{ "forecast_id": "to_fcst_20260913_0846", "hazard": "tornado", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "forecast_horizon_hours": 24, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "scoring_tier_label": "ML (pre-trained gradient-boosted trees)", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "n_active_storms": 127, "top_probability": 0.0101, "source_artifacts": [ "/data/live-tornadoes.json", "/data/tornado-storms.geojson" ], "storms": [ { "storm_id": "671693", "lat": 39.423, "lon": -74.091, "motion_east": 3.2, "motion_south": -6.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0101, "risk_band": "very_high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1119.0, "ebshear": 25.0, "srh01": 79.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.04, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 79.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 59.5491 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -2.1777 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 2.2914 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.6253 }, "coherence_score": 2.29144287109375, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 2.29144287109375, "grad_tau": 0.29657554626464844, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -2.1777477264404297, "S_field": 0.619284451007843, "Gamma_field": 0.2157796323299408, "S_over_Gamma": 2.869985580444336, "Da": 14.11091136932373, "E_coh": 0.6998148560523987, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -74.12, 39.47 ], [ -74.04, 39.45 ], [ -74.02, 39.43 ], [ -74.02, 39.4 ], [ -74.03, 39.38 ], [ -74.09, 39.37 ], [ -74.15, 39.4 ], [ -74.16, 39.41 ], [ -74.16, 39.45 ], [ -74.12, 39.47 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.6253, "confidence_lo": 0.0098, "confidence_hi": 0.0101, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "911a260919711c53dc1066bfccd63d96f198a07a6235e6d7af39d584e3d5d34a", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.6253, "probability": 0.01014, "confidence_lo": 0.009772, "confidence_hi": 0.010144, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "8afbb99a8f34adb7a96a78c96997b0f976f030dc8b78d7b0a42fe80cdb5a84e6", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "1dcdb6c2eeacd3a9458fa547e3e00dc712a822656640813dd836c98be1a6ccb8c328197cf37518af31ba8848a4412f9b49080ad6e4ceba37760c5588c15d580c" } }, "receipt_sha256": "8afbb99a8f34adb7a96a78c96997b0f976f030dc8b78d7b0a42fe80cdb5a84e6" }, { "storm_id": "671426", "lat": 40.7514, "lon": -74.8268, "motion_east": 5.1, "motion_south": -6.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0101, "risk_band": "very_high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 300.0, "ebshear": 22.0, "srh01": 97.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 97.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 51.2991 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -6.1996 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.9572 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.618 }, "coherence_score": 1.9571514129638672, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.9571514129638672, "grad_tau": 0.08657528460025787, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -6.199556827545166, "S_field": 0.3317212462425232, "Gamma_field": 0.26994630694389343, "S_over_Gamma": 1.2288415431976318, "Da": 17.11801528930664, "E_coh": 0.22407501935958862, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -74.7, 40.83 ], [ -74.67, 40.82 ], [ -74.67, 40.77 ], [ -74.68, 40.77 ], [ -74.73, 40.72 ], [ -74.73, 40.68 ], [ -74.79, 40.65 ], [ -74.81, 40.63 ], [ -74.82, 40.63 ], [ -74.88, 40.7 ], [ -74.92, 40.71 ], [ -74.93, 40.73 ], [ -74.96, 40.74 ], [ -74.98, 40.76 ], [ -74.98, 40.8 ], [ -74.97, 40.81 ], [ -74.94, 40.81 ], [ -74.88, 40.78 ], [ -74.84, 40.78 ], [ -74.83, 40.79 ], [ -74.78, 40.79 ], [ -74.7, 40.83 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.618, "confidence_lo": 0.0098, "confidence_hi": 0.0101, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "ee00d701093c1babd84986741c9ebb45d654848e27203f0d323a48980f851f6a", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.618, "probability": 0.01014, "confidence_lo": 0.009772, "confidence_hi": 0.010144, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "e1ed26b7edc9be503733b0b40676971474e0b0d09bc0fc7cc570cd608c75ef73", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "9c4cf3413a9a1c7f3653c83055b50c91f613613b6474ae4ae2f2f75c1f51adcdca8dc6df5d9e7e441ad503500bd88a6fac3468913c1fec020c01aed67721660d" } }, "receipt_sha256": "e1ed26b7edc9be503733b0b40676971474e0b0d09bc0fc7cc570cd608c75ef73" }, { "storm_id": "671774", "lat": 40.4155, "lon": -74.8982, "motion_east": 4.6, "motion_south": -5.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0058, "risk_band": "very_high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 673.0, "ebshear": 23.0, "srh01": 99.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 99.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 51.2991 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -6.1996 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.9572 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.003 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.5375 }, "coherence_score": 1.9571514129638672, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.9571514129638672, "grad_tau": 0.08657528460025787, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -6.199556827545166, "S_field": 0.3317212462425232, "Gamma_field": 0.26994630694389343, "S_over_Gamma": 1.2288415431976318, "Da": 17.11801528930664, "E_coh": 0.22407501935958862, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -74.92, 40.45 ], [ -74.87, 40.45 ], [ -74.86, 40.44 ], [ -74.86, 40.4 ], [ -74.85, 40.39 ], [ -74.87, 40.38 ], [ -74.93, 40.38 ], [ -74.94, 40.39 ], [ -74.93, 40.4 ], [ -74.93, 40.44 ], [ -74.92, 40.45 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.5375, "confidence_lo": 0.0057, "confidence_hi": 0.0058, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "728326cf50a46f7b4e093f950dd4af6a7a3cc907fc5287a0a2a3902bb2118e87", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.5375, "probability": 0.005755, "confidence_lo": 0.005671, "confidence_hi": 0.005755, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "a347dfc1de5404d3ac875638a7dcd05ee3fdd35132ad03f855be579552e28721", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "5512a965a30b9ceabb35676be71491644370533494211dbfe07689cebf3a351fcbb535972cb0cb1bfcd31711d791dd44cce9438fb9ca14e383c80b024885ee0e" } }, "receipt_sha256": "a347dfc1de5404d3ac875638a7dcd05ee3fdd35132ad03f855be579552e28721" }, { "storm_id": "671325", "lat": 39.2023, "lon": -74.2062, "motion_east": 3.2, "motion_south": -6.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0058, "risk_band": "very_high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1552.0, "ebshear": 26.0, "srh01": 78.0, "maxllaz": 0.004, "mesh": 0.07, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 78.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 59.5491 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -1.6732 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 2.3853 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.004 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.5109 }, "coherence_score": 2.3852624893188477, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 2.3852624893188477, "grad_tau": 0.2957336902618408, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -1.6731586456298828, "S_field": 0.3377252519130707, "Gamma_field": 0.2132796198129654, "S_over_Gamma": 1.5834858417510986, "Da": 12.682698249816895, "E_coh": 0.7767183780670166, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 3, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -74.26, 39.25 ], [ -74.22, 39.25 ], [ -74.21, 39.24 ], [ -74.15, 39.24 ], [ -74.11, 39.21 ], [ -74.11, 39.19 ], [ -74.13, 39.16 ], [ -74.17, 39.16 ], [ -74.18, 39.15 ], [ -74.27, 39.15 ], [ -74.3, 39.17 ], [ -74.31, 39.21 ], [ -74.26, 39.25 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.5109, "confidence_lo": 0.0057, "confidence_hi": 0.0058, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "36e43ef66b12c23f98492f3dd2821aa5ae26f930df2d05410a1061e3e218705d", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.5109, "probability": 0.005755, "confidence_lo": 0.005671, "confidence_hi": 0.005755, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "d0459d090c5c04c0646ec1cac38dd3f757e951194245eaecbf770c24f2ddb6df", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "768b7200f7f4126fe8ea614c6b5eeffa669e9f76a767a2ead3b40ad5906cfd0b3e6e874205177f26e7b110fb057c64b0fc1f9d6e0238476f4dd6f612d166f70c" } }, "receipt_sha256": "d0459d090c5c04c0646ec1cac38dd3f757e951194245eaecbf770c24f2ddb6df" }, { "storm_id": "671996", "lat": 37.217, "lon": -96.553, "motion_east": 9.5, "motion_south": 2.2, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0058, "risk_band": "very_high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 176.0, "ebshear": 48.0, "srh01": 117.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.12, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 117.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 37.7991 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 14.3239 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.4015 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.507 }, "coherence_score": 0.4015331268310547, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.4015331268310547, "grad_tau": 0.08197428286075592, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 14.323860168457031, "S_field": 0.5408396124839783, "Gamma_field": 1.2382797002792358, "S_over_Gamma": 0.43676692247390747, "Da": 83.321533203125, "E_coh": 0.2907852232456207, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -96.56, 37.25 ], [ -96.53, 37.25 ], [ -96.52, 37.23 ], [ -96.52, 37.19 ], [ -96.53, 37.18 ], [ -96.57, 37.18 ], [ -96.57, 37.19 ], [ -96.59, 37.21 ], [ -96.58, 37.24 ], [ -96.56, 37.25 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.507, "confidence_lo": 0.0057, "confidence_hi": 0.0058, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "a9b45f9ae1ac7bb3946e3ab68b4cf4791383f2fd8f788467fee1c39a37afb6d6", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.507, "probability": 0.005755, "confidence_lo": 0.005671, "confidence_hi": 0.005755, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f1a066e7314290aa130285623ee580516e93beba349d34ed7d0bc562f07285de", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "0a77d1663cfab70c777174d25598c1f935f8be5b03215f99b0a714be74673cd229936c6fea3061861bc2411b785104988e34335b0e8eb28b961c25f5c088de01" } }, "receipt_sha256": "f1a066e7314290aa130285623ee580516e93beba349d34ed7d0bc562f07285de" }, { "storm_id": "671427", "lat": 39.484, "lon": -74.605, "motion_east": 3.3, "motion_south": -6.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0058, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1022.0, "ebshear": 31.0, "srh01": 100.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 100.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 50.9241 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -0.5648 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 2.0452 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.003 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.4741 }, "coherence_score": 2.0452184677124023, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 2.0452184677124023, "grad_tau": 0.17267853021621704, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -0.5648303031921387, "S_field": 0.3561616539955139, "Gamma_field": 0.2949462831020355, "S_over_Gamma": 1.2075475454330444, "Da": 18.670360565185547, "E_coh": 0.32255253195762634, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -74.62, 39.52 ], [ -74.59, 39.52 ], [ -74.58, 39.51 ], [ -74.58, 39.48 ], [ -74.57, 39.46 ], [ -74.59, 39.44 ], [ -74.62, 39.44 ], [ -74.64, 39.45 ], [ -74.64, 39.5 ], [ -74.62, 39.52 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.4741, "confidence_lo": 0.0057, "confidence_hi": 0.0058, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "d93524bb995c61156663f92decd27c2ed7cada6ff6c3a13052c4b743b99c37cb", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.4741, "probability": 0.005755, "confidence_lo": 0.005671, "confidence_hi": 0.005755, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "dff60f3cdea60c1b09b3d148ef2b8e2eb37732989f5c3decb2d9896ac781da6f", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "78d5e75468740180e80fe20d7a0578122b015f9904971a1d2d4bbf4d12ecf0193aa65017421e58b227275b9a3dd69a866a0794e05828d6b5e0abc0fa6591580f" } }, "receipt_sha256": "dff60f3cdea60c1b09b3d148ef2b8e2eb37732989f5c3decb2d9896ac781da6f" }, { "storm_id": "670701", "lat": 38.2478, "lon": -75.1628, "motion_east": 7.8, "motion_south": -3.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0058, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1712.0, "ebshear": 16.0, "srh01": 77.0, "maxllaz": 0.007, "mesh": 0.24, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 77.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 57.9241 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 4.2461 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 2.3012 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.007 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.4672 }, "coherence_score": 2.3011600971221924, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 2.3011600971221924, "grad_tau": 0.2556679844856262, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 4.246074199676514, "S_field": 0.5362465977668762, "Gamma_field": 0.1649462878704071, "S_over_Gamma": 3.25103759765625, "Da": 10.060554504394531, "E_coh": 0.708484411239624, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 5, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -75.17, 38.34 ], [ -75.12, 38.34 ], [ -75.1, 38.32 ], [ -75.09, 38.32 ], [ -75.08, 38.28 ], [ -75.07, 38.27 ], [ -75.07, 38.24 ], [ -75.14, 38.17 ], [ -75.16, 38.16 ], [ -75.19, 38.16 ], [ -75.2, 38.17 ], [ -75.23, 38.17 ], [ -75.23, 38.18 ], [ -75.25, 38.19 ], [ -75.25, 38.23 ], [ -75.22, 38.26 ], [ -75.19, 38.32 ], [ -75.17, 38.34 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.4672, "confidence_lo": 0.0057, "confidence_hi": 0.0058, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "f537b9ef67db2fb5ac903cc12eb56a2ed66e03582fad9018222859e3339f142d", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.4672, "probability": 0.005755, "confidence_lo": 0.005671, "confidence_hi": 0.005755, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "9527753ba291760fe1edf0c5072619b39da1d625337df342d3fc31dfafb5f5e5", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "e1be225d8f4c625b9ba3d94be5d66cfcc553df466fd9bfbd417b45290885c4d45439870fe597865a51fe1b3d38b974b881ea54d1b93aeafe7919f9ff78bcfe01" } }, "receipt_sha256": "9527753ba291760fe1edf0c5072619b39da1d625337df342d3fc31dfafb5f5e5" }, { "storm_id": "671895", "lat": 38.5186, "lon": -74.945, "motion_east": 7.2, "motion_south": -3.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0058, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1782.0, "ebshear": 19.0, "srh01": 65.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 65.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 57.9241 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 4.2461 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 2.3012 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.4591 }, "coherence_score": 2.3011600971221924, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 2.3011600971221924, "grad_tau": 0.2556679844856262, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 4.246074199676514, "S_field": 0.5362465977668762, "Gamma_field": 0.1649462878704071, "S_over_Gamma": 3.25103759765625, "Da": 10.060554504394531, "E_coh": 0.708484411239624, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -74.94, 38.58 ], [ -74.92, 38.58 ], [ -74.92, 38.55 ], [ -74.9, 38.53 ], [ -74.9, 38.52 ], [ -74.93, 38.49 ], [ -74.93, 38.46 ], [ -74.97, 38.44 ], [ -74.98, 38.45 ], [ -75.0, 38.45 ], [ -75.0, 38.51 ], [ -74.95, 38.55 ], [ -74.95, 38.57 ], [ -74.94, 38.58 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.4591, "confidence_lo": 0.0057, "confidence_hi": 0.0058, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "d2f60ae2e824402d02abc0872cdc4afc6dc39b76100d708ac0cb5593ceeb5c9b", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.4591, "probability": 0.005755, "confidence_lo": 0.005671, "confidence_hi": 0.005755, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "3636a60fff6cfcca5f69694689ce10022d5c8fd08a98514799d820a7e45357ed", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "d2a57f9928b98f10cad41418fdb0bf79d3fa44a3f90320c5518d94b91024a00ef49983f7c37db5550ebe8187b9ac53f9fb92d792cdc507ca61c762eff03d9f02" } }, "receipt_sha256": "3636a60fff6cfcca5f69694689ce10022d5c8fd08a98514799d820a7e45357ed" }, { "storm_id": "671861", "lat": 41.2114, "lon": -77.2509, "motion_east": 7.6, "motion_south": -1.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0058, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 792.0, "ebshear": 22.0, "srh01": 151.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 151.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 41.1741 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -0.1437 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 2.0101 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.4529 }, "coherence_score": 2.010068416595459, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 2.010068416595459, "grad_tau": 0.04954212158918381, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -0.14366865158081055, "S_field": 0.4961370825767517, "Gamma_field": 0.1532796174287796, "S_over_Gamma": 3.2368104457855225, "Da": 9.782048225402832, "E_coh": 0.5005688071250916, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": false } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -77.14, 41.35 ], [ -77.1, 41.34 ], [ -77.1, 41.3 ], [ -77.13, 41.29 ], [ -77.16, 41.26 ], [ -77.18, 41.26 ], [ -77.19, 41.25 ], [ -77.23, 41.24 ], [ -77.25, 41.21 ], [ -77.25, 41.18 ], [ -77.24, 41.17 ], [ -77.21, 41.18 ], [ -77.2, 41.16 ], [ -77.18, 41.16 ], [ -77.18, 41.14 ], [ -77.22, 41.11 ], [ -77.23, 41.08 ], [ -77.26, 41.08 ], [ -77.3, 41.06 ], [ -77.31, 41.07 ], [ -77.35, 41.08 ], [ -77.37, 41.1 ], [ -77.4, 41.1 ], [ -77.44, 41.12 ], [ -77.44, 41.17 ], [ -77.41, 41.21 ], [ -77.4, 41.25 ], [ -77.37, 41.25 ], [ -77.31, 41.29 ], [ -77.27, 41.29 ], [ -77.23, 41.32 ], [ -77.21, 41.32 ], [ -77.2, 41.33 ], [ -77.18, 41.33 ], [ -77.14, 41.35 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.4529, "confidence_lo": 0.0057, "confidence_hi": 0.0058, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "8504f7c96a7150b53341eff3c6b26a71c8bb5eaef63c54b341fbfa7239f1cde6", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.4529, "probability": 0.005755, "confidence_lo": 0.005671, "confidence_hi": 0.005755, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "8236ffdf6f9c42f67db1a3ae422e77b97df5d96ef703e1a3b047d3485b4d285c", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "1a28b1eae5fcabbb3f6fe0dff8548d71edf15abc1f379a4aba622dbedb904947236f573ce1338adb1472c46233433a9a6640ee2561eef32f5f8f293ab5f3ad07" } }, "receipt_sha256": "8236ffdf6f9c42f67db1a3ae422e77b97df5d96ef703e1a3b047d3485b4d285c" }, { "storm_id": "671363", "lat": 40.556, "lon": -74.5027, "motion_east": 0.5, "motion_south": -5.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0058, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 357.0, "ebshear": 20.0, "srh01": 84.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.04, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 84.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 51.2991 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -6.1996 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.9572 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.4448 }, "coherence_score": 1.9571514129638672, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.9571514129638672, "grad_tau": 0.08657528460025787, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -6.199556827545166, "S_field": 0.3317212462425232, "Gamma_field": 0.26994630694389343, "S_over_Gamma": 1.2288415431976318, "Da": 17.11801528930664, "E_coh": 0.22407501935958862, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 3, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -74.44, 40.64 ], [ -74.4, 40.61 ], [ -74.39, 40.57 ], [ -74.45, 40.5 ], [ -74.47, 40.49 ], [ -74.54, 40.49 ], [ -74.55, 40.48 ], [ -74.59, 40.49 ], [ -74.6, 40.5 ], [ -74.61, 40.53 ], [ -74.58, 40.57 ], [ -74.54, 40.58 ], [ -74.49, 40.62 ], [ -74.45, 40.63 ], [ -74.44, 40.64 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.4448, "confidence_lo": 0.0057, "confidence_hi": 0.0058, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "622eea07b0549f7af306d28911f5d5230a25db59796889c1f234e42dc0bbff56", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.4448, "probability": 0.005755, "confidence_lo": 0.005671, "confidence_hi": 0.005755, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "198c6b6426ee8d35c7c107258e5371628e2e2d42b6909260e04518b384f0660c", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "80716e364056516cf035debfdece603e41fe1c777d5f28bb6644e8dd2841283d4fdfcd6a9f4bc67d3815742432257668222d32e9e0d587fdd199bfd0c8744009" } }, "receipt_sha256": "198c6b6426ee8d35c7c107258e5371628e2e2d42b6909260e04518b384f0660c" }, { "storm_id": "671709", "lat": 39.211, "lon": -95.6538, "motion_east": 11.1, "motion_south": 3.4, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0058, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 368.0, "ebshear": 30.0, "srh01": 74.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 74.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 34.6741 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 7.4076 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.1746 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.003 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.4296 }, "coherence_score": 1.174551248550415, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.174551248550415, "grad_tau": 0.2654753029346466, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 7.407637596130371, "S_field": 0.23969106376171112, "Gamma_field": 0.17744629085063934, "S_over_Gamma": 1.350780963897705, "Da": 11.203588485717773, "E_coh": 0.328046977519989, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -95.73, 39.3 ], [ -95.71, 39.3 ], [ -95.7, 39.29 ], [ -95.66, 39.29 ], [ -95.65, 39.28 ], [ -95.65, 39.25 ], [ -95.64, 39.23 ], [ -95.56, 39.19 ], [ -95.54, 39.17 ], [ -95.54, 39.12 ], [ -95.56, 39.1 ], [ -95.61, 39.1 ], [ -95.62, 39.11 ], [ -95.64, 39.15 ], [ -95.64, 39.17 ], [ -95.63, 39.18 ], [ -95.64, 39.2 ], [ -95.74, 39.2 ], [ -95.77, 39.23 ], [ -95.77, 39.27 ], [ -95.73, 39.3 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.4296, "confidence_lo": 0.0057, "confidence_hi": 0.0058, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "672641fbdd4838caa7509d36f23ad5cc6c9cb57196e42db7d9c56ae7ad744a77", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.4296, "probability": 0.005755, "confidence_lo": 0.005671, "confidence_hi": 0.005755, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "a44d1f88e5bff6eafabe8fb92d29b65bcd706096ba9605494e80a0fc627067c0", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "b859305e4f430a48bab94a29b4acfe2ce89377faad14eb7e47c3e45fd782d5404b121e2a2350249138e5492644893a12df0a34f0be64513980103cd6ccdb1e0a" } }, "receipt_sha256": "a44d1f88e5bff6eafabe8fb92d29b65bcd706096ba9605494e80a0fc627067c0" }, { "storm_id": "671898", "lat": 36.3795, "lon": -95.1911, "motion_east": 6.4, "motion_south": 3.9, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0058, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1354.0, "ebshear": 30.0, "srh01": 147.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 147.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 39.5491 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 1.4416 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.36 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.4281 }, "coherence_score": 0.3599807024002075, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.3599807024002075, "grad_tau": 0.06903945654630661, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 1.4415874481201172, "S_field": 0.4758037030696869, "Gamma_field": 1.7807796001434326, "S_over_Gamma": 0.2671884298324585, "Da": 116.06298828125, "E_coh": 0.24569839239120483, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -95.25, 36.46 ], [ -95.21, 36.46 ], [ -95.19, 36.45 ], [ -95.14, 36.39 ], [ -95.13, 36.39 ], [ -95.1, 36.36 ], [ -95.08, 36.36 ], [ -95.06, 36.34 ], [ -95.06, 36.29 ], [ -95.07, 36.28 ], [ -95.13, 36.28 ], [ -95.2, 36.35 ], [ -95.22, 36.36 ], [ -95.31, 36.36 ], [ -95.32, 36.37 ], [ -95.32, 36.39 ], [ -95.3, 36.43 ], [ -95.29, 36.43 ], [ -95.25, 36.46 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.4281, "confidence_lo": 0.0057, "confidence_hi": 0.0058, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "dd598285dac91deef2857b957ef160ed3c816addd2726257bd4507e0c9098ae0", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.4281, "probability": 0.005755, "confidence_lo": 0.005671, "confidence_hi": 0.005755, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "cff687d393dbdf5a902f653f51e593ef220523bfd1dda07ebd601946bf8bd255", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "39d7696a2c870861cddbd8c939a4b9f536caa62385e6e18c205fe9af673bcf89c3385689891fc06037373f0aa48a4c6fd1175dbcf2b102548d70e12077b38a0f" } }, "receipt_sha256": "cff687d393dbdf5a902f653f51e593ef220523bfd1dda07ebd601946bf8bd255" }, { "storm_id": "671645", "lat": 37.5056, "lon": -96.3, "motion_east": 11.7, "motion_south": 3.8, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0058, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 178.0, "ebshear": 39.0, "srh01": 95.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.18, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 95.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 38.7991 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 12.891 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.4725 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.003 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.4273 }, "coherence_score": 0.47245344519615173, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.47245344519615173, "grad_tau": 0.2851448953151703, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 12.891035079956055, "S_field": 0.4821069836616516, "Gamma_field": 2.631612777709961, "S_over_Gamma": 0.18319830298423767, "Da": 168.79127502441406, "E_coh": 0.5762428641319275, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -96.32, 37.6 ], [ -96.24, 37.58 ], [ -96.23, 37.54 ], [ -96.22, 37.53 ], [ -96.24, 37.49 ], [ -96.24, 37.46 ], [ -96.26, 37.42 ], [ -96.28, 37.4 ], [ -96.33, 37.4 ], [ -96.37, 37.45 ], [ -96.36, 37.49 ], [ -96.35, 37.5 ], [ -96.35, 37.52 ], [ -96.34, 37.53 ], [ -96.35, 37.58 ], [ -96.32, 37.6 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.4273, "confidence_lo": 0.0057, "confidence_hi": 0.0058, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "44aee6c038e5bb2ee42eadd924e76df770ce2a708ab052c6c59ea782a93bfea0", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.4273, "probability": 0.005755, "confidence_lo": 0.005671, "confidence_hi": 0.005755, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "3e742ab7125e848fa5429cfadd34773cf075f21f3f62c7eb8de18b2f51229a82", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "15a44001c2670d9994cc904c27f56b798ed0099401a7d756ebc647932612fc6bf7f07b40467699bfb30ecc04966a7693f2048914cf6b0be184ed78ab7b164e0c" } }, "receipt_sha256": "3e742ab7125e848fa5429cfadd34773cf075f21f3f62c7eb8de18b2f51229a82" }, { "storm_id": "671915", "lat": 46.5178, "lon": -75.4284, "motion_east": 3.7, "motion_south": -1.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0058, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 274.0, "ebshear": 18.0, "srh01": 256.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.1, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 256.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 32.0491 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -8.8079 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.5743 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.4219 }, "coherence_score": 1.5742952823638916, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.5742952823638916, "grad_tau": 0.05751766264438629, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -8.80785846710205, "S_field": 0.6042042374610901, "Gamma_field": 0.3224463164806366, "S_over_Gamma": 1.8738133907318115, "Da": 18.20071792602539, "E_coh": 0.2639199197292328, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -75.41, 46.56 ], [ -75.4, 46.56 ], [ -75.39, 46.55 ], [ -75.38, 46.55 ], [ -75.37, 46.55 ], [ -75.36, 46.55 ], [ -75.37, 46.54 ], [ -75.38, 46.53 ], [ -75.38, 46.52 ], [ -75.38, 46.51 ], [ -75.37, 46.5 ], [ -75.38, 46.49 ], [ -75.39, 46.49 ], [ -75.4, 46.49 ], [ -75.41, 46.49 ], [ -75.42, 46.49 ], [ -75.43, 46.49 ], [ -75.44, 46.48 ], [ -75.45, 46.48 ], [ -75.46, 46.49 ], [ -75.46, 46.5 ], [ -75.47, 46.51 ], [ -75.48, 46.5 ], [ -75.49, 46.5 ], [ -75.5, 46.51 ], [ -75.51, 46.51 ], [ -75.5, 46.52 ], [ -75.49, 46.52 ], [ -75.48, 46.52 ], [ -75.47, 46.51 ], [ -75.46, 46.52 ], [ -75.45, 46.52 ], [ -75.44, 46.53 ], [ -75.43, 46.53 ], [ -75.42, 46.54 ], [ -75.42, 46.55 ], [ -75.41, 46.56 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.4219, "confidence_lo": 0.0057, "confidence_hi": 0.0058, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "45d8d4eba6210fc4945efe662a5053ef496a597f5e8228bfc39fb1aead9baa8d", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.4219, "probability": 0.005755, "confidence_lo": 0.005671, "confidence_hi": 0.005755, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "cf46d1dace7e439bf0d414c7499a9c85867f0caf37d723573608a5e21b1fa7f3", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "b194cd9ca1467232d51f6635d8c9af90d3152edf452d1987067bec60ea4f10b0518b776332dd5bd96d2fc94403799b81f5d5f63a2034faed6f19a5cd071b6c02" } }, "receipt_sha256": "cf46d1dace7e439bf0d414c7499a9c85867f0caf37d723573608a5e21b1fa7f3" }, { "storm_id": "671681", "lat": 38.2838, "lon": -97.6829, "motion_east": 10.0, "motion_south": 1.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0058, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 142.0, "ebshear": 41.0, "srh01": 256.0, "maxllaz": 0.005, "mesh": 0.09, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 256.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 34.0491 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 14.5978 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.977 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.005 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.4197 }, "coherence_score": 0.9770432710647583, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.9770432710647583, "grad_tau": 0.2580338418483734, "torsion": 5.607547759467479e-09, "alignment": 14.597800254821777, "S_field": 0.34402644634246826, "Gamma_field": 0.20244628190994263, "S_over_Gamma": 1.6993467807769775, "Da": 12.870672225952148, "E_coh": 0.657321572303772, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -97.67, 38.39 ], [ -97.63, 38.39 ], [ -97.61, 38.37 ], [ -97.61, 38.32 ], [ -97.65, 38.3 ], [ -97.62, 38.25 ], [ -97.62, 38.2 ], [ -97.64, 38.18 ], [ -97.64, 38.17 ], [ -97.69, 38.17 ], [ -97.72, 38.2 ], [ -97.76, 38.22 ], [ -97.78, 38.24 ], [ -97.78, 38.27 ], [ -97.79, 38.28 ], [ -97.79, 38.3 ], [ -97.66, 38.29 ], [ -97.65, 38.31 ], [ -97.68, 38.34 ], [ -97.68, 38.38 ], [ -97.67, 38.39 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.4197, "confidence_lo": 0.0052, "confidence_hi": 0.0058, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "71347ba5ab91d3433b4ff000eacf259d2b5a7290cd902783ae5dad085fd7af2c", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.4197, "probability": 0.005752, "confidence_lo": 0.005234, "confidence_hi": 0.005755, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "b84cf4e29eefa84319bfbe9d47191fd1ecb2f2f856daeb95b748693e2c13c4a4", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "5ea24b8c87aa5a2effe267ac9c12b0b6374192df06a8b1d4c66434280c1ea1c3e8339bbd25ff0ea87ec8ce1749d2dd98e2fa6eb39d2da6195db692f8aea96f0c" } }, "receipt_sha256": "b84cf4e29eefa84319bfbe9d47191fd1ecb2f2f856daeb95b748693e2c13c4a4" }, { "storm_id": "671498", "lat": 34.9495, "lon": -101.0405, "motion_east": 6.2, "motion_south": 0.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0056, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 829.0, "ebshear": 44.0, "srh01": 63.0, "maxllaz": 0.005, "mesh": 0.26, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 63.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 28.7991 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -5.3468 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.4156 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.005 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.4148 }, "coherence_score": 0.4155815839767456, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.4155815839767456, "grad_tau": 0.06428589671850204, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -5.346817970275879, "S_field": 0.6923548579216003, "Gamma_field": 0.9591130018234253, "S_over_Gamma": 0.721869945526123, "Da": 59.7176513671875, "E_coh": 0.5858232378959656, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -101.16, 35.06 ], [ -101.12, 35.06 ], [ -100.98, 34.99 ], [ -100.94, 34.99 ], [ -100.9, 34.96 ], [ -100.91, 34.92 ], [ -100.94, 34.89 ], [ -100.94, 34.88 ], [ -100.97, 34.84 ], [ -100.98, 34.85 ], [ -101.01, 34.85 ], [ -101.02, 34.86 ], [ -101.03, 34.88 ], [ -101.03, 34.92 ], [ -101.06, 34.95 ], [ -101.14, 34.99 ], [ -101.16, 34.99 ], [ -101.18, 35.01 ], [ -101.18, 35.04 ], [ -101.16, 35.06 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.4148, "confidence_lo": 0.0052, "confidence_hi": 0.0056, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "06c5977aa69ce4c6f87d3591559557eccede7e9dde4a3ba9be2378e55d8fcb51", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.4148, "probability": 0.005581, "confidence_lo": 0.005234, "confidence_hi": 0.005583, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "53615c6de9106daab237146e20a5fbeed3f02f128032eae9d438f0f8d32ceb12", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "bbfb04386b57dd10c422c3816ffd46ac559ea430263f0c8b0157480ebc7127b918e87e85819308d6679294fe0f50457c6712ba773496efaf1f9d8c214ac13106" } }, "receipt_sha256": "53615c6de9106daab237146e20a5fbeed3f02f128032eae9d438f0f8d32ceb12" }, { "storm_id": "671958", "lat": 39.2409, "lon": -74.4736, "motion_east": 3.2, "motion_south": -6.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0056, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1668.0, "ebshear": 33.0, "srh01": 79.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 79.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 54.4241 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 0.671 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 2.1275 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.003 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.4029 }, "coherence_score": 2.1274590492248535, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 2.1274590492248535, "grad_tau": 0.23638178408145905, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.6709989309310913, "S_field": 0.24196159839630127, "Gamma_field": 0.25161296129226685, "S_over_Gamma": 0.9616420269012451, "Da": 15.356467247009277, "E_coh": 0.4927058815956116, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -74.49, 39.28 ], [ -74.46, 39.28 ], [ -74.46, 39.25 ], [ -74.44, 39.23 ], [ -74.44, 39.22 ], [ -74.46, 39.22 ], [ -74.47, 39.21 ], [ -74.5, 39.21 ], [ -74.51, 39.22 ], [ -74.49, 39.25 ], [ -74.49, 39.28 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.4029, "confidence_lo": 0.0052, "confidence_hi": 0.0056, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "f4f04077f3920a327ec2f98caa2c25c03d2d9931d75081a97f1317151b777fd6", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.4029, "probability": 0.005581, "confidence_lo": 0.005234, "confidence_hi": 0.005583, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "129a2ee42eb83006ebd39ebc25247957d0637d3415c75e160cdb49aae6b20a84", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "831bd7a38e47d8c7836a0c779602231b5cd21216bb95370c05eae3b84eca4cc8ea7ee61748efc394f58089315784866dda292ef5369f365108826d60d6f1480a" } }, "receipt_sha256": "129a2ee42eb83006ebd39ebc25247957d0637d3415c75e160cdb49aae6b20a84" }, { "storm_id": "671267", "lat": 39.04, "lon": -97.5263, "motion_east": 8.1, "motion_south": 1.7, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0056, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 561.0, "ebshear": 35.0, "srh01": 215.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.06, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 215.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 31.5491 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 10.4575 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.222 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.3975 }, "coherence_score": 1.2220098972320557, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.2220098972320557, "grad_tau": 0.24793098866939545, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 10.457467079162598, "S_field": 0.2759625017642975, "Gamma_field": 0.2091129571199417, "S_over_Gamma": 1.3196815252304077, "Da": 13.80728530883789, "E_coh": 0.4296235740184784, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 3, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -97.5, 39.13 ], [ -97.49, 39.12 ], [ -97.49, 39.1 ], [ -97.51, 39.07 ], [ -97.51, 39.05 ], [ -97.5, 39.04 ], [ -97.5, 39.0 ], [ -97.47, 38.96 ], [ -97.48, 38.91 ], [ -97.52, 38.91 ], [ -97.55, 38.94 ], [ -97.56, 38.94 ], [ -97.6, 38.99 ], [ -97.6, 39.05 ], [ -97.58, 39.07 ], [ -97.57, 39.11 ], [ -97.56, 39.12 ], [ -97.51, 39.12 ], [ -97.5, 39.13 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.3975, "confidence_lo": 0.0052, "confidence_hi": 0.0056, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "c07baccc5866b1aadcdf457b61dfc19eb99d9776242aa99e8f63200e097bca42", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.3975, "probability": 0.005581, "confidence_lo": 0.005234, "confidence_hi": 0.005583, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "136caf95cce85d2b72fd503c5925e4fc99a61e7c56751ff1c82f8105cdb219d6", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "4cd68e4ba032b0b41bef93d86dff4969b895fa21fdfcc7f74c82c5bbdd05b5485eae8742bca8c902575edef4ce26b02b2c37ab0232bf2199377d36a116aa6409" } }, "receipt_sha256": "136caf95cce85d2b72fd503c5925e4fc99a61e7c56751ff1c82f8105cdb219d6" }, { "storm_id": "671981", "lat": 42.3994, "lon": -73.6994, "motion_east": 9.7, "motion_south": -3.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0056, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 361.0, "ebshear": 18.0, "srh01": 184.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 184.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 45.6741 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 8.4199 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.8214 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.397 }, "coherence_score": 1.821351170539856, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.821351170539856, "grad_tau": 0.08547026664018631, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 8.419928550720215, "S_field": 0.39740851521492004, "Gamma_field": 0.1674462854862213, "S_over_Gamma": 2.373349189758301, "Da": 9.666681289672852, "E_coh": 0.7780738472938538, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": false } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -73.68, 42.47 ], [ -73.62, 42.47 ], [ -73.62, 42.4 ], [ -73.63, 42.39 ], [ -73.63, 42.36 ], [ -73.65, 42.32 ], [ -73.71, 42.32 ], [ -73.72, 42.33 ], [ -73.74, 42.33 ], [ -73.79, 42.37 ], [ -73.79, 42.4 ], [ -73.77, 42.42 ], [ -73.76, 42.42 ], [ -73.71, 42.46 ], [ -73.69, 42.46 ], [ -73.68, 42.47 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.397, "confidence_lo": 0.0052, "confidence_hi": 0.0056, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "37bfb9f553b4e984a1a6ab8d1bccb416fe8f75f581656d48a910ecfd164bfd30", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.397, "probability": 0.005581, "confidence_lo": 0.005234, "confidence_hi": 0.005583, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "eed8ae4fb6f3bc149aad678f55d3e954aef3a76fd83f68e259f9c957f33832ca", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "8c8b6131e20f5e272a42455539875d88c67cacb93c9c353e43f35863f6eba01ee043c6368b555dd7d338e8a60adbcf1fe78977806809f55ab83b5a15beea450e" } }, "receipt_sha256": "eed8ae4fb6f3bc149aad678f55d3e954aef3a76fd83f68e259f9c957f33832ca" }, { "storm_id": "671778", "lat": 37.8369, "lon": -96.7138, "motion_east": 11.7, "motion_south": 2.1, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0053, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 63.0, "ebshear": 41.0, "srh01": 199.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.13, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 199.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 38.7991 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 12.891 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.4725 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.003 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.3912 }, "coherence_score": 0.47245344519615173, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.47245344519615173, "grad_tau": 0.2851448953151703, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 12.891035079956055, "S_field": 0.4821069836616516, "Gamma_field": 2.631612777709961, "S_over_Gamma": 0.18319830298423767, "Da": 168.79127502441406, "E_coh": 0.5762428641319275, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -96.78, 37.91 ], [ -96.76, 37.91 ], [ -96.71, 37.88 ], [ -96.69, 37.88 ], [ -96.63, 37.85 ], [ -96.61, 37.82 ], [ -96.61, 37.8 ], [ -96.63, 37.78 ], [ -96.65, 37.78 ], [ -96.66, 37.77 ], [ -96.74, 37.77 ], [ -96.77, 37.8 ], [ -96.78, 37.8 ], [ -96.81, 37.84 ], [ -96.81, 37.89 ], [ -96.78, 37.91 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.3912, "confidence_lo": 0.004, "confidence_hi": 0.0054, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "a6138b4eb4640ae3fa108ce481eccf2e0d21a3439952d6079ef1b0030334f0d6", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.3912, "probability": 0.005348, "confidence_lo": 0.004032, "confidence_hi": 0.005356, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "a19fdd623f6970f00aef05d64f686f02f847dde6a15b4766e7bc36c85b75f655", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "18402351be3ba8f19906b848ea3d61ecf094624641f3c1ac4e42ae101dcd75aece7aae3f7b05a3ee6ecfb9f6fbece2ed267eb8ef729528f47074f4ee64945003" } }, "receipt_sha256": "a19fdd623f6970f00aef05d64f686f02f847dde6a15b4766e7bc36c85b75f655" }, { "storm_id": "671223", "lat": 42.3138, "lon": -73.9462, "motion_east": 7.3, "motion_south": -2.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0053, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 271.0, "ebshear": 14.0, "srh01": 144.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 144.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 45.6741 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 8.4199 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.8214 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.3893 }, "coherence_score": 1.821351170539856, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.821351170539856, "grad_tau": 0.08547026664018631, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 8.419928550720215, "S_field": 0.39740851521492004, "Gamma_field": 0.1674462854862213, "S_over_Gamma": 2.373349189758301, "Da": 9.666681289672852, "E_coh": 0.7780738472938538, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": false } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 3, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -73.92, 42.39 ], [ -73.88, 42.39 ], [ -73.87, 42.38 ], [ -73.88, 42.34 ], [ -73.89, 42.34 ], [ -73.9, 42.32 ], [ -73.91, 42.32 ], [ -73.93, 42.3 ], [ -73.95, 42.3 ], [ -73.97, 42.28 ], [ -73.97, 42.23 ], [ -73.98, 42.21 ], [ -74.02, 42.21 ], [ -74.03, 42.24 ], [ -74.02, 42.26 ], [ -74.0, 42.27 ], [ -73.97, 42.31 ], [ -73.98, 42.35 ], [ -73.95, 42.38 ], [ -73.93, 42.38 ], [ -73.92, 42.39 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.3893, "confidence_lo": 0.004, "confidence_hi": 0.0054, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "c012cea3c40e3a5e741df6a4f0e4a2787d482cbb66bc22305b954726dec26ef6", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.3893, "probability": 0.005348, "confidence_lo": 0.004032, "confidence_hi": 0.005356, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "b18d7492e17c744412f122a602de601caddea9fc212c8fff6f3f5cbfed95b806", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "09bd1dfbbdae668bfca581a1f61bf3511e50c944945d7e6d254fdfc739db6d9bfe45d9295e1c1bbcc25fe2138198b3efee9c78d98c943ecf36261dd89aeab407" } }, "receipt_sha256": "b18d7492e17c744412f122a602de601caddea9fc212c8fff6f3f5cbfed95b806" }, { "storm_id": "671446", "lat": 42.4837, "lon": -73.2237, "motion_east": 9.4, "motion_south": -3.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0047, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 362.0, "ebshear": 17.0, "srh01": 174.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.07, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 174.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 46.6741 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 4.9892 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.8021 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.003 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.3849 }, "coherence_score": 1.8021295070648193, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.8021295070648193, "grad_tau": 0.05664018541574478, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 4.989223480224609, "S_field": 0.3087712228298187, "Gamma_field": 0.19911295175552368, "S_over_Gamma": 1.550734043121338, "Da": 12.003874778747559, "E_coh": 0.6568559408187866, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -73.03, 42.61 ], [ -73.0, 42.59 ], [ -72.99, 42.59 ], [ -72.97, 42.61 ], [ -72.91, 42.61 ], [ -72.92, 42.6 ], [ -72.92, 42.58 ], [ -72.91, 42.57 ], [ -72.94, 42.52 ], [ -72.99, 42.52 ], [ -73.0, 42.53 ], [ -73.02, 42.53 ], [ -73.14, 42.47 ], [ -73.13, 42.41 ], [ -73.16, 42.37 ], [ -73.16, 42.33 ], [ -73.17, 42.32 ], [ -73.17, 42.3 ], [ -73.21, 42.31 ], [ -73.21, 42.33 ], [ -73.23, 42.35 ], [ -73.23, 42.39 ], [ -73.22, 42.4 ], [ -73.22, 42.42 ], [ -73.18, 42.46 ], [ -73.16, 42.46 ], [ -73.15, 42.47 ], [ -73.16, 42.49 ], [ -73.18, 42.49 ], [ -73.19, 42.5 ], [ -73.23, 42.5 ], [ -73.27, 42.48 ], [ -73.28, 42.47 ], [ -73.28, 42.45 ], [ -73.3, 42.44 ], [ -73.36, 42.43 ], [ -73.37, 42.42 ], [ -73.4, 42.42 ], [ -73.41, 42.41 ], [ -73.44, 42.41 ], [ -73.5, 42.38 ], [ -73.54, 42.38 ], [ -73.57, 42.41 ], [ -73.57, 42.43 ], [ -73.56, 42.44 ], [ -73.56, 42.46 ], [ -73.57, 42.47 ], [ -73.49, 42.51 ], [ -73.47, 42.51 ], [ -73.43, 42.53 ], [ -73.35, 42.53 ], [ -73.34, 42.52 ], [ -73.32, 42.53 ], [ -73.27, 42.59 ], [ -73.25, 42.59 ], [ -73.24, 42.6 ], [ -73.21, 42.6 ], [ -73.15, 42.57 ], [ -73.12, 42.57 ], [ -73.08, 42.6 ], [ -73.04, 42.6 ], [ -73.03, 42.61 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.3849, "confidence_lo": 0.0034, "confidence_hi": 0.0047, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "ec1d23a7023ff638b42f2d536b362f9b862122b471308da6ec8765c19ef07cb7", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.3849, "probability": 0.004683, "confidence_lo": 0.003409, "confidence_hi": 0.004689, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "d5cbbf40d424bd3a07449166317f3401d3de5d5bf30db35f13cf9651cc422ae8", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "e4dacf6f88b1db59409a1f1825a656158d7d225b8a8fee3ef4245179169e861d4492b5345460a82c3c7db38b865fdd67e51ed2c34b6fc903f3e5d99fdd6cb005" } }, "receipt_sha256": "d5cbbf40d424bd3a07449166317f3401d3de5d5bf30db35f13cf9651cc422ae8" }, { "storm_id": "671894", "lat": 40.596, "lon": -77.877, "motion_east": 6.3, "motion_south": -3.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0031, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1175.0, "ebshear": 12.0, "srh01": 115.0, "maxllaz": 0.005, "mesh": 0.04, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 115.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 49.9241 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 5.1748 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 2.0016 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.005 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.3748 }, "coherence_score": 2.0015816688537598, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 2.0015816688537598, "grad_tau": 0.0982036292552948, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 5.174838066101074, "S_field": 0.4737197458744049, "Gamma_field": 0.1532796174287796, "S_over_Gamma": 3.090559244155884, "Da": 9.760224342346191, "E_coh": 0.7512586712837219, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": false } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -77.68, 40.83 ], [ -77.6, 40.83 ], [ -77.59, 40.82 ], [ -77.53, 40.83 ], [ -77.54, 40.82 ], [ -77.56, 40.82 ], [ -77.58, 40.8 ], [ -77.59, 40.76 ], [ -77.61, 40.74 ], [ -77.64, 40.68 ], [ -77.67, 40.65 ], [ -77.74, 40.61 ], [ -77.83, 40.6 ], [ -77.89, 40.55 ], [ -77.91, 40.5 ], [ -77.96, 40.44 ], [ -77.98, 40.44 ], [ -78.01, 40.41 ], [ -78.07, 40.38 ], [ -78.11, 40.34 ], [ -78.14, 40.34 ], [ -78.15, 40.35 ], [ -78.15, 40.37 ], [ -78.13, 40.39 ], [ -78.13, 40.41 ], [ -78.09, 40.45 ], [ -78.08, 40.47 ], [ -78.06, 40.47 ], [ -78.02, 40.5 ], [ -78.01, 40.52 ], [ -78.01, 40.55 ], [ -77.98, 40.59 ], [ -77.98, 40.6 ], [ -77.95, 40.63 ], [ -77.95, 40.65 ], [ -77.93, 40.67 ], [ -77.92, 40.7 ], [ -77.87, 40.75 ], [ -77.76, 40.75 ], [ -77.68, 40.83 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.3748, "confidence_lo": 0.0029, "confidence_hi": 0.0031, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "43bddf2d47eff04034c7c3d918016787553b8c1d6d0559f37fcca793a8080503", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.3748, "probability": 0.00309, "confidence_lo": 0.002884, "confidence_hi": 0.00309, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "06c5079d656f356077138ba06ccea66785bd0da791402a993b46d8a0d8756aca", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "2cfe3f73c7ace7cbba33cc45929305e2667a774aced1db617a558254eb9ee4ee4e587bf2b97a8404094c4c86d793e17fd4b5a29e5e5b0fad5f2f4394a3702900" } }, "receipt_sha256": "06c5079d656f356077138ba06ccea66785bd0da791402a993b46d8a0d8756aca" }, { "storm_id": "671857", "lat": 42.9384, "lon": -72.4074, "motion_east": 6.8, "motion_south": 0.9, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0031, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 101.0, "ebshear": 23.0, "srh01": 187.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 187.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 46.6741 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 4.9892 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.8021 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.3717 }, "coherence_score": 1.8021295070648193, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.8021295070648193, "grad_tau": 0.05664018541574478, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 4.989223480224609, "S_field": 0.3087712228298187, "Gamma_field": 0.19911295175552368, "S_over_Gamma": 1.550734043121338, "Da": 12.003874778747559, "E_coh": 0.6568559408187866, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -72.24, 43.12 ], [ -72.19, 43.12 ], [ -72.18, 43.11 ], [ -72.17, 43.09 ], [ -72.18, 43.05 ], [ -72.24, 43.0 ], [ -72.26, 43.0 ], [ -72.31, 42.97 ], [ -72.33, 42.97 ], [ -72.38, 42.94 ], [ -72.42, 42.93 ], [ -72.43, 42.92 ], [ -72.43, 42.87 ], [ -72.42, 42.85 ], [ -72.43, 42.84 ], [ -72.43, 42.82 ], [ -72.44, 42.81 ], [ -72.44, 42.79 ], [ -72.46, 42.75 ], [ -72.47, 42.74 ], [ -72.52, 42.74 ], [ -72.54, 42.76 ], [ -72.55, 42.78 ], [ -72.55, 42.81 ], [ -72.56, 42.82 ], [ -72.55, 42.84 ], [ -72.55, 42.91 ], [ -72.56, 42.92 ], [ -72.56, 42.95 ], [ -72.55, 42.97 ], [ -72.52, 43.0 ], [ -72.5, 43.0 ], [ -72.44, 43.03 ], [ -72.41, 43.06 ], [ -72.4, 43.06 ], [ -72.35, 43.1 ], [ -72.28, 43.1 ], [ -72.24, 43.12 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.3717, "confidence_lo": 0.0029, "confidence_hi": 0.0031, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "baa3323513f5134b670125a90a9fc70c5c740597a9d92701285842ca00513c07", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.3717, "probability": 0.00309, "confidence_lo": 0.002884, "confidence_hi": 0.00309, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ea5dfa10f4b5e7a96c196b98bcd62dd1139ad26b3dc915560221833b7edf001d", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "ddfc49c7f480d3f46e734d2e6df956a268f48445e1b8c1290aa3bfb4dc66801703b62f6d1581f28b76879743854be5e29b54da4513e2afa0959609b5b56b1c08" } }, "receipt_sha256": "ea5dfa10f4b5e7a96c196b98bcd62dd1139ad26b3dc915560221833b7edf001d" }, { "storm_id": "671389", "lat": 39.9207, "lon": -75.7768, "motion_east": 3.9, "motion_south": -5.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0031, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 610.0, "ebshear": 25.0, "srh01": 120.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 120.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 50.7991 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 6.7893 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.991 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.3712 }, "coherence_score": 1.9909985065460205, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.9909985065460205, "grad_tau": 0.07791344821453094, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 6.7893171310424805, "S_field": 0.4530079960823059, "Gamma_field": 0.21661296486854553, "S_over_Gamma": 2.0913245677948, "Da": 13.468713760375977, "E_coh": 0.5665847659111023, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 3, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -75.81, 40.0 ], [ -75.78, 40.0 ], [ -75.77, 39.99 ], [ -75.77, 39.96 ], [ -75.73, 39.93 ], [ -75.69, 39.94 ], [ -75.66, 39.97 ], [ -75.66, 39.98 ], [ -75.64, 39.98 ], [ -75.63, 39.97 ], [ -75.62, 39.93 ], [ -75.67, 39.93 ], [ -75.7, 39.91 ], [ -75.72, 39.91 ], [ -75.73, 39.9 ], [ -75.73, 39.88 ], [ -75.75, 39.86 ], [ -75.79, 39.84 ], [ -75.85, 39.84 ], [ -75.87, 39.87 ], [ -75.88, 39.87 ], [ -75.9, 39.84 ], [ -75.93, 39.84 ], [ -75.94, 39.85 ], [ -75.94, 39.89 ], [ -75.89, 39.94 ], [ -75.89, 39.96 ], [ -75.81, 40.0 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.3712, "confidence_lo": 0.0029, "confidence_hi": 0.0031, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "e1615a2e44ee33344ec40b94b5e643c79b5323cb8ad76a976afde97a33debc6c", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.3712, "probability": 0.00309, "confidence_lo": 0.002884, "confidence_hi": 0.00309, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "260cbf17cf4e2219bce3ad757f79a408f70d472426cf1a35cbf041e36e4013fa", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "ee0f651f57e1ab3d202dea9fbcd35ea7446ce1b36fe3518a453d9774a4b527ae081690d1892ce6ba16b4350fded1ecf81df5a60465348dbc2b485c88b2791803" } }, "receipt_sha256": "260cbf17cf4e2219bce3ad757f79a408f70d472426cf1a35cbf041e36e4013fa" }, { "storm_id": "671207", "lat": 38.2558, "lon": -75.8989, "motion_east": 4.2, "motion_south": -4.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0031, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1827.0, "ebshear": 18.0, "srh01": 74.0, "maxllaz": 0.004, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 74.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 52.6741 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 3.2545 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 2.0674 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.004 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.3669 }, "coherence_score": 2.0674142837524414, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 2.0674142837524414, "grad_tau": 0.18216851353645325, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 3.2545058727264404, "S_field": 0.30606749653816223, "Gamma_field": 0.16077962517738342, "S_over_Gamma": 1.9036459922790527, "Da": 9.580224990844727, "E_coh": 0.5272783637046814, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": false } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 3, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -75.89, 38.34 ], [ -75.85, 38.34 ], [ -75.83, 38.32 ], [ -75.81, 38.28 ], [ -75.81, 38.26 ], [ -75.8, 38.25 ], [ -75.8, 38.21 ], [ -75.85, 38.17 ], [ -75.88, 38.17 ], [ -75.92, 38.22 ], [ -75.96, 38.22 ], [ -75.97, 38.21 ], [ -75.99, 38.21 ], [ -75.99, 38.22 ], [ -75.97, 38.24 ], [ -75.97, 38.27 ], [ -75.95, 38.29 ], [ -75.95, 38.3 ], [ -75.89, 38.34 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.3669, "confidence_lo": 0.0029, "confidence_hi": 0.0031, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "51b30c0b1657e2db1e3f681673c1881276e995ece138dac1838fb0105d065927", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.3669, "probability": 0.00309, "confidence_lo": 0.002884, "confidence_hi": 0.00309, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "d846b27961dec07d648f8b3f76f7c6ec68e5c1970911b91b620c3767e673e2df", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "5a7c32386fa5b11bce8a4c94302a13fc1f6c18940b6b015dae91bc93d2e03ef71b666134ac4eaffe9d6099fe5ea018b739f16ecd8df8e0a4f59f673ec9b4de0a" } }, "receipt_sha256": "d846b27961dec07d648f8b3f76f7c6ec68e5c1970911b91b620c3767e673e2df" }, { "storm_id": "671374", "lat": 38.0891, "lon": -75.7905, "motion_east": 4.3, "motion_south": -4.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0031, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1711.0, "ebshear": 18.0, "srh01": 84.0, "maxllaz": 0.005, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 84.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 52.6741 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 3.2545 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 2.0674 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.005 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.3656 }, "coherence_score": 2.0674142837524414, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 2.0674142837524414, "grad_tau": 0.18216851353645325, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 3.2545058727264404, "S_field": 0.30606749653816223, "Gamma_field": 0.16077962517738342, "S_over_Gamma": 1.9036459922790527, "Da": 9.580224990844727, "E_coh": 0.5272783637046814, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": false } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 3, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -75.76, 38.16 ], [ -75.72, 38.16 ], [ -75.71, 38.15 ], [ -75.69, 38.15 ], [ -75.67, 38.13 ], [ -75.67, 38.09 ], [ -75.7, 38.06 ], [ -75.72, 38.05 ], [ -75.75, 38.05 ], [ -75.76, 38.04 ], [ -75.77, 38.05 ], [ -75.8, 38.05 ], [ -75.88, 38.01 ], [ -75.93, 38.01 ], [ -75.94, 38.02 ], [ -75.94, 38.04 ], [ -75.92, 38.08 ], [ -75.88, 38.1 ], [ -75.85, 38.1 ], [ -75.8, 38.15 ], [ -75.77, 38.15 ], [ -75.76, 38.16 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.3656, "confidence_lo": 0.0029, "confidence_hi": 0.0031, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "005670948763744b833980e7d350eb3a12981c7661deca6b4a18208e9c5a9b37", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.3656, "probability": 0.00309, "confidence_lo": 0.002884, "confidence_hi": 0.00309, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "6ce8e2800c40aba69a5f3f52de03659527a0e1344a263f51525f9fd96a86bf24", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "4c64856bb4b975b052c31d9b85e0a44d5a6a4756ee877c833ed497e38b4a863aa94c805a782063b2b55fa333e0ad9ee007e1c8f8964cfdfeb1f0911b78a08c0e" } }, "receipt_sha256": "6ce8e2800c40aba69a5f3f52de03659527a0e1344a263f51525f9fd96a86bf24" }, { "storm_id": "671796", "lat": 39.1838, "lon": -98.1427, "motion_east": 8.0, "motion_south": 2.2, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0031, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 884.0, "ebshear": 39.0, "srh01": 173.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.19, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 173.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 28.9241 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 10.5387 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.2092 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.003 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.363 }, "coherence_score": 1.2091825008392334, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.2091825008392334, "grad_tau": 0.3034336268901825, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 10.538676261901855, "S_field": 0.23063001036643982, "Gamma_field": 0.17827962338924408, "S_over_Gamma": 1.2936420440673828, "Da": 11.825779914855957, "E_coh": 0.37968674302101135, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -98.3, 39.3 ], [ -98.26, 39.3 ], [ -98.2, 39.24 ], [ -98.17, 39.24 ], [ -98.1, 39.19 ], [ -98.08, 39.19 ], [ -98.07, 39.2 ], [ -98.02, 39.2 ], [ -98.01, 39.21 ], [ -97.98, 39.2 ], [ -97.94, 39.16 ], [ -97.94, 39.12 ], [ -97.95, 39.1 ], [ -97.97, 39.08 ], [ -98.01, 39.08 ], [ -98.05, 39.1 ], [ -98.12, 39.11 ], [ -98.16, 39.15 ], [ -98.2, 39.15 ], [ -98.24, 39.17 ], [ -98.3, 39.17 ], [ -98.31, 39.18 ], [ -98.33, 39.18 ], [ -98.35, 39.2 ], [ -98.35, 39.26 ], [ -98.3, 39.3 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.363, "confidence_lo": 0.0029, "confidence_hi": 0.0031, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "9f9afc40567ff693e2b255ee5133e1bc847b6acf5290652023d95045598078bd", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.363, "probability": 0.00309, "confidence_lo": 0.002884, "confidence_hi": 0.00309, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "41e979a68f24c2dddd1ffe1cbdace6464c2d6469a84717782d6554b90247a0c2", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "2f88afa5e3159972781805b45a988caca3e36e00021d2d3f5645283c2522333b6d3e0738529181c1c645d429db4cfc9109db647fb790139a07504da8dfe5e403" } }, "receipt_sha256": "41e979a68f24c2dddd1ffe1cbdace6464c2d6469a84717782d6554b90247a0c2" }, { "storm_id": "671855", "lat": 43.135, "lon": -72.6206, "motion_east": 6.7, "motion_south": 0.8, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0031, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 63.0, "ebshear": 17.0, "srh01": 157.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 157.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 50.0491 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -6.9648 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.8661 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.3582 }, "coherence_score": 1.8660813570022583, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.8660813570022583, "grad_tau": 0.05737351253628731, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -6.964753150939941, "S_field": 0.4522303640842438, "Gamma_field": 0.17744629085063934, "S_over_Gamma": 2.5485477447509766, "Da": 10.440211296081543, "E_coh": 0.7513561844825745, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -72.58, 43.26 ], [ -72.56, 43.25 ], [ -72.52, 43.2 ], [ -72.53, 43.13 ], [ -72.54, 43.13 ], [ -72.57, 43.1 ], [ -72.59, 43.06 ], [ -72.62, 43.03 ], [ -72.66, 43.02 ], [ -72.71, 43.05 ], [ -72.71, 43.07 ], [ -72.72, 43.08 ], [ -72.72, 43.12 ], [ -72.7, 43.16 ], [ -72.62, 43.24 ], [ -72.58, 43.26 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.3582, "confidence_lo": 0.0029, "confidence_hi": 0.0031, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "e39e2081c4d8d401dc208a4a80feca80b9268dc9c99d82f5445f5f2ab6d95121", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.3582, "probability": 0.00309, "confidence_lo": 0.002884, "confidence_hi": 0.00309, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "90463da26263d1261cf75d203b08e66e605fbc00195c71eeea1cb79517af1573", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "3f4d1298b03eed7b9ff3932bdcfe36fc767d122c777c1afad5f4598aa7648fbc91f1a61a68f7b3f6a6b4bfe603ff41415c75213edf28d33495bc850bad52770f" } }, "receipt_sha256": "90463da26263d1261cf75d203b08e66e605fbc00195c71eeea1cb79517af1573" }, { "storm_id": "671868", "lat": 34.6977, "lon": -100.9608, "motion_east": 5.7, "motion_south": 0.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0031, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1206.0, "ebshear": 39.0, "srh01": 65.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.21, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 65.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 28.7991 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -5.3468 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.4156 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.3538 }, "coherence_score": 0.4155815839767456, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.4155815839767456, "grad_tau": 0.06428589671850204, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -5.346817970275879, "S_field": 0.6923548579216003, "Gamma_field": 0.9591130018234253, "S_over_Gamma": 0.721869945526123, "Da": 59.7176513671875, "E_coh": 0.5858232378959656, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -100.98, 34.75 ], [ -100.92, 34.75 ], [ -100.9, 34.73 ], [ -100.9, 34.7 ], [ -100.89, 34.68 ], [ -100.92, 34.64 ], [ -100.97, 34.64 ], [ -100.99, 34.66 ], [ -101.0, 34.66 ], [ -101.01, 34.68 ], [ -101.01, 34.71 ], [ -101.02, 34.72 ], [ -100.98, 34.75 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.3538, "confidence_lo": 0.0029, "confidence_hi": 0.0031, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "dde0986cffdd48504e1fb7a38a9a5b3ef00f95d528bf429d88564e1ca5d81ca7", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.3538, "probability": 0.00309, "confidence_lo": 0.002884, "confidence_hi": 0.00309, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "807103acadc17b12891577a5d5dbad18752d8dcab7fa335309f0b4f5bd66917c", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "21da7755afa0899c28ecb968cd479d4abce703dcfe1453c1375a729f2eb8a228632a24f497a08d9b0e6d77eae77ae7b7dc94eeaf0e63f606242dc97922283f02" } }, "receipt_sha256": "807103acadc17b12891577a5d5dbad18752d8dcab7fa335309f0b4f5bd66917c" }, { "storm_id": "671990", "lat": 40.8975, "lon": -75.9163, "motion_east": 3.7, "motion_south": -1.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0031, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 307.0, "ebshear": 19.0, "srh01": 106.0, "maxllaz": 0.0, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 106.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 47.1741 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -9.294 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.9971 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.0 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.3518 }, "coherence_score": 1.9971323013305664, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.9971323013305664, "grad_tau": 0.08151322603225708, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -9.293954849243164, "S_field": 0.6275820732116699, "Gamma_field": 0.1766129583120346, "S_over_Gamma": 3.553431749343872, "Da": 11.250892639160156, "E_coh": 0.5630422234535217, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -75.95, 40.93 ], [ -75.9, 40.93 ], [ -75.9, 40.91 ], [ -75.88, 40.89 ], [ -75.88, 40.86 ], [ -75.93, 40.86 ], [ -75.94, 40.87 ], [ -75.95, 40.93 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.3518, "confidence_lo": 0.0029, "confidence_hi": 0.0031, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "b49158a8e6b7fb20f7e6cca3e54a73330cf1e1b5bd578bcc4d4493a503825184", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.3518, "probability": 0.00309, "confidence_lo": 0.002884, "confidence_hi": 0.00309, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "5e0e67739575aec74ff9c81c54a1ed44caf916cd441cfea0f33f7345bb99fe94", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "40e5b924b87771b1a3b59c85ac2281d173edb92d84e7f0d4f16dce9ae4b08b3658fc528c210f702ab72ab0c66f8e99a28cc23d4f0b1179b8fb3035ee41957f03" } }, "receipt_sha256": "5e0e67739575aec74ff9c81c54a1ed44caf916cd441cfea0f33f7345bb99fe94" }, { "storm_id": "671989", "lat": 40.9733, "lon": -78.0156, "motion_east": 6.2, "motion_south": -3.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.003, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1161.0, "ebshear": 12.0, "srh01": 108.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 108.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 38.9241 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 2.9186 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.9546 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.003 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.3483 }, "coherence_score": 1.9546163082122803, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.9546163082122803, "grad_tau": 0.11078710108995438, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 2.918593168258667, "S_field": 0.4648226201534271, "Gamma_field": 0.21994628012180328, "S_over_Gamma": 2.1133460998535156, "Da": 13.643937110900879, "E_coh": 0.47823241353034973, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -78.03, 41.01 ], [ -77.98, 41.01 ], [ -77.98, 40.95 ], [ -78.0, 40.95 ], [ -78.01, 40.94 ], [ -78.03, 40.94 ], [ -78.04, 40.95 ], [ -78.04, 41.0 ], [ -78.03, 41.01 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.3483, "confidence_lo": 0.0029, "confidence_hi": 0.003, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "d80b44e7d0ee7c6e3bfc7bfd2410544115f44542ac5d4a7d94711d64ea1eca48", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.3483, "probability": 0.002971, "confidence_lo": 0.002884, "confidence_hi": 0.002971, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "4c4368acde1fd6e67c8d897d0da443d695f7679462ab7cd4ecebfaca3cf3c65a", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "e47baaaf8a61abbef00805a02dd3b6532c06bf2e2c69fddd32258183048cc88343d268227e2890b0044f8338c8028d275b5b8ee9280d64edb057f45a71200409" } }, "receipt_sha256": "4c4368acde1fd6e67c8d897d0da443d695f7679462ab7cd4ecebfaca3cf3c65a" }, { "storm_id": "671775", "lat": 38.83, "lon": -73.1469, "motion_east": 3.7, "motion_south": -1.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.003, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1905.0, "ebshear": 24.0, "srh01": 93.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.05, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 93.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 58.5491 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -0.4223 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 2.6563 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.3332 }, "coherence_score": 2.6563117504119873, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 2.6563117504119873, "grad_tau": 0.15544837713241577, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -0.42232322692871094, "S_field": 0.7688261270523071, "Gamma_field": 0.15911296010017395, "S_over_Gamma": 4.83195161819458, "Da": 9.751632690429688, "E_coh": 0.7946648597717285, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": false } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -73.12, 38.89 ], [ -73.08, 38.89 ], [ -73.05, 38.86 ], [ -73.05, 38.81 ], [ -73.07, 38.8 ], [ -73.1, 38.8 ], [ -73.11, 38.79 ], [ -73.14, 38.79 ], [ -73.15, 38.78 ], [ -73.26, 38.78 ], [ -73.25, 38.81 ], [ -73.23, 38.82 ], [ -73.23, 38.85 ], [ -73.21, 38.86 ], [ -73.18, 38.86 ], [ -73.12, 38.89 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.3332, "confidence_lo": 0.0029, "confidence_hi": 0.003, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "5d47f0fb45c4b3a4303a40a45e89254a7f971e9b39ca021e732a23cd01129eec", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.3332, "probability": 0.00296, "confidence_lo": 0.002884, "confidence_hi": 0.00296, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "673a5afb08ad31477648b959e50d84f54d77d1fe912f44755da256818e72470c", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "ede8ad2016704d0a7167ca7502a82586e0e49d37995f5829dcc794667abe9e90c808044effad28b2a8c322f2236158dea670b45a04d186af3129d46f2bc03504" } }, "receipt_sha256": "673a5afb08ad31477648b959e50d84f54d77d1fe912f44755da256818e72470c" }, { "storm_id": "671526", "lat": 41.8175, "lon": -75.8381, "motion_east": 5.0, "motion_south": -4.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.003, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 223.0, "ebshear": 11.0, "srh01": 163.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 163.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 42.7991 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -12.3575 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.8543 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.003 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.3323 }, "coherence_score": 1.8543274402618408, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.8543274402618408, "grad_tau": 0.19582843780517578, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -12.357481002807617, "S_field": 0.47343990206718445, "Gamma_field": 0.2524462938308716, "S_over_Gamma": 1.875408411026001, "Da": 15.41050910949707, "E_coh": 0.30978748202323914, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -75.86, 41.93 ], [ -75.82, 41.93 ], [ -75.8, 41.91 ], [ -75.8, 41.86 ], [ -75.79, 41.85 ], [ -75.79, 41.82 ], [ -75.78, 41.81 ], [ -75.78, 41.78 ], [ -75.79, 41.76 ], [ -75.84, 41.7 ], [ -75.88, 41.7 ], [ -75.9, 41.72 ], [ -75.9, 41.76 ], [ -75.91, 41.77 ], [ -75.91, 41.85 ], [ -75.86, 41.93 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.3323, "confidence_lo": 0.0029, "confidence_hi": 0.003, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "78de3c9bf89eb749d195941510283a2d7c0f09572d670f8b14c17d7dd64d7d1b", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.3323, "probability": 0.00296, "confidence_lo": 0.002884, "confidence_hi": 0.00296, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "22b759430322c6fe2fa1a21828f255b868085f4651e29af9738fbbe27acbe5ee", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "6c830dcb4f908c06e8ad3dce1993aefdc05556d0b036c64f582c99ebf576656a8e84e42ba8972127b075611d1883f6d411d128f3e940b8f1b2c35a59cf7b5f09" } }, "receipt_sha256": "22b759430322c6fe2fa1a21828f255b868085f4651e29af9738fbbe27acbe5ee" }, { "storm_id": "671967", "lat": 35.03, "lon": -100.7983, "motion_east": 5.9, "motion_south": 0.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.003, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 793.0, "ebshear": 36.0, "srh01": 43.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.22, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 43.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 28.7991 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -5.3468 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.4156 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.3308 }, "coherence_score": 0.4155815839767456, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.4155815839767456, "grad_tau": 0.06428589671850204, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -5.346817970275879, "S_field": 0.6923548579216003, "Gamma_field": 0.9591130018234253, "S_over_Gamma": 0.721869945526123, "Da": 59.7176513671875, "E_coh": 0.5858232378959656, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -100.83, 35.07 ], [ -100.79, 35.07 ], [ -100.78, 35.06 ], [ -100.76, 35.06 ], [ -100.75, 35.04 ], [ -100.75, 35.0 ], [ -100.77, 34.97 ], [ -100.81, 34.97 ], [ -100.83, 34.99 ], [ -100.84, 35.01 ], [ -100.84, 35.05 ], [ -100.83, 35.07 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.3308, "confidence_lo": 0.0029, "confidence_hi": 0.003, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "3852ae33e7e2d51ce62faf319e856633a00a46c4ea89a9aadf84722fec7e15be", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.3308, "probability": 0.00296, "confidence_lo": 0.002884, "confidence_hi": 0.00296, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "769e6cc1282e5310e3445935b312d127bfe5ec85a129e0962cd59125d1c926fc", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "fa6c763197d53aaed694dfe0d028bcc5e30d0b4cbabcd9d3eac1b2edcddad43f27605039f588b32091c9f156838aec1cdb0de51e3c531ab56767ff9a6ff95504" } }, "receipt_sha256": "769e6cc1282e5310e3445935b312d127bfe5ec85a129e0962cd59125d1c926fc" }, { "storm_id": "671928", "lat": 36.31, "lon": -77.9821, "motion_east": 3.7, "motion_south": -1.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.003, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 930.0, "ebshear": 22.0, "srh01": 73.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 73.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 49.6741 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 5.7609 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 2.1386 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.3295 }, "coherence_score": 2.1385750770568848, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 2.1385750770568848, "grad_tau": 0.36321061849594116, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 5.760883808135986, "S_field": 0.39555421471595764, "Gamma_field": 0.1624462902545929, "S_over_Gamma": 2.4349846839904785, "Da": 9.79561710357666, "E_coh": 0.44610610604286194, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": false } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -78.02, 36.38 ], [ -77.97, 36.38 ], [ -77.96, 36.37 ], [ -77.96, 36.35 ], [ -77.93, 36.31 ], [ -77.93, 36.23 ], [ -77.96, 36.23 ], [ -77.97, 36.22 ], [ -77.99, 36.24 ], [ -77.99, 36.27 ], [ -78.02, 36.31 ], [ -78.02, 36.33 ], [ -78.01, 36.34 ], [ -78.02, 36.38 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.3295, "confidence_lo": 0.0029, "confidence_hi": 0.003, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "691a176dcc5a8b07f6d5de388f13cf18bcdb7ceaaf91fa3013778299acb40e59", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.3295, "probability": 0.00296, "confidence_lo": 0.002884, "confidence_hi": 0.00296, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "46c5e37bd2da4b0a27603677dcb2356991e7c8e393d2551c65d4584b48a51d34", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "44ae904d78a4ac35a566e8fb039063866b38a778b74ff553d309b2f6a83e519100ab8ee5ff5adc895401e8b307894b965f5c9772c5a67588a261590286ea0f00" } }, "receipt_sha256": "46c5e37bd2da4b0a27603677dcb2356991e7c8e393d2551c65d4584b48a51d34" }, { "storm_id": "671982", "lat": 40.5458, "lon": -74.2583, "motion_east": 0.9, "motion_south": -4.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.003, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 295.0, "ebshear": 22.0, "srh01": 76.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 76.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 51.2991 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -6.1996 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.9572 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.329 }, "coherence_score": 1.9571514129638672, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.9571514129638672, "grad_tau": 0.08657528460025787, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -6.199556827545166, "S_field": 0.3317212462425232, "Gamma_field": 0.26994630694389343, "S_over_Gamma": 1.2288415431976318, "Da": 17.11801528930664, "E_coh": 0.22407501935958862, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -74.25, 40.6 ], [ -74.21, 40.6 ], [ -74.19, 40.58 ], [ -74.19, 40.55 ], [ -74.22, 40.52 ], [ -74.24, 40.52 ], [ -74.27, 40.5 ], [ -74.3, 40.5 ], [ -74.32, 40.51 ], [ -74.33, 40.52 ], [ -74.33, 40.55 ], [ -74.25, 40.6 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.329, "confidence_lo": 0.0029, "confidence_hi": 0.003, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "d53f3f53a33d2e0d57506b60b8e117a66aff243f963a9713683196cb1e3b9590", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.329, "probability": 0.00296, "confidence_lo": 0.002884, "confidence_hi": 0.00296, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ed1ecb404a8d3806500a15c23639d4af19a3d239c8535719e3760bc6d191ff2d", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "448addea91739e2b69edf0559f3fbe232545e95d0126f9e80239458880fe3b050078129f02b6b9ef5d08c00d2043f2ea69aeff2c1a2dddb963ff0af6c0e02606" } }, "receipt_sha256": "ed1ecb404a8d3806500a15c23639d4af19a3d239c8535719e3760bc6d191ff2d" }, { "storm_id": "671758", "lat": 35.995, "lon": -95.0984, "motion_east": 5.9, "motion_south": 3.2, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.003, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1820.0, "ebshear": 29.0, "srh01": 90.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.3, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 90.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 39.5491 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 1.4416 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.36 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.003 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.3168 }, "coherence_score": 0.3599807024002075, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.3599807024002075, "grad_tau": 0.06903945654630661, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 1.4415874481201172, "S_field": 0.4758037030696869, "Gamma_field": 1.7807796001434326, "S_over_Gamma": 0.2671884298324585, "Da": 116.06298828125, "E_coh": 0.24569839239120483, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -95.08, 36.11 ], [ -95.04, 36.1 ], [ -94.99, 36.05 ], [ -95.02, 36.02 ], [ -95.02, 36.01 ], [ -95.0, 35.99 ], [ -94.97, 35.99 ], [ -94.95, 36.01 ], [ -94.95, 36.04 ], [ -94.94, 36.06 ], [ -94.93, 36.07 ], [ -94.91, 36.07 ], [ -94.89, 36.09 ], [ -94.87, 36.09 ], [ -94.86, 36.08 ], [ -94.85, 36.06 ], [ -94.85, 36.02 ], [ -94.9, 35.98 ], [ -94.94, 35.98 ], [ -94.96, 35.96 ], [ -94.97, 35.93 ], [ -94.98, 35.93 ], [ -95.01, 35.9 ], [ -95.03, 35.89 ], [ -95.06, 35.89 ], [ -95.1, 35.87 ], [ -95.11, 35.88 ], [ -95.2, 35.88 ], [ -95.22, 35.9 ], [ -95.23, 35.9 ], [ -95.27, 35.87 ], [ -95.31, 35.87 ], [ -95.35, 35.9 ], [ -95.38, 35.91 ], [ -95.4, 35.93 ], [ -95.4, 35.99 ], [ -95.38, 36.01 ], [ -95.36, 36.02 ], [ -95.33, 36.02 ], [ -95.3, 36.04 ], [ -95.25, 36.04 ], [ -95.23, 36.03 ], [ -95.21, 35.99 ], [ -95.19, 35.97 ], [ -95.16, 36.0 ], [ -95.16, 36.02 ], [ -95.13, 36.08 ], [ -95.11, 36.1 ], [ -95.09, 36.1 ], [ -95.08, 36.11 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.3168, "confidence_lo": 0.0029, "confidence_hi": 0.003, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "a32081267f156f5298c052815d582b83c7ca4b31a2ebfa77ead40e8299995d3f", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.3168, "probability": 0.00296, "confidence_lo": 0.002884, "confidence_hi": 0.00296, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "75b8398e9bfbb5ac4e73a170d8d27a3fbe49436a997ebdb8c2fbbc6e5c8674da", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "e2cf2f9240c91d7687061c21dbac1219a4afbeaf7f170f333956c62c60e751d3cfc19c6669740826c5548e08c5ff35906a3ab132a59fc7bb5318d00f002c100e" } }, "receipt_sha256": "75b8398e9bfbb5ac4e73a170d8d27a3fbe49436a997ebdb8c2fbbc6e5c8674da" }, { "storm_id": "671843", "lat": 35.9567, "lon": -95.6811, "motion_east": 6.0, "motion_south": 3.2, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.003, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1726.0, "ebshear": 28.0, "srh01": 143.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.2, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 143.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 39.5491 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 1.4416 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.36 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.3168 }, "coherence_score": 0.3599807024002075, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.3599807024002075, "grad_tau": 0.06903945654630661, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 1.4415874481201172, "S_field": 0.4758037030696869, "Gamma_field": 1.7807796001434326, "S_over_Gamma": 0.2671884298324585, "Da": 116.06298828125, "E_coh": 0.24569839239120483, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -95.69, 35.99 ], [ -95.67, 35.99 ], [ -95.65, 35.97 ], [ -95.65, 35.93 ], [ -95.66, 35.92 ], [ -95.7, 35.92 ], [ -95.71, 35.93 ], [ -95.71, 35.97 ], [ -95.69, 35.99 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.3168, "confidence_lo": 0.0029, "confidence_hi": 0.003, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "a32081267f156f5298c052815d582b83c7ca4b31a2ebfa77ead40e8299995d3f", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.3168, "probability": 0.00296, "confidence_lo": 0.002884, "confidence_hi": 0.00296, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "75b8398e9bfbb5ac4e73a170d8d27a3fbe49436a997ebdb8c2fbbc6e5c8674da", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "e2cf2f9240c91d7687061c21dbac1219a4afbeaf7f170f333956c62c60e751d3cfc19c6669740826c5548e08c5ff35906a3ab132a59fc7bb5318d00f002c100e" } }, "receipt_sha256": "75b8398e9bfbb5ac4e73a170d8d27a3fbe49436a997ebdb8c2fbbc6e5c8674da" }, { "storm_id": "671177", "lat": 37.9577, "lon": -97.3697, "motion_east": 6.8, "motion_south": 1.3, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.003, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 99.0, "ebshear": 42.0, "srh01": 209.0, "maxllaz": 0.004, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 209.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 35.1741 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 14.0127 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.7067 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.004 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.3161 }, "coherence_score": 0.7066926956176758, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.7066926956176758, "grad_tau": 0.31604254245758057, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 14.012703895568848, "S_field": 0.4537273347377777, "Gamma_field": 0.20994628965854645, "S_over_Gamma": 2.161159038543701, "Da": 13.408553123474121, "E_coh": 0.8125386834144592, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 3, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -97.61, 38.06 ], [ -97.55, 38.06 ], [ -97.49, 38.03 ], [ -97.43, 38.03 ], [ -97.42, 38.02 ], [ -97.39, 38.02 ], [ -97.28, 37.97 ], [ -97.22, 37.97 ], [ -97.21, 37.96 ], [ -97.15, 37.95 ], [ -97.13, 37.93 ], [ -97.13, 37.9 ], [ -97.12, 37.88 ], [ -97.14, 37.88 ], [ -97.15, 37.87 ], [ -97.23, 37.87 ], [ -97.28, 37.9 ], [ -97.31, 37.9 ], [ -97.32, 37.91 ], [ -97.36, 37.91 ], [ -97.37, 37.92 ], [ -97.4, 37.92 ], [ -97.41, 37.93 ], [ -97.5, 37.93 ], [ -97.51, 37.94 ], [ -97.53, 37.94 ], [ -97.6, 37.99 ], [ -97.62, 38.03 ], [ -97.62, 38.05 ], [ -97.61, 38.06 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.3161, "confidence_lo": 0.0029, "confidence_hi": 0.003, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "79f22c044a5f75f8aa990fd63670fb08f539208e55633a79b4eddc7163a32ebf", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.3161, "probability": 0.00296, "confidence_lo": 0.002884, "confidence_hi": 0.00296, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f182ce30b51238fdeb1d15ae728e684791b6758eec04930b3968e657fc5731a8", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "65696af74fd858be492e92a971ae1a1657f4b05a8b3b380451b3f2bbccd00afac6fdeba29f34bb6e8c7feb4184c146dcd98445804c101d3e596bbb696d84510b" } }, "receipt_sha256": "f182ce30b51238fdeb1d15ae728e684791b6758eec04930b3968e657fc5731a8" }, { "storm_id": "671979", "lat": 43.2335, "lon": -72.1435, "motion_east": 6.4, "motion_south": 0.6, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.003, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 41.0, "ebshear": 17.0, "srh01": 167.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 167.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 42.1741 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -8.069 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.7803 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.3152 }, "coherence_score": 1.7802519798278809, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.7802519798278809, "grad_tau": 0.1375018209218979, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -8.06897258758545, "S_field": 0.4081099033355713, "Gamma_field": 0.18244628608226776, "S_over_Gamma": 2.236876964569092, "Da": 10.840609550476074, "E_coh": 0.7793511748313904, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -72.14, 43.29 ], [ -72.08, 43.29 ], [ -72.07, 43.28 ], [ -72.07, 43.21 ], [ -72.08, 43.2 ], [ -72.09, 43.2 ], [ -72.11, 43.18 ], [ -72.13, 43.18 ], [ -72.14, 43.19 ], [ -72.16, 43.18 ], [ -72.19, 43.2 ], [ -72.23, 43.21 ], [ -72.23, 43.25 ], [ -72.21, 43.27 ], [ -72.19, 43.28 ], [ -72.18, 43.27 ], [ -72.14, 43.29 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.3152, "confidence_lo": 0.0029, "confidence_hi": 0.003, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "452686c8f501f64e893d4ed2339f2fe4fbd3f7e4750aba0aa774dcb7a3eeac6c", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.3152, "probability": 0.00296, "confidence_lo": 0.002884, "confidence_hi": 0.00296, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "1afd1b12a809195bdb7fb5c829cbf85431cfe01931009504cb3e6cebcb148723", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "2628473cb4a5ef376b47720044cddb16c2d57720117395b793c4c988d6f4f683687c97c0a851608844cf709a1c6ed100045bbf7881671b668379dab3fe2f9a07" } }, "receipt_sha256": "1afd1b12a809195bdb7fb5c829cbf85431cfe01931009504cb3e6cebcb148723" }, { "storm_id": "671988", "lat": 41.4425, "lon": -75.3988, "motion_east": 3.8, "motion_south": -1.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.003, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 312.0, "ebshear": 13.0, "srh01": 121.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 121.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 47.1741 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -9.294 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.9971 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.3144 }, "coherence_score": 1.9971323013305664, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.9971323013305664, "grad_tau": 0.08151322603225708, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -9.293954849243164, "S_field": 0.6275820732116699, "Gamma_field": 0.1766129583120346, "S_over_Gamma": 3.553431749343872, "Da": 11.250892639160156, "E_coh": 0.5630422234535217, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -75.41, 41.47 ], [ -75.38, 41.47 ], [ -75.37, 41.45 ], [ -75.37, 41.42 ], [ -75.39, 41.4 ], [ -75.43, 41.41 ], [ -75.43, 41.45 ], [ -75.41, 41.47 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.3144, "confidence_lo": 0.0029, "confidence_hi": 0.003, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "6b4873617f7615eec0ab0a55a9d60703d25dbf05f17d5a899e4172ea390c029a", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.3144, "probability": 0.00296, "confidence_lo": 0.002884, "confidence_hi": 0.00296, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "e2fb4952498d46cf75e6d9b65762712627c399b8d74c1d17a4fe4e4172ffe6a6", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "46aa8917fa16eee2e229b0844e470245e9cafa5f86c9a447d784316bbe8bce5ec2ac85cdd92c9bdbdb2d9d9cbdb81986d09d565291c000ca2f2257a29797c105" } }, "receipt_sha256": "e2fb4952498d46cf75e6d9b65762712627c399b8d74c1d17a4fe4e4172ffe6a6" }, { "storm_id": "671980", "lat": 43.1957, "lon": -71.9914, "motion_east": 5.7, "motion_south": 0.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.003, "risk_band": "high", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 53.0, "ebshear": 19.0, "srh01": 170.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 170.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 42.1741 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -8.069 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.7803 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.3101 }, "coherence_score": 1.7802519798278809, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.7802519798278809, "grad_tau": 0.1375018209218979, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -8.06897258758545, "S_field": 0.4081099033355713, "Gamma_field": 0.18244628608226776, "S_over_Gamma": 2.236876964569092, "Da": 10.840609550476074, "E_coh": 0.7793511748313904, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -72.0, 43.22 ], [ -71.95, 43.22 ], [ -71.95, 43.19 ], [ -72.0, 43.15 ], [ -72.02, 43.17 ], [ -72.02, 43.2 ], [ -72.0, 43.22 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.3101, "confidence_lo": 0.0029, "confidence_hi": 0.003, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "47609a618a1052cfc0793a91d13ecb8557f215f80ad68772901a879b041ea7df", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.3101, "probability": 0.00296, "confidence_lo": 0.002884, "confidence_hi": 0.00296, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "7a7575d81d4ffb46beda8dd7784a2034333079c1e6c939b92b2660fd657ade87", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "55a89f7222d482e9cdc8071bffb341286b9f3b6187036744962a9d8e63f61137025ebcfc69bd72b130f4a6851ef1f95c600bcccf422510970fa35f28dff32101" } }, "receipt_sha256": "7a7575d81d4ffb46beda8dd7784a2034333079c1e6c939b92b2660fd657ade87" }, { "storm_id": "671101", "lat": 41.1783, "lon": -77.7917, "motion_east": 6.1, "motion_south": -3.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.003, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1024.0, "ebshear": 13.0, "srh01": 114.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 114.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 41.1741 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -0.1437 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 2.0101 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.2994 }, "coherence_score": 2.010068416595459, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 2.010068416595459, "grad_tau": 0.04954212158918381, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -0.14366865158081055, "S_field": 0.4961370825767517, "Gamma_field": 0.1532796174287796, "S_over_Gamma": 3.2368104457855225, "Da": 9.782048225402832, "E_coh": 0.5005688071250916, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": false } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 4, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -77.82, 41.22 ], [ -77.78, 41.22 ], [ -77.76, 41.2 ], [ -77.76, 41.18 ], [ -77.74, 41.16 ], [ -77.74, 41.15 ], [ -77.76, 41.14 ], [ -77.82, 41.14 ], [ -77.82, 41.15 ], [ -77.84, 41.17 ], [ -77.84, 41.19 ], [ -77.82, 41.22 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.2994, "confidence_lo": 0.0029, "confidence_hi": 0.003, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "ae4608461c392ff376924c8f05ba6177068f60bd5f6e6e646de0182642602b61", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.2994, "probability": 0.00296, "confidence_lo": 0.002884, "confidence_hi": 0.00296, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "265fdbd905aa72c9df61fdc8c3b5df95e93419811a19760f56859c811cfcf46a", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "a82cbbb81ac4aba2e0ea5f5a0620de5ef6622785fea3eae5174430b18cdeb5ac1bd52793bff234e35d1ba609074d19c9dd8da3e08146b4451cb84c1d2a59140f" } }, "receipt_sha256": "265fdbd905aa72c9df61fdc8c3b5df95e93419811a19760f56859c811cfcf46a" }, { "storm_id": "671903", "lat": 34.795, "lon": -100.563, "motion_east": 3.7, "motion_south": -1.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.003, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1364.0, "ebshear": 33.0, "srh01": 9.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.08, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 9.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 28.7991 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -5.3468 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.4156 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.2928 }, "coherence_score": 0.4155815839767456, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.4155815839767456, "grad_tau": 0.06428589671850204, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -5.346817970275879, "S_field": 0.6923548579216003, "Gamma_field": 0.9591130018234253, "S_over_Gamma": 0.721869945526123, "Da": 59.7176513671875, "E_coh": 0.5858232378959656, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -100.56, 34.84 ], [ -100.52, 34.83 ], [ -100.52, 34.79 ], [ -100.54, 34.75 ], [ -100.58, 34.75 ], [ -100.59, 34.76 ], [ -100.58, 34.78 ], [ -100.59, 34.79 ], [ -100.59, 34.82 ], [ -100.56, 34.84 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.2928, "confidence_lo": 0.0019, "confidence_hi": 0.003, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "661fb15348fa95d5d3cf3c41b4123ab812d22bf30ba94fe5199e7e59a720a37f", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.2928, "probability": 0.002957, "confidence_lo": 0.001915, "confidence_hi": 0.00296, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "3f360bda8ad3092d687f5c7fbc4d716555241fcd8b3f5f4e2b98250c6d990656", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "e515a75bb2a4d13a8a6fbc4c0331169321de66f1c7ab8ca605e0a4d62f98ca70fabcd37e7f7189220d96cf61dd9a0a5c3692fbc457622a17551226eb4a766207" } }, "receipt_sha256": "3f360bda8ad3092d687f5c7fbc4d716555241fcd8b3f5f4e2b98250c6d990656" }, { "storm_id": "671916", "lat": 41.382, "lon": -77.816, "motion_east": 5.6, "motion_south": -3.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.002, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 874.0, "ebshear": 13.0, "srh01": 143.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 143.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 41.1741 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -0.1437 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 2.0101 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.2798 }, "coherence_score": 2.010068416595459, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 2.010068416595459, "grad_tau": 0.04954212158918381, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -0.14366865158081055, "S_field": 0.4961370825767517, "Gamma_field": 0.1532796174287796, "S_over_Gamma": 3.2368104457855225, "Da": 9.782048225402832, "E_coh": 0.5005688071250916, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": false } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -77.82, 41.42 ], [ -77.77, 41.42 ], [ -77.76, 41.41 ], [ -77.76, 41.37 ], [ -77.8, 41.33 ], [ -77.85, 41.32 ], [ -77.87, 41.34 ], [ -77.87, 41.39 ], [ -77.84, 41.4 ], [ -77.82, 41.42 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.2798, "confidence_lo": 0.0019, "confidence_hi": 0.002, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "a90af82feaaf7f0495da8d8e21519dba86b29df4c1c7f8a213b7afd3b26272d0", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.2798, "probability": 0.00203, "confidence_lo": 0.001915, "confidence_hi": 0.00203, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "b2594ca119ab29de5405a2b4c6294040f20efefdd23166e8bc2291ff3b6d2483", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "744d8cd53c70c414aa0a647477a215056ae9b1cd42b8788ace16c6f5cae97a7101700f2cf2fcd898a8dba3fcdf69a2556451833ed7f44034c71cb61db5e55409" } }, "receipt_sha256": "b2594ca119ab29de5405a2b4c6294040f20efefdd23166e8bc2291ff3b6d2483" }, { "storm_id": "671663", "lat": 42.1413, "lon": -74.41, "motion_east": 3.7, "motion_south": -1.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.002, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 349.0, "ebshear": 10.0, "srh01": 158.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.04, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 158.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 46.1741 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -14.2345 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.7708 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.2732 }, "coherence_score": 1.7708442211151123, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.7708442211151123, "grad_tau": 0.09131965041160583, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -14.23448657989502, "S_field": 0.4119449257850647, "Gamma_field": 0.3807796537876129, "S_over_Gamma": 1.081845998764038, "Da": 22.348352432250977, "E_coh": 0.34337109327316284, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -74.46, 42.17 ], [ -74.42, 42.17 ], [ -74.41, 42.16 ], [ -74.37, 42.17 ], [ -74.36, 42.16 ], [ -74.33, 42.16 ], [ -74.33, 42.13 ], [ -74.35, 42.13 ], [ -74.39, 42.11 ], [ -74.42, 42.11 ], [ -74.43, 42.1 ], [ -74.46, 42.1 ], [ -74.48, 42.12 ], [ -74.48, 42.16 ], [ -74.46, 42.17 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.2732, "confidence_lo": 0.0019, "confidence_hi": 0.002, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "496e71698bcc16af3f7ec8dda78efa4e09aaf6ff166db62e2c630e81d4859a5b", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.2732, "probability": 0.00203, "confidence_lo": 0.001915, "confidence_hi": 0.00203, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ea6c9c974928e83899e26c5b16d76c0cf745437dfa7b0453813ff3e35241d080", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "89e44899d159d49de3d569f860569088b94c27e876e9969608692c6fed28c77ecf02d5bc2ce37fcd54049c4dbd01b34deb4c08725667c40b00445ae04fe93300" } }, "receipt_sha256": "ea6c9c974928e83899e26c5b16d76c0cf745437dfa7b0453813ff3e35241d080" }, { "storm_id": "671597", "lat": 41.6557, "lon": -76.7057, "motion_east": 3.7, "motion_south": -1.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0019, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 519.0, "ebshear": 18.0, "srh01": 167.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 167.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 36.5491 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -13.408 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.9504 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.2523 }, "coherence_score": 1.9503709077835083, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.9503709077835083, "grad_tau": 0.09018638730049133, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -13.408048629760742, "S_field": 0.5587235689163208, "Gamma_field": 0.16161295771598816, "S_over_Gamma": 3.4571707248687744, "Da": 9.976251602172852, "E_coh": 0.40115952491760254, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": false } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -76.68, 41.72 ], [ -76.64, 41.72 ], [ -76.64, 41.66 ], [ -76.65, 41.65 ], [ -76.69, 41.65 ], [ -76.72, 41.62 ], [ -76.73, 41.58 ], [ -76.77, 41.58 ], [ -76.78, 41.59 ], [ -76.78, 41.64 ], [ -76.72, 41.66 ], [ -76.7, 41.68 ], [ -76.7, 41.71 ], [ -76.68, 41.72 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.2523, "confidence_lo": 0.0019, "confidence_hi": 0.0019, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "fc080f8647f7506af11a17eab66d241afe2c27844f41ac3ccadfd8f6680bf2b1", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.2523, "probability": 0.001939, "confidence_lo": 0.001915, "confidence_hi": 0.001939, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "dfa1276d5cad1671df1092116e8290e14e7293d01d025a050dd0d33362a5accd", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "fc2efa4b0288463de151acf2d77f6979886272cb725a9d747bef730a4185538312be95524791f60427b85507200bb6c61ee5ba1bdfed390faaf445e8f5b0230b" } }, "receipt_sha256": "dfa1276d5cad1671df1092116e8290e14e7293d01d025a050dd0d33362a5accd" }, { "storm_id": "671042", "lat": 36.3811, "lon": -94.68, "motion_east": 4.2, "motion_south": 0.6, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0019, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1049.0, "ebshear": 28.0, "srh01": 47.0, "maxllaz": 0.006, "mesh": 0.12, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 47.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 41.1741 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -1.949 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.439 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.006 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.2467 }, "coherence_score": 0.43899261951446533, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.43899261951446533, "grad_tau": 0.07528972625732422, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -1.9489760398864746, "S_field": 0.5448445677757263, "Gamma_field": 1.3274462223052979, "S_over_Gamma": 0.4104456901550293, "Da": 86.33043670654297, "E_coh": 0.18576495349407196, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 4, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -94.69, 36.43 ], [ -94.65, 36.43 ], [ -94.64, 36.42 ], [ -94.64, 36.35 ], [ -94.67, 36.32 ], [ -94.7, 36.32 ], [ -94.72, 36.34 ], [ -94.72, 36.39 ], [ -94.69, 36.43 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.2467, "confidence_lo": 0.0019, "confidence_hi": 0.0019, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "ed19402bccce5e6853db18c871e5116ee2ea465a76a906f74e23ecadaa33b36c", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.2467, "probability": 0.001939, "confidence_lo": 0.001915, "confidence_hi": 0.001939, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "e5f8cf1c2f7071cc5639bf208ae7e2efe72a7066cffe792453fba5139d6730bf", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "de7365ddd3c954a942ca3dc89010e8d6b419afc3fc3d6aaed855656caf630cb74255fbe9d45920b27117ea83ce0a1d41f316fa15e984839fd7582c58ce294e0f" } }, "receipt_sha256": "e5f8cf1c2f7071cc5639bf208ae7e2efe72a7066cffe792453fba5139d6730bf" }, { "storm_id": "671854", "lat": 43.2586, "lon": -73.8371, "motion_east": 3.7, "motion_south": -1.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0019, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 207.0, "ebshear": 8.0, "srh01": 212.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 212.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 43.1741 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 15.858 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.881 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.2441 }, "coherence_score": 1.880963921546936, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.880963921546936, "grad_tau": 0.0397602804005146, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 15.857950210571289, "S_field": 0.5243657827377319, "Gamma_field": 0.16827961802482605, "S_over_Gamma": 3.1160385608673096, "Da": 9.770609855651855, "E_coh": 0.8370089530944824, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": false } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -73.84, 43.3 ], [ -73.79, 43.3 ], [ -73.79, 43.25 ], [ -73.84, 43.2 ], [ -73.88, 43.2 ], [ -73.88, 43.26 ], [ -73.84, 43.3 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.2441, "confidence_lo": 0.0019, "confidence_hi": 0.0019, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "b7c009ad9da6492daf38a48732ee5282d10b09a697faa89b33a161a88f943887", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.2441, "probability": 0.001939, "confidence_lo": 0.001915, "confidence_hi": 0.001939, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "58fdb09f6382380ab91cef7f8ebb7c86b0660cd3f9805b915b23b686fe4b5a1f", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "3ed832de06e94c7567352453e63b70ddbd4f9ef7dc384abd65f4c911e5b4a81e1d5e10042491959e68d78e72d4c302d4c20e0464008ea732caf7fdf9c5163703" } }, "receipt_sha256": "58fdb09f6382380ab91cef7f8ebb7c86b0660cd3f9805b915b23b686fe4b5a1f" }, { "storm_id": "671929", "lat": 35.8011, "lon": -94.9022, "motion_east": 5.3, "motion_south": 2.2, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0019, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1899.0, "ebshear": 22.0, "srh01": 33.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.33, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 33.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 41.1741 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -1.949 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.439 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.003 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.2426 }, "coherence_score": 0.43899261951446533, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.43899261951446533, "grad_tau": 0.07528972625732422, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -1.9489760398864746, "S_field": 0.5448445677757263, "Gamma_field": 1.3274462223052979, "S_over_Gamma": 0.4104456901550293, "Da": 86.33043670654297, "E_coh": 0.18576495349407196, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -94.92, 35.85 ], [ -94.89, 35.85 ], [ -94.86, 35.81 ], [ -94.86, 35.77 ], [ -94.88, 35.74 ], [ -94.91, 35.74 ], [ -94.94, 35.78 ], [ -94.94, 35.82 ], [ -94.92, 35.85 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.2426, "confidence_lo": 0.0019, "confidence_hi": 0.0019, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "fcd2984dd0822fc137e7495aadde307607883f433103a07f0447aae90cab6762", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.2426, "probability": 0.001939, "confidence_lo": 0.001915, "confidence_hi": 0.001939, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "d8fd408f3625db5981cd0c6a356a4e465f6966f65924791d7514567351368d1f", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "ed94e9d3698fae5e4d6cc75f6bc0fecd4ac5be6915a1dc936c574f172358a342a8d5461f0bed18e0caa70bd0125fdc93276093734107ee6d27cdfe035618970e" } }, "receipt_sha256": "d8fd408f3625db5981cd0c6a356a4e465f6966f65924791d7514567351368d1f" }, { "storm_id": "671962", "lat": 36.0909, "lon": -99.1827, "motion_east": 3.7, "motion_south": -1.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0019, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1231.0, "ebshear": 37.0, "srh01": 142.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.07, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 142.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 29.4241 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -11.2555 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.2826 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.003 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.2384 }, "coherence_score": 0.2825695872306824, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.2825695872306824, "grad_tau": 0.03888343647122383, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -11.255470275878906, "S_field": 0.4700964391231537, "Gamma_field": 2.0516128540039062, "S_over_Gamma": 0.22913506627082825, "Da": 126.19486236572266, "E_coh": 0.3211175203323364, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -99.2, 36.13 ], [ -99.19, 36.12 ], [ -99.16, 36.12 ], [ -99.13, 36.09 ], [ -99.13, 36.05 ], [ -99.15, 36.03 ], [ -99.19, 36.03 ], [ -99.22, 36.06 ], [ -99.23, 36.12 ], [ -99.21, 36.12 ], [ -99.2, 36.13 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.2384, "confidence_lo": 0.0019, "confidence_hi": 0.0019, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "f8028429522ec66c1e0d86004b96abb6ff3532f4ba5e04db61411900131f6d6c", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.2384, "probability": 0.001939, "confidence_lo": 0.001915, "confidence_hi": 0.001939, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "00df61736645b3c2b6773835103992c081dd998b73880a070fd095dd4921404d", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "1b60815733791b63201a4e44eba27ed08bc7731dfe2ad9a63ecafe72d7680f436964d97f754576d2b2fa93a348cc63a5aaaafec2850a256488d847cf4e050d07" } }, "receipt_sha256": "00df61736645b3c2b6773835103992c081dd998b73880a070fd095dd4921404d" }, { "storm_id": "671417", "lat": 35.945, "lon": -95.954, "motion_east": 4.9, "motion_south": 0.9, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0019, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1800.0, "ebshear": 34.0, "srh01": 101.0, "maxllaz": 0.004, "mesh": 0.09, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 101.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 36.9241 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 11.0123 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.3085 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.004 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.2345 }, "coherence_score": 0.30850857496261597, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.30850857496261597, "grad_tau": 0.050828736275434494, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 11.012279510498047, "S_field": 0.31129127740859985, "Gamma_field": 1.6249463558197021, "S_over_Gamma": 0.1915701925754547, "Da": 104.01043701171875, "E_coh": 0.12390052527189255, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 3, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -95.95, 35.98 ], [ -95.89, 35.97 ], [ -95.89, 35.92 ], [ -95.95, 35.89 ], [ -95.96, 35.9 ], [ -96.0, 35.91 ], [ -96.0, 35.96 ], [ -95.99, 35.97 ], [ -95.96, 35.97 ], [ -95.95, 35.98 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.2345, "confidence_lo": 0.0019, "confidence_hi": 0.0019, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "03199be1321b70d5e2b0fbda7ff66351ed5ba97431ab8d840a9650cf70e73e39", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.2345, "probability": 0.001939, "confidence_lo": 0.001915, "confidence_hi": 0.001939, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "51f74dd70b2f63c60ab984d6ac29f2749c0d35d211860be5a833f80db9048155", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "2bd84cfedbb3be760cf71dc059da6fd9e60a93ea3c448c018a17ad8f976878f3ebe99f03412497277295b689996508a7e07d803f1c9d9b63674e391d74655a0b" } }, "receipt_sha256": "51f74dd70b2f63c60ab984d6ac29f2749c0d35d211860be5a833f80db9048155" }, { "storm_id": "671653", "lat": 34.8477, "lon": -79.3886, "motion_east": 5.5, "motion_south": -3.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0019, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1690.0, "ebshear": 19.0, "srh01": 73.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 73.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 42.4241 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 3.5932 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.5864 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.233 }, "coherence_score": 1.5863996744155884, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.5863996744155884, "grad_tau": 0.151280015707016, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 3.5932347774505615, "S_field": 0.37897709012031555, "Gamma_field": 0.2274463027715683, "S_over_Gamma": 1.6662266254425049, "Da": 14.567551612854004, "E_coh": 0.7571828365325928, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -79.39, 34.98 ], [ -79.36, 34.98 ], [ -79.33, 34.94 ], [ -79.32, 34.92 ], [ -79.32, 34.84 ], [ -79.34, 34.82 ], [ -79.35, 34.79 ], [ -79.38, 34.77 ], [ -79.39, 34.75 ], [ -79.39, 34.72 ], [ -79.42, 34.71 ], [ -79.44, 34.72 ], [ -79.44, 34.75 ], [ -79.43, 34.76 ], [ -79.43, 34.79 ], [ -79.42, 34.8 ], [ -79.42, 34.86 ], [ -79.4, 34.89 ], [ -79.4, 34.95 ], [ -79.39, 34.96 ], [ -79.4, 34.97 ], [ -79.39, 34.98 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.233, "confidence_lo": 0.0019, "confidence_hi": 0.0019, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "98e39ea248f5866fb45387bcde2ad8ac3ae1d1c7b4beb36600becf92681bfef4", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.233, "probability": 0.001939, "confidence_lo": 0.001915, "confidence_hi": 0.001939, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "7f6575b7f6515b87bd8c728ea3027e1400956e271b9e9f334589c8a46ed292cf", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "0d3fdb86b65df69d607d2a385395d04fb617f6dd8dce3e850fd177ce062bde16e92c267208422ad6a3941f79086763a6b4cf902a9aefd5fe23c518fae69bcb00" } }, "receipt_sha256": "7f6575b7f6515b87bd8c728ea3027e1400956e271b9e9f334589c8a46ed292cf" }, { "storm_id": "671826", "lat": 36.4444, "lon": -99.34, "motion_east": 3.7, "motion_south": -1.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0019, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1154.0, "ebshear": 47.0, "srh01": 116.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.36, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 116.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 29.4241 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -11.2555 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.2826 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.23 }, "coherence_score": 0.2825695872306824, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.2825695872306824, "grad_tau": 0.03888343647122383, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -11.255470275878906, "S_field": 0.4700964391231537, "Gamma_field": 2.0516128540039062, "S_over_Gamma": 0.22913506627082825, "Da": 126.19486236572266, "E_coh": 0.3211175203323364, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -99.38, 36.48 ], [ -99.33, 36.48 ], [ -99.33, 36.47 ], [ -99.3, 36.45 ], [ -99.3, 36.41 ], [ -99.31, 36.4 ], [ -99.35, 36.4 ], [ -99.38, 36.43 ], [ -99.38, 36.48 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.23, "confidence_lo": 0.0019, "confidence_hi": 0.0019, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "59801288c8fafe908978bf77680cbba7e8b2f13f6b7ce2e4498f0d49c419afa3", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.23, "probability": 0.001939, "confidence_lo": 0.001915, "confidence_hi": 0.001939, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "16ff04b913e76dfa2191f32597bb1b3fc017548475a95815ec1c370f8be528ed", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "6eb0c506d661df1a5add60295db2f65e80a1f7da7c30b7657b46eb48b51e852c31a96272ca4599ddf9aad6b7efd45d547f7cdea93b6a6c62e05d1a47865d5206" } }, "receipt_sha256": "16ff04b913e76dfa2191f32597bb1b3fc017548475a95815ec1c370f8be528ed" }, { "storm_id": "671158", "lat": 36.8558, "lon": -94.7808, "motion_east": 3.9, "motion_south": 0.2, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0019, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 138.0, "ebshear": 27.0, "srh01": 90.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 90.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 40.1741 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 11.4199 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.416 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.2277 }, "coherence_score": 0.4160282611846924, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.4160282611846924, "grad_tau": 0.028648335486650467, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 11.419906616210938, "S_field": 0.46247220039367676, "Gamma_field": 1.3791128396987915, "S_over_Gamma": 0.33534035086631775, "Da": 88.22626495361328, "E_coh": 0.14508390426635742, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 3, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -94.81, 36.9 ], [ -94.76, 36.9 ], [ -94.74, 36.89 ], [ -94.73, 36.87 ], [ -94.73, 36.84 ], [ -94.74, 36.82 ], [ -94.76, 36.81 ], [ -94.81, 36.81 ], [ -94.82, 36.82 ], [ -94.83, 36.84 ], [ -94.83, 36.87 ], [ -94.81, 36.9 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.2277, "confidence_lo": 0.0019, "confidence_hi": 0.0019, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "818c6a537fdf03ae67f07be1d280871814433e80cf6e28696b334ea3cd249ab2", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.2277, "probability": 0.001939, "confidence_lo": 0.001915, "confidence_hi": 0.001939, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ad8c99a9b2ee4ccfd0fe132dbd6dc0bb3c25232760caf28af963eee37f80033b", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "05bb7846e3415b4a6a0d287c5b9b7dad54307f56f14ac4223d624ddbd96080f4d836abbe6d5742440669b4590973eb246cd3e3b0dd16c638f6c7b8b6600d1600" } }, "receipt_sha256": "ad8c99a9b2ee4ccfd0fe132dbd6dc0bb3c25232760caf28af963eee37f80033b" }, { "storm_id": "671993", "lat": 38.626, "lon": -98.027, "motion_east": 6.2, "motion_south": 0.6, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0019, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 440.0, "ebshear": 38.0, "srh01": 263.0, "maxllaz": 0.005, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 263.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 31.2991 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 12.4594 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.9014 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.005 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.2262 }, "coherence_score": 0.9014282822608948, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.9014282822608948, "grad_tau": 0.31833577156066895, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 12.459354400634766, "S_field": 0.30317264795303345, "Gamma_field": 0.20244628190994263, "S_over_Gamma": 1.4975461959838867, "Da": 13.02890682220459, "E_coh": 0.6638731956481934, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -98.07, 38.67 ], [ -98.01, 38.67 ], [ -98.04, 38.63 ], [ -98.02, 38.61 ], [ -98.0, 38.61 ], [ -97.96, 38.59 ], [ -97.98, 38.56 ], [ -98.06, 38.6 ], [ -98.06, 38.65 ], [ -98.07, 38.67 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.2262, "confidence_lo": 0.0019, "confidence_hi": 0.0019, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "e8864403952ce9aef4efe2e8980d75c87c2562672effc47d6a38f2bb442665c7", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.2262, "probability": 0.001939, "confidence_lo": 0.001915, "confidence_hi": 0.001939, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "3228839fed8d1ab3d3f44a67543794860b6d7107b6b27ddb027e5bf8bc48156c", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "c785bdd4756dd279a22d0719be4dbf7744aeda41eb1fcaab92689d8dfe08ca89ff900cb6fc798d4abd63a326b3b577cc6a20d7b5000f8d71d8d1516ecbee010d" } }, "receipt_sha256": "3228839fed8d1ab3d3f44a67543794860b6d7107b6b27ddb027e5bf8bc48156c" }, { "storm_id": "670775", "lat": 39.4791, "lon": -98.8873, "motion_east": 3.9, "motion_south": -1.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0019, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 884.0, "ebshear": 38.0, "srh01": 118.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.03, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 118.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 22.1741 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -0.2764 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.5481 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.003 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.2159 }, "coherence_score": 1.5480777025222778, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.5480777025222778, "grad_tau": 0.3199923038482666, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -0.2763659954071045, "S_field": 0.4213254451751709, "Gamma_field": 0.19161295890808105, "S_over_Gamma": 2.198835849761963, "Da": 12.813876152038574, "E_coh": 0.5401573777198792, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 5, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -98.91, 39.52 ], [ -98.88, 39.52 ], [ -98.85, 39.49 ], [ -98.85, 39.47 ], [ -98.84, 39.46 ], [ -98.85, 39.44 ], [ -98.89, 39.43 ], [ -98.92, 39.45 ], [ -98.93, 39.47 ], [ -98.93, 39.5 ], [ -98.91, 39.52 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.2159, "confidence_lo": 0.0019, "confidence_hi": 0.0019, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "e999f039887af4ff6e940f82f6642fee81f000d6a7159bc005223cf976b2f8f1", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.2159, "probability": 0.001939, "confidence_lo": 0.001915, "confidence_hi": 0.001939, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "a57095fe897a282192d2e66e23db43db1a57c32094ee54f483318c47404d6e8a", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "a8bf57335473757e5fa2f9d204a437fdc2757d3acd1d00e69627ace22d5bc4727674cc6b7dbf0f4448fa18dda84ecd703e45554b338184cec646e69cb4b1e201" } }, "receipt_sha256": "a57095fe897a282192d2e66e23db43db1a57c32094ee54f483318c47404d6e8a" }, { "storm_id": "671943", "lat": 36.1322, "lon": -77.9933, "motion_east": 3.7, "motion_south": -1.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0019, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1093.0, "ebshear": 18.0, "srh01": 62.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 62.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 49.6741 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 5.7609 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 2.1386 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.2127 }, "coherence_score": 2.1385750770568848, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 2.1385750770568848, "grad_tau": 0.36321061849594116, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 5.760883808135986, "S_field": 0.39555421471595764, "Gamma_field": 0.1624462902545929, "S_over_Gamma": 2.4349846839904785, "Da": 9.79561710357666, "E_coh": 0.44610610604286194, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": false } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -77.98, 36.18 ], [ -77.96, 36.18 ], [ -77.96, 36.1 ], [ -77.98, 36.09 ], [ -78.01, 36.09 ], [ -78.03, 36.11 ], [ -78.02, 36.12 ], [ -78.02, 36.14 ], [ -77.98, 36.18 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.2127, "confidence_lo": 0.0019, "confidence_hi": 0.0019, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "bbd4809ebd5257d56dbd1edff2f4f59d0b0d01dd2339252493f97a2672796a99", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.2127, "probability": 0.001939, "confidence_lo": 0.001915, "confidence_hi": 0.001939, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "115b70257c2ce602dd3fba959563f55fb6b5ef1573b01215ff7158094244b42a", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "e98aac3951b098e749ba9e6de5068f51b26e19cba1de11f81af2d381634dac961cf68bf5f60598f44c6c14fc2ba381819330b2038611529cf2220a7935823e00" } }, "receipt_sha256": "115b70257c2ce602dd3fba959563f55fb6b5ef1573b01215ff7158094244b42a" }, { "storm_id": "671920", "lat": 39.0, "lon": -96.5662, "motion_east": 3.7, "motion_south": -1.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0019, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 656.0, "ebshear": 37.0, "srh01": 79.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.07, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 79.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 35.2991 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 11.8027 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.2005 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.003 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.2096 }, "coherence_score": 1.2005407810211182, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.2005407810211182, "grad_tau": 0.257539838552475, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 11.80269718170166, "S_field": 0.2708190679550171, "Gamma_field": 0.2066129595041275, "S_over_Gamma": 1.3107554912567139, "Da": 13.37665843963623, "E_coh": 0.3845873773097992, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -96.58, 39.03 ], [ -96.55, 39.03 ], [ -96.52, 39.0 ], [ -96.54, 38.96 ], [ -96.58, 38.96 ], [ -96.59, 38.97 ], [ -96.59, 39.02 ], [ -96.58, 39.03 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.2096, "confidence_lo": 0.0019, "confidence_hi": 0.0019, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "d97b41c5a8af2d273a7d79a41e84eb21bc55c9a9583028e2605b3b92456d96f4", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.2096, "probability": 0.001939, "confidence_lo": 0.001915, "confidence_hi": 0.001939, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ce5863d984a79e5fe88d4c99f068077bf16074b8d15ba19976a53fc7973f7457", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "60398de1ebe71a3eb012b43bd0ecd6e7a3f899b70bc0cc42fe90f8bb793b96a049c83113e86481f9c80c859c36a6e26463e02feebac24160942dc00902d0bf09" } }, "receipt_sha256": "ce5863d984a79e5fe88d4c99f068077bf16074b8d15ba19976a53fc7973f7457" }, { "storm_id": "671986", "lat": 36.657, "lon": -96.887, "motion_east": 3.7, "motion_south": -1.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0019, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 683.0, "ebshear": 37.0, "srh01": 148.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.25, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 148.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 34.1741 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 22.3192 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.3862 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.003 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.2091 }, "coherence_score": 0.38622671365737915, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.38622671365737915, "grad_tau": 0.21626868844032288, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 22.31917953491211, "S_field": 0.5177886486053467, "Gamma_field": 1.919946312904358, "S_over_Gamma": 0.26968914270401, "Da": 125.52289581298828, "E_coh": 0.2788693904876709, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -96.91, 36.7 ], [ -96.86, 36.68 ], [ -96.85, 36.66 ], [ -96.85, 36.64 ], [ -96.86, 36.63 ], [ -96.88, 36.62 ], [ -96.91, 36.62 ], [ -96.92, 36.63 ], [ -96.92, 36.69 ], [ -96.91, 36.7 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.2091, "confidence_lo": 0.0019, "confidence_hi": 0.0019, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "92ec16da5e26d78b67e0300c8aa628acd16bfa035374ce197011f622cacf5764", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.2091, "probability": 0.001939, "confidence_lo": 0.001915, "confidence_hi": 0.001939, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "d615b92ab9c420c244fb38c249504b0330bb75267a21a8ca570d424c947c6ea9", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "a597ce6b8db5c6fd29e44fa471b87c1c977ea3e13d869fd433e2d6c968e1a7bd5d906966231314327f9b21f0a04fb981ab03e8cfcc95e5220f2df53833b43b0d" } }, "receipt_sha256": "d615b92ab9c420c244fb38c249504b0330bb75267a21a8ca570d424c947c6ea9" }, { "storm_id": "671519", "lat": 35.9933, "lon": -96.4856, "motion_east": 3.7, "motion_south": -1.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0019, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 2462.0, "ebshear": 32.0, "srh01": 157.0, "maxllaz": 0.006, "mesh": 0.34, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 157.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 36.9241 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 11.0123 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.3085 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.006 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.2089 }, "coherence_score": 0.30850857496261597, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.30850857496261597, "grad_tau": 0.050828736275434494, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 11.012279510498047, "S_field": 0.31129127740859985, "Gamma_field": 1.6249463558197021, "S_over_Gamma": 0.1915701925754547, "Da": 104.01043701171875, "E_coh": 0.12390052527189255, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -96.5, 36.03 ], [ -96.45, 36.03 ], [ -96.43, 36.01 ], [ -96.43, 35.97 ], [ -96.46, 35.95 ], [ -96.52, 35.95 ], [ -96.54, 35.97 ], [ -96.54, 36.0 ], [ -96.5, 36.03 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.2089, "confidence_lo": 0.0019, "confidence_hi": 0.0019, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "932706926b2a41a16bbe734e0767f2eafbdfa93389413498890ba94d94fd2f86", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.2089, "probability": 0.001939, "confidence_lo": 0.001915, "confidence_hi": 0.001939, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "b9bcaa3bea76d2333f2c02cdc81d1d6261da0c9afa6621daddcc9bbff9efff50", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "1745d8e36b27568b31e359c7afcafa0c7b16f057cc9f1ce77d7316e4d711d072b25c671cb46cfc1a7495ab7fd1920c1b771c22221934b7747b5cd0689d74e005" } }, "receipt_sha256": "b9bcaa3bea76d2333f2c02cdc81d1d6261da0c9afa6621daddcc9bbff9efff50" }, { "storm_id": "671900", "lat": 36.0663, "lon": -96.3062, "motion_east": 3.7, "motion_south": -1.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0019, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 2604.0, "ebshear": 33.0, "srh01": 163.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 163.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 36.9241 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 11.0123 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.3085 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.2089 }, "coherence_score": 0.30850857496261597, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.30850857496261597, "grad_tau": 0.050828736275434494, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 11.012279510498047, "S_field": 0.31129127740859985, "Gamma_field": 1.6249463558197021, "S_over_Gamma": 0.1915701925754547, "Da": 104.01043701171875, "E_coh": 0.12390052527189255, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -96.32, 36.09 ], [ -96.29, 36.09 ], [ -96.27, 36.08 ], [ -96.27, 36.03 ], [ -96.32, 36.03 ], [ -96.33, 36.04 ], [ -96.33, 36.08 ], [ -96.32, 36.09 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.2089, "confidence_lo": 0.0019, "confidence_hi": 0.0019, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "932706926b2a41a16bbe734e0767f2eafbdfa93389413498890ba94d94fd2f86", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.2089, "probability": 0.001939, "confidence_lo": 0.001915, "confidence_hi": 0.001939, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "b9bcaa3bea76d2333f2c02cdc81d1d6261da0c9afa6621daddcc9bbff9efff50", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "1745d8e36b27568b31e359c7afcafa0c7b16f057cc9f1ce77d7316e4d711d072b25c671cb46cfc1a7495ab7fd1920c1b771c22221934b7747b5cd0689d74e005" } }, "receipt_sha256": "b9bcaa3bea76d2333f2c02cdc81d1d6261da0c9afa6621daddcc9bbff9efff50" }, { "storm_id": "671992", "lat": 39.1378, "lon": -96.75, "motion_east": 3.7, "motion_south": -1.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0019, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 591.0, "ebshear": 36.0, "srh01": 86.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 86.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 35.2991 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 11.8027 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.2005 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.003 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.2086 }, "coherence_score": 1.2005407810211182, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.2005407810211182, "grad_tau": 0.257539838552475, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 11.80269718170166, "S_field": 0.2708190679550171, "Gamma_field": 0.2066129595041275, "S_over_Gamma": 1.3107554912567139, "Da": 13.37665843963623, "E_coh": 0.3845873773097992, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -96.76, 39.17 ], [ -96.73, 39.17 ], [ -96.72, 39.16 ], [ -96.72, 39.11 ], [ -96.73, 39.1 ], [ -96.77, 39.1 ], [ -96.78, 39.11 ], [ -96.78, 39.15 ], [ -96.76, 39.17 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.2086, "confidence_lo": 0.0019, "confidence_hi": 0.0019, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "3b126864551639e72c99f3446600528a7403d3dbcc481b9f86ad5f6e96f20c8d", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.2086, "probability": 0.001939, "confidence_lo": 0.001915, "confidence_hi": 0.001939, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "290ec3f987fdb91fd8ed4ec4011f673705cf8680c008fd6f641d7220e9fd060b", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "77573a2dcdd952578951c2cf7e75c3341e76e1737233fbd451c21515639b6bf6f97dc0893edb19929fcce859d303eb94f3321517fc8ff613e6076a61430e9506" } }, "receipt_sha256": "290ec3f987fdb91fd8ed4ec4011f673705cf8680c008fd6f641d7220e9fd060b" }, { "storm_id": "671985", "lat": 36.6638, "lon": -99.82, "motion_east": 3.7, "motion_south": -1.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0019, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 502.0, "ebshear": 41.0, "srh01": 121.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.04, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 121.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 25.0491 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -5.8583 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.3005 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1993 }, "coherence_score": 0.30045658349990845, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.30045658349990845, "grad_tau": 0.07231751829385757, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -5.858255863189697, "S_field": 0.3439151346683502, "Gamma_field": 1.6999462842941284, "S_over_Gamma": 0.20230941474437714, "Da": 110.63975524902344, "E_coh": 0.20151463150978088, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -99.83, 36.7 ], [ -99.78, 36.7 ], [ -99.78, 36.64 ], [ -99.79, 36.63 ], [ -99.83, 36.62 ], [ -99.86, 36.64 ], [ -99.86, 36.68 ], [ -99.83, 36.7 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1993, "confidence_lo": 0.0019, "confidence_hi": 0.0019, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "103e1a8ec265fa2d95637a3d585bc51327854946edcc2628fd2fa89bf6da5405", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.1993, "probability": 0.001939, "confidence_lo": 0.001915, "confidence_hi": 0.001939, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "39bae1ea367b3bed9b464f9772d6149b2d5604d451ed293654b32d1f2cc93cbd", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "ba51171358fcda83fc74ada3a75e75d242087978f09ad2a08419b290396c2dd452995b5e0cbb43f9f8649881a44fd4bcd24a852d29d2eb0f2d065d6bd71be505" } }, "receipt_sha256": "39bae1ea367b3bed9b464f9772d6149b2d5604d451ed293654b32d1f2cc93cbd" }, { "storm_id": "671977", "lat": 47.08, "lon": -117.5647, "motion_east": -4.0, "motion_south": -9.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0019, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 10.0, "ebshear": 8.0, "srh01": 115.0, "maxllaz": 0.004, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 115.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 23.4241 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -0.3795 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.7091 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.004 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1987 }, "coherence_score": 0.7090603113174438, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.7090603113174438, "grad_tau": 0.16993549466133118, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -0.37946072220802307, "S_field": 0.11230681836605072, "Gamma_field": 0.1716129630804062, "S_over_Gamma": 0.6544191837310791, "Da": 10.07121753692627, "E_coh": 0.5231328010559082, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -117.63, 47.12 ], [ -117.59, 47.11 ], [ -117.57, 47.09 ], [ -117.54, 47.09 ], [ -117.53, 47.1 ], [ -117.5, 47.1 ], [ -117.49, 47.11 ], [ -117.47, 47.1 ], [ -117.5, 47.04 ], [ -117.52, 47.02 ], [ -117.54, 47.02 ], [ -117.58, 47.04 ], [ -117.6, 47.06 ], [ -117.63, 47.06 ], [ -117.64, 47.07 ], [ -117.64, 47.11 ], [ -117.63, 47.12 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1987, "confidence_lo": 0.0019, "confidence_hi": 0.0019, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "248750b2914a4e9ccca4aee810607796f3a5fd62adcd50aa60cc929c16b62e7d", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.1987, "probability": 0.001939, "confidence_lo": 0.001915, "confidence_hi": 0.001939, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "372330f3fc3d75cfe4de5f9cb3060a973c7a392ed6a4bce583186e0a27af82d8", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "9c430a3817e16f6260359ef86fd8a860f9cccbd41959ce4b43b5022229e61b858c7e6750f2df1e7ab78d8dd1f15ba589f619044e4ab6a1e311f436c7bdfe5c0f" } }, "receipt_sha256": "372330f3fc3d75cfe4de5f9cb3060a973c7a392ed6a4bce583186e0a27af82d8" }, { "storm_id": "671749", "lat": 47.4954, "lon": -117.6778, "motion_east": -5.0, "motion_south": -9.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0019, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 10.0, "ebshear": 6.0, "srh01": 145.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 145.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 26.2991 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 0.6665 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.5259 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.003 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1967 }, "coherence_score": 0.525892972946167, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.525892972946167, "grad_tau": 0.19731822609901428, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.6664748787879944, "S_field": 0.19090542197227478, "Gamma_field": 0.41327965259552, "S_over_Gamma": 0.46192795038223267, "Da": 24.382413864135742, "E_coh": 0.289425790309906, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -117.56, 47.66 ], [ -117.51, 47.66 ], [ -117.49, 47.65 ], [ -117.46, 47.62 ], [ -117.46, 47.59 ], [ -117.45, 47.58 ], [ -117.46, 47.57 ], [ -117.45, 47.55 ], [ -117.47, 47.53 ], [ -117.46, 47.51 ], [ -117.47, 47.51 ], [ -117.49, 47.49 ], [ -117.49, 47.47 ], [ -117.47, 47.45 ], [ -117.47, 47.44 ], [ -117.49, 47.42 ], [ -117.49, 47.37 ], [ -117.5, 47.36 ], [ -117.51, 47.31 ], [ -117.55, 47.28 ], [ -117.59, 47.29 ], [ -117.61, 47.31 ], [ -117.62, 47.35 ], [ -117.63, 47.36 ], [ -117.61, 47.39 ], [ -117.61, 47.44 ], [ -117.6, 47.45 ], [ -117.6, 47.47 ], [ -117.62, 47.5 ], [ -117.66, 47.5 ], [ -117.67, 47.48 ], [ -117.7, 47.48 ], [ -117.73, 47.45 ], [ -117.76, 47.44 ], [ -117.78, 47.41 ], [ -117.78, 47.39 ], [ -117.79, 47.4 ], [ -117.81, 47.4 ], [ -117.82, 47.42 ], [ -117.86, 47.44 ], [ -117.88, 47.43 ], [ -117.91, 47.43 ], [ -117.92, 47.42 ], [ -117.96, 47.42 ], [ -117.99, 47.46 ], [ -117.99, 47.48 ], [ -117.97, 47.51 ], [ -117.97, 47.53 ], [ -117.95, 47.55 ], [ -117.95, 47.56 ], [ -117.94, 47.56 ], [ -117.93, 47.58 ], [ -117.9, 47.6 ], [ -117.8, 47.6 ], [ -117.77, 47.58 ], [ -117.75, 47.59 ], [ -117.75, 47.58 ], [ -117.73, 47.57 ], [ -117.72, 47.58 ], [ -117.7, 47.58 ], [ -117.66, 47.6 ], [ -117.63, 47.64 ], [ -117.61, 47.65 ], [ -117.57, 47.65 ], [ -117.56, 47.66 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1967, "confidence_lo": 0.0019, "confidence_hi": 0.0019, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "c5b30722e0f73d70af5a426acea528385ddbb18828d48192ef87b53b6dd42199", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.1967, "probability": 0.001939, "confidence_lo": 0.001915, "confidence_hi": 0.001939, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "46cc70d616205bdaa238517d8bd1c2b6d2dc52ce2e9976402ff3255d2bd0fafc", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "4bad23581cc18e04d3ed8433a57919921146d73f160bcdb93c0e54158c7b21136e8f7c928f34003df455bc54bfc1753204f8be0a1914dbdedcdc489c50c4460b" } }, "receipt_sha256": "46cc70d616205bdaa238517d8bd1c2b6d2dc52ce2e9976402ff3255d2bd0fafc" }, { "storm_id": "671960", "lat": 38.2223, "lon": -96.0154, "motion_east": 3.7, "motion_south": -1.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0019, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 885.0, "ebshear": 41.0, "srh01": 82.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 82.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 36.7991 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 14.9369 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.9293 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.003 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1945 }, "coherence_score": 0.9292502403259277, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.9292502403259277, "grad_tau": 0.36635076999664307, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 14.936949729919434, "S_field": 0.359452486038208, "Gamma_field": 0.2016129493713379, "S_over_Gamma": 1.782883882522583, "Da": 12.747376441955566, "E_coh": 0.6753213405609131, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -96.04, 38.28 ], [ -95.99, 38.28 ], [ -95.96, 38.25 ], [ -95.93, 38.19 ], [ -95.93, 38.16 ], [ -95.94, 38.15 ], [ -96.02, 38.16 ], [ -96.07, 38.19 ], [ -96.08, 38.21 ], [ -96.07, 38.22 ], [ -96.07, 38.25 ], [ -96.06, 38.27 ], [ -96.04, 38.28 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1945, "confidence_lo": 0.0019, "confidence_hi": 0.0019, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "0a57c35466aa461b628745cb8419eecd2b3fc508d5dd40388a0e0dbea570bdde", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.1945, "probability": 0.001939, "confidence_lo": 0.001915, "confidence_hi": 0.001939, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "dbd40d60ae50ac663821e170357e5bb42be9138da7838f3c929e03bf41deb048", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "c493f4dad26def59ebbda7aaf6442346ebea5911aeb6639b958b6232ea173818c25b78358deefbaa58d0f60a44376d2e568f502bba90b436eff4027f69c11c09" } }, "receipt_sha256": "dbd40d60ae50ac663821e170357e5bb42be9138da7838f3c929e03bf41deb048" }, { "storm_id": "671862", "lat": 38.23, "lon": -74.5589, "motion_east": 3.8, "motion_south": -1.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0019, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1793.0, "ebshear": 18.0, "srh01": 78.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.07, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 78.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 57.9241 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 4.2461 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 2.3012 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1937 }, "coherence_score": 2.3011600971221924, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 2.3011600971221924, "grad_tau": 0.2556679844856262, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 4.246074199676514, "S_field": 0.5362465977668762, "Gamma_field": 0.1649462878704071, "S_over_Gamma": 3.25103759765625, "Da": 10.060554504394531, "E_coh": 0.708484411239624, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -74.57, 38.27 ], [ -74.54, 38.27 ], [ -74.52, 38.25 ], [ -74.52, 38.2 ], [ -74.54, 38.18 ], [ -74.57, 38.18 ], [ -74.6, 38.21 ], [ -74.6, 38.24 ], [ -74.57, 38.27 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1937, "confidence_lo": 0.0019, "confidence_hi": 0.0019, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "ecba7e6fecc8a81e3aa3fb20873bae545eae9ee10538445e7e95b37d3f997ac8", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.1937, "probability": 0.001939, "confidence_lo": 0.001915, "confidence_hi": 0.001939, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "21d558c304d9c7c040fb133e5f54765820e1fd469b62d19b6367e3c5680557a2", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "939ad8053985ec50727f7238f0a4c5009f61c898d11d30630dc2fa6f8de9e605818c605e3e1ed47b23cbcc040a305f5612a5f7ed9539522b8dbdddf4bd69da0b" } }, "receipt_sha256": "21d558c304d9c7c040fb133e5f54765820e1fd469b62d19b6367e3c5680557a2" }, { "storm_id": "671975", "lat": 47.7994, "lon": -75.5644, "motion_east": 3.7, "motion_south": -1.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0019, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 148.0, "ebshear": 40.0, "srh01": 140.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.11, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 140.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 32.2991 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -4.6317 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.1617 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1919 }, "coherence_score": 1.161658763885498, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.161658763885498, "grad_tau": 0.4023202061653137, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -4.631695747375488, "S_field": 0.4797670245170593, "Gamma_field": 0.16827961802482605, "S_over_Gamma": 2.851010799407959, "Da": 8.833479881286621, "E_coh": 0.25528913736343384, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": false } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -75.54, 47.87 ], [ -75.48, 47.87 ], [ -75.47, 47.86 ], [ -75.46, 47.84 ], [ -75.47, 47.76 ], [ -75.53, 47.73 ], [ -75.58, 47.72 ], [ -75.59, 47.71 ], [ -75.64, 47.71 ], [ -75.64, 47.76 ], [ -75.65, 47.77 ], [ -75.65, 47.79 ], [ -75.63, 47.83 ], [ -75.59, 47.85 ], [ -75.57, 47.85 ], [ -75.54, 47.87 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1919, "confidence_lo": 0.0019, "confidence_hi": 0.0019, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "e1524105fa084bf61a4005593176004cc04d5f128ae9db1dae2cb14c8619cc60", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.1919, "probability": 0.001939, "confidence_lo": 0.001915, "confidence_hi": 0.001939, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "80179a6258709849ac8ff3367a7e37cc2f8ff6322353b931719ecd8e8bf245fe", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "6051e651e901d7e07f957eb83fc15c7da566d1ea5e37fd485b1dca8422cabadfcc3ea4496dc8d3eb7838b040971ba0357e0c013821810da670d36cc04d742905" } }, "receipt_sha256": "80179a6258709849ac8ff3367a7e37cc2f8ff6322353b931719ecd8e8bf245fe" }, { "storm_id": "671994", "lat": 37.9325, "lon": -95.8625, "motion_east": 3.8, "motion_south": -1.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0019, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 671.0, "ebshear": 35.0, "srh01": 79.0, "maxllaz": 0.0, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 79.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 38.7991 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 12.891 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.4725 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.0 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1848 }, "coherence_score": 0.47245344519615173, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.47245344519615173, "grad_tau": 0.2851448953151703, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 12.891035079956055, "S_field": 0.4821069836616516, "Gamma_field": 2.631612777709961, "S_over_Gamma": 0.18319830298423767, "Da": 168.79127502441406, "E_coh": 0.5762428641319275, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -95.85, 37.97 ], [ -95.83, 37.95 ], [ -95.83, 37.91 ], [ -95.85, 37.9 ], [ -95.89, 37.9 ], [ -95.9, 37.91 ], [ -95.9, 37.95 ], [ -95.85, 37.97 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1848, "confidence_lo": 0.0019, "confidence_hi": 0.0019, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "e5b7bae216ad0b9e2d707f046922f0b70d37e28a7023e871480f1b1c2317fc7a", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.1848, "probability": 0.001939, "confidence_lo": 0.001915, "confidence_hi": 0.001939, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "464fc858da17cba2af8e4b3e4289bed2d704a2a60a4222b3bbe6c5bd13eeeb6d", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "f1eac1efa0a3d7268a87707b91cf5eb8a19d689a8b060f031d0ae071646eb106e4ce4acbdba587438fb54760b38a24eef6067964f26a32cd69715368179f9709" } }, "receipt_sha256": "464fc858da17cba2af8e4b3e4289bed2d704a2a60a4222b3bbe6c5bd13eeeb6d" }, { "storm_id": "671961", "lat": 36.6533, "lon": -99.3778, "motion_east": 3.7, "motion_south": -1.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0019, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1123.0, "ebshear": 41.0, "srh01": 151.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.08, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 151.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 29.2991 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 9.7265 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.2806 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.003 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1676 }, "coherence_score": 0.2806011140346527, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.2806011140346527, "grad_tau": 0.13284985721111298, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 9.726485252380371, "S_field": 0.33444032073020935, "Gamma_field": 2.815779685974121, "S_over_Gamma": 0.11877360939979553, "Da": 174.7261505126953, "E_coh": 0.21255768835544586, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -99.4, 36.68 ], [ -99.35, 36.68 ], [ -99.34, 36.67 ], [ -99.34, 36.65 ], [ -99.37, 36.61 ], [ -99.38, 36.62 ], [ -99.41, 36.62 ], [ -99.41, 36.67 ], [ -99.4, 36.68 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1676, "confidence_lo": 0.0019, "confidence_hi": 0.0019, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "6abea0434a63c0586b4f2ba57d176769bcb76004d25a386deebe865a1b89baf7", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.1676, "probability": 0.001939, "confidence_lo": 0.001915, "confidence_hi": 0.001939, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ff420f92b2677303e55ca45b9a08e634dd5306ebf39fc9f790a2f2907961129a", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "b3db18e477ac9a81df07ce18efa102211762c88cd283eb42efe0e0578cd89cf28e29d8ccafb8b977b3c7688965eef44a05f53603bf6cca5e451754fd2ba53b0e" } }, "receipt_sha256": "ff420f92b2677303e55ca45b9a08e634dd5306ebf39fc9f790a2f2907961129a" }, { "storm_id": "671413", "lat": 37.7914, "lon": -77.1618, "motion_east": 9.5, "motion_south": -5.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0019, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1389.0, "ebshear": 13.0, "srh01": 59.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.04, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 59.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 44.2991 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 4.6825 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.8938 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.003 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.166 }, "coherence_score": 1.8938323259353638, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.8938323259353638, "grad_tau": 0.1630367785692215, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 4.682467937469482, "S_field": 0.24365758895874023, "Gamma_field": 0.19911295175552368, "S_over_Gamma": 1.2237154245376587, "Da": 11.745148658752441, "E_coh": 0.503678560256958, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 3, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -77.13, 37.89 ], [ -77.08, 37.89 ], [ -77.06, 37.87 ], [ -77.05, 37.83 ], [ -77.04, 37.82 ], [ -77.04, 37.76 ], [ -77.05, 37.75 ], [ -77.07, 37.75 ], [ -77.11, 37.73 ], [ -77.14, 37.73 ], [ -77.15, 37.72 ], [ -77.17, 37.73 ], [ -77.22, 37.73 ], [ -77.23, 37.74 ], [ -77.3, 37.74 ], [ -77.31, 37.75 ], [ -77.31, 37.78 ], [ -77.29, 37.8 ], [ -77.28, 37.8 ], [ -77.22, 37.85 ], [ -77.18, 37.86 ], [ -77.13, 37.89 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.166, "confidence_lo": 0.0019, "confidence_hi": 0.0019, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "5d7e5e3cb2dbb2539cab930c0fb90b27346a8d691de60370d8d0ffa54ecbacdb", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.166, "probability": 0.001939, "confidence_lo": 0.001915, "confidence_hi": 0.001939, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "a3f9bd480d7d5daea8345f59609efa8f581cb21475c38cf70cf8354bda2b4b33", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "411ab3e95697fc3b59c47dee70feafa44abbc26a901e7921127f0415114c33cc4395a5c6cbda9c26589ab711d51c3a6638423069ac8b0ccb6027ecbc8d1d0103" } }, "receipt_sha256": "a3f9bd480d7d5daea8345f59609efa8f581cb21475c38cf70cf8354bda2b4b33" }, { "storm_id": "671997", "lat": 36.7167, "lon": -78.0089, "motion_east": 3.7, "motion_south": -1.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0019, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 593.0, "ebshear": 26.0, "srh01": 83.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 83.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 33.1741 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 4.7996 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.7037 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1589 }, "coherence_score": 1.703732967376709, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.703732967376709, "grad_tau": 0.2679021656513214, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 4.799633502960205, "S_field": 0.0818580687046051, "Gamma_field": 0.22411294281482697, "S_over_Gamma": 0.36525365710258484, "Da": 12.884907722473145, "E_coh": 0.0330168716609478, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -78.02, 36.75 ], [ -78.0, 36.73 ], [ -77.97, 36.73 ], [ -77.97, 36.7 ], [ -78.01, 36.67 ], [ -78.01, 36.68 ], [ -78.04, 36.71 ], [ -78.04, 36.73 ], [ -78.02, 36.75 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1589, "confidence_lo": 0.0019, "confidence_hi": 0.0019, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "438d7dc0da40d69147ec7b0b86c44174fab893627bf4f3733742b11c1c7778e3", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.1589, "probability": 0.001939, "confidence_lo": 0.001915, "confidence_hi": 0.001939, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "5f1f836d780f59d1bcffeebcd18a7f1da2ac20929d1a991a12d63258e892de45", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "073227811afc617150096495dfb69d94c73e1c22c001578315e28818f89953f8831a2c8112aceeb05eeb917b8725d7a87fcb276b9e0fb808e6d8ddf50c83ca06" } }, "receipt_sha256": "5f1f836d780f59d1bcffeebcd18a7f1da2ac20929d1a991a12d63258e892de45" }, { "storm_id": "671873", "lat": 47.92, "lon": -118.13, "motion_east": -2.0, "motion_south": -6.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0019, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 6.0, "ebshear": 4.0, "srh01": 154.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 154.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 26.2991 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 0.6665 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.5259 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1566 }, "coherence_score": 0.525892972946167, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.525892972946167, "grad_tau": 0.19731822609901428, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.6664748787879944, "S_field": 0.19090542197227478, "Gamma_field": 0.41327965259552, "S_over_Gamma": 0.46192795038223267, "Da": 24.382413864135742, "E_coh": 0.289425790309906, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -118.14, 47.94 ], [ -118.11, 47.94 ], [ -118.1, 47.93 ], [ -118.1, 47.88 ], [ -118.16, 47.88 ], [ -118.16, 47.93 ], [ -118.14, 47.94 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1566, "confidence_lo": 0.0019, "confidence_hi": 0.0019, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "7817cfe68ebf5c383f1085c085f31e323b057ed28e2eb0578444b9540fa0f061", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.1566, "probability": 0.001939, "confidence_lo": 0.001915, "confidence_hi": 0.001939, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "c36ee24cb2bd1f00c30928d8c112b7295ae53c407aa9b4feed0e436b065c4cfe", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "42ea01211b2aa9d31cec81a0a777dbac63540f86104ef5317130a2a68300964297b6a82e0805d771173d5c1863456046ca450d461d4affa086f1e580b7a21b03" } }, "receipt_sha256": "c36ee24cb2bd1f00c30928d8c112b7295ae53c407aa9b4feed0e436b065c4cfe" }, { "storm_id": "671995", "lat": 37.638, "lon": -100.298, "motion_east": 3.7, "motion_south": -1.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0019, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 478.0, "ebshear": 34.0, "srh01": 242.0, "maxllaz": 0.008, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 242.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 27.0491 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 8.7393 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.3816 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.008 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1558 }, "coherence_score": 0.381550133228302, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.381550133228302, "grad_tau": 0.25770291686058044, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 8.73933219909668, "S_field": 0.31227442622184753, "Gamma_field": 2.3824462890625, "S_over_Gamma": 0.1310730129480362, "Da": 152.53041076660156, "E_coh": 0.21625930070877075, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -100.33, 37.67 ], [ -100.25, 37.67 ], [ -100.25, 37.59 ], [ -100.33, 37.59 ], [ -100.33, 37.67 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1558, "confidence_lo": 0.0019, "confidence_hi": 0.0019, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "1fbf43eddb0730217053d7eeb390b07480db23cfc149cff03c4ee21c17449763", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.1558, "probability": 0.001939, "confidence_lo": 0.001915, "confidence_hi": 0.001939, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "a2bd479565d1fa1352254b2868d662377e0db18b51e87bfa41a22192036eaf8a", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "69cb05e8166eadad9b71d2b97615bfbffe48c30b0e74033efe5efefb6476875212cd399943edbf7cbc0324d3c7680f56db1b73a03f111d6a2b62cfcc0d9ed400" } }, "receipt_sha256": "a2bd479565d1fa1352254b2868d662377e0db18b51e87bfa41a22192036eaf8a" }, { "storm_id": "671878", "lat": 36.5692, "lon": -94.5408, "motion_east": 4.0, "motion_south": 0.2, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0019, "risk_band": "moderate", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 782.0, "ebshear": 30.0, "srh01": 49.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.13, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 49.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 40.1741 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 11.4199 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.416 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1509 }, "coherence_score": 0.4160282611846924, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.4160282611846924, "grad_tau": 0.028648335486650467, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 11.419906616210938, "S_field": 0.46247220039367676, "Gamma_field": 1.3791128396987915, "S_over_Gamma": 0.33534035086631775, "Da": 88.22626495361328, "E_coh": 0.14508390426635742, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -94.58, 36.61 ], [ -94.54, 36.61 ], [ -94.51, 36.59 ], [ -94.48, 36.59 ], [ -94.47, 36.58 ], [ -94.47, 36.54 ], [ -94.5, 36.52 ], [ -94.57, 36.52 ], [ -94.59, 36.53 ], [ -94.6, 36.54 ], [ -94.6, 36.59 ], [ -94.58, 36.61 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1509, "confidence_lo": 0.0019, "confidence_hi": 0.0019, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "f055ba83355cccb519429a1e3bd5b67364bdbec4ada5bc45925b9abe53e73af0", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.1509, "probability": 0.001939, "confidence_lo": 0.001915, "confidence_hi": 0.001939, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "7fbf4f1e89a61fe76b898ec8ecb0fcca8263eea47b32c7e0de70e581fa091c6c", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "c8d63a6c828522d9c80ff07e681ded4bf88886d9609c5c24ced3fb2f2d6b8025aa71a5f4648465bb6080f8a143e97da358ca6fc97508435be13b6bdb26657904" } }, "receipt_sha256": "7fbf4f1e89a61fe76b898ec8ecb0fcca8263eea47b32c7e0de70e581fa091c6c" }, { "storm_id": "671944", "lat": 36.017, "lon": -94.55, "motion_east": 4.2, "motion_south": 0.5, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0019, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1431.0, "ebshear": 23.0, "srh01": 21.0, "maxllaz": 0.004, "mesh": 0.26, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 21.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 41.1741 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -1.949 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.439 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.004 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.145 }, "coherence_score": 0.43899261951446533, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.43899261951446533, "grad_tau": 0.07528972625732422, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -1.9489760398864746, "S_field": 0.5448445677757263, "Gamma_field": 1.3274462223052979, "S_over_Gamma": 0.4104456901550293, "Da": 86.33043670654297, "E_coh": 0.18576495349407196, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -94.57, 36.05 ], [ -94.54, 36.05 ], [ -94.52, 36.04 ], [ -94.51, 36.02 ], [ -94.51, 36.0 ], [ -94.55, 35.97 ], [ -94.57, 35.97 ], [ -94.58, 35.98 ], [ -94.58, 36.04 ], [ -94.57, 36.05 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.145, "confidence_lo": 0.0019, "confidence_hi": 0.0019, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "99437b2c7fa32f640dd1abc8d6ac51379210b0ee3f8453a4cb057187e6759134", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.145, "probability": 0.001933, "confidence_lo": 0.00186, "confidence_hi": 0.001933, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "4a32c8eeca1e97539cf2091c9c5108e2baaf96f37cfdfb38f36ffd921b993ba3", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "e08476906f34022cdb393b66651a1d0421ece64bc08cdb101a7df18db29bad38c22797509447abf4a2cc759f1c7a11ebc160f38d592945d42e5ffaa46e8b7303" } }, "receipt_sha256": "4a32c8eeca1e97539cf2091c9c5108e2baaf96f37cfdfb38f36ffd921b993ba3" }, { "storm_id": "671999", "lat": 35.939, "lon": -94.703, "motion_east": 4.5, "motion_south": 1.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0019, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1848.0, "ebshear": 21.0, "srh01": 23.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.43, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 23.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 41.1741 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -1.949 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.439 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1394 }, "coherence_score": 0.43899261951446533, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.43899261951446533, "grad_tau": 0.07528972625732422, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -1.9489760398864746, "S_field": 0.5448445677757263, "Gamma_field": 1.3274462223052979, "S_over_Gamma": 0.4104456901550293, "Da": 86.33043670654297, "E_coh": 0.18576495349407196, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -94.7, 35.97 ], [ -94.69, 35.97 ], [ -94.67, 35.95 ], [ -94.67, 35.92 ], [ -94.69, 35.89 ], [ -94.72, 35.9 ], [ -94.74, 35.92 ], [ -94.73, 35.95 ], [ -94.72, 35.95 ], [ -94.7, 35.97 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1394, "confidence_lo": 0.0019, "confidence_hi": 0.0019, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "8f5309baaa57480fd089afd3ef6398dd2af0c0a4bf533043fa066fa7c6807886", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.1394, "probability": 0.001923, "confidence_lo": 0.00186, "confidence_hi": 0.001923, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "30c2a55c8bfaa77502314b345fd490bb7a87c9c3337e68acedd33ae2322f780f", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "8c3bc17917ec447725b34aedb44755e8c98d092e509ab821b973a277cf5d545017dcae580cccfc156ba0c312896d8cce4b0e1b6e747783dbf9f0ee51d4493308" } }, "receipt_sha256": "30c2a55c8bfaa77502314b345fd490bb7a87c9c3337e68acedd33ae2322f780f" }, { "storm_id": "670916", "lat": 38.255, "lon": -76.1786, "motion_east": 4.1, "motion_south": -3.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0019, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1313.0, "ebshear": 17.0, "srh01": 55.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 55.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 44.2991 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -1.7694 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.939 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1262 }, "coherence_score": 1.938982605934143, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.938982605934143, "grad_tau": 0.1031494289636612, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -1.7693681716918945, "S_field": 0.1406252682209015, "Gamma_field": 0.15744629502296448, "S_over_Gamma": 0.8931633830070496, "Da": 9.892663955688477, "E_coh": 0.34623000025749207, "singularity_count": 0.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 0, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": false } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 4, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -76.19, 38.31 ], [ -76.16, 38.31 ], [ -76.16, 38.3 ], [ -76.14, 38.28 ], [ -76.14, 38.24 ], [ -76.15, 38.23 ], [ -76.15, 38.21 ], [ -76.17, 38.2 ], [ -76.19, 38.2 ], [ -76.21, 38.22 ], [ -76.21, 38.24 ], [ -76.22, 38.25 ], [ -76.22, 38.27 ], [ -76.19, 38.31 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1262, "confidence_lo": 0.0015, "confidence_hi": 0.0019, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "2b5c62cc7204e3fec92e7ccc94e8e9a3eb93ce3e442d0373610309b494019237", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.1262, "probability": 0.001896, "confidence_lo": 0.001511, "confidence_hi": 0.001897, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "57c0e5c4cb74916849a7af132392466e484d1ff869db10f04aa9661a5e234727", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "456b287b0e89d3369242953c71551ddbaec43f575460f5dc9099a0716b3bed485f237a83a693c53e7bc6dcd3a04e801bcc8c1655be624604a56812275287d409" } }, "receipt_sha256": "57c0e5c4cb74916849a7af132392466e484d1ff869db10f04aa9661a5e234727" }, { "storm_id": "671586", "lat": 39.2321, "lon": -76.3326, "motion_east": 4.4, "motion_south": -3.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0019, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1255.0, "ebshear": 20.0, "srh01": 54.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 54.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 33.1741 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 0.4197 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.9115 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1254 }, "coherence_score": 1.9115318059921265, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.9115318059921265, "grad_tau": 0.07346907258033752, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.41974329948425293, "S_field": 0.25231418013572693, "Gamma_field": 0.16077962517738342, "S_over_Gamma": 1.5693168640136719, "Da": 9.811481475830078, "E_coh": 0.4058700203895569, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": false } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -76.34, 39.35 ], [ -76.3, 39.35 ], [ -76.29, 39.34 ], [ -76.29, 39.28 ], [ -76.3, 39.27 ], [ -76.29, 39.26 ], [ -76.29, 39.22 ], [ -76.3, 39.21 ], [ -76.3, 39.18 ], [ -76.33, 39.15 ], [ -76.33, 39.12 ], [ -76.34, 39.11 ], [ -76.37, 39.11 ], [ -76.38, 39.12 ], [ -76.38, 39.19 ], [ -76.39, 39.2 ], [ -76.39, 39.28 ], [ -76.37, 39.32 ], [ -76.34, 39.35 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1254, "confidence_lo": 0.0015, "confidence_hi": 0.0019, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "19021c01947d4ad831602490322f3e98f21c90fffc1ed364ecba681103cbccc5", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.1254, "probability": 0.001896, "confidence_lo": 0.001511, "confidence_hi": 0.001897, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "26ad235e4554ce116bf18e32a8ce7b97282244c74bb8f2016653eb748b6031fb", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "9e0224adc7df56d3129f060363bb5a16f81d63a4d4d6bcdeb1e560ed268c3b1788e3ed87661135cc34a0a9a9c81a52ac866f8d57cd179a4a4a7b8c62823f130e" } }, "receipt_sha256": "26ad235e4554ce116bf18e32a8ce7b97282244c74bb8f2016653eb748b6031fb" }, { "storm_id": "671998", "lat": 36.27, "lon": -78.08, "motion_east": 3.7, "motion_south": -1.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0016, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1039.0, "ebshear": 17.0, "srh01": 72.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 72.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 42.1741 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 4.1571 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.7845 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1187 }, "coherence_score": 1.7845417261123657, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.7845417261123657, "grad_tau": 0.3253495395183563, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 4.157087802886963, "S_field": 0.2584760785102844, "Gamma_field": 0.19911296665668488, "S_over_Gamma": 1.298137903213501, "Da": 11.838820457458496, "E_coh": 0.5631788969039917, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -78.1, 36.3 ], [ -78.04, 36.27 ], [ -78.05, 36.24 ], [ -78.11, 36.24 ], [ -78.1, 36.3 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1187, "confidence_lo": 0.0015, "confidence_hi": 0.0016, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "1ead32b83c5c17f81455d1d3a1fc6b25c3e1ea951520cc18378d79674b71667a", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.1187, "probability": 0.001595, "confidence_lo": 0.001511, "confidence_hi": 0.001595, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f7b28535ec1293017c3832b4f111b18460320d2d6a12c8a97ce8fc1222ddaa16", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "bfbe90aceecf4b5b1c6e93dd14aa0cd0bfa77b472bee4d6748bae30c37df5acdfb1df4c7151bbd263082c9da35e44d6d59e47ad7a5a9c5c27476ee7a8fe18406" } }, "receipt_sha256": "f7b28535ec1293017c3832b4f111b18460320d2d6a12c8a97ce8fc1222ddaa16" }, { "storm_id": "671789", "lat": 46.6113, "lon": -117.4585, "motion_east": -4.0, "motion_south": -10.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0016, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 79.0, "ebshear": 30.0, "srh01": 34.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 34.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 23.1741 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -1.3658 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.7633 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.003 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1107 }, "coherence_score": 0.7633359432220459, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.7633359432220459, "grad_tau": 0.1926528960466385, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -1.3658162355422974, "S_field": 0.14098668098449707, "Gamma_field": 0.18911294639110565, "S_over_Gamma": 0.745515763759613, "Da": 11.240632057189941, "E_coh": 0.36554378271102905, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -117.48, 46.83 ], [ -117.46, 46.83 ], [ -117.44, 46.81 ], [ -117.42, 46.81 ], [ -117.39, 46.78 ], [ -117.37, 46.81 ], [ -117.37, 46.83 ], [ -117.33, 46.82 ], [ -117.3, 46.79 ], [ -117.28, 46.75 ], [ -117.28, 46.73 ], [ -117.25, 46.7 ], [ -117.22, 46.64 ], [ -117.22, 46.62 ], [ -117.16, 46.56 ], [ -117.15, 46.56 ], [ -117.15, 46.51 ], [ -117.16, 46.5 ], [ -117.2, 46.5 ], [ -117.27, 46.54 ], [ -117.3, 46.54 ], [ -117.31, 46.53 ], [ -117.32, 46.54 ], [ -117.35, 46.52 ], [ -117.35, 46.48 ], [ -117.34, 46.47 ], [ -117.35, 46.45 ], [ -117.38, 46.45 ], [ -117.39, 46.46 ], [ -117.44, 46.46 ], [ -117.47, 46.43 ], [ -117.48, 46.4 ], [ -117.5, 46.38 ], [ -117.56, 46.38 ], [ -117.57, 46.39 ], [ -117.61, 46.4 ], [ -117.65, 46.45 ], [ -117.63, 46.49 ], [ -117.61, 46.51 ], [ -117.56, 46.51 ], [ -117.52, 46.55 ], [ -117.52, 46.58 ], [ -117.54, 46.6 ], [ -117.55, 46.59 ], [ -117.63, 46.59 ], [ -117.65, 46.58 ], [ -117.7, 46.61 ], [ -117.72, 46.61 ], [ -117.76, 46.65 ], [ -117.77, 46.69 ], [ -117.76, 46.71 ], [ -117.74, 46.72 ], [ -117.7, 46.7 ], [ -117.65, 46.7 ], [ -117.61, 46.73 ], [ -117.56, 46.73 ], [ -117.54, 46.75 ], [ -117.52, 46.79 ], [ -117.52, 46.81 ], [ -117.48, 46.83 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1107, "confidence_lo": 0.0015, "confidence_hi": 0.0016, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "50ec91b2bda684dec3d48268553be27a229046df0570c153ac1f12e9e34d075c", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.1107, "probability": 0.001595, "confidence_lo": 0.001511, "confidence_hi": 0.001595, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "9abd9742f7ff210e4aaea8ffd2409be6b4a530e5bb0e84540b2dea43b37b4f81", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "bdec6cab31aaac60296369a3cc96838d2d6e5d8d6789aa3a822a6c1c3c2dd0b2197fefb659f9f3df9f0febe87e069fcf17443963b31ae1d62af2bd3e7f2e9804" } }, "receipt_sha256": "9abd9742f7ff210e4aaea8ffd2409be6b4a530e5bb0e84540b2dea43b37b4f81" }, { "storm_id": "671991", "lat": 39.8611, "lon": -79.5178, "motion_east": 3.7, "motion_south": -1.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0016, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 404.0, "ebshear": 16.0, "srh01": 64.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 64.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 42.5491 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 7.6141 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.8998 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1091 }, "coherence_score": 1.899839162826538, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.899839162826538, "grad_tau": 0.11859554797410965, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 7.614067077636719, "S_field": 0.5316514372825623, "Gamma_field": 0.18161295354366302, "S_over_Gamma": 2.927387237548828, "Da": 11.860628128051758, "E_coh": 0.6613775491714478, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -79.54, 39.89 ], [ -79.49, 39.89 ], [ -79.48, 39.88 ], [ -79.48, 39.84 ], [ -79.49, 39.83 ], [ -79.54, 39.82 ], [ -79.55, 39.83 ], [ -79.55, 39.88 ], [ -79.54, 39.89 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1091, "confidence_lo": 0.001, "confidence_hi": 0.0016, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "a26fea5a06ea3a170f10022d66ec3bd5a7c58f387e3279f4576b227f4fa87825", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.1091, "probability": 0.001594, "confidence_lo": 0.000987, "confidence_hi": 0.001595, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "81588828e85b5e40f95b57a4842e6c5a70c2f1bd03ccf962d451f76b54cd17f6", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "3f3af3a4aa225ca2c4faefc62b23fa5c206c18a856372695563bfb6b2d5f7e5f6253fc527552b01c19bf3dac5355075c682d581e999dc03632df4e062c2c3a01" } }, "receipt_sha256": "81588828e85b5e40f95b57a4842e6c5a70c2f1bd03ccf962d451f76b54cd17f6" }, { "storm_id": "671956", "lat": 46.14, "lon": -117.833, "motion_east": -3.0, "motion_south": -9.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.001, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 38.0, "ebshear": 23.0, "srh01": 54.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 54.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 23.9241 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -0.5665 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.8563 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1077 }, "coherence_score": 0.8563419580459595, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.8563419580459595, "grad_tau": 0.15618394315242767, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -0.5665218830108643, "S_field": 0.15132063627243042, "Gamma_field": 0.1924462914466858, "S_over_Gamma": 0.7863005995750427, "Da": 12.157965660095215, "E_coh": 0.48465800285339355, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -117.83, 46.18 ], [ -117.82, 46.16 ], [ -117.8, 46.16 ], [ -117.8, 46.13 ], [ -117.81, 46.11 ], [ -117.83, 46.1 ], [ -117.86, 46.1 ], [ -117.88, 46.11 ], [ -117.87, 46.17 ], [ -117.83, 46.18 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1077, "confidence_lo": 0.001, "confidence_hi": 0.001, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "68211014b96d709d94811c6ece1c12600f1642fcb9d9a343669425f606caedb4", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.1077, "probability": 0.001041, "confidence_lo": 0.000987, "confidence_hi": 0.001042, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "0c1aa166c1125af64e7f70ef923e34dc9369da75d0c85d419aa89bda8de7253c", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "37debdcd446d116f7c28f067b1c7e67b8b1f40924e24286dd1d9a56d5f3abaa1dbddc03d7a34ec1909443b84e0dd93bce9c61b11497bfee45afbe1676d58b505" } }, "receipt_sha256": "0c1aa166c1125af64e7f70ef923e34dc9369da75d0c85d419aa89bda8de7253c" }, { "storm_id": "672000", "lat": 35.0158, "lon": -75.26, "motion_east": 3.7, "motion_south": -1.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.001, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 2273.0, "ebshear": 15.0, "srh01": 33.0, "maxllaz": 0.0, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 33.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 58.2991 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 3.7159 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 3.035 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.0 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1057 }, "coherence_score": 3.0349607467651367, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 3.0349607467651367, "grad_tau": 0.5693600177764893, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 3.7158570289611816, "S_field": 0.4337412416934967, "Gamma_field": 0.2274462878704071, "S_over_Gamma": 1.9070051908493042, "Da": 14.524469375610352, "E_coh": 0.6307834386825562, "singularity_count": 4.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 4, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": true, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -75.28, 35.06 ], [ -75.27, 35.05 ], [ -75.28, 35.04 ], [ -75.27, 35.02 ], [ -75.24, 35.0 ], [ -75.21, 35.0 ], [ -75.21, 34.98 ], [ -75.2, 34.97 ], [ -75.3, 34.97 ], [ -75.29, 34.99 ], [ -75.29, 35.05 ], [ -75.28, 35.06 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1057, "confidence_lo": 0.001, "confidence_hi": 0.001, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "98f2ac6aa54154107c6c15a8299d63ab2ed8ae24eb13af7c7c101e1173f5e3ed", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.1057, "probability": 0.001041, "confidence_lo": 0.000987, "confidence_hi": 0.001042, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "afd7309dd543dcb701e56b7aca34c455474cba152b8edefd329fc94e157a8b6d", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "bd275fc4516256011add81a8209c316d74c9f6b45e86937108fdef60bf6a5ab44d7474589e2ba629b190e501d86f91ca2fe7a5d1edc03e7a4e18d2986f2a7b0e" } }, "receipt_sha256": "afd7309dd543dcb701e56b7aca34c455474cba152b8edefd329fc94e157a8b6d" }, { "storm_id": "671354", "lat": 34.4692, "lon": -74.4475, "motion_east": 3.7, "motion_south": -1.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.001, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 2625.0, "ebshear": 20.0, "srh01": 62.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.06, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 62.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 55.1741 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 3.9732 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 3.5664 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1055 }, "coherence_score": 3.5664353370666504, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 3.5664353370666504, "grad_tau": 0.36487922072410583, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 3.9731829166412354, "S_field": 1.2863141298294067, "Gamma_field": 0.19911295175552368, "S_over_Gamma": 6.460223197937012, "Da": 13.338316917419434, "E_coh": 0.9085304737091064, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 3, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -74.47, 34.5 ], [ -74.46, 34.49 ], [ -74.43, 34.49 ], [ -74.42, 34.48 ], [ -74.42, 34.46 ], [ -74.41, 34.45 ], [ -74.43, 34.43 ], [ -74.44, 34.44 ], [ -74.46, 34.44 ], [ -74.48, 34.46 ], [ -74.48, 34.49 ], [ -74.47, 34.5 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1055, "confidence_lo": 0.001, "confidence_hi": 0.001, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "21c947ffcf70095993f73f63a2d21cd550babc4664b21c8c2b89704fed5fd5bb", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.1055, "probability": 0.001041, "confidence_lo": 0.000987, "confidence_hi": 0.001042, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f49b1a29dfcf2de841db5402c377cbca00eeda237c43fc46176e9b1365e2ae50", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "da459805da79980ed03d8aefaae643f1c33eef759cbfc855d4a286369db4cf05c812ac6a21f1f846ef2c9aa6e112c17c198a07104c16423aecadd981273a800b" } }, "receipt_sha256": "f49b1a29dfcf2de841db5402c377cbca00eeda237c43fc46176e9b1365e2ae50" }, { "storm_id": "671941", "lat": 37.8133, "lon": -94.2663, "motion_east": 5.0, "motion_south": 2.3, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.001, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1356.0, "ebshear": 22.0, "srh01": 25.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 25.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 43.2991 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 10.2867 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.4859 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.1046 }, "coherence_score": 0.4858545660972595, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.4858545660972595, "grad_tau": 0.24193361401557922, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 10.286723136901855, "S_field": 0.4517488181591034, "Gamma_field": 1.6057795286178589, "S_over_Gamma": 0.2813268005847931, "Da": 107.00807189941406, "E_coh": 0.5936504602432251, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -94.19, 37.9 ], [ -94.14, 37.9 ], [ -94.12, 37.88 ], [ -94.1, 37.88 ], [ -94.1, 37.84 ], [ -94.11, 37.82 ], [ -94.15, 37.81 ], [ -94.16, 37.8 ], [ -94.22, 37.8 ], [ -94.26, 37.78 ], [ -94.28, 37.76 ], [ -94.31, 37.75 ], [ -94.33, 37.73 ], [ -94.35, 37.73 ], [ -94.36, 37.72 ], [ -94.4, 37.73 ], [ -94.41, 37.74 ], [ -94.41, 37.77 ], [ -94.42, 37.78 ], [ -94.41, 37.81 ], [ -94.37, 37.83 ], [ -94.35, 37.83 ], [ -94.32, 37.85 ], [ -94.27, 37.86 ], [ -94.24, 37.88 ], [ -94.22, 37.88 ], [ -94.19, 37.9 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.1046, "confidence_lo": 0.001, "confidence_hi": 0.001, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "2bee6ab75ade4c75c118eb42a2039a5fdae51e4563b492ce0cc2f15ea11289b8", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.1046, "probability": 0.001041, "confidence_lo": 0.000987, "confidence_hi": 0.001042, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "39b33694928d95592df6ce10ea2e77859436dd3dbe17d3d54466473300610a37", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "8cbd943eea8c0d33ad99fcd2add8637b12f69e4f8471334d12f8e09482047ae4582edaebbba920ef3b6cb7819419dd4b99248af254c2ed5b17500e64c880490d" } }, "receipt_sha256": "39b33694928d95592df6ce10ea2e77859436dd3dbe17d3d54466473300610a37" }, { "storm_id": "671964", "lat": 35.24, "lon": -74.5156, "motion_east": 3.7, "motion_south": -1.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.001, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 2168.0, "ebshear": 12.0, "srh01": 51.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 51.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 51.5491 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -0.5746 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 3.2999 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0968 }, "coherence_score": 3.299884557723999, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 3.299884557723999, "grad_tau": 0.41105103492736816, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -0.5745582580566406, "S_field": 0.7484168410301208, "Gamma_field": 0.2341129630804062, "S_over_Gamma": 3.196819305419922, "Da": 14.309605598449707, "E_coh": 0.7648786306381226, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -74.56, 35.27 ], [ -74.52, 35.27 ], [ -74.51, 35.26 ], [ -74.49, 35.26 ], [ -74.48, 35.25 ], [ -74.48, 35.2 ], [ -74.49, 35.19 ], [ -74.55, 35.19 ], [ -74.56, 35.27 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0968, "confidence_lo": 0.001, "confidence_hi": 0.001, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "3f3e10dcf73b834eed999aee428f80b7e4a9e847070a0407afd41bdbd1f2bf7e", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.0968, "probability": 0.001041, "confidence_lo": 0.000987, "confidence_hi": 0.001042, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "7aa7041c8028304e1143aa2ff2836491c331fc2ee29c91c2b99f900cfb59ce61", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "aea7406217434e6882dd673ba2cdf6e2ca904922d42fa70fa8b2a3d11987bea046434dafd61ec6f26fc92a33fbd122f29c040cdf62f1e8a0c9a47cf26bf8f800" } }, "receipt_sha256": "7aa7041c8028304e1143aa2ff2836491c331fc2ee29c91c2b99f900cfb59ce61" }, { "storm_id": "670624", "lat": 34.9381, "lon": -100.4575, "motion_east": 3.7, "motion_south": -1.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.001, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 953.0, "ebshear": 37.0, "srh01": 6.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.08, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 6.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 30.4241 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -1.4075 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.357 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0956 }, "coherence_score": 0.35699886083602905, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.35699886083602905, "grad_tau": 0.022486338391900063, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -1.407470464706421, "S_field": 0.5615906119346619, "Gamma_field": 1.8949462175369263, "S_over_Gamma": 0.2963623106479645, "Da": 117.71869659423828, "E_coh": 0.3869003653526306, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 6, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -100.53, 34.99 ], [ -100.45, 34.99 ], [ -100.44, 34.98 ], [ -100.39, 34.98 ], [ -100.38, 34.97 ], [ -100.38, 34.95 ], [ -100.35, 34.91 ], [ -100.36, 34.9 ], [ -100.4, 34.9 ], [ -100.41, 34.91 ], [ -100.49, 34.91 ], [ -100.51, 34.89 ], [ -100.56, 34.89 ], [ -100.57, 34.9 ], [ -100.57, 34.95 ], [ -100.53, 34.99 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0956, "confidence_lo": 0.001, "confidence_hi": 0.001, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "32af7db76a1610eb60f956603dbdc0330036146c986ed88c613bab738c3728fc", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.0956, "probability": 0.001041, "confidence_lo": 0.000987, "confidence_hi": 0.001042, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "6076f60fbf44edb98146373bd3dfa4ca270a18389b06a0fc29ea63206143320f", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "50d735237c791856b459a8b3885ce9c5468becd74a98a8d085dd4d9ef6a8707ad180d0b78c774c8399e628d36b26cd12bc8df2341859436219e97a00fd46870f" } }, "receipt_sha256": "6076f60fbf44edb98146373bd3dfa4ca270a18389b06a0fc29ea63206143320f" }, { "storm_id": "671926", "lat": 36.586, "lon": -94.246, "motion_east": 3.9, "motion_south": 0.2, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.001, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 599.0, "ebshear": 28.0, "srh01": 10.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.25, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 10.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 40.1741 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 11.4199 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.416 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0916 }, "coherence_score": 0.4160282611846924, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.4160282611846924, "grad_tau": 0.028648335486650467, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 11.419906616210938, "S_field": 0.46247220039367676, "Gamma_field": 1.3791128396987915, "S_over_Gamma": 0.33534035086631775, "Da": 88.22626495361328, "E_coh": 0.14508390426635742, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -94.28, 36.62 ], [ -94.21, 36.62 ], [ -94.19, 36.6 ], [ -94.19, 36.55 ], [ -94.2, 36.54 ], [ -94.26, 36.55 ], [ -94.28, 36.57 ], [ -94.28, 36.59 ], [ -94.29, 36.6 ], [ -94.28, 36.62 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0916, "confidence_lo": 0.001, "confidence_hi": 0.001, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "817820d0196843f622cde3ea10209ce9c7afe3994c5cc34741a356c1fcc47dc6", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.0916, "probability": 0.001041, "confidence_lo": 0.000987, "confidence_hi": 0.001042, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "036177e501bdfdb95b706f49c356c459774f395b86453b6785c74c3a82120b0e", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "7128800f22580f8937c394bd50d935469226e738ba2dd7cc149048b855658d28fbd548358a0603a2149bf1f051048b9aa6a19f61ccad9a7d65d28aed28fe6f0a" } }, "receipt_sha256": "036177e501bdfdb95b706f49c356c459774f395b86453b6785c74c3a82120b0e" }, { "storm_id": "672004", "lat": 28.1057, "lon": -79.4836, "motion_east": 3.7, "motion_south": -1.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.001, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 2787.0, "ebshear": 8.0, "srh01": 25.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 25.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 52.4241 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -2.1855 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 2.9707 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0835 }, "coherence_score": 2.9707417488098145, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 2.9707417488098145, "grad_tau": 0.40242335200309753, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -2.1854915618896484, "S_field": 1.0079141855239868, "Gamma_field": 0.26827964186668396, "S_over_Gamma": 3.756953716278076, "Da": 16.557985305786133, "E_coh": 0.9664896726608276, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -79.49, 28.16 ], [ -79.48, 28.14 ], [ -79.46, 28.13 ], [ -79.48, 28.12 ], [ -79.48, 28.1 ], [ -79.47, 28.09 ], [ -79.44, 28.09 ], [ -79.44, 28.08 ], [ -79.47, 28.08 ], [ -79.5, 28.06 ], [ -79.53, 28.06 ], [ -79.52, 28.07 ], [ -79.52, 28.14 ], [ -79.49, 28.16 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0835, "confidence_lo": 0.0007, "confidence_hi": 0.001, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "edabca708988742d43c10734d31cfd61bf3b31fd9d9728da375adf27e01e6bde", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.0835, "probability": 0.000996, "confidence_lo": 0.00072, "confidence_hi": 0.000996, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "e99a0cfdfcaa2e6b75903c7d9435d5511fce0e2394cdee38d270b58ddb853668", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "28e2123ea287b441ae37329e9a7435798960e9987a062f96afde562502df5bea7ce0ba4926ac99e3299b5617512a0e0346701a75a3b72c12388bff765ff3950b" } }, "receipt_sha256": "e99a0cfdfcaa2e6b75903c7d9435d5511fce0e2394cdee38d270b58ddb853668" }, { "storm_id": "671968", "lat": 34.1923, "lon": -74.5431, "motion_east": 3.7, "motion_south": -1.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.001, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 3392.0, "ebshear": 18.0, "srh01": 43.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 43.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 58.2991 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 0.3856 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 3.7227 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0819 }, "coherence_score": 3.722693920135498, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 3.722693920135498, "grad_tau": 0.24523116648197174, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.3856203556060791, "S_field": 1.2011010646820068, "Gamma_field": 0.1857796162366867, "S_over_Gamma": 6.465192794799805, "Da": 12.503206253051758, "E_coh": 0.9828749299049377, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -74.52, 34.25 ], [ -74.5, 34.25 ], [ -74.5, 34.15 ], [ -74.52, 34.12 ], [ -74.57, 34.12 ], [ -74.57, 34.15 ], [ -74.58, 34.16 ], [ -74.57, 34.17 ], [ -74.57, 34.2 ], [ -74.55, 34.22 ], [ -74.55, 34.23 ], [ -74.54, 34.23 ], [ -74.52, 34.25 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0819, "confidence_lo": 0.0007, "confidence_hi": 0.001, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "92e44519a0648b0724c7992b9058ddb09727b2f34b44d37482640e33ed44199d", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.0819, "probability": 0.000954, "confidence_lo": 0.00072, "confidence_hi": 0.000954, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "b0d69e34b9486b776c631e40337fcb15ef587c5bce43be949d317580aed907c4", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "f9f6763ee4b60fb27dd0908c51ccb7af3da087830e612a9dd5a31a6b45fdab86a470745a2f387feb63624bf70c3f607166f7b58a335b4ae68f8f7492e219d706" } }, "receipt_sha256": "b0d69e34b9486b776c631e40337fcb15ef587c5bce43be949d317580aed907c4" }, { "storm_id": "672001", "lat": 34.8729, "lon": -78.8271, "motion_east": 3.7, "motion_south": -1.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0007, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1920.0, "ebshear": 14.0, "srh01": 64.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 64.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 46.6741 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 4.2515 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.7763 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0736 }, "coherence_score": 1.7763066291809082, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.7763066291809082, "grad_tau": 0.2595408856868744, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 4.251532077789307, "S_field": 0.2085304707288742, "Gamma_field": 0.2457796186208725, "S_over_Gamma": 0.848444938659668, "Da": 14.520196914672852, "E_coh": 0.5716771483421326, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -78.82, 34.91 ], [ -78.8, 34.9 ], [ -78.8, 34.85 ], [ -78.83, 34.83 ], [ -78.86, 34.83 ], [ -78.86, 34.88 ], [ -78.82, 34.91 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0736, "confidence_lo": 0.0007, "confidence_hi": 0.0007, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "5fe659395eae322590ebab12f25e4bcb7f5ed623e472296b3080bc02e959214d", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.0736, "probability": 0.00073, "confidence_lo": 0.00072, "confidence_hi": 0.00073, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "3322e2ac51778ebde7e039c7ed9a5058ec4764fd649b93372d5706d6587e7dc1", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "c9e6f5bc4f13657015c9743c448e31f49663703225ad0d1e86370095ee7574d3483848e60ca0fe1c19f93c8f5afcd43f4b2e2b59c428002792cf906885a0f20a" } }, "receipt_sha256": "3322e2ac51778ebde7e039c7ed9a5058ec4764fd649b93372d5706d6587e7dc1" }, { "storm_id": "671910", "lat": 28.7243, "lon": -79.3464, "motion_east": 3.7, "motion_south": -1.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0007, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 3314.0, "ebshear": 7.0, "srh01": 8.0, "maxllaz": 0.0, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 8.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 54.0491 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -0.7939 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 2.782 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.0 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0735 }, "coherence_score": 2.7819676399230957, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 2.7819676399230957, "grad_tau": 0.540757954120636, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -0.7939152717590332, "S_field": 0.8696804642677307, "Gamma_field": 0.2674463093280792, "S_over_Gamma": 3.2517945766448975, "Da": 16.57373809814453, "E_coh": 0.9549023509025574, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": true, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -79.41, 28.78 ], [ -79.31, 28.78 ], [ -79.3, 28.76 ], [ -79.3, 28.74 ], [ -79.31, 28.73 ], [ -79.3, 28.68 ], [ -79.31, 28.67 ], [ -79.32, 28.68 ], [ -79.33, 28.67 ], [ -79.36, 28.7 ], [ -79.39, 28.7 ], [ -79.4, 28.71 ], [ -79.4, 28.76 ], [ -79.41, 28.78 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0735, "confidence_lo": 0.0007, "confidence_hi": 0.0007, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "ea2af6ee0541534b26775c1d39b992c4d9d92e363a1b75b549d8f9412e0c84bb", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.0735, "probability": 0.00073, "confidence_lo": 0.00072, "confidence_hi": 0.00073, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "ed60e338eef1031cbc12f86aaec36b307f2fd789bddffe66820381800446acd3", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "2a1443358580d2724e62355dfc2a74f4cde57bb764be5866801e5949ce52fb341bd57f2f0e4f18d4c1573b8a6ea79adddb05f384dd4c25010563096e416ff907" } }, "receipt_sha256": "ed60e338eef1031cbc12f86aaec36b307f2fd789bddffe66820381800446acd3" }, { "storm_id": "672006", "lat": 25.9953, "lon": -82.115, "motion_east": 3.7, "motion_south": -1.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0007, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 2443.0, "ebshear": 9.0, "srh01": 5.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.09, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 5.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 47.6741 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 0.9945 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.9705 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0718 }, "coherence_score": 1.970486044883728, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.970486044883728, "grad_tau": 1.5758248567581177, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.9944929480552673, "S_field": 1.323761224746704, "Gamma_field": 0.2249462902545929, "S_over_Gamma": 5.8847880363464355, "Da": 13.642874717712402, "E_coh": 0.978182852268219, "singularity_count": 4.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 4, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": true, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -82.1, 26.03 ], [ -82.1, 26.02 ], [ -82.09, 26.01 ], [ -82.09, 26.0 ], [ -82.08, 25.99 ], [ -82.07, 26.0 ], [ -82.07, 26.01 ], [ -82.07, 26.0 ], [ -82.06, 25.99 ], [ -82.06, 25.98 ], [ -82.07, 25.98 ], [ -82.08, 25.98 ], [ -82.09, 25.98 ], [ -82.1, 25.97 ], [ -82.11, 25.97 ], [ -82.12, 25.98 ], [ -82.13, 25.98 ], [ -82.14, 25.98 ], [ -82.15, 25.98 ], [ -82.16, 25.98 ], [ -82.17, 25.97 ], [ -82.17, 25.98 ], [ -82.17, 25.99 ], [ -82.16, 25.98 ], [ -82.15, 25.99 ], [ -82.15, 26.0 ], [ -82.14, 26.01 ], [ -82.14, 26.02 ], [ -82.13, 26.02 ], [ -82.14, 26.01 ], [ -82.13, 26.0 ], [ -82.12, 25.99 ], [ -82.11, 26.0 ], [ -82.11, 26.01 ], [ -82.11, 26.02 ], [ -82.1, 26.03 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0718, "confidence_lo": 0.0007, "confidence_hi": 0.0007, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "0d47210af719aa20f4846a3ca5cc8fccbc33a28590541e8779ee369be9f245ad", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.0718, "probability": 0.00073, "confidence_lo": 0.00072, "confidence_hi": 0.00073, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "d02262a95289541341c82cb3bf57452405df37de89d677c55930963145fc2cb0", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "48b957e8b3c3ecb7b78d5f9635eb93cf014d1bc889da4047468314ea262677b0fd385303147eb6b9d706cd1b4f77a62f9b0c77ee52fdf168476130ce31de7c08" } }, "receipt_sha256": "d02262a95289541341c82cb3bf57452405df37de89d677c55930963145fc2cb0" }, { "storm_id": "671608", "lat": 34.0615, "lon": -75.9459, "motion_east": 5.2, "motion_south": -4.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0007, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 2184.0, "ebshear": 9.0, "srh01": 20.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.04, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 20.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 61.1741 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 6.3941 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 3.329 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0699 }, "coherence_score": 3.3290083408355713, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 3.3290083408355713, "grad_tau": 0.6594482064247131, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 6.394054412841797, "S_field": 1.4418045282363892, "Gamma_field": 0.16577962040901184, "S_over_Gamma": 8.697115898132324, "Da": 11.324307441711426, "E_coh": 0.9184152483940125, "singularity_count": 4.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 4, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": true, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -75.88, 34.16 ], [ -75.83, 34.15 ], [ -75.82, 34.14 ], [ -75.82, 34.11 ], [ -75.81, 34.09 ], [ -75.82, 34.07 ], [ -75.84, 34.06 ], [ -75.9, 34.0 ], [ -75.91, 33.98 ], [ -75.94, 33.98 ], [ -75.96, 33.97 ], [ -75.98, 33.99 ], [ -76.04, 33.99 ], [ -76.05, 33.98 ], [ -76.09, 33.98 ], [ -76.1, 33.99 ], [ -76.09, 34.02 ], [ -76.07, 34.03 ], [ -76.08, 34.06 ], [ -76.04, 34.07 ], [ -76.01, 34.09 ], [ -75.95, 34.09 ], [ -75.93, 34.1 ], [ -75.91, 34.12 ], [ -75.91, 34.13 ], [ -75.88, 34.15 ], [ -75.88, 34.16 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0699, "confidence_lo": 0.0007, "confidence_hi": 0.0007, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "23b26b6fad9d24bc356d28f16f6c1006435a7d5c8ad3591c4d39dd92019e56df", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.0699, "probability": 0.00073, "confidence_lo": 0.00072, "confidence_hi": 0.00073, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "dec2f21e18f0ff83aeaf67347988c4bbfaef8a68c855e57bc8ab5ff9188e167d", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "61143204b2d12e8b9a8bf504ca6af4f1f35725cebf7b3ffb6d1cd15ec7ad1e3c645dbcda6805982a8af9e2478a74a0a9f9adaaa34587f7e215e01b9c2c6fd409" } }, "receipt_sha256": "dec2f21e18f0ff83aeaf67347988c4bbfaef8a68c855e57bc8ab5ff9188e167d" }, { "storm_id": "671884", "lat": 33.9875, "lon": -75.3831, "motion_east": 4.1, "motion_south": -2.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0007, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 2264.0, "ebshear": 6.0, "srh01": 8.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.03, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 8.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 61.1741 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 6.3941 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 3.329 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0677 }, "coherence_score": 3.3290083408355713, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 3.3290083408355713, "grad_tau": 0.6594482064247131, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 6.394054412841797, "S_field": 1.4418045282363892, "Gamma_field": 0.16577962040901184, "S_over_Gamma": 8.697115898132324, "Da": 11.324307441711426, "E_coh": 0.9184152483940125, "singularity_count": 4.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 4, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": true, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -75.37, 34.03 ], [ -75.34, 34.03 ], [ -75.35, 34.02 ], [ -75.34, 34.01 ], [ -75.34, 33.98 ], [ -75.33, 33.97 ], [ -75.34, 33.95 ], [ -75.38, 33.93 ], [ -75.4, 33.93 ], [ -75.42, 33.95 ], [ -75.44, 33.95 ], [ -75.44, 33.98 ], [ -75.46, 34.0 ], [ -75.43, 34.02 ], [ -75.38, 34.02 ], [ -75.37, 34.03 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0677, "confidence_lo": 0.0007, "confidence_hi": 0.0007, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "a7d117ef25d4ce0d20dd46b9cfb6631e248d90807c09f1388bc6bc9779595aa5", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.0677, "probability": 0.00073, "confidence_lo": 0.00072, "confidence_hi": 0.00073, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "18129a6b791fd52f55abaf676522084f23b2cf7d5dc57df8eb6312e3a8afc107", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "b784e259f25da7c5186255132dbab4b566c2aff7a9968d3a0adc5ea03fcbdc94d55567dd520f5ef79eeb366c9a87f671cc8287259b27415bd8821cafec78750a" } }, "receipt_sha256": "18129a6b791fd52f55abaf676522084f23b2cf7d5dc57df8eb6312e3a8afc107" }, { "storm_id": "672007", "lat": 25.7546, "lon": -84.1523, "motion_east": 3.7, "motion_south": -1.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0007, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 3176.0, "ebshear": 12.0, "srh01": 4.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.48, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 4.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 46.1741 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 0.4723 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.988 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0639 }, "coherence_score": 1.9879873991012573, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.9879873991012573, "grad_tau": 1.5583622455596924, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.47233811020851135, "S_field": 1.4171581268310547, "Gamma_field": 0.21744628250598907, "S_over_Gamma": 6.517279148101807, "Da": 13.095409393310547, "E_coh": 0.973136305809021, "singularity_count": 4.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 4, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": true, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -84.14, 25.8 ], [ -84.12, 25.78 ], [ -84.1, 25.78 ], [ -84.1, 25.75 ], [ -84.12, 25.72 ], [ -84.12, 25.7 ], [ -84.15, 25.7 ], [ -84.19, 25.74 ], [ -84.2, 25.74 ], [ -84.2, 25.75 ], [ -84.22, 25.77 ], [ -84.18, 25.78 ], [ -84.14, 25.8 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0639, "confidence_lo": 0.0007, "confidence_hi": 0.0007, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "af3c1e3b9ef7bf2fd93ba705706598f2f63836a5b226e2e975b6528bffe12d56", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.0639, "probability": 0.00073, "confidence_lo": 0.00072, "confidence_hi": 0.00073, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f7e4b266caf4d5996bb9eb1f730917f107e2d8c6c036347bf50d959d6baa2741", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "5d5bf9e6d9087c8934d416f570af60522c14fff4fa15d77a0533339351fe160e83a7052989f36719b9c528f81186c824ffd3b6dccf40e636d2ba999a6acac70b" } }, "receipt_sha256": "f7e4b266caf4d5996bb9eb1f730917f107e2d8c6c036347bf50d959d6baa2741" }, { "storm_id": "671886", "lat": 33.0244, "lon": -76.7644, "motion_east": 3.7, "motion_south": -1.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0007, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 3088.0, "ebshear": 8.0, "srh01": 14.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.1, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 14.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 55.0491 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -1.4863 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 2.5904 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0634 }, "coherence_score": 2.590397357940674, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 2.590397357940674, "grad_tau": 0.5628196597099304, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -1.4863135814666748, "S_field": 0.4806188642978668, "Gamma_field": 0.2507796287536621, "S_over_Gamma": 1.9164987802505493, "Da": 14.710679054260254, "E_coh": 0.9170169234275818, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": true, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -76.75, 33.06 ], [ -76.73, 33.03 ], [ -76.73, 32.99 ], [ -76.75, 32.98 ], [ -76.79, 32.98 ], [ -76.81, 33.02 ], [ -76.81, 33.05 ], [ -76.76, 33.05 ], [ -76.75, 33.06 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0634, "confidence_lo": 0.0007, "confidence_hi": 0.0007, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "f4b4cd5d9c5100b474f24569b748ce81f1b0ed96947d803725d3e833ce5ee6fa", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.0634, "probability": 0.00073, "confidence_lo": 0.00072, "confidence_hi": 0.00073, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "735526bee72bfccbd85e9df020607d40df0532ec8ce26a49db0d93582d981d3e", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "efd4afeaab67c7d8fcff66d356350b928ab65464255efd6ac744d77ae92424fe50dd05de06ba6c636d6251c887ec2f0c30dc848d606109020a9781dcc092a100" } }, "receipt_sha256": "735526bee72bfccbd85e9df020607d40df0532ec8ce26a49db0d93582d981d3e" }, { "storm_id": "671311", "lat": 33.2811, "lon": -76.5256, "motion_east": 3.7, "motion_south": -1.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0007, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 2728.0, "ebshear": 8.0, "srh01": 15.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 15.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 55.0491 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -1.4863 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 2.5904 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0608 }, "coherence_score": 2.590397357940674, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 2.590397357940674, "grad_tau": 0.5628196597099304, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -1.4863135814666748, "S_field": 0.4806188642978668, "Gamma_field": 0.2507796287536621, "S_over_Gamma": 1.9164987802505493, "Da": 14.710679054260254, "E_coh": 0.9170169234275818, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": true, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 3, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -76.54, 33.31 ], [ -76.5, 33.31 ], [ -76.48, 33.3 ], [ -76.49, 33.24 ], [ -76.52, 33.23 ], [ -76.56, 33.26 ], [ -76.55, 33.27 ], [ -76.55, 33.3 ], [ -76.54, 33.31 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0608, "confidence_lo": 0.0007, "confidence_hi": 0.0007, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "4e58b681f083d99af21c518a001fb7d9c060854b093831fc801183d851ac1993", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.0608, "probability": 0.00073, "confidence_lo": 0.00072, "confidence_hi": 0.00073, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "aaf03eceabecc6ea99bc48ad41f10aa20c19e8efb4a4b52937f2b5d969db509c", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "28e68e2d78628a349b10f54dfc04add2065d2960195614dd0e4be9f76ec1bdc2f598bd67939bbc320a1f2f3fc822386d7b4c2adf16d452c2b516314e20250b02" } }, "receipt_sha256": "aaf03eceabecc6ea99bc48ad41f10aa20c19e8efb4a4b52937f2b5d969db509c" }, { "storm_id": "671713", "lat": 33.5673, "lon": -76.2936, "motion_east": 3.9, "motion_south": -2.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0007, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 2610.0, "ebshear": 8.0, "srh01": 18.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.04, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 18.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 55.0491 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -1.4863 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 2.5904 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0608 }, "coherence_score": 2.590397357940674, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 2.590397357940674, "grad_tau": 0.5628196597099304, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -1.4863135814666748, "S_field": 0.4806188642978668, "Gamma_field": 0.2507796287536621, "S_over_Gamma": 1.9164987802505493, "Da": 14.710679054260254, "E_coh": 0.9170169234275818, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": true, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -76.32, 33.6 ], [ -76.3, 33.59 ], [ -76.27, 33.59 ], [ -76.25, 33.57 ], [ -76.25, 33.54 ], [ -76.26, 33.53 ], [ -76.29, 33.53 ], [ -76.31, 33.54 ], [ -76.33, 33.56 ], [ -76.33, 33.59 ], [ -76.32, 33.6 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0608, "confidence_lo": 0.0007, "confidence_hi": 0.0007, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "4e58b681f083d99af21c518a001fb7d9c060854b093831fc801183d851ac1993", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.0608, "probability": 0.00073, "confidence_lo": 0.00072, "confidence_hi": 0.00073, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "aaf03eceabecc6ea99bc48ad41f10aa20c19e8efb4a4b52937f2b5d969db509c", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "28e68e2d78628a349b10f54dfc04add2065d2960195614dd0e4be9f76ec1bdc2f598bd67939bbc320a1f2f3fc822386d7b4c2adf16d452c2b516314e20250b02" } }, "receipt_sha256": "aaf03eceabecc6ea99bc48ad41f10aa20c19e8efb4a4b52937f2b5d969db509c" }, { "storm_id": "671742", "lat": 33.441, "lon": -76.627, "motion_east": 3.7, "motion_south": -1.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0007, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 2808.0, "ebshear": 8.0, "srh01": 17.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.07, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 17.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 55.0491 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -1.4863 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 2.5904 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0608 }, "coherence_score": 2.590397357940674, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 2.590397357940674, "grad_tau": 0.5628196597099304, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -1.4863135814666748, "S_field": 0.4806188642978668, "Gamma_field": 0.2507796287536621, "S_over_Gamma": 1.9164987802505493, "Da": 14.710679054260254, "E_coh": 0.9170169234275818, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": true, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -76.64, 33.48 ], [ -76.59, 33.48 ], [ -76.58, 33.47 ], [ -76.58, 33.42 ], [ -76.6, 33.4 ], [ -76.64, 33.4 ], [ -76.66, 33.42 ], [ -76.67, 33.42 ], [ -76.67, 33.44 ], [ -76.64, 33.48 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0608, "confidence_lo": 0.0007, "confidence_hi": 0.0007, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "4e58b681f083d99af21c518a001fb7d9c060854b093831fc801183d851ac1993", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.0608, "probability": 0.00073, "confidence_lo": 0.00072, "confidence_hi": 0.00073, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "aaf03eceabecc6ea99bc48ad41f10aa20c19e8efb4a4b52937f2b5d969db509c", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "28e68e2d78628a349b10f54dfc04add2065d2960195614dd0e4be9f76ec1bdc2f598bd67939bbc320a1f2f3fc822386d7b4c2adf16d452c2b516314e20250b02" } }, "receipt_sha256": "aaf03eceabecc6ea99bc48ad41f10aa20c19e8efb4a4b52937f2b5d969db509c" }, { "storm_id": "671969", "lat": 33.5469, "lon": -76.4844, "motion_east": 3.7, "motion_south": -1.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0007, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 2731.0, "ebshear": 8.0, "srh01": 18.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 18.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 55.0491 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -1.4863 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 2.5904 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0608 }, "coherence_score": 2.590397357940674, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 2.590397357940674, "grad_tau": 0.5628196597099304, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -1.4863135814666748, "S_field": 0.4806188642978668, "Gamma_field": 0.2507796287536621, "S_over_Gamma": 1.9164987802505493, "Da": 14.710679054260254, "E_coh": 0.9170169234275818, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": true, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -76.51, 33.58 ], [ -76.46, 33.57 ], [ -76.48, 33.57 ], [ -76.49, 33.56 ], [ -76.48, 33.55 ], [ -76.45, 33.55 ], [ -76.44, 33.54 ], [ -76.44, 33.51 ], [ -76.45, 33.5 ], [ -76.47, 33.5 ], [ -76.51, 33.52 ], [ -76.51, 33.54 ], [ -76.52, 33.55 ], [ -76.51, 33.56 ], [ -76.52, 33.57 ], [ -76.51, 33.58 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0608, "confidence_lo": 0.0007, "confidence_hi": 0.0007, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "4e58b681f083d99af21c518a001fb7d9c060854b093831fc801183d851ac1993", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.0608, "probability": 0.00073, "confidence_lo": 0.00072, "confidence_hi": 0.00073, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "aaf03eceabecc6ea99bc48ad41f10aa20c19e8efb4a4b52937f2b5d969db509c", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "28e68e2d78628a349b10f54dfc04add2065d2960195614dd0e4be9f76ec1bdc2f598bd67939bbc320a1f2f3fc822386d7b4c2adf16d452c2b516314e20250b02" } }, "receipt_sha256": "aaf03eceabecc6ea99bc48ad41f10aa20c19e8efb4a4b52937f2b5d969db509c" }, { "storm_id": "671610", "lat": 30.85, "lon": -80.1188, "motion_east": 3.7, "motion_south": -1.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0007, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 3221.0, "ebshear": 12.0, "srh01": 7.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 7.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 53.9241 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -3.2597 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 2.2418 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0604 }, "coherence_score": 2.2417638301849365, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 2.2417638301849365, "grad_tau": 0.40850403904914856, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -3.2596685886383057, "S_field": 0.38181138038635254, "Gamma_field": 0.26744627952575684, "S_over_Gamma": 1.4276189804077148, "Da": 17.369741439819336, "E_coh": 0.9299013018608093, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -80.13, 30.88 ], [ -80.08, 30.88 ], [ -80.08, 30.84 ], [ -80.09, 30.82 ], [ -80.14, 30.82 ], [ -80.15, 30.83 ], [ -80.15, 30.85 ], [ -80.13, 30.88 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0604, "confidence_lo": 0.0007, "confidence_hi": 0.0007, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "e203a438951a64e4e584651e53d0e39ec402b2b122b8a123cb8d2761d8f618fc", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.0604, "probability": 0.00073, "confidence_lo": 0.00072, "confidence_hi": 0.00073, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "abf6262e205a0a25b39fdd50723e8460b66f14b8423d5f2bc783974442dbe846", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "3b66a54f4776a47d0c9f76fbf09213b2653c01d13f7aa456afa84ed9efe268b5ecac07773d476ecbff2b9d63135107e001011ccc4db630ab9cc24cdbaac64100" } }, "receipt_sha256": "abf6262e205a0a25b39fdd50723e8460b66f14b8423d5f2bc783974442dbe846" }, { "storm_id": "671743", "lat": 31.0489, "lon": -80.0744, "motion_east": 3.7, "motion_south": -1.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0007, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 3233.0, "ebshear": 12.0, "srh01": 14.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.21, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 14.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 53.9241 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -3.2597 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 2.2418 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0604 }, "coherence_score": 2.2417638301849365, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 2.2417638301849365, "grad_tau": 0.40850403904914856, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -3.2596685886383057, "S_field": 0.38181138038635254, "Gamma_field": 0.26744627952575684, "S_over_Gamma": 1.4276189804077148, "Da": 17.369741439819336, "E_coh": 0.9299013018608093, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -80.1, 31.09 ], [ -80.04, 31.08 ], [ -80.03, 31.06 ], [ -80.03, 31.03 ], [ -80.06, 31.0 ], [ -80.09, 31.0 ], [ -80.11, 31.01 ], [ -80.11, 31.08 ], [ -80.1, 31.09 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0604, "confidence_lo": 0.0007, "confidence_hi": 0.0007, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "e203a438951a64e4e584651e53d0e39ec402b2b122b8a123cb8d2761d8f618fc", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.0604, "probability": 0.00073, "confidence_lo": 0.00072, "confidence_hi": 0.00073, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "abf6262e205a0a25b39fdd50723e8460b66f14b8423d5f2bc783974442dbe846", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "3b66a54f4776a47d0c9f76fbf09213b2653c01d13f7aa456afa84ed9efe268b5ecac07773d476ecbff2b9d63135107e001011ccc4db630ab9cc24cdbaac64100" } }, "receipt_sha256": "abf6262e205a0a25b39fdd50723e8460b66f14b8423d5f2bc783974442dbe846" }, { "storm_id": "671908", "lat": 29.4189, "lon": -79.6175, "motion_east": 3.4, "motion_south": -2.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0007, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 3288.0, "ebshear": 7.0, "srh01": 0.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.31, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 0.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 53.0491 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -0.1609 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 2.4788 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0603 }, "coherence_score": 2.4788293838500977, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 2.4788293838500977, "grad_tau": 0.6107723712921143, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -0.16092951595783234, "S_field": 0.5924054980278015, "Gamma_field": 0.3341129720211029, "S_over_Gamma": 1.7730693817138672, "Da": 20.932851791381836, "E_coh": 0.9505687355995178, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": true, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -79.7, 29.51 ], [ -79.68, 29.51 ], [ -79.67, 29.5 ], [ -79.66, 29.51 ], [ -79.61, 29.51 ], [ -79.6, 29.49 ], [ -79.61, 29.45 ], [ -79.59, 29.43 ], [ -79.53, 29.42 ], [ -79.5, 29.38 ], [ -79.5, 29.33 ], [ -79.51, 29.31 ], [ -79.53, 29.3 ], [ -79.57, 29.3 ], [ -79.58, 29.29 ], [ -79.63, 29.31 ], [ -79.62, 29.32 ], [ -79.62, 29.38 ], [ -79.61, 29.39 ], [ -79.61, 29.41 ], [ -79.63, 29.43 ], [ -79.68, 29.43 ], [ -79.68, 29.44 ], [ -79.66, 29.45 ], [ -79.66, 29.47 ], [ -79.67, 29.48 ], [ -79.68, 29.47 ], [ -79.7, 29.51 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0603, "confidence_lo": 0.0007, "confidence_hi": 0.0007, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "a16b49416c2cc7193db8a457efa8869731a4ad9f94f21a7a81eb98466a23dc71", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.0603, "probability": 0.00073, "confidence_lo": 0.00072, "confidence_hi": 0.00073, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "4d97cb0a68453b135f2de40eb1be112cba3134cee271226540927456328b4c87", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "ad1e74a25344a31b837db3feed839eee00007bf85217fe6c616c988c8ae56985adfd2dfeceae90c7175c076c10432025a120a2d65de2a3f972bcde232b3ee70b" } }, "receipt_sha256": "4d97cb0a68453b135f2de40eb1be112cba3134cee271226540927456328b4c87" }, { "storm_id": "671808", "lat": 33.7379, "lon": -74.9411, "motion_east": 3.7, "motion_south": -1.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0007, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 2622.0, "ebshear": 3.0, "srh01": 16.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.22, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 16.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 58.2991 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 0.3856 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 3.7227 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0592 }, "coherence_score": 3.722693920135498, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 3.722693920135498, "grad_tau": 0.24523116648197174, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.3856203556060791, "S_field": 1.2011010646820068, "Gamma_field": 0.1857796162366867, "S_over_Gamma": 6.465192794799805, "Da": 12.503206253051758, "E_coh": 0.9828749299049377, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -74.92, 33.81 ], [ -74.9, 33.81 ], [ -74.89, 33.8 ], [ -74.84, 33.8 ], [ -74.84, 33.73 ], [ -74.85, 33.71 ], [ -74.93, 33.67 ], [ -74.96, 33.67 ], [ -74.98, 33.69 ], [ -74.99, 33.68 ], [ -75.02, 33.69 ], [ -75.02, 33.7 ], [ -75.0, 33.72 ], [ -74.99, 33.71 ], [ -74.97, 33.72 ], [ -74.96, 33.74 ], [ -74.97, 33.77 ], [ -74.93, 33.79 ], [ -74.92, 33.81 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0592, "confidence_lo": 0.0007, "confidence_hi": 0.0007, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "c89e6858f5fa5fd5c42ac54dd146f061cc6b3e09e7b4d9654c81dfd7ef5b160d", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.0592, "probability": 0.00073, "confidence_lo": 0.00072, "confidence_hi": 0.00073, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "c0a987f69cb5529f68d553243e1e0700f843458e854d5fe1dab916f53bfd3402", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "b6ba50f7b5d2b371a56fe7bcdd5486fcc7831171bb32b8e2a482e63416416cc16aac338023fbd6c8344ee60e0c7270ee88a6e90f09788534d1a89424f662ea0f" } }, "receipt_sha256": "c0a987f69cb5529f68d553243e1e0700f843458e854d5fe1dab916f53bfd3402" }, { "storm_id": "671972", "lat": 31.7013, "lon": -79.1287, "motion_east": 3.7, "motion_south": -1.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0007, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 3010.0, "ebshear": 11.0, "srh01": 0.0, "maxllaz": 0.0, "mesh": 0.18, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 0.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 55.1741 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -4.0694 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.9336 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.0 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0583 }, "coherence_score": 1.9336061477661133, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.9336061477661133, "grad_tau": 0.23392486572265625, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -4.06942081451416, "S_field": 0.6585503816604614, "Gamma_field": 0.20577962696552277, "S_over_Gamma": 3.200270175933838, "Da": 13.252241134643555, "E_coh": 0.8951278924942017, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -79.16, 31.76 ], [ -79.14, 31.75 ], [ -79.13, 31.76 ], [ -79.08, 31.76 ], [ -79.07, 31.75 ], [ -79.07, 31.66 ], [ -79.09, 31.63 ], [ -79.1, 31.65 ], [ -79.12, 31.65 ], [ -79.14, 31.63 ], [ -79.17, 31.63 ], [ -79.15, 31.66 ], [ -79.16, 31.68 ], [ -79.15, 31.74 ], [ -79.17, 31.75 ], [ -79.16, 31.76 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0583, "confidence_lo": 0.0007, "confidence_hi": 0.0007, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "f8480f04fc8f8b247be8eb630a0944dc202a8087b4d3be551c787494318bd013", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.0583, "probability": 0.00073, "confidence_lo": 0.00072, "confidence_hi": 0.00073, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "b1f68550f3514f4a0d6d78658a151a566969aefb67506ed56f370256f064fd0b", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "ca46d02be9da30e647470eb427ae4e5feb9969e3aa412fd1663b036cdb1d09985234977444a439b43b57f5ebea7a3d37d428749f2bd5cc8407a3e9fb764c4906" } }, "receipt_sha256": "b1f68550f3514f4a0d6d78658a151a566969aefb67506ed56f370256f064fd0b" }, { "storm_id": "671701", "lat": 33.8554, "lon": -76.19, "motion_east": 5.1, "motion_south": -3.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0007, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 2504.0, "ebshear": 8.0, "srh01": 19.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 19.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 52.2991 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 5.6419 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 2.4212 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0561 }, "coherence_score": 2.4212217330932617, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 2.4212217330932617, "grad_tau": 0.6278592944145203, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 5.6418657302856445, "S_field": 0.11491727083921432, "Gamma_field": 0.5166129469871521, "S_over_Gamma": 0.22244365513324738, "Da": 30.075305938720703, "E_coh": 0.27461913228034973, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": true, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -76.19, 33.91 ], [ -76.15, 33.9 ], [ -76.13, 33.88 ], [ -76.13, 33.85 ], [ -76.14, 33.83 ], [ -76.18, 33.82 ], [ -76.19, 33.81 ], [ -76.21, 33.81 ], [ -76.23, 33.82 ], [ -76.25, 33.84 ], [ -76.25, 33.85 ], [ -76.23, 33.89 ], [ -76.19, 33.91 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0561, "confidence_lo": 0.0007, "confidence_hi": 0.0007, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "40da383cda7607b2b239da9913183ff66d238f00ddaf9154c19f755980bd1df7", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.0561, "probability": 0.00073, "confidence_lo": 0.00072, "confidence_hi": 0.00073, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "1489f7586902d3747f997e1721644fe5a7df3173023a17f3fcd58c949cc1e3c0", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "7ff1c1b52950092564f42155493413f3043954fe3e743f4a5b2bdadc3857001bb2c4c691d22c5196a5b4ea709e555363583ad1295527892a55898742332c440b" } }, "receipt_sha256": "1489f7586902d3747f997e1721644fe5a7df3173023a17f3fcd58c949cc1e3c0" }, { "storm_id": "672005", "lat": 26.4483, "lon": -82.3171, "motion_east": 3.7, "motion_south": -1.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0007, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 2636.0, "ebshear": 10.0, "srh01": 2.0, "maxllaz": 0.0, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 2.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 47.1741 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 0.74 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 3.1511 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.0 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0549 }, "coherence_score": 3.151052951812744, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 3.151052951812744, "grad_tau": 0.8668502569198608, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.7399530410766602, "S_field": 1.3778916597366333, "Gamma_field": 0.21161295473575592, "S_over_Gamma": 6.511376857757568, "Da": 12.934800148010254, "E_coh": 0.986056387424469, "singularity_count": 4.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 4, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": true, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -82.4, 26.47 ], [ -82.39, 26.47 ], [ -82.38, 26.47 ], [ -82.37, 26.47 ], [ -82.36, 26.47 ], [ -82.35, 26.47 ], [ -82.34, 26.47 ], [ -82.33, 26.47 ], [ -82.32, 26.47 ], [ -82.31, 26.47 ], [ -82.31, 26.46 ], [ -82.32, 26.45 ], [ -82.31, 26.44 ], [ -82.3, 26.43 ], [ -82.29, 26.43 ], [ -82.28, 26.44 ], [ -82.27, 26.44 ], [ -82.26, 26.44 ], [ -82.25, 26.44 ], [ -82.24, 26.44 ], [ -82.23, 26.44 ], [ -82.23, 26.43 ], [ -82.24, 26.42 ], [ -82.25, 26.42 ], [ -82.26, 26.42 ], [ -82.27, 26.43 ], [ -82.28, 26.43 ], [ -82.29, 26.43 ], [ -82.3, 26.43 ], [ -82.31, 26.42 ], [ -82.32, 26.43 ], [ -82.32, 26.44 ], [ -82.33, 26.45 ], [ -82.34, 26.46 ], [ -82.35, 26.46 ], [ -82.36, 26.46 ], [ -82.37, 26.46 ], [ -82.38, 26.46 ], [ -82.39, 26.45 ], [ -82.4, 26.46 ], [ -82.4, 26.47 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0549, "confidence_lo": 0.0007, "confidence_hi": 0.0007, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "e18c218841aa3ff509a4aaca7e66df13bd139c3c6c2b3e0b73afe780da022a9e", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.0549, "probability": 0.00073, "confidence_lo": 0.00072, "confidence_hi": 0.00073, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "18ad4ce5385d5caa63a6560eb5152d872ee2734f13b05a924661cb74d45d1dcf", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "5236348f5c3515188588bd15f416b1154ab9110be1251a156e05ca2dd91d26950a561235d74a0436b173d07437bb573fb14fc208a02fde3b468410c5bfc6620b" } }, "receipt_sha256": "18ad4ce5385d5caa63a6560eb5152d872ee2734f13b05a924661cb74d45d1dcf" }, { "storm_id": "671932", "lat": 34.2427, "lon": -75.3807, "motion_east": 4.0, "motion_south": -2.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0007, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 2458.0, "ebshear": 9.0, "srh01": 11.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 11.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 61.1741 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 6.3941 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 3.329 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0544 }, "coherence_score": 3.3290083408355713, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 3.3290083408355713, "grad_tau": 0.6594482064247131, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 6.394054412841797, "S_field": 1.4418045282363892, "Gamma_field": 0.16577962040901184, "S_over_Gamma": 8.697115898132324, "Da": 11.324307441711426, "E_coh": 0.9184152483940125, "singularity_count": 4.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 4, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": true, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -75.38, 34.3 ], [ -75.36, 34.3 ], [ -75.35, 34.29 ], [ -75.3, 34.3 ], [ -75.31, 34.29 ], [ -75.3, 34.26 ], [ -75.35, 34.21 ], [ -75.38, 34.21 ], [ -75.42, 34.17 ], [ -75.43, 34.17 ], [ -75.45, 34.18 ], [ -75.45, 34.21 ], [ -75.44, 34.21 ], [ -75.41, 34.24 ], [ -75.38, 34.3 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0544, "confidence_lo": 0.0007, "confidence_hi": 0.0007, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "83c9ab833087cb223c6b5d0b06985f322f9b7037aef757bce8792392e9aca212", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.0544, "probability": 0.00073, "confidence_lo": 0.00072, "confidence_hi": 0.00073, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "c002183b82c1ca309a4689d1d43364f6adfd88576ee6a8074075912111585fc5", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "21a326564d225eee555746f15fce02da398be733d57f3a8d0910482fb7ec52846e35d1f97f93e1f139c75d7076c34ef7acae39f391f0c8c62facc5d6dbe7a20a" } }, "receipt_sha256": "c002183b82c1ca309a4689d1d43364f6adfd88576ee6a8074075912111585fc5" }, { "storm_id": "671976", "lat": 47.0875, "lon": -124.6825, "motion_east": 3.7, "motion_south": -1.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0007, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 227.0, "ebshear": 23.0, "srh01": 2.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 2.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 16.4241 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -2.5635 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.0 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0531 }, "coherence_score": 0.0, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.0, "grad_tau": 0.21841852366924286, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -2.5634613037109375, "S_field": 0.0869353711605072, "Gamma_field": 0.17827962338924408, "S_over_Gamma": 0.48763492703437805, "Da": 10.076976776123047, "E_coh": 0.36798933148384094, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -124.7, 47.12 ], [ -124.64, 47.11 ], [ -124.64, 47.06 ], [ -124.67, 47.06 ], [ -124.69, 47.05 ], [ -124.71, 47.07 ], [ -124.71, 47.11 ], [ -124.7, 47.12 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0531, "confidence_lo": 0.0007, "confidence_hi": 0.0007, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "87eb4c9162ba01b6c5158e3bfe2635b16dad98032d45b19a978af3bd7fbfbac4", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.0531, "probability": 0.00073, "confidence_lo": 0.00072, "confidence_hi": 0.00073, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "be1e0c69303a2fb482571f932bf1ce6e8d565ac228446472796cf9d45e04b6fe", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "f24c620375d81d8032b35cb5a0a155abf9a90ce936bf0946283fbbbc4aac25fb46c049df1f08bb7b9867c15b44a39dce606fafa6ecc1dfced0b2bb5febdd9f0c" } }, "receipt_sha256": "be1e0c69303a2fb482571f932bf1ce6e8d565ac228446472796cf9d45e04b6fe" }, { "storm_id": "671954", "lat": 26.48, "lon": -82.4956, "motion_east": 3.7, "motion_south": -1.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0007, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 2596.0, "ebshear": 10.0, "srh01": 5.0, "maxllaz": 0.0, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 5.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 47.1741 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 0.74 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 3.1511 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.0 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0524 }, "coherence_score": 3.151052951812744, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 3.151052951812744, "grad_tau": 0.8668502569198608, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.7399530410766602, "S_field": 1.3778916597366333, "Gamma_field": 0.21161295473575592, "S_over_Gamma": 6.511376857757568, "Da": 12.934800148010254, "E_coh": 0.986056387424469, "singularity_count": 4.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 4, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": true, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -82.55, 26.51 ], [ -82.44, 26.51 ], [ -82.44, 26.43 ], [ -82.49, 26.43 ], [ -82.48, 26.44 ], [ -82.48, 26.49 ], [ -82.49, 26.5 ], [ -82.54, 26.5 ], [ -82.55, 26.51 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0524, "confidence_lo": 0.0007, "confidence_hi": 0.0007, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "6f87a4308174c025a4c2281d53139fac8b5f62fd0871fc8d04daf8b350d8a8bb", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.0524, "probability": 0.00073, "confidence_lo": 0.00072, "confidence_hi": 0.00073, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "085c6dd7f6724e511260ac351c0220d5caea08526049ee2951fb8876d35e8e6d", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "f259969c50e5fb7d430174913ac6e33d9462860fe35cb3d6e377ee69c31f35fb219908c07560923f6521f01db1b9a4283724cef9d96980aada3132b6c5eb6106" } }, "receipt_sha256": "085c6dd7f6724e511260ac351c0220d5caea08526049ee2951fb8876d35e8e6d" }, { "storm_id": "672003", "lat": 29.056, "lon": -88.114, "motion_east": 3.7, "motion_south": -1.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0007, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 2412.0, "ebshear": 5.0, "srh01": 8.0, "maxllaz": 0.0, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 8.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 47.9241 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 1.0831 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 2.6844 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.0 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0519 }, "coherence_score": 2.6844000816345215, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 2.6844000816345215, "grad_tau": 0.3209609091281891, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 1.0830848217010498, "S_field": 0.5983349084854126, "Gamma_field": 0.35161298513412476, "S_over_Gamma": 1.7016860246658325, "Da": 21.06003761291504, "E_coh": 0.9411815404891968, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -88.17, 29.09 ], [ -88.13, 29.09 ], [ -88.13, 29.08 ], [ -88.11, 29.06 ], [ -88.07, 29.06 ], [ -88.06, 29.05 ], [ -88.06, 29.02 ], [ -88.07, 29.01 ], [ -88.17, 29.01 ], [ -88.17, 29.09 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0519, "confidence_lo": 0.0007, "confidence_hi": 0.0007, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "7f7e49b657f99149a29bffc015d3ed7edbbefa66d34f1096eacb6f4c32c2a2df", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.0519, "probability": 0.00073, "confidence_lo": 0.00072, "confidence_hi": 0.00073, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "145b9153406af63fa5eae1120608e0fe1316761e47cb7000e3a1d8152a1180ca", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "d5a58e7c532bdd180d6a92fca6047aa58b1944f352336827abd02b0ed082f45f830e956d068be4685d790075ac5a3d2f3ee8cacf5d24e85e642a4b108149a804" } }, "receipt_sha256": "145b9153406af63fa5eae1120608e0fe1316761e47cb7000e3a1d8152a1180ca" }, { "storm_id": "671953", "lat": 28.1391, "lon": -78.8136, "motion_east": 3.7, "motion_south": -1.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0007, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 3276.0, "ebshear": 12.0, "srh01": 13.0, "maxllaz": 0.0, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 13.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 52.7991 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -1.6281 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 2.5433 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.0 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0514 }, "coherence_score": 2.5432791709899902, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 2.5432791709899902, "grad_tau": 0.4096251130104065, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -1.6280601024627686, "S_field": 0.8815796375274658, "Gamma_field": 0.32827961444854736, "S_over_Gamma": 2.685453414916992, "Da": 20.303667068481445, "E_coh": 0.9614522457122803, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -78.79, 28.18 ], [ -78.77, 28.18 ], [ -78.77, 28.07 ], [ -78.81, 28.07 ], [ -78.83, 28.1 ], [ -78.83, 28.12 ], [ -78.86, 28.14 ], [ -78.85, 28.15 ], [ -78.85, 28.17 ], [ -78.8, 28.17 ], [ -78.79, 28.18 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0514, "confidence_lo": 0.0007, "confidence_hi": 0.0007, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "cc6e13c845e893c986b3529be759b4f9f16379878c0bed6eef2a000e9a9b5372", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.0514, "probability": 0.00073, "confidence_lo": 0.00072, "confidence_hi": 0.00073, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "eb5ee4608baf0b8f42282381fe8b6eaf0cd7252ebc4c52b4226969ad910ef3ba", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "b51f497bd5fdea81908c05e8803ab79891e6a474ae59d72995a6e8d48bb7c0940e34d332a871ad156e653e7967b3d527f513a575ca8d24420b7c5547ff94e60b" } }, "receipt_sha256": "eb5ee4608baf0b8f42282381fe8b6eaf0cd7252ebc4c52b4226969ad910ef3ba" }, { "storm_id": "672002", "lat": 30.3833, "lon": -86.3073, "motion_east": 3.7, "motion_south": -1.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0007, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 2541.0, "ebshear": 10.0, "srh01": 31.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.03, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 31.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 46.0491 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 0.5114 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 2.3688 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0512 }, "coherence_score": 2.36881947517395, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 2.36881947517395, "grad_tau": 0.4623344838619232, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.5113932490348816, "S_field": 0.6817058324813843, "Gamma_field": 0.3032796382904053, "S_over_Gamma": 2.2477798461914062, "Da": 18.80014419555664, "E_coh": 0.8981699347496033, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -86.33, 30.45 ], [ -86.31, 30.44 ], [ -86.26, 30.44 ], [ -86.25, 30.45 ], [ -86.24, 30.43 ], [ -86.25, 30.42 ], [ -86.25, 30.33 ], [ -86.29, 30.31 ], [ -86.34, 30.31 ], [ -86.35, 30.32 ], [ -86.36, 30.31 ], [ -86.37, 30.31 ], [ -86.34, 30.34 ], [ -86.34, 30.44 ], [ -86.33, 30.45 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0512, "confidence_lo": 0.0007, "confidence_hi": 0.0007, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "a8bb803d5272ab3b01af1415f3ba091566b0144ab1e4094fca582b58e8026a91", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.0512, "probability": 0.00073, "confidence_lo": 0.00072, "confidence_hi": 0.00073, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "eb588970bbb22263e0b69c54948db27aede77f1340140d894c9297487b30ad8a", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "a7ed50dfad0d88f82cb2018a9d7fd3d87e5aa9c9226bf1dbbcb5ca575804a581445ce683f7226670449f23768c4bfe70a23006ffd723aaa34ede611d0d99da0c" } }, "receipt_sha256": "eb588970bbb22263e0b69c54948db27aede77f1340140d894c9297487b30ad8a" }, { "storm_id": "671650", "lat": 35.217, "lon": -74.206, "motion_east": 3.7, "motion_south": -1.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0007, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 1951.0, "ebshear": 12.0, "srh01": 29.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 29.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 54.4241 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 0.5933 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 3.5852 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.051 }, "coherence_score": 3.5851898193359375, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 3.5851898193359375, "grad_tau": 0.24602623283863068, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.593268632888794, "S_field": 1.2288235425949097, "Gamma_field": 0.18661294877529144, "S_over_Gamma": 6.584878444671631, "Da": 12.528305053710938, "E_coh": 0.9520413279533386, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -74.17, 35.26 ], [ -74.17, 35.21 ], [ -74.18, 35.19 ], [ -74.2, 35.17 ], [ -74.24, 35.16 ], [ -74.26, 35.19 ], [ -74.25, 35.23 ], [ -74.23, 35.25 ], [ -74.19, 35.25 ], [ -74.17, 35.26 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.051, "confidence_lo": 0.0007, "confidence_hi": 0.0007, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "9a93d70f7945e83ea376d13a813ce4e24806d84d0011ec59ca4fd281863be00b", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.051, "probability": 0.00073, "confidence_lo": 0.00072, "confidence_hi": 0.00073, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "96d5cb4327922e1ed6ee09868e224cb7bf10ebc3a312acc86c1a9e92c627d9bc", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "7892379eb419fd218231d1a9d8330475462d577587842cc454ad0447988ee33eee4cc1cc89f6451be76c2bc94bbe92e2e48f72cb110324f33309d0ec20389b0e" } }, "receipt_sha256": "96d5cb4327922e1ed6ee09868e224cb7bf10ebc3a312acc86c1a9e92c627d9bc" }, { "storm_id": "671949", "lat": 29.5683, "lon": -86.145, "motion_east": 3.7, "motion_south": -1.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0007, "risk_band": "low", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 3046.0, "ebshear": 9.0, "srh01": 10.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 10.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 49.2991 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 0.4087 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 2.6789 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0501 }, "coherence_score": 2.6788876056671143, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 2.6788876056671143, "grad_tau": 0.37597984075546265, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.40872153639793396, "S_field": 0.5213100910186768, "Gamma_field": 0.24911294877529144, "S_over_Gamma": 2.092665672302246, "Da": 15.48416805267334, "E_coh": 0.9514697194099426, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -86.19, 29.6 ], [ -86.11, 29.6 ], [ -86.1, 29.59 ], [ -86.1, 29.51 ], [ -86.18, 29.51 ], [ -86.19, 29.6 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0501, "confidence_lo": 0.0007, "confidence_hi": 0.0007, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "8c5c2b5106ad73eabd4da00166ef825c6f8803f1c9c07fdbbfc76d252d408601", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.0501, "probability": 0.00073, "confidence_lo": 0.00072, "confidence_hi": 0.00073, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "01389906b2975ef63d27e6dd988ef1e32c424b8fcf0d7b65f0cc86c54a706c3b", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "8c0c0b391085f992840c3208e0e5eb39eceab863d40d4bdf89c8bed1644f4abca4e7bf52f8b552180ce5c24430a26df444a23c90d737ad305fddf08b2cae8204" } }, "receipt_sha256": "01389906b2975ef63d27e6dd988ef1e32c424b8fcf0d7b65f0cc86c54a706c3b" }, { "storm_id": "671436", "lat": 27.0208, "lon": -82.9458, "motion_east": 3.7, "motion_south": -1.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0007, "risk_band": "minimal", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 2818.0, "ebshear": 7.0, "srh01": 0.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 0.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 46.6741 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 0.5397 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 3.1752 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.003 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0497 }, "coherence_score": 3.1752333641052246, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 3.1752333641052246, "grad_tau": 0.8634680509567261, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.5397043824195862, "S_field": 1.4227513074874878, "Gamma_field": 0.2091129571199417, "S_over_Gamma": 6.803745269775391, "Da": 12.680758476257324, "E_coh": 0.9823917746543884, "singularity_count": 4.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 4, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": true, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -82.99, 27.07 ], [ -82.95, 27.06 ], [ -82.94, 27.05 ], [ -82.91, 27.05 ], [ -82.9, 27.03 ], [ -82.9, 26.99 ], [ -82.92, 26.98 ], [ -82.93, 26.99 ], [ -82.94, 26.98 ], [ -82.98, 26.97 ], [ -83.0, 27.01 ], [ -82.99, 27.07 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0497, "confidence_lo": 0.0007, "confidence_hi": 0.0007, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "7c5f97ef5cde80434630353350d8800c77ef81b8a4119c71a06652cec61091f2", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.0497, "probability": 0.00073, "confidence_lo": 0.00072, "confidence_hi": 0.00073, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "c7cb96e4dccbc4cedbe1957d1662b6daa0e4e441360079329fbf6585bcf839b1", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "e06e88e8563c8b470641e3a6ac5fd5ccc738c313bb480b5bb36c57292dfb4eee0220ea480a372fb4be5c801790b82e0902fbcd345d6d53ca60d2137561b97201" } }, "receipt_sha256": "c7cb96e4dccbc4cedbe1957d1662b6daa0e4e441360079329fbf6585bcf839b1" }, { "storm_id": "671906", "lat": 32.219, "lon": -80.066, "motion_east": 3.7, "motion_south": -1.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0007, "risk_band": "minimal", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 2588.0, "ebshear": 10.0, "srh01": 0.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.25, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 0.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 46.5491 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -0.0368 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 1.59 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0465 }, "coherence_score": 1.5899829864501953, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 1.5899829864501953, "grad_tau": 0.29190003871917725, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -0.03681468963623047, "S_field": 0.056571342051029205, "Gamma_field": 0.16077962517738342, "S_over_Gamma": 0.35185641050338745, "Da": 10.167013168334961, "E_coh": 0.6431474089622498, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -80.08, 32.25 ], [ -80.04, 32.25 ], [ -80.02, 32.23 ], [ -80.05, 32.2 ], [ -80.04, 32.18 ], [ -80.09, 32.18 ], [ -80.08, 32.19 ], [ -80.08, 32.22 ], [ -80.1, 32.24 ], [ -80.08, 32.25 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0465, "confidence_lo": 0.0007, "confidence_hi": 0.0007, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "774abdfb26456af19fcd98799a7561e0dca22cc62c773ec77a3f492397ba7ab4", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.0465, "probability": 0.00073, "confidence_lo": 0.00072, "confidence_hi": 0.00073, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "f93d9406f80ef7fba9b31ec6b534a575088a43c952f82922fe0e374614e681b9", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "f96329b61a300838237f093207b9bfa1d753b820fa2fc8bcab14b958d7f8ed272fb60241e62b68cb2ed2ca2d052ae2473c5e630dea280629384f412893176a04" } }, "receipt_sha256": "f93d9406f80ef7fba9b31ec6b534a575088a43c952f82922fe0e374614e681b9" }, { "storm_id": "671810", "lat": 30.5525, "lon": -79.8633, "motion_east": 3.7, "motion_south": -1.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0007, "risk_band": "minimal", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 3318.0, "ebshear": 10.0, "srh01": 0.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.11, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 0.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 55.1741 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 1.2344 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 2.2897 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0462 }, "coherence_score": 2.2897140979766846, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 2.2897140979766846, "grad_tau": 0.4631165862083435, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 1.2343876361846924, "S_field": 0.6182447075843811, "Gamma_field": 0.2757796347141266, "S_over_Gamma": 2.241806983947754, "Da": 17.3304443359375, "E_coh": 0.9597882032394409, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -79.89, 30.59 ], [ -79.86, 30.59 ], [ -79.84, 30.58 ], [ -79.84, 30.57 ], [ -79.82, 30.55 ], [ -79.82, 30.52 ], [ -79.84, 30.5 ], [ -79.87, 30.5 ], [ -79.89, 30.52 ], [ -79.9, 30.54 ], [ -79.9, 30.58 ], [ -79.89, 30.59 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0462, "confidence_lo": 0.0007, "confidence_hi": 0.0007, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "a10300b19e8f3102359f897b17f6e8a6076b4cd1dcc622dd8b0635cfccc498af", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.0462, "probability": 0.00073, "confidence_lo": 0.00072, "confidence_hi": 0.00073, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "e685ee15eef9c564f7f04d104aee0d01758677405d15aa65b9160161a6e70bc6", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "f93c8e75d2181ec94d564cb64401b54e32bae8998d79087c0a78f711c16da2d7d1edbae1447bbe6fecaa86bad292de61119689d4fa88e96dc6478cfd542d2b0d" } }, "receipt_sha256": "e685ee15eef9c564f7f04d104aee0d01758677405d15aa65b9160161a6e70bc6" }, { "storm_id": "671966", "lat": 35.0467, "lon": -74.4378, "motion_east": 3.7, "motion_south": -1.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0007, "risk_band": "minimal", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 2057.0, "ebshear": 12.0, "srh01": 25.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.06, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 25.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 55.1741 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 3.9732 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 3.5664 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0458 }, "coherence_score": 3.5664353370666504, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 3.5664353370666504, "grad_tau": 0.36487922072410583, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 3.9731829166412354, "S_field": 1.2863141298294067, "Gamma_field": 0.19911295175552368, "S_over_Gamma": 6.460223197937012, "Da": 13.338316917419434, "E_coh": 0.9085304737091064, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -74.41, 35.12 ], [ -74.37, 35.11 ], [ -74.37, 35.04 ], [ -74.38, 35.03 ], [ -74.42, 35.04 ], [ -74.44, 35.0 ], [ -74.46, 35.0 ], [ -74.47, 35.01 ], [ -74.48, 35.0 ], [ -74.5, 35.0 ], [ -74.5, 35.02 ], [ -74.46, 35.01 ], [ -74.44, 35.03 ], [ -74.44, 35.06 ], [ -74.45, 35.07 ], [ -74.44, 35.08 ], [ -74.44, 35.1 ], [ -74.41, 35.12 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0458, "confidence_lo": 0.0007, "confidence_hi": 0.0007, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "8fa22fda17e54b5dca3f6619e2c25d35bac2f1adf3179501342b87b820fd858f", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.0458, "probability": 0.00073, "confidence_lo": 0.00072, "confidence_hi": 0.00073, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "d67e0f28a28548022a4e1bdde4ea6bf2de7693bbe1bb8fc5bc6c75992c282b41", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "b52e436f05f027fa467652ee39f788e590c474cb0e2af5074d5f444748cdad8e66d982af50ae95ada67e89cd036f075c4422986bc07c6167e381752863afcc0b" } }, "receipt_sha256": "d67e0f28a28548022a4e1bdde4ea6bf2de7693bbe1bb8fc5bc6c75992c282b41" }, { "storm_id": "671484", "lat": 30.7423, "lon": -80.3554, "motion_east": 3.7, "motion_south": -1.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0007, "risk_band": "minimal", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 3216.0, "ebshear": 10.0, "srh01": 1.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 1.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 55.9241 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -0.574 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 2.687 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0436 }, "coherence_score": 2.687021255493164, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 2.687021255493164, "grad_tau": 0.5184771418571472, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -0.574012279510498, "S_field": 0.8433672785758972, "Gamma_field": 0.2366129606962204, "S_over_Gamma": 3.5643324851989746, "Da": 15.332514762878418, "E_coh": 0.959528923034668, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": true, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 2, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -80.41, 30.83 ], [ -80.39, 30.81 ], [ -80.37, 30.8 ], [ -80.34, 30.8 ], [ -80.32, 30.78 ], [ -80.32, 30.69 ], [ -80.3, 30.68 ], [ -80.3, 30.64 ], [ -80.35, 30.64 ], [ -80.35, 30.69 ], [ -80.36, 30.71 ], [ -80.4, 30.75 ], [ -80.41, 30.83 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0436, "confidence_lo": 0.0007, "confidence_hi": 0.0007, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "a5386bca6a3dffaf4d89f23580ab3c868b482fe3b46824b164444883a7c4845b", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.0436, "probability": 0.00073, "confidence_lo": 0.00072, "confidence_hi": 0.00073, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "8b24479f12404331fe88f64ea67be7f4eaa64d70fc3b6835e80e3c83223930a1", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "0218531a705c2009a98a248dccf2f5be7c8c2820e32afef07aa957c38b0b7cef06522ea29af4d0e8f5fdaf8009ef39037c6c4bfc67925ec89ad25265737f030d" } }, "receipt_sha256": "8b24479f12404331fe88f64ea67be7f4eaa64d70fc3b6835e80e3c83223930a1" }, { "storm_id": "671973", "lat": 30.7078, "lon": -79.9367, "motion_east": 3.7, "motion_south": -1.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0007, "risk_band": "minimal", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 3311.0, "ebshear": 12.0, "srh01": 4.0, "maxllaz": 0.001, "mesh": 0.08, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 4.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 55.9241 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -0.574 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 2.687 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.001 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0433 }, "coherence_score": 2.687021255493164, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 2.687021255493164, "grad_tau": 0.5184771418571472, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -0.574012279510498, "S_field": 0.8433672785758972, "Gamma_field": 0.2366129606962204, "S_over_Gamma": 3.5643324851989746, "Da": 15.332514762878418, "E_coh": 0.959528923034668, "singularity_count": 3.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 3, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": true, "high_gradient": true, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -79.95, 30.74 ], [ -79.91, 30.74 ], [ -79.9, 30.72 ], [ -79.9, 30.69 ], [ -79.92, 30.66 ], [ -79.96, 30.67 ], [ -79.97, 30.69 ], [ -79.97, 30.72 ], [ -79.95, 30.74 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0433, "confidence_lo": 0.0007, "confidence_hi": 0.0007, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "87a5d686947cbb74a3b648a34443912d431c95e2159dcfe8e28d9f3aaff662e6", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.0433, "probability": 0.00073, "confidence_lo": 0.00072, "confidence_hi": 0.00073, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "1ff86274d3ecc21a1eaf602ad6dad69728daea3a001102d41949ecb057ded742", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "45d43b8a8ee4c9ed64a9f06e595b2be266abfb05c7db9d567ba1066b7cf720a6a30530c06c596e915a78f0b608cce8b1b8a0295fa99a52b988446d6c3e43f703" } }, "receipt_sha256": "1ff86274d3ecc21a1eaf602ad6dad69728daea3a001102d41949ecb057ded742" }, { "storm_id": "671817", "lat": 45.9273, "lon": -118.124, "motion_east": 2.7, "motion_south": -2.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0007, "risk_band": "minimal", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 20.0, "ebshear": 15.0, "srh01": 6.0, "maxllaz": 0.002, "mesh": 0.0, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 6.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 23.9241 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": -0.5665 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 0.8563 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.002 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0405 }, "coherence_score": 0.8563419580459595, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 0.8563419580459595, "grad_tau": 0.15618394315242767, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": -0.5665218830108643, "S_field": 0.15132063627243042, "Gamma_field": 0.1924462914466858, "S_over_Gamma": 0.7863005995750427, "Da": 12.157965660095215, "E_coh": 0.48465800285339355, "singularity_count": 1.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 1, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": false, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -118.18, 46.0 ], [ -118.12, 46.0 ], [ -118.09, 45.98 ], [ -118.09, 45.97 ], [ -118.06, 45.94 ], [ -118.04, 45.9 ], [ -118.04, 45.86 ], [ -118.05, 45.85 ], [ -118.11, 45.85 ], [ -118.13, 45.88 ], [ -118.15, 45.88 ], [ -118.2, 45.91 ], [ -118.21, 45.93 ], [ -118.21, 45.96 ], [ -118.18, 46.0 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0405, "confidence_lo": 0.0007, "confidence_hi": 0.0007, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "1c3c634d5f544682301a3acaf61a1819d53b973a57289a8a3b764674337b0b1a", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.0405, "probability": 0.00073, "confidence_lo": 0.00072, "confidence_hi": 0.00073, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "2f4d589dc6db9350872484099d85f57d1f19ec961478e25b61406f8fe6fa8b76", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "fea4c73003bf24aae5dea3e1724541162ab7a7dc50ed7311f28b5e583ac3ec7450454b90f51ef66e36880831d7cbe824f8211cd29aea6ae83cd7d2fc26734a09" } }, "receipt_sha256": "2f4d589dc6db9350872484099d85f57d1f19ec961478e25b61406f8fe6fa8b76" }, { "storm_id": "671811", "lat": 30.264, "lon": -86.592, "motion_east": 3.7, "motion_south": -1.0, "valid_time": "20260913_083041 UTC", "tornado_probability": 0.0007, "risk_band": "minimal", "ps_tor": 0.0, "ps": 0.0, "mucape": 2564.0, "ebshear": 9.0, "srh01": 10.0, "maxllaz": 0.003, "mesh": 0.07, "flash_rate": 0.0, "top_features": [ { "name": "srh01", "value": 10.0 }, { "name": "hrrr_pwat", "value": 40.2991 }, { "name": "alignment", "value": 0.939 }, { "name": "tau", "value": 2.0177 }, { "name": "maxllaz", "value": 0.003 } ], "model_scores": { "gbt_prob": 0.0329 }, "coherence_score": 2.017653226852417, "coherence_diagnostics": { "tau": 2.017653226852417, "grad_tau": 0.37744563817977905, "torsion": 0.0, "alignment": 0.9390111565589905, "S_field": 0.31927886605262756, "Gamma_field": 0.5524463057518005, "S_over_Gamma": 0.5779364705085754, "Da": 34.37446594238281, "E_coh": 0.7609249949455261, "singularity_count": 2.0, "singularity_conditions_met": 2, "singularity_detail": { "s_over_gamma": false, "high_gradient": false, "high_torsion": false, "positive_alignment": true, "high_damkohler": true } }, "scoring_tier": "tier1_ml", "coherence_source": "hrrr", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "track_length": 1, "geometry": { "type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [ [ [ -86.6, 30.32 ], [ -86.56, 30.31 ], [ -86.54, 30.27 ], [ -86.54, 30.24 ], [ -86.56, 30.22 ], [ -86.56, 30.21 ], [ -86.57, 30.21 ], [ -86.61, 30.24 ], [ -86.62, 30.23 ], [ -86.63, 30.25 ], [ -86.62, 30.26 ], [ -86.62, 30.28 ], [ -86.63, 30.29 ], [ -86.62, 30.31 ], [ -86.6, 30.32 ] ] ] }, "raw_probability": 0.0329, "confidence_lo": 0.0007, "confidence_hi": 0.0007, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "calibrated": true, "receipt": { "spec": "hazardpulse/forecast/v1", "model_version": "tornado_storm_v1_0", "model_sha256": "e8e46848c3407b67c520fd46861598d1e0bbbc28d210895a1f9138f2b05f2af1", "input_sha256": "4183d534bcab7188ffd92f0c5366523abfb7e1809a270f63333adf3b50e496a2", "issued_at": "2026-09-13T08:46:44Z", "raw_probability": 0.0329, "probability": 0.00073, "confidence_lo": 0.00072, "confidence_hi": 0.00073, "uncertainty_class": "tight", "ood_score": null, "ood_flag": false, "abstained": false, "abstain_reason": null, "gateway_mode": "NORMAL", "coverage_target": 0.9, "receipt_sha256": "cc65778bcdf4a1bed0e005b60d6da7eb3917a8b3565f43821f2bfa28e82f7f10", "signature": { "alg": "ed25519", "sig": "0fa258e1fd7c56f5967baef8f2cc8d93ec9007158c4ff8708287106a4b56e4e819db176db0850904b1d870fc9bae403e8d65e1b001b71aaaf6a213803ae0ae0f" } }, "receipt_sha256": "cc65778bcdf4a1bed0e005b60d6da7eb3917a8b3565f43821f2bfa28e82f7f10" } ] }