{ "forecast_id": "to_fcst_20260502_2037", "hazard": "tornado", "issued_at": "2026-05-02T20:37:39Z", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "forecast_horizon_hours": 24, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "scoring_tier_label": "ML (pre-trained gradient-boosted trees)", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "n_active_storms": 29, "top_probability": 0.6983, "source_artifacts": [ "/data/live-tornadoes.json", "/data/tornado-storms.geojson" ], "storms": [ { "storm_id": "61538", "lat": 28.8242, "lon": -81.4189, "motion_east": 15.6, "motion_south": -3.0, "valid_time": "20260502_203038 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.6983, "risk_band": "very_high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 831.0, "ebshear": 49.0, "srh01": 143.0, "maxllaz": 0.004, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 1.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 143.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 52.2086 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -4.3149 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 2.2987 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.004 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.6983 }, "coherence_score": 2.2987399101257324, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 2.2987399101257324, "grad_tau": 0.4942673146724701, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -4.314886093139648, "S_field": 0.6690099835395813, "Gamma_field": 0.1670381724834442, "S_over_Gamma": 4.00513219833374, "Da": 9.235936164855957, "E_coh": 0.5717719793319702, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": false } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -81.42, 29.02 ], [ -81.4, 29.0 ], [ -81.4, 28.95 ], [ -81.41, 28.94 ], [ -81.41, 28.92 ], [ -81.39, 28.89 ], [ -81.38, 28.89 ], [ -81.36, 28.87 ], [ -81.3, 28.9 ], [ -81.25, 28.9 ], [ -81.24, 28.89 ], [ -81.22, 28.89 ], [ -81.2, 28.87 ], [ -81.2, 28.8 ], [ -81.25, 28.73 ], [ -81.29, 28.71 ], [ -81.3, 28.72 ], [ -81.37, 28.72 ], [ -81.43, 28.67 ], [ -81.49, 28.66 ], [ -81.5, 28.65 ], [ -81.5, 28.63 ], [ -81.54, 28.63 ], [ -81.54, 28.64 ], [ -81.56, 28.65 ], [ -81.55, 28.65 ], [ -81.53, 28.68 ], [ -81.55, 28.7 ], [ -81.55, 28.72 ], [ -81.52, 28.78 ], [ -81.52, 28.86 ], [ -81.53, 28.87 ], [ -81.52, 28.93 ], [ -81.49, 28.97 ], [ -81.49, 28.98 ], [ -81.46, 29.01 ], [ -81.44, 29.01 ], [ -81.42, 29.02 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "61609", "lat": 27.5285, "lon": -83.2908, "motion_east": 12.7, "motion_south": -2.0, "valid_time": "20260502_203038 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.6785, "risk_band": "very_high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1185.0, "ebshear": 47.0, "srh01": 107.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 107.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 47.3336 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 2.9315 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 2.229 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.6785 }, "coherence_score": 2.228971481323242, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 2.228971481323242, "grad_tau": 0.5625358819961548, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 2.931516170501709, "S_field": 0.8113113641738892, "Gamma_field": 0.1803715080022812, "S_over_Gamma": 4.498001575469971, "Da": 9.845534324645996, "E_coh": 0.7899519801139832, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": true, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": false } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -83.29, 27.59 ], [ -83.28, 27.58 ], [ -83.26, 27.58 ], [ -83.24, 27.54 ], [ -83.25, 27.53 ], [ -83.25, 27.46 ], [ -83.26, 27.46 ], [ -83.28, 27.48 ], [ -83.32, 27.48 ], [ -83.36, 27.5 ], [ -83.35, 27.52 ], [ -83.35, 27.56 ], [ -83.29, 27.59 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "61432", "lat": 28.3109, "lon": -79.3218, "motion_east": 15.4, "motion_south": -3.0, "valid_time": "20260502_203038 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.6574, "risk_band": "very_high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 3666.0, "ebshear": 42.0, "srh01": 80.0, "maxllaz": 0.0, "mesh": 0.31, "flash_rate": 12.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 80.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 50.8336 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -6.9046 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 3.0078 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.0 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.6574 }, "coherence_score": 3.007751226425171, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 3.007751226425171, "grad_tau": 0.5313337445259094, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -6.90460205078125, "S_field": 1.549239158630371, "Gamma_field": 0.16953817009925842, "S_over_Gamma": 9.137996673583984, "Da": 9.31794261932373, "E_coh": 0.8481062054634094, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": true, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": false } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 3, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -79.31, 28.34 ], [ -79.28, 28.34 ], [ -79.28, 28.3 ], [ -79.29, 28.29 ], [ -79.33, 28.29 ], [ -79.35, 28.27 ], [ -79.36, 28.27 ], [ -79.36, 28.32 ], [ -79.35, 28.33 ], [ -79.32, 28.33 ], [ -79.31, 28.34 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "61517", "lat": 28.4858, "lon": -79.2425, "motion_east": 16.1, "motion_south": -4.0, "valid_time": "20260502_203038 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.6574, "risk_band": "very_high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 3243.0, "ebshear": 45.0, "srh01": 76.0, "maxllaz": 0.0, "mesh": 0.37, "flash_rate": 22.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 76.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 50.8336 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -6.9046 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 3.0078 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.0 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.6574 }, "coherence_score": 3.007751226425171, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 3.007751226425171, "grad_tau": 0.5313337445259094, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -6.90460205078125, "S_field": 1.549239158630371, "Gamma_field": 0.16953817009925842, "S_over_Gamma": 9.137996673583984, "Da": 9.31794261932373, "E_coh": 0.8481062054634094, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": true, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": false } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -79.23, 28.55 ], [ -79.18, 28.54 ], [ -79.16, 28.52 ], [ -79.16, 28.47 ], [ -79.22, 28.42 ], [ -79.26, 28.4 ], [ -79.29, 28.4 ], [ -79.33, 28.43 ], [ -79.33, 28.48 ], [ -79.28, 28.53 ], [ -79.24, 28.54 ], [ -79.23, 28.55 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "61568", "lat": 27.2625, "lon": -82.8434, "motion_east": 13.6, "motion_south": -1.0, "valid_time": "20260502_203038 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.6457, "risk_band": "very_high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 2845.0, "ebshear": 47.0, "srh01": 81.0, "maxllaz": 0.006, "mesh": 0.13, "flash_rate": 4.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 81.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 47.3336 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 2.9315 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 2.229 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.006 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.6457 }, "coherence_score": 2.228971481323242, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 2.228971481323242, "grad_tau": 0.5625358819961548, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 2.931516170501709, "S_field": 0.8113113641738892, "Gamma_field": 0.1803715080022812, "S_over_Gamma": 4.498001575469971, "Da": 9.845534324645996, "E_coh": 0.7899519801139832, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": true, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": false } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -82.85, 27.46 ], [ -82.83, 27.46 ], [ -82.82, 27.45 ], [ -82.81, 27.41 ], [ -82.79, 27.39 ], [ -82.77, 27.4 ], [ -82.73, 27.36 ], [ -82.73, 27.33 ], [ -82.76, 27.29 ], [ -82.76, 27.27 ], [ -82.78, 27.23 ], [ -82.78, 27.17 ], [ -82.79, 27.16 ], [ -82.79, 27.11 ], [ -82.8, 27.09 ], [ -82.83, 27.06 ], [ -82.85, 27.06 ], [ -82.89, 27.02 ], [ -82.93, 27.02 ], [ -82.95, 27.04 ], [ -82.95, 27.09 ], [ -82.9, 27.16 ], [ -82.9, 27.18 ], [ -82.91, 27.19 ], [ -82.91, 27.26 ], [ -82.89, 27.28 ], [ -82.89, 27.34 ], [ -82.9, 27.35 ], [ -82.91, 27.41 ], [ -82.88, 27.45 ], [ -82.86, 27.45 ], [ -82.85, 27.46 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "61608", "lat": 28.1955, "lon": -82.49, "motion_east": 7.7, "motion_south": -3.0, "valid_time": "20260502_203038 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.5972, "risk_band": "very_high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1409.0, "ebshear": 48.0, "srh01": 145.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 145.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 50.7086 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 0.7826 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 2.4 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.5972 }, "coherence_score": 2.40004301071167, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 2.40004301071167, "grad_tau": 0.6588305830955505, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.7826476097106934, "S_field": 0.6230427026748657, "Gamma_field": 0.2678714990615845, "S_over_Gamma": 2.325901508331299, "Da": 14.44793701171875, "E_coh": 0.7360527515411377, "singularity_count": 4.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 4, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": true, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -82.52, 28.24 ], [ -82.48, 28.22 ], [ -82.48, 28.21 ], [ -82.43, 28.17 ], [ -82.43, 28.15 ], [ -82.48, 28.15 ], [ -82.48, 28.16 ], [ -82.51, 28.19 ], [ -82.53, 28.19 ], [ -82.53, 28.23 ], [ -82.52, 28.24 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "61610", "lat": 27.1788, "lon": -82.6425, "motion_east": 13.6, "motion_south": -1.0, "valid_time": "20260502_203038 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.5928, "risk_band": "very_high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 2981.0, "ebshear": 48.0, "srh01": 86.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 86.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 48.7086 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 5.1984 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 2.7719 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.003 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.5928 }, "coherence_score": 2.7718639373779297, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 2.7718639373779297, "grad_tau": 0.47484126687049866, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 5.198389530181885, "S_field": 1.4035664796829224, "Gamma_field": 0.1803715080022812, "S_over_Gamma": 7.781530857086182, "Da": 9.833178520202637, "E_coh": 0.9174289703369141, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": false } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -82.65, 27.21 ], [ -82.61, 27.2 ], [ -82.61, 27.16 ], [ -82.62, 27.15 ], [ -82.66, 27.15 ], [ -82.67, 27.16 ], [ -82.67, 27.19 ], [ -82.65, 27.21 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "61494", "lat": 27.3157, "lon": -83.982, "motion_east": 13.8, "motion_south": -3.0, "valid_time": "20260502_203038 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.5132, "risk_band": "very_high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1564.0, "ebshear": 39.0, "srh01": 98.0, "maxllaz": 0.004, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 98.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 45.3336 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 4.591 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.694 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.004 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.5132 }, "coherence_score": 1.693965196609497, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.693965196609497, "grad_tau": 0.48305121064186096, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 4.590991020202637, "S_field": 0.5168869495391846, "Gamma_field": 0.6603715419769287, "S_over_Gamma": 0.7827214002609253, "Da": 36.44954299926758, "E_coh": 0.46614548563957214, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -83.93, 27.49 ], [ -83.89, 27.49 ], [ -83.88, 27.48 ], [ -83.85, 27.42 ], [ -83.84, 27.36 ], [ -83.88, 27.28 ], [ -83.9, 27.27 ], [ -83.93, 27.24 ], [ -83.93, 27.23 ], [ -83.95, 27.23 ], [ -83.97, 27.21 ], [ -84.0, 27.2 ], [ -84.01, 27.19 ], [ -84.0, 27.17 ], [ -84.04, 27.13 ], [ -84.05, 27.13 ], [ -84.09, 27.18 ], [ -84.09, 27.23 ], [ -84.08, 27.24 ], [ -84.09, 27.26 ], [ -84.07, 27.29 ], [ -84.07, 27.31 ], [ -84.03, 27.36 ], [ -84.03, 27.38 ], [ -84.01, 27.4 ], [ -84.0, 27.44 ], [ -83.99, 27.45 ], [ -83.97, 27.45 ], [ -83.96, 27.47 ], [ -83.93, 27.49 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "61548", "lat": 26.8808, "lon": -83.3262, "motion_east": 13.2, "motion_south": -5.0, "valid_time": "20260502_203038 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.5093, "risk_band": "very_high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 2728.0, "ebshear": 49.0, "srh01": 112.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.07, "flash_rate": 1.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 112.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 45.2086 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 1.948 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 2.1907 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.5093 }, "coherence_score": 2.1906979084014893, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 2.1906979084014893, "grad_tau": 0.478387713432312, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 1.9479596614837646, "S_field": 1.187553882598877, "Gamma_field": 0.1920381635427475, "S_over_Gamma": 6.1839470863342285, "Da": 10.602030754089355, "E_coh": 0.9278737306594849, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -83.34, 26.95 ], [ -83.31, 26.95 ], [ -83.29, 26.94 ], [ -83.23, 26.88 ], [ -83.22, 26.85 ], [ -83.25, 26.82 ], [ -83.35, 26.82 ], [ -83.37, 26.81 ], [ -83.39, 26.83 ], [ -83.39, 26.87 ], [ -83.38, 26.88 ], [ -83.38, 26.9 ], [ -83.34, 26.95 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "61594", "lat": 26.6855, "lon": -83.4964, "motion_east": 13.3, "motion_south": -5.0, "valid_time": "20260502_203038 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.5093, "risk_band": "very_high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 3015.0, "ebshear": 46.0, "srh01": 151.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.11, "flash_rate": 1.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 151.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 45.2086 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 1.948 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 2.1907 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.003 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.5093 }, "coherence_score": 2.1906979084014893, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 2.1906979084014893, "grad_tau": 0.478387713432312, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 1.9479596614837646, "S_field": 1.187553882598877, "Gamma_field": 0.1920381635427475, "S_over_Gamma": 6.1839470863342285, "Da": 10.602030754089355, "E_coh": 0.9278737306594849, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -83.51, 26.72 ], [ -83.48, 26.72 ], [ -83.45, 26.7 ], [ -83.44, 26.68 ], [ -83.45, 26.64 ], [ -83.49, 26.63 ], [ -83.53, 26.65 ], [ -83.54, 26.68 ], [ -83.53, 26.69 ], [ -83.53, 26.71 ], [ -83.51, 26.72 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "61606", "lat": 26.8038, "lon": -83.5938, "motion_east": 13.3, "motion_south": -5.0, "valid_time": "20260502_203038 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.5093, "risk_band": "very_high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 3053.0, "ebshear": 49.0, "srh01": 154.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 154.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 45.2086 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 1.948 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 2.1907 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.5093 }, "coherence_score": 2.1906979084014893, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 2.1906979084014893, "grad_tau": 0.478387713432312, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 1.9479596614837646, "S_field": 1.187553882598877, "Gamma_field": 0.1920381635427475, "S_over_Gamma": 6.1839470863342285, "Da": 10.602030754089355, "E_coh": 0.9278737306594849, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -83.61, 26.83 ], [ -83.56, 26.83 ], [ -83.55, 26.8 ], [ -83.57, 26.77 ], [ -83.61, 26.77 ], [ -83.62, 26.78 ], [ -83.62, 26.82 ], [ -83.61, 26.83 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "61599", "lat": 27.5633, "lon": -84.1478, "motion_east": 13.3, "motion_south": -2.0, "valid_time": "20260502_203038 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.5091, "risk_band": "very_high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1482.0, "ebshear": 43.0, "srh01": 72.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 72.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 45.3336 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 4.591 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.694 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.5091 }, "coherence_score": 1.693965196609497, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.693965196609497, "grad_tau": 0.48305121064186096, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 4.590991020202637, "S_field": 0.5168869495391846, "Gamma_field": 0.6603715419769287, "S_over_Gamma": 0.7827214002609253, "Da": 36.44954299926758, "E_coh": 0.46614548563957214, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -84.18, 27.6 ], [ -84.14, 27.6 ], [ -84.1, 27.58 ], [ -84.1, 27.53 ], [ -84.11, 27.53 ], [ -84.12, 27.51 ], [ -84.2, 27.53 ], [ -84.2, 27.59 ], [ -84.18, 27.6 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "61580", "lat": 28.3617, "lon": -81.1344, "motion_east": 16.8, "motion_south": -3.0, "valid_time": "20260502_203038 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.4916, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 2180.0, "ebshear": 58.0, "srh01": 34.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.04, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 34.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 59.5836 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 2.2547 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 2.907 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.4916 }, "coherence_score": 2.9070067405700684, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 2.9070067405700684, "grad_tau": 0.556856095790863, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 2.254701852798462, "S_field": 1.2368617057800293, "Gamma_field": 0.16453817486763, "S_over_Gamma": 7.517171859741211, "Da": 8.641199111938477, "E_coh": 0.9201963543891907, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": true, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": false } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -81.16, 28.45 ], [ -81.12, 28.45 ], [ -81.1, 28.43 ], [ -81.1, 28.42 ], [ -81.05, 28.38 ], [ -81.05, 28.32 ], [ -81.06, 28.32 ], [ -81.09, 28.29 ], [ -81.1, 28.29 ], [ -81.14, 28.26 ], [ -81.19, 28.26 ], [ -81.19, 28.28 ], [ -81.21, 28.32 ], [ -81.18, 28.34 ], [ -81.18, 28.4 ], [ -81.17, 28.41 ], [ -81.17, 28.44 ], [ -81.16, 28.45 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "61602", "lat": 28.1195, "lon": -81.445, "motion_east": 16.9, "motion_south": -4.0, "valid_time": "20260502_203038 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.4916, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1802.0, "ebshear": 53.0, "srh01": 45.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.08, "flash_rate": 2.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 45.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 59.5836 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 2.2547 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 2.907 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.4916 }, "coherence_score": 2.9070067405700684, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 2.9070067405700684, "grad_tau": 0.556856095790863, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 2.254701852798462, "S_field": 1.2368617057800293, "Gamma_field": 0.16453817486763, "S_over_Gamma": 7.517171859741211, "Da": 8.641199111938477, "E_coh": 0.9201963543891907, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": true, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": false } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -81.42, 28.22 ], [ -81.36, 28.21 ], [ -81.36, 28.19 ], [ -81.37, 28.18 ], [ -81.36, 28.17 ], [ -81.37, 28.16 ], [ -81.37, 28.13 ], [ -81.39, 28.09 ], [ -81.41, 28.07 ], [ -81.44, 28.07 ], [ -81.48, 28.03 ], [ -81.49, 28.01 ], [ -81.52, 28.01 ], [ -81.54, 28.03 ], [ -81.54, 28.06 ], [ -81.53, 28.08 ], [ -81.52, 28.08 ], [ -81.49, 28.11 ], [ -81.49, 28.14 ], [ -81.46, 28.18 ], [ -81.46, 28.19 ], [ -81.42, 28.22 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "61604", "lat": 26.8242, "lon": -83.7075, "motion_east": 13.7, "motion_south": -5.0, "valid_time": "20260502_203038 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.4756, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 3025.0, "ebshear": 50.0, "srh01": 183.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 183.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 45.0836 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 1.2973 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.8819 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.4756 }, "coherence_score": 1.8818576335906982, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.8818576335906982, "grad_tau": 0.34973397850990295, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 1.2973062992095947, "S_field": 1.1819339990615845, "Gamma_field": 0.1853715032339096, "S_over_Gamma": 6.376028537750244, "Da": 10.307085037231445, "E_coh": 0.9448308348655701, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -83.73, 26.87 ], [ -83.71, 26.87 ], [ -83.68, 26.85 ], [ -83.68, 26.83 ], [ -83.66, 26.79 ], [ -83.68, 26.79 ], [ -83.69, 26.78 ], [ -83.72, 26.78 ], [ -83.73, 26.79 ], [ -83.74, 26.81 ], [ -83.74, 26.86 ], [ -83.73, 26.87 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "61611", "lat": 26.8527, "lon": -84.1073, "motion_east": 13.7, "motion_south": -5.0, "valid_time": "20260502_203038 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.4756, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 2859.0, "ebshear": 47.0, "srh01": 122.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 122.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 45.0836 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 1.2973 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.8819 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.4756 }, "coherence_score": 1.8818576335906982, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.8818576335906982, "grad_tau": 0.34973397850990295, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 1.2973062992095947, "S_field": 1.1819339990615845, "Gamma_field": 0.1853715032339096, "S_over_Gamma": 6.376028537750244, "Da": 10.307085037231445, "E_coh": 0.9448308348655701, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -84.05, 26.92 ], [ -84.05, 26.89 ], [ -84.04, 26.87 ], [ -84.06, 26.86 ], [ -84.1, 26.82 ], [ -84.13, 26.82 ], [ -84.16, 26.79 ], [ -84.16, 26.77 ], [ -84.17, 26.77 ], [ -84.18, 26.81 ], [ -84.14, 26.86 ], [ -84.13, 26.89 ], [ -84.12, 26.9 ], [ -84.07, 26.9 ], [ -84.05, 26.92 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "61498", "lat": 26.5533, "lon": -83.8156, "motion_east": 13.8, "motion_south": -4.0, "valid_time": "20260502_203038 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.4672, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 3543.0, "ebshear": 43.0, "srh01": 131.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.16, "flash_rate": 7.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 131.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 45.0836 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 1.2973 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.8819 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.4672 }, "coherence_score": 1.8818576335906982, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.8818576335906982, "grad_tau": 0.34973397850990295, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 1.2973062992095947, "S_field": 1.1819339990615845, "Gamma_field": 0.1853715032339096, "S_over_Gamma": 6.376028537750244, "Da": 10.307085037231445, "E_coh": 0.9448308348655701, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -83.86, 26.69 ], [ -83.83, 26.69 ], [ -83.74, 26.6 ], [ -83.73, 26.58 ], [ -83.73, 26.52 ], [ -83.74, 26.51 ], [ -83.74, 26.48 ], [ -83.75, 26.46 ], [ -83.79, 26.43 ], [ -83.83, 26.43 ], [ -83.84, 26.44 ], [ -83.84, 26.47 ], [ -83.88, 26.53 ], [ -83.88, 26.58 ], [ -83.87, 26.6 ], [ -83.88, 26.61 ], [ -83.89, 26.65 ], [ -83.86, 26.69 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "61597", "lat": 26.9477, "lon": -83.9238, "motion_east": 14.1, "motion_south": -6.0, "valid_time": "20260502_203038 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.4452, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 2277.0, "ebshear": 50.0, "srh01": 105.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 105.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 45.0836 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 1.2973 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.8819 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.4452 }, "coherence_score": 1.8818576335906982, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.8818576335906982, "grad_tau": 0.34973397850990295, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 1.2973062992095947, "S_field": 1.1819339990615845, "Gamma_field": 0.1853715032339096, "S_over_Gamma": 6.376028537750244, "Da": 10.307085037231445, "E_coh": 0.9448308348655701, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -83.85, 27.06 ], [ -83.82, 27.06 ], [ -83.8, 27.03 ], [ -83.8, 26.93 ], [ -83.81, 26.91 ], [ -83.84, 26.89 ], [ -83.91, 26.89 ], [ -83.95, 26.86 ], [ -83.95, 26.83 ], [ -83.96, 26.82 ], [ -83.97, 26.83 ], [ -83.99, 26.83 ], [ -84.02, 26.87 ], [ -84.0, 26.9 ], [ -84.0, 26.95 ], [ -84.01, 26.96 ], [ -84.01, 26.99 ], [ -83.99, 27.01 ], [ -83.97, 27.01 ], [ -83.96, 27.02 ], [ -83.94, 26.98 ], [ -83.93, 26.97 ], [ -83.91, 26.97 ], [ -83.89, 26.99 ], [ -83.89, 27.02 ], [ -83.85, 27.06 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "61605", "lat": 28.35, "lon": -81.3109, "motion_east": 16.4, "motion_south": -3.0, "valid_time": "20260502_203038 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.3619, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1409.0, "ebshear": 56.0, "srh01": 29.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 29.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 59.5836 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 2.2547 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 2.907 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.3619 }, "coherence_score": 2.9070067405700684, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 2.9070067405700684, "grad_tau": 0.556856095790863, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 2.254701852798462, "S_field": 1.2368617057800293, "Gamma_field": 0.16453817486763, "S_over_Gamma": 7.517171859741211, "Da": 8.641199111938477, "E_coh": 0.9201963543891907, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": true, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": false } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -81.32, 28.39 ], [ -81.3, 28.39 ], [ -81.28, 28.36 ], [ -81.28, 28.34 ], [ -81.3, 28.32 ], [ -81.3, 28.31 ], [ -81.32, 28.31 ], [ -81.32, 28.33 ], [ -81.34, 28.34 ], [ -81.34, 28.37 ], [ -81.32, 28.39 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "61603", "lat": 27.8163, "lon": -82.0563, "motion_east": 7.8, "motion_south": -3.0, "valid_time": "20260502_203038 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.3548, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 2440.0, "ebshear": 51.0, "srh01": 64.0, "maxllaz": 0.004, "mesh": 0.15, "flash_rate": 1.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 64.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 48.7086 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 5.1984 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 2.7719 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.004 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.3548 }, "coherence_score": 2.7718639373779297, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 2.7718639373779297, "grad_tau": 0.47484126687049866, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 5.198389530181885, "S_field": 1.4035664796829224, "Gamma_field": 0.1803715080022812, "S_over_Gamma": 7.781530857086182, "Da": 9.833178520202637, "E_coh": 0.9174289703369141, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": false } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -82.07, 27.85 ], [ -82.03, 27.85 ], [ -82.01, 27.83 ], [ -82.01, 27.79 ], [ -82.06, 27.76 ], [ -82.1, 27.78 ], [ -82.1, 27.82 ], [ -82.07, 27.85 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "61560", "lat": 45.8385, "lon": -68.0681, "motion_east": 14.3, "motion_south": -6.0, "valid_time": "20260502_203038 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.2984, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 19.0, "ebshear": 7.0, "srh01": 77.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 77.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 12.0836 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -5.194 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.8395 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.003 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.2984 }, "coherence_score": 0.8394836187362671, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.8394836187362671, "grad_tau": 0.3006742596626282, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -5.194035530090332, "S_field": 0.3415539264678955, "Gamma_field": 0.18203817307949066, "S_over_Gamma": 1.8762763738632202, "Da": 11.070090293884277, "E_coh": 0.5591237545013428, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -67.93, 45.91 ], [ -67.87, 45.91 ], [ -67.85, 45.88 ], [ -67.85, 45.85 ], [ -67.91, 45.8 ], [ -67.95, 45.8 ], [ -67.97, 45.79 ], [ -67.98, 45.8 ], [ -68.04, 45.8 ], [ -68.05, 45.81 ], [ -68.1, 45.78 ], [ -68.16, 45.78 ], [ -68.17, 45.79 ], [ -68.19, 45.78 ], [ -68.2, 45.79 ], [ -68.24, 45.79 ], [ -68.26, 45.8 ], [ -68.26, 45.84 ], [ -68.24, 45.86 ], [ -68.22, 45.86 ], [ -68.18, 45.9 ], [ -68.14, 45.9 ], [ -68.09, 45.87 ], [ -68.05, 45.87 ], [ -68.04, 45.88 ], [ -67.97, 45.89 ], [ -67.93, 45.91 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "61396", "lat": 27.5186, "lon": -82.3021, "motion_east": 11.7, "motion_south": -2.0, "valid_time": "20260502_203038 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.2324, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 3576.0, "ebshear": 42.0, "srh01": 49.0, "maxllaz": 0.006, "mesh": 0.93, "flash_rate": 28.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 49.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 48.7086 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 5.1984 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 2.7719 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.006 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.2324 }, "coherence_score": 2.7718639373779297, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 2.7718639373779297, "grad_tau": 0.47484126687049866, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 5.198389530181885, "S_field": 1.4035664796829224, "Gamma_field": 0.1803715080022812, "S_over_Gamma": 7.781530857086182, "Da": 9.833178520202637, "E_coh": 0.9174289703369141, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": false } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 4, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -82.2, 27.7 ], [ -82.17, 27.7 ], [ -82.16, 27.69 ], [ -82.16, 27.65 ], [ -82.19, 27.61 ], [ -82.2, 27.58 ], [ -82.23, 27.55 ], [ -82.23, 27.54 ], [ -82.24, 27.54 ], [ -82.25, 27.52 ], [ -82.27, 27.51 ], [ -82.27, 27.5 ], [ -82.31, 27.46 ], [ -82.31, 27.44 ], [ -82.33, 27.42 ], [ -82.33, 27.41 ], [ -82.34, 27.41 ], [ -82.38, 27.36 ], [ -82.4, 27.35 ], [ -82.44, 27.35 ], [ -82.45, 27.36 ], [ -82.45, 27.42 ], [ -82.42, 27.48 ], [ -82.4, 27.5 ], [ -82.4, 27.52 ], [ -82.38, 27.54 ], [ -82.36, 27.58 ], [ -82.29, 27.65 ], [ -82.2, 27.7 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "61583", "lat": 43.76, "lon": -122.386, "motion_east": 7.7, "motion_south": -3.0, "valid_time": "20260502_203038 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.1362, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1128.0, "ebshear": 26.0, "srh01": 44.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.32, "flash_rate": 2.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 44.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 14.2086 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -2.1724 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.4523 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1362 }, "coherence_score": 0.45227035880088806, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.45227035880088806, "grad_tau": 0.18811172246932983, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -2.1723618507385254, "S_field": 0.09621207416057587, "Gamma_field": 0.17287150025367737, "S_over_Gamma": 0.556552529335022, "Da": 10.21389102935791, "E_coh": 0.015473836101591587, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -122.4, 43.8 ], [ -122.38, 43.8 ], [ -122.36, 43.77 ], [ -122.36, 43.75 ], [ -122.35, 43.74 ], [ -122.37, 43.72 ], [ -122.4, 43.72 ], [ -122.42, 43.73 ], [ -122.42, 43.77 ], [ -122.4, 43.8 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "61601", "lat": 36.8278, "lon": -87.3322, "motion_east": 7.7, "motion_south": -3.0, "valid_time": "20260502_203038 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0893, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 269.0, "ebshear": 30.0, "srh01": 30.0, "maxllaz": 0.007, "mesh": 0.11, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 30.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 12.8336 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 2.271 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.69 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.007 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0893 }, "coherence_score": 0.6900200843811035, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.6900200843811035, "grad_tau": 0.04389018937945366, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 2.2710318565368652, "S_field": 0.19301335513591766, "Gamma_field": 0.3037048578262329, "S_over_Gamma": 0.6355293393135071, "Da": 17.054306030273438, "E_coh": 0.35727494955062866, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -87.34, 36.86 ], [ -87.32, 36.86 ], [ -87.29, 36.83 ], [ -87.29, 36.82 ], [ -87.32, 36.79 ], [ -87.35, 36.79 ], [ -87.37, 36.81 ], [ -87.37, 36.83 ], [ -87.34, 36.86 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "60820", "lat": 25.3289, "lon": -95.6389, "motion_east": 7.7, "motion_south": -3.0, "valid_time": "20260502_203038 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.084, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 65.0, "ebshear": 27.0, "srh01": 14.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.04, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 14.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 41.9586 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -2.4285 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.0 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.084 }, "coherence_score": 0.0, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.0, "grad_tau": 0.3531194031238556, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -2.4284839630126953, "S_field": 0.2303907722234726, "Gamma_field": 0.22037149965763092, "S_over_Gamma": 1.045465350151062, "Da": 12.459128379821777, "E_coh": 0.33681005239486694, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 11, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -95.65, 25.36 ], [ -95.62, 25.36 ], [ -95.61, 25.35 ], [ -95.61, 25.3 ], [ -95.62, 25.29 ], [ -95.65, 25.29 ], [ -95.67, 25.31 ], [ -95.67, 25.34 ], [ -95.65, 25.36 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "61500", "lat": 25.2791, "lon": -96.2927, "motion_east": 7.7, "motion_south": -3.0, "valid_time": "20260502_203038 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0736, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 47.0, "ebshear": 30.0, "srh01": 1.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 1.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 38.5836 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -3.616 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.0 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.003 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0736 }, "coherence_score": 0.0, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.0, "grad_tau": 0.33710139989852905, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -3.6159839630126953, "S_field": 0.21488231420516968, "Gamma_field": 0.20537149906158447, "S_over_Gamma": 1.046310305595398, "Da": 11.554314613342285, "E_coh": 0.3464498519897461, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -96.31, 25.32 ], [ -96.26, 25.32 ], [ -96.25, 25.31 ], [ -96.25, 25.27 ], [ -96.24, 25.26 ], [ -96.28, 25.23 ], [ -96.32, 25.23 ], [ -96.34, 25.25 ], [ -96.33, 25.26 ], [ -96.33, 25.3 ], [ -96.31, 25.32 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "61607", "lat": 36.7878, "lon": -86.1989, "motion_east": 7.7, "motion_south": -3.0, "valid_time": "20260502_203038 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0535, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 170.0, "ebshear": 20.0, "srh01": 7.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 7.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 12.3336 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 2.5903 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.7366 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0535 }, "coherence_score": 0.7366270422935486, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.7366270422935486, "grad_tau": 0.04226475581526756, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 2.5903244018554688, "S_field": 0.24296796321868896, "Gamma_field": 0.3062048554420471, "S_over_Gamma": 0.7934817671775818, "Da": 17.474613189697266, "E_coh": 0.4992274045944214, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -86.21, 36.82 ], [ -86.2, 36.81 ], [ -86.17, 36.81 ], [ -86.17, 36.76 ], [ -86.18, 36.75 ], [ -86.21, 36.75 ], [ -86.22, 36.76 ], [ -86.22, 36.81 ], [ -86.21, 36.82 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "61598", "lat": 37.0943, "lon": -87.4421, "motion_east": 7.7, "motion_south": -3.0, "valid_time": "20260502_203038 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.051, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 221.0, "ebshear": 28.0, "srh01": 16.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 16.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 9.8336 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 1.2306 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.6493 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.051 }, "coherence_score": 0.6493151783943176, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.6493151783943176, "grad_tau": 0.03274475783109665, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 1.2305902242660522, "S_field": 0.169921413064003, "Gamma_field": 0.3453715145587921, "S_over_Gamma": 0.49199602007865906, "Da": 19.489059448242188, "E_coh": 0.0858244001865387, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -87.44, 37.16 ], [ -87.4, 37.16 ], [ -87.38, 37.15 ], [ -87.37, 37.13 ], [ -87.37, 37.1 ], [ -87.43, 37.04 ], [ -87.44, 37.01 ], [ -87.49, 37.01 ], [ -87.5, 37.02 ], [ -87.5, 37.04 ], [ -87.48, 37.08 ], [ -87.48, 37.12 ], [ -87.47, 37.14 ], [ -87.44, 37.16 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "61584", "lat": 42.73, "lon": -78.3938, "motion_east": 7.7, "motion_south": -3.0, "valid_time": "20260502_203038 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0496, "risk_band": "minimal", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1.0, "ebshear": 0.0, "srh01": 13.0, "maxllaz": 0.005, "mesh": 0.1, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 13.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 7.8336 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 2.1989 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.7145 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.005 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0496 }, "coherence_score": 0.7144891023635864, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.7144891023635864, "grad_tau": 0.09281754493713379, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 2.198941230773926, "S_field": 0.18505123257637024, "Gamma_field": 0.2853715121746063, "S_over_Gamma": 0.6484572887420654, "Da": 16.638608932495117, "E_coh": 0.034417662769556046, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -78.4, 42.76 ], [ -78.37, 42.76 ], [ -78.34, 42.69 ], [ -78.4, 42.69 ], [ -78.42, 42.7 ], [ -78.42, 42.73 ], [ -78.4, 42.75 ], [ -78.4, 42.76 ] ] ] } } ] }