.5977 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.3202 }, "coherence_score": 1.5976558923721313, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.5976558923721313, "grad_tau": 0.16646218299865723, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -2.7697813510894775, "S_field": 0.3354737460613251, "Gamma_field": 0.17814046144485474, "S_over_Gamma": 1.8831979036331177, "Da": 10.30950927734375, "E_coh": 0.32742297649383545, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -78.85, 42.78 ], [ -78.79, 42.78 ], [ -78.77, 42.77 ], [ -78.71, 42.71 ], [ -78.71, 42.69 ], [ -78.74, 42.66 ], [ -78.81, 42.66 ], [ -78.82, 42.65 ], [ -78.87, 42.64 ], [ -78.89, 42.62 ], [ -78.93, 42.6 ], [ -78.96, 42.57 ], [ -79.0, 42.57 ], [ -79.02, 42.55 ], [ -79.04, 42.55 ], [ -79.08, 42.53 ], [ -79.11, 42.53 ], [ -79.13, 42.52 ], [ -79.17, 42.47 ], [ -79.19, 42.46 ], [ -79.2, 42.47 ], [ -79.2, 42.51 ], [ -79.19, 42.52 ], [ -79.16, 42.52 ], [ -79.13, 42.55 ], [ -79.13, 42.57 ], [ -79.11, 42.61 ], [ -79.08, 42.64 ], [ -79.07, 42.64 ], [ -79.01, 42.69 ], [ -78.97, 42.7 ], [ -78.91, 42.76 ], [ -78.89, 42.77 ], [ -78.86, 42.77 ], [ -78.85, 42.78 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "44223", "lat": 41.16, "lon": -80.8544, "motion_east": 9.1, "motion_south": -2.0, "valid_time": "20260429_170038 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.3125, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 34.0, "ebshear": 14.0, "srh01": 113.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 113.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 20.7609 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -4.9178 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.7648 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.3125 }, "coherence_score": 1.7648359537124634, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.7648359537124634, "grad_tau": 0.12859193980693817, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -4.917806148529053, "S_field": 0.44069409370422363, "Gamma_field": 0.17147380113601685, "S_over_Gamma": 2.570037364959717, "Da": 10.084416389465332, "E_coh": 0.43188798427581787, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -80.87, 41.19 ], [ -80.83, 41.19 ], [ -80.82, 41.18 ], [ -80.82, 41.14 ], [ -80.85, 41.12 ], [ -80.87, 41.12 ], [ -80.88, 41.13 ], [ -80.88, 41.18 ], [ -80.87, 41.19 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "44246", "lat": 40.896, "lon": -80.89, "motion_east": 9.1, "motion_south": -2.0, "valid_time": "20260429_170038 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.3108, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 89.0, "ebshear": 25.0, "srh01": 109.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 109.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 20.7609 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -4.9178 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.7648 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.3108 }, "coherence_score": 1.7648359537124634, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.7648359537124634, "grad_tau": 0.12859193980693817, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -4.917806148529053, "S_field": 0.44069409370422363, "Gamma_field": 0.17147380113601685, "S_over_Gamma": 2.570037364959717, "Da": 10.084416389465332, "E_coh": 0.43188798427581787, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -80.89, 40.93 ], [ -80.86, 40.93 ], [ -80.85, 40.92 ], [ -80.85, 40.88 ], [ -80.87, 40.86 ], [ -80.92, 40.86 ], [ -80.93, 40.87 ], [ -80.92, 40.88 ], [ -80.92, 40.9 ], [ -80.89, 40.93 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "44229", "lat": 41.155, "lon": -81.11, "motion_east": 9.1, "motion_south": -2.0, "valid_time": "20260429_170038 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.2988, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 7.0, "ebshear": 9.0, "srh01": 107.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 107.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 20.7609 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -4.9178 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.7648 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.2988 }, "coherence_score": 1.7648359537124634, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.7648359537124634, "grad_tau": 0.12859193980693817, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -4.917806148529053, "S_field": 0.44069409370422363, "Gamma_field": 0.17147380113601685, "S_over_Gamma": 2.570037364959717, "Da": 10.084416389465332, "E_coh": 0.43188798427581787, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -81.08, 41.2 ], [ -81.07, 41.19 ], [ -81.08, 41.13 ], [ -81.12, 41.1 ], [ -81.15, 41.1 ], [ -81.16, 41.11 ], [ -81.16, 41.14 ], [ -81.11, 41.19 ], [ -81.09, 41.19 ], [ -81.08, 41.2 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "44242", "lat": 42.035, "lon": -78.0741, "motion_east": 4.5, "motion_south": -7.0, "valid_time": "20260429_170038 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.2906, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 119.0, "ebshear": 12.0, "srh01": 86.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 86.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 25.0109 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -5.0791 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.7153 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.2906 }, "coherence_score": 1.7152897119522095, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.7152897119522095, "grad_tau": 0.1459619700908661, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -5.079072952270508, "S_field": 0.44475048780441284, "Gamma_field": 0.1539738029241562, "S_over_Gamma": 2.888481616973877, "Da": 9.25582504272461, "E_coh": 0.44257497787475586, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": false } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -77.97, 42.11 ], [ -77.93, 42.11 ], [ -77.89, 42.08 ], [ -77.89, 42.03 ], [ -77.91, 42.01 ], [ -77.94, 42.01 ], [ -77.95, 42.0 ], [ -78.02, 42.0 ], [ -78.08, 41.97 ], [ -78.16, 41.97 ], [ -78.17, 41.98 ], [ -78.2, 41.98 ], [ -78.21, 41.99 ], [ -78.24, 41.99 ], [ -78.26, 42.0 ], [ -78.26, 42.06 ], [ -78.24, 42.06 ], [ -78.23, 42.07 ], [ -78.06, 42.07 ], [ -78.05, 42.08 ], [ -78.0, 42.09 ], [ -77.97, 42.11 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "44163", "lat": 41.4382, "lon": -81.0445, "motion_east": 9.1, "motion_south": -2.0, "valid_time": "20260429_170038 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.2861, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 11.0, "ebshear": 13.0, "srh01": 82.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 82.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 20.7609 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -4.9178 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.7648 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.2861 }, "coherence_score": 1.7648359537124634, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.7648359537124634, "grad_tau": 0.12859193980693817, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -4.917806148529053, "S_field": 0.44069409370422363, "Gamma_field": 0.17147380113601685, "S_over_Gamma": 2.570037364959717, "Da": 10.084416389465332, "E_coh": 0.43188798427581787, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -81.08, 41.47 ], [ -81.01, 41.47 ], [ -80.99, 41.46 ], [ -80.99, 41.42 ], [ -81.0, 41.42 ], [ -81.02, 41.4 ], [ -81.06, 41.39 ], [ -81.08, 41.42 ], [ -81.08, 41.44 ], [ -81.1, 41.46 ], [ -81.08, 41.47 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "44220", "lat": 32.3792, "lon": -90.9515, "motion_east": 11.0, "motion_south": 1.1, "valid_time": "20260429_170038 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.2801, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 2759.0, "ebshear": 41.0, "srh01": 45.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.07, "flash_rate": 1.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 45.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 42.6359 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -1.803 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.8644 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.2801 }, "coherence_score": 1.8643815517425537, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.8643815517425537, "grad_tau": 0.8009417057037354, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -1.8029943704605103, "S_field": 1.1473983526229858, "Gamma_field": 0.2123071253299713, "S_over_Gamma": 5.4044270515441895, "Da": 12.425821304321289, "E_coh": 0.8434193134307861, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": true, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -90.97, 32.43 ], [ -90.93, 32.42 ], [ -90.93, 32.4 ], [ -90.88, 32.36 ], [ -90.88, 32.31 ], [ -90.91, 32.31 ], [ -90.91, 32.33 ], [ -90.94, 32.35 ], [ -91.03, 32.35 ], [ -91.03, 32.4 ], [ -91.01, 32.42 ], [ -90.98, 32.42 ], [ -90.97, 32.43 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "44243", "lat": 41.8229, "lon": -78.275, "motion_east": 4.9, "motion_south": -5.0, "valid_time": "20260429_170038 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.2562, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 97.0, "ebshear": 14.0, "srh01": 90.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 90.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 25.0109 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -5.0791 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.7153 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.2562 }, "coherence_score": 1.7152897119522095, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.7152897119522095, "grad_tau": 0.1459619700908661, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -5.079072952270508, "S_field": 0.44475048780441284, "Gamma_field": 0.1539738029241562, "S_over_Gamma": 2.888481616973877, "Da": 9.25582504272461, "E_coh": 0.44257497787475586, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": false } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -78.29, 41.92 ], [ -78.24, 41.87 ], [ -78.23, 41.87 ], [ -78.2, 41.83 ], [ -78.19, 41.79 ], [ -78.21, 41.75 ], [ -78.26, 41.75 ], [ -78.27, 41.76 ], [ -78.29, 41.76 ], [ -78.31, 41.77 ], [ -78.35, 41.81 ], [ -78.36, 41.83 ], [ -78.36, 41.89 ], [ -78.29, 41.92 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "44258", "lat": 40.4387, "lon": -81.705, "motion_east": 8.5, "motion_south": -5.0, "valid_time": "20260429_170038 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.2448, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 27.0, "ebshear": 14.0, "srh01": 99.0, "maxllaz": 0.0, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 99.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 22.3859 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -0.8704 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.8087 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.0 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.2448 }, "coherence_score": 1.808685064315796, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.808685064315796, "grad_tau": 0.07691840082406998, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -0.8704038262367249, "S_field": 0.37316519021987915, "Gamma_field": 0.16397379338741302, "S_over_Gamma": 2.275761127471924, "Da": 9.611464500427246, "E_coh": 0.1024274230003357, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": false } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -81.72, 40.47 ], [ -81.69, 40.47 ], [ -81.66, 40.44 ], [ -81.67, 40.4 ], [ -81.72, 40.4 ], [ -81.73, 40.41 ], [ -81.73, 40.45 ], [ -81.72, 40.47 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "44182", "lat": 38.2169, "lon": -81.7237, "motion_east": 8.2, "motion_south": -6.0, "valid_time": "20260429_170038 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.211, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 839.0, "ebshear": 34.0, "srh01": 43.0, "maxllaz": 0.005, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 43.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 29.5109 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -2.4925 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.7819 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.005 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.211 }, "coherence_score": 1.781944751739502, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.781944751739502, "grad_tau": 0.06606806814670563, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -2.4924564361572266, "S_field": 0.2993015944957733, "Gamma_field": 0.39814049005508423, "S_over_Gamma": 0.7517486810684204, "Da": 22.626651763916016, "E_coh": 0.17202956974506378, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -81.73, 38.27 ], [ -81.72, 38.26 ], [ -81.65, 38.26 ], [ -81.61, 38.24 ], [ -81.61, 38.2 ], [ -81.64, 38.17 ], [ -81.7, 38.16 ], [ -81.71, 38.15 ], [ -81.77, 38.15 ], [ -81.79, 38.16 ], [ -81.81, 38.18 ], [ -81.81, 38.23 ], [ -81.79, 38.25 ], [ -81.77, 38.26 ], [ -81.74, 38.26 ], [ -81.73, 38.27 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "44175", "lat": 33.7567, "lon": -93.5967, "motion_east": 10.7, "motion_south": 1.8, "valid_time": "20260429_170038 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.205, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1356.0, "ebshear": 37.0, "srh01": 51.0, "maxllaz": 0.005, "mesh": 0.63, "flash_rate": 16.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 51.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 23.0109 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 6.6893 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.5337 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.005 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.205 }, "coherence_score": 1.5336512327194214, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.5336512327194214, "grad_tau": 0.057170212268829346, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 6.689273357391357, "S_field": 0.3156060576438904, "Gamma_field": 0.19647379219532013, "S_over_Gamma": 1.6063519716262817, "Da": 11.727508544921875, "E_coh": 0.35458502173423767, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -93.64, 33.83 ], [ -93.6, 33.83 ], [ -93.53, 33.79 ], [ -93.49, 33.75 ], [ -93.49, 33.71 ], [ -93.51, 33.69 ], [ -93.53, 33.69 ], [ -93.54, 33.68 ], [ -93.62, 33.7 ], [ -93.66, 33.74 ], [ -93.67, 33.74 ], [ -93.67, 33.78 ], [ -93.68, 33.79 ], [ -93.68, 33.8 ], [ -93.64, 33.83 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "44207", "lat": 32.329, "lon": -91.28, "motion_east": 11.4, "motion_south": 1.8, "valid_time": "20260429_170038 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.2045, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 3049.0, "ebshear": 41.0, "srh01": 41.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.09, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 41.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 38.0109 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -2.1762 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.2759 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.003 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.2045 }, "coherence_score": 1.2759166955947876, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.2759166955947876, "grad_tau": 0.5717906951904297, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -2.1762027740478516, "S_field": 0.41132915019989014, "Gamma_field": 1.7114737033843994, "S_over_Gamma": 0.24033623933792114, "Da": 99.57987976074219, "E_coh": 0.42855769395828247, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": true, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -91.3, 32.36 ], [ -91.26, 32.36 ], [ -91.25, 32.35 ], [ -91.26, 32.33 ], [ -91.25, 32.3 ], [ -91.26, 32.29 ], [ -91.3, 32.29 ], [ -91.31, 32.3 ], [ -91.31, 32.35 ], [ -91.3, 32.36 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "44231", "lat": 33.57, "lon": -95.195, "motion_east": 10.5, "motion_south": 1.6, "valid_time": "20260429_170038 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.2043, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1472.0, "ebshear": 44.0, "srh01": 42.0, "maxllaz": 0.005, "mesh": 0.34, "flash_rate": 1.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 42.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 26.1359 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -2.3204 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.5824 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.005 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.2043 }, "coherence_score": 1.5823817253112793, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.5823817253112793, "grad_tau": 0.056945640593767166, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -2.320374011993408, "S_field": 0.2251516580581665, "Gamma_field": 0.2214737981557846, "S_over_Gamma": 1.016606330871582, "Da": 12.950202941894531, "E_coh": 0.5982346534729004, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -95.19, 33.61 ], [ -95.16, 33.58 ], [ -95.16, 33.55 ], [ -95.19, 33.53 ], [ -95.21, 33.53 ], [ -95.23, 33.55 ], [ -95.23, 33.6 ], [ -95.19, 33.61 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "44180", "lat": 41.9395, "lon": -79.1884, "motion_east": 6.1, "motion_south": -5.0, "valid_time": "20260429_170038 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.2019, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 116.0, "ebshear": 37.0, "srh01": 56.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 56.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 22.2609 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -5.4163 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.7561 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.2019 }, "coherence_score": 1.7560644149780273, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.7560644149780273, "grad_tau": 0.11110908538103104, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -5.416317462921143, "S_field": 0.4246959090232849, "Gamma_field": 0.15000000596046448, "S_over_Gamma": 2.831305980682373, "Da": 8.912188529968262, "E_coh": 0.4328252077102661, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": false } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -79.25, 42.02 ], [ -79.14, 42.02 ], [ -79.12, 42.01 ], [ -79.09, 41.98 ], [ -79.09, 41.95 ], [ -79.08, 41.94 ], [ -79.09, 41.9 ], [ -79.13, 41.86 ], [ -79.14, 41.87 ], [ -79.15, 41.86 ], [ -79.23, 41.87 ], [ -79.24, 41.88 ], [ -79.24, 41.9 ], [ -79.26, 41.91 ], [ -79.26, 41.94 ], [ -79.27, 41.95 ], [ -79.27, 41.98 ], [ -79.28, 41.99 ], [ -79.25, 42.02 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "44098", "lat": 38.4389, "lon": -81.3021, "motion_east": 7.7, "motion_south": -7.0, "valid_time": "20260429_170038 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.1891, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 789.0, "ebshear": 30.0, "srh01": 46.0, "maxllaz": 0.004, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 46.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 29.5109 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -2.4925 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.7819 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.004 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1891 }, "coherence_score": 1.781944751739502, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.781944751739502, "grad_tau": 0.06606806814670563, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -2.4924564361572266, "S_field": 0.2993015944957733, "Gamma_field": 0.39814049005508423, "S_over_Gamma": 0.7517486810684204, "Da": 22.626651763916016, "E_coh": 0.17202956974506378, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 3, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -81.17, 38.5 ], [ -81.16, 38.49 ], [ -81.13, 38.49 ], [ -81.12, 38.48 ], [ -81.12, 38.44 ], [ -81.13, 38.43 ], [ -81.15, 38.43 ], [ -81.16, 38.42 ], [ -81.27, 38.42 ], [ -81.3, 38.44 ], [ -81.32, 38.44 ], [ -81.33, 38.43 ], [ -81.35, 38.43 ], [ -81.37, 38.41 ], [ -81.39, 38.37 ], [ -81.41, 38.36 ], [ -81.45, 38.36 ], [ -81.46, 38.37 ], [ -81.46, 38.41 ], [ -81.45, 38.42 ], [ -81.46, 38.43 ], [ -81.44, 38.45 ], [ -81.41, 38.45 ], [ -81.39, 38.47 ], [ -81.37, 38.47 ], [ -81.34, 38.49 ], [ -81.18, 38.49 ], [ -81.17, 38.5 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "44261", "lat": 38.4156, "lon": -81.6056, "motion_east": 8.2, "motion_south": -6.0, "valid_time": "20260429_170038 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.1767, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 571.0, "ebshear": 34.0, "srh01": 38.0, "maxllaz": 0.004, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 38.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 29.5109 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -2.4925 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.7819 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.004 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1767 }, "coherence_score": 1.781944751739502, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.781944751739502, "grad_tau": 0.06606806814670563, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -2.4924564361572266, "S_field": 0.2993015944957733, "Gamma_field": 0.39814049005508423, "S_over_Gamma": 0.7517486810684204, "Da": 22.626651763916016, "E_coh": 0.17202956974506378, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -81.62, 38.45 ], [ -81.58, 38.44 ], [ -81.58, 38.41 ], [ -81.57, 38.4 ], [ -81.58, 38.38 ], [ -81.62, 38.38 ], [ -81.64, 38.4 ], [ -81.64, 38.43 ], [ -81.62, 38.45 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "44221", "lat": 32.2829, "lon": -91.5371, "motion_east": 11.3, "motion_south": 1.7, "valid_time": "20260429_170038 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.1587, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 3000.0, "ebshear": 42.0, "srh01": 33.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.24, "flash_rate": 2.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 33.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 38.0109 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -2.1762 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.2759 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1587 }, "coherence_score": 1.2759166955947876, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.2759166955947876, "grad_tau": 0.5717906951904297, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -2.1762027740478516, "S_field": 0.41132915019989014, "Gamma_field": 1.7114737033843994, "S_over_Gamma": 0.24033623933792114, "Da": 99.57987976074219, "E_coh": 0.42855769395828247, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": true, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -91.54, 32.32 ], [ -91.51, 32.3 ], [ -91.51, 32.26 ], [ -91.52, 32.24 ], [ -91.57, 32.24 ], [ -91.57, 32.3 ], [ -91.54, 32.32 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "44238", "lat": 39.4275, "lon": -81.7767, "motion_east": 9.1, "motion_south": -2.0, "valid_time": "20260429_170038 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.1562, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 653.0, "ebshear": 42.0, "srh01": 35.0, "maxllaz": 0.004, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 35.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 21.6359 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 4.418 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.7635 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.004 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1562 }, "coherence_score": 1.763488531112671, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.763488531112671, "grad_tau": 0.09063154458999634, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 4.417983531951904, "S_field": 0.30856698751449585, "Gamma_field": 0.1631404608488083, "S_over_Gamma": 1.8914191722869873, "Da": 9.137214660644531, "E_coh": 0.09062281250953674, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": false } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -81.75, 39.47 ], [ -81.73, 39.47 ], [ -81.73, 39.43 ], [ -81.75, 39.41 ], [ -81.75, 39.4 ], [ -81.78, 39.38 ], [ -81.82, 39.38 ], [ -81.83, 39.39 ], [ -81.83, 39.43 ], [ -81.81, 39.45 ], [ -81.79, 39.45 ], [ -81.75, 39.47 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "44219", "lat": 38.2736, "lon": -82.0179, "motion_east": 8.6, "motion_south": -4.0, "valid_time": "20260429_170038 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.144, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 557.0, "ebshear": 34.0, "srh01": 41.0, "maxllaz": 0.005, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 41.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 28.6359 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -0.8893 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.8379 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.005 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.144 }, "coherence_score": 1.8378641605377197, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.8378641605377197, "grad_tau": 0.07789532095193863, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -0.8892804980278015, "S_field": 0.26362326741218567, "Gamma_field": 0.1656404584646225, "S_over_Gamma": 1.5915391445159912, "Da": 9.751291275024414, "E_coh": 0.21713119745254517, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": false } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -82.1, 38.33 ], [ -82.09, 38.32 ], [ -82.08, 38.34 ], [ -82.06, 38.32 ], [ -82.0, 38.31 ], [ -81.94, 38.28 ], [ -81.92, 38.26 ], [ -81.91, 38.22 ], [ -81.94, 38.2 ], [ -81.99, 38.2 ], [ -82.0, 38.21 ], [ -82.02, 38.21 ], [ -82.1, 38.3 ], [ -82.1, 38.33 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "44254", "lat": 45.519, "lon": -98.723, "motion_east": 9.1, "motion_south": -2.0, "valid_time": "20260429_170038 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.1425, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 39.0, "ebshear": 13.0, "srh01": 59.0, "maxllaz": 0.004, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 59.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 6.8859 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 4.7113 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.5521 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.004 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1425 }, "coherence_score": 0.552129864692688, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.552129864692688, "grad_tau": 0.060442350804805756, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 4.711285591125488, "S_field": 0.1398610770702362, "Gamma_field": 0.2881404757499695, "S_over_Gamma": 0.4853919744491577, "Da": 16.528940200805664, "E_coh": 0.29567015171051025, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -98.74, 45.55 ], [ -98.72, 45.55 ], [ -98.7, 45.53 ], [ -98.69, 45.53 ], [ -98.69, 45.49 ], [ -98.71, 45.48 ], [ -98.74, 45.48 ], [ -98.75, 45.49 ], [ -98.75, 45.54 ], [ -98.74, 45.55 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "44255", "lat": 43.14, "lon": -86.16, "motion_east": 9.1, "motion_south": -2.0, "valid_time": "20260429_170038 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.1341, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 10.0, "ebshear": 5.0, "srh01": 51.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 51.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 13.3859 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 0.9473 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.116 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1341 }, "coherence_score": 1.1159768104553223, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.1159768104553223, "grad_tau": 0.13100996613502502, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.9472959041595459, "S_field": 0.17334061861038208, "Gamma_field": 0.1656404584646225, "S_over_Gamma": 1.0464872121810913, "Da": 10.105169296264648, "E_coh": 0.02926497720181942, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -86.17, 43.17 ], [ -86.14, 43.17 ], [ -86.13, 43.15 ], [ -86.13, 43.12 ], [ -86.15, 43.1 ], [ -86.17, 43.1 ], [ -86.19, 43.12 ], [ -86.19, 43.16 ], [ -86.17, 43.17 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "44256", "lat": 42.2362, "lon": -85.9375, "motion_east": 9.1, "motion_south": -2.0, "valid_time": "20260429_170038 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0754, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 95.0, "ebshear": 12.0, "srh01": 7.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 7.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 14.5109 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 3.8678 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.2985 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0754 }, "coherence_score": 1.298546552658081, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.298546552658081, "grad_tau": 0.11454829573631287, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 3.867760181427002, "S_field": 0.28680098056793213, "Gamma_field": 0.19064046442508698, "S_over_Gamma": 1.5044076442718506, "Da": 11.412625312805176, "E_coh": 0.38422340154647827, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -85.93, 42.27 ], [ -85.91, 42.25 ], [ -85.91, 42.22 ], [ -85.93, 42.2 ], [ -85.95, 42.2 ], [ -85.97, 42.22 ], [ -85.97, 42.26 ], [ -85.93, 42.27 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "44249", "lat": 42.89, "lon": -85.7258, "motion_east": 9.1, "motion_south": -2.0, "valid_time": "20260429_170038 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0623, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 30.0, "ebshear": 9.0, "srh01": 17.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 17.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 14.0109 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 0.1004 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.2187 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0623 }, "coherence_score": 1.2186750173568726, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.2186750173568726, "grad_tau": 0.12737663090229034, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.10039821267127991, "S_field": 0.21152949333190918, "Gamma_field": 0.17730712890625, "S_over_Gamma": 1.19301176071167, "Da": 10.738051414489746, "E_coh": 0.11812485009431839, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -85.72, 42.92 ], [ -85.7, 42.92 ], [ -85.68, 42.9 ], [ -85.68, 42.86 ], [ -85.7, 42.86 ], [ -85.71, 42.85 ], [ -85.75, 42.85 ], [ -85.78, 42.88 ], [ -85.78, 42.9 ], [ -85.76, 42.91 ], [ -85.73, 42.91 ], [ -85.72, 42.92 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "44240", "lat": 47.7367, "lon": -95.9467, "motion_east": 9.1, "motion_south": -2.0, "valid_time": "20260429_170038 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0591, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 0.0, "ebshear": 0.0, "srh01": 25.0, "maxllaz": 0.0, "mesh": 0.21, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 25.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 6.3859 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 4.0117 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.404 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.0 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0591 }, "coherence_score": 0.40398359298706055, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.40398359298706055, "grad_tau": 0.13085679709911346, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 4.0117411613464355, "S_field": 0.13873566687107086, "Gamma_field": 0.2581404745578766, "S_over_Gamma": 0.5374425053596497, "Da": 15.323099136352539, "E_coh": 0.3149077594280243, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -96.03, 47.82 ], [ -95.95, 47.82 ], [ -95.88, 47.77 ], [ -95.82, 47.74 ], [ -95.82, 47.66 ], [ -95.91, 47.66 ], [ -95.93, 47.68 ], [ -95.96, 47.69 ], [ -95.98, 47.71 ], [ -96.02, 47.73 ], [ -96.03, 47.74 ], [ -96.03, 47.82 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "44157", "lat": 39.6627, "lon": -101.8791, "motion_east": 9.1, "motion_south": -2.0, "valid_time": "20260429_170038 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0558, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 12.0, "ebshear": 7.0, "srh01": 5.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 5.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 5.0109 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 1.6586 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.833 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0558 }, "coherence_score": 0.8329648375511169, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.8329648375511169, "grad_tau": 0.15164589881896973, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 1.6585842370986938, "S_field": 0.1464242935180664, "Gamma_field": 0.31314048171043396, "S_over_Gamma": 0.46759936213493347, "Da": 17.33870506286621, "E_coh": 0.3864084780216217, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -101.92, 39.7 ], [ -101.86, 39.7 ], [ -101.84, 39.68 ], [ -101.84, 39.66 ], [ -101.83, 39.65 ], [ -101.84, 39.63 ], [ -101.85, 39.62 ], [ -101.91, 39.62 ], [ -101.93, 39.64 ], [ -101.93, 39.69 ], [ -101.92, 39.7 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "44260", "lat": 39.6238, "lon": -102.0438, "motion_east": 9.1, "motion_south": -2.0, "valid_time": "20260429_170038 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0504, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 14.0, "ebshear": 8.0, "srh01": 3.0, "maxllaz": 0.005, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 3.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 5.0109 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 1.6586 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.833 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.005 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0504 }, "coherence_score": 0.8329648375511169, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.8329648375511169, "grad_tau": 0.15164589881896973, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 1.6585842370986938, "S_field": 0.1464242935180664, "Gamma_field": 0.31314048171043396, "S_over_Gamma": 0.46759936213493347, "Da": 17.33870506286621, "E_coh": 0.3864084780216217, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -102.04, 39.65 ], [ -102.01, 39.65 ], [ -102.01, 39.59 ], [ -102.06, 39.58 ], [ -102.07, 39.59 ], [ -102.07, 39.64 ], [ -102.05, 39.64 ], [ -102.04, 39.65 ] ] ] } } ] }