HazardPulse tracks earthquakes, hurricanes, and tornadoes worldwide. Every forecast
shows how likely, how confident, and exactly what evidence backs it - so you can verify it yourself.
Hurricane (↑+2.4%)hurricane_ri_v8_1. RI prob 37.2%. SST 28.7°C, shear 10 kt.
System health
Is HazardPulse working properly?
Last updateMon, 23 Mar 2026 01:15:14 UTC
Active storms53 tracked globally
Hazard types3 hazard types monitored
Gate statusAll gates passed
Data sourcestornado_storm_v1_0
How it works
Four steps between raw data and the numbers you see above.
1. Collect
We pull real-time data from the USGS (earthquakes), National Hurricane Center (storms), Storm Prediction Center (tornadoes), JMA (Japan), and IMD (India).
Ingestion from USGS ComCat, NHC ATCF, SPC mesoscale, JMA seismic catalog, EMSC, IMD cyclone bulletins. Validated against schema v2.1, timestamped with provenance envelope.
2. Calculate
Statistical models estimate how likely each hazard is, and calculate a confidence range showing how sure we are.
Ensemble inference across registered models (ETAS, SHIPS-RII, DTOPS, SPC-calibrated meso). Bayesian credible intervals via MCMC (n=10,000). Deterministic execution on Coherence runtime.
3. Verify
Every forecast goes through 13 automatic checks for accuracy, freshness, and safety before it's published.
Hard gate constitution: G0 (schema) through G12 (calibration drift). Each gate produces a signed decision envelope. Degrade-and-explain on failure - never silent publishing.
4. Show you
If all checks pass, the forecast goes live with a link to the evidence that created it - so you can verify it yourself.
Static site generation from SiteWorld graph. Each page deterministically compiled from .cl source with content-addressed assets. Full replay bundle published per cycle.
Don't take our word for it
Every claim on this site can be checked.
See the evidence
Every forecast links to the exact data and model that produced it. Nothing is hidden.
HazardPulse
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