{ "forecast_id": "to_fcst_20260715_1035", "hazard": "tornado", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "forecast_horizon_hours": 24, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "scoring_tier_label": "ML (pre-trained gradient-boosted trees)", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "n_active_storms": 99, "top_probability": 0.0241, "source_artifacts": [ "/data/live-tornadoes.json", "/data/tornado-storms.geojson" ], "storms": [ { "storm_id": "913253", "lat": 28.9656, "lon": -95.5189, "motion_east": -1.0, "motion_south": -7.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0241, "risk_band": "very_high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 2106.0, "ebshear": 38.0, "srh01": 95.0, "maxllaz": 0.004, "mesh": 0.51, "flash_rate": 6.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 95.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 54.1941 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -4.8003 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 3.1605 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.004 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.7448 }, "coherence_score": 3.1604628562927246, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 3.1604628562927246, "grad_tau": 0.6483634114265442, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -4.800304412841797, "S_field": 1.450178861618042, "Gamma_field": 0.18914712965488434, "S_over_Gamma": 7.666935443878174, "Da": 12.458523750305176, "E_coh": 0.892678439617157, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": true, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -95.54, 29.0 ], [ -95.51, 29.0 ], [ -95.48, 28.98 ], [ -95.48, 28.94 ], [ -95.5, 28.92 ], [ -95.52, 28.92 ], [ -95.55, 28.94 ], [ -95.55, 28.99 ], [ -95.54, 29.0 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.7448, "confidence_lo": 0.0227, "confidence_hi": 0.0242, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "d70139049ae85ad74a711b8f7680cee60128394958583928bff863f74dd1c5bb", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.7448, "probability": 0.024133, "confidence_lo": 0.022659, "confidence_hi": 0.024169, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "4484f945c7362f6a07fdad0802dbd02c7b3a3a1b1b68ad2cbee3a7298911b6d3" }, "receipt_sha256": "4484f945c7362f6a07fdad0802dbd02c7b3a3a1b1b68ad2cbee3a7298911b6d3" }, { "storm_id": "913438", "lat": 28.8625, "lon": -95.41, "motion_east": -1.0, "motion_south": -7.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0241, "risk_band": "very_high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 3127.0, "ebshear": 41.0, "srh01": 79.0, "maxllaz": 0.005, "mesh": 0.32, "flash_rate": 5.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 79.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 54.1941 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -4.8003 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 3.1605 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.005 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.7271 }, "coherence_score": 3.1604628562927246, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 3.1604628562927246, "grad_tau": 0.6483634114265442, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -4.800304412841797, "S_field": 1.450178861618042, "Gamma_field": 0.18914712965488434, "S_over_Gamma": 7.666935443878174, "Da": 12.458523750305176, "E_coh": 0.892678439617157, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": true, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -95.41, 28.9 ], [ -95.37, 28.88 ], [ -95.37, 28.84 ], [ -95.39, 28.82 ], [ -95.44, 28.82 ], [ -95.45, 28.86 ], [ -95.44, 28.88 ], [ -95.41, 28.9 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.7271, "confidence_lo": 0.0227, "confidence_hi": 0.0242, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "154ea77c7581aaede0a1d9f53f300aff09b0d5e25791a2219096ea9447497472", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.7271, "probability": 0.024133, "confidence_lo": 0.022659, "confidence_hi": 0.024169, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "cad6097b05f8039d983ba11150498ea0343e41a2e0a5d1d5675cbc536eef15cc" }, "receipt_sha256": "cad6097b05f8039d983ba11150498ea0343e41a2e0a5d1d5675cbc536eef15cc" }, { "storm_id": "913461", "lat": 29.9633, "lon": -94.4617, "motion_east": 3.5, "motion_south": 0.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0208, "risk_band": "very_high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 2033.0, "ebshear": 32.0, "srh01": 82.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.04, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 82.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 55.3191 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -8.4561 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 3.2244 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.003 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.6901 }, "coherence_score": 3.224414825439453, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 3.224414825439453, "grad_tau": 0.6121577024459839, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -8.456117630004883, "S_field": 1.4305408000946045, "Gamma_field": 0.16414713859558105, "S_over_Gamma": 8.714990615844727, "Da": 10.983485221862793, "E_coh": 0.8153505325317383, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": true, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -94.49, 29.99 ], [ -94.43, 29.99 ], [ -94.43, 29.94 ], [ -94.44, 29.93 ], [ -94.49, 29.94 ], [ -94.49, 29.99 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.6901, "confidence_lo": 0.0197, "confidence_hi": 0.0208, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "6a0b50bae53aa1555167ce08594b2350d4fa22d1dad0c9d332a7f70f62b008cd", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.6901, "probability": 0.020788, "confidence_lo": 0.019733, "confidence_hi": 0.020811, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "3242c0c6f9820dc73772beee3c7b2950e3c8aad6b787115de027c0970c15fdfa" }, "receipt_sha256": "3242c0c6f9820dc73772beee3c7b2950e3c8aad6b787115de027c0970c15fdfa" }, { "storm_id": "913049", "lat": 29.9962, "lon": -97.3113, "motion_east": 3.5, "motion_south": 0.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0204, "risk_band": "very_high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1644.0, "ebshear": 27.0, "srh01": 99.0, "maxllaz": 0.004, "mesh": 0.15, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 99.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 49.0691 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -3.3863 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.6419 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.004 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.6719 }, "coherence_score": 1.6419274806976318, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.6419274806976318, "grad_tau": 0.4620918035507202, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -3.3863072395324707, "S_field": 0.7336364984512329, "Gamma_field": 0.21248047053813934, "S_over_Gamma": 3.4527244567871094, "Da": 13.29935073852539, "E_coh": 0.5796700119972229, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 3, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -97.31, 30.04 ], [ -97.27, 30.01 ], [ -97.27, 29.98 ], [ -97.29, 29.96 ], [ -97.34, 29.96 ], [ -97.35, 29.97 ], [ -97.35, 30.01 ], [ -97.31, 30.04 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.6719, "confidence_lo": 0.0197, "confidence_hi": 0.0204, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "52a69c45f62532e5a38780a8826dbde864110c6d6c04c4f10f37c54124e39d97", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.6719, "probability": 0.020356, "confidence_lo": 0.019727, "confidence_hi": 0.020369, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "d6c4d5709c51f570d570496d0ef7c8a4ccfafee802df890c80750e79663bb45e" }, "receipt_sha256": "d6c4d5709c51f570d570496d0ef7c8a4ccfafee802df890c80750e79663bb45e" }, { "storm_id": "913020", "lat": 29.1567, "lon": -95.4156, "motion_east": 0.0, "motion_south": -7.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0204, "risk_band": "very_high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1689.0, "ebshear": 37.0, "srh01": 60.0, "maxllaz": 0.006, "mesh": 0.08, "flash_rate": 1.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 60.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 54.1941 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -4.8003 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 3.1605 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.006 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.6676 }, "coherence_score": 3.1604628562927246, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 3.1604628562927246, "grad_tau": 0.6483634114265442, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -4.800304412841797, "S_field": 1.450178861618042, "Gamma_field": 0.18914712965488434, "S_over_Gamma": 7.666935443878174, "Da": 12.458523750305176, "E_coh": 0.892678439617157, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": true, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 3, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -95.43, 29.19 ], [ -95.39, 29.19 ], [ -95.38, 29.18 ], [ -95.38, 29.13 ], [ -95.39, 29.12 ], [ -95.44, 29.11 ], [ -95.45, 29.13 ], [ -95.45, 29.17 ], [ -95.43, 29.19 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.6676, "confidence_lo": 0.0197, "confidence_hi": 0.0204, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "602a59303f21c5723f01973cd3cc79c3cbf9645d5346fc321ba52721ed5f15a5", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.6676, "probability": 0.020356, "confidence_lo": 0.019727, "confidence_hi": 0.020369, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "c0eee994aa1f81befae6af002e28ff59e88321234469e84ba56b802f764c29d4" }, "receipt_sha256": "c0eee994aa1f81befae6af002e28ff59e88321234469e84ba56b802f764c29d4" }, { "storm_id": "913076", "lat": 29.4962, "lon": -95.1463, "motion_east": 1.2, "motion_south": -5.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0166, "risk_band": "very_high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 2409.0, "ebshear": 35.0, "srh01": 50.0, "maxllaz": 0.007, "mesh": 0.05, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 50.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 52.1941 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -5.8639 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 2.8509 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.007 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.6279 }, "coherence_score": 2.850947380065918, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 2.850947380065918, "grad_tau": 0.7371712327003479, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -5.8639116287231445, "S_field": 1.1791889667510986, "Gamma_field": 0.16331380605697632, "S_over_Gamma": 7.2203874588012695, "Da": 10.92734146118164, "E_coh": 0.8463844656944275, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": true, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 3, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -95.18, 29.53 ], [ -95.13, 29.53 ], [ -95.11, 29.51 ], [ -95.11, 29.47 ], [ -95.12, 29.46 ], [ -95.16, 29.46 ], [ -95.18, 29.48 ], [ -95.18, 29.53 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.6279, "confidence_lo": 0.0133, "confidence_hi": 0.0167, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "929ab3bb1fc2911c5f95a4f198e37fa5a07bcb8f8037c3d91a4b006bbb29404e", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.6279, "probability": 0.016645, "confidence_lo": 0.013333, "confidence_hi": 0.016701, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "cfbaa882321adb7fda5713e3d4d54740bd304ca6832f7b771c7a2edd7f6e706a" }, "receipt_sha256": "cfbaa882321adb7fda5713e3d4d54740bd304ca6832f7b771c7a2edd7f6e706a" }, { "storm_id": "913256", "lat": 29.9511, "lon": -93.8967, "motion_east": 3.5, "motion_south": 0.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0071, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 2039.0, "ebshear": 28.0, "srh01": 74.0, "maxllaz": 0.004, "mesh": 0.44, "flash_rate": 9.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 74.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 52.1941 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -7.6049 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 3.1882 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.004 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.4353 }, "coherence_score": 3.1881625652313232, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 3.1881625652313232, "grad_tau": 0.6210125088691711, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -7.604866027832031, "S_field": 1.0764169692993164, "Gamma_field": 0.24581380188465118, "S_over_Gamma": 4.378993034362793, "Da": 16.530012130737305, "E_coh": 0.7983130812644958, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": true, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -93.91, 29.99 ], [ -93.88, 29.99 ], [ -93.86, 29.97 ], [ -93.86, 29.92 ], [ -93.87, 29.91 ], [ -93.91, 29.91 ], [ -93.93, 29.92 ], [ -93.94, 29.96 ], [ -93.91, 29.99 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.4353, "confidence_lo": 0.0069, "confidence_hi": 0.0071, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "9da90cfa2e5a8d34187ae87e4131549e3fd2204cd501170a7badb8f4991dd03b", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.4353, "probability": 0.007062, "confidence_lo": 0.006932, "confidence_hi": 0.007063, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "4302e052abd4905c19e87c71ee61ac41dcea366560246e27be8854e7e3c31a7e" }, "receipt_sha256": "4302e052abd4905c19e87c71ee61ac41dcea366560246e27be8854e7e3c31a7e" }, { "storm_id": "913393", "lat": 28.8825, "lon": -96.6525, "motion_east": 0.9, "motion_south": -4.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0035, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 3316.0, "ebshear": 32.0, "srh01": 83.0, "maxllaz": 0.004, "mesh": 0.49, "flash_rate": 10.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 83.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 52.9441 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 0.9764 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 2.2957 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.004 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.3561 }, "coherence_score": 2.295675277709961, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 2.295675277709961, "grad_tau": 0.7701233625411987, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.9763752222061157, "S_field": 0.7913645505905151, "Gamma_field": 0.269147127866745, "S_over_Gamma": 2.940267562866211, "Da": 17.20319175720215, "E_coh": 0.7997621297836304, "singularity_count": 4.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 4, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": true, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -96.68, 28.91 ], [ -96.63, 28.91 ], [ -96.62, 28.9 ], [ -96.62, 28.87 ], [ -96.64, 28.85 ], [ -96.67, 28.85 ], [ -96.68, 28.86 ], [ -96.68, 28.91 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.3561, "confidence_lo": 0.0034, "confidence_hi": 0.0035, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "4eef27b669b02b0931c9c0c910ccec985d89174cf8b299aa1302625baa47d0ae", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.3561, "probability": 0.003487, "confidence_lo": 0.003373, "confidence_hi": 0.003487, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ce858ceaa6260389cdae2384eb36541f3e3ce0ea49b432d8fcc42b618c436f33" }, "receipt_sha256": "ce858ceaa6260389cdae2384eb36541f3e3ce0ea49b432d8fcc42b618c436f33" }, { "storm_id": "913446", "lat": 44.8864, "lon": -74.1345, "motion_east": 3.5, "motion_south": 0.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0035, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 789.0, "ebshear": 73.0, "srh01": 52.0, "maxllaz": 0.0, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 52.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 36.0691 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 11.9706 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.6263 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.0 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.2967 }, "coherence_score": 1.6262829303741455, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.6262829303741455, "grad_tau": 0.05368560925126076, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 11.9706449508667, "S_field": 0.7626485824584961, "Gamma_field": 0.1699804663658142, "S_over_Gamma": 4.4866838455200195, "Da": 8.762686729431152, "E_coh": 0.6340577602386475, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": false } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -74.15, 44.93 ], [ -74.13, 44.93 ], [ -74.12, 44.92 ], [ -74.13, 44.91 ], [ -74.13, 44.86 ], [ -74.11, 44.85 ], [ -74.11, 44.84 ], [ -74.13, 44.83 ], [ -74.16, 44.83 ], [ -74.16, 44.92 ], [ -74.15, 44.93 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.2967, "confidence_lo": 0.0034, "confidence_hi": 0.0035, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "1414173a81cd81b580438a33af7ffbff7cafbba72a23f7fa9291528e91b69e4a", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.2967, "probability": 0.003487, "confidence_lo": 0.003373, "confidence_hi": 0.003487, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "90584221793cc5b53c6ffd6bf937246fb4aa8a07bd662b35d46ba42bce80bff3" }, "receipt_sha256": "90584221793cc5b53c6ffd6bf937246fb4aa8a07bd662b35d46ba42bce80bff3" }, { "storm_id": "913135", "lat": 48.7927, "lon": -104.8168, "motion_east": 5.2, "motion_south": -5.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0027, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 805.0, "ebshear": 32.0, "srh01": 133.0, "maxllaz": 0.005, "mesh": 0.17, "flash_rate": 2.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 133.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 31.8191 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -1.1314 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.0 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.005 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.2323 }, "coherence_score": 0.0, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.0, "grad_tau": 0.3543832302093506, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -1.1314277648925781, "S_field": 0.21942678093910217, "Gamma_field": 0.1883137971162796, "S_over_Gamma": 1.1652188301086426, "Da": 12.277546882629395, "E_coh": 0.4844643771648407, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -104.8, 48.9 ], [ -104.76, 48.9 ], [ -104.74, 48.89 ], [ -104.69, 48.84 ], [ -104.69, 48.78 ], [ -104.71, 48.76 ], [ -104.79, 48.75 ], [ -104.82, 48.71 ], [ -104.82, 48.68 ], [ -104.83, 48.67 ], [ -104.86, 48.67 ], [ -104.88, 48.69 ], [ -104.88, 48.72 ], [ -104.89, 48.73 ], [ -104.89, 48.78 ], [ -104.88, 48.79 ], [ -104.88, 48.81 ], [ -104.86, 48.83 ], [ -104.86, 48.86 ], [ -104.83, 48.89 ], [ -104.81, 48.89 ], [ -104.8, 48.9 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.2323, "confidence_lo": 0.0025, "confidence_hi": 0.0027, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "02f3d8bfa8f21557af8d3deea5f0ee9d0c6183d4c5d2bd7557a5c743bc039f56", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.2323, "probability": 0.002658, "confidence_lo": 0.002474, "confidence_hi": 0.002659, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "751f3a1621dc9e88efa96a3551089a1c60663d8a66b1190511ebfaa9109b162c" }, "receipt_sha256": "751f3a1621dc9e88efa96a3551089a1c60663d8a66b1190511ebfaa9109b162c" }, { "storm_id": "913416", "lat": 28.9933, "lon": -97.0789, "motion_east": 1.6, "motion_south": -3.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0021, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 2809.0, "ebshear": 35.0, "srh01": 75.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.16, "flash_rate": 1.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 75.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 51.0691 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 0.1832 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.6209 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.003 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.2188 }, "coherence_score": 1.6208760738372803, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.6208760738372803, "grad_tau": 0.579343318939209, "torsion": 8.07436872918288e-09, "alignment": 0.1832261085510254, "S_field": 0.417672336101532, "Gamma_field": 0.30581381916999817, "S_over_Gamma": 1.3657732009887695, "Da": 19.671356201171875, "E_coh": 0.8515395522117615, "singularity_count": 4.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 4, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": true, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -97.1, 29.03 ], [ -97.05, 29.03 ], [ -97.03, 29.01 ], [ -97.03, 28.97 ], [ -97.05, 28.95 ], [ -97.11, 28.95 ], [ -97.12, 28.96 ], [ -97.12, 29.01 ], [ -97.1, 29.03 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.2188, "confidence_lo": 0.0021, "confidence_hi": 0.0021, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "ad0edc66638909f30b7258c450b9950241190bd85b04f6fa224ec281e86e956c", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.2188, "probability": 0.002149, "confidence_lo": 0.002118, "confidence_hi": 0.002149, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "475e8a464aa886bb8ec3709c6223389e04096eb47088143dca6991374711ff5a" }, "receipt_sha256": "475e8a464aa886bb8ec3709c6223389e04096eb47088143dca6991374711ff5a" }, { "storm_id": "913448", "lat": 42.5167, "lon": -77.5339, "motion_east": 3.5, "motion_south": 0.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0021, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1447.0, "ebshear": 46.0, "srh01": 99.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.12, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 99.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 36.9441 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 1.0324 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.7875 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.2096 }, "coherence_score": 0.7875136137008667, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.7875136137008667, "grad_tau": 0.1394527703523636, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 1.0323548316955566, "S_field": 0.6790286302566528, "Gamma_field": 0.5966472029685974, "S_over_Gamma": 1.1380739212036133, "Da": 32.851131439208984, "E_coh": 0.7453418374061584, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -77.52, 42.59 ], [ -77.5, 42.59 ], [ -77.51, 42.54 ], [ -77.47, 42.52 ], [ -77.48, 42.48 ], [ -77.46, 42.45 ], [ -77.54, 42.44 ], [ -77.55, 42.45 ], [ -77.55, 42.47 ], [ -77.57, 42.49 ], [ -77.58, 42.49 ], [ -77.59, 42.51 ], [ -77.58, 42.52 ], [ -77.6, 42.53 ], [ -77.53, 42.53 ], [ -77.52, 42.54 ], [ -77.54, 42.57 ], [ -77.52, 42.59 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.2096, "confidence_lo": 0.0021, "confidence_hi": 0.0021, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "d97b41c5a8af2d273a7d79a41e84eb21bc55c9a9583028e2605b3b92456d96f4", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.2096, "probability": 0.002149, "confidence_lo": 0.002118, "confidence_hi": 0.002149, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "aaa1137a37b8840af5a2588fd73cbd02223a5390b694d1f4c08b7334e696c5bf" }, "receipt_sha256": "aaa1137a37b8840af5a2588fd73cbd02223a5390b694d1f4c08b7334e696c5bf" }, { "storm_id": "913252", "lat": 29.1394, "lon": -97.3528, "motion_east": 3.5, "motion_south": 0.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0021, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 2482.0, "ebshear": 35.0, "srh01": 91.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.03, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 91.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 51.0691 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 0.1832 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.6209 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.2023 }, "coherence_score": 1.6208760738372803, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.6208760738372803, "grad_tau": 0.579343318939209, "torsion": 8.07436872918288e-09, "alignment": 0.1832261085510254, "S_field": 0.417672336101532, "Gamma_field": 0.30581381916999817, "S_over_Gamma": 1.3657732009887695, "Da": 19.671356201171875, "E_coh": 0.8515395522117615, "singularity_count": 4.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 4, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": true, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -97.4, 29.2 ], [ -97.36, 29.2 ], [ -97.35, 29.19 ], [ -97.35, 29.16 ], [ -97.33, 29.14 ], [ -97.25, 29.14 ], [ -97.25, 29.09 ], [ -97.26, 29.08 ], [ -97.31, 29.08 ], [ -97.31, 29.11 ], [ -97.34, 29.13 ], [ -97.36, 29.13 ], [ -97.38, 29.11 ], [ -97.42, 29.11 ], [ -97.43, 29.12 ], [ -97.42, 29.14 ], [ -97.43, 29.18 ], [ -97.4, 29.2 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.2023, "confidence_lo": 0.0021, "confidence_hi": 0.0021, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "9d6a027a88278916264741cc2703d9508785cf5751969966205a957af5446928", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.2023, "probability": 0.002149, "confidence_lo": 0.002118, "confidence_hi": 0.002149, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "118e44ba3ed86dc46fb8e80de9a78a76b9eb1d2b8d35ef28d1b952169a1c31f8" }, "receipt_sha256": "118e44ba3ed86dc46fb8e80de9a78a76b9eb1d2b8d35ef28d1b952169a1c31f8" }, { "storm_id": "913436", "lat": 29.4988, "lon": -98.4725, "motion_east": 3.4, "motion_south": 0.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0021, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 2216.0, "ebshear": 25.0, "srh01": 71.0, "maxllaz": 0.008, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 71.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 45.8191 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -3.4595 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.2249 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.008 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1966 }, "coherence_score": 1.2249488830566406, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.2249488830566406, "grad_tau": 0.36330825090408325, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -3.459486961364746, "S_field": 0.4055578410625458, "Gamma_field": 0.28248047828674316, "S_over_Gamma": 1.4357022047042847, "Da": 17.585798263549805, "E_coh": 0.700123131275177, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -98.48, 29.53 ], [ -98.44, 29.52 ], [ -98.44, 29.48 ], [ -98.45, 29.47 ], [ -98.49, 29.47 ], [ -98.5, 29.48 ], [ -98.5, 29.51 ], [ -98.48, 29.53 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1966, "confidence_lo": 0.0021, "confidence_hi": 0.0021, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "f01c588548e42dc10de8f453cfbefa4fc06fde3d09c70699ae2eb5c91929b4df", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.1966, "probability": 0.002149, "confidence_lo": 0.002118, "confidence_hi": 0.002149, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "539b15e12b98eb2e7d921de1da6c3f7662531731f3cab156e08dbe591ffbcf14" }, "receipt_sha256": "539b15e12b98eb2e7d921de1da6c3f7662531731f3cab156e08dbe591ffbcf14" }, { "storm_id": "913449", "lat": 42.3723, "lon": -77.6003, "motion_east": 3.5, "motion_south": 0.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0021, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1481.0, "ebshear": 43.0, "srh01": 117.0, "maxllaz": 0.0, "mesh": 0.47, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 117.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 36.9441 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 1.0324 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.7875 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.0 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1934 }, "coherence_score": 0.7875136137008667, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.7875136137008667, "grad_tau": 0.1394527703523636, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 1.0323548316955566, "S_field": 0.6790286302566528, "Gamma_field": 0.5966472029685974, "S_over_Gamma": 1.1380739212036133, "Da": 32.851131439208984, "E_coh": 0.7453418374061584, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -77.61, 42.42 ], [ -77.6, 42.41 ], [ -77.6, 42.4 ], [ -77.59, 42.39 ], [ -77.58, 42.39 ], [ -77.57, 42.39 ], [ -77.56, 42.39 ], [ -77.55, 42.39 ], [ -77.55, 42.38 ], [ -77.54, 42.37 ], [ -77.55, 42.36 ], [ -77.56, 42.36 ], [ -77.57, 42.36 ], [ -77.58, 42.36 ], [ -77.59, 42.36 ], [ -77.6, 42.36 ], [ -77.61, 42.35 ], [ -77.62, 42.34 ], [ -77.63, 42.33 ], [ -77.64, 42.33 ], [ -77.63, 42.33 ], [ -77.62, 42.34 ], [ -77.63, 42.35 ], [ -77.64, 42.35 ], [ -77.64, 42.36 ], [ -77.64, 42.37 ], [ -77.63, 42.38 ], [ -77.63, 42.39 ], [ -77.62, 42.4 ], [ -77.62, 42.41 ], [ -77.61, 42.42 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1934, "confidence_lo": 0.0021, "confidence_hi": 0.0021, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "4703cbca1a59973e0282b18495173f3a0b0ac88c4cdb5ff65b85fa1c81cb2a74", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.1934, "probability": 0.002149, "confidence_lo": 0.002118, "confidence_hi": 0.002149, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "b05c9a242f47cfb4c0478cadd590f47d2181d45a15efd40dd49ea5a34e29ef0e" }, "receipt_sha256": "b05c9a242f47cfb4c0478cadd590f47d2181d45a15efd40dd49ea5a34e29ef0e" }, { "storm_id": "913225", "lat": 29.1392, "lon": -95.0662, "motion_east": 0.4, "motion_south": -7.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0021, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 3351.0, "ebshear": 33.0, "srh01": 16.0, "maxllaz": 0.006, "mesh": 0.47, "flash_rate": 20.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 16.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 54.1941 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -4.8003 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 3.1605 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.006 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1909 }, "coherence_score": 3.1604628562927246, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 3.1604628562927246, "grad_tau": 0.6483634114265442, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -4.800304412841797, "S_field": 1.450178861618042, "Gamma_field": 0.18914712965488434, "S_over_Gamma": 7.666935443878174, "Da": 12.458523750305176, "E_coh": 0.892678439617157, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": true, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -95.12, 29.25 ], [ -95.09, 29.25 ], [ -94.97, 29.13 ], [ -94.97, 29.08 ], [ -94.99, 29.06 ], [ -95.01, 29.05 ], [ -95.04, 29.05 ], [ -95.06, 29.06 ], [ -95.08, 29.1 ], [ -95.13, 29.15 ], [ -95.14, 29.17 ], [ -95.14, 29.21 ], [ -95.12, 29.25 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1909, "confidence_lo": 0.0021, "confidence_hi": 0.0021, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "f0ff9840aee25c8f5a2090b179eeacdacf5d7178c987c4a5ac6ef1fa5ff69487", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.1909, "probability": 0.002149, "confidence_lo": 0.002118, "confidence_hi": 0.002149, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "9e86980329f4cf329e798f543c2653b9cbccf45f2c6d3bfa88f48b0b684d3197" }, "receipt_sha256": "9e86980329f4cf329e798f543c2653b9cbccf45f2c6d3bfa88f48b0b684d3197" }, { "storm_id": "913221", "lat": 48.594, "lon": -98.316, "motion_east": 8.6, "motion_south": 0.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0021, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 733.0, "ebshear": 33.0, "srh01": 58.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.07, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 58.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 38.1941 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -1.2369 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.4243 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1873 }, "coherence_score": 0.4242856800556183, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.4242856800556183, "grad_tau": 0.33686745166778564, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -1.2369166612625122, "S_field": 0.2999158501625061, "Gamma_field": 0.19914713501930237, "S_over_Gamma": 1.506001353263855, "Da": 12.101507186889648, "E_coh": 0.33155137300491333, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -98.27, 48.67 ], [ -98.23, 48.67 ], [ -98.21, 48.65 ], [ -98.21, 48.62 ], [ -98.26, 48.55 ], [ -98.28, 48.55 ], [ -98.33, 48.52 ], [ -98.36, 48.52 ], [ -98.37, 48.53 ], [ -98.4, 48.53 ], [ -98.43, 48.56 ], [ -98.43, 48.6 ], [ -98.37, 48.63 ], [ -98.32, 48.64 ], [ -98.27, 48.67 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1873, "confidence_lo": 0.0021, "confidence_hi": 0.0021, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "3679a2c72bf4b60ff2956f3b7638609cc079d8d06e1d15ce400281e8c343f59c", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.1873, "probability": 0.002149, "confidence_lo": 0.002118, "confidence_hi": 0.002149, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "d608110c1c06437df4221144ae04034e119e43dc095287410eaa8e2a3714fb0e" }, "receipt_sha256": "d608110c1c06437df4221144ae04034e119e43dc095287410eaa8e2a3714fb0e" }, { "storm_id": "913215", "lat": 31.0605, "lon": -97.6652, "motion_east": 1.3, "motion_south": -6.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0021, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1096.0, "ebshear": 13.0, "srh01": 37.0, "maxllaz": 0.004, "mesh": 0.14, "flash_rate": 1.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 37.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 42.1941 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -5.2116 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.1017 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.004 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1833 }, "coherence_score": 1.1017439365386963, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.1017439365386963, "grad_tau": 0.23019073903560638, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -5.211573123931885, "S_field": 0.11174534261226654, "Gamma_field": 0.2949804663658142, "S_over_Gamma": 0.37882286310195923, "Da": 18.05327606201172, "E_coh": 0.3651420474052429, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -97.7, 31.15 ], [ -97.66, 31.15 ], [ -97.64, 31.14 ], [ -97.62, 31.12 ], [ -97.58, 31.1 ], [ -97.57, 31.08 ], [ -97.57, 31.05 ], [ -97.59, 31.03 ], [ -97.61, 31.03 ], [ -97.64, 31.0 ], [ -97.64, 30.96 ], [ -97.67, 30.94 ], [ -97.7, 30.94 ], [ -97.73, 30.97 ], [ -97.73, 31.01 ], [ -97.72, 31.02 ], [ -97.72, 31.08 ], [ -97.73, 31.09 ], [ -97.73, 31.12 ], [ -97.72, 31.14 ], [ -97.7, 31.15 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1833, "confidence_lo": 0.0021, "confidence_hi": 0.0021, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "78f2b8066c8f8e181c6a7c71bdf1938dc3d8715c4a2397af01e64e9da8bfdcf8", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.1833, "probability": 0.002149, "confidence_lo": 0.002118, "confidence_hi": 0.002149, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "a34990fd2d2ec19f6b7c87726261dcaf28251d2fe369bd10771ca2f0911def9f" }, "receipt_sha256": "a34990fd2d2ec19f6b7c87726261dcaf28251d2fe369bd10771ca2f0911def9f" }, { "storm_id": "913439", "lat": 28.718, "lon": -98.235, "motion_east": 3.5, "motion_south": 0.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0021, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 3165.0, "ebshear": 34.0, "srh01": 105.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 105.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 47.8191 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -3.837 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.1556 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1788 }, "coherence_score": 1.1556082963943481, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.1556082963943481, "grad_tau": 0.41238701343536377, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -3.836995840072632, "S_field": 0.28817665576934814, "Gamma_field": 0.29831379652023315, "S_over_Gamma": 0.966018557548523, "Da": 18.536165237426758, "E_coh": 0.7199829816818237, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -98.25, 28.75 ], [ -98.2, 28.75 ], [ -98.19, 28.74 ], [ -98.19, 28.7 ], [ -98.21, 28.68 ], [ -98.26, 28.68 ], [ -98.27, 28.69 ], [ -98.26, 28.71 ], [ -98.27, 28.73 ], [ -98.25, 28.75 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1788, "confidence_lo": 0.0021, "confidence_hi": 0.0021, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "5680d43b88e5b513459a47064911840bde1bfd86173c864357142aa39cf585d9", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.1788, "probability": 0.002149, "confidence_lo": 0.002118, "confidence_hi": 0.002149, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "c5a108a0517aa9743af0373e9174db04eaf0d1246ae64a165ad67743152df096" }, "receipt_sha256": "c5a108a0517aa9743af0373e9174db04eaf0d1246ae64a165ad67743152df096" }, { "storm_id": "913421", "lat": 49.2833, "lon": -101.0811, "motion_east": 7.8, "motion_south": 1.9, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0021, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 530.0, "ebshear": 41.0, "srh01": 27.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.04, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 27.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 36.0691 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -6.0689 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.0 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1703 }, "coherence_score": 0.0, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.0, "grad_tau": 0.36064985394477844, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -6.068927764892578, "S_field": 0.2638552784919739, "Gamma_field": 0.19164712727069855, "S_over_Gamma": 1.3767765760421753, "Da": 12.033900260925293, "E_coh": 0.41925179958343506, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -101.1, 49.32 ], [ -101.06, 49.32 ], [ -101.04, 49.3 ], [ -101.04, 49.25 ], [ -101.05, 49.24 ], [ -101.1, 49.24 ], [ -101.12, 49.26 ], [ -101.12, 49.3 ], [ -101.1, 49.32 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1703, "confidence_lo": 0.0021, "confidence_hi": 0.0021, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "4cc841d61aed6eab1960197e31f11a5709134ae3255e68df4aa40fb0a2936c45", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.1703, "probability": 0.002149, "confidence_lo": 0.002118, "confidence_hi": 0.002149, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "4a8590ef6114137a0e7a48f881f4714691897271c4648cb04662760d5f14687b" }, "receipt_sha256": "4a8590ef6114137a0e7a48f881f4714691897271c4648cb04662760d5f14687b" }, { "storm_id": "913321", "lat": 30.114, "lon": -97.421, "motion_east": 3.5, "motion_south": 0.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0021, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1644.0, "ebshear": 26.0, "srh01": 80.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.13, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 80.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 45.1941 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -7.974 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.265 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.166 }, "coherence_score": 1.265004277229309, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.265004277229309, "grad_tau": 0.4304999113082886, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -7.973967552185059, "S_field": 0.1571495234966278, "Gamma_field": 0.6474804878234863, "S_over_Gamma": 0.24270927906036377, "Da": 41.13628005981445, "E_coh": 0.139626607298851, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -97.45, 30.15 ], [ -97.4, 30.15 ], [ -97.38, 30.13 ], [ -97.4, 30.11 ], [ -97.4, 30.09 ], [ -97.41, 30.08 ], [ -97.43, 30.08 ], [ -97.44, 30.09 ], [ -97.45, 30.11 ], [ -97.45, 30.15 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.166, "confidence_lo": 0.0021, "confidence_hi": 0.0021, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "5d7e5e3cb2dbb2539cab930c0fb90b27346a8d691de60370d8d0ffa54ecbacdb", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.166, "probability": 0.002149, "confidence_lo": 0.002118, "confidence_hi": 0.002149, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "2ed809bb878331861d6b91164c4c4062d53adfda9b7bb839b383f9c954f5c31c" }, "receipt_sha256": "2ed809bb878331861d6b91164c4c4062d53adfda9b7bb839b383f9c954f5c31c" }, { "storm_id": "912053", "lat": 29.5825, "lon": -100.098, "motion_east": 1.0, "motion_south": -6.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0021, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1206.0, "ebshear": 39.0, "srh01": 86.0, "maxllaz": 0.011, "mesh": 0.2, "flash_rate": 2.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 86.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 26.6941 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -2.9824 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.7168 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.011 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1538 }, "coherence_score": 0.716812789440155, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.716812789440155, "grad_tau": 0.16056056320667267, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -2.982379674911499, "S_field": 0.10587424784898758, "Gamma_field": 0.17748047411441803, "S_over_Gamma": 0.5965402722358704, "Da": 11.104050636291504, "E_coh": 0.3252955675125122, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 9, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -100.14, 29.68 ], [ -100.11, 29.68 ], [ -100.09, 29.66 ], [ -100.08, 29.66 ], [ -100.05, 29.63 ], [ -100.03, 29.59 ], [ -100.04, 29.58 ], [ -100.03, 29.57 ], [ -100.04, 29.53 ], [ -100.06, 29.51 ], [ -100.06, 29.5 ], [ -100.1, 29.47 ], [ -100.13, 29.47 ], [ -100.15, 29.49 ], [ -100.15, 29.51 ], [ -100.12, 29.55 ], [ -100.12, 29.59 ], [ -100.16, 29.64 ], [ -100.16, 29.66 ], [ -100.14, 29.68 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1538, "confidence_lo": 0.0021, "confidence_hi": 0.0021, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "b563e8290dea950d0f4bfe0d8079123a89f1a6ef3afb36823f4851294b306f93", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.1538, "probability": 0.002149, "confidence_lo": 0.002118, "confidence_hi": 0.002149, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "e5b8d257025a60f18b21142ffe1075d174801baa8af91c606761f9debc7a312c" }, "receipt_sha256": "e5b8d257025a60f18b21142ffe1075d174801baa8af91c606761f9debc7a312c" }, { "storm_id": "913378", "lat": 47.3489, "lon": -97.9678, "motion_east": 3.5, "motion_south": 0.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0021, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1575.0, "ebshear": 34.0, "srh01": 174.0, "maxllaz": 0.008, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 174.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 38.6941 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -0.6594 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.6728 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.008 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1466 }, "coherence_score": 0.6728187799453735, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.6728187799453735, "grad_tau": 0.2107238620519638, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -0.6593579649925232, "S_field": 0.2902372181415558, "Gamma_field": 0.21914713084697723, "S_over_Gamma": 1.3243943452835083, "Da": 13.356823921203613, "E_coh": 0.34594568610191345, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -98.0, 47.38 ], [ -97.92, 47.38 ], [ -97.92, 47.37 ], [ -97.95, 47.37 ], [ -97.97, 47.35 ], [ -97.97, 47.31 ], [ -97.98, 47.3 ], [ -98.0, 47.3 ], [ -98.0, 47.38 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1466, "confidence_lo": 0.0021, "confidence_hi": 0.0021, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "5beb965026dfa8e9e39fb2ee6843e3c6023eab4bedd0e9582b7e45ff2a2fa555", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.1466, "probability": 0.002149, "confidence_lo": 0.002118, "confidence_hi": 0.002149, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "499cc2e77f01feefcd43f01d22ac808e2095c63359553244fc0a9ba47c85ae2d" }, "receipt_sha256": "499cc2e77f01feefcd43f01d22ac808e2095c63359553244fc0a9ba47c85ae2d" }, { "storm_id": "913437", "lat": 29.1967, "lon": -99.4533, "motion_east": 0.0, "motion_south": -6.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0021, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1364.0, "ebshear": 36.0, "srh01": 113.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.04, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 113.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 39.8191 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -1.6104 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.8404 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.003 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1442 }, "coherence_score": 0.8403515219688416, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.8403515219688416, "grad_tau": 0.28057727217674255, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -1.610414743423462, "S_field": 0.11530210822820663, "Gamma_field": 0.17998047173023224, "S_over_Gamma": 0.6406367421150208, "Da": 11.363863945007324, "E_coh": 0.5894156694412231, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -99.47, 29.23 ], [ -99.43, 29.23 ], [ -99.41, 29.21 ], [ -99.41, 29.19 ], [ -99.44, 29.15 ], [ -99.47, 29.15 ], [ -99.49, 29.17 ], [ -99.49, 29.21 ], [ -99.47, 29.23 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1442, "confidence_lo": 0.0021, "confidence_hi": 0.0021, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "7593d1963956933b6d7bac4a0857f4c4ebedae0409861e1b2a82768f9ef68c8a", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.1442, "probability": 0.002149, "confidence_lo": 0.002118, "confidence_hi": 0.002149, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "c22a1382e07ef87dd4e2fdfab450215aeaa62532f6e60f7127a980268a475646" }, "receipt_sha256": "c22a1382e07ef87dd4e2fdfab450215aeaa62532f6e60f7127a980268a475646" }, { "storm_id": "913451", "lat": 48.5118, "lon": -98.1545, "motion_east": 6.9, "motion_south": 0.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0021, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 685.0, "ebshear": 37.0, "srh01": 49.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 49.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 38.1941 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -1.2369 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.4243 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1384 }, "coherence_score": 0.4242856800556183, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.4242856800556183, "grad_tau": 0.33686745166778564, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -1.2369166612625122, "S_field": 0.2999158501625061, "Gamma_field": 0.19914713501930237, "S_over_Gamma": 1.506001353263855, "Da": 12.101507186889648, "E_coh": 0.33155137300491333, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -98.16, 48.57 ], [ -98.13, 48.57 ], [ -98.11, 48.54 ], [ -98.11, 48.51 ], [ -98.13, 48.49 ], [ -98.14, 48.46 ], [ -98.16, 48.45 ], [ -98.18, 48.46 ], [ -98.21, 48.5 ], [ -98.21, 48.51 ], [ -98.16, 48.57 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1384, "confidence_lo": 0.0021, "confidence_hi": 0.0021, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "a97b1cbfe3299cf9523d5d019db21edbb459319a6a85a2c20fd22256182cf1c9", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.1384, "probability": 0.002149, "confidence_lo": 0.002118, "confidence_hi": 0.002149, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "71dd1d5ebc0f2fe734ff3e7ea9c1def052ec14f92740f84254fcdc7df6aa0205" }, "receipt_sha256": "71dd1d5ebc0f2fe734ff3e7ea9c1def052ec14f92740f84254fcdc7df6aa0205" }, { "storm_id": "913362", "lat": 29.4386, "lon": -99.7919, "motion_east": 0.0, "motion_south": -6.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0021, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1320.0, "ebshear": 32.0, "srh01": 86.0, "maxllaz": 0.011, "mesh": 0.29, "flash_rate": 5.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 86.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 26.6941 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -2.9824 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.7168 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.011 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1382 }, "coherence_score": 0.716812789440155, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.716812789440155, "grad_tau": 0.16056056320667267, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -2.982379674911499, "S_field": 0.10587424784898758, "Gamma_field": 0.17748047411441803, "S_over_Gamma": 0.5965402722358704, "Da": 11.104050636291504, "E_coh": 0.3252955675125122, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -99.9, 29.59 ], [ -99.86, 29.57 ], [ -99.8, 29.51 ], [ -99.72, 29.52 ], [ -99.67, 29.47 ], [ -99.62, 29.45 ], [ -99.6, 29.43 ], [ -99.6, 29.39 ], [ -99.66, 29.33 ], [ -99.68, 29.28 ], [ -99.73, 29.23 ], [ -99.78, 29.23 ], [ -99.8, 29.25 ], [ -99.8, 29.38 ], [ -99.82, 29.4 ], [ -99.9, 29.4 ], [ -99.97, 29.48 ], [ -99.97, 29.55 ], [ -99.94, 29.58 ], [ -99.91, 29.58 ], [ -99.9, 29.59 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1382, "confidence_lo": 0.0021, "confidence_hi": 0.0021, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "ccf00b37f74fbcf11ef7c42cfe0bd1f75f39c13d0fc63248b17f4ad3fca65347", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.1382, "probability": 0.002149, "confidence_lo": 0.002118, "confidence_hi": 0.002149, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "b8a23bf7b08990f7b0de434932706dc65e623fc55e939300797d1c1405ee6d68" }, "receipt_sha256": "b8a23bf7b08990f7b0de434932706dc65e623fc55e939300797d1c1405ee6d68" }, { "storm_id": "913364", "lat": 29.0718, "lon": -99.2709, "motion_east": 0.0, "motion_south": -6.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0021, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1561.0, "ebshear": 37.0, "srh01": 115.0, "maxllaz": 0.014, "mesh": 0.7, "flash_rate": 33.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 115.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 39.8191 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -1.6104 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.8404 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.014 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.134 }, "coherence_score": 0.8403515219688416, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.8403515219688416, "grad_tau": 0.28057727217674255, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -1.610414743423462, "S_field": 0.11530210822820663, "Gamma_field": 0.17998047173023224, "S_over_Gamma": 0.6406367421150208, "Da": 11.363863945007324, "E_coh": 0.5894156694412231, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -99.31, 29.25 ], [ -99.24, 29.25 ], [ -99.23, 29.24 ], [ -99.21, 29.24 ], [ -99.18, 29.21 ], [ -99.17, 29.17 ], [ -99.15, 29.15 ], [ -99.15, 29.1 ], [ -99.16, 29.09 ], [ -99.18, 29.09 ], [ -99.22, 29.05 ], [ -99.22, 29.01 ], [ -99.23, 29.0 ], [ -99.23, 28.98 ], [ -99.24, 28.97 ], [ -99.24, 28.95 ], [ -99.26, 28.91 ], [ -99.29, 28.88 ], [ -99.33, 28.87 ], [ -99.34, 28.88 ], [ -99.36, 28.88 ], [ -99.39, 28.91 ], [ -99.4, 28.93 ], [ -99.4, 29.01 ], [ -99.35, 29.08 ], [ -99.31, 29.1 ], [ -99.29, 29.1 ], [ -99.27, 29.12 ], [ -99.29, 29.14 ], [ -99.31, 29.14 ], [ -99.34, 29.19 ], [ -99.34, 29.23 ], [ -99.31, 29.25 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.134, "confidence_lo": 0.0021, "confidence_hi": 0.0021, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "89c1d15516dc92e350a2a4e24052fc1512bf7025e5c6d63a5c4716ecadab18da", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.134, "probability": 0.002149, "confidence_lo": 0.002118, "confidence_hi": 0.002149, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "59a1b68f1c735850f774ddf803cb51c484bbf16a9b2fbd6caba8523b43d4d046" }, "receipt_sha256": "59a1b68f1c735850f774ddf803cb51c484bbf16a9b2fbd6caba8523b43d4d046" }, { "storm_id": "913463", "lat": 29.3382, "lon": -99.4364, "motion_east": 0.0, "motion_south": -6.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0021, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1549.0, "ebshear": 32.0, "srh01": 101.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 101.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 34.5691 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 0.2225 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.9173 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1329 }, "coherence_score": 0.9172793626785278, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.9172793626785278, "grad_tau": 0.2551644742488861, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.22250908613204956, "S_field": 0.1421319842338562, "Gamma_field": 0.16831380128860474, "S_over_Gamma": 0.8444464206695557, "Da": 10.66465950012207, "E_coh": 0.37148725986480713, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -99.46, 29.37 ], [ -99.42, 29.37 ], [ -99.41, 29.36 ], [ -99.4, 29.34 ], [ -99.4, 29.31 ], [ -99.41, 29.3 ], [ -99.44, 29.3 ], [ -99.46, 29.31 ], [ -99.47, 29.33 ], [ -99.47, 29.36 ], [ -99.46, 29.37 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1329, "confidence_lo": 0.0021, "confidence_hi": 0.0021, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "d26aba779558a8617038df4a64fbbfb1d21afc34e01b81924b4d89f2bc786e85", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.1329, "probability": 0.002149, "confidence_lo": 0.002118, "confidence_hi": 0.002149, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "d55b2768854683f4355a787c9cd8334d968bfa03eb4fcddd781d8a7470287199" }, "receipt_sha256": "d55b2768854683f4355a787c9cd8334d968bfa03eb4fcddd781d8a7470287199" }, { "storm_id": "913409", "lat": 48.7088, "lon": -98.4125, "motion_east": 8.8, "motion_south": 0.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0021, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 480.0, "ebshear": 27.0, "srh01": 28.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.04, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 28.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 38.1941 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -1.2369 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.4243 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.131 }, "coherence_score": 0.4242856800556183, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.4242856800556183, "grad_tau": 0.33686745166778564, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -1.2369166612625122, "S_field": 0.2999158501625061, "Gamma_field": 0.19914713501930237, "S_over_Gamma": 1.506001353263855, "Da": 12.101507186889648, "E_coh": 0.33155137300491333, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -98.42, 48.75 ], [ -98.36, 48.74 ], [ -98.36, 48.68 ], [ -98.38, 48.67 ], [ -98.44, 48.67 ], [ -98.46, 48.68 ], [ -98.46, 48.73 ], [ -98.42, 48.75 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.131, "confidence_lo": 0.0021, "confidence_hi": 0.0021, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "170e46b1524fb18eefdbe15967bb70df9cead544d5e1fa59dbf39081038f6532", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.131, "probability": 0.002149, "confidence_lo": 0.002118, "confidence_hi": 0.002149, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "a515d965ef4873da503e82ed12016a2abb9854ab674edc0f88552e00e228fa6b" }, "receipt_sha256": "a515d965ef4873da503e82ed12016a2abb9854ab674edc0f88552e00e228fa6b" }, { "storm_id": "913060", "lat": 28.7244, "lon": -96.9389, "motion_east": -1.0, "motion_south": -7.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0021, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 3764.0, "ebshear": 34.0, "srh01": 31.0, "maxllaz": 0.005, "mesh": 0.29, "flash_rate": 2.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 31.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 51.0691 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 0.1832 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.6209 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.005 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1286 }, "coherence_score": 1.6208760738372803, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.6208760738372803, "grad_tau": 0.579343318939209, "torsion": 8.07436872918288e-09, "alignment": 0.1832261085510254, "S_field": 0.417672336101532, "Gamma_field": 0.30581381916999817, "S_over_Gamma": 1.3657732009887695, "Da": 19.671356201171875, "E_coh": 0.8515395522117615, "singularity_count": 4.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 4, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": true, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 3, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -96.95, 28.76 ], [ -96.91, 28.76 ], [ -96.89, 28.74 ], [ -96.89, 28.7 ], [ -96.92, 28.67 ], [ -96.98, 28.67 ], [ -96.99, 28.71 ], [ -96.97, 28.75 ], [ -96.95, 28.76 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1286, "confidence_lo": 0.0021, "confidence_hi": 0.0021, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "bc1634122670aeb9f5303a9cc3797ada40c6c197703f39a6cd50996c4d03454d", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.1286, "probability": 0.002149, "confidence_lo": 0.002118, "confidence_hi": 0.002149, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "0d8c5f408267f02c79ff8d25edd10436225d2d2f4afc504a1c966bfd967872db" }, "receipt_sha256": "0d8c5f408267f02c79ff8d25edd10436225d2d2f4afc504a1c966bfd967872db" }, { "storm_id": "913341", "lat": 30.6197, "lon": -99.024, "motion_east": 2.4, "motion_south": -5.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0021, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 823.0, "ebshear": 20.0, "srh01": 64.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 64.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 41.9441 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -1.3118 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.8876 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1255 }, "coherence_score": 0.8876094818115234, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.8876094818115234, "grad_tau": 0.20344409346580505, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -1.3117936849594116, "S_field": 0.09953612834215164, "Gamma_field": 0.1816471368074417, "S_over_Gamma": 0.5479642152786255, "Da": 11.224409103393555, "E_coh": 0.3268990218639374, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -99.15, 30.8 ], [ -99.1, 30.79 ], [ -99.07, 30.77 ], [ -99.07, 30.75 ], [ -99.06, 30.74 ], [ -99.06, 30.69 ], [ -99.04, 30.67 ], [ -99.02, 30.66 ], [ -98.92, 30.66 ], [ -98.89, 30.63 ], [ -98.86, 30.55 ], [ -98.82, 30.51 ], [ -98.82, 30.46 ], [ -98.83, 30.45 ], [ -98.85, 30.45 ], [ -98.86, 30.44 ], [ -98.9, 30.44 ], [ -98.91, 30.45 ], [ -98.97, 30.45 ], [ -98.98, 30.46 ], [ -99.02, 30.46 ], [ -99.07, 30.5 ], [ -99.09, 30.54 ], [ -99.09, 30.58 ], [ -99.1, 30.59 ], [ -99.09, 30.63 ], [ -99.08, 30.64 ], [ -99.08, 30.69 ], [ -99.09, 30.7 ], [ -99.12, 30.7 ], [ -99.14, 30.72 ], [ -99.19, 30.74 ], [ -99.19, 30.79 ], [ -99.16, 30.79 ], [ -99.15, 30.8 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1255, "confidence_lo": 0.0021, "confidence_hi": 0.0021, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "afded19a9bcec99f579cf9896ad49a51252ec834ca7b5601333822d2b7e69c4b", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.1255, "probability": 0.002149, "confidence_lo": 0.002118, "confidence_hi": 0.002149, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ad9207d23f84aea2d0e70112573e5ebf1f54154ed2843375734b4898fb71245b" }, "receipt_sha256": "ad9207d23f84aea2d0e70112573e5ebf1f54154ed2843375734b4898fb71245b" }, { "storm_id": "913390", "lat": 29.553, "lon": -100.417, "motion_east": 1.0, "motion_south": -5.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0021, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1681.0, "ebshear": 31.0, "srh01": 82.0, "maxllaz": 0.004, "mesh": 0.12, "flash_rate": 1.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 82.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 26.6941 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -2.9824 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.7168 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.004 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1247 }, "coherence_score": 0.716812789440155, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.716812789440155, "grad_tau": 0.16056056320667267, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -2.982379674911499, "S_field": 0.10587424784898758, "Gamma_field": 0.17748047411441803, "S_over_Gamma": 0.5965402722358704, "Da": 11.104050636291504, "E_coh": 0.3252955675125122, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -100.44, 29.58 ], [ -100.4, 29.58 ], [ -100.39, 29.57 ], [ -100.39, 29.55 ], [ -100.38, 29.54 ], [ -100.41, 29.51 ], [ -100.42, 29.51 ], [ -100.45, 29.54 ], [ -100.45, 29.57 ], [ -100.44, 29.58 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1247, "confidence_lo": 0.0021, "confidence_hi": 0.0021, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "fa81b533d63f4b6df9bf770977ef2e376dafd4b5ed8d2f869bd3437115c6003b", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.1247, "probability": 0.002149, "confidence_lo": 0.002118, "confidence_hi": 0.002149, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "db2d64e5112d882cffa592a687c66b30a22755d17fd1728ce81461155d590117" }, "receipt_sha256": "db2d64e5112d882cffa592a687c66b30a22755d17fd1728ce81461155d590117" }, { "storm_id": "913462", "lat": 29.4973, "lon": -100.2733, "motion_east": 1.0, "motion_south": -5.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0021, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1668.0, "ebshear": 34.0, "srh01": 85.0, "maxllaz": 0.005, "mesh": 0.1, "flash_rate": 1.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 85.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 26.6941 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -2.9824 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.7168 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.005 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1246 }, "coherence_score": 0.716812789440155, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.716812789440155, "grad_tau": 0.16056056320667267, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -2.982379674911499, "S_field": 0.10587424784898758, "Gamma_field": 0.17748047411441803, "S_over_Gamma": 0.5965402722358704, "Da": 11.104050636291504, "E_coh": 0.3252955675125122, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -100.3, 29.55 ], [ -100.27, 29.54 ], [ -100.25, 29.52 ], [ -100.23, 29.52 ], [ -100.21, 29.5 ], [ -100.22, 29.48 ], [ -100.22, 29.45 ], [ -100.23, 29.44 ], [ -100.25, 29.43 ], [ -100.29, 29.43 ], [ -100.34, 29.46 ], [ -100.35, 29.51 ], [ -100.33, 29.54 ], [ -100.31, 29.54 ], [ -100.3, 29.55 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1246, "confidence_lo": 0.0021, "confidence_hi": 0.0021, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "6f358ad2db0ad2cb804d8109d1555a514bfa7ceb17bbed4d4f38e5a8b7944586", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.1246, "probability": 0.002149, "confidence_lo": 0.002118, "confidence_hi": 0.002149, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "892f2d0248b01edd9ab465b6fdf61dfccb5321c11caaa9dd402dd6bc80359543" }, "receipt_sha256": "892f2d0248b01edd9ab465b6fdf61dfccb5321c11caaa9dd402dd6bc80359543" }, { "storm_id": "913312", "lat": 30.5433, "lon": -98.5492, "motion_east": 2.7, "motion_south": -3.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0021, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1181.0, "ebshear": 16.0, "srh01": 30.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 30.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 43.5691 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -3.1672 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.1022 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1185 }, "coherence_score": 1.1021606922149658, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.1021606922149658, "grad_tau": 0.21898148953914642, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -3.16715407371521, "S_field": 0.27038663625717163, "Gamma_field": 0.2441471368074417, "S_over_Gamma": 1.1074740886688232, "Da": 14.818005561828613, "E_coh": 0.24485328793525696, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -98.57, 30.58 ], [ -98.52, 30.58 ], [ -98.52, 30.55 ], [ -98.51, 30.54 ], [ -98.51, 30.51 ], [ -98.52, 30.5 ], [ -98.56, 30.5 ], [ -98.58, 30.52 ], [ -98.58, 30.54 ], [ -98.57, 30.55 ], [ -98.58, 30.57 ], [ -98.57, 30.58 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1185, "confidence_lo": 0.0021, "confidence_hi": 0.0021, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "359084f937d678ca4b564d1712a857bf695c6cad8a5b77229aceffb27c24f777", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.1185, "probability": 0.002149, "confidence_lo": 0.002118, "confidence_hi": 0.002149, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f90c55c6367d0cd9ab53a0d042bda005535ff3f6461b980c35041fff14d5dc33" }, "receipt_sha256": "f90c55c6367d0cd9ab53a0d042bda005535ff3f6461b980c35041fff14d5dc33" }, { "storm_id": "913423", "lat": 48.8767, "lon": -101.5456, "motion_east": 4.0, "motion_south": 0.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0021, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 617.0, "ebshear": 39.0, "srh01": 206.0, "maxllaz": 0.008, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 206.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 38.8191 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -0.5064 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.0 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.008 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1181 }, "coherence_score": 0.0, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.0, "grad_tau": 0.32193607091903687, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -0.5064277648925781, "S_field": 0.24584725499153137, "Gamma_field": 0.18081380426883698, "S_over_Gamma": 1.359670877456665, "Da": 11.47722339630127, "E_coh": 0.37606072425842285, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -101.58, 48.91 ], [ -101.52, 48.91 ], [ -101.5, 48.89 ], [ -101.47, 48.88 ], [ -101.47, 48.83 ], [ -101.59, 48.83 ], [ -101.6, 48.84 ], [ -101.6, 48.89 ], [ -101.58, 48.91 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1181, "confidence_lo": 0.0021, "confidence_hi": 0.0021, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "ee2b455c89944c504a6f8a11ad1e1a8836004adb9a2306efea1f6557eca60730", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.1181, "probability": 0.002149, "confidence_lo": 0.002118, "confidence_hi": 0.002149, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "fad266716661c37db9d62b0de4f54899df27c97cc5bb5952e640feacc104f318" }, "receipt_sha256": "fad266716661c37db9d62b0de4f54899df27c97cc5bb5952e640feacc104f318" }, { "storm_id": "913442", "lat": 49.4926, "lon": -103.2671, "motion_east": 5.6, "motion_south": 0.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0021, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 148.0, "ebshear": 24.0, "srh01": 54.0, "maxllaz": 0.012, "mesh": 0.04, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 54.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 39.3191 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -2.3189 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.0 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.012 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.116 }, "coherence_score": 0.0, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.0, "grad_tau": 0.3292280435562134, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -2.318927764892578, "S_field": 0.32762211561203003, "Gamma_field": 0.2758138179779053, "S_over_Gamma": 1.1878379583358765, "Da": 17.485010147094727, "E_coh": 0.15586423873901367, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -102.62, 49.89 ], [ -102.58, 49.89 ], [ -102.52, 49.86 ], [ -102.52, 49.82 ], [ -102.51, 49.81 ], [ -102.51, 49.79 ], [ -102.53, 49.76 ], [ -102.53, 49.74 ], [ -102.56, 49.73 ], [ -102.6, 49.7 ], [ -102.62, 49.7 ], [ -102.64, 49.68 ], [ -102.69, 49.68 ], [ -102.7, 49.69 ], [ -102.75, 49.62 ], [ -102.77, 49.62 ], [ -102.78, 49.61 ], [ -102.8, 49.62 ], [ -102.82, 49.61 ], [ -102.84, 49.59 ], [ -102.84, 49.58 ], [ -102.89, 49.54 ], [ -102.89, 49.51 ], [ -102.88, 49.5 ], [ -102.88, 49.45 ], [ -102.89, 49.45 ], [ -102.93, 49.41 ], [ -102.92, 49.37 ], [ -102.98, 49.27 ], [ -102.98, 49.26 ], [ -102.96, 49.24 ], [ -102.93, 49.24 ], [ -102.89, 49.26 ], [ -102.82, 49.32 ], [ -102.78, 49.33 ], [ -102.73, 49.29 ], [ -102.73, 49.23 ], [ -102.74, 49.22 ], [ -102.76, 49.22 ], [ -102.77, 49.21 ], [ -102.81, 49.2 ], [ -102.87, 49.15 ], [ -102.94, 49.14 ], [ -102.98, 49.08 ], [ -103.02, 49.08 ], [ -103.03, 49.07 ], [ -103.06, 49.08 ], [ -103.08, 49.11 ], [ -103.08, 49.13 ], [ -103.11, 49.16 ], [ -103.17, 49.16 ], [ -103.19, 49.17 ], [ -103.23, 49.21 ], [ -103.23, 49.25 ], [ -103.2, 49.28 ], [ -103.15, 49.3 ], [ -103.13, 49.32 ], [ -103.1, 49.38 ], [ -103.1, 49.42 ], [ -103.12, 49.44 ], [ -103.19, 49.44 ], [ -103.2, 49.43 ], [ -103.23, 49.43 ], [ -103.27, 49.41 ], [ -103.31, 49.41 ], [ -103.34, 49.44 ], [ -103.35, 49.46 ], [ -103.35, 49.49 ], [ -103.37, 49.51 ], [ -103.39, 49.51 ], [ -103.42, 49.48 ], [ -103.44, 49.44 ], [ -103.45, 49.44 ], [ -103.49, 49.4 ], [ -103.5, 49.37 ], [ -103.55, 49.33 ], [ -103.6, 49.33 ], [ -103.61, 49.34 ], [ -103.63, 49.34 ], [ -103.68, 49.38 ], [ -103.77, 49.38 ], [ -103.87, 49.33 ], [ -103.92, 49.33 ], [ -103.93, 49.32 ], [ -103.95, 49.32 ], [ -103.98, 49.3 ], [ -104.01, 49.3 ], [ -104.02, 49.29 ], [ -104.04, 49.29 ], [ -104.05, 49.3 ], [ -104.06, 49.29 ], [ -104.13, 49.29 ], [ -104.14, 49.28 ], [ -104.17, 49.28 ], [ -104.18, 49.29 ], [ -104.21, 49.29 ], [ -104.22, 49.3 ], [ -104.25, 49.3 ], [ -104.26, 49.31 ], [ -104.26, 49.35 ], [ -104.23, 49.37 ], [ -104.15, 49.36 ], [ -104.14, 49.37 ], [ -104.11, 49.37 ], [ -104.05, 49.42 ], [ -103.99, 49.42 ], [ -103.98, 49.41 ], [ -103.96, 49.41 ], [ -103.89, 49.45 ], [ -103.85, 49.45 ], [ -103.83, 49.46 ], [ -103.81, 49.49 ], [ -103.81, 49.52 ], [ -103.79, 49.54 ], [ -103.78, 49.57 ], [ -103.75, 49.6 ], [ -103.74, 49.63 ], [ -103.7, 49.66 ], [ -103.68, 49.66 ], [ -103.67, 49.67 ], [ -103.56, 49.67 ], [ -103.55, 49.66 ], [ -103.53, 49.66 ], [ -103.51, 49.64 ], [ -103.44, 49.64 ], [ -103.43, 49.65 ], [ -103.4, 49.65 ], [ -103.39, 49.66 ], [ -103.35, 49.66 ], [ -103.34, 49.67 ], [ -103.32, 49.67 ], [ -103.31, 49.66 ], [ -103.22, 49.65 ], [ -103.21, 49.64 ], [ -103.19, 49.64 ], [ -103.15, 49.62 ], [ -103.07, 49.62 ], [ -103.03, 49.64 ], [ -103.01, 49.67 ], [ -103.01, 49.69 ], [ -103.03, 49.71 ], [ -103.03, 49.72 ], [ -103.05, 49.73 ], [ -103.05, 49.76 ], [ -103.04, 49.76 ], [ -103.04, 49.74 ], [ -103.03, 49.73 ], [ -103.01, 49.75 ], [ -102.96, 49.75 ], [ -102.91, 49.81 ], [ -102.84, 49.81 ], [ -102.83, 49.82 ], [ -102.78, 49.82 ], [ -102.75, 49.84 ], [ -102.72, 49.84 ], [ -102.69, 49.86 ], [ -102.67, 49.86 ], [ -102.65, 49.88 ], [ -102.63, 49.88 ], [ -102.62, 49.89 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.116, "confidence_lo": 0.0021, "confidence_hi": 0.0021, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "ea79663ce3edb52231e4649771e466f8afa068885ebf9306d70471e6dade5139", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.116, "probability": 0.002149, "confidence_lo": 0.002118, "confidence_hi": 0.002149, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "0d9811fc86570121fe75dfc2111e9260b68a4ea5c4e0c7b839c64ba9d881538a" }, "receipt_sha256": "0d9811fc86570121fe75dfc2111e9260b68a4ea5c4e0c7b839c64ba9d881538a" }, { "storm_id": "912822", "lat": 35.9909, "lon": -89.4573, "motion_east": 3.5, "motion_south": 0.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0021, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1425.0, "ebshear": 20.0, "srh01": 57.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 57.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 51.4441 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 3.7835 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.9942 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.003 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1129 }, "coherence_score": 0.9942439794540405, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.9942439794540405, "grad_tau": 0.08010781556367874, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 3.7835330963134766, "S_field": 0.4039746820926666, "Gamma_field": 0.3291471600532532, "S_over_Gamma": 1.2273375988006592, "Da": 19.41814422607422, "E_coh": 0.8895745873451233, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 4, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -89.47, 36.04 ], [ -89.44, 36.03 ], [ -89.39, 35.98 ], [ -89.39, 35.93 ], [ -89.42, 35.92 ], [ -89.48, 35.96 ], [ -89.48, 35.97 ], [ -89.5, 35.99 ], [ -89.5, 36.01 ], [ -89.49, 36.03 ], [ -89.47, 36.04 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1129, "confidence_lo": 0.0021, "confidence_hi": 0.0021, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "704c1db1f5985c5b2c955f41c3a6168da797406e9822f1d0f31c4a0dba68e2f4", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.1129, "probability": 0.002149, "confidence_lo": 0.002118, "confidence_hi": 0.002149, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "74c81a01eae681c74825d254fa8e6e5684f255725284fd40f70e068711fae700" }, "receipt_sha256": "74c81a01eae681c74825d254fa8e6e5684f255725284fd40f70e068711fae700" }, { "storm_id": "913441", "lat": 50.6834, "lon": -109.4017, "motion_east": 3.5, "motion_south": 0.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0021, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 52.0, "ebshear": 23.0, "srh01": 76.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 76.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 13.6941 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 0.3061 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.0 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1086 }, "coherence_score": 0.0, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.0, "grad_tau": 0.26971057057380676, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.3060722351074219, "S_field": 0.17335321009159088, "Gamma_field": 0.2349804788827896, "S_over_Gamma": 0.7377344965934753, "Da": 13.95734691619873, "E_coh": 0.5730032920837402, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -109.38, 50.73 ], [ -109.3, 50.73 ], [ -109.29, 50.72 ], [ -109.27, 50.72 ], [ -109.26, 50.71 ], [ -109.26, 50.66 ], [ -109.28, 50.65 ], [ -109.3, 50.65 ], [ -109.31, 50.66 ], [ -109.36, 50.66 ], [ -109.38, 50.69 ], [ -109.4, 50.69 ], [ -109.43, 50.64 ], [ -109.46, 50.64 ], [ -109.47, 50.63 ], [ -109.48, 50.64 ], [ -109.5, 50.64 ], [ -109.5, 50.66 ], [ -109.51, 50.67 ], [ -109.52, 50.66 ], [ -109.52, 50.71 ], [ -109.51, 50.7 ], [ -109.49, 50.71 ], [ -109.46, 50.71 ], [ -109.43, 50.69 ], [ -109.42, 50.7 ], [ -109.4, 50.7 ], [ -109.38, 50.72 ], [ -109.38, 50.73 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1086, "confidence_lo": 0.0015, "confidence_hi": 0.0021, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "56bbe27b13cb96dc38cc23b26174ec40f96b82bc02b77fc0f2e98b94c98d6f6c", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.1086, "probability": 0.002148, "confidence_lo": 0.001518, "confidence_hi": 0.002149, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ef5cfcb4d1676f57bb01029aff57f8f76da6f4af9c803815ab19283a983263ae" }, "receipt_sha256": "ef5cfcb4d1676f57bb01029aff57f8f76da6f4af9c803815ab19283a983263ae" }, { "storm_id": "913276", "lat": 43.0929, "lon": -80.7857, "motion_east": 3.5, "motion_south": 0.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0018, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 706.0, "ebshear": 33.0, "srh01": 17.0, "maxllaz": 0.01, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 17.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 39.0691 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -7.0776 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.5964 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.01 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1071 }, "coherence_score": 0.5964371562004089, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.5964371562004089, "grad_tau": 0.21548894047737122, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -7.077635765075684, "S_field": 0.2672356963157654, "Gamma_field": 1.539147138595581, "S_over_Gamma": 0.17362582683563232, "Da": 83.76348876953125, "E_coh": 0.4057510197162628, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -80.82, 43.15 ], [ -80.74, 43.15 ], [ -80.72, 43.14 ], [ -80.72, 43.07 ], [ -80.71, 43.06 ], [ -80.73, 43.05 ], [ -80.74, 43.03 ], [ -80.84, 43.03 ], [ -80.84, 43.05 ], [ -80.83, 43.06 ], [ -80.83, 43.1 ], [ -80.84, 43.12 ], [ -80.82, 43.14 ], [ -80.82, 43.15 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1071, "confidence_lo": 0.0015, "confidence_hi": 0.0018, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "d51b9069e31c2c5199c690b98d0673ea4599d859eb0cc80cfc675ba22fa0bf0a", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.1071, "probability": 0.001768, "confidence_lo": 0.001518, "confidence_hi": 0.001768, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "2c06a4316e4cec1486d33fc44225703616fa78ac97562989d5fb56d8963cb6f2" }, "receipt_sha256": "2c06a4316e4cec1486d33fc44225703616fa78ac97562989d5fb56d8963cb6f2" }, { "storm_id": "913146", "lat": 48.7263, "lon": -98.7505, "motion_east": 9.4, "motion_south": 0.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0018, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 274.0, "ebshear": 26.0, "srh01": 24.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.24, "flash_rate": 2.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 24.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 38.3191 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 0.3128 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.43 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.003 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1069 }, "coherence_score": 0.4299646019935608, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.4299646019935608, "grad_tau": 0.3266143798828125, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.31277909874916077, "S_field": 0.3478076756000519, "Gamma_field": 0.17581380903720856, "S_over_Gamma": 1.978272795677185, "Da": 10.673995018005371, "E_coh": 0.4143180251121521, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -98.72, 48.83 ], [ -98.67, 48.83 ], [ -98.65, 48.82 ], [ -98.62, 48.79 ], [ -98.62, 48.74 ], [ -98.66, 48.72 ], [ -98.71, 48.67 ], [ -98.73, 48.66 ], [ -98.76, 48.66 ], [ -98.77, 48.65 ], [ -98.81, 48.65 ], [ -98.82, 48.66 ], [ -98.84, 48.66 ], [ -98.85, 48.67 ], [ -98.85, 48.73 ], [ -98.84, 48.73 ], [ -98.82, 48.75 ], [ -98.8, 48.75 ], [ -98.72, 48.83 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1069, "confidence_lo": 0.0015, "confidence_hi": 0.0018, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "24d252653e3beddd31ef00b28f180449ba9edcde5a6e11c8442c08c57ad3b32e", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.1069, "probability": 0.001768, "confidence_lo": 0.001518, "confidence_hi": 0.001768, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "db036b459345732d8bb2b6c32f0ee7a1dfceb0e32c39f8331c50b0a7e41a54e0" }, "receipt_sha256": "db036b459345732d8bb2b6c32f0ee7a1dfceb0e32c39f8331c50b0a7e41a54e0" }, { "storm_id": "913209", "lat": 49.3545, "lon": -101.4045, "motion_east": 5.5, "motion_south": 0.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0018, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 787.0, "ebshear": 37.0, "srh01": 9.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.04, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 9.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 36.0691 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -6.0689 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.0 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1048 }, "coherence_score": 0.0, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.0, "grad_tau": 0.36064985394477844, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -6.068927764892578, "S_field": 0.2638552784919739, "Gamma_field": 0.19164712727069855, "S_over_Gamma": 1.3767765760421753, "Da": 12.033900260925293, "E_coh": 0.41925179958343506, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -101.48, 49.42 ], [ -101.42, 49.42 ], [ -101.41, 49.41 ], [ -101.37, 49.41 ], [ -101.36, 49.4 ], [ -101.34, 49.4 ], [ -101.3, 49.38 ], [ -101.29, 49.37 ], [ -101.29, 49.32 ], [ -101.31, 49.3 ], [ -101.35, 49.28 ], [ -101.39, 49.28 ], [ -101.4, 49.29 ], [ -101.43, 49.29 ], [ -101.44, 49.3 ], [ -101.49, 49.3 ], [ -101.52, 49.34 ], [ -101.52, 49.36 ], [ -101.5, 49.4 ], [ -101.48, 49.42 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1048, "confidence_lo": 0.0015, "confidence_hi": 0.0018, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "9e720b257ce6a8eb413abbc42d450679dc416da390a40b989c26e163cccf4f91", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.1048, "probability": 0.001768, "confidence_lo": 0.001518, "confidence_hi": 0.001768, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "12c50df4bae60ae04c91dc898ec44435ea91eac72ac57b6bd7d03bccec553bf3" }, "receipt_sha256": "12c50df4bae60ae04c91dc898ec44435ea91eac72ac57b6bd7d03bccec553bf3" }, { "storm_id": "913352", "lat": 49.7304, "lon": -101.39, "motion_east": 6.6, "motion_south": -2.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0018, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 7.0, "ebshear": 7.0, "srh01": 0.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 0.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 36.0691 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -6.0689 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.0 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1042 }, "coherence_score": 0.0, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.0, "grad_tau": 0.36064985394477844, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -6.068927764892578, "S_field": 0.2638552784919739, "Gamma_field": 0.19164712727069855, "S_over_Gamma": 1.3767765760421753, "Da": 12.033900260925293, "E_coh": 0.41925179958343506, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -101.4, 49.8 ], [ -101.34, 49.79 ], [ -101.33, 49.78 ], [ -101.33, 49.75 ], [ -101.32, 49.74 ], [ -101.29, 49.74 ], [ -101.27, 49.72 ], [ -101.27, 49.68 ], [ -101.29, 49.67 ], [ -101.29, 49.7 ], [ -101.3, 49.71 ], [ -101.38, 49.72 ], [ -101.39, 49.71 ], [ -101.41, 49.71 ], [ -101.42, 49.7 ], [ -101.48, 49.69 ], [ -101.49, 49.68 ], [ -101.53, 49.67 ], [ -101.54, 49.69 ], [ -101.54, 49.73 ], [ -101.49, 49.77 ], [ -101.45, 49.79 ], [ -101.41, 49.79 ], [ -101.4, 49.8 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1042, "confidence_lo": 0.0015, "confidence_hi": 0.0018, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "cb4e940f2a30a4a3175dd5873bba45b3ed7351346bc200374f74e857330bd14d", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.1042, "probability": 0.001768, "confidence_lo": 0.001518, "confidence_hi": 0.001768, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "94773e379f1e35eaa5599187cdea936486f13ca1f9896a22f588fa55bfe56c09" }, "receipt_sha256": "94773e379f1e35eaa5599187cdea936486f13ca1f9896a22f588fa55bfe56c09" }, { "storm_id": "913092", "lat": 49.1672, "lon": -100.4707, "motion_east": 8.4, "motion_south": 2.4, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0018, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 371.0, "ebshear": 28.0, "srh01": 28.0, "maxllaz": 0.008, "mesh": 0.25, "flash_rate": 3.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 28.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 36.5691 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -3.1314 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.0 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.008 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1017 }, "coherence_score": 0.0, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.0, "grad_tau": 0.39421793818473816, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -3.131427764892578, "S_field": 0.27727755904197693, "Gamma_field": 0.1883137971162796, "S_over_Gamma": 1.4724229574203491, "Da": 11.896276473999023, "E_coh": 0.42317381501197815, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 3, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -100.55, 49.28 ], [ -100.54, 49.28 ], [ -100.53, 49.28 ], [ -100.52, 49.27 ], [ -100.51, 49.27 ], [ -100.5, 49.27 ], [ -100.49, 49.26 ], [ -100.48, 49.25 ], [ -100.48, 49.24 ], [ -100.48, 49.23 ], [ -100.48, 49.22 ], [ -100.49, 49.21 ], [ -100.48, 49.2 ], [ -100.47, 49.2 ], [ -100.46, 49.2 ], [ -100.45, 49.21 ], [ -100.44, 49.21 ], [ -100.43, 49.21 ], [ -100.42, 49.21 ], [ -100.41, 49.21 ], [ -100.4, 49.21 ], [ -100.39, 49.2 ], [ -100.38, 49.2 ], [ -100.37, 49.2 ], [ -100.36, 49.2 ], [ -100.35, 49.19 ], [ -100.34, 49.19 ], [ -100.33, 49.19 ], [ -100.32, 49.19 ], [ -100.31, 49.19 ], [ -100.3, 49.2 ], [ -100.29, 49.2 ], [ -100.28, 49.2 ], [ -100.27, 49.21 ], [ -100.26, 49.21 ], [ -100.25, 49.22 ], [ -100.24, 49.22 ], [ -100.23, 49.22 ], [ -100.22, 49.22 ], [ -100.21, 49.22 ], [ -100.2, 49.22 ], [ -100.19, 49.22 ], [ -100.18, 49.22 ], [ -100.17, 49.22 ], [ -100.16, 49.22 ], [ -100.15, 49.22 ], [ -100.14, 49.22 ], [ -100.14, 49.21 ], [ -100.14, 49.2 ], [ -100.14, 49.19 ], [ -100.15, 49.18 ], [ -100.16, 49.18 ], [ -100.17, 49.17 ], [ -100.18, 49.16 ], [ -100.18, 49.15 ], [ -100.19, 49.14 ], [ -100.19, 49.13 ], [ -100.2, 49.12 ], [ -100.2, 49.11 ], [ -100.2, 49.1 ], [ -100.21, 49.09 ], [ -100.21, 49.08 ], [ -100.22, 49.08 ], [ -100.23, 49.07 ], [ -100.24, 49.06 ], [ -100.25, 49.05 ], [ -100.26, 49.05 ], [ -100.27, 49.04 ], [ -100.28, 49.04 ], [ -100.29, 49.04 ], [ -100.3, 49.04 ], [ -100.31, 49.04 ], [ -100.32, 49.04 ], [ -100.33, 49.04 ], [ -100.34, 49.04 ], [ -100.35, 49.04 ], [ -100.36, 49.03 ], [ -100.37, 49.03 ], [ -100.38, 49.02 ], [ -100.39, 49.02 ], [ -100.4, 49.02 ], [ -100.41, 49.02 ], [ -100.42, 49.03 ], [ -100.43, 49.03 ], [ -100.44, 49.04 ], [ -100.45, 49.05 ], [ -100.45, 49.06 ], [ -100.45, 49.07 ], [ -100.45, 49.08 ], [ -100.46, 49.09 ], [ -100.46, 49.1 ], [ -100.46, 49.11 ], [ -100.47, 49.12 ], [ -100.47, 49.13 ], [ -100.47, 49.14 ], [ -100.47, 49.15 ], [ -100.47, 49.16 ], [ -100.47, 49.17 ], [ -100.47, 49.18 ], [ -100.47, 49.19 ], [ -100.48, 49.2 ], [ -100.49, 49.2 ], [ -100.5, 49.19 ], [ -100.51, 49.18 ], [ -100.52, 49.17 ], [ -100.52, 49.16 ], [ -100.53, 49.15 ], [ -100.54, 49.14 ], [ -100.55, 49.14 ], [ -100.56, 49.13 ], [ -100.57, 49.12 ], [ -100.58, 49.12 ], [ -100.59, 49.11 ], [ -100.6, 49.11 ], [ -100.61, 49.11 ], [ -100.62, 49.11 ], [ -100.63, 49.11 ], [ -100.64, 49.11 ], [ -100.65, 49.11 ], [ -100.66, 49.11 ], [ -100.67, 49.11 ], [ -100.68, 49.11 ], [ -100.69, 49.11 ], [ -100.7, 49.12 ], [ -100.71, 49.13 ], [ -100.72, 49.13 ], [ -100.73, 49.13 ], [ -100.74, 49.14 ], [ -100.75, 49.14 ], [ -100.76, 49.14 ], [ -100.77, 49.15 ], [ -100.78, 49.15 ], [ -100.79, 49.16 ], [ -100.8, 49.17 ], [ -100.81, 49.18 ], [ -100.81, 49.19 ], [ -100.81, 49.2 ], [ -100.81, 49.21 ], [ -100.81, 49.22 ], [ -100.8, 49.23 ], [ -100.8, 49.24 ], [ -100.79, 49.25 ], [ -100.78, 49.25 ], [ -100.77, 49.25 ], [ -100.76, 49.25 ], [ -100.75, 49.25 ], [ -100.74, 49.26 ], [ -100.73, 49.26 ], [ -100.72, 49.26 ], [ -100.71, 49.26 ], [ -100.7, 49.26 ], [ -100.69, 49.26 ], [ -100.68, 49.26 ], [ -100.67, 49.26 ], [ -100.66, 49.26 ], [ -100.65, 49.25 ], [ -100.64, 49.24 ], [ -100.63, 49.24 ], [ -100.62, 49.24 ], [ -100.61, 49.24 ], [ -100.6, 49.24 ], [ -100.59, 49.25 ], [ -100.58, 49.26 ], [ -100.57, 49.27 ], [ -100.56, 49.27 ], [ -100.55, 49.28 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1017, "confidence_lo": 0.0015, "confidence_hi": 0.0018, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "c90f475a7a5f702cba5ff7cadec28be112dd2e05f3abdbdf6c71563132ae1289", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.1017, "probability": 0.001768, "confidence_lo": 0.001518, "confidence_hi": 0.001768, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "679ba963e8ef22e47fcef1500bb4aa94cb740f331792f1cf3f598a6f75743810" }, "receipt_sha256": "679ba963e8ef22e47fcef1500bb4aa94cb740f331792f1cf3f598a6f75743810" }, { "storm_id": "913325", "lat": 28.7338, "lon": -97.6213, "motion_east": 3.5, "motion_south": 0.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0018, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 3548.0, "ebshear": 34.0, "srh01": 47.0, "maxllaz": 0.004, "mesh": 0.14, "flash_rate": 2.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 47.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 51.0691 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 0.1832 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.6209 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.004 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1012 }, "coherence_score": 1.6208760738372803, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.6208760738372803, "grad_tau": 0.579343318939209, "torsion": 8.07436872918288e-09, "alignment": 0.1832261085510254, "S_field": 0.417672336101532, "Gamma_field": 0.30581381916999817, "S_over_Gamma": 1.3657732009887695, "Da": 19.671356201171875, "E_coh": 0.8515395522117615, "singularity_count": 4.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 4, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": true, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -97.61, 28.77 ], [ -97.59, 28.75 ], [ -97.59, 28.72 ], [ -97.61, 28.7 ], [ -97.64, 28.7 ], [ -97.66, 28.72 ], [ -97.66, 28.74 ], [ -97.61, 28.77 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1012, "confidence_lo": 0.0015, "confidence_hi": 0.0018, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "80e061298eaf441e179cf0d167d52eef4ae500d8d4d6daa5520dc62e80773df4", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.1012, "probability": 0.001768, "confidence_lo": 0.001518, "confidence_hi": 0.001768, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "e9af28847f852e35f2d3f641ea0a39d5481f85a4a1111699454b2fd14a96d93e" }, "receipt_sha256": "e9af28847f852e35f2d3f641ea0a39d5481f85a4a1111699454b2fd14a96d93e" }, { "storm_id": "913389", "lat": 29.9638, "lon": -99.9844, "motion_east": 0.1, "motion_south": -5.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0018, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 583.0, "ebshear": 36.0, "srh01": 71.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 71.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 26.6941 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -2.9824 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.7168 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1 }, "coherence_score": 0.716812789440155, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.716812789440155, "grad_tau": 0.16056056320667267, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -2.982379674911499, "S_field": 0.10587424784898758, "Gamma_field": 0.17748047411441803, "S_over_Gamma": 0.5965402722358704, "Da": 11.104050636291504, "E_coh": 0.3252955675125122, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -100.03, 30.03 ], [ -99.99, 30.03 ], [ -99.95, 30.0 ], [ -99.94, 30.0 ], [ -99.93, 29.96 ], [ -99.91, 29.95 ], [ -99.91, 29.92 ], [ -99.94, 29.89 ], [ -99.96, 29.89 ], [ -99.96, 29.91 ], [ -99.99, 29.94 ], [ -100.01, 29.95 ], [ -100.06, 29.95 ], [ -100.07, 29.96 ], [ -100.07, 30.01 ], [ -100.03, 30.03 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1, "confidence_lo": 0.0015, "confidence_hi": 0.0018, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "45d2b662d9d490ae9b932759c910b26b9a874065de620f4ac0a3a23a65e40b8c", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.1, "probability": 0.001768, "confidence_lo": 0.001518, "confidence_hi": 0.001768, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f8e7387225d1281fa51ea1767f69710ec254130595ac09993a1c798f59d437cc" }, "receipt_sha256": "f8e7387225d1281fa51ea1767f69710ec254130595ac09993a1c798f59d437cc" }, { "storm_id": "913418", "lat": 28.2631, "lon": -97.3262, "motion_east": 1.0, "motion_south": -4.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0017, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 3813.0, "ebshear": 36.0, "srh01": 27.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.07, "flash_rate": 1.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 27.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 52.1941 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 2.8147 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.435 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0975 }, "coherence_score": 1.4350407123565674, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.4350407123565674, "grad_tau": 0.6261586546897888, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 2.8147435188293457, "S_field": 0.38898465037345886, "Gamma_field": 0.39331382513046265, "S_over_Gamma": 0.9889930486679077, "Da": 24.896604537963867, "E_coh": 0.8025985360145569, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": true, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -97.33, 28.32 ], [ -97.29, 28.31 ], [ -97.27, 28.27 ], [ -97.28, 28.26 ], [ -97.28, 28.24 ], [ -97.3, 28.22 ], [ -97.33, 28.22 ], [ -97.34, 28.21 ], [ -97.37, 28.23 ], [ -97.38, 28.26 ], [ -97.37, 28.27 ], [ -97.37, 28.29 ], [ -97.33, 28.32 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0975, "confidence_lo": 0.0014, "confidence_hi": 0.0017, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "6a543c9f51429c65a023db400156b6c960211193a2e1cc8761b356c8a94a2a9b", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.0975, "probability": 0.001734, "confidence_lo": 0.001363, "confidence_hi": 0.001735, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "12400be90faf0851a61cb36172d8ab9b65d79ccbff4ffd137b37e5cfe0712f02" }, "receipt_sha256": "12400be90faf0851a61cb36172d8ab9b65d79ccbff4ffd137b37e5cfe0712f02" }, { "storm_id": "913460", "lat": 30.86, "lon": -100.51, "motion_east": 3.5, "motion_south": 0.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0014, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 710.0, "ebshear": 12.0, "srh01": 70.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 70.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 35.4441 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -2.5752 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.7567 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0917 }, "coherence_score": 0.756720244884491, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.756720244884491, "grad_tau": 0.11085458099842072, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -2.5751805305480957, "S_field": 0.2399597465991974, "Gamma_field": 0.3324804902076721, "S_over_Gamma": 0.7217258214950562, "Da": 19.85603141784668, "E_coh": 0.42772963643074036, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -100.52, 30.89 ], [ -100.48, 30.88 ], [ -100.48, 30.85 ], [ -100.51, 30.81 ], [ -100.53, 30.82 ], [ -100.53, 30.88 ], [ -100.52, 30.89 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0917, "confidence_lo": 0.0013, "confidence_hi": 0.0014, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "2d5ca5a9910da08fa54560f38b011534e1bcdc2aac6c90ad9efd0e2551132651", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.0917, "probability": 0.001446, "confidence_lo": 0.001347, "confidence_hi": 0.001446, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "7e991dba41a3b6d832d6c7c91ba13bff71726dc8449762ad4fe7907996d70678" }, "receipt_sha256": "7e991dba41a3b6d832d6c7c91ba13bff71726dc8449762ad4fe7907996d70678" }, { "storm_id": "913435", "lat": 29.765, "lon": -100.664, "motion_east": 3.1, "motion_south": -1.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0014, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1317.0, "ebshear": 34.0, "srh01": 90.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 90.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 33.8191 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -2.4929 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.5979 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.003 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0888 }, "coherence_score": 0.5979106426239014, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.5979106426239014, "grad_tau": 0.11355078965425491, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -2.4928500652313232, "S_field": 0.11118333786725998, "Gamma_field": 0.21248047053813934, "S_over_Gamma": 0.5232638120651245, "Da": 12.974146842956543, "E_coh": 0.47218748927116394, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -100.68, 29.8 ], [ -100.65, 29.8 ], [ -100.62, 29.78 ], [ -100.62, 29.74 ], [ -100.63, 29.73 ], [ -100.67, 29.72 ], [ -100.7, 29.74 ], [ -100.69, 29.75 ], [ -100.7, 29.79 ], [ -100.68, 29.8 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0888, "confidence_lo": 0.0013, "confidence_hi": 0.0014, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "31e4b33a5c787f8a7c4db510cda0c4a5a31aec47e5a6bd80cf76b7feb6095848", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.0888, "probability": 0.001446, "confidence_lo": 0.001347, "confidence_hi": 0.001446, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "edf3e1a9f013c4c7342358bfeaba02e9d2c113a8fcc94a32c470795983c7406f" }, "receipt_sha256": "edf3e1a9f013c4c7342358bfeaba02e9d2c113a8fcc94a32c470795983c7406f" }, { "storm_id": "913315", "lat": 27.595, "lon": -97.1239, "motion_east": -2.0, "motion_south": -8.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0014, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 4700.0, "ebshear": 27.0, "srh01": 19.0, "maxllaz": 0.004, "mesh": 0.21, "flash_rate": 1.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 19.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 47.8191 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 7.2044 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.1602 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.004 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0844 }, "coherence_score": 1.1602442264556885, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.1602442264556885, "grad_tau": 0.6131724119186401, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 7.204414367675781, "S_field": 0.357368141412735, "Gamma_field": 0.46998047828674316, "S_over_Gamma": 0.7603893280029297, "Da": 29.91931915283203, "E_coh": 0.6913922429084778, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": true, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -97.2, 27.68 ], [ -97.16, 27.68 ], [ -97.14, 27.66 ], [ -97.14, 27.65 ], [ -97.09, 27.61 ], [ -97.04, 27.61 ], [ -97.01, 27.58 ], [ -97.01, 27.55 ], [ -97.03, 27.53 ], [ -97.05, 27.53 ], [ -97.09, 27.51 ], [ -97.11, 27.52 ], [ -97.16, 27.52 ], [ -97.18, 27.54 ], [ -97.18, 27.58 ], [ -97.22, 27.62 ], [ -97.22, 27.66 ], [ -97.2, 27.68 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0844, "confidence_lo": 0.0013, "confidence_hi": 0.0014, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "cefe349443a43ea822b4e8e519fe33835bb90c0379c3d95fbec731181190a046", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.0844, "probability": 0.001439, "confidence_lo": 0.001282, "confidence_hi": 0.001439, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "03cc37ba79cb318a9d1be54f190869e5779520a617e53786ce20d881a9f711f8" }, "receipt_sha256": "03cc37ba79cb318a9d1be54f190869e5779520a617e53786ce20d881a9f711f8" }, { "storm_id": "913452", "lat": 48.2853, "lon": -97.6537, "motion_east": 5.9, "motion_south": 0.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0014, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 235.0, "ebshear": 31.0, "srh01": 2.0, "maxllaz": 0.004, "mesh": 0.07, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 2.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 37.4441 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -0.2802 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.3948 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.004 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0838 }, "coherence_score": 0.39484184980392456, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.39484184980392456, "grad_tau": 0.3148512840270996, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -0.28022944927215576, "S_field": 0.3278883695602417, "Gamma_field": 0.4524804651737213, "S_over_Gamma": 0.7246464490890503, "Da": 26.90743637084961, "E_coh": 0.04996015504002571, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -97.71, 48.34 ], [ -97.63, 48.34 ], [ -97.62, 48.33 ], [ -97.55, 48.32 ], [ -97.53, 48.3 ], [ -97.54, 48.26 ], [ -97.56, 48.24 ], [ -97.58, 48.24 ], [ -97.59, 48.23 ], [ -97.63, 48.23 ], [ -97.64, 48.24 ], [ -97.68, 48.24 ], [ -97.69, 48.25 ], [ -97.74, 48.25 ], [ -97.77, 48.29 ], [ -97.77, 48.32 ], [ -97.76, 48.33 ], [ -97.72, 48.33 ], [ -97.71, 48.34 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0838, "confidence_lo": 0.0013, "confidence_hi": 0.0014, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "336114713d10e3480819a5887bafe28916a710a409c6c03fc9c02dcd6d91a6f0", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.0838, "probability": 0.001439, "confidence_lo": 0.001282, "confidence_hi": 0.001439, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "af3dc023733846f92ef07224dca1efae087cf97b464dda744ed5570186d99a64" }, "receipt_sha256": "af3dc023733846f92ef07224dca1efae087cf97b464dda744ed5570186d99a64" }, { "storm_id": "913464", "lat": 28.6905, "lon": -97.3495, "motion_east": 1.0, "motion_south": -4.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0014, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 3437.0, "ebshear": 35.0, "srh01": 30.0, "maxllaz": 0.004, "mesh": 0.09, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 30.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 51.0691 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 0.1832 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.6209 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.004 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0829 }, "coherence_score": 1.6208760738372803, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.6208760738372803, "grad_tau": 0.579343318939209, "torsion": 8.07436872918288e-09, "alignment": 0.1832261085510254, "S_field": 0.417672336101532, "Gamma_field": 0.30581381916999817, "S_over_Gamma": 1.3657732009887695, "Da": 19.671356201171875, "E_coh": 0.8515395522117615, "singularity_count": 4.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 4, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": true, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -97.25, 28.75 ], [ -97.23, 28.75 ], [ -97.22, 28.68 ], [ -97.24, 28.68 ], [ -97.28, 28.66 ], [ -97.38, 28.65 ], [ -97.41, 28.62 ], [ -97.45, 28.62 ], [ -97.49, 28.64 ], [ -97.49, 28.66 ], [ -97.5, 28.67 ], [ -97.48, 28.7 ], [ -97.42, 28.7 ], [ -97.39, 28.68 ], [ -97.35, 28.67 ], [ -97.31, 28.69 ], [ -97.31, 28.72 ], [ -97.32, 28.73 ], [ -97.31, 28.74 ], [ -97.26, 28.74 ], [ -97.25, 28.75 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0829, "confidence_lo": 0.0011, "confidence_hi": 0.0014, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "92b412e796f9908a5c34017775f974cb65f02960f297f16be6cc629f87196725", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.0829, "probability": 0.001429, "confidence_lo": 0.00107, "confidence_hi": 0.001429, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "7e4cb5c46a0919b9bf3a5be233f1f83a54f428a2e85b0843e2fd92bfdd8d1868" }, "receipt_sha256": "7e4cb5c46a0919b9bf3a5be233f1f83a54f428a2e85b0843e2fd92bfdd8d1868" }, { "storm_id": "912866", "lat": 48.2, "lon": -96.946, "motion_east": 7.2, "motion_south": 0.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0014, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 105.0, "ebshear": 21.0, "srh01": 0.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.06, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 0.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 37.4441 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -0.2802 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.3948 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.003 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0817 }, "coherence_score": 0.39484184980392456, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.39484184980392456, "grad_tau": 0.3148512840270996, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -0.28022944927215576, "S_field": 0.3278883695602417, "Gamma_field": 0.4524804651737213, "S_over_Gamma": 0.7246464490890503, "Da": 26.90743637084961, "E_coh": 0.04996015504002571, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 4, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -96.99, 48.25 ], [ -96.87, 48.25 ], [ -96.82, 48.22 ], [ -96.82, 48.19 ], [ -96.83, 48.17 ], [ -96.86, 48.15 ], [ -96.93, 48.15 ], [ -96.96, 48.17 ], [ -97.0, 48.17 ], [ -97.01, 48.18 ], [ -97.03, 48.18 ], [ -97.04, 48.19 ], [ -97.04, 48.24 ], [ -97.0, 48.24 ], [ -96.99, 48.25 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0817, "confidence_lo": 0.0011, "confidence_hi": 0.0014, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "79d761cac54576892ddcd38abbaa045fd592c65c43d35c3db22816cdfe50b4df", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.0817, "probability": 0.001429, "confidence_lo": 0.00107, "confidence_hi": 0.001429, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "18eb29580ae04ca2bd2c256b2356f60c3b7ae909edacf497e5bb2a4ef4ff6c3c" }, "receipt_sha256": "18eb29580ae04ca2bd2c256b2356f60c3b7ae909edacf497e5bb2a4ef4ff6c3c" }, { "storm_id": "913388", "lat": 30.2839, "lon": -98.945, "motion_east": 2.4, "motion_south": -5.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0013, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 803.0, "ebshear": 13.0, "srh01": 42.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 42.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 41.9441 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -1.3118 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.8876 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.003 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0815 }, "coherence_score": 0.8876094818115234, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.8876094818115234, "grad_tau": 0.20344409346580505, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -1.3117936849594116, "S_field": 0.09953612834215164, "Gamma_field": 0.1816471368074417, "S_over_Gamma": 0.5479642152786255, "Da": 11.224409103393555, "E_coh": 0.3268990218639374, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -98.97, 30.39 ], [ -98.95, 30.38 ], [ -98.92, 30.38 ], [ -98.9, 30.37 ], [ -98.89, 30.35 ], [ -98.89, 30.23 ], [ -98.91, 30.2 ], [ -98.9, 30.18 ], [ -98.92, 30.18 ], [ -98.93, 30.17 ], [ -98.95, 30.18 ], [ -98.99, 30.22 ], [ -99.0, 30.24 ], [ -99.0, 30.26 ], [ -98.97, 30.31 ], [ -98.98, 30.33 ], [ -98.97, 30.35 ], [ -98.97, 30.39 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0815, "confidence_lo": 0.0011, "confidence_hi": 0.0013, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "a48fe359709493f9f52fadf4bf8790f51694c38b2d1d748d07802eb285934b34", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.0815, "probability": 0.001291, "confidence_lo": 0.00107, "confidence_hi": 0.001291, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "04502a18a319e15aa8ae5154a8b7a9789baf3999160fb964155273524470cc1f" }, "receipt_sha256": "04502a18a319e15aa8ae5154a8b7a9789baf3999160fb964155273524470cc1f" }, { "storm_id": "913338", "lat": 42.6243, "lon": -78.2718, "motion_east": 3.5, "motion_south": 0.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0011, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1896.0, "ebshear": 48.0, "srh01": 86.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 86.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 32.1941 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 5.5851 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.5968 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0786 }, "coherence_score": 0.5967973470687866, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.5967973470687866, "grad_tau": 0.13031938672065735, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 5.585144519805908, "S_field": 0.3650100529193878, "Gamma_field": 1.3083138465881348, "S_over_Gamma": 0.27899274230003357, "Da": 70.2193832397461, "E_coh": 0.5965996980667114, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -78.34, 42.72 ], [ -78.32, 42.71 ], [ -78.32, 42.68 ], [ -78.31, 42.67 ], [ -78.3, 42.68 ], [ -78.3, 42.71 ], [ -78.29, 42.72 ], [ -78.2, 42.71 ], [ -78.2, 42.7 ], [ -78.22, 42.68 ], [ -78.19, 42.65 ], [ -78.2, 42.63 ], [ -78.2, 42.61 ], [ -78.19, 42.6 ], [ -78.22, 42.56 ], [ -78.2, 42.52 ], [ -78.21, 42.51 ], [ -78.2, 42.5 ], [ -78.21, 42.49 ], [ -78.3, 42.49 ], [ -78.31, 42.5 ], [ -78.34, 42.5 ], [ -78.34, 42.58 ], [ -78.32, 42.59 ], [ -78.32, 42.66 ], [ -78.36, 42.69 ], [ -78.36, 42.7 ], [ -78.34, 42.72 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0786, "confidence_lo": 0.0011, "confidence_hi": 0.0011, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "de77acc8c145d71bdc59f6fe4c34c6e67af3e5c232ccc3d3f22cb72a373fa842", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.0786, "probability": 0.001091, "confidence_lo": 0.00107, "confidence_hi": 0.001091, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ba6533d7923b276ad6c78da4546a287f6e7caec57945775de976fbdbdcf1bee3" }, "receipt_sha256": "ba6533d7923b276ad6c78da4546a287f6e7caec57945775de976fbdbdcf1bee3" }, { "storm_id": "913348", "lat": 48.4158, "lon": -97.9279, "motion_east": 5.9, "motion_south": 0.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0011, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 370.0, "ebshear": 37.0, "srh01": 26.0, "maxllaz": 0.004, "mesh": 0.2, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 26.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 38.1941 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -1.2369 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.4243 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.004 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0776 }, "coherence_score": 0.4242856800556183, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.4242856800556183, "grad_tau": 0.33686745166778564, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -1.2369166612625122, "S_field": 0.2999158501625061, "Gamma_field": 0.19914713501930237, "S_over_Gamma": 1.506001353263855, "Da": 12.101507186889648, "E_coh": 0.33155137300491333, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -98.04, 48.5 ], [ -98.0, 48.5 ], [ -97.99, 48.49 ], [ -97.97, 48.49 ], [ -97.94, 48.46 ], [ -97.88, 48.43 ], [ -97.85, 48.43 ], [ -97.81, 48.41 ], [ -97.8, 48.4 ], [ -97.8, 48.37 ], [ -97.79, 48.36 ], [ -97.81, 48.34 ], [ -97.88, 48.34 ], [ -97.89, 48.35 ], [ -97.96, 48.35 ], [ -97.99, 48.37 ], [ -98.07, 48.37 ], [ -98.12, 48.44 ], [ -98.04, 48.5 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0776, "confidence_lo": 0.0011, "confidence_hi": 0.0011, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "c7e07155025305c88ca81ccaab63d30a8b38d18be02aae988d593eed6b9e77bb", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.0776, "probability": 0.001091, "confidence_lo": 0.00107, "confidence_hi": 0.001091, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f9a4a735cf33a21508e22b8069a39bdb5faed351fe450ab48f43f0089685e384" }, "receipt_sha256": "f9a4a735cf33a21508e22b8069a39bdb5faed351fe450ab48f43f0089685e384" }, { "storm_id": "913443", "lat": 49.3242, "lon": -99.62, "motion_east": 9.1, "motion_south": -2.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0011, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1.0, "ebshear": 1.0, "srh01": 24.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 24.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 36.5691 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -3.1314 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.0 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0776 }, "coherence_score": 0.0, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.0, "grad_tau": 0.39421793818473816, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -3.131427764892578, "S_field": 0.27727755904197693, "Gamma_field": 0.1883137971162796, "S_over_Gamma": 1.4724229574203491, "Da": 11.896276473999023, "E_coh": 0.42317381501197815, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -99.61, 49.36 ], [ -99.57, 49.36 ], [ -99.56, 49.35 ], [ -99.56, 49.3 ], [ -99.61, 49.27 ], [ -99.66, 49.27 ], [ -99.67, 49.28 ], [ -99.67, 49.31 ], [ -99.66, 49.33 ], [ -99.64, 49.35 ], [ -99.62, 49.35 ], [ -99.61, 49.36 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0776, "confidence_lo": 0.0011, "confidence_hi": 0.0011, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "c7e07155025305c88ca81ccaab63d30a8b38d18be02aae988d593eed6b9e77bb", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.0776, "probability": 0.001091, "confidence_lo": 0.00107, "confidence_hi": 0.001091, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f9a4a735cf33a21508e22b8069a39bdb5faed351fe450ab48f43f0089685e384" }, "receipt_sha256": "f9a4a735cf33a21508e22b8069a39bdb5faed351fe450ab48f43f0089685e384" }, { "storm_id": "913404", "lat": 50.4838, "lon": -111.4577, "motion_east": 3.5, "motion_south": 0.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0011, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 57.0, "ebshear": 13.0, "srh01": 94.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 94.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 16.4441 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 4.1811 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.0 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0767 }, "coherence_score": 0.0, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.0, "grad_tau": 0.2216477394104004, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 4.181072235107422, "S_field": 0.16218864917755127, "Gamma_field": 0.3458138108253479, "S_over_Gamma": 0.4690057039260864, "Da": 20.843936920166016, "E_coh": 0.6175376176834106, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -111.46, 50.52 ], [ -111.41, 50.52 ], [ -111.4, 50.51 ], [ -111.4, 50.46 ], [ -111.41, 50.45 ], [ -111.45, 50.45 ], [ -111.46, 50.44 ], [ -111.48, 50.45 ], [ -111.52, 50.45 ], [ -111.52, 50.5 ], [ -111.51, 50.51 ], [ -111.47, 50.51 ], [ -111.46, 50.52 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0767, "confidence_lo": 0.0011, "confidence_hi": 0.0011, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "5816246b6c1b610295978e22013e815c9cbe526fa7e5407932cfc8534a5c13d1", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.0767, "probability": 0.001091, "confidence_lo": 0.00107, "confidence_hi": 0.001091, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "6574f5fa5d76e981603f9474a10153e66ea2d61e85feaccb9f6a949a95d6059f" }, "receipt_sha256": "6574f5fa5d76e981603f9474a10153e66ea2d61e85feaccb9f6a949a95d6059f" }, { "storm_id": "913292", "lat": 28.5125, "lon": -96.9365, "motion_east": -1.0, "motion_south": -7.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0011, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 4089.0, "ebshear": 37.0, "srh01": 13.0, "maxllaz": 0.011, "mesh": 0.46, "flash_rate": 12.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 13.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 52.1941 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 2.8147 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.435 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.011 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0763 }, "coherence_score": 1.4350407123565674, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.4350407123565674, "grad_tau": 0.6261586546897888, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 2.8147435188293457, "S_field": 0.38898465037345886, "Gamma_field": 0.39331382513046265, "S_over_Gamma": 0.9889930486679077, "Da": 24.896604537963867, "E_coh": 0.8025985360145569, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": true, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -97.0, 28.61 ], [ -96.96, 28.61 ], [ -96.94, 28.59 ], [ -96.93, 28.59 ], [ -96.9, 28.55 ], [ -96.87, 28.54 ], [ -96.82, 28.5 ], [ -96.82, 28.46 ], [ -96.84, 28.44 ], [ -96.84, 28.43 ], [ -96.91, 28.43 ], [ -96.92, 28.44 ], [ -96.95, 28.44 ], [ -96.97, 28.46 ], [ -96.98, 28.45 ], [ -97.01, 28.48 ], [ -97.01, 28.5 ], [ -97.03, 28.53 ], [ -97.03, 28.59 ], [ -97.0, 28.61 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0763, "confidence_lo": 0.0011, "confidence_hi": 0.0011, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "4cb7d06b31e727411f7d85add4a42c08c1dc28f7ae7b765eefc41599fd7a1d41", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.0763, "probability": 0.001091, "confidence_lo": 0.00107, "confidence_hi": 0.001091, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ba4b55d3e39b84a33ccebbd57293ccef613d54cc749d2d4ca8631150ecd797d9" }, "receipt_sha256": "ba4b55d3e39b84a33ccebbd57293ccef613d54cc749d2d4ca8631150ecd797d9" }, { "storm_id": "913293", "lat": 28.5762, "lon": -97.1592, "motion_east": -1.0, "motion_south": -7.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0011, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 3771.0, "ebshear": 35.0, "srh01": 18.0, "maxllaz": 0.004, "mesh": 0.3, "flash_rate": 1.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 18.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 52.1941 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 2.8147 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.435 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.004 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0763 }, "coherence_score": 1.4350407123565674, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.4350407123565674, "grad_tau": 0.6261586546897888, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 2.8147435188293457, "S_field": 0.38898465037345886, "Gamma_field": 0.39331382513046265, "S_over_Gamma": 0.9889930486679077, "Da": 24.896604537963867, "E_coh": 0.8025985360145569, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": true, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -97.19, 28.64 ], [ -97.16, 28.64 ], [ -97.13, 28.61 ], [ -97.13, 28.57 ], [ -97.11, 28.55 ], [ -97.11, 28.53 ], [ -97.13, 28.5 ], [ -97.15, 28.51 ], [ -97.15, 28.52 ], [ -97.2, 28.57 ], [ -97.21, 28.59 ], [ -97.21, 28.62 ], [ -97.19, 28.64 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0763, "confidence_lo": 0.0011, "confidence_hi": 0.0011, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "4cb7d06b31e727411f7d85add4a42c08c1dc28f7ae7b765eefc41599fd7a1d41", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.0763, "probability": 0.001091, "confidence_lo": 0.00107, "confidence_hi": 0.001091, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ba4b55d3e39b84a33ccebbd57293ccef613d54cc749d2d4ca8631150ecd797d9" }, "receipt_sha256": "ba4b55d3e39b84a33ccebbd57293ccef613d54cc749d2d4ca8631150ecd797d9" }, { "storm_id": "913383", "lat": 49.3244, "lon": -99.8633, "motion_east": 8.5, "motion_south": 0.2, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0011, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 26.0, "ebshear": 10.0, "srh01": 12.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 12.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 36.5691 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -3.1314 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.0 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.003 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0762 }, "coherence_score": 0.0, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.0, "grad_tau": 0.39421793818473816, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -3.131427764892578, "S_field": 0.27727755904197693, "Gamma_field": 0.1883137971162796, "S_over_Gamma": 1.4724229574203491, "Da": 11.896276473999023, "E_coh": 0.42317381501197815, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -99.88, 49.36 ], [ -99.83, 49.36 ], [ -99.81, 49.35 ], [ -99.81, 49.3 ], [ -99.84, 49.28 ], [ -99.9, 49.28 ], [ -99.91, 49.29 ], [ -99.91, 49.34 ], [ -99.88, 49.36 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0762, "confidence_lo": 0.0011, "confidence_hi": 0.0011, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "2961bcc5272c59633da2c1545b9bad8687b5f9c5a1db6bba47a85a07c843aeac", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.0762, "probability": 0.001091, "confidence_lo": 0.00107, "confidence_hi": 0.001091, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "1e5cd8878a3fa1cd6cbc5cab2437f843d847825e4c23c28e17f5cae40c4fbc90" }, "receipt_sha256": "1e5cd8878a3fa1cd6cbc5cab2437f843d847825e4c23c28e17f5cae40c4fbc90" }, { "storm_id": "913367", "lat": 28.2525, "lon": -97.105, "motion_east": 0.0, "motion_south": -6.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0011, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 3920.0, "ebshear": 36.0, "srh01": 24.0, "maxllaz": 0.004, "mesh": 0.2, "flash_rate": 1.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 24.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 52.1941 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 2.8147 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.435 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.004 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0667 }, "coherence_score": 1.4350407123565674, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.4350407123565674, "grad_tau": 0.6261586546897888, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 2.8147435188293457, "S_field": 0.38898465037345886, "Gamma_field": 0.39331382513046265, "S_over_Gamma": 0.9889930486679077, "Da": 24.896604537963867, "E_coh": 0.8025985360145569, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": true, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -97.12, 28.28 ], [ -97.09, 28.28 ], [ -97.08, 28.27 ], [ -97.08, 28.22 ], [ -97.09, 28.21 ], [ -97.13, 28.21 ], [ -97.13, 28.27 ], [ -97.12, 28.28 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0667, "confidence_lo": 0.0011, "confidence_hi": 0.0011, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "c871ef2432e1db28bd5a9dba5769eefccacb7dc08a91386e64389d9febdb95ed", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.0667, "probability": 0.001091, "confidence_lo": 0.00107, "confidence_hi": 0.001091, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "e929e0be803a3e87d88147d11ab6f03eb52c3d7c5fa55c8d6d61935ff00cc49f" }, "receipt_sha256": "e929e0be803a3e87d88147d11ab6f03eb52c3d7c5fa55c8d6d61935ff00cc49f" }, { "storm_id": "913248", "lat": 35.2861, "lon": -93.9283, "motion_east": 1.3, "motion_south": -5.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0011, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1048.0, "ebshear": 12.0, "srh01": 9.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.09, "flash_rate": 1.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 9.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 30.1941 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -2.7509 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.7399 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.003 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0642 }, "coherence_score": 0.7399468421936035, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.7399468421936035, "grad_tau": 0.07232730090618134, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -2.7509212493896484, "S_field": 0.15482933819293976, "Gamma_field": 0.4216471314430237, "S_over_Gamma": 0.36720120906829834, "Da": 25.464567184448242, "E_coh": 0.876829206943512, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -94.01, 35.35 ], [ -93.98, 35.35 ], [ -93.97, 35.34 ], [ -93.9, 35.34 ], [ -93.89, 35.33 ], [ -93.87, 35.33 ], [ -93.81, 35.26 ], [ -93.81, 35.23 ], [ -93.82, 35.22 ], [ -93.86, 35.22 ], [ -93.87, 35.21 ], [ -93.89, 35.22 ], [ -93.97, 35.22 ], [ -94.0, 35.25 ], [ -94.01, 35.29 ], [ -94.02, 35.3 ], [ -94.02, 35.34 ], [ -94.01, 35.35 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0642, "confidence_lo": 0.0011, "confidence_hi": 0.0011, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "a46b40bd0e22a8ae179902aa42aae18f15a1e394eee22faaf868fb65961b9d3d", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.0642, "probability": 0.001091, "confidence_lo": 0.00107, "confidence_hi": 0.001091, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "286455f10590f32935df25a59a21a21e224a17c56feaeaea32b6b96bb7da9a28" }, "receipt_sha256": "286455f10590f32935df25a59a21a21e224a17c56feaeaea32b6b96bb7da9a28" }, { "storm_id": "912010", "lat": 49.3711, "lon": -101.83, "motion_east": 6.5, "motion_south": 0.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0011, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 471.0, "ebshear": 37.0, "srh01": 3.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.03, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 3.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 38.8191 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -0.5064 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.0 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0638 }, "coherence_score": 0.0, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.0, "grad_tau": 0.32193607091903687, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -0.5064277648925781, "S_field": 0.24584725499153137, "Gamma_field": 0.18081380426883698, "S_over_Gamma": 1.359670877456665, "Da": 11.47722339630127, "E_coh": 0.37606072425842285, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 9, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -101.83, 49.4 ], [ -101.8, 49.4 ], [ -101.79, 49.39 ], [ -101.79, 49.37 ], [ -101.83, 49.33 ], [ -101.86, 49.33 ], [ -101.87, 49.34 ], [ -101.87, 49.38 ], [ -101.83, 49.4 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0638, "confidence_lo": 0.0011, "confidence_hi": 0.0011, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "050a729023091a21b7d601c7bc654dded753b76ea99c0c6283388d1fc7460805", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.0638, "probability": 0.001091, "confidence_lo": 0.00107, "confidence_hi": 0.001091, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f2669096e6a262dab49c0ee4c38c9583d1028788b2649fea7dc27620867ec4ee" }, "receipt_sha256": "f2669096e6a262dab49c0ee4c38c9583d1028788b2649fea7dc27620867ec4ee" }, { "storm_id": "913456", "lat": 35.2013, "lon": -93.7425, "motion_east": 1.4, "motion_south": -5.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0011, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 987.0, "ebshear": 13.0, "srh01": 11.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.04, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 11.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 30.1941 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -2.7509 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.7399 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0638 }, "coherence_score": 0.7399468421936035, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.7399468421936035, "grad_tau": 0.07232730090618134, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -2.7509212493896484, "S_field": 0.15482933819293976, "Gamma_field": 0.4216471314430237, "S_over_Gamma": 0.36720120906829834, "Da": 25.464567184448242, "E_coh": 0.876829206943512, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -93.74, 35.24 ], [ -93.72, 35.23 ], [ -93.72, 35.19 ], [ -93.71, 35.18 ], [ -93.75, 35.16 ], [ -93.77, 35.17 ], [ -93.79, 35.2 ], [ -93.74, 35.24 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0638, "confidence_lo": 0.0011, "confidence_hi": 0.0011, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "050a729023091a21b7d601c7bc654dded753b76ea99c0c6283388d1fc7460805", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.0638, "probability": 0.001091, "confidence_lo": 0.00107, "confidence_hi": 0.001091, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f2669096e6a262dab49c0ee4c38c9583d1028788b2649fea7dc27620867ec4ee" }, "receipt_sha256": "f2669096e6a262dab49c0ee4c38c9583d1028788b2649fea7dc27620867ec4ee" }, { "storm_id": "913408", "lat": 48.877, "lon": -99.035, "motion_east": 9.2, "motion_south": -1.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0011, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 172.0, "ebshear": 28.0, "srh01": 2.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 2.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 34.4441 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 1.0561 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.0 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0636 }, "coherence_score": 0.0, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.0, "grad_tau": 0.4299646019935608, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 1.0560722351074219, "S_field": 0.1822405606508255, "Gamma_field": 0.2041471302509308, "S_over_Gamma": 0.8926922678947449, "Da": 12.751370429992676, "E_coh": 0.7095943689346313, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -99.04, 48.92 ], [ -99.03, 48.91 ], [ -99.01, 48.91 ], [ -98.98, 48.87 ], [ -98.99, 48.84 ], [ -99.01, 48.82 ], [ -99.07, 48.82 ], [ -99.1, 48.86 ], [ -99.08, 48.9 ], [ -99.04, 48.92 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0636, "confidence_lo": 0.0011, "confidence_hi": 0.0011, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "2d4e571ec6642a2e2765746ef80b4dd535e270db1ff8008ea54e0e5ac1acf4df", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.0636, "probability": 0.001091, "confidence_lo": 0.00107, "confidence_hi": 0.001091, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "09b7c6e3ae380d82f5f9f76ce688db1be79216a19b5302316427a27ab17c45cc" }, "receipt_sha256": "09b7c6e3ae380d82f5f9f76ce688db1be79216a19b5302316427a27ab17c45cc" }, { "storm_id": "913313", "lat": 29.9075, "lon": -98.8162, "motion_east": 3.4, "motion_south": 0.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0011, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 828.0, "ebshear": 20.0, "srh01": 48.0, "maxllaz": 0.007, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 48.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 34.5691 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 0.2225 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.9173 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.007 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0634 }, "coherence_score": 0.9172793626785278, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.9172793626785278, "grad_tau": 0.2551644742488861, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.22250908613204956, "S_field": 0.1421319842338562, "Gamma_field": 0.16831380128860474, "S_over_Gamma": 0.8444464206695557, "Da": 10.66465950012207, "E_coh": 0.37148725986480713, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -98.85, 29.95 ], [ -98.8, 29.95 ], [ -98.78, 29.93 ], [ -98.78, 29.88 ], [ -98.8, 29.86 ], [ -98.82, 29.86 ], [ -98.85, 29.88 ], [ -98.85, 29.95 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0634, "confidence_lo": 0.0011, "confidence_hi": 0.0011, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "f4b4cd5d9c5100b474f24569b748ce81f1b0ed96947d803725d3e833ce5ee6fa", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.0634, "probability": 0.001091, "confidence_lo": 0.00107, "confidence_hi": 0.001091, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "016cc30d0171ea67a3336af03d7eb7f359c7557f0d3074011b0dd80f02044308" }, "receipt_sha256": "016cc30d0171ea67a3336af03d7eb7f359c7557f0d3074011b0dd80f02044308" }, { "storm_id": "913403", "lat": 50.9014, "lon": -109.1143, "motion_east": 3.5, "motion_south": 0.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0011, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 61.0, "ebshear": 20.0, "srh01": 53.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 53.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 13.6941 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 0.3061 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.0 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0634 }, "coherence_score": 0.0, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.0, "grad_tau": 0.26971057057380676, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.3060722351074219, "S_field": 0.17335321009159088, "Gamma_field": 0.2349804788827896, "S_over_Gamma": 0.7377344965934753, "Da": 13.95734691619873, "E_coh": 0.5730032920837402, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -109.13, 50.93 ], [ -109.08, 50.93 ], [ -109.08, 50.87 ], [ -109.1, 50.86 ], [ -109.14, 50.87 ], [ -109.14, 50.92 ], [ -109.13, 50.93 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0634, "confidence_lo": 0.0011, "confidence_hi": 0.0011, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "f4b4cd5d9c5100b474f24569b748ce81f1b0ed96947d803725d3e833ce5ee6fa", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.0634, "probability": 0.001091, "confidence_lo": 0.00107, "confidence_hi": 0.001091, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "016cc30d0171ea67a3336af03d7eb7f359c7557f0d3074011b0dd80f02044308" }, "receipt_sha256": "016cc30d0171ea67a3336af03d7eb7f359c7557f0d3074011b0dd80f02044308" }, { "storm_id": "913450", "lat": 28.5275, "lon": -97.4062, "motion_east": 1.0, "motion_south": -4.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0011, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 3459.0, "ebshear": 35.0, "srh01": 21.0, "maxllaz": 0.004, "mesh": 0.08, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 21.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 52.1941 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 2.8147 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.435 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.004 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0629 }, "coherence_score": 1.4350407123565674, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.4350407123565674, "grad_tau": 0.6261586546897888, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 2.8147435188293457, "S_field": 0.38898465037345886, "Gamma_field": 0.39331382513046265, "S_over_Gamma": 0.9889930486679077, "Da": 24.896604537963867, "E_coh": 0.8025985360145569, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": true, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -97.42, 28.56 ], [ -97.37, 28.56 ], [ -97.37, 28.5 ], [ -97.4, 28.5 ], [ -97.41, 28.49 ], [ -97.43, 28.5 ], [ -97.43, 28.55 ], [ -97.42, 28.56 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0629, "confidence_lo": 0.0011, "confidence_hi": 0.0011, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "6899e4c57ee3122d6ed4d3cc177789231151ee8686551ea22f69590017a672f9", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.0629, "probability": 0.001091, "confidence_lo": 0.00107, "confidence_hi": 0.001091, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "9a5471350acece178dfc0ec4b2a7d1a53aaf6c9fe35346c086e9e4c0cf22a96b" }, "receipt_sha256": "9a5471350acece178dfc0ec4b2a7d1a53aaf6c9fe35346c086e9e4c0cf22a96b" }, { "storm_id": "913445", "lat": 49.143, "lon": -98.606, "motion_east": 7.8, "motion_south": 0.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0011, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 6.0, "ebshear": 6.0, "srh01": 3.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 3.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 31.5691 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 0.8686 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.0 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0619 }, "coherence_score": 0.0, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.0, "grad_tau": 0.4242856800556183, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.8685722351074219, "S_field": 0.21285200119018555, "Gamma_field": 0.21248047053813934, "S_over_Gamma": 1.0017485618591309, "Da": 12.836673736572266, "E_coh": 0.3265419602394104, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -98.62, 49.18 ], [ -98.58, 49.18 ], [ -98.56, 49.17 ], [ -98.56, 49.12 ], [ -98.57, 49.11 ], [ -98.61, 49.1 ], [ -98.62, 49.11 ], [ -98.66, 49.12 ], [ -98.66, 49.16 ], [ -98.62, 49.18 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0619, "confidence_lo": 0.0011, "confidence_hi": 0.0011, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "fcc5c124ab61a9b2a6c953c548ff2b5e9ccff4d01bd3f737b4b2b31870aaf76e", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.0619, "probability": 0.001091, "confidence_lo": 0.00107, "confidence_hi": 0.001091, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "85342afd5aec6c913dd5d85be5b833b062c2c3dfa5808074252f2edf616229c9" }, "receipt_sha256": "85342afd5aec6c913dd5d85be5b833b062c2c3dfa5808074252f2edf616229c9" }, { "storm_id": "913402", "lat": 28.54, "lon": -77.8357, "motion_east": 3.5, "motion_south": 0.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0011, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 2721.0, "ebshear": 22.0, "srh01": 6.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.17, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 6.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 45.6941 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 1.4738 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.0194 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0613 }, "coherence_score": 1.0194041728973389, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.0194041728973389, "grad_tau": 0.300415575504303, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 1.473780632019043, "S_field": 0.26879286766052246, "Gamma_field": 1.5999804735183716, "S_over_Gamma": 0.1679975986480713, "Da": 96.44635772705078, "E_coh": 0.21849697828292847, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -77.85, 28.59 ], [ -77.79, 28.58 ], [ -77.77, 28.56 ], [ -77.78, 28.54 ], [ -77.77, 28.5 ], [ -77.78, 28.49 ], [ -77.8, 28.5 ], [ -77.88, 28.5 ], [ -77.89, 28.51 ], [ -77.88, 28.53 ], [ -77.9, 28.54 ], [ -77.88, 28.56 ], [ -77.88, 28.57 ], [ -77.85, 28.59 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0613, "confidence_lo": 0.0011, "confidence_hi": 0.0011, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "3e4ce10e61ad540220d7cf3dde40f7df3223e57759e5f1ecf5c55d57373cee12", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.0613, "probability": 0.001091, "confidence_lo": 0.00107, "confidence_hi": 0.001091, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "bddbb2b268f8a5b8c577777a1f580150c9e66e33d83f271162b9ab3b370469fc" }, "receipt_sha256": "bddbb2b268f8a5b8c577777a1f580150c9e66e33d83f271162b9ab3b370469fc" }, { "storm_id": "912809", "lat": 50.7733, "lon": -109.8875, "motion_east": 3.5, "motion_south": 0.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0011, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 46.0, "ebshear": 21.0, "srh01": 32.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 32.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 13.6941 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 0.3061 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.0 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0611 }, "coherence_score": 0.0, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.0, "grad_tau": 0.26971057057380676, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.3060722351074219, "S_field": 0.17335321009159088, "Gamma_field": 0.2349804788827896, "S_over_Gamma": 0.7377344965934753, "Da": 13.95734691619873, "E_coh": 0.5730032920837402, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 5, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -109.9, 50.9 ], [ -109.84, 50.9 ], [ -109.78, 50.87 ], [ -109.7, 50.87 ], [ -109.64, 50.9 ], [ -109.64, 50.88 ], [ -109.6, 50.86 ], [ -109.6, 50.82 ], [ -109.58, 50.8 ], [ -109.58, 50.78 ], [ -109.61, 50.74 ], [ -109.69, 50.72 ], [ -109.77, 50.68 ], [ -109.79, 50.71 ], [ -109.81, 50.72 ], [ -109.84, 50.72 ], [ -109.86, 50.74 ], [ -109.87, 50.74 ], [ -109.91, 50.72 ], [ -109.93, 50.7 ], [ -109.93, 50.66 ], [ -109.95, 50.65 ], [ -110.01, 50.65 ], [ -110.02, 50.66 ], [ -110.04, 50.66 ], [ -110.04, 50.69 ], [ -110.05, 50.7 ], [ -110.09, 50.71 ], [ -110.11, 50.73 ], [ -110.1, 50.74 ], [ -110.11, 50.76 ], [ -110.1, 50.77 ], [ -110.1, 50.79 ], [ -110.08, 50.81 ], [ -110.05, 50.81 ], [ -110.03, 50.82 ], [ -109.99, 50.87 ], [ -109.95, 50.89 ], [ -109.91, 50.89 ], [ -109.9, 50.9 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0611, "confidence_lo": 0.0011, "confidence_hi": 0.0011, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "9ceb1bfee4826876491382b2d79c69fb19c44ae160a50b7caca57dbf0f9e85a0", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.0611, "probability": 0.001091, "confidence_lo": 0.00107, "confidence_hi": 0.001091, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "7b4716ddebddf790471ada544a24a2b8ae4b369b01bf244d663f305e3534cbc3" }, "receipt_sha256": "7b4716ddebddf790471ada544a24a2b8ae4b369b01bf244d663f305e3534cbc3" }, { "storm_id": "912112", "lat": 49.0136, "lon": -99.46, "motion_east": 9.4, "motion_south": -2.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0011, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 158.0, "ebshear": 24.0, "srh01": 17.0, "maxllaz": 0.006, "mesh": 0.18, "flash_rate": 1.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 17.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 34.4441 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 1.0561 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.0 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.006 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.06 }, "coherence_score": 0.0, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.0, "grad_tau": 0.4299646019935608, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 1.0560722351074219, "S_field": 0.1822405606508255, "Gamma_field": 0.2041471302509308, "S_over_Gamma": 0.8926922678947449, "Da": 12.751370429992676, "E_coh": 0.7095943689346313, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 9, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -99.34, 49.17 ], [ -99.3, 49.17 ], [ -99.27, 49.15 ], [ -99.27, 49.12 ], [ -99.24, 49.09 ], [ -99.24, 49.08 ], [ -99.26, 49.06 ], [ -99.33, 49.04 ], [ -99.37, 48.99 ], [ -99.43, 48.97 ], [ -99.45, 48.95 ], [ -99.45, 48.91 ], [ -99.52, 48.86 ], [ -99.61, 48.86 ], [ -99.65, 48.88 ], [ -99.67, 48.9 ], [ -99.68, 48.94 ], [ -99.67, 48.95 ], [ -99.67, 48.97 ], [ -99.65, 48.99 ], [ -99.59, 48.99 ], [ -99.56, 48.97 ], [ -99.54, 48.98 ], [ -99.52, 48.98 ], [ -99.51, 48.97 ], [ -99.5, 48.98 ], [ -99.46, 48.98 ], [ -99.44, 49.0 ], [ -99.44, 49.04 ], [ -99.42, 49.07 ], [ -99.41, 49.12 ], [ -99.38, 49.15 ], [ -99.34, 49.17 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.06, "confidence_lo": 0.0011, "confidence_hi": 0.0011, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "e144021f145a0fc48199eb5dee36eb61eaff2475e79adcd43fff8643084a660b", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.06, "probability": 0.001091, "confidence_lo": 0.00107, "confidence_hi": 0.001091, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "05e00064f37f4bcd154426b139c087b758dad04a1fb74c8a375ac6dfc1bcc128" }, "receipt_sha256": "05e00064f37f4bcd154426b139c087b758dad04a1fb74c8a375ac6dfc1bcc128" }, { "storm_id": "913300", "lat": 33.652, "lon": -92.782, "motion_east": 0.6, "motion_south": -5.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0011, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1150.0, "ebshear": 10.0, "srh01": 8.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.08, "flash_rate": 1.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 8.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 38.9441 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -1.9384 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.9133 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0593 }, "coherence_score": 0.913260817527771, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.913260817527771, "grad_tau": 0.02524246647953987, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -1.93837308883667, "S_field": 0.29353439807891846, "Gamma_field": 0.4849804639816284, "S_over_Gamma": 0.6052499413490295, "Da": 29.267244338989258, "E_coh": 0.7863104343414307, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -92.81, 33.68 ], [ -92.77, 33.68 ], [ -92.75, 33.67 ], [ -92.74, 33.66 ], [ -92.74, 33.63 ], [ -92.75, 33.62 ], [ -92.81, 33.61 ], [ -92.82, 33.62 ], [ -92.82, 33.67 ], [ -92.81, 33.68 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0593, "confidence_lo": 0.0011, "confidence_hi": 0.0011, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "22a42b7876758fc5e44e81574459a7954185663e12ec905cabef070b98a968d3", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.0593, "probability": 0.001091, "confidence_lo": 0.00107, "confidence_hi": 0.001091, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "47c17cf696318563a5334704b9a21c491c32c1bf9f0f7f4ffdc8d6e5f57655ee" }, "receipt_sha256": "47c17cf696318563a5334704b9a21c491c32c1bf9f0f7f4ffdc8d6e5f57655ee" }, { "storm_id": "913419", "lat": 49.6302, "lon": -102.2906, "motion_east": 6.6, "motion_south": 0.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0011, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 185.0, "ebshear": 22.0, "srh01": 1.0, "maxllaz": 0.011, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 1.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 38.8191 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -0.5064 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.0 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.011 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0573 }, "coherence_score": 0.0, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.0, "grad_tau": 0.32193607091903687, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -0.5064277648925781, "S_field": 0.24584725499153137, "Gamma_field": 0.18081380426883698, "S_over_Gamma": 1.359670877456665, "Da": 11.47722339630127, "E_coh": 0.37606072425842285, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -102.1, 49.77 ], [ -102.03, 49.77 ], [ -101.97, 49.72 ], [ -101.94, 49.72 ], [ -101.92, 49.71 ], [ -101.91, 49.7 ], [ -101.91, 49.65 ], [ -101.94, 49.63 ], [ -101.96, 49.63 ], [ -101.97, 49.61 ], [ -102.02, 49.57 ], [ -102.04, 49.57 ], [ -102.05, 49.56 ], [ -102.09, 49.55 ], [ -102.13, 49.51 ], [ -102.15, 49.5 ], [ -102.17, 49.5 ], [ -102.18, 49.49 ], [ -102.22, 49.49 ], [ -102.26, 49.47 ], [ -102.29, 49.47 ], [ -102.34, 49.51 ], [ -102.42, 49.52 ], [ -102.46, 49.54 ], [ -102.5, 49.54 ], [ -102.56, 49.57 ], [ -102.63, 49.57 ], [ -102.64, 49.58 ], [ -102.67, 49.58 ], [ -102.67, 49.61 ], [ -102.65, 49.63 ], [ -102.65, 49.64 ], [ -102.61, 49.66 ], [ -102.59, 49.66 ], [ -102.58, 49.67 ], [ -102.54, 49.67 ], [ -102.53, 49.68 ], [ -102.51, 49.68 ], [ -102.47, 49.7 ], [ -102.42, 49.7 ], [ -102.41, 49.71 ], [ -102.38, 49.71 ], [ -102.37, 49.72 ], [ -102.33, 49.72 ], [ -102.32, 49.73 ], [ -102.26, 49.73 ], [ -102.25, 49.74 ], [ -102.13, 49.75 ], [ -102.1, 49.77 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0573, "confidence_lo": 0.0011, "confidence_hi": 0.0011, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "6d9dca8b50829232fa96eac23041400d38b3aa50e8301df1cdfa866f9fd73812", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.0573, "probability": 0.001091, "confidence_lo": 0.00107, "confidence_hi": 0.001091, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "b591a5307ee6b0873f44b237e9d9fecd87304ecf1c5f7baa257cc43315a5ae0f" }, "receipt_sha256": "b591a5307ee6b0873f44b237e9d9fecd87304ecf1c5f7baa257cc43315a5ae0f" }, { "storm_id": "913111", "lat": 33.7938, "lon": -92.9681, "motion_east": 0.4, "motion_south": -5.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0011, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 953.0, "ebshear": 7.0, "srh01": 2.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.11, "flash_rate": 1.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 2.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 38.9441 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -1.9384 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.9133 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0559 }, "coherence_score": 0.913260817527771, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.913260817527771, "grad_tau": 0.02524246647953987, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -1.93837308883667, "S_field": 0.29353439807891846, "Gamma_field": 0.4849804639816284, "S_over_Gamma": 0.6052499413490295, "Da": 29.267244338989258, "E_coh": 0.7863104343414307, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 3, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -93.02, 33.9 ], [ -92.98, 33.9 ], [ -92.94, 33.86 ], [ -92.94, 33.82 ], [ -92.87, 33.76 ], [ -92.87, 33.73 ], [ -92.88, 33.72 ], [ -92.9, 33.71 ], [ -92.96, 33.72 ], [ -92.98, 33.73 ], [ -92.99, 33.75 ], [ -93.01, 33.75 ], [ -93.04, 33.78 ], [ -93.04, 33.83 ], [ -93.05, 33.84 ], [ -93.02, 33.9 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0559, "confidence_lo": 0.0011, "confidence_hi": 0.0011, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "3b5bb88e998c478203911456c08f77c1addd321bdaebef70f0712eff2bf448fc", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.0559, "probability": 0.001091, "confidence_lo": 0.00107, "confidence_hi": 0.001091, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "752c8702e830817e493a7f8f47a8dc41f24143c1a72b7f0d41211b9fc01cebc2" }, "receipt_sha256": "752c8702e830817e493a7f8f47a8dc41f24143c1a72b7f0d41211b9fc01cebc2" }, { "storm_id": "913360", "lat": 34.6383, "lon": -93.955, "motion_east": 1.6, "motion_south": -5.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0011, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1288.0, "ebshear": 7.0, "srh01": 13.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 13.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 34.3191 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -3.7698 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.8355 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0546 }, "coherence_score": 0.8355370759963989, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.8355370759963989, "grad_tau": 0.10714337229728699, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -3.7698144912719727, "S_field": 0.23679670691490173, "Gamma_field": 0.5058137774467468, "S_over_Gamma": 0.46814996004104614, "Da": 30.161760330200195, "E_coh": 0.7457460761070251, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -93.94, 34.69 ], [ -93.87, 34.69 ], [ -93.86, 34.67 ], [ -93.86, 34.61 ], [ -93.9, 34.57 ], [ -94.03, 34.57 ], [ -94.04, 34.58 ], [ -94.04, 34.63 ], [ -94.02, 34.65 ], [ -93.99, 34.65 ], [ -93.97, 34.66 ], [ -93.94, 34.69 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0546, "confidence_lo": 0.0011, "confidence_hi": 0.0011, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "5dcb291ac831a9b35d07beddaa30609f0986629176a3948ddeed1b3491ec04cf", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.0546, "probability": 0.001091, "confidence_lo": 0.00107, "confidence_hi": 0.001091, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "8121e87d78b697a4d91f781d657d326e537bbf53201bbe9b6c5be4cd8b1c7f95" }, "receipt_sha256": "8121e87d78b697a4d91f781d657d326e537bbf53201bbe9b6c5be4cd8b1c7f95" }, { "storm_id": "913432", "lat": 34.64, "lon": -92.4125, "motion_east": 3.5, "motion_south": 0.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0011, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 855.0, "ebshear": 11.0, "srh01": 17.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 17.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 38.5691 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -3.882 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.948 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0543 }, "coherence_score": 0.9480254650115967, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.9480254650115967, "grad_tau": 0.09687485545873642, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -3.8819692134857178, "S_field": 0.5585944056510925, "Gamma_field": 0.3050000071525574, "S_over_Gamma": 1.8314570188522339, "Da": 18.470176696777344, "E_coh": 0.9330250024795532, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -92.44, 34.67 ], [ -92.39, 34.67 ], [ -92.39, 34.64 ], [ -92.38, 34.63 ], [ -92.39, 34.61 ], [ -92.43, 34.61 ], [ -92.44, 34.62 ], [ -92.44, 34.67 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0543, "confidence_lo": 0.0011, "confidence_hi": 0.0011, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "9529649e4c7daf84e8d8baf0c2c16dba7d2cddf861029b75238bcd66fccdc7c1", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.0543, "probability": 0.001091, "confidence_lo": 0.00107, "confidence_hi": 0.001091, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "91e20ff8f18671a4c8fac9e53af74708c6b6d0212cb35bf5a49d394b8a312d69" }, "receipt_sha256": "91e20ff8f18671a4c8fac9e53af74708c6b6d0212cb35bf5a49d394b8a312d69" }, { "storm_id": "913385", "lat": 36.7444, "lon": -89.3722, "motion_east": 3.5, "motion_south": 0.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0011, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1670.0, "ebshear": 20.0, "srh01": 58.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.04, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 58.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 33.5691 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -0.4025 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.8756 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0541 }, "coherence_score": 0.8755580186843872, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.8755580186843872, "grad_tau": 0.1562463939189911, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -0.4025224447250366, "S_field": 0.31185850501060486, "Gamma_field": 0.20831380784511566, "S_over_Gamma": 1.4970611333847046, "Da": 12.651345252990723, "E_coh": 0.6417726874351501, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -89.39, 36.78 ], [ -89.36, 36.78 ], [ -89.33, 36.76 ], [ -89.33, 36.72 ], [ -89.35, 36.7 ], [ -89.38, 36.7 ], [ -89.41, 36.73 ], [ -89.41, 36.75 ], [ -89.39, 36.78 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0541, "confidence_lo": 0.0011, "confidence_hi": 0.0011, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "2e6b148bf5c2af31a3b65181e32d783e653c322820c02f11c10a71e04d2310c4", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.0541, "probability": 0.001091, "confidence_lo": 0.00107, "confidence_hi": 0.001091, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ff399245023e303da93f8041cb1141068d71e4ad70eda438f808784a7603b5bf" }, "receipt_sha256": "ff399245023e303da93f8041cb1141068d71e4ad70eda438f808784a7603b5bf" }, { "storm_id": "913320", "lat": 32.1727, "lon": -91.9091, "motion_east": 3.5, "motion_south": 0.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0011, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1126.0, "ebshear": 12.0, "srh01": 0.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.08, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 0.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 42.9441 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -3.8962 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.0494 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0535 }, "coherence_score": 1.04944908618927, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.04944908618927, "grad_tau": 0.2966603934764862, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -3.896226406097412, "S_field": 0.1234368085861206, "Gamma_field": 0.5166471600532532, "S_over_Gamma": 0.2389189749956131, "Da": 31.004030227661133, "E_coh": 0.46256011724472046, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -91.95, 32.21 ], [ -91.87, 32.21 ], [ -91.85, 32.2 ], [ -91.86, 32.19 ], [ -91.86, 32.14 ], [ -91.87, 32.13 ], [ -91.93, 32.13 ], [ -91.94, 32.14 ], [ -91.96, 32.14 ], [ -91.96, 32.2 ], [ -91.95, 32.21 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0535, "confidence_lo": 0.0011, "confidence_hi": 0.0011, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "abe77f5f4003fd2eecbb46c06a3f4f640c53442886e8c58622b0299a8dcd074e", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.0535, "probability": 0.001091, "confidence_lo": 0.00107, "confidence_hi": 0.001091, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "375b63bd80b5a6d1c09a19aff78c642bbfc38d9eb412ada5f090b20738fe9d3f" }, "receipt_sha256": "375b63bd80b5a6d1c09a19aff78c642bbfc38d9eb412ada5f090b20738fe9d3f" }, { "storm_id": "913455", "lat": 47.6814, "lon": -94.6457, "motion_east": 3.5, "motion_south": 0.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0011, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 16.0, "ebshear": 6.0, "srh01": 0.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 0.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 32.6941 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 2.8177 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.6738 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0523 }, "coherence_score": 0.673791766166687, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.673791766166687, "grad_tau": 0.22583889961242676, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 2.817704916000366, "S_field": 0.22990645468235016, "Gamma_field": 0.25664713978767395, "S_over_Gamma": 0.8958075642585754, "Da": 14.711613655090332, "E_coh": 0.53176349401474, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -94.66, 47.71 ], [ -94.61, 47.71 ], [ -94.61, 47.65 ], [ -94.64, 47.64 ], [ -94.67, 47.66 ], [ -94.67, 47.69 ], [ -94.66, 47.71 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0523, "confidence_lo": 0.0011, "confidence_hi": 0.0011, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "979424a5d4592c50be68d2a25d85b74fc5f8aa16ef7f692c5890e5aead134663", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.0523, "probability": 0.001091, "confidence_lo": 0.00107, "confidence_hi": 0.001091, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "c2eb4bd16ec33a06de04cb8f6fa8ad92227c3e2e55004c909fce7984e613b9ab" }, "receipt_sha256": "c2eb4bd16ec33a06de04cb8f6fa8ad92227c3e2e55004c909fce7984e613b9ab" }, { "storm_id": "913045", "lat": 34.4593, "lon": -93.7727, "motion_east": 1.6, "motion_south": -5.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0011, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 897.0, "ebshear": 6.0, "srh01": 16.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.07, "flash_rate": 1.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 16.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 34.3191 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -3.7698 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.8355 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.003 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.052 }, "coherence_score": 0.8355370759963989, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.8355370759963989, "grad_tau": 0.10714337229728699, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -3.7698144912719727, "S_field": 0.23679670691490173, "Gamma_field": 0.5058137774467468, "S_over_Gamma": 0.46814996004104614, "Da": 30.161760330200195, "E_coh": 0.7457460761070251, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 3, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -93.75, 34.52 ], [ -93.72, 34.52 ], [ -93.72, 34.51 ], [ -93.69, 34.48 ], [ -93.69, 34.42 ], [ -93.72, 34.39 ], [ -93.74, 34.39 ], [ -93.75, 34.38 ], [ -93.79, 34.39 ], [ -93.84, 34.44 ], [ -93.88, 34.45 ], [ -93.88, 34.49 ], [ -93.87, 34.5 ], [ -93.8, 34.49 ], [ -93.75, 34.52 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.052, "confidence_lo": 0.0011, "confidence_hi": 0.0011, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "8b2399ca740e30eb7c5b3cceb126a8b7bea91d0a014ee6bcb9100498f31c5fbc", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.052, "probability": 0.001091, "confidence_lo": 0.00107, "confidence_hi": 0.001091, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "3680309df666607c764a08143aa285bc2d2255f1ac9b1956212f1f9f5cf71d36" }, "receipt_sha256": "3680309df666607c764a08143aa285bc2d2255f1ac9b1956212f1f9f5cf71d36" }, { "storm_id": "913324", "lat": 28.7237, "lon": -77.5489, "motion_east": 3.5, "motion_south": 0.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0011, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 2636.0, "ebshear": 23.0, "srh01": 0.0, "maxllaz": 0.0, "mesh": 0.35, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 0.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 45.0691 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 6.4724 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.0692 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.0 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0515 }, "coherence_score": 1.069206953048706, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.069206953048706, "grad_tau": 0.08501231670379639, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 6.472393989562988, "S_field": 0.15457986295223236, "Gamma_field": 0.19664713740348816, "S_over_Gamma": 0.7860773801803589, "Da": 12.832884788513184, "E_coh": 0.6593084931373596, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -77.55, 28.79 ], [ -77.54, 28.79 ], [ -77.54, 28.78 ], [ -77.54, 28.77 ], [ -77.53, 28.76 ], [ -77.53, 28.75 ], [ -77.53, 28.74 ], [ -77.53, 28.73 ], [ -77.53, 28.72 ], [ -77.53, 28.71 ], [ -77.53, 28.7 ], [ -77.53, 28.69 ], [ -77.53, 28.68 ], [ -77.53, 28.67 ], [ -77.53, 28.68 ], [ -77.53, 28.69 ], [ -77.53, 28.7 ], [ -77.54, 28.71 ], [ -77.55, 28.71 ], [ -77.56, 28.7 ], [ -77.56, 28.69 ], [ -77.56, 28.68 ], [ -77.56, 28.67 ], [ -77.57, 28.67 ], [ -77.58, 28.68 ], [ -77.58, 28.69 ], [ -77.58, 28.7 ], [ -77.58, 28.71 ], [ -77.58, 28.72 ], [ -77.58, 28.73 ], [ -77.57, 28.74 ], [ -77.57, 28.75 ], [ -77.56, 28.75 ], [ -77.55, 28.75 ], [ -77.54, 28.76 ], [ -77.54, 28.77 ], [ -77.54, 28.78 ], [ -77.55, 28.79 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0515, "confidence_lo": 0.0011, "confidence_hi": 0.0011, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "6de275d760b7f3fedfe4d38b5409288f08e8ce7be2f12748737a76f9e1ed53a9", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.0515, "probability": 0.001091, "confidence_lo": 0.00107, "confidence_hi": 0.001091, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "90c9db1bfa95e88a46a73ef2a92e6b54880dd248ae5bbda74e7704d11d006d84" }, "receipt_sha256": "90c9db1bfa95e88a46a73ef2a92e6b54880dd248ae5bbda74e7704d11d006d84" }, { "storm_id": "913465", "lat": 28.6267, "lon": -77.6567, "motion_east": 3.5, "motion_south": 0.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0011, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 2711.0, "ebshear": 22.0, "srh01": 1.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.2, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 1.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 45.0691 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 6.4724 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.0692 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0515 }, "coherence_score": 1.069206953048706, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.069206953048706, "grad_tau": 0.08501231670379639, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 6.472393989562988, "S_field": 0.15457986295223236, "Gamma_field": 0.19664713740348816, "S_over_Gamma": 0.7860773801803589, "Da": 12.832884788513184, "E_coh": 0.6593084931373596, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -77.68, 28.67 ], [ -77.62, 28.67 ], [ -77.63, 28.66 ], [ -77.63, 28.64 ], [ -77.62, 28.63 ], [ -77.62, 28.59 ], [ -77.65, 28.58 ], [ -77.66, 28.59 ], [ -77.69, 28.59 ], [ -77.7, 28.6 ], [ -77.7, 28.63 ], [ -77.68, 28.67 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0515, "confidence_lo": 0.0011, "confidence_hi": 0.0011, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "6de275d760b7f3fedfe4d38b5409288f08e8ce7be2f12748737a76f9e1ed53a9", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.0515, "probability": 0.001091, "confidence_lo": 0.00107, "confidence_hi": 0.001091, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "90c9db1bfa95e88a46a73ef2a92e6b54880dd248ae5bbda74e7704d11d006d84" }, "receipt_sha256": "90c9db1bfa95e88a46a73ef2a92e6b54880dd248ae5bbda74e7704d11d006d84" }, { "storm_id": "913319", "lat": 34.827, "lon": -93.816, "motion_east": 1.3, "motion_south": -6.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0011, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1306.0, "ebshear": 10.0, "srh01": 14.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.04, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 14.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 34.3191 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -3.7698 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.8355 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.003 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0506 }, "coherence_score": 0.8355370759963989, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.8355370759963989, "grad_tau": 0.10714337229728699, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -3.7698144912719727, "S_field": 0.23679670691490173, "Gamma_field": 0.5058137774467468, "S_over_Gamma": 0.46814996004104614, "Da": 30.161760330200195, "E_coh": 0.7457460761070251, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -93.88, 34.95 ], [ -93.83, 34.95 ], [ -93.82, 34.93 ], [ -93.82, 34.88 ], [ -93.8, 34.86 ], [ -93.76, 34.84 ], [ -93.74, 34.84 ], [ -93.72, 34.8 ], [ -93.72, 34.74 ], [ -93.75, 34.69 ], [ -93.79, 34.69 ], [ -93.79, 34.7 ], [ -93.82, 34.73 ], [ -93.83, 34.76 ], [ -93.85, 34.78 ], [ -93.86, 34.8 ], [ -93.86, 34.84 ], [ -93.9, 34.88 ], [ -93.9, 34.93 ], [ -93.88, 34.95 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0506, "confidence_lo": 0.0011, "confidence_hi": 0.0011, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "f3551fb2036b6305d20af0a0306f688f0f8c32bc0df7d0e4b19f803f823c85cc", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.0506, "probability": 0.001091, "confidence_lo": 0.00107, "confidence_hi": 0.001091, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "6af5a72852fdb60596bef2b1984681224cea0e725eff71c1376716f11b460096" }, "receipt_sha256": "6af5a72852fdb60596bef2b1984681224cea0e725eff71c1376716f11b460096" }, { "storm_id": "913459", "lat": 32.1936, "lon": -91.5982, "motion_east": 3.5, "motion_south": 0.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0011, "risk_band": "minimal", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1147.0, "ebshear": 10.0, "srh01": 2.0, "maxllaz": 0.0, "mesh": 0.04, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 2.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 42.9441 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -3.8962 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.0494 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.0 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0486 }, "coherence_score": 1.04944908618927, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.04944908618927, "grad_tau": 0.2966603934764862, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -3.896226406097412, "S_field": 0.1234368085861206, "Gamma_field": 0.5166471600532532, "S_over_Gamma": 0.2389189749956131, "Da": 31.004030227661133, "E_coh": 0.46256011724472046, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -91.59, 32.24 ], [ -91.57, 32.21 ], [ -91.58, 32.2 ], [ -91.58, 32.15 ], [ -91.6, 32.13 ], [ -91.63, 32.16 ], [ -91.61, 32.17 ], [ -91.6, 32.19 ], [ -91.62, 32.21 ], [ -91.61, 32.23 ], [ -91.59, 32.24 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0486, "confidence_lo": 0.0011, "confidence_hi": 0.0011, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "073785975354ed30bff9cb1182dc8b4562373ee34298c8a929aed622fc291b35", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.0486, "probability": 0.001091, "confidence_lo": 0.00107, "confidence_hi": 0.001091, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "d04c548e849d58775b565df98833f5d49cf13b579ff4bf0ced2c92582ef03d63" }, "receipt_sha256": "d04c548e849d58775b565df98833f5d49cf13b579ff4bf0ced2c92582ef03d63" }, { "storm_id": "913428", "lat": 49.1331, "lon": -98.0744, "motion_east": 6.1, "motion_south": 0.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0011, "risk_band": "minimal", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1.0, "ebshear": 2.0, "srh01": 0.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 0.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 31.5691 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 0.8686 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.0 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.048 }, "coherence_score": 0.0, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.0, "grad_tau": 0.4242856800556183, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.8685722351074219, "S_field": 0.21285200119018555, "Gamma_field": 0.21248047053813934, "S_over_Gamma": 1.0017485618591309, "Da": 12.836673736572266, "E_coh": 0.3265419602394104, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -98.1, 49.19 ], [ -98.05, 49.19 ], [ -98.04, 49.18 ], [ -98.0, 49.17 ], [ -97.98, 49.14 ], [ -97.98, 49.1 ], [ -98.0, 49.08 ], [ -98.04, 49.06 ], [ -98.09, 49.06 ], [ -98.1, 49.07 ], [ -98.12, 49.07 ], [ -98.17, 49.11 ], [ -98.17, 49.16 ], [ -98.14, 49.18 ], [ -98.11, 49.18 ], [ -98.1, 49.19 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.048, "confidence_lo": 0.0011, "confidence_hi": 0.0011, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "03cef8172d1e5f93cd5c181ed53053fb3291fc5a0e73e93c956a2b7e290a2c1a", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.048, "probability": 0.001091, "confidence_lo": 0.00107, "confidence_hi": 0.001091, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "9079a6cc775129a483efa07fe31440a58997949cf96bfc92ca936bec3efc745c" }, "receipt_sha256": "9079a6cc775129a483efa07fe31440a58997949cf96bfc92ca936bec3efc745c" }, { "storm_id": "913298", "lat": 34.9911, "lon": -93.5822, "motion_east": 1.7, "motion_south": -5.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0011, "risk_band": "minimal", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1130.0, "ebshear": 11.0, "srh01": 12.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 12.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 34.3191 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -3.7698 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.8355 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0473 }, "coherence_score": 0.8355370759963989, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.8355370759963989, "grad_tau": 0.10714337229728699, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -3.7698144912719727, "S_field": 0.23679670691490173, "Gamma_field": 0.5058137774467468, "S_over_Gamma": 0.46814996004104614, "Da": 30.161760330200195, "E_coh": 0.7457460761070251, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -93.6, 35.02 ], [ -93.57, 35.02 ], [ -93.56, 35.01 ], [ -93.56, 34.98 ], [ -93.55, 34.97 ], [ -93.56, 34.95 ], [ -93.62, 34.95 ], [ -93.62, 35.0 ], [ -93.6, 35.02 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0473, "confidence_lo": 0.0011, "confidence_hi": 0.0011, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "86538dfe073952bac335c19e6cc9b56b596c0ec753a3295aec32a018b193af0b", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.0473, "probability": 0.001091, "confidence_lo": 0.00107, "confidence_hi": 0.001091, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "a18c7a0dc1379c503c27b6c98e60a4f09721f4ce743a812b2d10a2e148edde04" }, "receipt_sha256": "a18c7a0dc1379c503c27b6c98e60a4f09721f4ce743a812b2d10a2e148edde04" }, { "storm_id": "913453", "lat": 47.8567, "lon": -95.3508, "motion_east": 3.5, "motion_south": 0.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0011, "risk_band": "minimal", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 158.0, "ebshear": 24.0, "srh01": 0.0, "maxllaz": 0.004, "mesh": 0.04, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 0.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 37.4441 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 2.6558 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.6545 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.004 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0463 }, "coherence_score": 0.6544597148895264, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.6544597148895264, "grad_tau": 0.20438513159751892, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 2.6558237075805664, "S_field": 0.2652205228805542, "Gamma_field": 0.17414714395999908, "S_over_Gamma": 1.5229679346084595, "Da": 10.271221160888672, "E_coh": 0.3379175662994385, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -95.37, 47.9 ], [ -95.3, 47.88 ], [ -95.28, 47.85 ], [ -95.29, 47.82 ], [ -95.31, 47.81 ], [ -95.35, 47.81 ], [ -95.36, 47.83 ], [ -95.39, 47.86 ], [ -95.4, 47.86 ], [ -95.4, 47.88 ], [ -95.39, 47.88 ], [ -95.37, 47.9 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0463, "confidence_lo": 0.0011, "confidence_hi": 0.0011, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "0353374d8a53997c2496c56e8cecef1c4936ab8f052c484f0380f9f19271a6d4", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.0463, "probability": 0.001091, "confidence_lo": 0.00107, "confidence_hi": 0.001091, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ceeff46d824a27be8ef84adc7908455b742b342f320347ee387df3adb62d400e" }, "receipt_sha256": "ceeff46d824a27be8ef84adc7908455b742b342f320347ee387df3adb62d400e" }, { "storm_id": "913447", "lat": 42.9511, "lon": -116.4133, "motion_east": 3.5, "motion_south": 0.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0011, "risk_band": "minimal", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 219.0, "ebshear": 19.0, "srh01": 21.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 21.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 17.4441 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 2.4944 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.5523 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.003 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0458 }, "coherence_score": 0.5522849559783936, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.5522849559783936, "grad_tau": 0.09256943315267563, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 2.494396209716797, "S_field": 0.20293861627578735, "Gamma_field": 0.26331382989883423, "S_over_Gamma": 0.7707100510597229, "Da": 16.04926300048828, "E_coh": 0.4093383550643921, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -116.43, 42.98 ], [ -116.39, 42.98 ], [ -116.37, 42.97 ], [ -116.37, 42.95 ], [ -116.39, 42.91 ], [ -116.44, 42.91 ], [ -116.45, 42.92 ], [ -116.45, 42.96 ], [ -116.43, 42.98 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0458, "confidence_lo": 0.0011, "confidence_hi": 0.0011, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "8fa22fda17e54b5dca3f6619e2c25d35bac2f1adf3179501342b87b820fd858f", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.0458, "probability": 0.001091, "confidence_lo": 0.00107, "confidence_hi": 0.001091, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "6b17c4e2e8fcfd5e36186ba75ea02775c20fc22c8c0f0cb41a206376221c56fd" }, "receipt_sha256": "6b17c4e2e8fcfd5e36186ba75ea02775c20fc22c8c0f0cb41a206376221c56fd" }, { "storm_id": "913407", "lat": 49.2844, "lon": -105.2169, "motion_east": 4.0, "motion_south": -1.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0011, "risk_band": "minimal", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 619.0, "ebshear": 31.0, "srh01": 16.0, "maxllaz": 0.01, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 1.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 16.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 31.8191 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -1.1314 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.0 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.01 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0454 }, "coherence_score": 0.0, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.0, "grad_tau": 0.3543832302093506, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -1.1314277648925781, "S_field": 0.21942678093910217, "Gamma_field": 0.1883137971162796, "S_over_Gamma": 1.1652188301086426, "Da": 12.277546882629395, "E_coh": 0.4844643771648407, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -105.47, 49.38 ], [ -105.42, 49.38 ], [ -105.41, 49.37 ], [ -105.34, 49.37 ], [ -105.33, 49.36 ], [ -105.3, 49.36 ], [ -105.27, 49.33 ], [ -105.23, 49.31 ], [ -105.19, 49.33 ], [ -105.17, 49.35 ], [ -105.15, 49.35 ], [ -105.12, 49.37 ], [ -105.08, 49.37 ], [ -105.08, 49.36 ], [ -105.0, 49.29 ], [ -105.0, 49.22 ], [ -104.97, 49.19 ], [ -104.96, 49.19 ], [ -104.96, 49.14 ], [ -104.98, 49.13 ], [ -105.03, 49.13 ], [ -105.04, 49.14 ], [ -105.06, 49.14 ], [ -105.1, 49.16 ], [ -105.21, 49.24 ], [ -105.24, 49.25 ], [ -105.24, 49.27 ], [ -105.26, 49.29 ], [ -105.3, 49.27 ], [ -105.31, 49.28 ], [ -105.34, 49.28 ], [ -105.35, 49.29 ], [ -105.45, 49.29 ], [ -105.49, 49.31 ], [ -105.49, 49.37 ], [ -105.47, 49.38 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0454, "confidence_lo": 0.0011, "confidence_hi": 0.0011, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "ddf7215564d71678d1b759c8d9217c4ae0b1fbf8605e5109fa95507bfc767cec", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.0454, "probability": 0.001091, "confidence_lo": 0.00107, "confidence_hi": 0.001091, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "30093e2fb391dcee679b28ba81538e4841def432176120242bcd3a4a0837ebb2" }, "receipt_sha256": "30093e2fb391dcee679b28ba81538e4841def432176120242bcd3a4a0837ebb2" }, { "storm_id": "913454", "lat": 47.7293, "lon": -95.6993, "motion_east": 3.5, "motion_south": 0.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0011, "risk_band": "minimal", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 420.0, "ebshear": 32.0, "srh01": 0.0, "maxllaz": 0.006, "mesh": 0.06, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 0.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 37.4441 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 2.6558 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.6545 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.006 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0442 }, "coherence_score": 0.6544597148895264, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.6544597148895264, "grad_tau": 0.20438513159751892, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 2.6558237075805664, "S_field": 0.2652205228805542, "Gamma_field": 0.17414714395999908, "S_over_Gamma": 1.5229679346084595, "Da": 10.271221160888672, "E_coh": 0.3379175662994385, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -95.67, 47.77 ], [ -95.64, 47.77 ], [ -95.64, 47.74 ], [ -95.68, 47.71 ], [ -95.69, 47.71 ], [ -95.7, 47.7 ], [ -95.7, 47.68 ], [ -95.73, 47.68 ], [ -95.72, 47.7 ], [ -95.74, 47.73 ], [ -95.76, 47.73 ], [ -95.77, 47.76 ], [ -95.68, 47.76 ], [ -95.67, 47.77 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0442, "confidence_lo": 0.0011, "confidence_hi": 0.0011, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "ff85ee28b163cfd9d99050b73061067dde75b2bd397adf0d0fcd21a83baf1078", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.0442, "probability": 0.001091, "confidence_lo": 0.00107, "confidence_hi": 0.001091, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "aeefbe18fc608d0cca87420da5980788e4c2809a2e0512d0684118d79d7ad276" }, "receipt_sha256": "aeefbe18fc608d0cca87420da5980788e4c2809a2e0512d0684118d79d7ad276" }, { "storm_id": "913410", "lat": 48.1, "lon": -96.41, "motion_east": 3.8, "motion_south": 0.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0011, "risk_band": "minimal", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 34.0, "ebshear": 11.0, "srh01": 0.0, "maxllaz": 0.004, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 0.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 36.4441 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -0.87 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.3771 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.004 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0422 }, "coherence_score": 0.37714850902557373, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.37714850902557373, "grad_tau": 0.2960151731967926, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -0.8700276613235474, "S_field": 0.20806078612804413, "Gamma_field": 0.2183137983083725, "S_over_Gamma": 0.9530354142189026, "Da": 12.83878231048584, "E_coh": 0.3461992144584656, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -96.43, 48.13 ], [ -96.39, 48.13 ], [ -96.37, 48.12 ], [ -96.38, 48.11 ], [ -96.38, 48.07 ], [ -96.39, 48.06 ], [ -96.43, 48.06 ], [ -96.45, 48.07 ], [ -96.45, 48.12 ], [ -96.43, 48.13 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0422, "confidence_lo": 0.0011, "confidence_hi": 0.0011, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "8adeaec26b99b16e6ecdebb5f937eb6f6a415add3815a3f32d031fbf9c94cba8", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.0422, "probability": 0.001091, "confidence_lo": 0.00107, "confidence_hi": 0.001091, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "d8a546f9bc13698009bb892bcc350fc4e64606802ee99462d86d62cfbbe14810" }, "receipt_sha256": "d8a546f9bc13698009bb892bcc350fc4e64606802ee99462d86d62cfbbe14810" }, { "storm_id": "913400", "lat": 28.845, "lon": -76.935, "motion_east": 3.5, "motion_south": 0.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0011, "risk_band": "minimal", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 2585.0, "ebshear": 20.0, "srh01": 0.0, "maxllaz": 0.0, "mesh": 0.29, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 0.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 45.3191 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 6.5535 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.1725 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.0 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0418 }, "coherence_score": 1.1724951267242432, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.1724951267242432, "grad_tau": 0.1650584638118744, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 6.553456783294678, "S_field": 0.2818775177001953, "Gamma_field": 0.6783137917518616, "S_over_Gamma": 0.4155562222003937, "Da": 41.056583404541016, "E_coh": 0.44770389795303345, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -76.96, 28.89 ], [ -76.94, 28.89 ], [ -76.92, 28.87 ], [ -76.88, 28.88 ], [ -76.87, 28.82 ], [ -76.92, 28.82 ], [ -76.94, 28.8 ], [ -76.94, 28.79 ], [ -76.95, 28.79 ], [ -76.97, 28.83 ], [ -76.97, 28.87 ], [ -76.96, 28.89 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0418, "confidence_lo": 0.0011, "confidence_hi": 0.0011, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "9cf58c9985a75db3c21003fbc99c1137c9c4ae1327579608534546ef661906e5", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.0418, "probability": 0.001091, "confidence_lo": 0.00107, "confidence_hi": 0.001091, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "c47871938348b04e09a44bb1eef62971a6fcdb50ca9e7bbc8854cc2de75680ca" }, "receipt_sha256": "c47871938348b04e09a44bb1eef62971a6fcdb50ca9e7bbc8854cc2de75680ca" }, { "storm_id": "913330", "lat": 48.8635, "lon": -98.1119, "motion_east": 5.8, "motion_south": 0.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0011, "risk_band": "minimal", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 57.0, "ebshear": 18.0, "srh01": 8.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 8.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 31.5691 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 0.8686 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.0 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0409 }, "coherence_score": 0.0, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.0, "grad_tau": 0.4242856800556183, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.8685722351074219, "S_field": 0.21285200119018555, "Gamma_field": 0.21248047053813934, "S_over_Gamma": 1.0017485618591309, "Da": 12.836673736572266, "E_coh": 0.3265419602394104, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -98.11, 48.98 ], [ -98.01, 48.97 ], [ -97.99, 48.95 ], [ -97.96, 48.94 ], [ -97.96, 48.89 ], [ -97.99, 48.88 ], [ -98.01, 48.86 ], [ -98.05, 48.84 ], [ -98.09, 48.83 ], [ -98.13, 48.79 ], [ -98.1, 48.76 ], [ -98.1, 48.72 ], [ -98.13, 48.7 ], [ -98.15, 48.7 ], [ -98.2, 48.73 ], [ -98.2, 48.8 ], [ -98.19, 48.82 ], [ -98.21, 48.85 ], [ -98.21, 48.87 ], [ -98.2, 48.88 ], [ -98.2, 48.91 ], [ -98.18, 48.93 ], [ -98.17, 48.93 ], [ -98.14, 48.97 ], [ -98.12, 48.97 ], [ -98.11, 48.98 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0409, "confidence_lo": 0.0011, "confidence_hi": 0.0011, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "aef1e00a6e7105cf1213333ab3fc2906dd03f7ea204c2e2bfcfa50d28bf23fe3", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.0409, "probability": 0.001091, "confidence_lo": 0.00107, "confidence_hi": 0.001091, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "e176ea633cf9bd524ba492aebe9d581bc31ec35d8a86a2d91ca9a9de9fa8cbf4" }, "receipt_sha256": "e176ea633cf9bd524ba492aebe9d581bc31ec35d8a86a2d91ca9a9de9fa8cbf4" }, { "storm_id": "913457", "lat": 35.0392, "lon": -112.0538, "motion_east": 3.5, "motion_south": 0.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0011, "risk_band": "minimal", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 269.0, "ebshear": 11.0, "srh01": 3.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 3.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 33.6941 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 0.1966 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.2352 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.003 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0407 }, "coherence_score": 0.23518314957618713, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.23518314957618713, "grad_tau": 0.027699075639247894, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.19662031531333923, "S_field": 0.047473203390836716, "Gamma_field": 0.4474804699420929, "S_over_Gamma": 0.1060900017619133, "Da": 27.865861892700195, "E_coh": 0.4012223184108734, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -112.06, 35.09 ], [ -112.03, 35.08 ], [ -112.03, 35.06 ], [ -112.0, 35.03 ], [ -112.0, 35.01 ], [ -112.02, 35.01 ], [ -112.03, 35.0 ], [ -112.08, 35.0 ], [ -112.1, 35.02 ], [ -112.11, 35.02 ], [ -112.11, 35.03 ], [ -112.07, 35.07 ], [ -112.06, 35.09 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0407, "confidence_lo": 0.0011, "confidence_hi": 0.0011, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "8a2033752a29dbf7fbc19f078ed57aca119facec4717b98bb8fcef615943a56c", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.0407, "probability": 0.001091, "confidence_lo": 0.00107, "confidence_hi": 0.001091, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "e58c88db6de81e8d4b3f522f864304d4c144415a75724a9c2e6185432883240f" }, "receipt_sha256": "e58c88db6de81e8d4b3f522f864304d4c144415a75724a9c2e6185432883240f" }, { "storm_id": "913304", "lat": 33.221, "lon": -92.403, "motion_east": 3.5, "motion_south": 0.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0011, "risk_band": "minimal", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1413.0, "ebshear": 9.0, "srh01": 45.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.08, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 45.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 42.6941 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -0.5843 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.9075 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0406 }, "coherence_score": 0.9075461626052856, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.9075461626052856, "grad_tau": 0.09301558881998062, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -0.584250271320343, "S_field": 0.33751341700553894, "Gamma_field": 0.45081380009651184, "S_over_Gamma": 0.7486758828163147, "Da": 26.99817657470703, "E_coh": 0.8174237608909607, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -92.43, 33.26 ], [ -92.38, 33.26 ], [ -92.36, 33.25 ], [ -92.36, 33.22 ], [ -92.35, 33.21 ], [ -92.39, 33.16 ], [ -92.43, 33.16 ], [ -92.45, 33.2 ], [ -92.45, 33.23 ], [ -92.43, 33.26 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0406, "confidence_lo": 0.0011, "confidence_hi": 0.0011, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "26d80645d2bdd3269ec6349f00f176e20e2c75ac71ee418ea9794f0c9168d99f", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.0406, "probability": 0.001091, "confidence_lo": 0.00107, "confidence_hi": 0.001091, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "a25548ec1b76c7a38848a60d2c422393f7c16def4983793f32b407479a95b752" }, "receipt_sha256": "a25548ec1b76c7a38848a60d2c422393f7c16def4983793f32b407479a95b752" }, { "storm_id": "913458", "lat": 32.2256, "lon": -91.7522, "motion_east": 3.5, "motion_south": 0.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0011, "risk_band": "minimal", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1169.0, "ebshear": 10.0, "srh01": 1.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.2, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 1.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 41.6941 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 2.795 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.9137 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0349 }, "coherence_score": 0.9136852622032166, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.9136852622032166, "grad_tau": 0.05249302089214325, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 2.7950000762939453, "S_field": 0.09216402471065521, "Gamma_field": 0.5033137798309326, "S_over_Gamma": 0.1831144541501999, "Da": 30.424219131469727, "E_coh": 0.03419654443860054, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -91.73, 32.26 ], [ -91.72, 32.26 ], [ -91.72, 32.21 ], [ -91.75, 32.17 ], [ -91.79, 32.17 ], [ -91.8, 32.22 ], [ -91.78, 32.24 ], [ -91.75, 32.24 ], [ -91.73, 32.26 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0349, "confidence_lo": 0.0011, "confidence_hi": 0.0011, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "bd339cae402b70b0fd207c0d8fbe7a6100bd6947653923049a33e789b4bb4f97", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.0349, "probability": 0.001091, "confidence_lo": 0.00107, "confidence_hi": 0.001091, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "9fa7f087c2a51bed64385a4fd2c37ffaa28ed4581830d3a5514efef57718d588" }, "receipt_sha256": "9fa7f087c2a51bed64385a4fd2c37ffaa28ed4581830d3a5514efef57718d588" }, { "storm_id": "913433", "lat": 33.56, "lon": -92.5962, "motion_east": 2.3, "motion_south": -2.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0011, "risk_band": "minimal", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1152.0, "ebshear": 13.0, "srh01": 13.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.04, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 13.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 42.6941 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -0.5843 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.9075 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0348 }, "coherence_score": 0.9075461626052856, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.9075461626052856, "grad_tau": 0.09301558881998062, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -0.584250271320343, "S_field": 0.33751341700553894, "Gamma_field": 0.45081380009651184, "S_over_Gamma": 0.7486758828163147, "Da": 26.99817657470703, "E_coh": 0.8174237608909607, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -92.61, 33.59 ], [ -92.59, 33.59 ], [ -92.56, 33.56 ], [ -92.56, 33.54 ], [ -92.58, 33.52 ], [ -92.63, 33.53 ], [ -92.63, 33.56 ], [ -92.61, 33.59 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0348, "confidence_lo": 0.0011, "confidence_hi": 0.0011, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "1299265535bce7a352bbbc5eabcdf8a5c934edded8bb7d58f116fe2406419f46", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.0348, "probability": 0.001091, "confidence_lo": 0.00107, "confidence_hi": 0.001091, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ef963609c3bdda4b7a4a1c297f602c2a947d192e54c2deaf0a9eb0dac637c1a0" }, "receipt_sha256": "ef963609c3bdda4b7a4a1c297f602c2a947d192e54c2deaf0a9eb0dac637c1a0" }, { "storm_id": "913434", "lat": 32.2438, "lon": -92.2308, "motion_east": 3.5, "motion_south": 0.0, "valid_time": "20260715_103041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0011, "risk_band": "minimal", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1193.0, "ebshear": 15.0, "srh01": 1.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.07, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 1.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 41.9441 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -0.5724 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.8819 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0338 }, "coherence_score": 0.8818675875663757, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.8818675875663757, "grad_tau": 0.07838735729455948, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -0.5724234580993652, "S_field": 0.1358407437801361, "Gamma_field": 0.5483137965202332, "S_over_Gamma": 0.24774271249771118, "Da": 32.56485366821289, "E_coh": 0.36120396852493286, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -92.25, 32.28 ], [ -92.21, 32.28 ], [ -92.19, 32.27 ], [ -92.16, 32.24 ], [ -92.17, 32.21 ], [ -92.19, 32.2 ], [ -92.25, 32.2 ], [ -92.27, 32.21 ], [ -92.27, 32.23 ], [ -92.26, 32.24 ], [ -92.26, 32.26 ], [ -92.27, 32.27 ], [ -92.25, 32.28 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0338, "confidence_lo": 0.0011, "confidence_hi": 0.0011, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "b7ccad0c9805e312414706fc013db012a1c27181dfad0320d5476157ee83f0fb", "input_sha256": "789f4283c63b53b3b8cca326343ec9c4522eddc3349f51b08af4e7ffd2c9ca83", "issued_at": "2026-07-15T10:35:01Z", "raw_probability": 0.0338, "probability": 0.001091, "confidence_lo": 0.00107, "confidence_hi": 0.001091, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "928bec60d935d5cfdc33c69130c0272d7561e834db18cd1d5195d76d5248b1d2" }, "receipt_sha256": "928bec60d935d5cfdc33c69130c0272d7561e834db18cd1d5195d76d5248b1d2" } ] }