{ "forecast_id": "to_fcst_20260515_1019", "hazard": "tornado", "issued_at": "2026-05-15T10:19:15Z", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "forecast_horizon_hours": 24, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "scoring_tier_label": "ML (pre-trained gradient-boosted trees)", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "n_active_storms": 30, "top_probability": 0.4629, "source_artifacts": [ "/data/live-tornadoes.json", "/data/tornado-storms.geojson" ], "storms": [ { "storm_id": "90453", "lat": 39.18, "lon": -89.8317, "motion_east": 11.5, "motion_south": 4.9, "valid_time": "20260515_100039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.4629, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 468.0, "ebshear": 12.0, "srh01": 329.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.2, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 329.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 31.417 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 17.1324 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.7391 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.4629 }, "coherence_score": 1.7390570640563965, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.7390570640563965, "grad_tau": 0.34522244334220886, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 17.132434844970703, "S_field": 0.6485902070999146, "Gamma_field": 0.27719810605049133, "S_over_Gamma": 2.3398075103759766, "Da": 17.731334686279297, "E_coh": 0.8188583254814148, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -89.84, 39.26 ], [ -89.83, 39.25 ], [ -89.83, 39.22 ], [ -89.81, 39.2 ], [ -89.79, 39.21 ], [ -89.75, 39.18 ], [ -89.78, 39.18 ], [ -89.79, 39.17 ], [ -89.79, 39.14 ], [ -89.81, 39.12 ], [ -89.85, 39.1 ], [ -89.89, 39.1 ], [ -89.9, 39.11 ], [ -89.9, 39.13 ], [ -89.87, 39.16 ], [ -89.85, 39.2 ], [ -89.85, 39.25 ], [ -89.84, 39.26 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "90451", "lat": 39.301, "lon": -89.5906, "motion_east": 11.3, "motion_south": 4.6, "valid_time": "20260515_100039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.4448, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 305.0, "ebshear": 14.0, "srh01": 273.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.14, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 273.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 31.417 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 17.1324 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.7391 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.4448 }, "coherence_score": 1.7390570640563965, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.7390570640563965, "grad_tau": 0.34522244334220886, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 17.132434844970703, "S_field": 0.6485902070999146, "Gamma_field": 0.27719810605049133, "S_over_Gamma": 2.3398075103759766, "Da": 17.731334686279297, "E_coh": 0.8188583254814148, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -89.62, 39.4 ], [ -89.59, 39.4 ], [ -89.58, 39.39 ], [ -89.58, 39.35 ], [ -89.62, 39.31 ], [ -89.62, 39.29 ], [ -89.63, 39.28 ], [ -89.61, 39.26 ], [ -89.57, 39.3 ], [ -89.54, 39.31 ], [ -89.52, 39.33 ], [ -89.52, 39.37 ], [ -89.51, 39.38 ], [ -89.47, 39.38 ], [ -89.46, 39.37 ], [ -89.46, 39.35 ], [ -89.53, 39.28 ], [ -89.53, 39.25 ], [ -89.57, 39.21 ], [ -89.58, 39.18 ], [ -89.61, 39.16 ], [ -89.65, 39.16 ], [ -89.67, 39.17 ], [ -89.67, 39.2 ], [ -89.63, 39.27 ], [ -89.66, 39.29 ], [ -89.68, 39.29 ], [ -89.69, 39.3 ], [ -89.69, 39.32 ], [ -89.63, 39.38 ], [ -89.62, 39.4 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "90490", "lat": 39.36, "lon": -89.8011, "motion_east": 11.7, "motion_south": 5.1, "valid_time": "20260515_100039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.4448, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 447.0, "ebshear": 13.0, "srh01": 302.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.07, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 302.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 31.417 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 17.1324 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.7391 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.4448 }, "coherence_score": 1.7390570640563965, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.7390570640563965, "grad_tau": 0.34522244334220886, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 17.132434844970703, "S_field": 0.6485902070999146, "Gamma_field": 0.27719810605049133, "S_over_Gamma": 2.3398075103759766, "Da": 17.731334686279297, "E_coh": 0.8188583254814148, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -89.81, 39.39 ], [ -89.77, 39.38 ], [ -89.76, 39.37 ], [ -89.76, 39.35 ], [ -89.79, 39.32 ], [ -89.83, 39.33 ], [ -89.84, 39.34 ], [ -89.84, 39.37 ], [ -89.81, 39.39 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "90508", "lat": 40.1209, "lon": -90.4109, "motion_east": 11.4, "motion_south": 5.9, "valid_time": "20260515_100039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.4296, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 734.0, "ebshear": 16.0, "srh01": 345.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 345.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 25.042 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 15.0608 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.8885 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.4296 }, "coherence_score": 1.8884532451629639, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.8884532451629639, "grad_tau": 0.3849862813949585, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 15.060798645019531, "S_field": 0.7606170177459717, "Gamma_field": 0.25219810009002686, "S_over_Gamma": 3.0159506797790527, "Da": 16.094614028930664, "E_coh": 0.8204684257507324, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -90.43, 40.16 ], [ -90.39, 40.16 ], [ -90.38, 40.15 ], [ -90.38, 40.13 ], [ -90.39, 40.12 ], [ -90.39, 40.08 ], [ -90.4, 40.07 ], [ -90.43, 40.07 ], [ -90.45, 40.09 ], [ -90.45, 40.14 ], [ -90.43, 40.16 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "90382", "lat": 39.6122, "lon": -89.9578, "motion_east": 12.1, "motion_south": 5.5, "valid_time": "20260515_100039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.4153, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 324.0, "ebshear": 15.0, "srh01": 313.0, "maxllaz": 0.004, "mesh": 0.22, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 313.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 29.917 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 17.3266 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.866 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.004 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.4153 }, "coherence_score": 1.8659794330596924, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.8659794330596924, "grad_tau": 0.29056236147880554, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 17.326637268066406, "S_field": 0.6219509840011597, "Gamma_field": 0.3038647472858429, "S_over_Gamma": 2.046802043914795, "Da": 19.72273826599121, "E_coh": 0.8133557438850403, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -89.84, 39.78 ], [ -89.83, 39.78 ], [ -89.8, 39.75 ], [ -89.8, 39.72 ], [ -89.79, 39.71 ], [ -89.79, 39.7 ], [ -89.81, 39.68 ], [ -89.81, 39.64 ], [ -89.83, 39.62 ], [ -89.83, 39.59 ], [ -89.85, 39.57 ], [ -89.86, 39.57 ], [ -89.88, 39.55 ], [ -89.88, 39.53 ], [ -89.94, 39.48 ], [ -89.94, 39.46 ], [ -89.93, 39.45 ], [ -89.93, 39.41 ], [ -89.95, 39.39 ], [ -89.95, 39.38 ], [ -89.96, 39.37 ], [ -90.01, 39.37 ], [ -90.02, 39.38 ], [ -90.02, 39.44 ], [ -89.99, 39.46 ], [ -89.96, 39.46 ], [ -89.95, 39.48 ], [ -90.02, 39.55 ], [ -90.02, 39.57 ], [ -90.04, 39.59 ], [ -90.04, 39.64 ], [ -90.05, 39.66 ], [ -90.07, 39.68 ], [ -90.16, 39.68 ], [ -90.19, 39.71 ], [ -90.19, 39.73 ], [ -90.16, 39.76 ], [ -90.14, 39.76 ], [ -90.13, 39.77 ], [ -90.11, 39.76 ], [ -90.0, 39.76 ], [ -89.99, 39.77 ], [ -89.96, 39.77 ], [ -89.92, 39.75 ], [ -89.88, 39.75 ], [ -89.84, 39.78 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "90495", "lat": 40.471, "lon": -89.3975, "motion_east": 11.0, "motion_south": -1.0, "valid_time": "20260515_100039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.4071, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 4.0, "ebshear": 6.0, "srh01": 211.0, "maxllaz": 0.005, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 211.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 25.917 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 14.1132 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 2.048 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.005 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.4071 }, "coherence_score": 2.048002243041992, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 2.048002243041992, "grad_tau": 0.1945626437664032, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 14.1131591796875, "S_field": 0.746059000492096, "Gamma_field": 0.2930314242839813, "S_over_Gamma": 2.5460033416748047, "Da": 19.087514877319336, "E_coh": 0.8058534264564514, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -89.57, 40.85 ], [ -89.51, 40.85 ], [ -89.49, 40.82 ], [ -89.43, 40.82 ], [ -89.39, 40.84 ], [ -89.32, 40.84 ], [ -89.31, 40.85 ], [ -89.23, 40.85 ], [ -89.2, 40.83 ], [ -89.18, 40.83 ], [ -89.14, 40.81 ], [ -89.13, 40.75 ], [ -89.09, 40.71 ], [ -89.08, 40.69 ], [ -89.08, 40.66 ], [ -89.09, 40.64 ], [ -89.14, 40.6 ], [ -89.16, 40.56 ], [ -89.16, 40.54 ], [ -89.13, 40.52 ], [ -89.13, 40.5 ], [ -89.15, 40.48 ], [ -89.15, 40.45 ], [ -89.17, 40.43 ], [ -89.18, 40.44 ], [ -89.22, 40.44 ], [ -89.23, 40.43 ], [ -89.23, 40.42 ], [ -89.21, 40.41 ], [ -89.19, 40.37 ], [ -89.2, 40.36 ], [ -89.2, 40.33 ], [ -89.21, 40.31 ], [ -89.22, 40.31 ], [ -89.23, 40.29 ], [ -89.24, 40.29 ], [ -89.26, 40.27 ], [ -89.24, 40.25 ], [ -89.24, 40.23 ], [ -89.19, 40.17 ], [ -89.19, 40.13 ], [ -89.2, 40.12 ], [ -89.26, 40.12 ], [ -89.29, 40.15 ], [ -89.31, 40.15 ], [ -89.35, 40.17 ], [ -89.36, 40.16 ], [ -89.38, 40.16 ], [ -89.42, 40.13 ], [ -89.48, 40.13 ], [ -89.52, 40.16 ], [ -89.55, 40.16 ], [ -89.55, 40.17 ], [ -89.57, 40.18 ], [ -89.57, 40.19 ], [ -89.59, 40.21 ], [ -89.6, 40.21 ], [ -89.61, 40.25 ], [ -89.63, 40.27 ], [ -89.65, 40.27 ], [ -89.69, 40.3 ], [ -89.69, 40.32 ], [ -89.71, 40.35 ], [ -89.7, 40.41 ], [ -89.66, 40.43 ], [ -89.63, 40.43 ], [ -89.59, 40.41 ], [ -89.58, 40.42 ], [ -89.59, 40.46 ], [ -89.55, 40.48 ], [ -89.55, 40.49 ], [ -89.52, 40.52 ], [ -89.51, 40.55 ], [ -89.49, 40.57 ], [ -89.49, 40.59 ], [ -89.51, 40.61 ], [ -89.53, 40.62 ], [ -89.56, 40.62 ], [ -89.61, 40.65 ], [ -89.63, 40.65 ], [ -89.67, 40.67 ], [ -89.69, 40.69 ], [ -89.68, 40.7 ], [ -89.68, 40.75 ], [ -89.66, 40.77 ], [ -89.65, 40.77 ], [ -89.59, 40.84 ], [ -89.57, 40.85 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "90411", "lat": 39.6816, "lon": -89.0063, "motion_east": 10.0, "motion_south": -1.0, "valid_time": "20260515_100039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.3862, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 68.0, "ebshear": 22.0, "srh01": 188.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 188.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 35.167 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 18.2429 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 2.0444 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.3862 }, "coherence_score": 2.0444045066833496, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 2.0444045066833496, "grad_tau": 0.06747262924909592, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 18.242935180664062, "S_field": 0.7260333895683289, "Gamma_field": 0.19386474788188934, "S_over_Gamma": 3.745051145553589, "Da": 12.317159652709961, "E_coh": 0.8294200301170349, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -88.95, 39.75 ], [ -88.94, 39.75 ], [ -88.94, 39.68 ], [ -88.98, 39.66 ], [ -89.0, 39.64 ], [ -89.0, 39.63 ], [ -89.01, 39.63 ], [ -89.04, 39.6 ], [ -89.09, 39.61 ], [ -89.09, 39.64 ], [ -89.08, 39.66 ], [ -89.05, 39.68 ], [ -89.03, 39.68 ], [ -89.01, 39.7 ], [ -89.01, 39.71 ], [ -88.99, 39.72 ], [ -88.99, 39.73 ], [ -88.97, 39.73 ], [ -88.95, 39.75 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "90509", "lat": 40.0283, "lon": -89.6442, "motion_east": 11.3, "motion_south": 0.9, "valid_time": "20260515_100039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.383, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 92.0, "ebshear": 17.0, "srh01": 235.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 235.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 29.917 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 17.3266 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.866 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.383 }, "coherence_score": 1.8659794330596924, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.8659794330596924, "grad_tau": 0.29056236147880554, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 17.326637268066406, "S_field": 0.6219509840011597, "Gamma_field": 0.3038647472858429, "S_over_Gamma": 2.046802043914795, "Da": 19.72273826599121, "E_coh": 0.8133557438850403, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -89.64, 40.06 ], [ -89.63, 40.05 ], [ -89.61, 40.05 ], [ -89.61, 40.02 ], [ -89.63, 40.0 ], [ -89.63, 39.99 ], [ -89.66, 39.99 ], [ -89.68, 40.01 ], [ -89.68, 40.02 ], [ -89.66, 40.04 ], [ -89.66, 40.05 ], [ -89.64, 40.06 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "90410", "lat": 39.7695, "lon": -91.0068, "motion_east": 11.5, "motion_south": 4.8, "valid_time": "20260515_100039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.3823, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1109.0, "ebshear": 18.0, "srh01": 439.0, "maxllaz": 0.006, "mesh": 0.72, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 439.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 26.667 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 18.2831 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.5522 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.006 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.3823 }, "coherence_score": 1.5522065162658691, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.5522065162658691, "grad_tau": 0.5763036608695984, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 18.28311538696289, "S_field": 0.6753091216087341, "Gamma_field": 0.2630314230918884, "S_over_Gamma": 2.567408561706543, "Da": 16.825170516967773, "E_coh": 0.8303312063217163, "singularity_count": 4.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 4, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": true, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -90.85, 39.91 ], [ -90.81, 39.91 ], [ -90.76, 39.85 ], [ -90.76, 39.83 ], [ -90.8, 39.81 ], [ -90.8, 39.77 ], [ -90.85, 39.72 ], [ -90.87, 39.72 ], [ -90.88, 39.71 ], [ -90.97, 39.71 ], [ -90.98, 39.7 ], [ -91.03, 39.7 ], [ -91.04, 39.69 ], [ -91.08, 39.69 ], [ -91.11, 39.72 ], [ -91.14, 39.72 ], [ -91.17, 39.68 ], [ -91.28, 39.68 ], [ -91.29, 39.69 ], [ -91.29, 39.74 ], [ -91.28, 39.75 ], [ -91.2, 39.75 ], [ -91.19, 39.76 ], [ -91.16, 39.76 ], [ -91.13, 39.79 ], [ -91.13, 39.8 ], [ -91.09, 39.76 ], [ -91.08, 39.77 ], [ -91.04, 39.77 ], [ -91.03, 39.78 ], [ -90.94, 39.78 ], [ -90.9, 39.8 ], [ -90.86, 39.8 ], [ -90.85, 39.82 ], [ -90.88, 39.84 ], [ -90.88, 39.88 ], [ -90.85, 39.91 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "90430", "lat": 39.7354, "lon": -90.6492, "motion_east": 11.4, "motion_south": 5.7, "valid_time": "20260515_100039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.3823, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1072.0, "ebshear": 14.0, "srh01": 388.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.27, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 388.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 26.667 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 18.2831 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.5522 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.3823 }, "coherence_score": 1.5522065162658691, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.5522065162658691, "grad_tau": 0.5763036608695984, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 18.28311538696289, "S_field": 0.6753091216087341, "Gamma_field": 0.2630314230918884, "S_over_Gamma": 2.567408561706543, "Da": 16.825170516967773, "E_coh": 0.8303312063217163, "singularity_count": 4.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 4, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": true, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -90.67, 39.8 ], [ -90.61, 39.8 ], [ -90.57, 39.76 ], [ -90.57, 39.69 ], [ -90.6, 39.66 ], [ -90.64, 39.66 ], [ -90.65, 39.68 ], [ -90.68, 39.71 ], [ -90.69, 39.71 ], [ -90.7, 39.73 ], [ -90.7, 39.77 ], [ -90.69, 39.79 ], [ -90.67, 39.8 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "90438", "lat": 39.41, "lon": -90.984, "motion_east": 11.2, "motion_south": 4.4, "valid_time": "20260515_100039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.3823, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 639.0, "ebshear": 14.0, "srh01": 403.0, "maxllaz": 0.004, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 403.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 26.667 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 18.2831 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.5522 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.004 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.3823 }, "coherence_score": 1.5522065162658691, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.5522065162658691, "grad_tau": 0.5763036608695984, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 18.28311538696289, "S_field": 0.6753091216087341, "Gamma_field": 0.2630314230918884, "S_over_Gamma": 2.567408561706543, "Da": 16.825170516967773, "E_coh": 0.8303312063217163, "singularity_count": 4.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 4, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": true, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -91.01, 39.44 ], [ -90.97, 39.44 ], [ -90.96, 39.42 ], [ -90.94, 39.41 ], [ -90.94, 39.4 ], [ -90.97, 39.37 ], [ -91.0, 39.37 ], [ -91.02, 39.39 ], [ -91.02, 39.42 ], [ -91.01, 39.44 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "90474", "lat": 39.9584, "lon": -90.5768, "motion_east": 11.5, "motion_south": 6.5, "valid_time": "20260515_100039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.3823, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1065.0, "ebshear": 16.0, "srh01": 383.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.13, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 383.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 26.667 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 18.2831 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.5522 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.3823 }, "coherence_score": 1.5522065162658691, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.5522065162658691, "grad_tau": 0.5763036608695984, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 18.28311538696289, "S_field": 0.6753091216087341, "Gamma_field": 0.2630314230918884, "S_over_Gamma": 2.567408561706543, "Da": 16.825170516967773, "E_coh": 0.8303312063217163, "singularity_count": 4.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 4, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": true, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -90.54, 40.02 ], [ -90.46, 40.02 ], [ -90.45, 40.01 ], [ -90.46, 39.95 ], [ -90.48, 39.93 ], [ -90.52, 39.92 ], [ -90.53, 39.91 ], [ -90.58, 39.91 ], [ -90.59, 39.9 ], [ -90.61, 39.91 ], [ -90.64, 39.91 ], [ -90.68, 39.93 ], [ -90.69, 39.95 ], [ -90.69, 39.99 ], [ -90.68, 40.0 ], [ -90.63, 39.99 ], [ -90.61, 39.97 ], [ -90.58, 39.97 ], [ -90.54, 40.02 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "90476", "lat": 39.8278, "lon": -88.9089, "motion_east": 10.3, "motion_south": -1.0, "valid_time": "20260515_100039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.3635, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 45.0, "ebshear": 15.0, "srh01": 178.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 178.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 35.167 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 18.2429 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 2.0444 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.3635 }, "coherence_score": 2.0444045066833496, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 2.0444045066833496, "grad_tau": 0.06747262924909592, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 18.242935180664062, "S_field": 0.7260333895683289, "Gamma_field": 0.19386474788188934, "S_over_Gamma": 3.745051145553589, "Da": 12.317159652709961, "E_coh": 0.8294200301170349, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -88.9, 39.87 ], [ -88.89, 39.87 ], [ -88.87, 39.85 ], [ -88.87, 39.81 ], [ -88.91, 39.78 ], [ -88.94, 39.78 ], [ -88.95, 39.79 ], [ -88.95, 39.83 ], [ -88.9, 39.87 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "90485", "lat": 47.4444, "lon": -88.6289, "motion_east": 5.4, "motion_south": -2.0, "valid_time": "20260515_100039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.2417, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 24.0, "ebshear": 21.0, "srh01": 180.0, "maxllaz": 0.0, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 180.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 16.042 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -3.273 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.6628 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.0 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.2417 }, "coherence_score": 1.6627693176269531, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.6627693176269531, "grad_tau": 0.5001221895217896, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -3.2729616165161133, "S_field": 0.8011171221733093, "Gamma_field": 0.18719807267189026, "S_over_Gamma": 4.279515743255615, "Da": 10.041204452514648, "E_coh": 0.8943179249763489, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": true, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -88.63, 47.49 ], [ -88.58, 47.49 ], [ -88.58, 47.45 ], [ -88.61, 47.41 ], [ -88.63, 47.4 ], [ -88.66, 47.4 ], [ -88.67, 47.41 ], [ -88.67, 47.46 ], [ -88.63, 47.49 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "90502", "lat": 47.6246, "lon": -88.5769, "motion_east": 5.4, "motion_south": -2.0, "valid_time": "20260515_100039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.2417, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 24.0, "ebshear": 24.0, "srh01": 213.0, "maxllaz": 0.0, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 213.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 16.042 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -3.273 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.6628 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.0 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.2417 }, "coherence_score": 1.6627693176269531, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.6627693176269531, "grad_tau": 0.5001221895217896, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -3.2729616165161133, "S_field": 0.8011171221733093, "Gamma_field": 0.18719807267189026, "S_over_Gamma": 4.279515743255615, "Da": 10.041204452514648, "E_coh": 0.8943179249763489, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": true, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -88.59, 47.67 ], [ -88.55, 47.66 ], [ -88.55, 47.65 ], [ -88.53, 47.63 ], [ -88.53, 47.6 ], [ -88.55, 47.58 ], [ -88.55, 47.57 ], [ -88.6, 47.57 ], [ -88.62, 47.6 ], [ -88.61, 47.62 ], [ -88.62, 47.64 ], [ -88.61, 47.66 ], [ -88.59, 47.67 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "90504", "lat": 42.7955, "lon": -78.3993, "motion_east": 5.4, "motion_south": -2.0, "valid_time": "20260515_100039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.2214, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 0.0, "ebshear": 0.0, "srh01": 163.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.07, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 163.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 11.042 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 7.4354 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.5147 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.2214 }, "coherence_score": 1.5146825313568115, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.5146825313568115, "grad_tau": 0.13927119970321655, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 7.435386657714844, "S_field": 0.3723059892654419, "Gamma_field": 0.20136474072933197, "S_over_Gamma": 1.848913550376892, "Da": 11.80280590057373, "E_coh": 0.5623569488525391, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -78.44, 42.83 ], [ -78.43, 42.82 ], [ -78.42, 42.82 ], [ -78.41, 42.82 ], [ -78.4, 42.82 ], [ -78.39, 42.82 ], [ -78.38, 42.82 ], [ -78.37, 42.83 ], [ -78.36, 42.83 ], [ -78.36, 42.82 ], [ -78.36, 42.81 ], [ -78.36, 42.8 ], [ -78.37, 42.8 ], [ -78.38, 42.79 ], [ -78.37, 42.78 ], [ -78.36, 42.78 ], [ -78.36, 42.77 ], [ -78.36, 42.76 ], [ -78.37, 42.75 ], [ -78.37, 42.74 ], [ -78.38, 42.74 ], [ -78.38, 42.75 ], [ -78.38, 42.76 ], [ -78.39, 42.77 ], [ -78.4, 42.77 ], [ -78.41, 42.77 ], [ -78.42, 42.77 ], [ -78.41, 42.78 ], [ -78.4, 42.78 ], [ -78.39, 42.78 ], [ -78.38, 42.79 ], [ -78.39, 42.8 ], [ -78.4, 42.81 ], [ -78.41, 42.81 ], [ -78.42, 42.81 ], [ -78.43, 42.81 ], [ -78.44, 42.8 ], [ -78.44, 42.79 ], [ -78.44, 42.8 ], [ -78.44, 42.81 ], [ -78.45, 42.82 ], [ -78.46, 42.82 ], [ -78.45, 42.82 ], [ -78.44, 42.83 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "90505", "lat": 42.6282, "lon": -78.2182, "motion_east": 5.4, "motion_south": -2.0, "valid_time": "20260515_100039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.2214, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1.0, "ebshear": 0.0, "srh01": 174.0, "maxllaz": 0.0, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 174.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 11.042 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 7.4354 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.5147 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.0 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.2214 }, "coherence_score": 1.5146825313568115, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.5146825313568115, "grad_tau": 0.13927119970321655, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 7.435386657714844, "S_field": 0.3723059892654419, "Gamma_field": 0.20136474072933197, "S_over_Gamma": 1.848913550376892, "Da": 11.80280590057373, "E_coh": 0.5623569488525391, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -78.18, 42.67 ], [ -78.17, 42.66 ], [ -78.17, 42.65 ], [ -78.17, 42.64 ], [ -78.17, 42.63 ], [ -78.17, 42.62 ], [ -78.17, 42.61 ], [ -78.17, 42.6 ], [ -78.17, 42.59 ], [ -78.17, 42.58 ], [ -78.18, 42.58 ], [ -78.19, 42.58 ], [ -78.2, 42.58 ], [ -78.21, 42.58 ], [ -78.22, 42.58 ], [ -78.23, 42.58 ], [ -78.24, 42.58 ], [ -78.25, 42.58 ], [ -78.25, 42.59 ], [ -78.24, 42.58 ], [ -78.23, 42.59 ], [ -78.22, 42.6 ], [ -78.22, 42.61 ], [ -78.22, 42.62 ], [ -78.22, 42.63 ], [ -78.22, 42.64 ], [ -78.22, 42.65 ], [ -78.23, 42.66 ], [ -78.24, 42.66 ], [ -78.25, 42.65 ], [ -78.26, 42.65 ], [ -78.27, 42.66 ], [ -78.28, 42.66 ], [ -78.29, 42.66 ], [ -78.28, 42.66 ], [ -78.27, 42.66 ], [ -78.26, 42.66 ], [ -78.25, 42.66 ], [ -78.24, 42.66 ], [ -78.23, 42.66 ], [ -78.22, 42.66 ], [ -78.21, 42.66 ], [ -78.2, 42.66 ], [ -78.19, 42.66 ], [ -78.18, 42.67 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "90501", "lat": 48.9679, "lon": -88.0314, "motion_east": 5.4, "motion_south": -2.0, "valid_time": "20260515_100039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.1613, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 26.0, "ebshear": 19.0, "srh01": 364.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 364.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 17.167 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -8.4205 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.0 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1613 }, "coherence_score": 0.0, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.0, "grad_tau": 1.088409662246704, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -8.420541763305664, "S_field": 0.8421586155891418, "Gamma_field": 0.18303140997886658, "S_over_Gamma": 4.601170063018799, "Da": 9.977770805358887, "E_coh": 0.9100540280342102, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": true, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": false } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -88.03, 49.01 ], [ -88.01, 49.01 ], [ -87.99, 48.99 ], [ -87.98, 48.95 ], [ -87.99, 48.95 ], [ -88.01, 48.93 ], [ -88.04, 48.93 ], [ -88.05, 48.92 ], [ -88.07, 48.94 ], [ -88.07, 48.96 ], [ -88.06, 48.97 ], [ -88.06, 48.99 ], [ -88.05, 48.99 ], [ -88.03, 49.01 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "90507", "lat": 37.8029, "lon": -97.54, "motion_east": 5.4, "motion_south": -2.0, "valid_time": "20260515_100039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.1475, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1876.0, "ebshear": 28.0, "srh01": 213.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 213.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 19.167 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 8.0299 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.2703 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1475 }, "coherence_score": 0.2702699601650238, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.2702699601650238, "grad_tau": 0.07460280507802963, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 8.029895782470703, "S_field": 0.18503563106060028, "Gamma_field": 1.2496980428695679, "S_over_Gamma": 0.1480642706155777, "Da": 80.49153900146484, "E_coh": 0.13095328211784363, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -97.57, 37.83 ], [ -97.5, 37.83 ], [ -97.5, 37.8 ], [ -97.52, 37.78 ], [ -97.55, 37.78 ], [ -97.57, 37.77 ], [ -97.57, 37.83 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "90191", "lat": 29.0469, "lon": -79.3731, "motion_east": 5.4, "motion_south": -2.0, "valid_time": "20260515_100039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0926, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1970.0, "ebshear": 15.0, "srh01": 42.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.25, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 42.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 19.792 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -1.2135 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.3501 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0926 }, "coherence_score": 0.3500829041004181, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.3500829041004181, "grad_tau": 0.07553020119667053, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -1.2134805917739868, "S_field": 0.03780873492360115, "Gamma_field": 0.22219808399677277, "S_over_Gamma": 0.170157790184021, "Da": 12.75540542602539, "E_coh": 0.2668246924877167, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 5, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -79.37, 29.12 ], [ -79.37, 29.09 ], [ -79.36, 29.08 ], [ -79.34, 29.08 ], [ -79.32, 29.06 ], [ -79.32, 29.01 ], [ -79.31, 29.0 ], [ -79.35, 28.97 ], [ -79.37, 28.99 ], [ -79.41, 28.99 ], [ -79.41, 29.01 ], [ -79.42, 29.02 ], [ -79.42, 29.05 ], [ -79.41, 29.06 ], [ -79.42, 29.1 ], [ -79.37, 29.12 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "90511", "lat": 29.06, "lon": -79.4836, "motion_east": 5.4, "motion_south": -2.0, "valid_time": "20260515_100039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0926, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 2179.0, "ebshear": 16.0, "srh01": 36.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.19, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 36.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 19.792 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -1.2135 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.3501 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0926 }, "coherence_score": 0.3500829041004181, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.3500829041004181, "grad_tau": 0.07553020119667053, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -1.2134805917739868, "S_field": 0.03780873492360115, "Gamma_field": 0.22219808399677277, "S_over_Gamma": 0.170157790184021, "Da": 12.75540542602539, "E_coh": 0.2668246924877167, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -79.49, 29.09 ], [ -79.44, 29.09 ], [ -79.45, 29.08 ], [ -79.45, 29.03 ], [ -79.47, 29.01 ], [ -79.51, 29.03 ], [ -79.51, 29.04 ], [ -79.49, 29.06 ], [ -79.5, 29.07 ], [ -79.52, 29.07 ], [ -79.49, 29.09 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "90510", "lat": 29.185, "lon": -79.36, "motion_east": 5.4, "motion_south": -2.0, "valid_time": "20260515_100039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.091, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1842.0, "ebshear": 16.0, "srh01": 40.0, "maxllaz": 0.0, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 40.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 19.792 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -1.2135 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.3501 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.0 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.091 }, "coherence_score": 0.3500829041004181, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.3500829041004181, "grad_tau": 0.07553020119667053, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -1.2134805917739868, "S_field": 0.03780873492360115, "Gamma_field": 0.22219808399677277, "S_over_Gamma": 0.170157790184021, "Da": 12.75540542602539, "E_coh": 0.2668246924877167, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -79.37, 29.22 ], [ -79.33, 29.21 ], [ -79.32, 29.18 ], [ -79.36, 29.14 ], [ -79.41, 29.14 ], [ -79.37, 29.22 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "90492", "lat": 28.862, "lon": -79.271, "motion_east": 5.4, "motion_south": -2.0, "valid_time": "20260515_100039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.088, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 2001.0, "ebshear": 17.0, "srh01": 47.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.39, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 47.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 19.792 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -1.2135 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.3501 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.088 }, "coherence_score": 0.3500829041004181, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.3500829041004181, "grad_tau": 0.07553020119667053, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -1.2134805917739868, "S_field": 0.03780873492360115, "Gamma_field": 0.22219808399677277, "S_over_Gamma": 0.170157790184021, "Da": 12.75540542602539, "E_coh": 0.2668246924877167, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -79.28, 28.94 ], [ -79.27, 28.93 ], [ -79.25, 28.93 ], [ -79.22, 28.89 ], [ -79.22, 28.87 ], [ -79.21, 28.86 ], [ -79.21, 28.81 ], [ -79.22, 28.8 ], [ -79.25, 28.8 ], [ -79.26, 28.79 ], [ -79.3, 28.79 ], [ -79.31, 28.8 ], [ -79.31, 28.82 ], [ -79.3, 28.83 ], [ -79.31, 28.84 ], [ -79.31, 28.88 ], [ -79.3, 28.89 ], [ -79.3, 28.91 ], [ -79.31, 28.92 ], [ -79.28, 28.94 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "90493", "lat": 27.914, "lon": -80.16, "motion_east": 5.4, "motion_south": -2.0, "valid_time": "20260515_100039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0744, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1840.0, "ebshear": 24.0, "srh01": 32.0, "maxllaz": 0.004, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 32.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 18.917 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -1.0413 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.2636 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.004 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0744 }, "coherence_score": 0.2635577321052551, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.2635577321052551, "grad_tau": 0.052105747163295746, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -1.0412583351135254, "S_field": 0.042948510497808456, "Gamma_field": 0.23803140223026276, "S_over_Gamma": 0.18043212592601776, "Da": 13.782191276550293, "E_coh": 0.2742442786693573, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -80.2, 27.96 ], [ -80.18, 27.96 ], [ -80.17, 27.95 ], [ -80.12, 27.95 ], [ -80.12, 27.89 ], [ -80.11, 27.88 ], [ -80.11, 27.86 ], [ -80.19, 27.86 ], [ -80.2, 27.87 ], [ -80.2, 27.96 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "90500", "lat": 26.915, "lon": -98.64, "motion_east": 5.4, "motion_south": -2.0, "valid_time": "20260515_100039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0622, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 111.0, "ebshear": 38.0, "srh01": 22.0, "maxllaz": 0.0, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 22.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 23.167 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 9.0038 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.3782 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.0 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0622 }, "coherence_score": 0.3782009482383728, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.3782009482383728, "grad_tau": 0.10470820218324661, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 9.003822326660156, "S_field": 0.19781029224395752, "Gamma_field": 0.19553141295909882, "S_over_Gamma": 1.0116548538208008, "Da": 12.00428581237793, "E_coh": 0.5849923491477966, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -98.66, 26.96 ], [ -98.62, 26.96 ], [ -98.62, 26.92 ], [ -98.63, 26.91 ], [ -98.63, 26.87 ], [ -98.64, 26.86 ], [ -98.66, 26.88 ], [ -98.66, 26.96 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "90481", "lat": 24.14, "lon": -79.3829, "motion_east": 5.4, "motion_south": -2.0, "valid_time": "20260515_100039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0536, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1574.0, "ebshear": 7.0, "srh01": 3.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.31, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 3.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 21.542 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -0.2045 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.0 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0536 }, "coherence_score": 0.0, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.0, "grad_tau": 0.22593702375888824, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -0.20445823669433594, "S_field": 0.1414220631122589, "Gamma_field": 0.9238647818565369, "S_over_Gamma": 0.15307658910751343, "Da": 56.11835861206055, "E_coh": 0.7594003677368164, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -79.43, 24.17 ], [ -79.34, 24.17 ], [ -79.32, 24.16 ], [ -79.32, 24.08 ], [ -79.42, 24.08 ], [ -79.42, 24.15 ], [ -79.43, 24.17 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "90399", "lat": 27.5422, "lon": -80.2111, "motion_east": 5.4, "motion_south": -2.0, "valid_time": "20260515_100039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0502, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 2111.0, "ebshear": 23.0, "srh01": 19.0, "maxllaz": 0.006, "mesh": 0.32, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 19.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 18.792 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -1.5672 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.2302 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.006 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0502 }, "coherence_score": 0.2301662564277649, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.2301662564277649, "grad_tau": 0.045390304177999496, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -1.5671998262405396, "S_field": 0.044175390154123306, "Gamma_field": 0.2555314302444458, "S_over_Gamma": 0.1728765368461609, "Da": 15.089759826660156, "E_coh": 0.24521036446094513, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -80.22, 27.58 ], [ -80.19, 27.58 ], [ -80.17, 27.55 ], [ -80.17, 27.52 ], [ -80.19, 27.5 ], [ -80.24, 27.5 ], [ -80.25, 27.52 ], [ -80.25, 27.55 ], [ -80.22, 27.58 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "90443", "lat": 24.2493, "lon": -79.0293, "motion_east": 5.4, "motion_south": -2.0, "valid_time": "20260515_100039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0496, "risk_band": "minimal", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1876.0, "ebshear": 7.0, "srh01": 6.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.5, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 6.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 21.542 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -0.2045 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.0 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0496 }, "coherence_score": 0.0, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.0, "grad_tau": 0.22593702375888824, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -0.20445823669433594, "S_field": 0.1414220631122589, "Gamma_field": 0.9238647818565369, "S_over_Gamma": 0.15307658910751343, "Da": 56.11835861206055, "E_coh": 0.7594003677368164, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -79.05, 24.3 ], [ -79.04, 24.26 ], [ -79.02, 24.24 ], [ -79.0, 24.26 ], [ -78.99, 24.25 ], [ -78.98, 24.26 ], [ -78.98, 24.25 ], [ -78.96, 24.23 ], [ -79.0, 24.19 ], [ -79.09, 24.19 ], [ -79.09, 24.22 ], [ -79.07, 24.24 ], [ -79.06, 24.26 ], [ -79.06, 24.29 ], [ -79.05, 24.3 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "90466", "lat": 24.207, "lon": -78.1705, "motion_east": 8.0, "motion_south": 5.0, "valid_time": "20260515_100039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0449, "risk_band": "minimal", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1920.0, "ebshear": 10.0, "srh01": 2.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.42, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 2.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 21.792 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 0.2955 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.0 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0449 }, "coherence_score": 0.0, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.0, "grad_tau": 0.2791918218135834, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.29554176330566406, "S_field": 0.07720448076725006, "Gamma_field": 1.3113646507263184, "S_over_Gamma": 0.058873388916254044, "Da": 79.35688781738281, "E_coh": 0.2399091124534607, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -78.21, 24.3 ], [ -78.15, 24.29 ], [ -78.15, 24.28 ], [ -78.13, 24.26 ], [ -78.13, 24.24 ], [ -78.11, 24.22 ], [ -78.1, 24.23 ], [ -78.09, 24.22 ], [ -78.1, 24.2 ], [ -78.11, 24.21 ], [ -78.15, 24.17 ], [ -78.16, 24.14 ], [ -78.18, 24.12 ], [ -78.22, 24.12 ], [ -78.23, 24.13 ], [ -78.25, 24.13 ], [ -78.25, 24.15 ], [ -78.24, 24.16 ], [ -78.24, 24.27 ], [ -78.21, 24.3 ] ] ] } }, { "storm_id": "90315", "lat": 24.1131, "lon": -78.0069, "motion_east": 7.8, "motion_south": 4.6, "valid_time": "20260515_100039 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0447, "risk_band": "minimal", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1993.0, "ebshear": 14.0, "srh01": 10.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.3, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 10.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 21.792 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 0.2955 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.0 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0447 }, "coherence_score": 0.0, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.0, "grad_tau": 0.2791918218135834, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.29554176330566406, "S_field": 0.07720448076725006, "Gamma_field": 1.3113646507263184, "S_over_Gamma": 0.058873388916254044, "Da": 79.35688781738281, "E_coh": 0.2399091124534607, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 3, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -78.02, 24.16 ], [ -77.98, 24.14 ], [ -77.95, 24.14 ], [ -77.93, 24.13 ], [ -77.9, 24.1 ], [ -77.9, 24.05 ], [ -78.07, 24.05 ], [ -78.08, 24.06 ], [ -78.08, 24.1 ], [ -78.06, 24.12 ], [ -78.06, 24.13 ], [ -78.04, 24.13 ], [ -78.02, 24.16 ] ] ] } } ] }